
There’s a new article at Nature News where they report on an amazing new paleoclimatology breakthrough with temperature reconstructions using clamshells. The Nature article reports on a new paper in PNAS from William Patterson at the University of Saskachewan. Here’s a short excerpt:
The study used 26 shells obtained from sediment cores taken from an Icelandic bay. Because clams typically live from two to nine years, isotope ratios in each of these shells provided a two-to-nine-year window onto the environmental conditions in which they lived.
Patterson’s team used a robotic sampling device to shave thin slices from each layer of the shells’ growth bands. These were then fed into a mass spectrometer, which measured the isotopes in each layer. From those, the scientists could calculate the conditions under which each layer formed.
Unlike counting tree rings which have varying widths due to all sorts of external influences such as rainfall, sunlight, temperatures, available nutrients, and available CO2, this method looks at the levels of different oxygen isotopes in their shells that vary with the temperature of the water in which they live. One simple linear relationship.
The data resolution from isotope counts is incredible.
“What we’re getting to here is palaeoweather,” Patterson says. “We can reconstruct temperatures on a sub-weekly resolution, using these techniques. For larger clams we could do daily.”
The reconstruction is shown below. We see familiar features the little ice age, the medieval warm period and the downturn which led to the extinction of Norse settlements on Greenland.
And the feature of this reconstruction to surely stick in the craw of many who think we are living in unprecedented times of warmth is the “Roman Warm Period”. Have a look:

From Nature: Shellfish could supplant tree-ring climate data
Temperature records gleaned from clamshells reveal accuracy of Norse sagas.
Richard A. Lovett
Oxygen isotopes in clamshells may provide the most detailed record yet of global climate change, according to a team of scientists who studied a haul of ancient Icelandic molluscs.
Most measures of palaeoclimate provide data on only average annual temperatures, says William Patterson, an isotope chemist at the University of Saskatchewan in Saskatoon, Canada, and lead author of the study1. But molluscs grow continually, and the levels of different oxygen isotopes in their shells vary with the temperature of the water in which they live. The colder the water, the higher the proportion of the heavy oxygen isotope, oxygen-18.
The study used 26 shells obtained from sediment cores taken from an Icelandic bay. Because clams typically live from two to nine years, isotope ratios in each of these shells provided a two-to-nine-year window onto the environmental conditions in which they lived.
Patterson’s team used a robotic sampling device to shave thin slices from each layer of the shells’ growth bands. These were then fed into a mass spectrometer, which measured the isotopes in each layer. From those, the scientists could calculate the conditions under which each layer formed.
“What we’re getting to here is palaeoweather,” Patterson says. “We can reconstruct temperatures on a sub-weekly resolution, using these techniques. For larger clams we could do daily.”
It’s an important step in palaeoclimatic studies, he says, because it allows scientists to determine not only changes in average annual temperatures, but also how these changes affected individual summers and winters.
“We often make the mistake of saying that mean annual temperature is higher or lower at some period of time,” Patterson says. “But that is relatively meaningless in terms of the changes in seasonality.”
For example, in early Norse Iceland — part of the 2,000-year era spanned by the study — farmers were dependent on dairy farming and agriculture. “For a dairy culture, summer is by far the most important,” he says. “A one-degree decrease in summer temperatures in Iceland results in a 15% decrease in agricultural yield. If that happens two years in a row, your family’s wiped out.”
Technically, the molluscs record water temperatures, not air temperatures. But the two are closely linked — specially close to the shore, where most people lived. “So, when the water temperatures are up, air temperatures are up. When water temperatures are down, air temperatures are down,” Patterson says.
Read the complete article at Nature News
26 Shells? Really? Should I cry or is this an impressive sample size?
From one location? Really?
Err…are 26 clam shells sufficient? Didn’t I see scorn pored upon the absurdity of using a dozen or so trees to derive the “hockey stick”? Are we falling into the oft repeated AGW trap of believing a thing because it tells us that which we wish to confirm? Just asking!
An interesting name. “Klamat” means to “fool” somebody, or to “cheat”, so “clamatology” (klamatologie) is a science how to fool others. 😉
Turbo (19:18:35)
Here’s the original …

w.
So how long before the data is “corrected” and “homogenized” and the original data is lost?
Bets?
Leif Svalgaard (20:34:47) — And contrary to many other situations in life, size doesn’t matter in this.
Female clams may beg to differ.
Leif — What makes a difference is how often the claims are sampled, and from the Figure shown that leaves a lot to be desired. Looks like centuries to me.
So why do you think this type of study has been eschewed for dendro work? Is there a known error or otherwise huge “gotcha” that makes studying shelled critters less desirable than trees?
I get the feeling I’m missing something here, but what, I’m unsure. It seems asinine to think that one can easily get reliable paleotemp data worldwide easily — and it’s been known for ages! — and yet… the entire climate community relies on highly subjective dendro work replete with questionable statistical manipulations needed to tease any sort of signal at all? Something ain’t right here.
Frederick Michael (20:56:48) : “I’m sure Michael Mann can show how this is all just oil funded research. One of the oil companies is even named “Shell.” See?”
Ahhh, baloney.
Dr A Burns (20:50:34) :
Off topic, but is NORSEX fiddling the data ?
Yesterday NORSEX showed Arctic sea ice right on the average line, now its been dropped half an SD below it.
http://arctic-roos.org/observations/satellite-data/sea-ice/ice-area-and-extent-in-arctic
———–
Maybe they changed the date for which they calculate the average.
