Sat tracking of ultraviolet light shows increase since 1979

UV exposure has increased over the last 30 years, but stabilized since the mid-1990s

http://www.nasa.gov/images/content/433982main_percent-change-Full.jpg
The high latitudes of the southern hemisphere have seen ultraviolet exposure increase by as much as a quarter. The low latitudes have seen little increase, and the mid-and-high latitudes of the northern hemisphere have seen about a five percent increase. Though the size of UV wavelengths ranges from 290 to 400 nanometers, 305 nanometer UV is one of the most damaging wavelengths for humans. Credit: NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center/Jay Herman

From NASA Goddard press release here

NASA scientists analyzing 30 years of satellite data have found that the amount of ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaching Earth’s surface has increased markedly over the last three decades. Most of the increase has occurred in the mid-and-high latitudes, and there’s been little or no increase in tropical regions.

The new analysis shows, for example, that at one line of latitude — 32.5 degrees — a line that runs through central Texas in the northern hemisphere and the country of Uruguay in the southern hemisphere, 305 nanometer UV levels have gone up by some 6 percent on average since 1979.

The primary culprit: decreasing levels of stratospheric ozone, a colorless gas that acts as Earth’s natural sunscreen by shielding the surface from damaging UV radiation.

The finding reinforces previous observations that show UV levels are stabilizing after countries began signing an international treaty that limited the emissions of ozone-depleting gases in 1987. The study also shows that increased cloudiness in the southern hemisphere over the 30-year period has impacted UV.

Jay Herman, a scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md., stitched together data from several earth observing satellites — including NASA’s Aura satellite, NOAA weather satellites, and commercial satellites — to draw his conclusions. The results were published in the Journal of Geophysical Research in February.

“Overall, we’re still not where we’d like to be with ozone, but we’re on the right track,” said Jay Herman. “We do still see an increase in UV on a 30-year timescale, but it’s moderate, it could have been worse, and it appears to have leveled off.”

In the tropics, the increase has been minimal, but in the mid-latitudes it has been more obvious. During the summer, for example, UV has increased by more than 20 percent in Patagonia and the southern portions of South America. It has risen by nearly 10 percent in Buenos Aires, a city that’s about the same distance from the equator as Little Rock, Ark. At Washington, D.C.’s latitude — about 35 degrees north — UV has increased by about 9 percent since 1979.

The southern hemisphere tends to have more UV exposure because of the ozone hole, a seasonal depletion of the ozone layer centered on the South Pole. There are also fewer particles of air pollution — which help block UV — due to the comparatively small numbers of people who live in the southern hemisphere.

Despite the overall increases, there are clear signs that ultraviolet radiation levels are on the verge of falling. Herman’s analysis, which is in agreement with a World Meteorological Report published in recent years, shows that decreases in ozone and corresponding increases in UV irradiance leveled off in the mid-nineties.

http://www.nasa.gov/images/content/433980main_Monthy-change-305-Full.jpg
The largest increases in UV (shown in white, red, orange, and yellow) have occurred in the southern hemisphere during summers. In the tropics, increases in UV have been minimal (shown in blue). Though the size of UV wavelengths ranges from 290 to 400 nanometers, 305 nanometer UV is one of the most damaging types for humans. Credit: NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center/Jay Herman

The Many Sides of Radiation

Shorter ultraviolet wavelengths of light contain more energy than the infrared or visible portions of sunlight that reach Earth’s surface. Because of this, UV photons can break atmospheric chemical bonds and cause complex health effects.

Longer wavelengths (from 320 to 400 nanometers) — called UV-A — cause sunburn and cataracts. Yet, UV-A can also improve health by spurring the production of Vitamin D, a substance that’s critical for calcium absorption in bones and that helps stave off a variety of chronic diseases.

UV-B, which has slightly shorter wavelengths (from 320 to 290 nanometers), damages DNA by tangling and distorting its ladder-like structure, causing a range of health problems such as skin cancer and diseases affecting the immune system.

