Satellites Image the Urban Heat Islands in the Northeast

Gee where have we seen something like this before? Dads/Moms and Grandparents: if you’d like your children/grandchildren to be able to do something on UHI for the spring science fair, here’s an easy to do idea. – Anthony

From Science @ NASA.gov – Satellites Pinpoint Drivers of Urban Heat Islands in the Northeast

Providence, R.I. Providence, RI, in natural color, infrared, vegetation and developed land

Cities such as New York, Philadelphia, and Boston are prominent centers of political power. Less known: Their size, background ecology, and development patterns also combine to make them unusually warm, according to NASA scientists who presented new research recently at an American Geophysical Union (AGU) meeting in San Francisco, Calif.

Summer land surface temperature of cities in the Northeast were an average of 7 °C to 9 °C (13°F to 16 °F) warmer than surrounding rural areas over a three year period, the new research shows. The complex phenomenon that drives up temperatures is called the urban heat island effect.

Heat islands are not a newly-discovered phenomenon. Indeed, using simple mercury thermometers, weather watchers have noticed for some two centuries that cities tend to be warmer than surrounding rural areas.

Likewise, researchers have long noticed that the magnitude of heat islands can vary significantly between cities. However, accurate comparisons have long eluded scientists because ground-based air temperature sensors tend to be unevenly distributed and prone to local bias. The lack of quantifiable definitions for urban versus non-urban areas has also hindered comparisons.

Satellite technology, which offers a more uniform view of heat islands, is in the process of changing this. The group of researchers from NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., presented results based on a new method for comparing heat islands at the AGU meeting.

Providence, R.I. Providence, RI, in natural color, infrared, vegetation and developed land

Visible Light Surface Heat Developed Land Vegetation Cover
› Larger image › Larger image › Larger image › Larger image

Buffalo, N.Y. Buffalo, NY, in natural color, infrared, vegetation and developed land

Visible Light Surface Heat Developed Land Vegetation Cover
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Satellite-produced maps of Providence and Buffalo highlight the role that differences in development patterns and vegetation cover can have on the magnitude of a city’s urban heat island. Though the two cities have the same approximate size, Providence has a significantly stronger heat island. Credit: NASA/Earth Observatory

› Larger images of Providence

› Larger images of Buffalo

“This, at least to our knowledge, is the first time that anybody has systematically compared the heat islands of a large number of cities at continental and global scales,” said Ping Zhang, a scientist at Goddard and the lead author of the research.

urban heat island graphic

Land surface temperatures in cities, particularly densely-developed cities, tend to be elevated in comparison to surrounding areas — a phenomenon called an urban heat island. Credit: NASA

› Larger image

mortality and temperature graph from 2003 Paris heatwave

Heat islands can be deadly. This graph shows how the number of deaths spiked in Paris during a sweltering heat wave in 2003. Credit: University of Hawaii at Manoa/Benedicte Dousset

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heat island graph estimating the impact of air conditioning

Air conditioning systems release waste heat into the atmosphere such that their widespread use can inadvertently elevate city air temperatures. This graph shows the result of a model that calculated the likely magnitude of the effect during the 2003 heat wave in Paris. Credit: Météo France/Cécile de Munck

› Larger image

day vs. night effects of the heat island

Surface temperatures vary more than air temperatures during the day, but they both are fairly similar at night. Credit: EPA

› Larger image Development produces heat islands by replacing vegetation, particularly forests, with pavement and other urban infrastructure. This limits plant transpiration, an evaporative process that helps cool plant leaves and also cools air temperatures, explained Robert Wolfe of Goddard, one of the scientists who developed the method.

Dark city infrastructure, such as black roofs, also makes urban areas more apt to absorb and retain heat. Heat generated by motor vehicles, factories, and homes also contributes to the development of urban heat islands.

A New View

The new method for comparing cities, which the team of scientists has honed for about two years, involves the use of maps of impervious surface area produced by a United States Geological Survey-operated Landsat satellite, and land surface temperature data from the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), an instrument aboard NASA’s Aqua and Terra satellites.

Impervious surfaces are surfaces that don’t absorb water easily, such as roads, roofs, parking lots, and sidewalks. Land surface temperatures tend to be higher and more variable than air temperatures, but the two generally vary in sync with each other.

By analyzing data from thousands of settlements around the world, the Goddard team has pinpointed key characteristics of cities that drive the development of heat islands. The largest cities, their analysis shows, usually have the strongest heat islands. Cities located in forested regions, such as the northeastern United States, also have stronger heat islands than cities situated in grassy or desert environments.

Most recently, the Goddard group has shown that a city’s development patterns — whether a city is sprawling or compact — can also affect the strength of its heat island.