Look at NSIDC, they use the average for 1979-2000, and it’s higher ice levels:
http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20100303_Figure2.png
If NORSEX used an average from 1979-2007, or 2008, or 2009, the average would be dragged down even more, since these years were all pretty warm and had low Arctic ice extent compared to 1979-2000:
http://www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/en/home/seaice_extent.htm
2003 had the most Arctic ice for these years, but its already included in the 1979-2006 average.
“But molluscs grow continually, and the levels of different oxygen isotopes in their shells vary with the temperature of the water in which they live. The colder the water, the higher the proportion of the heavy oxygen isotope, oxygen-18.”
Is the abundance of oxygen-18 isotopes in sea water really that stable for centuries, and in different parts of the world? What if 18O was highly variable in the past? Then the clam would not have been in warmer water, he would have just had less 18O in his habitat.
Just a question. I know it looks like it corresponds well with the MWP & the LIA, but I would like to avoid eating any half-baked ideas, they make me sick later. A little more raw data would be good. But pass on the raw moluscs. I’ll just go straight to the chaser!
“Mann puts it perfectly. “The side that is issuing these attacks, our detractors, are extremely well-funded, they are extremely well-organized. They have basically had an attack infrastructure of this sort for decades. They developed it during the tobacco wars. They honed it further in efforts to attack science that industry or other special interests find inconvenient. So they have a very well-honed, well-funded, organized machine they are bringing to bear now in their attack on climate science.”
Who would have thought that cuddly clams are such sentient beings to be involved in a ” well-honed, well-funded, organized machine”? Is there no end to the malevolent ingenuity of deniers?
The spike in the mid-1500s is interesting: Europe had some very hot summers at this time, especially 1540 (see e.g. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/112100473/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0).
Leif Svalgaard (21:12:55) :
“The hard part is not the temperature when the clams lived [that is old hat as I said], but to know the age of the clam and to find old clams that can be dated. Kitchen midden
I guess there were too many jokes about clam claims…”
Is the good solar physicist branching out into a new realm of research I presume….to that of paleoCLAMatology?
Chris
Norfolk, VA, USA
It will be interesting to see how clams may be used to document changes in temperature due to:
(1) Changes in ocean currents;
(2) Nearby underwater vents and other geothermal activity like the birth of the island, Surtsey;
(3) Changes in nearby freshwater runoff;
etc.
Clamatology indeed!
The work of this group will be silenced by the IPCC and media.
Because the data litherally comes from Shell(s).
Just like this paper here;
http://www.phys.huji.ac.il/~shaviv/Ice-ages/GSAToday.pdf
Because this is inconvenient research, done by inconvenient scientists, showing inconvenient data.
“Paleoweather”…hmmm.
I haven’t read the paper, so I don’t know if the precision they’re claiming is real or not, but I do see one problem they won’t be able to get around even if they do possess this phenomenal precision, and that is a limit on the dating accuracy. Presumably, the clams have to be dated using carbon dating, so even if they get single-day precision for 2-9 years, they won’t know when that 2-9 year period falls to any better than 1% or so (which is still pretty good, but definitely not as accurate as “Paleoweather” implies).
Still, I find it nice to see some recent reports confirming the previously well-known, but recently re-written, MWP and LIA.
-Scott
“The study used 26 shells obtained from sediment cores taken from an Icelandic bay. Because clams typically live from two to nine years, isotope ratios in each of these shells provided a two-to-nine-year window onto the environmental conditions in which they lived.”
I just can’t see how it possible to draw any major conclusions from such a small sample covering such a small amount of time, and possibly (I haven’t read the actual paper) unknowns such as water depth. Count me sceptical.
OTOH : R. de Haan</b? (18:03:27) : “We have what may be the world’s oldest clam,.. that might give a continuous record going back 400 years.”
So is the “two-to-nine year window” correct, or should it be in hundreds of years???
Darn I see that pun was nabbed hours ago so I can’t claim it here!
Or …can’t CLAM it here, so to speak. So I just try to try hide things in a clamdestine and clamtic fashion so nobody will be able to underclam what I clam saying.
Was trying to talk about the great and tragic clamity that occurred when the tide came in and they all got eaten by bigger clams….and somehow THEY concocted [or conclammeded to be correct] clamdyia and a severe case of the clam….and that was all she wrote. The end.
Chris the Clam
Norfolk, VA, USA
Hmmm, over two thousand years of climate history deduced from 26 2-9 year intervals from one icelandic bay. I’m sorry but I’m a little skeptical.
A pity the study only looked at clams in one very small area of the world. A more global study would be interesting. And has anybody ever doubted that Iceland (and the North Atlantic) had a MWP? There is plenty of historic evidence of that.
And I seem not to be able to see any data on clams after 1700AD? Did they all die out then?
Anu (21:33:47) :
Even the “Roman Warm Period” in this Icelandic bay was about 13.5 deg C.
A quick Google indicates the present annual mean temp for Iceland is about 5 deg C
LIA & MWP: Yes – there’s some pearls in that data !
The aboringinals all around Australia have left middens which are large mounds of used oyster shells which will date back thousands of years which can be used to identify the mediavel warming and Roman warming periods.
If the clam doesn’t fit, you must acquit.
CLAMS ‘MUSSEL’ IN ON CLIMATE DEBATE!
This looks a LOT more dependable in principle – as everyone else has said, we need more studies in different regions to confirm this method and build up a body of evidence.