Value Adding in Australia – the Beginning of the End?

Mount Isa Mine in June 1962 as seen from the t...
Mount Isa copper smelter - Image via Wikipedia

News Alert: Smelting and Refining of Mount Isa copper in Queensland to cease.

Guest post by Viv Forbes

The first industries of Australia were farming and mining and these two have been the backbone of the nation ever since. Both are threatened by the taxaholics in Canberra.

Shorthorn and Brahman cattle arrived with the first fleet and coal was discovered by convicts at Newcastle in 1791, just three years after the First Fleet arrived. The first Merino sheep arrived in 1797 and coal mining started in 1798. Since then mining and farming have earned the majority of Australia’s income.

Wool and wheat, gold and silver, butter and cheese, copper and lead-zinc, leather and tallow, iron and steel, sugar and wine, coal and hydro-carbons, meat and mutton, aluminium and uranium, timber and fish, nickel and titanium – these comprise Australia’s Magic Pudding.

But the Gillard/Green/Garnaut Carbon Tax Coalition hate our primary industries because they all depend on carbon fuels and produce the carbon dioxide that feeds our crops. Our backbone industries are seen as dreaded “polluters” and treated like noxious weeds and serpents to be removed from the green Garden of Eden.

Our pioneering squatters and prospectors blazed the trails which Cobb and Co turned into the roads of Australia. Wool from the merinos, almost alone, carried the nation until the 1850’s when metals started to create wealth – lead, copper and gold were discovered in the 1840’s and 1850’s. Mining started soon after and then cattle raising became profitable to feed the miners. Better roads, towns and then railways were built to move our primary products to the smelters, spinners, millers and tanners in Europe. Ever since, our great primary industries and the industries dependent on them have supported all Australians.

Mining is largely a materials handling operation, and it needs a lot of energy for mining, crushing, grinding, smelting, refining and transport.

The first copper mines extracted only high grade surface ore. They mined it selectively using human muscle power, packed it to the coast using camels, donkeys, horses and bullocks, and shipped it on sailing clippers to smelters in Europe. All stages used politically correct “green” energy.

But “green” transport moves slowly. Some loads of ore that looked profitable when they left the Peak Downs Copper Mine in central Queensland on donkeys, were sold at a loss, months later, when they landed at the copper smelter in Wales. Mining was thus an intermittent business – booming when metal prices were high, closing when prices fell.

But the high grade surface ores never last long, and the deeper primary ore is generally much lower grade. It was OK to send 40% copper ore from Cloncurry to the coast using horses and drays, but ore containing just 2% copper would not cover the costs.

So the first metal processing started with primitive on-site smelters (often using wood and charcoal, both “green” energy). Smelters removed most of the impurities leaving crude metal with +95% copper which was exported to overseas refineries. Later, Australians developed the flotation process to produce metal concentrates to feed the smelters. And trucks and trains started to carry value-added products to the coast.

The great Mount Isa Mine was discovered in 1923 – lead smelting started in 1931 and metal smelting at Mount Isa has continued ever since – 80 years of value adding in Australia.

Early in World War II, Australia found itself short of copper and Mount Isa was asked if it could produce copper. A crash program took place to convert the lead smelter to producing copper and the first blister copper was poured at Mount Isa in1942. Refining of blister copper started in Townsville in 1959.

Mines can only be where the deposits are found. But smelters and refineries can be located anywhere between the mine and the ultimate customer for the metals. And just three factors dictate where metal processing is located – political costs, processing costs and transport costs. The political cost (tax burden) depends on the common sense of the electorate and their knowledge of where the real wealth is created. The processing and transport costs depend mainly on the local costs of wages and energy.

The first trains and power stations all used steam engines burning low cost local coal. Then came cheap diesel transport for trucks and trains. Now electric trains are again running on cheap Australian coal. This low cost carbon energy supported our high wages and ensured that mineral processing became a big business in Australia – iron and steel, lead-zinc-silver, copper, nickel, aluminium, gold, uranium, limestone, coal, oil and gas are all processed to some extent in Australia.

There is no point introducing a carbon tax that does not increase the cost and thus reduce the use of coal and diesel energy. Mining and mineral processing and transport probably consume over 50% of Australia’s electricity, which is mainly coal powered with minor gas. And they are huge users of diesel for utes, trucks, shovels, dozers, scrapers, mobile power and drilling rigs. Therefore, no matter what they say, all of Australia’s mineral processing advantages are threatened by their carbon tax.