By comparing 42 cities in the Northeast, they found that densely-developed cities with compact urban cores are more apt to produce strong urban heat islands than more sprawling, less intensely-developed cities.

The compact city of Providence, R.I., for example, has surface temperatures that are about 12.2 °C (21.9 °F) warmer than the surrounding countryside, while similarly-sized but spread-out Buffalo, N.Y., produces a heat island of only about 7.2 °C (12.9 °F), according to satellite data. Since the background ecosystems and sizes of both cities are about the same, Zhang’s analysis suggests development patterns are the critical difference.

She found that land cover maps show that about 83 percent of Providence is very or moderately densely-developed. Buffalo, in contrast, has dense development patterns across just 46 percent of the city. Providence also has dense forested areas ringing the city, while Buffalo has a higher percentage of farmland. “This exacerbates the effect around Providence because forests tend to cool areas more than crops do,” explained Wolfe.

Cities in desert regions, such as Las Vegas, in contrast, often have weak heat islands or are actually cooler than the surrounding rural area. Providence, R.I.; Washington, D.C.; Philadelphia, Pa.; Baltimore, Md.; Boston, Ma.; and Pittsburgh, Pa.; had some of the strongest heat islands of the 42 northeastern cities analyzed.

“The urban heat island is a relative measure comparing the temperature of the urban core to the surrounding area,” said Marc Imhoff, the leader of the Goddard research group. “As a result, the condition of the rural land around the city matters a great deal.”

Heat Island Impacts

Ratcheting up temperatures can have significant — and deadly — consequences for cities. Heat islands not only cause air conditioner and electricity usage to surge, but they also increase the mortality of elderly people and those with pre-existing respiratory and cardiovascular illness.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency estimates that, between 1979 and 2003, heat exposure has caused more than the number of mortalities resulting from hurricanes, lightning, tornadoes, floods, and earthquakes combined.

“It is the lack of cooling at nighttime, rather than high daytime temperatures, that poses a health risk,” said Benedicte Dousset, a scientist from the University of Hawaii who also presented data about heat islands at the AGU meeting.

Dousset recently analyzed surface temperature images of Paris and showed the spatial distribution of heat-related deaths during a sweltering heat wave in 2003. Some 4,800 premature deaths occurred in Paris during the event, and excess mortality across Europe is thought to be about 70,000.

The risk of death was highest at night in areas where land surface temperatures were highest, she found. Buildings and other infrastructure absorb sensible heat during the day and reradiate it throughout the night, but the cooling effect of evaporation is absent in cities. The lack of relief, particularly among the elderly population, can be deadly, she explained.

Ramped up air conditioning usage may have even exacerbated the problem, other data presented at the meeting suggests. Cecile de Munck, of the French Centre for Meteorological Research of Meteo-France, conducted a series of modeling experiments that show excess heat expelled onto the streets because of increased air conditioner usage during heat waves can elevate outside street temperatures significantly.

“The finding raises the question: what can we do to design our cities in ways that will blunt the worst effects of heat islands?” said de Munck, who notes also that her research shows that some types of air conditioning exacerbate heat islands more than others.

Making sure cities have trees and parks interspersed throughout the compact urban cores can also help defend against heat islands. And studies shows that painting the surfaces of roads and buildings white instead of black and creating “green” roofs that include vegetation can soften urban heat islands.

“There’s no one solution, and it’s going to be different for every city,” said Dousset. “Heat islands are complex phenomena.”

Related Links:

Beating the Heat in the World’s Big Cities

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/GreenRoof/

EPA Heat Island Resources

www.epa.gov/heatisld

Ecosystem, Vegetation Affect Intensity of Urban Heat Island Effect

www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/terra/news/heat-islands.html

Urban Heat Island: Baltimore

http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=36227

Scientific Visualization Studio: Related Materials

http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a010600/a010699/index.html

Briefing Materials: Slideshows

Lead Author Ping Zhang; Goddard Space Flight Center

› Download pdf

Benedicte Dousset, University of Hawaii

› Download pdf

Cecile de Munck; French Centre for Meteorological Research of Meteo-France

› Download pdf Adam Voiland

NASA’s Earth Science News Team

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JEM
December 14, 2010 10:21 am

I think we have a new cause.
Stop Urban Warming.
Roll The Bulldozers Now!

Paddy
December 14, 2010 10:27 am

As I recall the assumption/adjustment for UHI in most GCMs is +0.5C. If I am correct, why hasn’t Hansen been shackled and perp-walked into a paddy wagon for a journey to the slammer?

