Hyperventilating on Venus

By Steve Goddard

The classic cure for hyperventilation is to put a paper bag over your head, which increases your CO2 levels and reduces the amount of Oxygen in your bloodstream. Global warmers have been hyperventilating over CO2 on Venus, ever since Carl Sagan made popular the idea of a runaway greenhouse effect. That was when he wasn’t warning about nuclear winter.

Sagan said that marijuana helped him write some of his books.

I bought off on the “runaway greenhouse” idea on Venus for several decades (without smoking pot) and only very recently have come to understand that the theory is beyond absurd.  I explain below.

The first problem is that the surface of Venus receives no direct sunshine. The Venusian atmosphere is full of dense, high clouds “30–40 km thick with bases at 30–35 km altitude.”  The way a greenhouse effect works is by shortwave radiation warming the ground, and greenhouse gases impeding the return of long wave radiation to space. Since there is very little sunshine reaching below 30km on Venus, it does not warm the surface much.  This is further evidenced by the fact that there is almost no difference in temperature on Venus between day and night.  It is just as hot during their very long (1400 hours) nights, so the 485C  temperatures can not be due to solar heating and a resultant greenhouse effect.  The days on Venus are dim and the nights are pitch black.

The next problem is that the albedo of Venus is very high, due to the 100% cloud cover.  At least 65% of the sunshine received by Venus is immediately reflected back into space.  Even the upper atmosphere doesn’t receive a lot of sunshine. The top of Venus’ atmosphere receives 1.9 times as much solar radiation as earth, but the albedo is more than double earth’s – so the net effect is that Venus’ upper atmosphere receives a lower TSI than earth.

The third problem is that Venus has almost no water vapor in the atmosphere.  The concentration of water vapor is about one thousand times greater on earth.

Composition of Venus Atmosphere

0.965 CO2

0.035 N2

0.00015 SO2

0.00007 AR

0.00002 H2O

Water vapor is a much more important greenhouse gas than CO2, because it absorbs a wider spectrum of infrared light – as can be seen in the image below.

File:Atmospheric Transmission.png

http://www.globalwarmingart.com/images/7/7c/Atmospheric_Transmission.png

The effects of increasing CO2 decay logarithmically.  Each doubling of CO2 increases temperatures by 2-3C.  So if earth went  from .04% CO2 to 100% CO2, it would raise temperatures by less than 25-36C.

Even worse, if earth’s atmosphere had almost no water (like Venus) temperatures would be much colder – like the Arctic.  The excess CO2 does not begin to compensate for the lack of H2O. Water vapour accounts for 70-95% of the greenhouse effect on earth. The whole basis of the CAGW argument is that H2O feedback will overwhelm the system, yet Venus has essentially no H2O to feed back. CAGW proponents are talking out of both sides of their mouth.

So why is Venus hot?  Because it has an extremely high atmospheric pressure.  The atmospheric pressure on Venus is 92X greater than earth.  Temperatures in Earth’s atmosphere warm over 80C going from 20 kPa (altitude 15km) to 100 kPa (sea level.)  That is why mountains are much colder than the deserts which lie at their base.

The atmospheric pressure on Venus is greater than 9,000 kPa.  At those pressures, we would expect Venus to be very hot. Much, much hotter than Death Valley.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Emagram.GIF

Wikipedia typifies the illogical “runaway greenhouse” argument with this statement.

Without the greenhouse effect caused by the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the temperature at the surface of Venus would be quite similar to that on Earth.

No it wouldn’t. 9000 kPa atmospheric pressure would occur on earth at an altitude many miles below sea level.  No such place exists, but if it did – it would be extremely hot, like Venus. A back of the envelope estimate – temperatures on earth increase by about 80C going from 20 to 100 kPa, so at 9,000 kPa we would expect temperatures to be in the ballpark  of :

20C + ln(9000/(100-20)) *80C = 400C

This is very close to what we see on Venus.  The high temperatures there can be almost completely explained by atmospheric pressure – not composition. If 90% of the CO2 in Venus atmosphere was replaced by Nitrogen, it would change temperatures there by only a few tens of degrees.

How did such bad science become “common knowledge?” The greenhouse effect can not be the cause of the high temperatures on Venus. “Group Think” at it’s worst, and I am embarrassed to admit that I blindly accepted it for decades.

Blame CO2 first – ask questions later.

=============================

UPDATE: Lubos Motl has written an essay and analysis that broadly agrees with this post. See it here

5 2 votes
Article Rating
455 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Darrell
May 6, 2010 11:42 am

Great column, and somewhat of a relief. As a teenager I read Sagan’s book where he made this claim, and it scared the hell out of me.
I feel much better now.

hippie longstocking
May 6, 2010 11:49 am

Which of course begs the question: Has anyone looked at the overall atmospheric pressure change during this supposed unprecedented warming? No? Oh, well, that data is probably as incomplete as the temperature data anyway, so why let the climate scientologists manipulate that to fit their agenda. I’m sure one of them will model it soon enough and cry out “It’s worse than we thought!” Dolts.
Disclaimer: The above statement was not meant to offend any real scientologists out there. I’ll get around to offending them some other time and some other place.

Curiousgeorge
May 6, 2010 11:52 am

Sorry, I must be missing something. I’ve dealt with high pressure gases for many years, and while a cylinder will heat as it is filled to say 3000 psi, it quickly cools. It does not stay hot. So there must be something else on Venus – volcanic activity perhaps is part of it – that is at work there.

jack mosevich
May 6, 2010 11:53 am

Steve: I did a search and the 1st 20 to 30 sites, including NASA, stated that Venus’s temperature is due to the runaway greenhouse effect. Your analysis is very convincing. Then I found the following which comes to the same conclusion as you with a bit more analysis. I am convinced that you are correct and that the ‘consensus’ is wrong.
http://www.buzzle.com/articles/how-hot-is-venus.html

STEPHEN PARKERuk
May 6, 2010 11:53 am

Well thats it. I am not going to venus!

May 6, 2010 11:56 am

Thanks Steve, interesting post! And if correct and reasonalble, it baffles me that noone else has noted this before …
This simply cannot be! Other people must have hade similar thoughts and estimates.

The Ghost Of Big Jim Cooley
May 6, 2010 11:59 am

Here in the UK, our Channel 4 news has been following the Catlin Jokesters in the Arctic. A journalist (I use the term loosely) has just given an appalling piece of television reporting. You can read his dire piece here: http://www.channel4.com/news/articles/science_technology/concern+over+impact+of+rising+ocean+acidity/3638487

Gail Combs
May 6, 2010 12:00 pm

Quick send this information to Lord Monckton

May 6, 2010 12:03 pm

What about the fact that the sunlight at Venus’ orbit is almost twice as intense as at Earth’s orbit?

Robert
May 6, 2010 12:04 pm

As far as i understood it would take two things to turn Earth into a seccond Venus, and that is enough time, and about twice the amount of energy from the Sun.
And this all to start building up the atmospheric pressure which needs a lot of time, more energy means more watervapour, more watervapour means higher pressure wich in result in an atmosphere wich is beter suited to hold an higher temperature. Once all the water in the ocean has been transformed into atmosphere the temperatures will be high enough to start the outgassing of rocks wich raises the temperature and pressure even further. Eventually Earth would look like Venus with a high pressure and CO2 rich atmosphere.
And that will eventually happen, in a few hundred million to a billion years from now when the sun is (a bit) brighter than it is now.
So a runaway greenhouse? Yes, but not caused by us puny humans and not tomorrow.

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 12:05 pm

Once again the Flintstones’ Universe Cosmology fails!. Anyone of us can recreate a small Venus in a microwave oven.
http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2010/arch10/100223.htm

PJF
May 6, 2010 12:08 pm

There is a terrestrial example of higher air temperatures resulting from greater depth / greater pressure – that of the occasional isolation and evaporation of the Mediterranean Sea:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Messinian_Salinity_Crisis
It would be interesting to know what the atmospheric temperature on Venus is at the height equivalent to one Earth atmospheric pressure.

Henry chance
May 6, 2010 12:08 pm

That explains why women are from Venus and men come from Marrs.

Denis Hopkins
May 6, 2010 12:11 pm

That is one of the most interesting articles I have read on here in the 3 years I have been visiting….. Thanks… Just goes to show how we accept things if they are repeated enough. The trouble is that young people will only hear one argument and it, in time, becomes accepted wisdom. There is always the need to be sceptical.
By the way, on that point “climate deniers” have often been called “flat-eathers”. Most people believe that Columbus was thought to be mad to attempt the voyage west to India because he would “fall off the Earth”. My understanding is that this was a myth put about by Washinton Irvine in the 19th century. Columbus could not get funding because everyone knew the Earth was round. They knew its diameter. They knew you could not carry enough provisions for such a journey to India. Anyone who lives near the coast will see the hulls of ships disappear before the masts. Yet still we think that they thought the Earth was flat in 1490. Despite Erastothenes measuring the diameter in 200 BC to within 1% of today’s accepted value.

CRS, Dr.P.H.
May 6, 2010 12:12 pm

I believe that the presence of sulfuric acid in the clouds of Venus also contributes to its greenhouse effect. Dr. Richard Lindzen touched upon this during his colloquium presentation at Fermilab National Laboratories.
It’s in one of the 9 parts on Youtube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMkyjyk-VEk

Jimbo
May 6, 2010 12:12 pm

Talking of atmospheric pressure, co2 and temperature look at mars:
Carbon Dioxide (CO2): 95.32%
Temperature: + 1° F, ( -17.2° C) to -178° F (-107° C)
Atmospheric pressure: 6 to 10 millibars

gnarf
May 6, 2010 12:13 pm

@curiousgeorge
If you consider a column of the atmosphere in a stable state, with thermodynamics, at the top you have 3K temperature, and you will see that the gradient of pressure implies a gradient of temperature.

MattN
May 6, 2010 12:13 pm

Funny. My brother-in-law brought up Venus the other day. “Why is it so hot there if not because of all the CO2?” My response was, “Are you kidding me with this?”
“Group Think” just doesn’t adequately decribe it. I really simply cannot figure out how they get this stuff in their brain.

SidViscous
May 6, 2010 12:14 pm

“Sorry, I must be missing something. I’ve dealt with high pressure gases for many years, and while a cylinder will heat as it is filled to say 3000 psi, it quickly cools. It does not stay hot. So there must be something else on Venus – volcanic activity perhaps is part of it – that is at work there.”
But what is the temp of the ambient air around the cylinder. Your filled bottle has somewhere to transefer the heat too. Where is Venus’ heat sink to spill all that heat into?

May 6, 2010 12:14 pm

Curiousgeorge
What keeps the earth warm? The sun. Without the sun, the Earth and Venus would be close to absolute zero.
Now, why is it -40 degrees on top of Mt. Everest? They get lots of sunshine up there and it is the same latitude as Saudi Arabia.

D. King
May 6, 2010 12:16 pm

Thanks Steve.
92 atmospheres @ 14.7 psi per, is 1352.4psi (Earth)
@33 ft. per atmosphere that’s about 3036ft (ocean).
Ballpark SCUBA numbers!

Duster
May 6, 2010 12:19 pm

If you really want to feel confused check out Nasif Nahle’s site: http://biocab.org/Induced_Emission.html. Professor Nahle seems to say that there is no “green house effect,” partly because none of the common models take thermodynamics into account properly. He argues, provided I follow his logic and mathematics correctly, that the thermal capacity of the atmosphere, being orders of magnitude less than the land and more importantly the oceans, cannot add any significant amount of heat to the climate. Instead, the land and ocean during the night damp atmospheric cooling by warming the air immediately above these important thermal masses. According to Nahle, the atmosphere’s primary climatic effect, mainly through convection, carries warmed air away from thermal masses warming it outward and upward to where it radiates away from the planet. This matches discussions on real greenhouse (transparent windows with plants inside) effects, which point out that a true green maintains a warmer environment than the surroundings by limiting convection. Energy loss through longwave radiation is not significant. Consequently the primary heat loss in a greenhouse is through conduction, and glass is a poor conductor.
Reading Nahle one might get the idea that any explanation of climate that admits to a “greenhouse effect” might be making assumptions that are contrary to the laws of thermodynamics. Not being a climatologist, physicist or engineer, I would really like to see this discussed.

May 6, 2010 12:20 pm

This whole Venus thing goes back the E. Velekofski (sp?) in the 1950’s. Segan, like many others had some rather strange ideas. This one he picked up from Velekofski from one of his books. He wrote several (can’t be sure of the titles). I did try to read them and found his understanding of geology completely screwed up. So I judged his astronomy was little better. Like many strange people he was not completely, wrong just mostly so. Segan is much the same. Some of his stuff is okay and some not so good. When you get down to the facts we know so little about Venus that making any kind of comparison to Earth is rather foolish. Then if we did not have foolish people we would not need the term. Appeals to authority will never go away, let us hope the choice of that authority is a wise one in the future. (It won’t be.)

May 6, 2010 12:25 pm

CRS, Dr.P.H.
No doubt the Venusian clouds create a barrier to IR. But they are 30 km above the ground surface. Most wavelengths of IR have almost nothing blocking them in the lower 30 km of the atmosphere.

Cam_S
May 6, 2010 12:28 pm

I attended a talk by Andrew Weaver, and this was one of his big selling points of CO2 causing the Earth to get warmer. Venus is hotter than the Earth, because it’s atmosphere is mostly CO2. Not because it is closer to the sun.
If I remember my basic physics: energy absorbed is an inverse square to the distance from the source. Mercury has no atmosphere, and I’ll bet it’s sunny side is a lot hotter than Venus.

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 12:29 pm
HankHenry
May 6, 2010 12:31 pm

The critical pressure of CO2 is 7,380 kPa. The critical temperature is 30 C. In those supercritical fluid conditions it’s hard to say whether Venus has an atmosphere or an ocean. Pointing to Venus as a model demonstating something about earth is an exercise in lulling the mind into a belief that it understands something that it has a hard time even imagining.

MKELLY
May 6, 2010 12:32 pm

PV=nRT. Venus is hot because of the pressure. I also maintain that some of the supposed 33 C temperature increase due to GHG is really caused by the pressure of our atmosphere. All the gases in our atmosphere would still be gases at the -18 C used as the temperature based on black body radiation. I maintain that the atmospheric pressure should bring us up to 0 C leaving only 15 C for greenhouse effect. Besides Wien Law says the absorbtion line at 15 mirco for CO2 is a temperature of 200K and that will not heat up anything.

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 12:33 pm

What the hell happened at 12.5 kilometers? Each probe went haywire as it passed through a height of about 12 kilometers, or 7.5 miles, above the surface. The temperature and pressure sensors sent back crazy numbers, power surged throughout the probes, and some instruments stopped functioning entirely.” The NASA report found that “the sensors that failed at almost the same time were made of different materials and their electronics were isolated from each other.” Furthermore, some of the strange readings “can best be explained if the probe became covered with a plasma of charged particles.”
http://www.thunderbolts.info/tpod/2005/arch05/050207electrifiedvenus.htm

hunter
May 6, 2010 12:35 pm

this is an interesting take, but what maintains the temperature?

Zeke
May 6, 2010 12:36 pm

Just because you don’t understand something doesn’t make it wrong… There is a wealth of literature on Venus’ atmospheric dynamics. A good starting point is here: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v226/n5250/abs/2261037a0.html
Also, Carl Sagan smoking pot is a bit of a cheap shot 😛

Dr T G Watkins
May 6, 2010 12:41 pm

Excellent post and some interesting links.
Looking forward to the EPA hearings; not one prominent UK politician has expressed any doubts re. AGW.
Nearly 44,000,000 hits ! The message must be getting through and a tipping point will come.

May 6, 2010 12:43 pm

Zeke says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:36 pm:
“…Carl Sagan smoking pot is a bit of a cheap shot :P”
And what is your opinion of all the ad-hom comments about Viscount Monckton? Are they cheap shots too?

May 6, 2010 12:44 pm

Zeke
There is a wealth of literature about catastrophic global warming. The weight of the literature is no more interesting than the weight of the duck in the Holy Grail.
And no, scientists should not be taking drugs.

The Ghost Of Big Jim Cooley
May 6, 2010 12:45 pm

Anthony – have you seen this?!? http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/earthnews/7686079/Climate-change-deniers-accused-of-McCarthyism.html
REPLY: I can’t respond to every crazy journalist out there, and Louise Gray is certainly a victim of retarded thinking. -A

Troels Halken
May 6, 2010 12:45 pm

Why does Venus have a much more dense atmosphere than Earth?

GeoFlynx
May 6, 2010 12:46 pm

This article, more than most, is and example of how blind belief can distort physics almost beyond recognition. Perhaps something stronger that “pot” is at work!

May 6, 2010 12:47 pm

HankHenry
The Russians have landed spacecraft on Venus and there is no ocean. Just rock.

Curiousgeorge
May 6, 2010 12:48 pm

@ SidViscous says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:14 pm
…………………But what is the temp of the ambient air around the cylinder. Your filled bottle has somewhere to transefer the heat too. Where is Venus’ heat sink to spill all that heat into?
That doesn’t compute. Let the cylinder stabilize at ambient. Then put it in a perfectly insulated container. It will not reheat due simply to pressure. It will stay at whatever temp it was when placed in the container.

stumpy
May 6, 2010 12:50 pm

There is a bigger issues with Venus many wont be aware off, not that long ago scientists thought venus would be a similar temperature to earth. Then a young upstart geologist came along and suggested that Venus would actually be around 450 degrees due to geothermal venting. He was laughed away of course, daring to question concensus, but later on when they actually measured the temperature they found he was almost spot on! This caused a problem for the “experts” so they came up with a compromise, it was called the “green house effect”, rather than accept the geothermal heating scenario they invented a new one so no-one had to be wrong. They all accepted it and shut their mouths. Of course it never actually fitted, as Steve points out, plus the temperature day and night are constant and the poles and the equator the same. This does support geothermal heat, and the atmospheric mass also explains the high air temps better. I am sure no-one really understands Venus, we dont understand earth yet!
It merely demonstrates that the greenhouse effect when applied to other plants doesnt work, NASA recently found it didnt quite work for Mars either when they tried modelling its climate. Atmospheric pressure is the key and it determines global temperature, its very reliable for predicting weather and temperature change over height changes, we should be looking at changes in atmospheric pressure as well as the atmospheric composition of the atmosphere. Venus merely highlihts the frailty of the “greenhouse” holy cow. It was invented to explain an observation and fortunetly came within a few degrees of observation, but fails any kind of testing when applied to alternative atmospheres!

stephen richards
May 6, 2010 12:51 pm

Or Boyles law PV=RT where P=pressure and R is a constant
Therefore, p increases T increases proportionally;
p=9000 times more T = 9000 times more. voilà.
P= 1 atmos @ 15.9°C (the earth) P = 92 atmos @ 92*15.9=1462°c
obviously pressure is not the only factor in creating venus’ temperature but you can see where the difference in T comes from.