The recent Xstrata decision to phase out their world class copper smelting and refining operations in Australia tells us that the taxes, processing, transport and energy costs that Xstrata expects in Australia are already uncompetitive.

The dreamers in the Canberra cocoon always drool about “value adding”. Their carbon tax will surely cause all mineral processing plants in Australia to lose value, and some will surely close. Low cost coal and diesel power will no longer support our high wages. The value adding will take place in Asia.

We are watching a slow tragedy unfold – the end of an era. Once the mineral processing plants leave, they will never come back. We will be back to the pioneering era of mining – dig it out and ship it off.

And the final tragic irony of the Isa story is this – sending partly processed copper concentrate overseas, instead of smelting it at Mount Isa, will about triple the transport burden and do the same to carbon dioxide emissions.

Viv Forbes

May 2011

Reference – Xstrata to phase out copper smelting and refining:

http://au.ibtimes.com/articles/147308/20110518/xstrata-to-phase-out-copper-smelting.htm

 

Viv Forbes is a geologist, mineral economist and farmer. He has spent a lifetime working in government, mining and farming in Queensland and NT, from field geologist in the Bowen Basin, to uranium exploration at Rum Jungle,  to mill clerk at Mount Isa, to mining investment analyst in Sydney and Brisbane and to company director of gas, oil and coal companies. He should be retired but refuses to. He and his wife Judy live at Rosevale harvesting solar energy from natural pasture using beef cattle and meat sheep.

Get notified when a new post is published.
Subscribe today!
0 0 votes
Article Rating
71 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Jack
May 23, 2011 4:23 am

I have no problem with scientists co-operating but I do when they regard themselves a governance groups. Professor Will Steffen ,is the head of the Climate Commission in Australia and he is a member of this group that wants control of water, food and economic policies.
http://www.earthsystemgovernance.org/about
There is no way known these people will desist. They want power and they do not care about the economic mess they leave behind.

May 23, 2011 4:28 am

Patrick Davis,
Sydney swamped by a 1 M sea level rise?
It must have change a lot since I traded there in the 1960s.
I seem to remember coming in past the Heads into a high sided natural harbour and that the quays were at least 1 M above the water and many were higher than that; and always having to walk uphill to get out of the dock areas.

Scarface
May 23, 2011 4:34 am

Australia = the new Atlantis.
Lost in the waves
Waves of green taxes that is, ’cause sealevelrise wont be able to make it happen.
Bye Aussies, it was nice knowing you. Too bad you didnt see it coming.
If nothing else works anymore, you can always send smokesignals while cooking on your medieval stoves, so we can stay in touch with the last men and women standing.

Patrick Davis
May 23, 2011 4:39 am

“oldseadog says:
May 23, 2011 at 4:28 am”
Yes, that is the “threat” to Sydney (1 m sea level rise by 2100 – convieniently outside the life expectancy of the people making these claims, of course) we WILL be exposed to if we “don’t change” (Read, apply a tax, export industry, put up mincers of feathered flying protien). Its one finding from the “independent” agency setup by the Labor Govn’t, and released just before Gillard plans to impose her “planet saving” carbon tax. Now if she would stop repeating her words in ANY speach for about 2 minutes I am sure Australian contributions of CO2 would be more than halved.

FrankK
May 23, 2011 4:43 am

Interesting the report presented today to PM Gillard was by Messers Steffen an academic originally from the US and climate Commissioner Flannery. The report apparently says that the deniers should be ignored because they don’t have the necessary qualifications or words to that effect. Whats that !! Mr Flannery is a paleontologist and Steffen is an alarmist warmer. This is the sort of stuff Steffen is spruiking:
http://www.tisn.gov.au/www/tisn/rwpattach.nsf/VAP/%28C7C220BBE2D77410637AB17935C2BD2E%29~CCAFSydney_SteffenPresentation.pdf/$file/CCAFSydney_SteffenPresentation.pdf
These are the so-called “independent” people ‘advising’ the government on climate change policy.
Lord help us all.

