NWF's winter weather wackiness

We’ve seen how the World Wildlife Fund reports were included in IPCC AR4 with disastrous results, now we have an example of a newspaper and TV Network hanging their entire story on a report from the National Wildlife Federation.

Here’s the WaPo story:

Harsh winter a sign of disruptive climate change, report says

By Juliet Eilperin and David A. Fahrenthold

Washington Post Staff Writer

Thursday, January 28, 2010; A10

This winter’s extreme weather — with heavy snowfall in some places and unusually low temperatures — is in fact a sign of how climate change disrupts long-standing patterns, according to a new report by the National Wildlife Federation.

… more here

Now here’s a few things to consider.

Ryan Maue writes at Climate Audit:

The title of the newest contribution is “Odd-ball Winter Weather:  Global Warming’s Wake-Up Call for the Northern United States” and the PDF can be downloaded from their website.   It is a well-manicured reported with glossy photos of wildlife, folks enjoying ice fishing and skiing, and snowplows.  Here is the introductory paragraph to get a flavor of the quality of the report:

Global warming is having a seemingly peculiar effect on winter weather in the northern United States. Winter is becoming milder and shorter on average; spring arrives 10 to 14 days earlier than it did just 20 years ago. But most snowbelt areas are still experiencing extremely heavy snowstorms. Some places are even expected to have more heavy snowfall events as storm tracks shift northward and as reduced ice cover on the Great Lakes increases lake-effect snowfalls. Even as global warming slowly changes the character of winter, we will still experience significant year-to-year variability in snowfall and temperature because many different factors are at play.

Ryan adds:

A few brief comments:  (1) Throughout the report, there is unscientific language in the headlines similar to “seemingly peculiar” like “odd-ball”, “erratic”, “surprises”, “patchy”, and “thrown for a loop”.  It is clear that the audience of the report is the layperson in the public, but using such terminology obfuscates the scientific message being made.  (2)  As the first paragraph highlights, there have been changes in winter weather during the past 20-years, a rather short time period to be making proclamations about trends or climate change for that matter.  Also, the equivocal nature of the final sentence needs to be translated:  global warming “slowly” changes the character of winter… year-to-year variability and different factors are at play =  natural climate oscillations and modes of large-scale variability trump the changes associated with global warming during the past 20-years.

Recent odd-ball (sic) weather events.

As WUWT readers know, we’ve seen lots of “odd-ball” weather before in the USA, often far worse than today.

1930's dust bowl. Image from Texas A&M University

Here are a few of the NWF claims:

The spatial extent of snow cover across the Northern Hemisphere has decreased by approximately 3 to 9 percent since 1978, with especially rapid declines in the western United States

This is highly misleading.  As reported earlier on WUWT,  December, 2009 had the second greatest December snow cover on record in the Northern Hemisphere.  17 out of the last 21 Decembers have had above average snow cover.  October, 2009 had the sixth greatest October snow extent on record in the Northern Hemisphere.  Seven out of the last ten Octobers have had above average snow cover.  January, 2008 had the third greatest snow extent ever measured in the Northern Hemisphere.  Seven out of the last nine January’s have had above average snow cover.

The western United States has actually been seeing record snowfall in recent years, not “rapid declines” as claimed by NWF.

NCDC snow report from the winter of 2007-2008 Numerous ski resorts in the West reported record breaking snowfall this year, as did parts of northern Maine. Caribou, Maine received 197.8 inches (502 cm) of snowfall this winter, shattering the previous record of 181.1 inches (460 cm).

Mt. Crested Butte, Colorado received 418 inches (1061 cm) during the 2007-08 winter, breaking the previous record of 415 inches (1054 cm) from 1979-1980. Even Spokane, Washington was the second-snowiest on record with 89.5 inches (227 cm), four inches (10 cm) short of the previous record from 1949-1950. The map to the right depicts the snowpack levels in many Rocky Mountain basins on May 1, 2008, illustrating a residual near to above average snow cover over much of the Rockies and Cascades in the western U.S. Thirty-two Snowtel locations reported record snow water equivalent records by the end of April.

NCDC snow report from the winter of 2008-2009

Across North America, snow cover for the 2008-09 winter was above average, with the 12th largest extent since satellite records began in 1967.

The winter of 2009-2010 has also started with record December snow cover in the US, and near record snow depth in the southern Rocky Mountains.

Arizona Snow Bowl, Flagstaff

5 FEET OF SNOW IN THE PAST 7 DAYS

Wolf Creek, Colorado

Midway Base Depth : 112 Inches

Last 7 Days : 56 Inches

Year to Date : 271 inches

Pajarito Mountain, New Mexico

YEAR-TO-DATE TOTAL 103″

BASE DEPTH (mid-mountain undisturbed) 60″

NWF Claim:

Stronger hurricanes, heavier rainfall, and rising sea levels: this is what global warming has in store for the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coasts.