Bob H.
May 6, 2010 12:51 pm

A lot of years (about 30) ago I took a thermodynamics class. In it we learned that when you increase temperature without increasing the volume, pressure increases. When you increase pressure without increasing the volume, temperature increases.
This is basic thermodynamics. If we want to make Venus more like Earth, we need to export to Venus some sun-loving, CO2 munching bacteria to turn CO2 into some solid carbon compound. This would eventually decrease the atmospheric pressure and thus reduce the temperature. In fact, if we really want to do geoengineering, Venus would be a good place to practice (until we get it right).

geronimo
May 6, 2010 12:52 pm

Do you know Steve I’d already figured that out, but in the opposite direction, I was trying to figure out why Mars with almost the same atmosphere in terms of CO2 as Venus was cold compared to Venus, and indeed the Earth. I figured it was because the atmospheric pressure was very low, I never connected it to Venus where it’s the opposite.

PJF
May 6, 2010 12:52 pm

“What keeps the earth warm? The sun. Without the sun, the Earth and Venus would be close to absolute zero.”
Assume you mean surface temps here (both would remain internally hot for a long time without the sun). In the case of Venus it is quite likely that the surface temperature would be hot too, at least some of the time.
Venus’ atmosphere comes from volcanic outgassing, and Venus is a very different geological animal to Earth. It has no water so there are no tectonic plates. Instead of releasing heat gradually as does Earth, Venus is thought to occasionally “boil over”, where the whole surface completely melts. With the thick atmosphere, a high surface temperature would remain in the absence of solar heat.
In the outer solar system where the sun’s heat is minimal, the massively thick atmospheres of the giant planets are heated primarily from within and would remain almost intact if the sun was switched off.

May 6, 2010 12:54 pm

Troels Halken
Venus does not have any limestone, so they have much less CO2 sequestered in rock. Because of this, their atmosphere is much more dense than earth.
My point is that it is the partial pressure of CO2 (much more than the IR absorption of CO2) which keeps Venus so hot. The implications for earth are completely different, because we have oceans which form limestone, particularly at warmer temperatures.

pat
May 6, 2010 12:55 pm

Venus is extremely volcanic.

May 6, 2010 12:56 pm

stephen richards
The ideal gas law isn’t quite so simple as you are thinking. As the pressure increases, the volume decreases. In an ideal gas they would exactly balance each other out. But no gases are ideal, so they warm under pressure.

May 6, 2010 12:57 pm

PJF
Heat flow from inside the earth is much smaller than the energy received from the sun.

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 12:58 pm

What Steve Goddard is trying to tell us is that greenhouse effect will never explain Venus temperature. Would you cook your meals using it?

May 6, 2010 12:58 pm

Dumb question: Given that it is hotter on the surface of Venus than the surface of Earth because of the mass of the atmosphere of Venus and the fact that it is closer to the sun and receives more energy than Earth on a daily basis, how did all that mass get into the atmosphere?
I am familiar with the suggestion written earlier in this thread that Venus started off with liquid oceans that were eventually evaporated, disassociated into hydrogen and oxygen and the hydrogen driven off; and then the carbon dioxide in the rocks baked out to form the atmosphere.
Given that both planets were formed in the same general region of the solar system accretion disk, does this mean that Earth also has about that same amount of carbon dioxide locked up in the rocks (not to jack up temperatures due to greenhouse, but to increase the total mass of the atmosphere)?

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 1:01 pm

Zeke: Obviously you are NOT our skeptic friend Zeke the Sneak. Don’t you have any creativity as to invent another name but to copy one of ours?

May 6, 2010 1:01 pm

Cam_S
The amount of solar energy entering Venus atmosphere is about the same as earth, because of the extra cloud cover. Venus reflects most of the sunshine it receives, which is why it sometimes appears so bright

tommy
May 6, 2010 1:06 pm

I also bet the slow rotation speed would also contribitute to the high temps.

Archonix
May 6, 2010 1:10 pm

Curiousgeorge says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:48 pm
That doesn’t compute. Let the cylinder stabilize at ambient. Then put it in a perfectly insulated container. It will not reheat due simply to pressure. It will stay at whatever temp it was when placed in the container.

He didn’t say that. He said that the heat in the cylinder would be taken away by the air surrounding it. The cylinder model of Venus is one where the cylinder is already in a perfect insulator when it is filled with case.
What happens when you let the gas out of that cylinder at a high rate? Bet it gets pretty cold, yeah? Same effect in reverse.

SidViscous
May 6, 2010 1:14 pm

“That doesn’t compute. Let the cylinder stabilize at ambient. Then put it in a perfectly insulated container. It will not reheat due simply to pressure. It will stay at whatever temp it was when placed in the container.”
??????
Okay sure, point granted. Yes, if we allowed Venus to cool giving it a sink to dump it’s heat into it would not re-warm, absent some outside influence, by pressure alone.
But what would happen if you filled your cylinder inside of a perfectly insulated conatainer. Would it still cool off?

Onion
May 6, 2010 1:14 pm

I don’t understand the physics but I do think this article is wrong, because Genus being warm because of a greenhouse effect is backed by physicists, not merely an urban legend.
So the question becomes, where is this article wrong? I don’t understand the physics to know how physicists propose the greenhouse effect works on Venus, but I can observe this:
-If Venus was that hot because of pressure, then surely Jupiter should be alight in comparison. Jupiter does generate heat, but far too little compared to how warmer Venus is and Jupiter generates it through contraction.
-Sunlight might not reach the surface, but if nevertheless passes through thick greenhouse gases before being absorbed in the atmosphere, there would still be a strong greenhouse effect.
-I am not aware that high pressure on the sea floor is proposed to generate heat.
Anyway those are my initial thoughts on where this article may be wrong.

PJP
May 6, 2010 1:17 pm

The references to Boyle’s and Charles’ law are not correct here.
In both cases they describe changes that take place when one of the parameters change.
In the case of Boye’s law it shows the relationship between volume and pressure WHEN TEMPERATURE IS HELD CONSTANT.
Avogardro’s law is more appropriate, which is basically:
(P1.V1)/(T1.n1) = (P2.V2)/(T2.n2)
P = pressure
T = temp (K)
V = volume
n = amount of substance
This shows that as you increase the pressure of a fixed quantity of gas its temperature increases and its volume decreases.
You know this from blowing up tires = as the air compresses, it gets warm.
Does the air in your tires STAY hot? (Answer – no).
But that doesn’t mean that it STAYS warm. Just because a gas is compressed doesn’t mean its hot forever. That would equivalent to perpetual motion.
This is the principle of a heat pump and air conditioner.
Something with a thick atmosphere is not forcibly hot at the surface just because of pressure.

Stephen Goldstein
May 6, 2010 1:18 pm

“So why is Venus hot? Because it has an extremely high atmospheric pressure. The atmospheric pressure on Venus is 92X greater than earth. Temperatures in Earth’s atmosphere warm over 80C going from 20 kPa (altitude 15km) to 100 kPa (sea level.) That is why mountains are much colder than the deserts which lie at their base.”
Hmmm. I know that’s a popular view but I’m not so sure . . . .
Indeed, if one compresses or decompresses a quantity of a gas the temperature will rise or fall to reflect the “work” done on on that quantity (for compression) or the work that it does on its surroundings (for expansion).
But that’s not what’s happening here, is it? We’re not actually moving air from the top of Mt. Everest to the lower parts of Death Valley, doing the mechanical work to heat it up, are we?
Say I connect a SUBA diver’s air tank to a compressor and “fill” the tank with compressed air. I ask how come the tank is warm and you reply “because it has an extremely high pressure.” Okay, but I come back in an hour, the gauge still reads 3000psi but the tank is no longer warm. How come? The gas is still at an extremely high pressure.
Just guessing here but I think that the pressure differential, Earth vs Venus, is not a complete explanation.
Comment?

Onion
May 6, 2010 1:19 pm

The why isn’t Jupiter that hot?

May 6, 2010 1:24 pm

This argument seems quite wrong to me. Pressure and temperature are independent variables — both can be high, both can be low, one can be high and the other low, etc. The temperature of a planet is determined by its energy balance: in the long run, solar energy absorbed must equal long-wave radiation going out. (I am aware that this is a substantial simplification, but it captures the main truth about terrestrial planets.)
Sunlight is almost twice as intense at the orbit of Venus, but because Venus is more than twice as reflective as the Earth (due to the clouds), it actually absorbs slightly less radiation per square meter. Yet the surface of Venus is hot — we know this by direct spacecraft measurement — so that surface must be radiating long-wave radiation upward like crazy — about 40 times the amount that Earth’s surface radiates. Yet the radiation to space at the top of the atmosphere is only 2% of this. As far as I can see, the ONLY way to explain this is that the atmosphere of Venus strongly absorbs IR. That’s the greenhouse effect, isn’t it?
How Venus got to be in such a state is another (and very interesting) question. But surely there can’t be much doubt that the present high surface temperature is due to a present very strong greenhouse effect?
Postscript: I am a physicist, and though my specialty is not atmospheric physics, I do know a thing or two about thermodynamics. I believe that anyone who is cautious and skeptical about AGW is obliged to be equally cautious and skeptical about stuff on the other side. The present argument doesn’t just cut it, in my view.

May 6, 2010 1:24 pm

Very interesting points, Steve. Your point about pressure sounds very plausible, so it will be interesting to see if someone can find a flaw in it.
It does seem to me that your point that there will be no GHG effect there because incoming radiation can’t reach the surface is weak — The incoming radiation that doesn’t get reflected must get absorbed somewhere, if only by the upper atmosphere. This layer then should act like the radiative “surface” of the planet, and should radiate long IR back into the outer atmosphere where it generates a GHG effect.
However, it would then seem that the equilibrium temperature of this layer would behave like the surface of an ordinary planet with this distance from the sun, albedo, and upper atmosphere. From that point down, then, temperatures would increase with pressure as you describe, leaving the actual surface temperatures much higher than the “radiative surface” temperatures. (I’m just musing here — an actual physicist should check in on this.)
It would take a lot more than one doubling of the exisiting level of CO2 to get earth’s CO2 surface partial pressures up to those of Venus!

Fitzy
May 6, 2010 1:25 pm

We grew up to COSMOS on TV.
Sagan was good at flights of the imagination, even then, Post Normal was trying to lure us with its Siren song.
Apart from the measurable facts of Venus, its atmospheric properties and temperature, and the known Laws of Thermodynamics, what do we have?
We have a puzzle, missing a lot of pieces, periodically assembled into a shape, that the public never gets to see scientists label a theory as….”We Think…x,y,z…”
Thats the bit that drives me crazy, the sudden shift in discussions in private where words like….”we assume, we currently think, the data currently shows, it appears…” transitioning to the printed word as….”Venus is a perfect example of run away green house effect.”
I blame the French school of Management, which excludes the function of uncertatiny in managers, it filtered into everything in the late 60’s and 70’s, and permeated the mindset of the western man. Now we must all be experts, all the time, if we are uncertain, we keep it to ourselves, because confidence is a component of competence, and we must always have an answer ready. Uncertainty, promotes a lack of confidence, low confidence impacts the bottom line. Cha-Ching $$$.
Add to that the Human tendancy to seek group approval, and we have the perfect mess of nodding and smiling, and concensus, and approval for policies sake.
You want to know why Venus is as it is? First ask how Holy has our confidence in the KNOWNS become, is it assailable? Shouldn’t it be?

ShrNfr
May 6, 2010 1:26 pm

And what else about pressure broadening of molecular absorption lines is not understood?

KPO
May 6, 2010 1:27 pm

OT but might be something for another post.
If you are using the Yahoo browser you’ll probably have seen the latest from the “we’re all going to die” MSM hysteria.
“Now the bad news: The ozone layer has also thinned over the North Pole. This thinning is predicted to continue for the next 15 years due to weather-related phenomena that scientists still cannot fully explain, according to the same UN report. And, repairing the ozone hole over the South Pole will take longer than previously expected, and won’t finish until between 2060 and 2075. Scientists now understand that the size of the ozone hole varies dramatically from year to year, which complicates attempts to accurately predict the hole’s future size.
Interestingly, recent studies have shown that the size of the ozone hole affects the global temperature. Closing the ozone hole actually speeds up the melting of the polar ice caps, according to a 2009 study from Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research.
So even though environmentally friendly laws have successfully reversed the trend of ozone depletion, the lingering effects of aerosol use, and the link between the ozone hole and global warming, virtually ensure that this problem will persist until the end of the century.”
Thus endith today’s reading according to ….. ah hell, there just so many!!!!

May 6, 2010 1:30 pm

Funny thing about the Sagan Venus conundrum… that put me on the path to AGW skepticism. I had the pleasure of seeing him in person for a 2 hour lecture in 1992. He presented a lot of his “Cosmos” stuff, and then turn his presentation to global warming , Venus, and CO2. That was the weakest part of Sagan’s presentation. He didn’t cover the great differences between the two planets, atmosphere composition, distance from sun, etc, that make Venus and Earth a poor comparison. At the time, the press was using the Venus analogy to promote AGW, yet, no one would raise the same questions, since, well, it was Sagan after all, everyone was GaGa over him, and who would be so foolish to question Sagan.
Don’t get me wrong, I love Carl Sagan. Will always be a great admirer of him and his work. I just though that he purposely over-emphasized the weak Venus / Earth correlation to increase the fears and concerns of AGW, a concept he strongly championed. I believe his convictions to save the planet over-rode his common sense.

May 6, 2010 1:31 pm

Onion
The ocean is made of water, which is a liquid. Unlike gases, liquids are not very compressible, so they do not heat much under pressure.

ShrNfr
May 6, 2010 1:31 pm

To Onion: Jupiter actually emits more energy than it receives from the sun. To expand on my comment previous. The Pauli exclusion principal prevents fermions from being in the same state in the same place. Also leptons. Bosons are a different matter. As you increase pressure on any gas you are forcing more and more fermions into a smaller and smaller volume. The spectral line of absorption/emission of that gas will get wider and wider because the gas objects have to be in a different state than the others. At 60 bars of pressure, CO2 on Venus has a barn door absorption spectrum. At a pressure of a couple of millibars on Mars it’s a razor edge. The earth is approximately 1 bar (the standard atmosphere is 1013 millibars at sea level).

May 6, 2010 1:32 pm

tommy
Temperatures on Venus are same on the day side and the night side, so at this point in Venus history the rotation speed is probably not a big factor.

May 6, 2010 1:33 pm

I think you need to start our discovery of Venus way back in geologic time. Two points to consider, Venus has no magnetic field of significance and therefore no real magnetosphere. Second at the distance it is from the sun, with no magnetosphere to shield it’s atmosphere, all but the heaviest of molecules would have long since been blown away by the solar wind.
No one seems to know when Venus went magnetically dead, we may never know.
All that is left of Venus’ atmosphere is what we now see, with no way to determine the complete picture of how it arrived at what is left. Without understanding that, comparisons make little sense. We face similar problems on Earth, don’t we.

May 6, 2010 1:34 pm

geronimo
Excellent point about Mars.

jorgekafkazar
May 6, 2010 1:37 pm

Denis Hopkins says: “…My understanding is that this [flat earth] was a myth put about by Washin(g)ton Irvine in the 19th century…”
As a descendant of the Irving clan, I should like to point out that the author you refer to was Washington Irving. There are, on the other hand, no fewer than 145 ways to spell “Irving,” so Irvine is close enough for jazz, hand grenades, astrophysics, and climatology.

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 1:37 pm

Sagan said that marijuana helped him write some of his books.
The trouble of Marijuana (Pot) is that cannabinoid chemicals resemble almost exactly that of the female hormone (estrogen).
These results indicate that there are some metabolic interactions between cannabinoid and steroid metabolism and that the constituents showing estrogen-like activity exist in marijuana
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15588936
So GWRs. sneak out from the closet!

Peter Pan
May 6, 2010 1:41 pm

stephen richards says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:51 pm
Or Boyles law PV=RT where P=pressure and R is a constant
============================================
I do believe the greenhouse effect occurred Venus since pressure alone may not completely contribute the temperature increase.
The reason is:
On the Venus, temperature increases 400 C at 90 atmos of CO2, that is to say every atmos of CO2 contributes 400/90=4.4 C forcing.
Since on the Earth, the CO2 pressure is 0.004 atmos (398ppm), the CO2 caused greenhouse effect is about 4.4 X 0.004 = 0.018 C.
Here we completely recognize CO2 as a greenhouse gas, it indeed causes greenhouse effect on the Venus’ temperature but did insignificantly on the Earth’s because the difference between the concentrations of CO2 in both planetary atmospheres.

May 6, 2010 1:44 pm

I was confused where the heat from pressure came from, this helped:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adiabatic_process

kwik
May 6, 2010 1:44 pm

I cant say I follow this idea that its the pressure that keeps Venus warm.
If you have
-A big cylinder with a piston at one end, filled with CO2 at one athmosphere, and it is very well insulated.
-Then compress the Co2 to a very high pressure.
Okay, now we all know about PV=RKT, so it becomes very hot.
Now leave it alone for, say, 100 000 years.
I think we can safely assume this heat would leak out? Sloooowly?
And that very little heat comes in, from the sun?
Finally it will reach ambient temperature? Yes?
The only explanation that sounds reasonable to me, is that someone put a very hot entity inside the cylinder, leaking heat. (Like, a vulcano-entity)
But then again, I dont know much about Venus. Just philosphying a bit.

hunter
May 6, 2010 1:45 pm

Venus is not volcanic like the Earth or Io is volcanic.
Something about this pressure = temp explanation does not fit correctly, with all due respect.
Clearly the energy reaching Venus is going into something, except for that which is reflected.
But the heat content of the atmosphere, at the massive levels on Venus, means it is much higher, no?

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 1:47 pm

Consensus accepted post normal science can’t explain it. Holy Nasa neither. Only HE who explains how the interior of the earth reaches 2 million degrees can explain it.
Be highly praised our nefarious prophet!

May 6, 2010 1:47 pm

ShrNfr
Good point about pressure broadening of spectral lines.
One more reason why pressure is the problem, not atmospheric composition – and why the Venus analogy doesn’t work on earth.

May 6, 2010 1:49 pm

Peter Pan
The relationship between pressure and lapse temperature is exponential, not linear. Please look at the Y-axis on the left side.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/12/795px-Emagram.gif

Enneagram
May 6, 2010 1:52 pm

Wait! Has anybody seen if there on Venus cows live?….you know, all that cow farting can provoke such an elevated temperature. Gotto send some texan cowboys up there!
EPA should issue a ban on all venusian gases!. Big business ahead for Cap&Trade.

Mike McMillan
May 6, 2010 1:53 pm

I did some back of the envelope figgerin’ about Venus here a year or two back. I don’t recall the numbers, but using the adiabatic lapse rate formula, I ran our N2,O2 atmosphere down to 90 atm, and got about a 100 degrees hotter than Venus. I ran Venus’ CO2 atmosphere up to 1 atm, and got around 20 or 30 degrees warmer than Earth, despite being so much closer to the sun.
NASA has a different adiabatic rate for Venus, however.
http://atmos.nmsu.edu/education_and_outreach/encyclopedia/adiabatic_lapse_rate.htm
which didn’t seem to fit from the lapse rate equation.
We don’t have a runaway greenhouse effect anywhere in the solar system, despite what dead tv personalities said.

