Below is a slide presentation given by David Archibald in Melbourne on February 5th. He’s asked me to repeat it here for the benefit of all. I’m happy to do so. He covers climate issues, oil and coal, plus Thorium reactors in this presentation of 110 slides.
He also touches on his upcoming book, which we’ll have more on later. In the meantime, his current book is still available here
Slides below, be patient while they load. There is a wealth of information here. A PDF is also available. – Anthony
Archibald NCC 5th February 2010 (PDF file 6.2 MB)
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great slides! and continuing on that theme TonyfromOz has a very timely post at http://papundits.wordpress.com/2011/02/12/shh-misconceptions-about-placing-a-price-on-carbon-dioxide-you-wont-hear-about/
(quoting the opening paras)
Here in Australia, the Labor Government under Prime Minister Julia Gillard is seeking to impose a ‘Price on Carbon’.
Some of you may think that this is exclusively an Australian problem, but the same applies everywhere something of this nature is going through the processes of implementation.
There are many misconceptions about placing a price on Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions, and what I hope to do here is to explain some of those things, because the bland term ‘A Price On Carbon’ is easy to understand, while what it actually means is almost impossible to try and explain.
The single most difficult thing to even attempt to explain is just how much money something like this will raise for Governments who introduce it, and that is what is most definitely not being explained to people, because if it was, then people would see it for exactly what it is, nothing more than a new revenue raising tax, and a whopping great huge tax at that.
(end of quote)
check out the post; it’s all about the money
Global sea ice – no change over thirty years?
Look at the red line on the graph – it goes down. And the decline is statistically significant – see
http://tamino.wordpress.com/2011/01/14/monckton-skewers-truth/
Excellent summary! And such readily digestible slides. If only Archibald could or would do an Al Gore style tour or movie.
Very nice presentation. Act now and we can mitigate the effects of peak oil. It won’t be the world we knew, but better than collapse.
Thank you for this fabulous post.
Should it be dated Feb 5th 2011?
Much of the data contained therein is post Feb 5th 2010.
It seems to me that the US President’s “Sputnik Moment” needs to be linked directly to the thorium reactor challenge and opportunity.
These were good slides. My quibble is the oil decline is too dramatic. Roll the clock back 20 years and you’d see the same draconian decline. Six years ago LNG was seen as a growing industry, yet today the shale gas improvements are making LNG investments look like white elephants. 50 to 100 TCF of gas has been stranded above the N. Am Arctic circle for 40 years and will be stranded at least another 20, thanks to shale gas.
The supply line slide is excellent and the public must be made aware of how finely tuned the energy delivery process is. The Golden Goose can be killed so easily through neglect and poor policy.
i want that book. pls do be sure to give review/link.
Can someone elaborate on the empty cities in China as an indication of war(?).
My quibble is the oil decline is too dramatic
It was entirely in line with what I have read. Peak oil is real, and upon us now.
I have a copy of an article titled “The Fuel Situation” from Scientific American in October 1956 that predicts “peak oil” (within a few years from 1956) and predicts that the world will run out of oil by the 1970s. I didn’t believe it then and am skeptical now, but I agree with techniques such as Thorium and Fischer-Tropsh as real alternatives. Wind and corn and grass are all tooth fairy approaches.
Peak oil here? Tu quoque?
Awww 😉
I always appreciate graphs. Thanks for this.
The United States has a lot of oil and coal in the ground. Let’s get it out of the ground and use it.
No one can accuse David of not doing his homework.
1000ppm CO2 minimum, is about where I would put it also, but only as a minimum.
This came out too late for David to include it, today actually.
Shale gas is going to be the deal breaker.
Global Panic as Green Sector Collapses and Investors Face Ruin
Governments, investors and even the World Bank are rushing for the exits in the Great Escape from the green energy bubble.
Solar energy appears to be the worst affected sector so far. Dow Jones reports on a startling U-turn by Britain’s ultra-green government has caught investors off guard and shock waves across the markets will likely precipitate the further rush from green energy projects to shale gas.
The UK’s Department of Energy and Climate Change made the shock announcement as it revealed a comprehensive review of its Feed-in Tariff (FIT) program. Indications from data provider, Prequin are that over $1bn in earmarked funds may be lost as Britain now promises it will only hold tariffs until April 2012.
http://johnosullivan.livejournal.com/30603.html
paulc
Freeman Dyson, Tommy Gold, and others hypothesize that petroleum is not a ‘fossil’ fuel but is generated through natural processes deep in the mantle of the earth. You can see Freeman Dyson talk about in this video starting at 0:57
The only thing I would change is the Probabilities of a Quiet Period.
Similar to a Maunder is now possible, and a non-event is not going to happen.
No two Grand Minimums are the same, and it’s the falling edge of the overall cycle progression that holds out the worst for agriculture. The Sun is still not ramping.
jrwakefield says:
February 12, 2011 at 2:44 pm
Peak oil is real, and upon us now.
So we’ve been told for 60 years. I imagine 60 years from now we will be getting told the same. That is, if we haven’t found a better alternative before then.
The link below is a private company that makes portable nuclear power plants that can be transported on a semi-truck. It produces about 25mw, sits underground is about the size of a garage, runs 15 to 20 years, is factory sealed, impossible to meltdown (they tried). Start it up, continuous power for 20 years, whatswrongwiththat!
http://www.hyperionpowergeneration.com/product.html
jrwakefield,
From the link I get clicking on your name, I suspect you may be just a little bit biased.
The world is far from running out of oil. It’s true that the low hanging fruit has been picked, but if oil hits $300 a barrel we’ll have plenty.
A minor quibble: They are properly called the Canadian oil sands. The term “tar sands” is used by radical environmentalists to imply something dirty and infinity thick and sticky, and therefore evil. But tar is a processed material, and the oil sands are composed of bitumen.
I have been invited to speak as one of three panelists on Peak Oil in April 2, 2011 at Tulane Law School in New Orleans, Lousisiana. My presentation will show why Peak Oil is a myth and will not happen. The other two panelists will take the opposing view.
Every Peak Oil alarmist discussion discounts or dismisses these two critical elements: 1) technology advances in petroleum production, and 2) political in-accessibility to known oil deposits world-wide.
History has shown time and again that oil scarcity predictions have been false. The reason for a false prediction is a model that is wrong. This has parallels in the climate change / global warming context, and in many other well-known false predictions.
Roger E. Sowell, Esq.
Brilliant post
I will say this, David is closer to the truth than most on t’interweb.
But, having spoken at length with two of the industry’s busiest, most repected assayers….
The subject is entirely political. Oil is not even close to peak. We cap nearly every find. We only look where it is “acceptible” to look.
“We only ever find oil where we look for it.”
Will David give us permission to use these slides, with credit?
No, not for my taste.