This again is misleading.  According to NOAA the number of major hurricane strikes on the US peaked in the 1940s at ten, and have been generally declining ever since.   (2001-2010 has had seven so far.)   The last Category 5 hurricane to strike the US was Andrew in 1993.  The last three years have seen exceptionally quiet hurricane activity in the US.

Sea level has been rising for 20,000 years since the end of the last ice age, when it was 400 feet lower.

http://www.globalwarmingart.com/images/1/1d/Post-Glacial_Sea_Level.png

Blaming sea level rise on CO2 isn’t going to fly.  According to NOAA, sea level is rising at about 2.5mm/year along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the US.  At that low rate, it will take nearly a millennium to rise to the high end of IPCC estimates.

NWF Claim:

Global warming will bring more extreme  heat waves. By the 2080s and 2090s, many parts of the country will have more than two months each year with 100-degree weather if global warming emissions are not curbed.

There is zero evidence of this in the temperature record.  NCDC data shows essentially no warming in US summer temperatures over the last 80 years.   The hottest summer was in the 1930s.

NCDC summer temperatures for the US  1930-2009

NWF claim:

Global warming has caused more heavy rainfall events in the United States over the last few decades along with an increased likelihood of devastating floods

Actually, the ten deadliest floods in US history all took place prior to 1977.

1. Johnstown, PA

May 31, 1889

Death Toll: 2,200

Several days of extremely heavy rainfall, brought about the collapse of the South Fork Dam, which was 14 miles upstream of Johnstown, PA.  It was the first major disaster relief effort handled by the new American Red Cross, led by Clara Barton. Support for victims came from all over the United States and 18 foreign countries. It remains one of the greatest disasters in U.S. history.

The Johnstown Flood also became a social cause celebre, because the dam that collapsed had been built to create a lake for vacationing millionaires, such as Andrew Carnegie and Andrew Mellon, while the inhabitants of the town were Welsh and German immigrants.

2. Mississippi Valley

January and February 1937

Death Toll: 1,100

Heavy rains flooded 12,700 square miles, destroying 75,000 homes, and leaving 600,000 refugees.

3. Ohio River

March, 1913

Death Toll: 700

Heavy rains brought severe flooding. The disaster led to the nation’s first flood control board and programs.

4. Santa Paula, CA

March 12, 1928

Death Toll: 450

Collapse of the St. Francis Dam

5. Rapid City, SD

June 9 – 10, 1972

Death Toll: 237

Flash flood

6. Kansas City, Missouri

May 16 – June 1, 1903

Death Toll: 200

Heavy rains brought flooding that raised the level of the Missouri River 35 feet.

7. Mississippi Valley

April – May 1912

Death Toll: 200

The Mississippi River overflows its banks.

8. Willow Creek, OR

1903

Death Toll: 200

Flash flood sweeps away a third of the town.

9. Man, WV

Feb. 26, 1972

Death Toll: 118

Slag pile dam collapses under torrential rains.

10. Loveland, CO

August 1, 1976

Death Toll: 139

Flash flood in Big Thompson Canyon

NWF claim:

Large parts of the western United States and much of the Southeast has already begun experiencing more frequent and more severe droughts

According to USDA, none of the southeast and very little of the west is experiencing a severe drought.   No doubt there is unsustainable water usage in the west, but this has little to do with climate.   The 1930s saw the worst droughts in US history.  Likewise, the Anasazi were driven out of their home by drought in the thirteenth century, but it is unlikely this was due to people driving Hummers in Chaco Canyon.  Drought cycles happen in the west, and they always have.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html

In summary, it appears that NWF, like WWF, is spreading a large amount of global warming misinformation, and some news outlets like Washington Post and MSNBC seem to accept it without question.

h/t Thanks to Steve Goddard for rounding up rubuttal graphics

National Wildlife Federation Misinformation Campaign

1930s Dust Bowl Drought

The National Wildlife Federation has issued a new report “Odd-ball Winter Weather: Global Warming’sWake-Up Call for the Northern United States” containing an exceptional amount of misinformation.

Here are a few of their claims:

The spatial extent of snow cover

across the Northern Hemisphere has

decreased by approximately 3 to 9

percent since 1978, with especially

rapid declines in the western United

States

This is highly misleading.  As reported on WUWT – December, 2009 had the second greatest December snow cover on record in the Northern Hemisphere.  17 out of the last 21 Decembers have had above average snow cover.  October, 2009 had the sixth greatest October snow extent on record in the Northern Hemisphere.  Seven out of the last ten Octobers have had above average snow cover.  January, 2008 had the third greatest snow extent ever measured in the Northern Hemisphere.  Seven out of the last nine January’s have had above average snow cover.