Hans Erren
May 6, 2010 1:55 pm

I’m not buying it, did you read any scientific literature at all?
Bullock, Mark A.; Grinspoon, David H. (March 2001). “The Recent Evolution of Climate on Venus”. Icarus 150 (1): 19–37. doi:10.1006/icar.2000.6570.
Check for more:
http://plutoportal.net/~bullock/
http://plutoportal.net/~bullock/Homedocs/SciAm99.pdf
BTW The CO2 spectrum is completely saturated in the infrared at 90 atm.
http://members.casema.nl/errenwijlens/co2/lambertvenus.gif

HankHenry
May 6, 2010 1:57 pm

Steve, my question is still whether when that russian spacecraft is at the bottom of an ocean or an atmosphere. Since the CO2 there is neither gas nor liquid but supercritical fluid, I’m not sure how you say. Remember that our space capsule, Liberty Bell Seven landed on the bottom of an ocean – like the Venera spacecraft. The difference was that Liberty Bell made a short bobble at a liquid gas phase boundary while Gus Grissom panicked and flooded the thing. Sure, light doesn’t penetrate but I am quite confident there was just rock where that space capsule landed at the bottom of the ocean. What do you suppose the density of CO2 is at the surface of Venus? I don’t know, but I suspect that it is much closer (on a percentage basis) to the density of liquid water than the density of air at sea level.

Cold Lynx
May 6, 2010 2:02 pm

Even the greenhouse effect based on “common knowledge” for our earth is fundamentally misunderstood.
Imagine a atmosphere completely without any greenhouse gas and clouds.
That atmosphere would still be heated and cooled by our sun.
Heated by energy from the surface of the earth. Cooled by? Yes the same surface.
You can heat the entire atmosphere column from the bottom but not cool it from the bottom. It is a fluid where cooler air is denser. A cooling from the bottom is not efficient and THAT cause a greenhouse effect. The atmosphere will have a higher temperature than average surface temperature. Of course with consideration for the lapse rate in height.
If You then add greenhouse gases in this inert atmosphere is the cooling of the atmosphere enhanced…..

r
May 6, 2010 2:03 pm

How did we get here?
With this kind of logic:
If a witch floats, she must be made of wood…
and what do you do with wood?
Burn it!
If Venus has 90% CO2 and is hot…
and Earth has .035% CO2?
It must mean APGW!
My apologies Carl Sagen, loved your show anyway.

timheyes
May 6, 2010 2:03 pm

@stevengoddard
Despite your explanations involving non-ideal gases, I still don’t find the pressure argument convincing. Apart from that the debunking of the runaway greenhouse effect is very good.
If I compress a set volume of air in a bicycle pump I can feel it get warmer. This is essentially the conversion of the molecular kinetic energy into sensible heat as a result of the decrease in entropy of the system. But as others have commented above, that heat dissipates out of the system quite rapidly. In order for this to be the mechanism of heating the Venusian atmosphere, there needs to be a constant cycling of (high level) low pressure gas down to the (lower level) high pressure atmosphere. The corollary to this thermal release in downward moving gas is that there needs to be upward moving gas to maintain the cycle.
This upward moving gas will expand as it rises, drawing the necessary energy from the surrounding gas and cooling it. I’m not sure that this has been demonstrated and, to be fair, you haven’t claimed any of this – it’s just implied by the physics I’ve assumed to be going on.
What you seem to be discussing in some your responses is the specific heat capacity of the gases which will increase with pressure. However, this relates to the themal capacity of the gas, not the thermogenic ability of the gas which is what is implied by your responses.
I like most of what you’re postulating, but maybe you can discuss the temperature question so more. I don’t think the analogy of a tall mountain stacks up. Pressure is a component in the thermal capacity of air at altitude but I’m struggling to see it as a thermogenic component.

Johnny D
May 6, 2010 2:12 pm

“The effects of increasing CO2 decay logarithmically. Each doubling of CO2 increases temperatures by 2-3C. ”
Hang on here — so the climate sensitivity really *is* 2-3 degrees C? From everything I’ve seen at WUWT, I thought CO2 didn’t affect the climate. Or that increased CO2 followed increased temperature. Huh.

Chad Woodburn
May 6, 2010 2:12 pm

I have two questions. Not being a scientist, I am well aware that my two questions might be silly, but I’d really like to know the answers.
1. Why, if CO2 keeps certain wavelengths of radiative heat inside our atmosphere (creating a positive feedback) does it not also keep an equal amount from coming into the atmosphere in the first place (creating a negative feedback like clouds)?
2. It is my understanding that CO2 only traps radiation within a narrow spectrum of radiation. While measurements of the total heat coming into the atmosphere from the sun are measured in total watts per meter squared, does the composition of that radiation vary? If the amount of radiation that can be trapped by CO2 varies as much as the solar dynamics vary (active sun, passive sun, solar wind, cooling stars, etc.), do the models track for that in making their calculations for heat trapping by CO2 and the rest of the variations in global temperature?

May 6, 2010 2:12 pm

Hans Erren
I made the point that it is the pressure, not the concentration of CO2 that is important. You seem to be agreeing with me, without realizing it.

Peter Pearson
May 6, 2010 2:17 pm

In defense of HankHenry’s reference to an “ocean”, I believe he was talking about an ocean of CO2, not of water; and he made the interesting point that since the pressure and temperature at Venus’s surface exceed the critical pressure and temperature of CO2, it is just as valid to call it liquid as gas.

Casper
May 6, 2010 2:18 pm
May 6, 2010 2:19 pm

HankHenry,
The density of the atmosphere of Venus is 65. kg/m3 which is about one fifteenth that of water.
http://nssdc.gsfc.nasa.gov/planetary/factsheet/venusfact.html

Casper
May 6, 2010 2:22 pm
Anders L.
May 6, 2010 2:22 pm

“Even worse, if earth’s atmosphere had almost no water (like Venus) temperatures would be much colder – like the Arctic. ”
And if earth’s atmosphere had no CO2, we would indeed be in that very state, since the earth would be a ball of ice.
In the case of Venus, if one presumes that Venus is a terrestrial planet and not a very small star, there is no other explanation for the surface temperature than the greenhouse effect, since greenhouse gases are the only gases capable of trapping heat. And naturally a very dense greenhouse atmosphere traps more heat than a very thin greenhouse atmosphere.

May 6, 2010 2:23 pm

Johnny D
I have written a number of articles here discussing the greenhouse effect and the relationship of CO2 to temperature. Perhaps your preconceived notions about WUWT are not correct?

May 6, 2010 2:31 pm

@Zeke
Mentioning Carl Sagans cannabis use is not a cheap shot or ad hom attack of any sort. It’s just simply stating facts according to Sagans biographer and others who knew him.
Biographer: Sagan Smoked Marijuana

In the essay, Sagan said marijuana inspired some of his intellectual work.
“I can remember one occasion, taking a shower with my wife while high, in which I had an idea on the origins and invalidities of racism in terms of gaussian distribution curves,” wrote the former Cornell University professor. “I wrote the curves in soap on the shower wall, and went to write the idea down.
Sagan also wrote that pot enhanced his experience of food, particularly potatoes, music and sex.
Grinspoon, Sagan’s closest friend for 30 years, said Sagan’s marijuana use is evidence against the notion that marijuana makes people less ambitious.
“He was certainly highly motivated to work, to contribute,” said Grinspoon, a psychiatry professor at Harvard University.
Grinspoon is an advocate of decriminalizing marijuana.
Ann Druyan, Sagan’s former wife, is a director of the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws. The nonprofit group promotes legalization of marijuana.

Many people, like myself, treat a variety of medical conditions, like glaucoma, with cannabis. Check out a list of well known people that have/do use cannabis here at Very Important Potheads. Note that Al Gore is on the list. Actually the current and previous US presidents are on the list. Clinton should be listed but he’s in denial although Hillary makes the cut. The “founding fathers” of the USA were big time hemp farmers and pretty much stoners too.

“Make the most of the Indian hemp seed, and sow it everywhere!” -George Washington

David L. Hagen
May 6, 2010 2:31 pm

R. Gates
Your ad hominem attack on Lord Monckton evidences the vacuity of your position. It appears you have neither scientific basis nor argument to address the substance of Monckton’s evidence and logic. For further evidence see:
Climate Change Reconsidered
By far the greatest immediate danger is the peaking of light oil and urgent need to provide alternative fuels to keep from a massive global deep depression. See:
World Liquid Fuels Supply, slide 8, in Meeting the World’s Demand for Liquid Fuels, G. Sweetnam, EIA, AEO2009.
World Oil Exports [00] Introduction Luis de Sousa
See discussion etc at The Oil Drum.
The most serious danger from “Climate Change” enthusiasts is that they divert the global community’s attention from the critical issue of the peaking of light oil and urgent need to develop alternatives on a war time footing.

Warren in Minnesota
May 6, 2010 2:31 pm

The following values are from the NASA fact sheets as referenced from Steve Goddard’s link to “Composition of Venus Atmosphere”. This may help to explain the high pressure of Venus.
The comparison of the masses of the atmospheres:
Venus= ~4.8X10^20kg
Earth= 5.1X10^18kg
Mars= ~2.5X10^16kg
The comparison of the surface pressure of the atmoshperes:
Venus=92 bars
Earth=1.014 bars or 1014 mb
Mars=0.0087 to 0.0040 bars depending on season or 8.7 to 4.0 mb.

George E. Smith
May 6, 2010 2:33 pm

“”” Robert says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:04 pm
As far as i understood it would take two things to turn Earth into a seccond Venus, and that is enough time, and about twice the amount of energy from the Sun.
And this all to start building up the atmospheric pressure which needs a lot of time, more energy means more watervapour, more watervapour means higher pressure wich in result in an atmosphere wich is beter suited to hold an higher temperature. “””
Well where did you get the idea that water vapor increases the density of the atmosphere. H2O has a molecular weight of 18 versus 28 for Nitrogen or 32 for oxygen. So water vapor is way less dense than the rest of the atmosphere. CO2 on the other hand has a molecular weight of 44 which is more than double what H2O is.
Seems to me that on earth approaching storms are signalled by a pressure drop; not a pressure increase; not that I am suggesting that is simply due to the amount of moisture in storms.
does it not occur to anybody that Water alone, in the earth atmosphere forms clouds in its liquid and solid phases; and clouds always cool the surface in the shadow zone; by reflecting sunlight back into space (albedo) and blocking further sunlight from the ground due to the optical density of the cloud.
It was reported, that Professor Stephen Schneider of Stanford; the apparent inventor of Climate sensitivity, and the myth of a lgarithmic surface temperature connection to CO2 abundance; in his criticism of the recent “Climategate” book by Meteorologist Brian Sussman; in which Schneider is reported to have dismissed Sussman as “misfiring on all cylinders” and pooh poohed Sussman’s statement that H2O was the principal cause of greenhouse warming on earth; not CO2.
Scneider is reported to have said that H2O is a very weak GHG whereas CO2 is a strong GHG, and that counts for more than sheer abundance.
So question (1) is; if H2O is a weak GHG compared to CO2; then what is all this crap about H2O being a feedback factor that amplifies CO2 caused warming. We know that more warming of the oceans leads to the escape or lack of take up of CO2 in the oceans; so one could argue that is a positive feedback factor of CO2 cause and effect. Of course any H2O warming of the oceans would lead to the same escape of CO2.
But actually there is very little warming of the oceans due to either CO2 or H2O greenhouse effect; because that long wave Infrared radiation from the warmed atmosphere; whether CO2 or H2O caused, simply warms the top few microns of the surface, and leads mainly to evaporation of more water; along with massive Latent heat cooling of the surface.
Neither one of these things is a “feedback”. Both simply reflect a change in the system parameters from one state to a different state based on some other change.
For example, if you have a mass hanging from a spring, with gravity acting on it to stretch the spring; and you increase that amount of mass, the spring will start to stretcvh further, and that plus the spring compliance will set up an increasing counter force to try and stop the spring from stretching further.
Climatologists would therefore call that a NEGATIVE feedback. The stretching of the spring sets up an opposing force to stop the spring from stretching. Balderdash ! The system is simply readjusting itself from one stanle state to a different state that too is stable so long as the increased mass remains in place.
Same thing with the ocean; if you change its temperature; the equlibrium distribution of both H2O and CO2 in the atmosphere in contact with the surface; will change in accordance with Henry’s Law, in the case of the CO2, and the Clausius-Clapeyron Equation in the case of the H2O vapor. Neither one of these adjustments is a FEEDBACK; and furthermore neither one could care less what it was that caused the ocean surface temperature to change.
but back to Schneider’s rather silly statement that H2O is a weak GHG compared to CO2. Does he dispute the general validity of those absorption spectra for CO2 and H2O that Steve posted above ? Is it not true that H2O absorbs much more of the LWIR energy spectrum than CO2 does; not to mention the absorption of incoming Solar radiation ; where H2O has a very significant absorption (which warms the atmosphere) but CO2 does not (it has some; but nowhere near what water has (molecule for molecule)).
You can’t have it both ways; you can’t proclaim H2O to be a feedback effect that amplifies a weak CO2 atmosphereic warming; and then turn around and call H2O a weak GHG compared to CO2. What’s more both of them are equally permanent constituents of the atmosphere, and H2O virtually always exceeds CO2 even over the most arid of deserts.
There’s one more Venus/Earth CO2 discrepancy, that you should throw into your mix Steve.
Earth mean surface temperature is 288 K which corresponds to a BB radiation spectrum peaking at 10.1 microns. CO2 affects this spectrum mostly due to the 15 micron absorption band of CO2. The next higher energy CO2 band at around 4 microns has little effect on earth since it is less than half of the 10.1 micron peak LWIR spectrum peak; so somewhat less than 1% of theat earth emission acts on the CO2 4 micron line. On the other hand 4 microns is also 8 times the peak of the solar spectrum; so less than 1% of the solar spectrum energy is present beyong that 4 micron line; so the CO2 4 micron line has negligible influence on eather solar insolation or outgoing LWIR.
Now Venus has a surface temperature of 485 deg C (I’ll use you figure Steve); so that is 758 Kelvins compared to Earth’s 288.
So the surface BB spectrum emission from the surface of Venus would be expected to lie at 288/758 x 10.1 microns; whchi is 3.84 microns.
So the earth inactive 4 micron CO2 line is the principal active line on Venus; whereas the 15 micron bending mode line is at 3.9 times the wavelength of the Venus surface emission; and only about 6-7% of the Venus surface emission lies at 15 microns or longer.
For Earth to go Venus, due to CO2, the temperature would have to somehow travel through a region where the CO2 absorptance was less than 10% of the peak LWIR emission, and somehow get hot enough to activate the Venus 4 micron line of CO2.
Ain’t gonna happen; no way; well no way under current general earth orbiat and othe major conditions. Anthropogenics isn’t going to do it.
How about those clouds on Venus Steve; they certainly aren’t H2O; and how could they be CO2 at those temperatures. Aren’t they due to some sulphurous component of the Venus atmosphere?

Mike McMillan
May 6, 2010 2:35 pm

A couple additional points. The radiation chart atop this page shows black, blue, and lavender black-body curves for earth at roughly our min to max temperature. Venus’ curve will be shifted significantly left due to the 400+ degree hotter surface. That affects the CO2 absorption, shifting from the fat band up to the narrower bands.
The clouds may be transparent to some regions of IR. However, the very depth of the cloud cover could negate that, and produce effects of its own that alter the adiabatic lapse rate. Without weather, Venus should have a much simpler atmospheric model, but one very different due to its composition.
Both Venus and Mars have CO2 atmospheres, but at opposite extremes to what Earth is used to. I don’t see how either of them can be useful to the AGW case.

Rob
May 6, 2010 2:36 pm

On the comparison of compressing gas in a cylindar to Venus: Space is cold and for a planet drifting in space, can act as a heat. Greenhouse gases are your insulation. They stop some solar radiation from being radiating back into space, hence insulating the planet. There is still some penetration into this thick atmosphere by solar radiation. Whether or not it reaches the surface is irrelevant. The question is, whether there is enough of a greenhouse gas blanket above the penetration level to trap some of that heat and re-emit it back into the atmosphere. The surface, with a hot atmosphere above it, would certaininly get hot.
The pressure-temperature analysis is for the static condition of Venus today, NOT Venus developing through the evolution of the solar system, which is what the runaway greenhouse model addresses.
Besides watching a Nova special, no research was presented on what goes into the Venus runaway greenhouse idea. COnsidering the author’s insistance on refusing to take scientists statements about other scientists theories at face value, I am inclined to ask the author to go back and do his homework.

Jim Barker
May 6, 2010 2:40 pm

Just a thought, but wouldn’t the atmosphere around Venus, thick clouds and all, act like a very good insulator and keep the temp very stable? What little leakage occurred would be made up by the 30% not reflected.

harrywr2
May 6, 2010 2:40 pm

I thought Venus was hot because of SO2 clouds.

SidViscous
May 6, 2010 2:40 pm

To those trying to make a comparison to Jupiter and asking why it’s not hot.
Who is saying htat it’s not hot. the upper atmospher may be cool, but deeper in, where the pressure is higher, it is extremely warm and toasty.

Al Gore
May 6, 2010 2:41 pm

Zeke said:
“May 6, 2010 at 12:36 pm
Just because you don’t understand something doesn’t make it wrong… There is a wealth of literature on Venus’ atmospheric dynamics. A good starting point is here: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v226/n5250/abs/2261037a0.html
Also, Carl Sagan smoking pot is a bit of a cheap shot :P”
Zeke – I clicked the link, and it’s nothing but a list of references of papers from the ’50s and ’60s, which support the runaway GH theory. You have clearly done nothing to argue its case, and nothing to address the points made in this post – which we would welcome here, as most of us are all for constructive debate. Lazy, lazy post.

rbateman
May 6, 2010 2:42 pm

How did Venus get such a dense atmosphere? It heated up over time to the point where all of it’s Carbon, Oxygen and Sulfur volatilized. No magnetic field means it lost it’s Hydrogen early on.
Why didn’t Earth do that?
It has life which aids in sequestering the elements that would lead to a denser atmosphere. a magnetic field which keeps the Solar wind from blowing away the lighter elements, and vulcanism to keep it regenerated.
Mars froze out because it has no magnetic field and no vulcanism.
The question is: Why does Venus still have vulcanism?

patagonico
May 6, 2010 2:44 pm

A layman’s question:
The greenhouse effect of the CO2 does not depend on his percentage in the atmosphere (96,5% in Venus, but 95,3% in Mars) . Alone this is true if the volume of the atmosphere is constant
The greenhouse effect depends on the absolute number of molecules that exist in the atmosphere
In mars it is said that the greenhouse effect of the CO2 does not have relevancy because his atmosphere is very thin
But:
Land: atmospheric pressure: 90 kPa %CO2 0,038 %
Mars: atmospheric pressure 0,6 kPa %CO2 95 %
If for art of magic they were eliminating all the rest gases and we were remaining with the CO2 we would have a pressure of
Land: 0,03 kPa
Mars: 0,57 kPa
Then, or I have been wrong in some point or the question arises: Why there is only a weak greehouse effect in Mars?

kramer
May 6, 2010 2:46 pm

I think the 3rd poster (Curiousgeorge ) has a good point.

