Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach.
In an effort to make some sense out of my posts and to enable me to refer to them and remember where they are located and what they are about, I put together a list by category, along with a short description of each one.
Figure 1. I try to remember which of my posts contains the missing link … Photo Source
Looking at my list, I realized that other people might find it useful as well. So without further ado, here it is.
AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL
It’s Not About Me :: How I got into this mess.
In Which I Finally Understand the Fair-Weather Gale :: How I got into trouble at sea and escaped to tell of it.
In Which I Talk to the Thunderstorms :: How thunderstorms work in the South Pacific.
BLACK BOX MODEL ANALYSIS
Model Charged with Excessive Use of Forcing :: My first attempt to treat the GISSE climate model as a black box.
Zero Point Three times the Forcing :: My second attempt at treating the GISSE models as a black box, where a commenter shows the way.
Life is Like a Black Box of Chocolates :: My second success at the black box analysis of a climate model, the CCSM3 model.
CARTOONS
Interview With The Prophet :: WARNING – Contains cartoons of the Prophet Mohammed. By clicking this link you agree not to be offended by cartoons. If images of the Prophet offend you, do not click the link. Done in 2006, in solidarity with the Danish cartoonists. (PDF 380K)
Livetooning the ICCC :: My cartoons of the International Climate Change Conference, 2010, day 1
Livetooning the ICCC, Day 2 :: My cartoons of the International Climate Change Conference, 2010, day 2
CLIMATE MATH
Data Smoothing and Spurious Correlation :: Examples of how the smoothing of data can create false correlations between datasets.
Another Look at Climate Sensitivity :: A calculation of “climate sensitivity” from basic principles.
GISScapades :: Examples of why good correlation between datasets does not mean they have similar trends.
Some of the Missing Energy :: Shows how energy can both enter and leave the earth’s system without changing the temperature.
Where Did I Put That Energy? :: My first attempt to understand the equations used by the AGW scientists.
The Cold Equations :: The improper mathematics used by AGW scientists, and exactly where it is wrong.
Not Whether, but How to Do The Math :: The new Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project.
CLIMATE POLICY
Climate, Caution, and Precaution :: The manifold issues with the “Precautionary Principle”.
The Empire Strikes Out :: The UK gives in to the climate alarmists
It Was The Worst of The Times :: Motive in the DeChristopher case.
Expect the BEST, plan for the worst :: Problems with Dr. Muller of BEST and his testimony before Congress.
Second BEST :: More issues with Dr. Muller’s testimony to Congress.
Between Wind and Water :: How windmills and hydroelectricity impact the California energy market.
CLIMATE STATIONS
When Results Go Bad … :: Inconsistencies in the IPCC reports and the Norwegian Climate Service
The Smoking Gun At Darwin Zero :: Examination of the Darwin, Australia temperature record.
Darwin Zero Before and After :: Examination of the Darwin, Australia temperature record, part II.
Fudged Fevers in the Frozen North :: Anchorage and Matanuska Alaska temperature records.
Himalayan Hijinks :: The temperature record in Mukteshwar Ku, in the Himalayas.
Where the !@#$% is Svalbard? :: The temperature record of Svalberg, in the Norwegian Arctic.
Before One Has Data :: Problems with the Laverton Australia temperature record.
More Gunsmoke, This Time In Nepal :: Investigation of adjustments to the Katmandu, Nepal temperature record.
Is Armagh Burning? :: A look at the Armagh, Ireland station record.
CLIMATEGATE
Measuring Precipitation on Willis’ Boots :: My first report of my Freedom of Information request to the Climategate folks.
The people -vs- the CRU: Freedom of information, my okole… :: Account of my experiences with the Climategate folks.
Editorializing about the Editorial :: Discussion of climategate and the Science Magazine editorial on same.
CO2 LEVELS
Under the Volcano, Over the Volcano :: On the Mauna Loa CO2 record.
Some people claim, that there’s a human to blame … :: On the human contribution to current CO2 levels.
CONSTRUCTAL LAW
The Constructal Law of Flow Systems :: The hugely-important Constructal Law is discussed.
Constructal GDP :: I enquire into the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and its relationship to the Constructal Law.
CRYOSPHERE
Skating on the Other Side of the Ice :: On the lack of change in global sea ice area in thirty years.
On Being the Wrong Size :: About the proper understanding of the size of a phenomenon.
Where’s the ice for my drink? :: Sea ice and the claim of “constant retreat”.
You cursed brat! Look what you’ve done! I’m melting! Melting! :: Problems with the calculation methods for sea ice.