The western United States has actually been seeing record snowfall in recent years, not “rapid declines” as claimed by NWF.

NCDC snow report from the winter of 2007-2008 Numerous ski resorts in the West reported record breaking snowfall this year, as did parts of northern Maine. Caribou, Maine received 197.8 inches (502 cm) of snowfall this winter, shattering the previous record of 181.1 inches (460 cm).

Mt. Crested Butte, Colorado received 418 inches (1061 cm) during the 2007-08 winter, breaking the previous record of 415 inches (1054 cm) from 1979-1980. Even Spokane, Washington was the second-snowiest on record with 89.5 inches (227 cm), four inches (10 cm) short of the previous record from 1949-1950. The map to the right depicts the snowpack levels in many Rocky Mountain basins on May 1, 2008, illustrating a residual near to above average snow cover over much of the Rockies and Cascades in the western U.S. Thirty-two Snowtel locations reported record snow water equivalent records by the end of April.

NCDC snow report from the winter of 2008-2009

Across North America, snow cover for the 2008-09 winter was above average, with the 12th largest extent since satellite records began in 1967.

The winter of 2009-2010 has also started with record December snow cover in the US, and near record snow depth in the southern Rocky Mountains.

Arizona Snow Bowl, Flagstaff

5 FEET OF SNOW IN THE PAST 7 DAYS

Wolf Creek, Colorado

Midway Base Depth : 112 Inches

Last 7 Days : 56 Inches

Year to Date : 271 inches

Pajarito Mountain, New Mexico

YEAR-TO-DATE TOTAL 103″

BASE DEPTH (mid-mountain undisturbed) 60″

NWF Claim:

Stronger hurricanes, heavier rainfall,

and rising sea levels: this is what global

warming has in store for the U.S. Gulf

and Atlantic coasts.

This again is misleading.  According to NOAA the number of major hurricane strikes on the US peaked in the 1940s at ten, and have been generally declining ever since.   (2001-2010 has had seven so far.)   The last Category 5 hurricane to strike the US was Andrew in 1993.  The last three years have seen exceptionally quiet hurricane activity in the US.

Sea level has been rising for 20,000 years since the end of the last ice age, when it was 400 feet lower.

http://www.globalwarmingart.com/images/1/1d/Post-Glacial_Sea_Level.png

Blaming sea level rise on CO2 isn’t going to fly.  According to NOAA, sea level is rising at about 2.5mm/year along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the US.  At that low rate, it will take nearly a millennium to rise to the high end of IPCC estimates.

NWF Claim:

Global warming will bring more extreme

heat waves. By the 2080s and 2090s,

many parts of the country will have

more than two months each year with

100-degree weather if global warming

emissions are not curbed.

There is zero evidence of this in the temperature record.  NCDC data shows essentially no warming in US summer temperatures over the last 80 years.   The hottest summer was in the 1930s.

NCDC summer temperatures for the US  1930-2009

NWF claim:

Global warming has caused more

heavy rainfall events in the United

States over the last few decades along

with an increased likelihood of

devastating floods

Actually, the ten deadliest floods in US history all took place prior to 1977.

1. Johnstown, PA

May 31, 1889

Death Toll: 2,200

Several days of extremely heavy rainfall, brought about the collapse of the South Fork Dam, which was 14 miles upstream of Johnstown, PA.  It was the first major disaster relief effort handled by the new American Red Cross, led by Clara Barton. Support for victims came from all over the United States and 18 foreign countries. It remains one of the greatest disasters in U.S. history.

The Johnstown Flood also became a social cause celebre, because the dam that collapsed had been built to create a lake for vacationing millionaires, such as Andrew Carnegie and Andrew Mellon, while the inhabitants of the town were Welsh and German immigrants.

2. Mississippi Valley

January and February 1937

Death Toll: 1,100

Heavy rains flooded 12,700 square miles, destroying 75,000 homes, and leaving 600,000 refugees.

3. Ohio River

March, 1913

Death Toll: 700

Heavy rains brought severe flooding. The disaster led to the nation’s first flood control board and programs.

4. Santa Paula, CA

March 12, 1928

Death Toll: 450

Collapse of the St. Francis Dam

5. Rapid City, SD

June 9 – 10, 1972

Death Toll: 237

Flash flood

6. Kansas City, Missouri

May 16 – June 1, 1903

Death Toll: 200

Heavy rains brought flooding that raised the level of the Missouri River 35 feet.

7. Mississippi Valley

April – May 1912

Death Toll: 200

The Mississippi River overflows its banks.