MattB
May 6, 2010 2:49 pm

An interesting corolary to this line of thinking though is that besides the raw heat associated with burning fossil fuels that act should to some degree also increase the pressure of the earths atmosphere (due to adding gas mass) which by this argument again gives some credence to actions of man causing an increase in global temps, just again not leading back to the runaway greenhouse effect that is being thrust upon us.

Rob
May 6, 2010 2:49 pm

I also disagree that the comparison of the oft stated
“each doubling of CO2 concentration would increase temperatures by 2-3 degrees” as applied to earth is comparable to what one would expect on Venus. Volume must be as important as concentration. I am not familiar with the volume of Venus’ atmosphere as compared to Earth’s, but I think you’ve established that the atmosphere is thicker.
If you consider a model in which one atmosphere is wrapped in a second atmosphere, where the concentration of CO2 in each is allowed to vary, there is no mixing between the 2 atmospheres, and solar radiation can penetrate both atmospheres, then by simply using the concentration approach, your total temperature increase would be double that of the single atmosphere model as you applied in your analysis. However, combine those 2 atmospehres together, and via the concentration approach, you halve your temperature affect.
For comparisons on earth, we know the size of our atmosphere, but you can’t go applying earth concentration approximations to places with different sizes of atmosphere.
(For the record, I am a geologist who does not believe in significant AGW, but did get my phd at Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, which does tow the party line in favor of AGW)

Phil M.
May 6, 2010 2:52 pm

Wow.
No longer content with doubting earthly science, this group is now reinventing the field of astrophysics? I’m better off asking a sleepy 5 year old for a scientific opinion.
This website is hysterical. Keep ’em coming Steve.

John Trigge
May 6, 2010 2:57 pm

For those using the filling of a gas cylinder example and the consequent cooling due to conduction/convection to the surrounding atmosphere:
Where does the heat from compression go when the entire planet is, effectively, the ‘cylinder’? Everywhere is at the same temperature, hence cooling cannot occur.

May 6, 2010 2:58 pm

Venus’ day (243d) is about 20 Earth’s days longer than Venus’ year (224d). Odd that, but it means that surface being irradiated for that long reaches high temperature (closer to the sun too), and being covered in dense volcanic gasses, acting as a thick blanket, unable to cool during night. Simple as that.

Ian L. McQueen
May 6, 2010 3:00 pm

Steve-
Interesting article. But I wonder why the pressure is so high. Is the atmosphere of Venus so much thicker than that of Earth? My calculus is a bit weak, but I think that there would have to be a much thicker atmosphere than 30-40 km (and is that from surface to the edge of space?). I believe that the size of Venus is about the same as that of Earth, so the force of gravity should be comparable.
Furthermore…..if the temperature of Venus (presumably in the atmosphere near the surface) is 485°C, and the atmosphere is nearly all CO2, and less energy is absorbed from the sun than on Earth, why does the atmosphere not just radiate away its energy to space?
I don’t see the logic of high pressure = high temperature. It could be thus following an adiabatic compression, but if the heat could escape (as by radiation), the temperature would drop, the same as happens on Earth as heat is lost from compressed gas in a cylinder (for example). It is impossible to insulate the gas perfectly.
Comments / explanation welcome!! An inquiring mind wants to know.
IanM

May 6, 2010 3:00 pm

timheyes
Ever hiked down the Grand Canyon? Same weather, same sunshine, similar rocks, same everything – except temperatures at the bottom are much warmer.
Hot gases rise only if the vertical temperature gradient is greater than the lapse rate. I’ve seen some very hot days in Houston with almost no air circulation.

May 6, 2010 3:02 pm

Jim Barker
The amount of radiative energy leaving Venus is (nearly) identical to the amount it receives.

PJF
May 6, 2010 3:04 pm

“Heat flow from inside the earth is much smaller than the energy received from the sun.”
Thanks for that, but I feel the need to point out that I didn’t say otherwise.
This article:
http://www.datasync.com/~rsf1/vel/1918vpt.htm
uses measured and inferred Venusian temperature and pressure profiles (to make an unrelated point). Interestingly, it shows that temperatures on Venus at a height where the pressure matches that of the Earth’s surface are also a fairly close match, differing in tens of degrees rather than hundreds. Not much of a “runaway greenhouse effect” there despite the >95% CO2.
Following the link back to the original authors behind the temperature and pressure profiles:
http://www-star.stanford.edu/projects/mgs/profile.html
reveals something astonishing. They not only say that the high surface temperature of Venus is due to the “runaway greenhouse effect”, they say that the high pressure is due to the “runaway greenhouse effect!” This does show that scientists operating outside of their specialist areas can be remarkably dim.

Dr A Burns
May 6, 2010 3:05 pm

Jupiter has a temperature hotter than Earth’s … with no CO2, just H and He … and a high pressure.
http://www.ilovemycarbondioxide.com/pdf/Rethinking_the_greenhouse_effect.pdf

May 6, 2010 3:09 pm

Anders L.
I live along the Front Range in Colorado. Two days ago we had downslope winds which warmed the night time temperatures up by 30 degrees. It had nothing to do with the greenhouse effect, and everything to do with compression of atmospheric gases at the higher pressures found at lower elevations. Look up “Chinook” for reference.
Clouds also block radiation. You don’t need greenhouse gases to impede IR.

joshua corning
May 6, 2010 3:11 pm

One should note that at the altitude at which Venus’s atmospheric pressure is equal to Earth’s atmospheric pressure at sea level that the temperatures are the same. This is despite the fact that the air on Venus is 96% CO2.

Louis Hissink
May 6, 2010 3:11 pm

Steve omitted one pertinent fact – Sagan put bthe Venus greenhouse effect to counter Velikovsky’s deduction from historical data that Venus had to be hot as it appeared to be a young planet.
Venus’ surface is radiating heat, from what I can gather from the known probe data, so Velikovsky’s deduction seems correct, Venus is hot because it was recently formed. Well that is what our ancestors reckoned.
This statement will cause hyperventilation among the mainstream geological types as well as the astronomers, but that’s science.

Dennis Wingo
May 6, 2010 3:19 pm

I really HATE that graph of the incoming and outgoing radiation from globalwarming art. It tends to make people think that the amount of incoming and outgoing temps are equivalent. If you actually scaled that correctly you would see that the solar IR is a very significant fraction, of the outgoing thermal radiation during the day.
The left hand scale of spectral intensity does not accurately represent what is going on.

Dennis Wingo
May 6, 2010 3:22 pm

So why is Venus hot? Because it has an extremely high atmospheric pressure. The atmospheric pressure on Venus is 92X greater than earth. Temperatures in Earth’s atmosphere warm over 80C going from 20 kPa (altitude 15km) to 100 kPa (sea level.) That is why mountains are much colder than the deserts which lie at their base.
The spectral absorption characteristics of CO2 are also pressure dependent. If you have an atmosphere that much more dense than the Earth, the “wings” of the absorption bands are much wider and taller.

Dave McK
May 6, 2010 3:23 pm

Even more significant about water is the phase change.
Do the calculations- you will find that in a volume of atmosphere containing 1% water vapor and 500ppm CO2, the heat transported from surface to space by the water is 50,000 times more than the CO2 can do. If it gets Cirrus, multiply times 5+.
Earth is a has a heat pump and the atmopheric profile is one of a refrigerant.
Water vapor is the lightest gas of the major constituents of the air and it rises inexorably, carrying the heat of vaporization with it.
Anybody can understand that improving the heat capacity of the working gas of a heat pump just makes it do a better job – it reduces the rate of flow required to maintain equilibrium.
When a cloud comes over, you have shade. CO2 does nothing.
When a cloud parks over the tomatoes at night, you have no frost. CO2 does nothing.
The only thing CO2 does is present a straw man that draws all the attention while they dilate your colon for cap & tax.
You have to stop debating this and run these people off. They’ve already learned that ‘no’ means yes because it’s all talk and no consequences. Look how Mann was defended by those who will bear his babies.
We are still losing and will continue to lose until this topic no longer gets top billing and removal of the mystics is finally understood to be the ONLY thing that matters.

sHx
May 6, 2010 3:26 pm

No need to hark back to Carl Sagan. Here is what James Hansen says in his recent book:

After the ice is gone, would Earth proceed to the Venus syndrome, a runaway greenhouse effect that would destroy all life on the planet, perhaps permanently? While that is difficult to say based on present information, I’ve come to conclude that if we burn all reserves of oil, gas, and coal, there is a substantial chance we will initiate the runaway greenhouse. If we also burn the tar sands and tar shale, I believe the Venus syndrome is a dead certainty.

IMHO, it was a terrible, terrible mistake to put James Hansen, a Venus specialist, in charge of an institution researching the Earth’s climate way back in early the 80s. Hansen, it seems, re-imagined Earth climate system in Venusian terms. His obsession with CO2 and runaway greenhouse effect originates from his early expertise in Venusian atmosphere. This is a mere speculation, but I don’t think we would have this runaway AGW scare had a Venus specialist not been in charge of NASA GISS.

kuhnkat
May 6, 2010 3:32 pm

If Venus is hot because of the atmospheric pressure, Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune, and Uranu should be warmer shouldn’t they??
Venus is hot because it is either younger than the consensus claims, or had a relatively recent catastrophic impact.
They have found that Mercury has more atmosphere and is hotter than it should be based on their consensus science also. I don’t think atmospheric pressure enters into it there either.

Steve Garcia
May 6, 2010 3:32 pm

@ Duster says: May 6, 2010 at 12:19 pm

If you really want to feel confused check out Nasif Nahle’s site: http://biocab.org/Induced_Emission.html. Professor Nahle seems to say that there is no “green house effect,” partly because none of the common models take thermodynamics into account properly. . . According to Nahle, the atmosphere’s primary climatic effect, mainly through convection, carries warmed air away from thermal masses warming it outward and upward to where it radiates away from the planet. This matches discussions on real greenhouse (transparent windows with plants inside) effects, which point out that a true green maintains a warmer environment than the surroundings by limiting convection.

This agrees with the conclusions of Gerhard Gerlich (2007) Falsi cation Of
The Atmospheric CO2 Greenhouse Eff ects Within The Frame Of Physics
of the Institut für Mathematische Physik in Braunschweig, Germany. It is 114 pages and refutes, from a Physicist’s point of view, the concept just as Nahle asserts: It is the hindrance of convection which heats the greenhouse, not radiation.
The math and the laws of physics Gerlich goes into are over my head, so I can’t myself claim to know one way or another.
But I’ve been waiting to post this link for a LONG time, because Sagan was wrong, and I wanted to have a venue for directing people to it. See my next comment somewhere below…

Editor
May 6, 2010 3:34 pm

Great article.
For those asking about Earth’s pressure increasing in the future, that won’t happen. In fact, when Earth was young, the atmosphere was about 50 times as dense as it is at present. Largely made up of CO2. The sun was about 40% dimmer than at present.
Where did all that atmosphere go? Into the rocks. The marble, limestone, and other carbonates that make up large portions of our continental plates were created by life forms sequestering that CO2 in the atmosphere as rock, as well as acidic rainfall that reacted with volcanic, igneous, and sedimentary rocks to create carbonates. All that CO2 is permanently sequestered there. A smaller amount of that former CO2 is sequestered in coal, oil, and natural gas deposits as well as methane hydrate deposits under the sea bottoms. When we burn fossil fuels, we free up that CO2 to be resequestered as more permanent rock by corals as well as acid rain weathering rocks.
The Ice Ages we’ve experienced in the last several million years are a harbinger of permanent end of life on Earth. The interglacials have only been temporary interludes that enabled life to extract more CO2 from the landscape and sequester more of it as rock. Until and unless there is a major volcanic intrusion into fossil fuel deposits (for instance, an eruption of Yellowstone caldera intruding into coal and oil shale deposits elsewhere in Wyoming), the only force putting sequestered CO2 back into the atmosphere to keep life going on Earth is mankind.

phlogiston
May 6, 2010 3:35 pm

rbateman says:
May 6, 2010 at 2:42 pm
How did Venus get such a dense atmosphere? It heated up over time to the point where all of it’s Carbon, Oxygen and Sulfur volatilized. No magnetic field means it lost it’s Hydrogen early on.
Why didn’t Earth do that?
It has life which aids in sequestering the elements that would lead to a denser atmosphere. a magnetic field which keeps the Solar wind from blowing away the lighter elements, and vulcanism to keep it regenerated.
Mars froze out because it has no magnetic field and no vulcanism.
The question is: Why does Venus still have vulcanism?

r, doesn’t distance from the sun have something to do with temps on Venus and Mars?

kuhnkat
May 6, 2010 3:35 pm

How did such poor science come to be common knowledge??
Ask our Venus probe modeler and physicist, who is in charge of GISS and thinks coal trains are the same as Holocaust Trains in the Third Reich, James Hansen!!!
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

wsbriggs
May 6, 2010 3:38 pm

Dennis Wingo says:
May 6, 2010 at 3:22 pm
“The spectral absorption characteristics of CO2 are also pressure dependent. If you have an atmosphere that much more dense than the Earth, the “wings” of the absorption bands are much wider and taller.”
So Dennis, how about a little quantitative information, how much wider, how much taller? If you integrate the curve, do you really get a lot of area, or maybe just a slight spreading, but these are the tails of the absorption bands, and so how much matters a lot.
Sounds like more PNS to me.

PJF
May 6, 2010 3:42 pm

“…Venus is hot because it was recently formed.”
Despite my earlier linking to a Velikovsky fan page, I don’t think the science shows he was correct. It would be more accurate to say that Venus is hot because its *surface* was recently formed (in geological timescales). Surface cratering (or lack thereof)indicates a very young surface. Due to the lack of tectonic activity (which allows gradual heat loss on Earth) the planet is believed to have been entirely molten within the last five hundred million years.

pft
May 6, 2010 3:45 pm

“PJF says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:08 pm
It would be interesting to know what the atmospheric temperature on Venus is at the height equivalent to one Earth atmospheric pressure.”
One commenter on another thread at some other time had said it was within 1-2 deg C of Earths temperature. Sounded like he knew what he was ralking about, and it makes sense.
Heck, even the temperature of the earth at increasing depth and higher pressure increases, it reaches over 100 deg C where water boils at 300 deg C, so obviously at a pressure of 92 atmospheres it’s going to be hot. CO2 does make it hotter though, since I would expect some mixing of the atmosphere from top to bottom
For some reason, deep ocean temperatures 2.5-5 miles deep is only 3 deg C and does not increase. But who knows, if NASA and their scientists can lie (distort) about the cause of the temperature on Venus surface, maybe this is not true as well. Maybe that’s the corrected temperature after adjusting for pressure, like they do with the atmosphere where the potential temperature (corrected for lower pressure and lapse rate) is much higher than the actual temperature (down to -100 deg C)

solarguy
May 6, 2010 3:46 pm

Yes, To compare the surface temperature of Venus to the Surface temperature of Jupiter you would have to go down about 57000km (trough Jupiter’s “Atmosphere” to reach the mostly solid/liquid surface at which point the temperature is as high as 24000K. A good deal warmer than Venus and a bit more pressure too.

JAE
May 6, 2010 3:50 pm

Hmmm, aren’t you now agreeing that the atmospheric pressure explains why the Earth’s temperature averages about 16 C, rather than -18? I thought that conventional wisdom says that the greenhouse effect is the reason.

Joe
May 6, 2010 3:50 pm

Core size of Venus would have a great deal to do with magnetic field and speed of rotation. No core like the moon is no more rotation. Small core on a big planet would slow faster with the frictional load.

Hey Skipper
May 6, 2010 3:50 pm

stevengoddard:
Good article.
This substantiates it.
The Venusian atmospheric temperature at the 1000 mb level (about 50 km above the surface) is right around 100 deg F.
Which, considering how much closer Venus is to the sun, is scarcely any different from the Earth’s temperature at sea level.

Warren in Minnesota
May 6, 2010 3:55 pm

Ian L. McQueen says:
May 6, 2010 at 3:00 pm
Steve-
Interesting article. But I wonder why the pressure is so high.
* * * * * * * * * * * * * *
I also wondered why the pressure is so high. I found that the mass of the atmosphere of Venus is larger than that of the Earth by a factor of 100. Venus has about ~4.8X10^20kg whereas the Earth has about 5.1X10^18kg. The compression of the gas would be higher with more mass and gravitational attraction, thus the higher pressure. Similarly, the atmosphere of Earth has more mass than the Mars by a factor of 100. Again Earth has about 5.1X10^18kg whereas Mars has about ~2.5X10^16kg. With less compression on Mars, its pressure would be less than the Earth’s pressure.
Warren

stephan
May 6, 2010 3:57 pm
Gail Combs
May 6, 2010 3:58 pm

Chad Woodburn says:
May 6, 2010 at 2:12 pm
I have two questions. Not being a scientist, I am well aware that my two questions might be silly, but I’d really like to know the answers.
1. Why, if CO2 keeps certain wavelengths of radiative heat inside our atmosphere (creating a positive feedback) does it not also keep an equal amount from coming into the atmosphere in the first place (creating a negative feedback like clouds)?
2. It is my understanding that CO2 only traps radiation within a narrow spectrum of radiation. While measurements of the total heat coming into the atmosphere from the sun are measured in total watts per meter squared, does the composition of that radiation vary? If the amount of radiation that can be trapped by CO2 varies as much as the solar dynamics vary (active sun, passive sun, solar wind, cooling stars, etc.), do the models track for that in making their calculations for heat trapping by CO2 and the rest of the variations in global temperature?
________________________________________________________________________
Take a look at the graph in the post. The red curve is the incoming solar radiation and the blue curve is the energy bouncing off the earth’s surface as transmitted by the atmosphere. The purple, blue and black lines are the radiation transmitted from the earth into space; they are calculated using a blackbox assumption based on temperature. The 3 lines represent 3 different temperatures from 210–310 K (–63 to +37 °C) due to the variation of the surface and atmospheric temperature over the earth. The blue area is what escapes into space. Next look at the gray curves. The third one down is CO2. The absorption bands are not in the solar energy curve area except for one. Also note by looking at the top curve that ALL the energy bouncing off the earth’s surface has already been absorbed in the CO2 absorption bands. (that is the logrithmic thingy Steve is talking about) There is a bit of room left at 2um but that is in the sun’s part of the spectra. Adding CO2 is not going to do a darn thing.
One look at that graph convinced me (a chemist) this was nothing but a political money making scheme. If the CO2 already in the atmosphere has already absorbed all the radiation adding more CO2 just isn’t going to matter much. There is a convoluted explanation about one molecule re-radiating and the additional molecules absorbing the same energy a second and third time. However think about it. The actual curve shows the energy is not getting transmitted from the atmosphere at those wavelengths at all. How can more CO2 effect that blue curve???
It is not quite as simple as that. Here is one explanation http://www.udel.edu/Geography/DeLiberty/Geog474/geog474_energy_interact.html
And the other side of the debate: http://landshape.org/dokuwiki/doku.php?id=introduction
Hope that helps.