The Ice Who Came In From The Cold :: Changes in the amplitude of sea ice variations.
Antarctic Agreements and Disagreements :: Temperature trends on the West Antarctic Peninsula.
ECONOMICS
Firing Up The Economy, Literally :: On how energy is not a measure of development, it is development.
A Pox on Both Their Houses :: Taxes and the horrendous budget deficit.
EXTINCTION
Where Are The Corpses? :: Discussion of modern historical extinction rates.
Common Sense Added to Endangered Species List :: More madness about extinctions.
GEOENGINEERING
Every Silver Lining Has A Cloud :: An impractical geoengineering scheme.
GREENHOUSE THEORY
The Steel Greenhouse :: Explains the greenhouse effect.
People Living in Glass Planets :: Another shot at explaining the greenhouse effect.
HOMEOSTATIC THEORY
The Thermostat Hypothesis :: Proposal that thunderstorms and clouds regulate the tropical temperature.
The Unbearable Complexity of Climate :: Shows why “simple physics” doesn’t apply to complex systems.
Nature hates straight lines :: On the non-linearity of natural phenomena.
The Details Are In The Devil :: A thought experiment that shows why a homeostatic system can’t be analyzed using methods designed for ungoverned systems.
Further Evidence for my Thunderstorm Thermostat Hypothesis :: Subject says it all
IPCC ERRORS
Out in the Ama-zone :: The unsubstantiated claims made by the IPCC regarding the Amazon.
A Strange Problem with the IPCC Numbers :: The IPCC estimates of the forcings and climate sensitivity leads to unrealistic results.
More Oddities with the IPCC Numbers :: The heat content of the ocean is proposed as a reason for the difference.
I Have A Stake In The Outcome :: In which I suggest that the IPCC has outlived its lack of usefulness.
LOSS OF THE PUBLIC’S TRUST IN CLIMATE SCIENCE
Judith, I love ya, but you’re way wrong … :: A response to Judith Curry’s essay on the loss of trust in climate scientists.
Willis makes the NYT, Gavin to stop ‘persuading the public’ :: An article in the New York Times mentions my discussion with Judith Curry.
Trust and Mistrust :: Why the public doesn’t trust climate scientists.
My Thanks and Comments for Dr. Walt Meier :: A response to a post by Dr. Walt Meier on the loss of trust in climate science.
MALTHUSIAN MISCONCEPTIONS
I Am So Tired of Malthus :: The truth about how we are managing to feed the planet.
Animal, Vegetable, or E. O. Wilson :: Why vegetarianism won’t let us feed more people.
Vegans are not from Vegas :: Further discussions on vegetarianism.
Which Group Is Smarter? :: Climate scientists think farmers are foolish.
Farmers versus Famine :: We’re winning, but people keep claiming we’re losing.
The Long View of Feeding the Planet :: Population and food
MISCELLANEOUS
A Modest Proposal for Nuclear Waste Disposal :: How to get rid of the nuclear waste.
The Magic Cookpot :: My idea for a fuel efficient wood stove.
SODIS Roolz :: A cheap way to sterilize water in the third world
MITIGATION MADNESS
Why Copenhagen Will Achieve Nothing :: Compares the emissions of the developed and developing nations.
Carbon Emissionaries :: Comparison of US and EU fuel use and emissions
Dammed if you do, dammed if you don’t :: How money from Europe, where dams are banned, goes to build dams in China.
How Much Would You Buy? :: Putting a price per degree on the cost of controlling temperature through carbon regulation.
Why a “Revenue Neutral” Energy Tax Isn’t :: The hidden costs of revenue neutral taxes.
MODEL PROBLEMS
CMIP Control Runs :: Issues with the Computer Model Intercomparison Project model runs.
Testing … testing … is this model powered up? :: Are the models “lifelike”? Most of them are not.
Knobs :: Problems with climate model representations of net cloud forcing.
Which way to the feedback? :: Feedback processes in the Eastern Tropical Pacific.
Top Secret NOFORN Restricted Access Climate Model Results :: Problems with getting the CCSM3 model data.
First Light on the Ozone Hockeystick :: Ozone forcings used by the CCSM3 to hindcast 20th century temperatures, and their problems.
NULL HYPOTHESIS — IT’S NATURAL VARIATIONS
Congenital Climate Abnormalities :: Discusses the lack of any weather or climate which is historically unusual or anomalous.
Unequivocal Equivocation – an open letter to Dr. Trenberth :: Dr. Trenberth attempts to reverse the null hypothesis, but can’t pull it off.