May 23, 2011 4:50 am

And as we hear the latest lies from our Climate (propaganda) Commissioner, Tim Flannery on TV tonight , the latest weather forcast for Australia is what we get because of the Flannery effect (which is similar to the Gore effect in your part of the world).
“Mon (23May2011) 8:00 pm EST
Thick cloud is crossing eastern QLD with a front, generating rain and thunderstorms. Cloud is swirling into a low over western NSW, generating a few showers. A cloud-band moving across SA, VIC and TAS with a second cold front is bringing a renewed burst of rain and cold winds.”
The Australian ski fields can look forward to a bumper season this year.

Bryn Thomas
May 23, 2011 4:51 am

The least Australian sceptics can do is write in the strongest terms to their MPs and point out how biassed and poorly based is this report. Be it on their heads if they support it. Unfortunately there are “economists” such as Turnbull waiting in the wings to take charge of the Opposition party and for whom this report is manna from heaven. We need an Opposition with the guts to stand up and not shilly shally around. The present crop is useless. A pox on both their houses. God help Australia because no-one else will. I despair.

May 23, 2011 4:53 am

Paul Coppin says:
May 23, 2011 at 3:45 am
There is a minor silver lining: resources not extracted now will be avialable at a later date when the demand price makes it worthwhile to continue production.

No. By that time all these resources would be controlled by the Communist Party of China through state owned Chinese banks. Mining operations, if necessary, would be restarted using imported African slave labor.
In case a domestic opposition would emerge against such a shameless exploitation, a friendly visit of the then far superior Zhōngguó Rénmín Jiěfàngjūn Hǎijūn (People’s Liberation Army Navy) in Sidney Harbor could set it straight in no time.

dave ward
May 23, 2011 5:15 am

I’d love to know what Ms Gillard thinks will provide jobs and income when all the heavy industry has departed, because it won’t be from tourism. Quite apart from the exorbitant taxes being levied on transport, I will not be putting myself through the hassle of multiple searches, and intrusive questioning that now accompany even the most mundane flight. Nor I suspect will many others.
I’m glad I visited ‘Oz back in the 80’s before all this cr*p was the norm…

spangled drongo
May 23, 2011 5:20 am

Patrick Davis and Old Seadog,
The most thorough study available of corrected southern Australian tide gauge data is that of Harvey et al. [2002] and is 0.11mm/yr which implies a rise of 1 cm by 2100.
Just think, 1 whole centimeter!
That’s why, for the whole of my lifetime I have never been conscious of any SLR.
Because there isn’t any!
http://members.iinet.net.au/~glrmc/RMC%20-%20aspects%20of%20sea-level%20rise%20in%20southern%20Australia%20Z.pdf

Russell Duke
May 23, 2011 5:46 am

We all thought that “The Road Warrior” was just a cool movie. It will not be a cool reality.

May 23, 2011 5:47 am

The new report is nothing really new and is not even internally consistent..
Rather the thing to be worried about here is the truly blinkered focus on trying to scare the living daylights out of people with little regard to the real significance (or not) of what is being described. This report shows a unified disregard for considering any alternative or further accuracy seeking points of view; which in of itself is an insult to science and what worth that should hold in the eyes of the public.
This report is an embarrassment and its truly shameful that the retched thing has made it way into print under the pretense of being a ‘balanced’ review of the situation – shame on you!
Please do Australia a favor and communicate your despair with this report far and wide – Australia needs to send a clear message to our government that this sort of bullying of the electorate is not to be tolerated. Strike up a conversation with a work mate or someone on train, share/like this article far and wide; basically do what you can to ring the bells loud and clear. I thank you.

Paul R
May 23, 2011 5:58 am

It’s bad for the Isa, It’s good that they’re starting to piss off the wrong people.

AusieDan
May 23, 2011 6:44 am

The latest polls put the popularity of the government at 28% compared with the main opposition at 53%.
Both parties pretend to believe in AGW and the government is hell bound on taxing CO2 emissions.
The Sydney Morning Herald / Melbourne age plus the ABC (Australian national radio, TV, internet etc) are strongly pro AGW.
Some of the members of parliament on both sides are closet realists and I suspect that this includes both the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition.
We all live in dreamland, with the next election two and a half years away, unless the untidy Green/ Labor/ Independent coalition splits or somebody on the government dies (heaven forbid, as they say).
It will only take ONE to change sides for the opposition to regain government.
I expect when that eventually happens the light will gradually dawn.
The present government are multi skilled at making a mess of everything they attempt.
AGW is but one aspect of their inability to govern.
It’s all very frustrating while we wait.