JAE
May 6, 2010 3:58 pm

I tried to comment, but no show. Try again:
“So why is Venus hot? Because it has an extremely high atmospheric pressure. The atmospheric pressure on Venus is 92X greater than earth. Temperatures in Earth’s atmosphere warm over 80C going from 20 kPa (altitude 15km) to 100 kPa (sea level.) That is why mountains are much colder than the deserts which lie at their base.”
Hmmm, are you saying that the reason the Earth’s avg. temp. is something like 17 C, instead of -18 is because of atmospheric pressure? The experts keep telling me that the difference is due to the greenhouse effect!

Onion
May 6, 2010 4:14 pm

Could the pressure be an effect of the heat rather than the heat being caused by the temperature?
With regards to Jupiter, wikipedia says: ” The amount of heat produced inside the planet is nearly equal to the total solar radiation it receives.[26] This additional heat radiation is generated by the Kelvin-Helmholtz mechanism through adiabatic contraction. This process results in the planet shrinking by about 2 cm each year.[27] When it was first formed, Jupiter was much hotter and was about twice its current diameter”
There’s no mention of pressure itself generating heat, only absorbed solar radiation and heat generated through the planet shrinking.

Steve Fitzpatrick
May 6, 2010 4:14 pm

Steve Goddard,
Great post.
Every small debunking of nonsensical horse**** helps.

Steve Fitzpatrick
May 6, 2010 4:18 pm

So te ultimate solution to CAGW is to liquify a bunch of the Earth’s atmosphere and lower the atmospheric pressure!

Eric Flesch
May 6, 2010 4:20 pm

Pressure and temperature are dependent only in a constrained adiabatic system. For black box systems like planets, temperature is independent of pressure because heat is freely exchanged. Venus’s albedo likely pertains more to visible light than heat; I expect the opaque atmosphere absorbs most impinged solar heat. Venus receives 2x the solar radiation intensity as Earth, and its temperature (K) is about 3x; the excess 50% probably retained by atmospheric opacity. It just takes the heat a bit longer to escape. Superpressurized CO2 may play a big role in that, but Earth has nothing like that, and never can.

George Turner
May 6, 2010 4:22 pm

The temperature profile on Venus stays very close to the adiabatic lapse rate of CO2, which has nothing to do with IR radiation, just the coefficient of specific heat and constant pressure. In Carl Sagan’s 1967 paper on the surface temperature of Venus, prior to any measurments of it, he got it right to within 50C or so just based on the cloud top temperature and the depth of the atmosphere. He also showed that the surface temperature would be hotter if the atmosphere was nitrogen instead of CO2, due to the differing coefficient of specific heat at constant pressure.

Onion
May 6, 2010 4:24 pm

The EPA Endangerment Finding Comment Response contains a relevant comment on this question about pressure:
Comment (3-49):
A commenter (2210.1) states that Venus is not an example of the greenhouse effect but is merely warmer because it is closer to the sun. Another commenter (2210.5) attributes Venus’ warmth to higher atmospheric pressure because compression causes temperature increases (for example, this occurs when inflating a bicycle tire, due to the proportional relationship between pressure and temperature represented in the ideal gas law, pV=nRT, i.e., pressure times volume equals amount of gas times temperature times a constant), and that a 95% CO2 atmosphere is actually cooler than a 100% biatomic atmosphere would be.
Response (3-49):
Venus is warmer than the Earth both because of the greenhouse effect and because of its distance to the sun; in contrast, Mercury is cooler than Venus despite being even closer to the sun. Were Venus’ atmosphere to be transparent to radiation, then the surface temperature of Venus would be determined only by the blackbody radiation of the surface, and the pressure of the atmosphere would not change this equilibrium temperature. There is a large body of literature on Venus’ climate; one example is Bullock and Grinspoon (2001)—all of which show that CO2 is a significant contributor to the planet’s warmth. Because volume is not held constant, it is not appropriate to use the ideal gas law to determine the temperature on the surface of Venus based only on knowledge about its pressure. Therefore, the scientific literature shows clearly that the temperature of Venus is an example of a greenhouse effect, in contrast to the assertion by the commenters.”

Editor
May 6, 2010 4:26 pm

Almost exactly ten years ago, Dr. Hartwig Volz made what I think is the best analysis of this on the late and greatly missed John Daly’s website. His analysis is here. By and large it agrees with what Steve Goddard says, only with more detail, more math, and a curious twist.
The twist is that on the surface of Venus, CO2 is no longer a gas but a “supercritical fluid”, which behaves very differently than a gas.
In any case, another excellent post, Steve.

Steve Garcia
May 6, 2010 4:33 pm

Dennis Nikols says: May 6, 2010 at 12:20 pm

This whole Venus thing goes back the E. Velekofski (sp?) in the 1950′s. Segan, like many others had some rather strange ideas. This one he picked up from Velekofski from one of his books. He wrote several (can’t be sure of the titles). I did try to read them and found his understanding of geology completely screwed up. So I judged his astronomy was little better. Like many strange people he was not completely, wrong just mostly so. Segan is much the same. Some of his stuff is okay and some not so good. When you get down to the facts we know so little about Venus that making any kind of comparison to Earth is rather foolish.

We know them as Sagan and Velikovsky.
In Worlds In Collision (1950), Velikovsky asserted that the surface temperature of Venus would be found to be between 800F and 900F. Velikovsky set off such a absolutely thunderous reaction among astronomers that they threatened the publishers, Macmillan, which published many school textbooks, with being blackballed if they didn’t cease and desist. Macmillan capitulated, even though the book was #1 on the best sellers list. Doubleday took over the publishing.
Be it known that the consensus (ever had of that term?) in 1950 was that Venus’ surface temperature was approximately 200F-300F. It was one of the reasons the astronomers were so furious with Velikovsky.
While I completely disagree with Velikovsky’s mechanism, a few of his observations and piecing of facts have subsequently been seen to hold water. But I disagree with the scientists and their reaction even more than I disagree with Velikovsky.
A latecomer to the brouhaha was Carl Sagan. When in 1962 the NASA Mariner probe flew by Venus and determined that the surface temperature was approximately 428C (802F), the LAST thing the astronomers were going to do was admit that Velikovsky (whose book, combined with the UFO furor of the late 1940s and early 1950s, started the Hollywood era of catastrophes from space) was correct. They had to come up with an explanation, and they had to do it NOW.
Along came Sagan and his runaway greenhouse speculation.
It is a constant of scientists that when they run across something they can’t explain – but they can’t deny, either – they throw out a speculation and then turn on their heels and exit, stage right, leaving everyone to assume that, since the scientist has now spoken, the issue is settled.
The world as assumed ever since that since Lord Sagan hath spoken, that what came from out his mouth must be true. The runaway greenhouse effect went down in the records as THE truth about Venus. Hell, they needed SOMETHING. Otherwise they would have to have admitted that Velikovsky might have been right – which would mean that they were wrong. Heaven forbid.
It was similar to the period in the early 1800s when scientists finally could put the beliefs in Noah’s Flood to rest. Noah’s Flood – the last bastion of religion which science had not been able to bury – had all the evidence going for it. All round, everywhere, there was well-documented evidence of a great catastrophe – striated rocks; overturned layering of the earth; erratic boulders on top of the Alps and other high peaks; foothills made up almost entirely of mammoth; elephant, hippopotamus and rhinoceros bones (in the Arctic Ocean), caves filled with the shattered bones (100%, BTW) of every sort of animals, both prey and predator. Then along came Agassiz and Lyell and then Darwin, to provide a framework that allowed for Ice Ages and seemingly limitless eons for the changes that had appeared to Cuvier and his predecessors as diluvian, meaning flood-caused. The Bible was overthrown by geologic ages.
But then 100 years later, along came Velikovsky, whose efforts threatened to let the beast of the Bible back into the discussion. And even though Velikovsky’s work was related to accounts in religious writings, it had nothing religious about it. But they couldn’t let even a hint (deny the decline) that there was anything but slow Uniformitarianism and Darwin’s survival of the fittest. So Velikovsky had to be destroyed in 1950 – even as the world was listening to him. And then in 1962, Velikovsky had to be dstroyed again. He had to be trumped by scientists, so that he couldn’t claim that manna hadn’t fallen from the sky (a literal claim in Worlds In Collision). That was WAY too close to bringing religion back.
Sagan’s speculative runaway greenhouse effect saved the day. The scientists could turn on their heel, exit left, and leave everyone assuming that St Carl had saved the day.
It was left to another decade and one James Hansen to really put the greenhouse effect – the one that hadn’t YET runaway, BUT THAT MIGHT! – together with Arrhenius’s CO2 concern (at a time when it was aerosols in the form of coal dust that was the real issue) and VOILA! BE SCARED! BE VERY SCARED!
Sagan took a 96.5% CO2 Venus atmosphere, and he made assumptions. That became a dogma.
Then that dogma was taken by Hansen to apply to Earth’s atmosphere, which was only 0.3% CO2 – 320 times less – and created another dogma. We had dogma-squared, and without any science behind it. The greenhouse mechanism was assumed to be real, because SAGAN said it was real.
I’ve been screaming about this for three decades now. I am SO happy to see someone else questioning it.
Velikovksy WAS right, but for the wrong reasons.
Sagan was WRONG, but – in his mind – for the right reasons.
Hansen was WRONG, and for the wrong reasons.
P.S. Velikovsky’s other main book, Earth In Upheaval delineates MUCH that argues against Uniformitarianism. So did Comet Shoemaker-Levy’s impacts on Jupiter in 1994. Only after that did science wake up to the real possibility of catastrophic events in the time of man – which was Velikovky’s main point in the first place. Since 1994, not one nouveau-catastrophist has credited any of their plagiarized concepts to their father, Immanuel Velikosky. To do so would be to admit that the consensus was wrong for the last half century. But it would also give religion a foot in the door – and well, that will never do…
If Velikovsky was right, what chance would Ice Ages and limitless eons have? Who would stop our schools from teaching all kinds of non-Darwinian things? What would happen to the consensus?

chris y
May 6, 2010 4:37 pm

re- kuhnkat says:
May 6, 2010 at 3:32 pm
“If Venus is hot because of the atmospheric pressure, Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune, and Uranu should be warmer shouldn’t they??”
Jupiter is blazin’ hot. Some info on Jupiter-
top of atmosphere is at -145 C
50 km thick layer of clouds, followed by 21000 km of H2, He, transitioning to liquid, followed by 40,000 km of metallic liquid H2, followed by possible solid rocky core (surface).
Surface pressure of several million atmospheres.
Surface temperature estimated at 24,000 – 30,000 C. Nowhere near the Gorian crustal Earth temperature of a few million degrees (C, F, K, R, take your pick), but still pretty hot.
Adiabatic lapse rate of Jovian atmosphere is about 2 C/km.
Earth is 6 – 10 C/km.
Venus is 10 C/km.
Mars is 4.5 C/km.
Steve Goddard is simply repeating the standard lapse rate calculation, given for adiabatic case as Gamma=g/Cp, where g is gravitational constant and Cp is the specific heat of the atmosphere.
If you want a runaway Greenhouse here on Earth, you need to somehow boost the atmospheric pressure by a factor of 20 or more. Good luck with that.
Its simply stunning that Venusian expert Hansen continues to spout runaway Greenhouse drivel due to anthro emissions as being remotely possible here on Earth.

Zeke the Sneak
May 6, 2010 4:38 pm

“The next problem is that the albedo of Venus is very high, due to the 100% cloud cover. At least 65% of the sunshine received by Venus is immediately reflected back into space.”
It is not hard to find figures that say more like 80% of the sunshine is reflected into space. That leaves 20% of the sunshine to get in and raise temperatures to the melting point of lead!
I am inclined to go with the much higher albedo than S. Goddard has cautiously cited. For one thing, Venus is the 3rd brightest object in the sky after the Sun and Moon, with its greatest magnitude being 4.6.
Hard to believe that twinkling beauty is a place where you would be fried, poisoned, squashed and corroded. I suppose there could be a lesson in there somewhere, but it isn’t the “runaway greenhouse effect”!

Onion
May 6, 2010 4:39 pm

The EPA say: “Were Venus’ atmosphere to be transparent to radiation, then the surface temperature of Venus would be determined only by the blackbody radiation of the surface, and the pressure of the atmosphere would not change this equilibrium temperature. There is a large body of literature on Venus’ climate; one example is Bullock and Grinspoon (2001)—all of which show that CO2 is a significant contributor to the planet’s warmth. “

Nullius in Verba
May 6, 2010 4:41 pm
Gail Combs
May 6, 2010 4:42 pm

sHx says:
May 6, 2010 at 3:26 pm
“…..Hansen, it seems, re-imagined Earth climate system in Venusian terms. His obsession with CO2 and runaway greenhouse effect originates from his early expertise in Venusian atmosphere. This is a mere speculation, but I don’t think we would have this runaway AGW scare had a Venus specialist not been in charge of NASA GISS.”
_______________________________________________________________________
CAGW comes from the first Earth Summit and Maurice Strong in 1972. As Elaine Dewar wrote in Toronto’s Saturday Night magazine:
“It is instructive to read Strong’s 1972 Stockholm speech and compare it with the issues of Earth Summit 1992. Strong warned urgently about global warming, the devastation of forests, the loss of biodiversity, polluted oceans, the population time bomb. Then as now, he invited to the conference the brand-new environmental NGOs [non-governmental organizations]: he gave them money to come; they were invited to raise hell at home. After Stockholm, environment issues became part of the administrative framework in Canada, the U.S., Britain, and Europe.”
http://www.mail-archive.com/ctrl@listserv.aol.com/msg106963.html
Strong is a member of the Club of Rome.
Club of Rome Document, 1991, “The First Global Revolution” p. 71,75 1993
– Richard Haass,
“The common enemy of humanity is man.
In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up
with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming,
water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill. All these
dangers are caused by human intervention, and it is only through
changed attitudes and behavior that they can be overcome.
The real enemy then, is humanity itself.”
Strong is a trustee of the Rockefeller Foundation and worked for the Rockefellers in Saudi Arabia when he first started out. Even David Rockefeller had the gall to admit they are trying to wreck the USA. He writes in the Rockefeller autobiography “Memoirs” on page 405, “For more than a century ideological extremists at either end of the political spectrum have seized upon well-publicized incidents… to attack the Rockefeller family for the inordinate influence they claim we wield over American political and economic institutions. Some even believe we are part of a secret cabal working against the best interests of the United States, characterizing my family and me as “internationalists and of conspiring with others around the world … If that’s the charge, I stand guilty, and I am proud of it.”
There is plenty of evidence that CAGW and the anti-nuclear movements were orchestrated for political and monetary motives. Both Strong and the Rockefellers are heavily into oil and did not want nuclear as a competitor in the 1970’s

Z
May 6, 2010 4:43 pm

One of the things overlooked is that Venus has an opaque atmosphere. That means that energy can only be radiated from the very edge of the atmosphere, unlike Earth, where a photon can fire out from just about anywhere from the surface upwards. That makes the effective surface area of Earth (and Mars) very large, and the effective surface area of Venus very small in comparison.
Combine this with the increased albedo of Venus – recognising that the whiter a surface, the less it radiates – and you can see that Venus probably has a hard time dumping heat, especially in comparison to Earth and Mars.
A little bit of geothermal energy probably goes a long way there – I’m not surprised the surface periodically melts.

Mike Ewing
May 6, 2010 4:44 pm

I think Venus and earth have nothing in common. Youve gotta ask the why with the thick atmosphere of venus, vrs earth. And water is the obvious difference… which enables chemical reactions that lock co2 from the core outta the atmosphere. So venus would have been of similar composition at its birth, with its location in the solar system, but the main difference that i can see that would result in the H2O being stripped would be the absence of a magnetic field on venus, the result i suppose of its slow rotation/long days… which would have meant that the solar winds would have stripped the atmosphere/planet of lighter gases.
If earth had all the co2 in its atmosphere today that had been vented from its core since its birth, id wager it would also have a dense atmosphere. And be a tad warmer than it is now;-)
And it dosnt matter if the shortwave dosnt reach the surface, if its absorbed in the atmosphere, it will still cause a greenhouse effect.

Curiousgeorge
May 6, 2010 4:51 pm

@ kramer says:
May 6, 2010 at 2:46 pm
I think the 3rd poster (Curiousgeorge ) has a good point.

Well, thanks; but the point was merely to get people thinking a bit. I know full well that Venus does not behave as a cylinder does. It has sources of energy, including tidal effects, possibly some internal radiation, etc. as well as solar heating & volcanism that effectively keep those gas molecules moving and therefore keep the energy level up. And that’s really what we’re talking about here – energy.
It’s theorized that Titan has liquid water under it’s miles of ice due to heating from the tidal effects of Jupiter, so Solar tidal effects may not be an insignificant factor on Venus, especially given it’s slow rotation.

Leon Brozyna
May 6, 2010 4:52 pm

Stunningly obvious.
Stunningly simple.
And stunningly ignored.

Savante
May 6, 2010 4:55 pm

You might want to make a calculation of “radiation transmitted by the atmosphere” on Venus (as shown above for Earth); You will be surprised by what you see. There is essentially as much water (absolute) on Venus as on earth (yes it is a smaller fraction of the atmosphere, but the atmosphere is ~100 times more massive); in addition, the much higher pressures broaden the IR transitions (both for water and CO2) producing a very thick greenhouse. The presence of sulfur dioxide and sulfuric acid add additional opacity.

May 6, 2010 5:03 pm

Congratulations Steve.
Now ask this really interesting question:
At what temperature does Calcium Carbonate thermally disassociate into Carbon Dioxide and Calcium Oxide? Notice that this temperature is way above the surface temperature of Venus and so limestone would be a thermally stable rock, even on Venus. (OK, I know, but not chemically stable in the presence of the sulphuric acid in the Venusian atmosphere).
The real point is this. It is not possible for the carbon dioxide sequestered in the limestone rocks of Earth to be naturally released into our atmosphere by thermal dissociation of limestone (except of course in a cement works). In order to load our atmosphere with the equivalent mass of Carbon Dioxide gas seen on Venus, all of the limestone on Earth would have to be destroyed.
You are right Steve. For the Earth, runaway carbon dioxide greenhouse is a complete fiction.

bubbagyro
May 6, 2010 5:11 pm

It is 9000 KPa on earth. Deep under the mantle. I wonder if it is cool there?

