Joe writes to me today to tell me he’s started a weekly sea ice video report. He’s following our weekly Sea Ice News and Sea Ice Page lead, and even prominently referencing WUWT during his broadcast. Good for him, because this “death spiral watch” is of intense interest wordwide. Two years of sea ice recovery is interesting, but third year in a row is a whole new ball game.
Our one stop shopping Sea Ice Page has quickly become a world wide favorite, and Joe uses some of the graphics offered there.
Joe is now in agreement with Steve Goddard and me on the forecast. We’ll see how it pans out this coming September, last September we hit minimum at 09/13/2009 with a minimum of 5, 249, 844 km2 (source here)
To watch the AccuWeather broadcast go to:
http://www.accuweather.com/video.asp?channel=vbbastaj
BTW I should add the Joe, being of Italian descent also says in his email he was being cute with “Antnee” used the term “cumare” like some would use the word “com-padre”. Of course I’m sure those who have a long standing dislike of me will choose their own wise guy definition.
The links not working, try
http://www.accuweather.com/video.asp?channel=vbbastaj
REPLY: Thanks. Odd, that link they gave was from the WordPress “share this” button – Anthony
I wonder if you are the reason why the 1 to 6 day ice drift forecast link is unavailable? Did we load up their bandwidth or whatever you call it? I haven’t been able to get a daily drift forecast for days. In fact not since I suggested you add it to the sea ice page.
http://www.aari.nw.ru/clgmi/forecast/fc_2.html
And while I am typing this, I wanted to add, I too am fascinated with day to day and other short term weather/ice pattern events. Except for when I had plans to go fishing and am stuck in my house riding out a series of thunderstorms. I was all ready to go grasshopping followed by intense fishing. So sometimes I really do not like short term weather pattern events at all. No not at all.
There are some interesting developments up there near the Arctic Circle just north of Iceland in the Tjörnes fracture zone. One area has had about 20 to 30 earthquakes in the last 48 hours with a couple at about registering 3.
http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/tjornes-small/
The place should be called Shakeland not Iceland given the number of quakes they have each day up there.
Gotta love that guy.
Cold winter coming then. Better buy a few sledges for the kids in this warmest ‘evah’ year.
Phil
“BTW I should add the Joe, being of Italian descent also says in his email he was being cute with “Antnee” used the term “cumare” like some would use the word “com-padre”. ”
Just means you are more than just a good friend! Maybe a few episodes of the Sopranos will enlighten you as to the meaning of “Cumare”?
lol
Sob. Baby Ice, lookin’ all grown up.
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Had a good look at the Climate Forecast models, and what Joe was saying.
Some serious bad cold for the Arctic, and I hope that it stays up there.
Nice one Joe, good props to WUWT from a ‘bit of a character’. 🙂
hey…Roy Spencer had an update about the quickly dropping Nina 3.4 and the sea surface temperatures dropping back on June 18th….seeing as it has been 38 days…i would LOVE an update on that. is that trend downward continuing or has it leveled off earlier than we thought?
I spent some time listening to Joe’s videos this evening. On the 9th he started his vblog with a disclaimer that his views on global warming were his own, and that it is unfortunate that some alarmists are so intolerant that they want dissenting voices shut down. Sounds like some folks tried to get Joe in trouble with Accuweather management, the typical “take him down or I’m gonna…” it seems like.
Things I learned at my Aunt’s knee, and other low joints.
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Actually “compadre” should be “compare” (=”as familiar as one’s children’s godfather”), and “cumare” should be “comare“. That is, the female “compare”
Is this the start of “Watts up with Brokeback Mountain” or what 😎
Like Joe says, a picture is worth a 1,000 words:
http://www.robertb.darkhorizons.org/seaice.anomaly.Ant_arctic.jpg
When Anomalies collide.
I don’t make this stuff up either. I just process the images.