Wyguy
December 14, 2010 10:28 am

Wow! Detroit may be on to something, bulldozing buildings the make open land!
Who knew!

latitude
December 14, 2010 10:29 am

“However, accurate comparisons have long eluded scientists because ground-based air temperature sensors tend to be unevenly distributed and prone to local bias. The lack of quantifiable definitions for urban versus non-urban areas has also hindered comparisons.”
=====================================================
It’s only 1/2 a degree….
…..I thought they knew what they were doing
😉

David
December 14, 2010 10:33 am

Now, I thought that when us ‘skeptics’ have raised the issue of urban heat islands in the past as having a significant effect on perceived ‘warming’, we were told sniffily by the warmists that the effect was ‘negligible’.
Surely we’re not being shown to have been right all along…!

December 14, 2010 10:36 am

“…The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency estimates that, between 1979 and 2003, heat exposure has caused more than the number of mortalities resulting from hurricanes, lightning, tornadoes, floods, and earthquakes combined…”
And what about ice, snow storms and cold weather?

Dave F
December 14, 2010 10:36 am

7 to 9C warmer. Hmm, that might be enough to screw with an average…
What happened to using night lights?

LearDog
December 14, 2010 10:37 am

It is gratifying to finally see some explicit acknowledgment of this – the magnitude of which is frankly, larger than I expected.
Now – to just find out how GISS ‘corrects’ for their official data in these areas ….
Intra-Goddard politics ought to be interesting right about now …. I did note that there was no earth lights at night image to compare to the surface heat image.

keith at hastings uk
December 14, 2010 10:38 am

Well, we’ve known about this but quantification must be good. To know growth of UHI over time would very useful I suppose, given all those thermometers in Urban areas/airports, used to calculate Global warming. Sorry, estimate Gw, I mean guess, I mean show what we knew was true all along….

latitude
December 14, 2010 10:39 am

David says:
December 14, 2010 at 10:33 am
we were told sniffily by the warmists that the effect was ‘negligible’.
================================================
“”The compact city of Providence, R.I., for example, has surface temperatures that are about 12.2 °C (21.9 °F) warmer than the surrounding countryside””
========================================================
Are they really saying 20F warmer!
If they are, that is a whole lot more than even I thought.

Alan S. Blue
December 14, 2010 10:44 am

This is excellent.
Now we “just” need to locate the surface stations on those plots and compare “actual UHI” to the current “adjustments”.

Common Sense
December 14, 2010 10:50 am

Heck, who needs a thermometer? Just drive by a gold course with the windows open, then drive by a large shopping area.
People have known about this effect for hundreds of years. That’s why the aristocracy in Europe had summer houses in the country. In the Denver area, Molly Brown had a summer house in what was then the country (now it’s a suburb). They knew that being surrounded by grass and trees was cooler than being surrounded by buildings and concrete.

Gary
December 14, 2010 10:54 am

Heat in Providence and other coastal cities may be greater than the surrounding forested areas because of the ocean influence. Summertime afternoons are dominated by sea breezes that will cool the countryside while the city is still absorbing sunlight.

crosspatch
December 14, 2010 10:54 am

“Heat islands can be deadly.”
Which is one reason I actually support such things as cool roofs and cool pavements. In places where the dominant climate control cost is cooling, such activities (according to a study by UCLA) can cut urban temperatures by up to 2 degrees F. That 2 degrees amounts to a lot of energy that doesn’t have to be spent cooling things down that additional 2 degrees. It turns into savings for everyone in the area.
Also, things like “cool roof” technologies also help in even Northern winter areas. They provide greater insulation resulting in less heat loss and the white coating reflects heat back into the building rather than allowing the roof to act as an efficient radiator of energy into space (when it isn’t covered with snow).
We have the technology at hand to reduce UHI by a degree or two in most places. Winter UHI is mostly due to heat loss, the same technologies that reflect heat away in summer also reflect heat back in during winter again resulting in lower energy costs.
We might have a flake for the head of our Dept. of Energy but when he called for people to paint their roofs white, he was dead on the right track.. Doing that simple thing would save a large amount of energy in the US.