Mike
May 6, 2010 5:13 pm

As Rob above explained you are looking only at the present conditions and not how Venus’s atmosphere evolved. The Wikipedia article you cite does explain this.
“Studies have suggested that several billion years ago Venus’s atmosphere was much more like Earth’s than it is now, and that there were probably substantial quantities of liquid water on the surface, but a runaway greenhouse effect was caused by the evaporation of that original water, which generated a critical level of greenhouse gases in its atmosphere. [34]”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venus#Atmosphere_and_climate
The reference is to one paper that uses a one-dimensional model and requires a subscription. Does anyone have a better reference for the evolution of the Venusian atmosphere? It may be that the high temps caused even more CO2 to go into the atmosphere and increase the density. Anyone know?

rbateman
May 6, 2010 5:21 pm

phlogiston says:
May 6, 2010 at 3:35 pm
The distance from the Sun has to do how much energy reaches a planet.
What happens from there is the subject.
Magnetic field vs how much early Solar Wind scouring has taken place. Mass counts as radioactive material decay can internally heat a planet. Have a look at the density of and mass of the inner planets.

Bill Illis
May 6, 2010 5:22 pm

The greenhouse effect is not the only thing that makes objects hot in the universe.
Gravitation compression causes Jupiter’s core to be 24,000K, Earth’s core to be over 6,000K, and for the stars to initiate main sequence nuclear fusion, temperatures have to increase to 10 million Kelvin (no greenhouse effect involved in that).
Furthermore, some of the hottest places on Earth are the depressions below sea level. The Dead Sea for example is about 5C to 7C warmer than the temperatures above the rift valley (a higher rate than would be expected from the lapse rate alone at 2C to 4C).
Obviously, it is not as easy as just “pressure”. The deep ocean has a temperature close to 1.0C despite the very high pressure in the deep ocean but that is because water is denser as it get colder. The hottest temperatures in the Earth system are, in fact, at the very top of the atmosphere in the Thermosphere because it is subject to so much EM radiation from the Sun and the magnetic field (and the fact that it is so thin, temperature starts to mean less and less).
If you look at the lapse rate of Mars, Earth, Venus and the Sun, it has a logarithmic relationship to temperature with higher lapse rates occuring as the temperature increases but it is logarithmic.
Generally, I think pressure and, in effect, the work being done by gravity, has not been taken into account in global warming theory and someone needs to put it back in.

Mike Ewing
May 6, 2010 5:23 pm

Savante says:
“There is essentially as much water (absolute) on Venus as on earth”
Are you sure about this…..i take it this isnt counting H2SO4 as water… can you cite a source please?

May 6, 2010 5:23 pm

“No such place exists, but if it did – it would be extremely hot, like Venus.”
No, it wouldn’t, not without a greenhouse effect. A surface at 700K emits about 12,000 W/m2. Incoming sunlight, averaged over surface area, on Venus is about 400 W/m2. If the atmosphere is transparent to thermal IR, that 12,000 W/m2 would just go out to space and sunlight couldn’t possibly balance it. The surface would cool.
What does balance it, of course, is thermal IR emitted from the atmosphere itself. But that can only happen with some GHG effect.
The adiabatic transport effect can explain a temperature difference. But it can’t provide that source of radiant heat. All it means is that TOA would be correspondingly colder.
“The way a greenhouse effect works is by shortwave radiation warming the ground, and greenhouse gases impeding the return of long wave radiation to space.”
It doesn’t have to involve the ground. It only requires that heat passes through a layer of gas at a frequency to which the gas is relatively transparent, and is part-blocked from returning at lower thermal IR frequency. It doesn’t matter whether the absorption and reemission happens at the ground or at a lower level of the atmosphere.

artwest
May 6, 2010 5:24 pm

OT:
I was watching UK Channel Four’s Alternative Election Night programme and they brought on trendy, all-over-telly-at-the-moment, Prof. Brian Cox and asked him what we SHOULD be worried about. He had a list of five things and as I was expecting the obligatory CAGW, probably as No.1 “threat”, I frankly zoned out a bit, but shockingly, amongst super volcanoes, plagues and asteroids, I don’t think there was a single mention of global warming. Even when he came to his No 1, human stupidity, I didn’t hear anything about AGW.
Did my ears deceive me? Anyone else catch this? Doesn’t he realise that even the fact of not mentioning AGW will cause him to be banished to the wilderness – or is he a closet sceptic?
Surely if he was any kind of believer, AGW would be in his top 5 threats to humanity?
I know it sounds like a minor point but, given the non-stop gushing about AGW on British TV this was genuinely a surprise.

kuhnkat
May 6, 2010 5:25 pm

Onion,
CO2 has a very narrow bandwidth for absorption of IR radiation. Unlike the earth with oxygen, ozone, water vapor, and a couple other high efficiency radiation absorbers that are wide band, the CO2 atmosphere of Venus is like stretching a few reflective strings over a wide open window to try and reflect back the energy.

HankHenry
May 6, 2010 5:25 pm

Steve,
Thanks and that would mean that while CO2 on Venus is a fifteenth the density of water, air on earth (at 1.2 kg/m3) is only about one *fiftieth* the density of CO2 on Venus. I wonder if you’d call movement of something that heavy – a wind or a current. I also wonder what convective processes would be like on Venus.

kuhnkat
May 6, 2010 5:32 pm

Savante,
“…adds additional opacity.”
Opacity means BLOCKED. Doesn’t mean reradiated in all directions which is the so called Greenhouse theory.
Like earth there is still the issue as to whether a cooler atmosphere CAN heat a hotter surface!!!!!!!!
How high is the tropopause on Venus again??
How much water vapor is actually below the tropopause??
By the way, there is no confirmation of actual water only hydroxyl.

May 6, 2010 5:41 pm

If there was a lot of heat coming out of the interior of Venus, it would be detectable as a radiative imbalance at the exterior of the atmosphere. Has anyone heard of this? I haven’t.

CodeTech
May 6, 2010 5:41 pm

I had to explain this to a few people while working with turbos, so let me try to throw some plain English explanations into the mix.
When you compress ambient air with a turbocharger, it gets hot. Really hot. Most people simply use the logic that the turbo is hot (driven by exhaust gas), therefore it heats the air. This isn’t even remotely close, since the air isn’t in contact with the blades nearly long enough to heat it much. What is happening is that all of the energy that was already in the air is now packed into a smaller space, thus there is more energy in the same space, thus it is warmer.
And by warmer, I mean really warmer, hundreds of degrees. This is why turbo cars use an intercooler, a mini radiator that lets the compressed air radiate much of that heat before it gets into the engine.
The post above about compressing air into a bottle heating it but then later it’s cool? The simple reason is that the energy has radiated away. If you compress air into a thermally isolated chamber it will remain warmer (don’t try a Thermos, they can’t take much pressure… voice of experience).
As we all know, the atmosphere of Earth holds only a tiny fraction of the energy that the oceans do. The exact same is true of the Venusian atmosphere: it is under a higher pressure and therefore CAN hold more energy. So it does. And it gets that energy from the local star. Who knows how long it has taken to reach its current equilibrium? Are there Venusian Climatologists right now worried about 10K temperature variations over the last century?
Ironically, we use the stereotype of Mars being red, angry, male, and Venus being gentle, mellow, female. In actuality Mars is cold, barren, dull, and Venus is hot, roiling, active.

May 6, 2010 5:44 pm

Nick Stokes
You set up a straw man using a selectively edited quote. Very naughty of you.
What I wrote was :

9000 kPa atmospheric pressure would occur on earth at an altitude many miles below sea level.  No such place exists, but if it did – it would be extremely hot, like Venus.

May 6, 2010 5:49 pm

Earth’s atmosphere has 1,000 times the concentration of water as Venus. Venus has only 90 times as much atmosphere. That means that earth has 10 times as much water stored in the atmosphere as Venus, plus a massive buffer of excess water in the oceans.

MattN
May 6, 2010 5:55 pm

Kenneth Chang of the NY Times and I had an email exchange last year and this very subject was thrown out there. This is lifted word for word from one of his responses to me:
“Let’s turn the question around: what would convince you that the climate is warming? I’m guessing that actual temperature data from other parts of the world (and images of shrinking glaciers and stuff like that) are not convincing data to you, either. The policy questions don’t hinge much on Antarctica. I guess I also don’t understand how you could be so certain that CO2 emissions could a priori never cause warming. The fundamental basic physics of carbon dioxide says it should. And for clear proof that CO2 in sufficient quantities can cause global warming, there’s Venus.”
This guy is the “science” reporter for the Times….

PJF
May 6, 2010 5:56 pm

“It’s theorized that Titan has liquid water under it’s miles of ice due to heating from the tidal effects of Jupiter…”
I doubt there are any such theories. Titan orbits Saturn.
Interestingly, Titan has a surface atmospheric pressure 60% greater than Earth’s and the temperature is minus 178C. Other Saturnian moons with no atmosphere at all have average temperatures only about ten degrees colder. Without a heat source (internal or external), atmospheric pressure contributes little in and of itself.

Brian G Valentine
May 6, 2010 5:58 pm

SO2 produced on the surface reacts with water vapor to form sulfuric acid (droplets) stabilized to boiling by the catalyst (dust) in the Venusian atmosphere, and that reaction produced quite a bit of heat?
Note that the martian atmosphere of 95-99% CO2 (at 3-5 mm Hg pressure) does not contribute to the heat of Mars at all. The size of the planet and the heat capacity of Martian soil account completely for the diurnal change in temp of up to 250K.
Carl Sagan had way to many conversations with extraterrestrials. I think they were responsible for a lot of his bad judgment

jcrabb
May 6, 2010 6:01 pm

I guess the high pressure at the bottom of the Ocean explains why it is so hot down there…

Brego
May 6, 2010 6:20 pm

Re: Dave McK says @ May 6, 2010 at 3:23 pm
You get it. Good on you!

DougB
May 6, 2010 6:21 pm

Hi Steven
If the atmosphere were to behave as an ideal gas the pressure cannot determine the long-term temperature. The atmospheric pressure at the planet surface would be determined by the total weight of the atmosphere divided by the total area of the planet. If the atmosphere is losing more heat by radiation than it receives from all sources (the sun plus any flow from a hot interior) then the atmosphere will cool. As it cools it will contract so that its volume decreases. The high pressure does not determine the temperature. Temperature decreases with altitude in the troposphere of a planetary atmosphere because heat is being radiated more from a higher level so a negative temperature gradient is established. I rather fear that your article will give the CAGW alarmists an avenue to attack us.
Kind regards, DougB

Pamela Gray
May 6, 2010 6:21 pm

Alright guys, this redhead is hyperventilating cuz we are just about to start the fishing season and I don’t have the rod I want! I just bought (well, last month) a very nice baitcasting reel and am looking for a shorter, flexible baitcasting rod so that I can fish along a brushy tree lined river. I am not fond of spinners as they snap the line back when I want to stop the line at the other side of the bank (which is where the trout I want ALWAYS are, right?). I want a flexible rod that takes 4 to 8 lb test that is less than 7 feet and preferably 6’6″. Got any ideas where I can find such a rod without going to #%*$ Venus????

May 6, 2010 6:21 pm

Just for general interest, here is a graphic description of the total amount of water in the oceans and air in the atmosphere compared with the planet. [Water on left, air on right.]

u.k.(us)
May 6, 2010 6:27 pm

20 minutes till sunset in Chicago, then Venus will be very bright in the West/Northwest. Conditions on Venus are being extrapolated? with our conditions?
We live here, and can’t figure it out.
3.4 billion years of asteroids, volcanos, continental drift and ice ages.
The results (not obliterated), are still being discovered/studied.
The next 1000 years, will be a “blink of an eye” in Earth’s geologic history.
P.S. Don’t tell Al Gore. Lest his head explode.
I know, you know, but had to say it.

Brian
May 6, 2010 6:27 pm

Here is the part that still confuses me. Looking at the Radiation Transmitted by the Atmosphere chart. At the Wavelenghs that CO2 absorbs radiation, no radiation escapes the earth. How does adding more CO2 decrease the outgoing radiation more that it does.
It is like an assembly like with multicolored M&M going down it. If one person is removing red M&Ms. Lots of red M&Ms get through. With each added person, fewer get through. At some point, the odds of a red M&M getting through is very small.
Is there any measured data that says some of the radiation in CO2 absorbing wavelengths are actually getting through? If not, how can increasing CO2 levels capture more outgoing radiation?

Mike Ewing
May 6, 2010 6:30 pm

Pamela Gray
It sounds like they would be ideal candidates for the nickel or copper head spinners… You use a short high velocity spinner launching “rod”(also known as a rifle in some countries) and place the spinner just above offending fish… then you just require a net to scoop them out, or wait down stream at an eddie that catches em… hope this cures yah hyperventilating. (also is ideal to use for spot light aided night fishing)

Editor
May 6, 2010 6:31 pm

Nick Stokes says:
May 6, 2010 at 5:23 pm

“No such place exists, but if it did – it would be extremely hot, like Venus.”
No, it wouldn’t, not without a greenhouse effect. A surface at 700K emits about 12,000 W/m2. Incoming sunlight, averaged over surface area, on Venus is about 400 W/m2. If the atmosphere is transparent to thermal IR, that 12,000 W/m2 would just go out to space and sunlight couldn’t possibly balance it. The surface would cool. …

Nick, I’d be interested in your comments on the Volz piece I referenced above.

Derek B
May 6, 2010 6:34 pm

Both explanations, “it’s the CO2” and “it’s the pressure”, are too glib in themselves. As pointed out in a previous post, high temperatures result in a thick atmosphere.
The present Venusian climate is stable, despite the combination of high albedo and high temperature. The interesting question is how did it get this way?
According to explanations I’ve seen, it is believed that Venus used to have a lot of water; that at some point the Sun’s heat baked a lot of CO2 out of the rocks; that the combination of CO2 and water vapour drove up the temperatures; and that although subsequent dissociation of the water lost its hydrogen into space, the thick atmosphere is enough to sustain the present balance.
If that is correct, it stills represent a feasible scenario for Earth’s future – indeed, rather likely when the sun eventually gets hot enough or large enough.
One way to challenge that explanation would be to show our models do not match its present energy balance. Do they? I don’t know, but that does not appear to be a claim being made in this blog.

Robert of Ottawa
May 6, 2010 6:36 pm

PJF, this link shows the temp/pressure profile of the Venusian atmosphere. Note that around 1 Earth atmosphere of pressure, the atmospheric pressure is roughly the same as the Earth’s.
http://www.datasync.com/~rsf1/vel/1918vpt.htm

May 6, 2010 6:43 pm

Zeke says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:36 pm
Also, Carl Sagan smoking pot is a bit of a cheap shot :P>>
Surely you jest.
It was clearly a pot shot.

JAE
May 6, 2010 6:43 pm

Bill Illis @5:22
“Generally, I think pressure and, in effect, the work being done by gravity, has not been taken into account in global warming theory and someone needs to put it back in.”
Right on. I am so sick of seeing all these discussions that focus on only one variable, like radiation.
Those folks who keep saying that AGW is “proven” with basic physics need to explain some anomalies, and it is my experience that they are reluctant to do that. For example, please provide a K&T-style “radiation equilibrium diagram” for Fiji! I guess Neoscience allows folks to totally ignore empirical evidence.

May 6, 2010 6:44 pm

Steven G, May 6, 2010 at 5:44 pm
I don’t believe I did misquote you, but anyway the issue is there. High temps create a huge IR flux, and something has to block that, otherwise losses will far exceed the energy supply. The adiabatic effect can’t create a large heat flux.

Tsk Tsk
May 6, 2010 6:48 pm

Stephen Goldstein says:
May 6, 2010 at 1:18 pm
“…Say I connect a SUBA diver’s air tank to a compressor and “fill” the tank with compressed air. I ask how come the tank is warm and you reply “because it has an extremely high pressure.” Okay, but I come back in an hour, the gauge still reads 3000psi but the tank is no longer warm. How come? The gas is still at an extremely high pressure…”
Because the cylinder won’t be at 3000psi when you come back. The ideal gas law still applies: PV=nRT. You haven’t changed V (entire cylinder). You haven’t changed n (amount of stuff, i.e. moles). You haven’t changed R (material properties of the stuff). You have changed T (lower) and so you have changed P. Having filled SCUBA tanks at my dad’s shop lo’ the many years ago I can attest to this. Tanks were filled in a bath of water to draw the heat of compression off as quickly as possible and were only considered full when they measured 3000psi (or 2400 depending on whether they were aluminum or steel) and were only moderately warm to the touch. If we hadn’t done that we would have had some pissed off customers who didn’t get the full amount of air they’d paid for.
Having said that I’m in the camp that the application of the ideal gas law doesn’t explain Venus. Take away the sun or perhaps its own vulcanism and Venus would have to cool through radiation to the local background, i.e. ~4K, and the pressure of its atmosphere would not maintain its temperature indefinitely, nor would the pressure or volume remain constant.

Robert of Ottawa
May 6, 2010 6:49 pm

PJF, I think about the P-T -H profiles of atmosphers a lot.
Let’s start at the basic. Without external energy inputs, all planetary atmospheres will ultimately form a crust on the surface of the planet and have zero height.
With external energy input, that crust will evaporate and form an atmosphere. The P-T-H characteristics of that atmosphere are defined primarily, I believe, by three things:
1. The ratio of the mass of the atmosphere to the mass of the planet
2. The radiative energy budget, which must equalise at the “top” of the atmosphere.
3. The thermodynamic requirement for all parts of the atmosphere to have the same total energy – thus we must consider the sum of gravitational and thermal energy.

Pamela Gray
May 6, 2010 6:57 pm

No, no, no!!! I’m not talking about a lure spinner. I am taking about the rod. A baitcasting rod has a trigger on it (a place for parts of your hand so you can use other parts to slow down the line as you land that fat worm just where you want it). A spinning rod doesn’t have this thorn like feature under the rod. But most baitcasting rods are made for bass fishing (a fat heavy fish) and are usually made for 8+ pound test weight (think log size girthy rod, not twig size skinny rod). I want an ultralight baitcasting rod (twig size skinny and flexible) with the trigger and I want it to be short (less than 7 ft), not the usual length for such a rod. I want to use 4 to 8 lb test. Any baitcasting rod I have found is too long and too telephone pole stiff for trout.
See???? I am hyperventilating again!!!!! Come on you guys!! You’re GUYS! You should know this stuff!!!!

May 6, 2010 6:57 pm

Thanks, Willis, for that interesting link. John Daly had a post up the thread showing why the Earth and Venus can’t be compared:

Venus rotates backwards, ever so slowly. A day on Venus is almost like a year here. I don’t know what such a slow rotation would have on a planet’s climate, but I wouldn’t like to be on the daylight side.
Venus also has no magnetic field, so it gets the full brunt of corpuscular bombardment from the sun, a secondary energy input.
Venus has no large tilt angle and therefore little precession. This would prevent any Venusian equivalent of our “ice ages” (speaking very relatively of course)
Whether geothermal activity is a significant source of heat on Venus I cannot answer. On Earth geological fission is certainly an important factor
The topography of Venus was shown by satellite radar sweep to have vast lava flows etc. So geothermal activity is a possible real factor here and may go part of the way to explain the high temperature (465°C)
In short, an astronaut landing on Venus would find himself asphyxiated by the carbon dioxide atmosphere, burned to a crisp by the searing heat, poisoned by the acid rain, and crushed by the super-dense atmosphere. That’s why goddesses are best viewed at a distance 🙂
The Venus atmosphere has 90 bar, mostly sulfur acid and CO2 and is by no means comparable to Earth.
Chick, I hope that your original assumption that it was 1 bar is not the same assumption being made by others who are quick to compare Earth with Venus. It’s well known in Astronomy that Venus has a super-dense atmosphere of almost pure CO2. The atmospheric pressure there is 90 times ours. Since we only have 0.036% CO2 [<— written in 2000], whereas Venus has 98% CO2 in an atmosphere with 90 times our pressure, that means Venus has 2,500 times our density of CO2, or 5.5 times our CO2 for every extra degree of temperature.
I don’t think Venus can possibly be used as a surrogate comparison with Earth. The baseline parameters are so horrendously different to make all such comparisons meaningless.