As part of his study, Herman developed a mathematical technique to quantify the biological impacts of UV exposure. He examined and calculated how changing levels of ozone and ultraviolet irradiance affect life. For Greenbelt, Md., for example, he calculated that a 7 percent increase in UV yielded a 4.4 percent increase in the damage to skin, a 4.8 percent increase in damage to DNA, a 5 percent increase in Vitamin D production, and less than a percent of increase in plant growth.

“If you go to the beach these days, you’re at slightly higher risk of getting skin cancer (without protection),” Herman said, though he noted the risk would have been even greater in the absence of regulations on ozone-depleting substances.

Last year, one of Herman’s Goddard colleagues, Paul Newman, published a study showing that the ozone hole likely would have become a year-round fixture and UV radiation would increase 650 percent by 2065 in mid-latitude cities if not for the Montreal Protocol, an international treaty signed in 1987 that limited the amount of ozone-depleting gases countries could emit.

Clouds and Hemispheric Dimming

In addition to analyzing ozone and ultraviolet trends, Herman also used satellite data to study whether changes in cloudiness have affected UV trends. To his surprise, he found that increased cloudiness in the southern hemisphere produced a dimming effect that increased the shielding from UV compared to previous years.

In the higher latitudes especially, he detected a slight reduction — typically of 2 to 4 percent — in the amount of UV passing through the atmosphere and reaching the surface due to clouds. “It’s not a large amount, but it’s intriguing,” Herman said. “We aren’t sure what’s behind it yet.”

Vitali Fioletov, a Canadian scientist and member of the World Meteorological Organization’s advisory group on ultraviolet radiation, agreed that Herman’s findings about cloudiness warrant additional investigation. “I found the cloud effects on the global scale to be the most interesting aspect of the study,” he said. “This isn’t something you could see without satellites.”

Herman synthesized measurements from the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) aboard Nimbus 7 and Earth Probe, the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) on NASA’s Aura satellite, NASA’s Sea-Viewing Wide Field-of-view sensor (SeaWiFS) on the commercial SeaStar satellite, and the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet Instrument (SBUV) on several polar orbiting NOAA weather satellites.

Related Links:

Global increase in UV irradiance during the past 30 years (1979–2008) estimated from satellite data

› www.agu.org/pubs/…

h/t to Dr. Leif Svalgaard

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theoldhogger
March 17, 2010 9:17 am

What the hell is a Cabriolet?! Some kind of goofy French car?

Richard M
March 17, 2010 9:19 am

I assume this is a small value compared to total TSI so is it lost in the round-off?

Don Keiller
March 17, 2010 9:37 am

I thought that the Man-made ozone hole theory had hit a snag.
Reaction data of crucial chloride compounds called into question.
As the world marks 20 years since the introduction of the Montreal Protocol to protect the ozone layer, Nature has learned of experimental data that threaten to shatter established theories of ozone chemistry. If the data are right, scientists will have to rethink their understanding of how ozone holes are formed and how that relates to climate change
http://www.nature.com/news/2007/070924/full/449382a.html

Urederra
March 17, 2010 9:37 am

“theoldhogger (09:17:24) :
What the hell is a Cabriolet?! Some kind of goofy French car?”
A car with soft retractable roof.

March 17, 2010 9:40 am

I blame crime scene investigators. They’ve been shining UV all over the place looking for rouge sperm.

woodNfish
March 17, 2010 9:40 am

I suppose this should cause me some concern, but since it comes from the crackpot organization NASA, it is probably another load of unsubstantiated, biased BS. So I will ignore it until I hear about it from a reputable source, (which probably doesn’t exist).

Steve Goddard
March 17, 2010 9:45 am

Jones says that the earth stopped warming in the mid-1990s, which is also described as the date when UV stopped increasing.
Is it possible that the amount of sunshine received affects the earth’s temperature?

pjotrk
March 17, 2010 9:51 am

@theoldhogger: cabriolet is the European name for a convertible…
It even is an English word (not American). Hope that helps.
Pjotr

R. Gates
March 17, 2010 9:52 am

RichieP said:
“Are we all going to die then?”
Answer: Yes, every one reading this will die…some day.
More to the point, the damage done to the ozone layer was serious, did increase UV, but we caught it in time and did something about it. It did prove that humans can both cause and solve problems on a global scale. In as much as AGW is a problem, hope can be found in this example.