AusieDan
May 23, 2011 6:50 am

You may be surprised at my claim that the PM is a realist rather than a true believer.
I say that on her track record right up to the election (forced Kevin Rudd [former PM that she then knifed] to drop his cap and trade plans – promised not to tax CO2 if elected).
She caught in a web of her own making – desperatly hanging on to the job of PM by pandering to the Greens, at the same time (I believe) she is attempting to do as little as possible to harm the economy.
The big problem is that she does not understand how business, markets or the economy works – like a kid playing with dangerous fireworks.
Oh well, we do lice in interesting times.

homo sapiens
May 23, 2011 7:02 am

Patrick Davis – It seems our Australian “leaders” really want to win that race to the bottom.
There is no possibility that Australia will beat the UK into reaching the abyss.
Despite the soaring levels of UK debt, cabinet ministers have agreed a far-reaching, legally binding “green deal” that will commit the UK to two decades of drastic cuts in carbon emissions. The package will require sweeping changes to domestic life, transport and business and will place Britain at the forefront of the global battle against climate change – for which every UK citizen is truly grateful (sarc).
Despite the misgivings of some ministers, David Cameron has added his support, and Energy Secretary Chris Huhne is now expected to tell parliament that agreement has been struck to back the plans in full up to 2027. He will tell MPs that the government will accept the recommendations of the independent committee on climate change for a new carbon budget. The deal puts the UK ahead of any other state in terms of the legal commitments it is making in the battle to curb greenhouse gases. Yippee! It makes one proud to be British! (sarc).

Tom E.
May 23, 2011 7:40 am

Waste Thorium, arggg!
Say what, and then there’s the solution, Thorium cycle reactors to power the trains and the smelters, win – win.
Sorry, too simple, I digress.

amicus curiae
May 23, 2011 7:58 am

another great item summed up well, and
if only the rapture had occurred and taken JuLIAR, or taken us and left her?
any act of god about now would be handy in the direction of Canvberra ie cyclone lightning stikes, volcanic eruptions
still flimflannery expects Gaia, sometime soon,
hope the true believers are packed and ready to go!

Grumpy Old Man
May 23, 2011 9:13 am

A one metre rise in sea level. I’ve been to Sydney. That could be easily tolerated, even if it’s true, which I suspect it ain’t. Time for all true Ozzies to fix bayonets and advance.

Steve from Rockwood
May 23, 2011 10:04 am

I never knew geologists could write – but this article was extremely well written and the last two paragraphs sum things up perfectly. Well done Viv!
This is happening in Canada. As mining/processing infrastructure reaches that later life point where some TLC is needed to keep things going (profitable) all the people who hated it to begin with swarm in for the kill. When they win, they never stop to look back over the shoulders to see what they have done. Lost jobs and in many cases the onset of serious decline for the communities that were supported by the mines.
A copper processing facility in Timmins was shut down a few years back with the loss of up to 600ish high paying jobs. Much of that copper will be no doubt processed in China and the finished products exported to Canada.
At least we’ll benefit from those green jobs…

May 23, 2011 11:11 am

This, while sad and bad for Australians, is a perfect example of economics and the law of supply and demand. Thanks for sharing. I doubt any of those in Oz (or the US) will learn from this, one thing that politics cannot white wash is the one Economic Law we know about. If you charge too much – no one buys, so you do not sell.

Henry chance
May 23, 2011 11:31 am

The socialist party suffered greatly in Spain yesterday. So much for the green dragon there.
Austrialia will lose socialism in the next election.
Question on trains, where are the electric freight trains? I only know of diesel that generate electric that runs electric at the wheels.

the Rossshire Mannie
May 23, 2011 1:29 pm

We tractor / truck drivers are great thinkers – all alone all day with no one to talk to but listening to it all on Radio: to sum up we have an interlaced society amongst the upper/ middle/ working etc – tis the IDIOT CLASS! Ruled by them , supported by them – and the rest of us ? – too busy getting on with life…………

May 23, 2011 1:59 pm

Any of those mines owned by Francisco d’Anconia?