And PJF responds @5:56 pm to this comment:
“It’s theorized that Titan has liquid water under it’s miles of ice due to heating from the tidal effects of Jupiter…”
with:
“”I doubt there are any such theories. Titan orbits Saturn.””
Actually, Titan has immense quantities of hydrocarbons.
[source]

JAE
May 6, 2010 6:59 pm

Nick:
““No such place exists, but if it did – it would be extremely hot, like Venus.”
No, it wouldn’t, not without a greenhouse effect. A surface at 700K emits about 12,000 W/m2. Incoming sunlight, averaged over surface area, on Venus is about 400 W/m2. If the atmosphere is transparent to thermal IR, that 12,000 W/m2 would just go out to space and sunlight couldn’t possibly balance it. The surface would cool. …”
Nick, I’m still waiting for an “equilibrium radiation balance diagram” for Fiji (K&T play around with an “average,” which means absolutely nothing when radiation varies as T^4–it means nothing for a real “spot” on Earth).
Now, in that comfortable clime of Fiji, there is adequate radiation JUST from the water to “explain” the air temperature year-around. The damn Sun just keeps heating the water up each day. The “backradiation” is not needed, and, indeed, if it were employed in the diagram, it would make the temperatures so high that the Fiji People would be fried. The GHG effect is an apparition, methinks. Can you explain this anomaly?
I await your diagram.

Curiousgeorge
May 6, 2010 7:01 pm

Sorry, I meant Europa. Brain freeze. 🙂

May 6, 2010 7:04 pm

Smokey
There is essentially no difference in surface temperature between the day and night sides of Venus.

Editor
May 6, 2010 7:07 pm

Here are a couple other links when we covered this 2 1/2 months ago at
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/02/22/bill-oreilly-hosts-bill-nye-the-science-guy-and-accu-weathers-joe-bastardi-in-fox-news-debate/#comment-325845
Julian Braggins (01:37:34) :


A search for Venus temperature at 1 bar will bring up a figure comparable with Earth’s taking into consideration insolation at that distance, and lod, alternatively, taking dry air lapse rate and increasing depth of troposphere on Earth to that of Venus it comes out to 756K°, very close again, with no extra CO2 involved, ie. CO2 greenhouse is negligible.

Ah, very good. I was going to say that too, but figured I’d see if someone else did already. The WUWT readership seems to be big enough so I don’t have to read everything any more to make sure my point of view or factoid gets heard. Maybe I can break my addiction to WUWT now!
Links to Venus atmospheric profiles:
http://www.esa.int/esaSC/SEM5A373R8F_index_1.html
http://www.datasync.com/~rsf1/vel/1918vpt.htm
Warning: the second one is a bit weird. Okay, more than a bit weird. However, the graphs are easy to read.

Dave
May 6, 2010 7:08 pm

Misconception Number 1: That CO2 forcing is logarithmic at very high concentrations.
Reality: At very low concentrations CO2 forcing is linear. It becomes logarithmic when saturation of the central absorption line is reached, and increased forcing depends on the wings of the lines (and pressure broadening). However, as concentrations continue to increase, minor absorption lines become sufficiently important in comparison to the wings of the major lines that the increased absorption of CO2 is mostly dependent on the minor lines, and the forcing of CO2 increases linearly with concentration again.
Misconception 2: Lack of Energy Balance thinking.
Two examples have been presented: 1: Titan, despite high pressures, is very cold. A similar thought experiment would be what would happen to Venus if we turned the Sun off – I hope the obvious answer would be that Venus’ temperature would quickly drop to whatever could be supported by internal tectonic/volcanic heating (which wouldn’t be much).
2: Venus with a totally transparent atmosphere: the surface would radiate directly to space. As Nick Stokes pointed out, in such a case, in equilibrium the radiation out from the surface CANNOT be larger than the radiation the surface receives (plus any internal heating): therefore, it doesn’t matter how many atmospheres of the perfectly transparent gas there are, the surface temperature will be solely determined by that radiation.
A simple example of GHG forcing experienced in daily life: humid nights compared to dry nights: humid nights are warm, dry nights are cold. This has nothing to do with temperature, and a lot to do with outgoing radiation and GHG absorption (in this case, water vapor). (it is even more obvious with clouds, but clouds are sufficiently different from a gas that it isn’t as clean a comparison).
-Dave

Mike
May 6, 2010 7:12 pm

I found this: “Even though a large percentage of heat radiation is reflected from the top of the clouds and never reaches the surface of the planet, the heat that does penetrate is captured by the thick cloud covering. Less than half of the infrared radiation is released back to space. the effect is to raise the temperature of the planet by a massive 500°C (900°F).” http://www.planetsalive.com/?planet=Venus&tab=B

Leonard Weinstein
May 6, 2010 7:13 pm

Steve,
Much of what you stated is right. The comment that failed was to say that the statement: “Without the greenhouse effect caused by the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the temperature at the surface of Venus would be quite similar to that on Earth” was completely wrong. Later you qualified this by using the statement: “if 90% of the CO2 in Venus atmosphere was replaced by Nitrogen, it would change temperatures there by only a few tens of degrees”. That last statement is correct. However if there were no CO2 or clouds (or other greenhouse gasses), the average surface temperature would only be ~55 degrees C or less (depending on albedo). The lapse rate due to adiabatic expansion at altitude would still hold but the only source of atmospheric heating would then be surface conduction and convection up, which would then eventually spread through the atmosphere. This makes the first quote correct, although somewhat misleading, as your second quote is also correct.

May 6, 2010 7:18 pm

Mr. Goddard shows here how little he understands about planetology. On its face, yes, the “greenhouse effect” is not responsible for Venus’s temeperature at present. But this is complete buffoonery, akin to saying that a person lives a tax-free existence every moment he or she isn’t being handed a paycheck with taxes removed, and then going on to calculate that 99% of American citizens go untaxed 90% of the time. It is not only incorrect, but it shows a complete misunderstanding of process.
CO2 is a heat-storing molecule. More CO2 present in a planet’s atmosphere will store more heat as shortwave radiation has a harder time escaping the planet. The “runaway” part, then, is not isolated to CO2 but involves how other consitiuents of the atmosphere respond to this initial increase in heat.
Venus has not always had a thick atmosphere, as evidenced by by circumstantial conditions of the early solar system as well as Venus’s geologic history. In fact, it likely started out quite similar to Earth’s early atmosphere, with no free oxygen, heavy in nitrogen with a smattering of CO2 and a decent amount of water and water vapor and nearly identical surface pressure (governed by the planet’s nearly identical mass and gravity). However, Venus’s slightly closer proximity to the Sun meant that more ionizing radiation was available to disassociate the water vapor in the upper atmosphere. As a result, hydrogen was separated from oxygen by ultraviolet light and lost to space, and the free oxygen quickly bound to plentiful carbon to make CO2. In this way, all of the planet’s water started being converted to CO2. Suddenly, this “greenhouse effect” vaporized more water, which meant it was vulnerable to UV disassociatio, and yet more CO2 was created, which warmed the surface even further, vaporizing more water, which was in turn disassociated and turned to CO2…. a runaway effect. At the end, we have a Venus as we know it today – completely devoid of water with an absolutely incredible surface temperature and pressure. The hellish end-result of a runaway “greenhouse effect.”
So, as a planetary geologist myself, I can only assume that Steve Goddard is aware of all of this and intentionally attempting to mislead his readers with this ridiculous and simultaneously well-researched farce. I can’t see how he could possibly have researched enough to produce the information he did about atmospheres and chemistry yet somehow manage to miss all information learned during the past 40 years about the history of the specific planet he alleges to describe. Either way, the production of this sort of catchy misinformation is why the US falls farther against other nations in science and innovation each year.
If you’re really interested, read a book, not a blog, people. I can suggest quite a few if you’re interested in how planetary atmospheres really work.

May 6, 2010 7:21 pm

Steven Goddard:
“Smokey
There is essentially no difference in surface temperature between the day and night sides of Venus.”
I didn’t say there was, but from Willis’ link to Dr Hartwig Volz: “Day temperature at 65 km is about 300 K, night temperature slightly below 200 K…”
I don’t know if there’s a difference, myself. And I understand that 65 km is not the same as surface temps. Just commenting on it, that’s all.

Frank from Texas
May 6, 2010 7:22 pm

I was all set to edit the Wiki, but then I saw the reference which is a Nasa Ames thing:
Runaway and moist greenhouse atmospheres and the evolution of Earth and Venus
James F. Kasting
Space Science Division 245-3, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffet Field, California 94035, USA
Received 12 March 1987; revised 17 September 1987. Available online 26 October 2002.
Abstract:
A one-dimensional climate model is used to study the response of an Earth-like atmosphere to large increases in solar flux. For fully saturated, cloud-free conditions, the critical solar flux at which a runaway greenhouse occurs, that is, the oceans evaporate entirely, is found to be 1.4 times the present flux at Earth’s orbit (S0). This value is close to the flux expected at Venus’ orbit early in solar system history. It is nearly independent of the amount of CO2 present in the atmosphere, but is sensitive to the H2O absorption coefficient in the 8- to 12-μm window region. Clouds should tend to depress the surface temperature on a warm, moist planet; thus, Venus may originally have had oceans if its initial water endowment was close to that of Earth. It lost them early in its history, however, because of rapid photodissociation of water vapor followed by escape of hydrogen to space. The critical solar flux above which water is rapidly lost could be as low as 1.1S0. The surface temperature of a runaway greenhouse atmosphere containing a full ocean’s worth of water would have been in excess of 1500°K—above the solidus for silicate rocks. The presence of such a steam atmosphere during accretion may have significantly influenced the early thermal evolution of both Earth and Venus.
I don’t know enough to have an opinion, but to take the language out of the Wikipedia entry, I’d need some points that rebut that specific source.

Bob_FJ
May 6, 2010 7:22 pm

Stevengoddard,
Thanks for your stimulating article!
With an Average temperature: 737 K (464 C) it has left me decadaly incredulous that it could be as a sole consequence of a greenhouse effect. However, I think it has to be part of the story from the following considerations:
1) A Soviet probe (s?) reported surprising brightness in visible light at the surface, including good quality photos. (Although there was some argument that they could not be genuine photos because of pronounced shadows around the rocks)
2) Regardless of the source of the energy, at 737K there would be significantly greater radiation from the surface compared with Earth, (as a consequence of T to the fourth power; moving towards near infrared in the Planck curve)
3) The CO2 at ~90 bars is not alone in high absorption capability. The PPMV of H2O at 20 is low percentage wise, but when amplified by 90 bars, that becomes significant.
4) Although ~40% of sunlight is near infrared, this appears to be absorbed high in the atmosphere, above around 60Km, as evidenced by diurnal variations; see below. This would have the effect of reducing the T gradient between the surface and the mid or upper atmosphere, which would slow heat escape a little. (See links below in item 9)
Other stuff:
5) If there is an internal heat source within Venus, (like on Earth), with such a high surface T and maybe an insulation effect of very dense high specific heat CO2, the rapid fall-off of underground temperature towards the surface as seen on Earth would be less pronounced. (also no H20 oceans with evaporative cooling)
6) One of the Soviet probes was reported to have picked-up unusual methane, part way through descent, that was suggested to have been a volcano plume.
7) Although currently reported as dormant, there is agreement on past volcanic activity
8) Khiel and Trenberth/IPCC have claimed that the greatest heat loss from the surface on Earth is from evapo-transpiration, which cannot occur on Venus.
9) This study shows that the temperature in the atmosphere is a nice comfortable 20C at 54 Km. Here’s something interesting and more recent from ESA.
10) There is even less known about Venus than there is of Earth, and I guess the dynamics in the atmosphere are largely speculative.

May 6, 2010 7:24 pm

Pamela Gray
I want an ultralight baitcasting rod (twig size skinny and flexible) with the trigger and I want it to be short (less than 7 ft), not the usual length for such a rod. I want to use 4 to 8 lb test. Any baitcasting rod I have found is too long and too telephone pole stiff for trout.>>
My experience has been that an ultralight rod that short will frequently snap under the pressure of even a small trout, just not worth the aggrevation. Go with the length you want but in a stiffer rod. Put a thick rubber band between the leader and your rig to absorb the shock of the trout’s strike. The combination will give you the feel of a light rod in the length you are after and will stand up to a lot more punishment than the ultralight. You can even go down to about 5 feet to get the weight down and still have a very responsive set up. I know this is off topic but all that hyperventilating is messing with your CO2 blood index and we don’t want you over heating, you might be the tipping point!

May 6, 2010 7:26 pm

Willis,
Volz makes the point, correctly, that effective thermal emission to space happens at a higher level of the atmosphere, and the adiabatic heat transport (dry adiabat) would produce a surface heat increment beyond that. That’s true – the greenhouse effect on Earth works somewhat similarly.
The dry adiabat creates a temperature difference, but is not a heat source. Consequently the actual temp is determines by some radiative balance requirement at a point where effective emission happens. On Earth, that is part surface (at ~290K, for atmospheric window frequencies), and part TOA (at ~225K, for GHG absorption.emission frequencies), and of course, some in between. The nett result is IR emission at the effective no-GHG temp of 255K, but with a warmer surface.
So you could say that Volz is arguing for a reduced GH effect, in that some mid-layer of the atmosphere acts like our ground surface, and below that there is little nett flux, and adiabat heat amplification. The IR is still part-blocked by the atmosphere, but by clouds, not GHG.
All true, and known – to work out what it really means, you have to identify the level of that effective layer, which Volz hasn’t done with any great precision.
So to qualify my earlier remark – you can’t have 700K on the surface with an IR-transparent atmosphere. You could get a high temperature from cloud blocking plus adiabat, even without selective IR absorption. You can also get it from a greenhouse effect, and there’s lots of GHG for that. Both effects seem to be at work here.
The “snowball Venus” temp, allowing for albedo, is about 390K. As with Earth, if you found that the outgoing IR spectrum corresponded to a BB that temp, you could say there was no greenhouse effect. I don’t have the information here, but I believe that, as with Earth, it is segmented into different regions of different apparent temperature.
I don’t think the supercritical fluid issue affects the IR considerations, except maybe by increasing opacity. Volz’ notion is that nett IR flux at low levels is zero or small. It probably reduces the adiabat gradient.

Editor
May 6, 2010 7:37 pm

CodeTech says:
May 6, 2010 at 5:41 pm

I had to explain this to a few people while working with turbos, so let me try to throw some plain English explanations into the mix.
When you compress ambient air with a turbocharger, it gets hot. Really hot. Most people simply use the logic that the turbo is hot (driven by exhaust gas), therefore it heats the air. This isn’t even remotely close, since the air isn’t in contact with the blades nearly long enough to heat it much. What is happening is that all of the energy that was already in the air is now packed into a smaller space, thus there is more energy in the same space, thus it is warmer.

Umm, I have doubts about some of the packing existing energy idea. I use the more technical description that compressing a gas requires adding energy (force x distance) and that’s what is converted to heat. (Springs don’t heat up because they store the energy in the strain in the spring, gasses accelerate as their molecules bounce off the compressing surface.)
You can give someone a good floor bicycle tire pump and tell them to pump up a car’s tire – that gives people a good idea of how much energy is stored in the compressed air!

JAE
May 6, 2010 7:39 pm

Shucks, I guess no “radiation cartoons” for Fiji are forthcoming. It seems that the cartoons only work for “average” conditions?” What is really disconcerting is the silence on this subject. Can someone please put me in my place? LOL.

gbaikie
May 6, 2010 7:50 pm

“As far as i understood it would take two things to turn Earth into a seccond Venus, and that is enough time, and about twice the amount of energy from the Sun.
And this all to start building up the atmospheric pressure which needs a lot of time, more energy means more watervapour, more watervapour means higher pressure wich in result in an atmosphere wich is beter suited to hold an higher temperature. Once all the water in the ocean has been transformed into atmosphere the temperatures will be high enough to start the outgassing of rocks wich raises the temperature and pressure even further. Eventually Earth would look like Venus with a high pressure and CO2 rich atmosphere.”
There isn’t enough [known] CO2 on earth.
Water vapor can not build up unless it’s over 100 C everywhere on earth.
There is enough carbon on earth but there isn’t enough oxygen to combine with the carbon to make say more than 4 atm of CO2.
If you split all the water in our oceans you would have enough oxygen. Or if were to somehow get the oxygen from rock on the the Earth surface there is also more than enough oxygen. Though “somehow” getting the oxygen from the water from the ocean seems easier than getting it from the earth’s crust.
So it’s more than two things- you also need to find or somehow make vast amounts of CO2- of the scale of roughly the mass of our oceans.
Basically I would say it’s too late to make earth into Venus- life has irreversibly shunned us from that little piece of heaven.

DocMartyn
May 6, 2010 7:52 pm

you don’t think it may have something to do with the fact that there are two phase transitions within Earths day/night temperature cycle?
Pump heat into the Earth during the day and you convert water from liquid to gas, and increase the air pressure. At night the gaseous water is converted into liquid water, dropping pressure.

Leonard Weinstein
May 6, 2010 7:54 pm

Astrowright,
The present hot temperature of Venus is due to a combination of greenhouse gasses, clouds, and large atmospheric pressure. It would only take a relatively small fraction of greenhouse gasses at at the high surface pressure to make the radiation to space occur mainly at the outer edge of the atmosphere. The upper atmosphere temperature is determined by how much energy is absorbed by the atmosphere, surface, and clouds, and increases downward due to the adiabatic pressure increase effect. Even if there were only 1% CO2 and 99% Nitrogen, there would be little difference in surface temperature from the present. If there were 100% Nitrogen, the surface would be closer to Earth temperature (but with a hot side and cold side due to slow rotation). The thermal capacity of the CO2 is not important, its absorption of long wave radiation is.

JAE
May 6, 2010 7:58 pm

Goddard: If you are gonna make this kind of post, I think you owe me an answer for my comment at : May 6, 2010 at 3:58 pm:
Just what is your take on the “greenhouse effect?”

May 6, 2010 8:03 pm

Bob_FJ
There is no question that absorption of IR by greenhouse gases elevates the temperature on Venus. My point is that it doesn’t explain the very high temperatures, and particularly on the dark side of the planet.

