RSS global temperature anomaly takes a dive

Dennis Nikols, P. Geol. says: “If natural systems tend to achieve or attempt to achieve equilibrium this El Niño to La Niña and then to neutral, maybe or maybe not will, I’m sure, provide example.”
There’s no evidence that every La Nina event counteracts the El Nino event that came before it. Let me change the topic from lower troposphere temperatures to sea surface temperatures.
Physically, a La Nina is not the opposite of an El Nino. An El Nino releases warm water from below the surface of West Pacific Warm Pool and spreads it across the surface of the eastern tropical Pacific. During the La Nina, leftover warm water is returned to the surface of the western Pacific, where it is transported poleward by western boundary currents to the Kuroshio Extension east of Japan and into the South Pacific Covergence Zone east of Australia, raising SST anomalies in the western Pacific. So the western Pacific can be warmed initially by the El Nino, like the rest of the global oceans though changes in atmospheric circulation, and then warmed by the La Nina.
Also, looking solely at the SST anomalies, the strengths and frequencies of El Nino events can exceed the strengths and frequencies of La Nina events over multidecdal periods, as they have since 1975, and as they had since the mid-1910s to the early 1940s. The same can hold true for La Nina events, which exceeded the frequency and magnitude of El Nino events from the early 1940s to the mid-1970s.

5/11/2010 sydney australia still have the heater on below avg temp all over nsw some snow fell on the alps queensland coldest temp since 1949 . my tomatoes have stopped growing ,rain and cloudy days for the past months it looks like a wet cold summer in australia …

That explains why tomatoes sold for $A 6.50 today at Coles.

RE: Roger Carr says:
November 5, 2010 at 2:55 am
Like, ah… get the grandchildren to communicate this information to me “on the other side”, Charles? (Even though I am not even vaguely worried.)
That is the safety net for the careers of CAGW promoters is it not? By the time it is unquestionably clear due to actual conditions decades from now their careers will have ended. They stand to loose nothing by promoting that which they promote today. Well that is sans, should they be successful in their quest, the fact their descendants might hold ill feelings for the social environment and economic waste they left in their wake.

RE: John Day says:
November 5, 2010 at 4:00 am
But, because of the eco-fascists, it’s clear that free nations can’t afford to wait until the coin finally lands (in a few decades).
I am afraid the cost past, present, and future of the CAGW / environmentalist movement involves far more than coins.
From Roy Spencer’s recent entry: (emphasis mine)

One of the reasons I am willing to stick my neck out and inform people of the uncertain nature of government-approved global warming science is because the basic economics behind any governmental (or environmental extremist) attempts to restrict personal choice in energy use will end up killing people.
In fact, it already has.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/11/01/spencer-on-global-warming-elitism-tomorrow%E2%80%99s-election-and-the-future/#more-27283

Speaking of the US election and the sun (as some commenters have)….
The monthly update of SC 24 was made on Tuesday, November 2 (election day).
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/SolarCycle/
It is a shame that the earlier predictions are not posted on the sunspot plot to show how close predictions were to actual data. They show the 2007 and adjusted 2009 predictions on other plots, using different time scales from the current data scale, so it is difficult to visually compare. Having said that, it appears to me that sunspot activity is climbing at a slower pace than all of those predictions.

Bob Tisdale says:
November 5, 2010 at 1:56 am
Also, looking solely at the SST anomalies, the strengths and frequencies of El Nino events can exceed the strengths and frequencies of La Nina events over multidecdal periods, as they have since 1975, and as they had since the mid-1910s to the early 1940s. The same can hold true for La Nina events, which exceeded the frequency and magnitude of El Nino events from the early 1940s to the mid-1970s.
One could summarise from this that during “warming phases” e.g. 1975-2007, el Ninos predominate over La Ninas, while the reverse is true during “cooling phases” e.g. 1940-1975.
La Nina features strong east Pacific cold water upwelling while in El Nino cycles this upwelling is greatly reduced. So one could further conclude that during “cooling phases” east Pacific cold upwelling is stronger and more regular while during “warming phases” the cold upwelling is interrupted and reduced.
This would make the cold upwelling appear to play a driving role in climate oscillation. However it has been pointed out by yourself and others that the upwelling during a La Nina is driven by trade winds. My question is, is it possible that there could be bi-directional causality between upwelling and trade winds during a La Nina – and conversely, between the non-upwelling and the doldrums of an el Nino? For instance – could the cold water upwelling in the east Pacific in a La Nina cool the air over the east Pacific – increasing its density – and in turn fuelling the trade winds that further drive the upwelling. This would represent a local and temporary positive feedback. Could the el Nino and La Nina both be reinforced by such local and limited-term positive feedbacks?
If so, then it would make the ENSO el Nino / La Nina cycle look more like a cycle driven “bottom-up” by ocean internal oscillations resulting in cyclical changes in upwelling strength and regularity, rather than a cycle driven “top-down” by meteorological atmospheric conditions?
(Or not?)

Factors that control climate are
1. Solar Activity
2. Volcanic Activity
3. SOI Oscillation
4.PDO and AMO Oscillations
5. AO,AAO,NAO atmospheric circulations to name a few, and polar vortex size and strength
How all the above PHASE together wiLl determine the future temperature. They seem to be phasing into a cold mode, if this continues temperatures will be going down. End of story.

“John Day says:
November 5, 2010 at 4:00 am
@Kington:
“That is the safety net for the careers of CAGW promoters is it not? By the time it is unquestionably clear due to actual conditions decades from now their careers will have ended. ”
Excellent point. With all the uncertainty in the data sources (RSS, GISS, UAH etc) it’s a lot like trying to predict heads or tails while the coin is still in the air.
But, because of the eco-fascists, it’s clear that free nations can’t afford to wait until the coin finally lands (in a few decades).”
By the time the coin lands, inflation caused by carbon schemes will cause the coin to have a different value approaching zero.

phlogiston: Surface temperatures lag ENSO.

Here’s the newly discovered GISS surface temperature processing algorithm:
/* Get global surface temperature trend */
trend = Get_Global_Surface_Temp_Trend(current_time);
/* Process data */
if (trend > 0.) {
printf(“Global temperature is increasing due to MAN-MADE GLOBAL WARMING!! And it’s all your fault, you uncaring, energy wasting tool of BIG OIL!!”\n);
} else {
printf(“Global temperature is decreasing – it’s just weather! This trend DOES NOT disprove our global climate simulations, which are obviously 100% accurate!!”;)
}