OCEAN LIFE
The Electric Oceanic Acid Test :: Discussing the claims of the “acidification” of the ocean by CO2.
Walking the Plank-ton :: In which I claim, based on no evidence, that a scientific paper on phytoplankton levels is deeply flawed.
Plankton Cause Hurricanes! Urgent Action Required! :: Discussing the effect of plankton on hurricanes.
The Ocean Wins Again :: My previous claims that the phytoplankton study was flawed are upheld by mainstream scientists.
OPEN LETTERS
An Open Letter to Dr. Michael Mann :: Dr. Mann trys to claim that he is innocent and pure as the driven snow. I disagree.
Michael Mann and Donald Kennedy :: How the “investigation” into Dr. Mann’s malfeasance only interviewed his friends.
Exonerated? Not. :: Further inquiry into the “investigation” that Mann says exonerates him.
An Open Letter to Dr. Subra Suresh :: A request to the new head of the National Science Foundation that they act … scientific.
Peer Review, Pal Review, and Broccoli :: Problems with the peer review system as practiced in climate science.
An Open Letter to Bruce Alberts of Science Magazine :: Comments on Science Magazine’s decision to enforce their own policies.
Not Evil, Just Destructive :: Joe Romm, always unpleasant
Not Evil, Just Romm :: Romm part two
An Open Letter to Google :: Google ventures into the climate game. I protest.
PEER-REVIEWED JOURNAL ARTICLES
Climate Change in Lake Tanganyika :: Published in Nature (PDF). I dispute the findings that climate change has altered the biome of Lake Tanganyika
Are Recent Temperatures in Svalbard Extreme? :: Published in Energy & Environment (PDF). I show that claims of highly unusual temperatures in Svalbard, Norway, were greatly exaggerated.
The Thunderstorm Thermostat Hypothesis :: Published in Energy & Environment (PDF). I advance the hypothesis that homeostatic mechanisms regulate the earth’s temperature, and propose tropical thunderstorms as one of the main mechanisms.
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
Conservamentalism :: My views on natural resources, and their use, abuse, and management.
Ecological Footprints – a good idea gone bad :: Some of the many problems with the ideas behind the “ecological footprint”.
Dr. Ravetz Posts, Normally :: Post-normal “science”, the antiscientific philosophy of Dr. Jerome Ravetz.
PINATUBO
Overshoot and Undershoot :: A look at a climate model’s attempt to model the Pinatubo volcanic eruption.
Prediction is hard, especially of the future. :: How the GISSE model forecast for Pinatubo was wildly off, but is claimed as a success anyhow.
POLLING
Upcoming Anonymous Poll on Anonymity :: The initial idea for a poll on anonymity.
The Pseudonymous Poll Trailer :: More ideas for an upcoming poll on pseudonymity.
PRECIPITATION
Come Rain or Come Shine :: Analysis of the US state-by-state precipitation records
PROXIES
Underground Problems with Mann-Holes :: Problems with the use of boreholes in the earth as temperature proxies.
Willis on Hegerl :: Review of a paleoclimate reconstruction.
When Good Proxies Go Bad :: Analysis of the proxies in the Mann 2008 paper on temperatures of the previous millennium.
Can’t See the Signal For the Trees :: Cluster and similarity analysis of the Mann
In Which I Go Spelunking … :: Cave records as evidence of climate.
PUBLICITY
Willis publishes his thermostat hypothesis paper :: My paper on the Thunderstorm Thermostat hypothesis is peer reviewed and published.
RECORD HANDLING
More on the National Geographic Decline :: Examination of a temperature record from the 1970s National Geographic magazine.
REGIONAL TEMPERATURES
An Englishman’s Castle: Forensic Climatology and the Central England Temperature (CET) record – UPDATED :: An examination of the changes in the CET temperature record.
Lies, Damned Lies, Statistics … and Graphs :: How month-by-month graphs can show the true amount of climate changes.
Where’s the Climate Beef? :: Analysis of the US state-by-state temperature records
Of Hawks and Handsaws :: Month-by-month temperatures from the NORDKLIM Scandinavian dataset.
Climate Actually Changes! Film at 11:00! :: The EPA estimates of regional heat waves.
REVIEWS OF DUBIOUS SCIENCE
PDI: Elsner :: Historical measurements of hurricane effectiveness
Tanganyika Revisited :: A discussion of the claimed changes in Lake Tanganyika.
Anthropogenic Decline in Natural Gas :: On the claim that human extinction of megafauna caused a decline in animal flatulence.