DesertYote
May 6, 2010 8:07 pm

I have been waiting for the appropriate time to post this NASA link. You have to read to near the end for the AGW propaganda. There is a slight change from the last time I looked at this (a week or so ago.) One of the byline authors name has been removed, probably the source of the moonbattery. It was for someone at that Arctic Ice Institute thingy of NASAs ( can’t remember the exact name). What she was doing writing up a piece about Venus is anyone’s guess. The NASA editors must have thought it looked suspicious, so removed her name.
http://www.nasa.gov/topics/solarsystem/features/magellan20100408.html

hunter
May 6, 2010 8:14 pm

astrowright,
Please finish the excellent explanation of Venus and go on to explain that we on Earth are no where close to even being able to cause a similar fate on our home world.

Ted Annonson
May 6, 2010 8:14 pm

Atmospheres are NOT static. It is constantly mixed by vertical and horizontal air currents, so that the energy content of one mole(6.023X10^23 molecules of gas) at 10,000 feet altitude is ~= to the energy content of one mole of atmosphere at sea level. When compressed the gas does not gain energy; the molecules merely strike each other more frequently, so the measured temperature goes up. No gain or loss of energy. These air currents also prevent the heavier molecules from drifting down so that we have a well mixed atmosphere at most levels.
Since Venus atmosphere is also well mixed, it too must have air currents to mix the air in both content and and molecular energy, so adiobatic warming will take place.

Alan McIntire
May 6, 2010 8:16 pm

I question the extra atmosphere pressure as a reason for highVenus temps.
p1v1/t1 = p2v2/t2. plug in p1, v1, t1 =1, and you get
1*1/1 now put in a p2 of 90, a v2 of 1/90, and a t2 of 1, you still get 1. Nfr above got it right when he mentioned spectrum broadening. For more on that, look up “Voigt Profile”

DesertYote
May 6, 2010 8:17 pm

Ric Werme
May 6, 2010 at 7:37 pm
You are goofy wrong. PVT, its simple physics, the basic gas laws, sheesh! Don’t they teach simple science in school any more? No wonder the greenies can promote their nonsense.

Squidly
May 6, 2010 8:20 pm

Jonas N says:
May 6, 2010 at 11:56 am
Thanks Steve, interesting post! And if correct and reasonalble, it baffles me that noone else has noted this before …
This simply cannot be! Other people must have hade similar thoughts and estimates.

Actually Jonas, I had come to the same conclusions as cited in this post quite a long time ago while arguing about this with my father. Interestingly, after a considerable amount of Internet research, I have found a plethora of information across the web on this subject. Quite a large volume of information, even information gained from NASA websites, corroborates precisely what Steve has written here.
If you do a little research and gather the FACTS about Venus, and then apply a little dose of Occam’s razor:

1) “when you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better.”
– or –
2) “Scientists must use the simplest means of arriving at their results and exclude everything not perceived by the senses.”

The only plausible conclusion is again, precisely what Steve has illustrated here. Just do a little bit of “real” research and you will find this for yourself. It is undeniable.
– Cheers

gbaikie
May 6, 2010 8:22 pm

“If I remember my basic physics: energy absorbed is an inverse square to the distance from the source. Mercury has no atmosphere, and I’ll bet it’s sunny side is a lot hotter than Venus.”
It isn’t.
Mercury:
Maximum surface temperature: 427°C
Minimum surface temperature -173°C
Venus:
Mean surface temperature 482°C
http://www.solarviews.com/eng/homepage.htm
So Venus is hotter and has a higher average temperature [whatever that means].
Of course you comparing apples to oranges. On Mercury the temperature is the surface temperature and venus is temperature is air temperature- though the Venus air would warm the ground to that temperature.
If Venus had an airless moon, obviously it’s surface temperature would be cooler than Mercury. If you gave Mercury a 1 atm of atmosphere [of whatever gas] you would get a lot of wind. The wind would so vicious it’s would beyond the minds of humans to grasp. And I suppose it would hotter, though the dust would make it quite dark on the ground.

R. Gates
May 6, 2010 8:23 pm

While you’re all debating what is keeping Venus so warm, here on Earth, Arctic sea ice is now below the levels of both 2008 & 2009 for this same date according to JAXA…

Leonard Weinstein
May 6, 2010 8:24 pm

Steve Goddard,
My previous comments are not clear enough. The lapse rate (drop in atmospheric temperature with increasing altitude) due to the very high surface pressure on Venus would exist with a greenhouse atmosphere or one totally transparent to both incoming light and outgoing long wave radiation. The greenhouse gas as you pointed out does only cause a few degree effect directly. However, without a greenhouse gas, the surface is where the outgoing radiation has to match the energy of the incoming that was absorbed, and thus this is where the surface temperature is determined. In that case, the lapse rate results in the atmosphere getting very cold as altitude increases. If there is any reasonable amount of greenhouse gas, the location of much of the source of radiation to space moves up in the atmosphere. Even less than 1% CO2 in Venus’s atmosphere results in almost all of the radiated energy to space occurring at very high altitude. Now the added temperature from the CO2 is still small, but the location of the temperature is very high altitude, and the increasing temperature (adiabatic compression) as you go lower still holds. It is the movement of the location of the source of radiation to space from the ground to high altitude along with high pressure that makes the surface hot on Venus, and this is not a runaway effect but straight Physics given the present conditions.

Editor
May 6, 2010 8:31 pm

astrowright says:
May 6, 2010 at 7:18 pm (Edit)

… Venus has not always had a thick atmosphere, as evidenced by by circumstantial conditions of the early solar system as well as Venus’s geologic history. In fact, it likely started out quite similar to Earth’s early atmosphere, with no free oxygen, heavy in nitrogen with a smattering of CO2 and a decent amount of water and water vapor and nearly identical surface pressure (governed by the planet’s nearly identical mass and gravity). However, Venus’s slightly closer proximity to the Sun meant that more ionizing radiation was available to disassociate the water vapor in the upper atmosphere. As a result, hydrogen was separated from oxygen by ultraviolet light and lost to space, and the free oxygen quickly bound to plentiful carbon to make CO2. In this way, all of the planet’s water started being converted to CO2. Suddenly, this “greenhouse effect” vaporized more water, which meant it was vulnerable to UV disassociatio, and yet more CO2 was created, which warmed the surface even further, vaporizing more water, which was in turn disassociated and turned to CO2…. a runaway effect. At the end, we have a Venus as we know it today – completely devoid of water with an absolutely incredible surface temperature and pressure. The hellish end-result of a runaway “greenhouse effect.”

Astrowright, a fascinating post. A few questions:
1. You say that in the early days, the atmosphere of Venus was similar to that of the early earth, mostly nitrogen. What evidence is there for that?
2. At present, the atmosphere of Venus contains very little nitrogen (~ 3.5%). What happened to all the early nitrogen?
3. You say that the cause for what you call the “runaway greenhouse effect” is the stronger ionizing radiation at the the top of the Venusian atmosphere. If that is the case, wouldn’t a much more accurate term be the “runaway ionization effect”, and as such, be something that could never happen on earth?
4. You say that the ionizing radiation at the very top of the atmosphere dissociated the water vapor and that the “free oxygen quickly bound to plentiful carbon to make CO2”. Why would carbon be plentiful at the very top of the atmosphere? And why would the oxygen not reform as O2?
5. Why is there still water vapor in the Venusian atmosphere (20 ppmv)? What has prevented the ionization of the last of the water?
Many thanks,
w.

May 6, 2010 8:32 pm

A wonderful and thorough analysis, I cannot find anything in here to disagree with. I think it safe to say that probably 99.999% of the population is quite happy to accept things blindly, simply because a well-known personality says it is so. This is why the Hawkings of the world must be very careful about what they say.

Ted Annonson
May 6, 2010 8:33 pm

PS
Before the readings of the Venus probes became erratic the pressure/temperature readings were well within normal adiabatic paramaters.

Mike Ewing
May 6, 2010 8:35 pm

astrowright says:
CO2 is a heat-storing molecule. More CO2 present in a planet’s atmosphere will store more heat as shortwave radiation has a harder time escaping the planet.
Typo there, yah mean long wave radiation o course.
“However, Venus’s slightly closer proximity to the Sun meant that more ionizing radiation was available to disassociate the water vapor in the upper atmosphere.”
And obviously the water vapor on mars suffered a similar fate, so wouldnt the lack of a magnetic field be more of a candidate over location? Considering mars is further from the sun than us. And initially wouldn’t the water vapor feedback, disassociation theory have resulted in an ozone layer? As well with corresponding albedo feedback’s from increased cloud cover from the increased GHG forcings? (id imagine we arnt going to fare to well when our core cools, and our atmosphere gets blasted by plasma. )
End o the day, it is speculation, i see there was a paper printed recently that challenged the traditional early earth faint sun paradox/high atmospheric co2 compensating, with a theory, backed with evidence that atmospheric co2 was low, that cloud cover at the time was greatly reduced, as a result of the absence of life, that it self was responsible for the nuclei creation for cloud formation through biological processes. So if this paper stands up to time, it would also bring into question, whether life it self could be a factor.
I dont think there is anything wrong with the open discussion of competing idea’s, even if i dont agree with them.

Squidly
May 6, 2010 8:43 pm

PJF says:
May 6, 2010 at 12:52 pm

Venus’ atmosphere comes from volcanic outgassing, and Venus is a very different geological animal to Earth. It has no water so there are no tectonic plates. Instead of releasing heat gradually as does Earth, Venus is thought to occasionally “boil over”, where the whole surface completely melts. With the thick atmosphere, a high surface temperature would remain in the absence of solar heat.

Also, I have not heard anyone here mention the fact that Venus has not magnetosphere either. It has NO magnetic shielding from the sun as we do. Any idea how hot Earth might be without a magnetosphere?

Michael R
May 6, 2010 8:44 pm

In this way, all of the planet’s water started being converted to CO2. Suddenly, this “greenhouse effect” vaporized more water, which meant it was vulnerable to UV disassociatio, and yet more CO2 was created, which warmed the surface even further, vaporizing more water, which was in turn disassociated and turned to CO2…. a runaway effect.

Unfortunately, what you have declared so adamantly as fact is, by it’s very nature, what is under dispute currently. In fact, what you have described is, in effect, what the whole argument of global warming is and consequently, people who do not agree that we understand fully the processes by which this plant achieves its temperature balance, are even less than willing to accept that you (or anyone else) can then ascribe said theory – with another planet altogether – and expect to be 100% correct.
I note you were particularly blunt with your critisms and so shall I – I can only assume that the complete lack of uncertainty relating to process we know only partially how they work and arrogance in assuming you do was a result of your Planetary Geology degree being …. honorary?

D. King
May 6, 2010 8:44 pm

Pamela Gray says:
May 6, 2010 at 6:57 pm
Wrap your own rod, that’s what I do.
Read about blanks here.
http://www.onorods.com/calhist.htm
Steve,
What a great post.
You got everyone thinking. Bravo!

Mike Ewing
May 6, 2010 8:46 pm

Willis Eschenbach says:
5. Why is there still water vapor in the Venusian atmosphere (20 ppmv)? What has prevented the ionization of the last of the water?
If the stripping of the water vapor was due lack o magnetic field, and solar winds, the water vapor in the atmosphere would be the result of the resultant thicker atmosphere becoming charged, and acting as a magnetic field itself . And the later vented H2O not being stripped. As id imagine would also be the case with astrowrights hypothesis.
Just thought id throw it out there;-)

Squidly
May 6, 2010 8:46 pm

Ahhh, Mike, you beat me with a “magnetosphere” topic reply … a good reply and a topic of Venus I would be interested in learning more about.

DesertYote
May 6, 2010 8:47 pm

astrowright
May 6, 2010 at 7:18 pm
One big difference between the Earth and Venus; the Earth has a whopping big atmosphere stripping moon!

JustAddWater
May 6, 2010 8:57 pm

@ Duster May 6, 2010 at 12:19 pm & Feet2thefire
The problem I have with Professor Nasif Nahle’s work was put forward on another blog (unknown poster), quote:
“This suggests that the atmosphere transers no photons to the surface of the Earth at night. This is not the case, as the flux of longwave radiation from the atmosphere has been measured, and even occurs during the polar night (the months of darkness the occur at the poles each winter). See http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI3525.1
It’s perfectly reasonable to state that at night the surface cools by radiation – that’s true. But if there were no back radiation from the atmosphere, it would cool faster at night! This is not a takedown of AGW – it’s attempting to take down the very notion of a greenhouse effect! (Well, as far as I can tell anyway). “

Pamela Gray
May 6, 2010 9:00 pm

Sea ice is within 1 SD of the mean. All predictable due to weather. Moving on.
Venus versus Mars. Sounds like a WWF fight. The winner must battle Earth for the belt. Will there be chairs involved?

May 6, 2010 9:11 pm

The high temperatures there can be almost completely explained by atmospheric pressure – not composition. If 90% of the CO2 in Venus atmosphere was replaced by Nitrogen, it would change temperatures there by only a few tens of degrees.
Troll scratches head….. doesn’t know where to turn…… watches ‘An Inconvenient Truth’….. goes to bed happy….. dreams of dead polar bears and cannibal grandpas….

DesertYote
May 6, 2010 9:15 pm

Pamela Gray
May 6, 2010 at 9:00 pm
Would that be the Asteroid Belt?

May 6, 2010 9:22 pm

Pamela Gray says:
May 6, 2010 at 6:57 pm
Can I have your number Pam? hehe

May 6, 2010 9:23 pm

As many folks have pointed out, your analysis is thoroughly flawed. Some sunlight gets in, but the IR is trapped by the extremely pressure broadened infrared absorption lines. I’m sorry, but the Venus greenhouse effect is real.

James
May 6, 2010 9:32 pm

This is all over my head, but I’ll point out something anyway:
1) CO2 only absorbs radiation at certain wavelengths. Those wavelengths belong to black bodies below 50 deg C and above 300 deg C. It doesn’t absorb anything in-between.
2) Earth has very few places – outside of the upper atmosphere – at those temperatures, so very little radiation is produced by the earth that is absorbed by CO2.
3) Venus has lots of things at those temperature – including mostly the atmosphere, so CO2 is much more relevant to Venus than to earth.
James

James
May 6, 2010 9:33 pm

Oops – in previous comment, I meant CO2 obsorbs energy from black bodies below -50 deg C. Not 50C. My bad.
James

Jeremy
May 6, 2010 9:35 pm

astrowright says:
May 6, 2010 at 7:18 pm (Edit)
… Venus has not always had a thick atmosphere, as evidenced by by circumstantial conditions of the early solar system as well as Venus’s geologic history.
And how much of Venus’ geologic history do we have an evidence for? My understanding was that for decades we had about exactly 1 picture of the surface, and only recently have we revealed the entire planet surface through long-range-radar studies. Exactly what evidence on our radar maps and single picture tell us that the atmosphere used to be thin?

Robert
May 6, 2010 9:44 pm

About the nitrogen in the atmosphere in venus, its 3.5% of 4.8 × 10^20 kg. On earth its 78.08% of 5 × 10^18 kg.
So guess what, there is even more nitrogen in the atmosphere of Venus then there is in the atmosphere of Earth. In fact there is about 4 times more nitrogen on Venus compared to Earth so i guess it is still there if both atmosphere started out equally, the better question would be, where is our nitrogen?
As for water still being a trace element in the Venusian atmosphere, it has a lot of sulfuric acid and hydrogen sulfide. Carbon Dioxide will split into Carbon Monoxide and Oxygen under UV light, Oxygen reacts with Sulphur to form Sulphuric Trioxide wich then combined with water will lead to Sulphuric acid.
Volcanism (although not yet proven on Venus) could add all the needed gases into the atmosphere. On Earth watervapour is the most abundant gas that comes from vulcanos. That could well be the source for the water on Venus, not much but enough.

May 6, 2010 9:49 pm

Lon Hocker
This article is pointing out that it is pressure, rather than composition which causes Venus to be hot.
You responded with a statement saying that I am wrong, because it is pressure that makes Venus hot.
You might want to think that line of argument through a little bit.

Editor
May 6, 2010 9:49 pm

DesertYote says:
May 6, 2010 at 8:17 pm

Ric Werme
May 6, 2010 at 7:37 pm
You are goofy wrong. PVT, its simple physics, the basic gas laws, sheesh! Don’t they teach simple science in school any more? No wonder the greenies can promote their
nonsense.

I am quite aware of the gas laws, thank you, physics was my favorite high school course in 1967/68. Laws say what, they don’t say why. Compress a gas, the temperature goes up. Temperature is a measure of kinetic energy, so something has accelerated the gas molecules. Why is that goofy?
I like physics because it explains how the natural world works. The derivation and meaning behind the equations of motion, gravity, etc are more important to understanding the world than slavishly plugging in numbers into equations.
You might want to check out my web site, I don’t think you’ll find much AGW support there.

May 6, 2010 9:51 pm

Pamela Gray says:
May 6, 2010 at 6:57 pm
No, no, no!!! I’m not talking about a lure spinner. I am taking about the rod. A baitcasting rod has a trigger on it (a place for parts of your hand so you can use other parts to slow down the line as you land that fat worm just where you want it). A spinning rod doesn’t have this thorn like feature under the rod. But most baitcasting rods are made for bass fishing (a fat heavy fish) and are usually made for 8+ pound test weight (think log size girthy rod, not twig size skinny rod). I want an ultralight baitcasting rod (twig size skinny and flexible) with the trigger and I want it to be short (less than 7 ft), not the usual length for such a rod. I want to use 4 to 8 lb test. Any baitcasting rod I have found is too long and too telephone pole stiff for trout.
See???? I am hyperventilating again!!!!! Come on you guys!! You’re GUYS! You should know this stuff!!!!

I’d make my own, it’s easy, you can buy a baitcasting rod butt and it sounds to me like 7′ fly rod blank would work well (try Cabelas). I built myself a 9′ noodle rod for steelhead using 3lb test using a fly blank, the biggest I caught with it was 18 lb. Good luck.

May 6, 2010 9:52 pm

Lon Hocker
One more thing. Please explain how the dark side of Venus (which is dark for months on end) manages to keep the same temperature as the other side of the planet which is light for months on end.
If you can invent a greenhouse which stays as warm at night as it does during the day, you should get very rich.

Editor
May 6, 2010 9:54 pm

Lon Hocker says:
May 6, 2010 at 9:23 pm

As many folks have pointed out, your analysis is thoroughly flawed. Some sunlight gets in, but the IR is trapped by the extremely pressure broadened infrared absorption lines.

And then what happens? The heated gas convects upward to a region transparent enough to radiate in wavelengths that aren’t blocked.

May 6, 2010 9:56 pm

Carl Sagan…….up until now, the most prolific science fiction writer ever to pass his work off as science. He had a great imagination. When the Martians or Saturnians come and get us, he’ll be proven correct. Like the rest of the cast of idiots, he said “I’ve got a degree from a meaningless institution that gives me license to say whatever comes off of the top of my head and people should believe me. After all, I’ve got a degree in…..lunacy.”

michael hammer
<