From the National Hurricane Center, word of the fourth tropical storm of the season forming. It’s a Cape Verde storm. Right now the wind forecast has it heading NW.
WTNT31 KNHC 222043
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062010
500 PM AST SUN AUG 22 2010
…DEPRESSION BECOMES FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON…
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…13.4N 35.1W
ABOUT 725 MI…1165 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE.
AT 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH…LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST. DANIELLE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH…19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH…65
KM/HR…WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS…AND DANIELLE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE
INTENSITY BY LATE TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES…85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB…29.68 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Why hasn’t WUWT broke the NOAA satellitegate scandle? Stay with the people.
REPLY: Because there’s no “scandal” there. Just a plain old sensor failure trumped up into a “scandal”. The data doesn’t make it into any of the global satellite records. Dr. Roy Spencer has confirmed this for me. . – Anthony
Stormpulse 2010 Hurricane Season Tracking Map
http://www.stormpulse.com/
Pamela Gray says:
August 22, 2010 at 4:45 pm
> Now I am more sure. Eastern seaboard it is. A Nor Easter but without snow!
A rule of thumb is that landfalling hurricanes pass to the left of 20°N 60°W . The early track (things depend a lot on the intensity of the storm) shows it heading well to the right of that point.
Storms also tend to go around high pressure ridges, and http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/ATSA_18Z.gif shows one. It may be too far north to keep Danielle south to go around the 20/60 point.
stevengoddard says: @Michael Jankowski: “If the ‘earth’s temperature’ stayed exactly the same for the next 100 years, NOAA could still be publishing their scary red dot charts – which are calculated relative to some arbitrary baseline period and colored for maximum shock effect.”
Steven, have you or anyone else commented on the fact that unit changes in anomaly are represented by dots whose area goes up by the square of the anomaly? Looks like Huff’s “How to Lie With Statistics,” again.
No land fall for this one, if it goes to the east of Bermuda. Eventually the remains of this storm will end up here in the UK, most likely just after the bank holiday on Aug 30th.
john edmondson says:
August 22, 2010 at 11:43 pm
No land fall for this one, if it goes to the east of Bermuda. Eventually the remains of this storm will end up here in the UK, most likely just after the bank holiday on Aug 30th.
John GFS says about 3 sept!!
It will curve out to sea, unless Obama secretly plots to pass Cap and Trade during his vacation. If Obama plots, the Gore Effect will cause Danielle to cut back northwest and plow directly into Martha’s Vineyard, to the great satisfaction of all those who can’t afford ten day vacations this year. (If Obama flees to Washington then the following hurricane will shoot right up the Potomac River. There is no escaping the Gore Effect.)
We are having our first decent rains in two months in Southern New Hampshire. The trees are sighing in relief. However it’s no day on the beach, in Martha’s Vineyard. Winds may gust to fifty miles an hour there, this coming evening.
Nothing unusual about this storm turning north away from the U.S. This is a link to historical tracks of tropical systems that have formed within 2 degrees of Danielle in august from 1851 – 2009.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201006_climo.html#a_topad
Currently solar wind speed ranges between 273 and 288 km/s, with low density. This means the atmosphere is low on ions, with a weak AA and K index.
Unlikely that Danielle will become a major event unless the currently Earth facing coronal hole kicks into life in the next couple of days.
jorgekafkazar
Interesting observation – thanks,
Were they not supposed to name HURRICANES and not just depressions?
Do they feel depressed?
An ironic thought: If it develops into a hurricane, tracks into the gulf, and oil slicks kill it, will anyone thank BP?