Waxman Malarkey 2: Impact Zone Australia :: Claims from the Waxman-Markey web site
Waxman-Malarkey: Impact Zone US Northeast :: Claims from the Waxman-Markey web site
Waxman Malarkey 3: Impact Zone Alaska :: Claims from the Waxman-Markey web site
Waxman Malarkey 4: Impact Zone Ireland :: Claims from the Waxman-Markey web site
Border Transgressions :: Claims about Mexico and climate change are shown to be unfounded.
Of Rice and Men :: Problems with an analysis claiming global warming affecting rice yields.
Dr. Curry Warms the Southern Ocean :: Looking at the data regarding temperatures in the Southern Ocean
Eight tenths of a degree? Think of the Grandchildren! :: The absurdity of the climate threat.
Save the Sunburnt Whales :: Claims of global warming causing whale sunburn are discussed, none to gently.
Nature Unleashes a Flood … of Bad Science. :: Models and more models make scary predictions of floods, part one.
Nature Magazine’s Folie a Deux, Part Deux :: Models and more models make scary predictions of floods, part two.
News The Media Missed :: Why climate models are inadequate for analyzing the Arctic—no data.
Models All The Way Down :: Another study where there is no data at the base of a stack of models.
Mental Sloth and Joshua Trees :: A claim that the extinction of the ground sloths affected the climate.
The Nuclear Winter of our Discontent :: Claims that nuclear tests disrupted the climate are discussed and discounted.
Kilwa Kisiwani Gereza :: Bogus claims about the slow erosion of a historical building
Reality Leaves A Lot To The Imagination :: NASA says the climate data isn’t up to the task of testing the models.
Kill It With Fire :: Michael Mann once again tries to resuscitate his Hockeystick.
Gotta Admire The Chutzpah :: No, the western snow pack isn’t melting, no matter how many people say so.
SEA LEVEL
Sea Level Rise not the cause of Erosion in Tuvalu :: Published in Energy & Environment (PDF). I show that the rising sea level will not affect coral atolls, and provide evidence for the human alteration of the Tuvalu reefs.
An Analysis of the TOPEX Sea Level Record :: Satellite-measured sea level data
Floating Islands :: Shows why tropical coral atolls “float” upwards as the sea level rises.
The Irony, It Burns … :: Confirmation of my 2004 paper in Energy and Environment on rising sea levels and coral atolls.
Putting the Brakes on Acceleration :: Sea level is decelerating, not accelerating as has been repeatedly warned.
TROPICAL TROPOSPHERIC AMPLIFICATION
Willis on Santer et al 2006 :: Analysis of the Santer 2006 paper on tropical tropospheric amplification.
Tropical Tropospheric Amplification – an invitation to review this new paper :: New method used to examine the tropical tropospheric amplification.
MY CV
Available here.
My best to everyone,
w.
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Brian H says:
May 16, 2011 at 12:04 am
Brian H says:
May 16, 2011 at 12:08 am
Brian, it was a play on words. The original phrase, of course, is “outlived its usefulness”. This describes something which used to be useful but is no longer useful. Think of an old horse put out to pasture (or taken to the knacker’s yard), because it has outlived its usefulness.
However, the problem with using that phrase regarding the IPCC arises because the IPCC has never been useful … so how do you describe that?
I opted for saying “The IPCC has outlived its lack of usefulness” …
w.
Willis;
Yeah, I sorta figgered you were trying something like that. The problem is that the actual parsed meaning is so offensive and alarming …
Maxwell Dworkin says:
May 15, 2011 at 2:47 pm
“DYI peer review”? I assume that’s a typo for DIY (Do It Yourself) peer review. I further assume that’s the kind of review the Climategate emails showed AGW scientists engaging in, where they pick the reviewers that will “say the right thing” …
However, if you mean the peer review at Energy and Environment, I can’t speak for others. But in my experience (2 peer reviewed papers with E&E) I found the E&E peer review to be in one case a bit more lax, and in the other a bit more stringent, than that of Nature.
What was your personal experience with the peer review of the two magazines, Nature and E&E, and were your pieces published? Which magazine’s reviewers did you find more stringent?
Finally, for me in part it’s a question of impact. I find that I can have more impact here than publishing in the journals (although to be fair, I do have a paper in the final stages of peer review at another journal as we speak). My work here is read by the climate scientists on both sides of the divide. Finally, writing here gives me the advantage of topicality and timeliness. Given the fast pace of the scientific world, and the speed at which bogus information spreads, it’s important to get the word out quickly and widely.