RHS
December 14, 2010 10:57 am

21.9 °F? Holy phun, that’s got to be statistically significant at any level. To bad it isn’t helping the East Coast right now. Ok, so that’s the extreme observation. Even an average of 13°F to 16 °F has got make Al Gore want new numbers. Wait, never mind, the only numbers we’ll see from him are from his weight…
Can’t wait to see the results after they re-run their predictive models with new and “correct” information…

Varco
December 14, 2010 10:58 am

Its interesting that the lack of vegetation seems to be so important. Is that why there is such a non-linear response to population? As I recall the urban heating effect kicks in pretty quickly as an area first moves from rural to lightly populated and then saturates quickly as population increases – at least this was the understanding before this paper? As developers move in the first thing they do is remove the vegetation, long before back-filling with concrete and people etc?

etudiant
December 14, 2010 11:02 am

Wow!!
These are just massive numbers, over 10 degrees C.
I’ve never ever seen an UHI estimate of the magnitude given here.
The usual estimate is 2 or 3 degrees, at least afaik.
It has been my understanding that the AGW proponents dismissal of UHI effects is based on the perception that the UHI impact is pretty stable, so that the larger scale trend in temperature will be the same, just with a different base. If however the UHI effect is as large and as variable as is reported in this study, that assumption is clearly in error and the debate about the impact of UHI on AGW is going into extra innings. A 10+degree C UHI effect will drown any 1 degree per century AGW signal.

Jim G
December 14, 2010 11:05 am

latitude says: December 14, 2010 at 10:39 amDavid says:
December 14, 2010 at 10:33 am
we were told sniffily by the warmists that the effect was ‘negligible’.
================================================
“”The compact city of Providence, R.I., for example, has surface temperatures that are about 12.2 °C (21.9 °F) warmer than the surrounding countryside””
========================================================
“Are they really saying 20F warmer!
If they are, that is a whole lot more than even I thought.”
Don’t know the territory back there well enough to evaluate but here in WY the temp can easily vary that much with as little as 1000ft change of elevation in the winter with the cold settling into the lower areas, particularly along waterways. And that is without any real heat islands to contaminate the situation. Hunting many mornings this year before dawn it would be 5 to 10 F at 5000ft and 10 to 15 below 0 F at 4000ft. The entire notion of monitoring ground level temperatures is very unscientific since there are many, many variables involved in measurement locations that are not well taken into account. Heat islands are just one of them. Obviously, one can get what one wants by location selection.

Harry Doyle
December 14, 2010 11:11 am

Another group of NASA scientists will have to removed from Hansen’s christmas card list.

December 14, 2010 11:16 am

Chiefio (E.M. Smith) had an interesting post on his blog re night lights as proxy for urban heat islands.
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2010/11/01/golden-juarez/

Katherine
December 14, 2010 11:20 am

So in order to reduce UHI, we should cut down the forests and convert them to farmland? /sarc
Re the deaths in the Paris heat, I seem to remember reading somewhere that a lot of that was because the older folk didn’t have air-conditioning and had no one to check up on them. I can’t believe they’re advocating shutting off air-conditioning when it’s one of the best advances in heat adaptation. Obviously, there’s no mention of cold mortality because that’s just not on message for CAGW.

Billy Ruff'n
December 14, 2010 11:20 am

Wonder why they didn’t also analyse the accuracy of night time pixel counts as the proxy for UHI in the cities they studied. But then, maybe they did and decided there was nothing to see there and moved on.
Also, it seems funny that there’s no warning that by 2050 UHI will combine with AGW to make the cities of the world uninhabitable in summer months.

mondo
December 14, 2010 11:21 am

Sorry to be pedantic, but we really should encourage precision in language here. It is vitally important to distinguish between observed UHI (as here) and what we might term Delta UHI – change in UHI over time – as population grows for example.
If there is no change to UHI over time (as might be the case in a city that has reached physical limits and is no longer growing) then UHI will in that case will NOT be making a contribution to observed warming, coz the temperature in that city will likely NOT be increasing. ie Delta UHI will be zero.
In contrast, where a city is growing rapidly, and formerly rural temperature stations are being overwhelmed by development, the Delta UHI will be substantial, and making a contribution to observed warming. Clearly that contribution should be excluded.
The performance of “The Team” in dealing with this issue (actually NOT dealing with it) is one of the main reasons that they have lost credibility.

Dave F
December 14, 2010 11:23 am

An interesting point. If the Global Mean Temperature can be hindcasted correctly by global climate models without accounting for interference by the Urban Heat Island effect, they are wrong.
If the GMT is skewed by UHI, then the GCMs are DOA, ok?
Another interesting tidbit here. Check out this quote:
“The compact city of Providence, R.I., for example, has surface temperatures that are about 12.2 °C (21.9 °F) warmer than the surrounding countryside, while similarly-sized but spread-out Buffalo, N.Y., produces a heat island of only about 7.2 °C (12.9 °F), according to satellite data.”
It’s only roughly an order of magnitude higher than the GISS anomaly. No biggie, right?

December 14, 2010 11:32 am

“ground-based air temperature sensors tend to be unevenly distributed and prone to local bias”
And why then do we trust the historic surface temperature record ????

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