Meanwhile, Sen. John Kerry is predicting an “ice-free Arctic” in “5 or 10 years”:
http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/69845
good to see this!!
i think “Gavin” won’t be on board. (i don’t know if it’s that Gavin)
I see a lot of clear skies over the Arctic in the satellite images (and surface photos linked). All that sun… I really do expect to break 2007′s record this year.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/06/25/ice-dancing/#comment-417353
But how could it be that Gavin since this one is saying it’s the sun and not co2?
Amino Acids in Meteorites says:
July 26, 2010 at 4:33 pm
good to see this!!
i think “Gavin” won’t be on board. (i don’t know if it’s that Gavin)
I see a lot of clear skies over the Arctic in the satellite images (and surface photos linked). All that sun… I really do expect to break 2007′s record this year.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/06/25/ice-dancing/#comment-417353
But how could it be that Gavin since this one is saying it’s the sun and not co2?”
Its such a shame that Joe Romm shutdown comments on his sea ice thread. The predictions of doom and gloom back in May on that thread seem hilarious now. Havent seen much from him in July on the subject.
Nobody beats the Rev!
Joe has been saying a few things recently about “Drastic” cooling to come. See P. Gosselin’s blog and links here.
So far Joe has been right about the recent heatwave but he also said words to the effect that the debate will soon be over.
“The coming drop of global temperatures over the next year, to levels not seen since the 1990s, should put to an end to the AGW argument for good except for the most radical elements. ” click
Brokeback Mountain
I once saw an ad for it that read, “The critics are raving!”
(I figured that would explain it.)
Karl Maki says:
July 26, 2010 at 4:32 pm
Meanwhile, Sen. John Kerry is predicting an “ice-free Arctic” in “5 or 10 years”:
That reminds me didn’t Gore say 2013? The clocks ticking on the man who says the earth’s mantle is “several million degrees” while heating his mansion using only six fireplaces and ultra ‘green’ appearance. I would laugh is this wasn’t a sly, moneymaking scam.
Yep, Jimbo @ur momisugly 4:51 PM, and he’s just talking about the cooling concatenations of the oceanic oscillations. Wait’ll the Eddy Minimum comes with the Cheshire Sun grinning cooly.
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I see a shortcut !!! 🙂
“We’ll see how it pans out this coming September…”
I’ll be up late each and every night
Searching and reading on Antnee’s site
Check back in September
Check back when the melt is through
Here we are saying goodbye in the springtime
Sun, wind, and currents are melting ice away
Looks like thick ice but remember
There is warming in the summer midnight sun
Will I see ice in September
Or have none when the melt is done?
Counting the pixels I’ll hope for cold
Wond’ring if PIPS2 is oversold
Have a good melt but remember
Cloudy weather saves ice by the megaton
Will I see ice in September
Or lose it to the summer sun?
rbateman says:
July 26, 2010 at 4:00 pm
Had a good look at the Climate Forecast models, and what Joe was saying.
Some serious bad cold for the Arctic, and I hope that it stays up there.
It looks like La Nina is forming.
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_ncom/anims/eqp/sst30d.gif
&
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/jsdisplay/plots/gifani/sst_ani_200.gif
&
http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/GLBhycom1-12/navo/equpacsst_nowcast_anim30d.gif
&
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/sstanim.gif
…..
La Nina has this type of pattern
http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/globalimpact/temp_precip/images/LaNinaImpacts_djf.jpg
&
bottom half:
http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/images/content/209479main_elnino1_080128_HI.jpg
….
So it looks like a cold winter for much of the United States. Montana to Kansas to Michigan should get particularly cold.
…..
short video from NASA on current La Nina:
http://learners.gsfc.nasa.gov/mediaviewer/LaNinaPeaks/
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….
p.s. everything I need to know about La Nina/El Nino I learned from WUWT. 🙂
markinaustin writes “I would LOVE an update on that. is that trend downward continuing or has it leveled off earlier than we thought?”
I am no expert, but take a look at
http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps+001
and see if it helps.