BillyBob
March 17, 2010 9:52 am

Do MMTS thermometers show spurious warming when bombarded by extra UV?

gcb
March 17, 2010 9:58 am

Fun fact – the UV rays that cause cancer also promote the production of Vitamin D, which some researchers now believe has a cancer-preventative effect. Unfortunately, many of the sunscreen products on the market block only half the UV rays (then ones that cause sunburn and promote Vitamin D production), allowing the remaining UV rays (that still cause genetic errors and thus cancer) to get through! As such, you might be better off not using any sunscreen at all!
(FYI there is a discrepancy between this article and Wikipedia – Wikipedia claims that it’s UV-B that creates Vitamin D, this article claims it’s UV-A. Other Internet sources seem to support Wikipedia, can someone fact-check the “The Many Sides of Radiation” section?)

Roger Knights
March 17, 2010 10:07 am

I put CFC in the search box and got several interesting articles. Here’s the most recent:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/22/study-shows-cfcs-cosmic-rays-major-culprits-for-global-warming/
(Maybe “CFC” should be added as a “category”?)

March 17, 2010 10:09 am

Leif Svalgaard (08:27:43) :
Leif Svalgaard (08:26:59) :
The largest increases in UV (shown in white, red, orange, and yellow) have occurred in the southern hemisphere during summers.

During winters….

Enneagram
March 17, 2010 10:20 am

Henry chance (08:15:54) :
WASHINGTON — It may sound far-fetched, but federal regulators are studying whether sudden acceleration in Toyotas is linked to “cosmic rays”.
That is true regarding micro-chips, one single CR changes several bits of input or output bites.
Cell phones’ chips are good detectors also.

Enneagram
March 17, 2010 10:26 am

We should remember that Ozone and Hydogen nucleii (protons) can react to form water:
To his surprise, he found that increased cloudiness in the southern hemisphere

Enneagram
March 17, 2010 10:35 am

In their latest act, solar protons (the nuclei of hydrogen atoms) allow our own supposedly arid moon to make enough water every day to offset evaporation and maintain trace amounts of moisture all over its surface
http://www.csmonitor.com/Innovation/Tech/2009/1116/how-much-water-is-on-the-water

R. de Haan
March 17, 2010 10:38 am

theoldhogger (09:17:24) :
“What the hell is a Cabriolet?! Some kind of goofy French car?”
A topless car?

John Galt
March 17, 2010 10:46 am

RichieP (08:08:38) :
Are we all going to die then?

Yes. Each and every one of us.

Enneagram
March 17, 2010 10:46 am

RichieP (08:08:38) :
Are we all going to die then?

Actually the length of our life is surely conditioned by cosmic radiation, as its average correlates with the length of the Gleissberg cycle.

Enneagram
March 17, 2010 10:54 am

See:
THE SOLAR WOLF-GLEISSBERG CYCLE AND ITS INFLUENCE ON THE
EARTH,Shahinaz M. Yousef,
Astronomy &Meteorology Dept.
Faculty of Science -Cairo University
http://virtualacademia.com/pdf/cli267_293.pdf

Hu Duck Xing
March 17, 2010 10:56 am
Patrik
March 17, 2010 11:03 am

If UV is more energetic than the reflected IR and visible light and if UV increased – wouldn’t that cause an energy “imbalance” between incoming and outgoing energy?
An imbalance that could be mistaken for increased greenhouse effect?
Or am I just confused? 🙂

Jim G
March 17, 2010 11:10 am

However, like sea ice, current trends are omitted.

gcb
March 17, 2010 11:32 am

Cabriolet is another name for a soft-top convertible.

A C Osborn
March 17, 2010 11:35 am

Steve Goddard (09:45:38) : Now don’t you start that could it be the Sun, you know it will upset Leif.
I thought someone mentioned UV’s Contribution on one of the previous Threads.

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