In that regard, I took a look at the blog statistics the other day. In the last year, my work has received over three quarters of a million page views … would my ideas have that much weight if published in the Journal of Climate?
As to whether my peer-reviewed articles reflect my “entire scientific life’s work”, I fear that’s just sour grapes on your part. While some of the above are opinion pieces, much of the list above is scientific work of mine, and has gotten reviewed (and improved, and my mistakes pointed out) by the unblinking Argus-eyed Intarwebs.
Scientific work is simply work done following the scientific method, public and transparent and replicable. My scientific work will live or die depending on whether it is true and valid, not on whether it was published in some journal that you happen to approve of, or published in a journal at all.
w.
Dang, 53 responses and no comments on the “Interview with the Prophet”? It is a serious discussion of the issues of art, religion, censorship, and violence. I consider the “Interview with the Prophet” to be one of my top five all time artistic philosophical creations … but then I’ve been wrong before, too …
w.
Would you please write a diary on “900+ Peer-Reviewed Papers Supporting Skepticism Of “Man-Made” Global Warming (AGW) Alarm”, at
http://www.thegwpf.org/science-news/2816-900-peer-reviewed-papers-supporting-skepticism-of-qman-madeq-global-warming-agw-alarm.html
Commentary on this paper is here:
http://www.carbonbrief.org/blog/2011/04/900-papers-supporting-climate-scepticism-exxon-links
From Willis Eschenbach on May 16, 2011 at 11:08 am:
Well at 4MB that’s a long download on dial-up.
Alright, I did it. I liked it. It was worth it. (Anything beyond that I won’t say, as that particular subject and related tends to bring out impassioned views of commenters, including me, leading to comments getting closed rather quickly. That may explain some of the reluctance among the regular commenters to mention it.)
There were only 13 pages? By the note at the bottom of the last one, “Ceasefire Negotiations,” shouldn’t there be at least one more?
kadaka, thanks for taking the time, especially on a dialup. There’s 13 pages. I did a cover page, plus 12 cartoons in honor of the 12 Danish cartoonists whose lives were (and continue to be) threatened by extremists.
As with many artists, I’m the last person to judge my own work … but I think it’s good. Glad to hear someone agrees.
All the best,
w.
Willis, I see a coffee table book filled with such interviews of the most notorious Muslim prophets. From the good ones to the really stinky ones.
Regarding your interview with Mohammed. He ranks right up there with some of our greatest Christian versions, but Allah he ain’t. I would hazard a guess that Allah might have some snarky comments about Mohammed.
Bottom line, I would buy your hamper headed book in a New York minute. Of course you do know, such a book would bump you up on the “list”.
Before reading these Comments, I was perusing your list (which items, I agree, ought to be dated, and a chronological list appended to complement the topical one), and went back to “The Prophet.” I had seen it before, but it was fun to revisit. Given the hazards of offending the “Muslim Street” [snip- inflammatory], I was impressed with your bravery then, and still am. But how could even an Islamist fail to laugh at the realization that
Good stuff. Thanks for the reminder.
/Mr Lynn
Sounds like you’re succumbing to the very fears that Willis was combatting.
Would “the ‘Muslim Street’ and [snip – inflammatory. – w.]” have been better?
/Mr Lynn
Mr. Lynn, I snipped it myself. And no, the second version wouldn’t have been better.
Calling people ugly names doesn’t help. I learned long ago that if you have problems with someone’s actions, you should focus on whatever the action is you don’t like. That might go somewhere.
Calling the person nasty names for engaging in the action, on the other hand, tends to just make folks angry. They tend to think that you are angry with them rather than with their actions. And that goes nowhere.
w.
Willis, in general I would agree: name-calling just stimulates a war of invective.
However, some actions, like sawing off the heads of victims, and sending women and children into public squares to blow themselves up, are so reprehensible that the perpetrators deserve every ugly name we can give them, and more. You’re never going to get them to change “the action [that] you don’t like” by wagging your finger and saying, “There, there.”
/Mr Lynn
metamars,
That nonsense is debunked here,
Are Skeptical Scientists funded by ExxonMobil?
http://www.populartechnology.net/2011/05/are-skeptical-scientists-funded-by.html
Mr Lynn says:
May 18, 2011 at 6:33 am
I agree with your last statement, which is why I don’t wag my finger etc at the Islamofascists. Instead I bring out the big guns. I get people to laugh at them. People can withstand hatred and name-calling. Indeed, sometimes it makes them firmer in their ways.
But few people can withstand being laughed at. Which is why cartoons and cartoonists are so important to freedom of speech.
w.