8. Willow Creek, OR

1903

Death Toll: 200

Flash flood sweeps away a third of the town.

9. Man, WV

Feb. 26, 1972

Death Toll: 118

Slag pile dam collapses under torrential rains.

10. Loveland, CO

August 1, 1976

Death Toll: 139

Flash flood in Big Thompson Canyon

NWF claim:

Large parts of the western United

States and much of the Southeast has

already begun experiencing more

frequent and more severe droughts

According to USDA, none of the southeast and very little of the west is experiencing a severe drought.   No doubt there is unsustainable water usage in the west, but this has little to do with climate.   The 1930s saw the worst droughts in US history.  Likewise, the Anasazi were driven out of their home by drought in the thirteenth century, but it is unlikely this was due to people driving Hummers in Chaco Canyon.  Drought cycles happen in the west, and they always have.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html

In summary, it appears that NWF, like WWF, is spreading a large amount of global warming misinformation.

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wayne
January 29, 2010 2:39 am

Steve Goddard (23:39:22) :

Re: 20 Percent of Scientists Admit Using Brain-Enhancing Drugs …
— Nature

Could be the answer, where could IPCC possibly locate so many scientists dreaming up such vivid monsters? Maybe a drug induced microphobia… fright of tiny things… millimeters of sea rise, tenths of a degree, CO2 molecules, inches of melt, … yep, but all brain-enhanced! 🙂

Don Keiller
January 29, 2010 2:51 am

Stephan, I agree entirely. Fraud prosecutions should be made, however I would be entirely satisfied with a guilty verdict and a suspended sentence. That would ensure that the people associated with this scam were thoroughly dicredited.
On a similar note I have just had this letter published in “The Times”.
Sir, as a scientist and one who also requested data from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) under the F.O.I. Act, I am pleased that the ICO has found that University of East Anglia (UEA) and CRU failed in its duties under the Act.
Two things must now happen.
Firstly, all data, adjustment procedures and computer code relating to the CRU temperature records must be released for proper scientific scrutiny and verification. Until the data is verified all published papers that rely on the CRU temperature record for their conclusions must be withdrawn as being “unproven”.
Secondly, Professor Jones must do the honourable thing and resign. Failing that he must be dismissed if UEA and CRU are to retain any scientific credibility.

Don Keiller
January 29, 2010 2:55 am

Stephan, I agree completely. Fraud prosections should be imitiated against all those complicit in the CRU scam. Guilty verdicts and suspended prison sentences would be sufficient to thoroughly discredit these people, even in the eyes of climate alarmists.
On a similar note, I have just had this letter published in “The Times”
Sir, as a scientist and one who also requested data from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) under the F.O.I. Act, I am pleased that the ICO has found that University of East Anglia (UEA) and CRU failed in its duties under the Act.
Two things must now happen.
Firstly, all data, adjustment procedures and computer code relating to the CRU temperature records must be released for proper scientific scrutiny and verification. Until the data is verified all published papers that rely on the CRU temperature record for their conclusions must be withdrawn as being “unproven”.
Secondly, Professor Jones must do the honourable thing and resign. Failing that he must be dismissed if UEA and CRU are to retain any scientific credibility.

January 29, 2010 3:22 am

Tony B, I’ve just been discussing – on my own blog and over at JoNova – the climate records and descriptions left by Lieutenant Watkin Tench, who was present in the first four years of Sydney’s settlement. His description of a heat-wave in the summer of 1790-1791 is especially illuminating.
Check out Chapter 17 of his Complete Account of the Settlement at Port Jackson. Available free at sources like this:
http://ebooks.adelaide.edu.au/t/tench/watkin/
Tench is an excellent source. Amazingly, his most recent editor was…Tim Flannery!
Apart from summers that were just too hot, like this year, I have lived through maybe four extended and extreme heat events in coastal NSW during a longish life. Two were sheer heat waves, two involved abnormal wind patterns in summer. The February event described by Tench seems to be a combination of everything. The Australian bush where I live is still thronged with parrots and fruit bats, but I have never known them to die en masse in the way Tench describes.

Allan M
January 29, 2010 3:51 am

Stephan (21:42:59) :
This is huge I personally would not agree with seeing Prof Jones in jail
http://www.climategate.com/climategate-professor-phil-jones-could-face-ten-years-on-fraud-charges
You see ICO is not really in charge…
British Fraud Act 2006
If true, should be prosecuted along with ALL the others but no jail term for anyone involved, in what is, after all, a scientific debate gone over the top and people being pressured to tow the line from the top.

There are alternatives. He could be given a 5,000,000 year* community service order, or maybe an ASBO (Antisocial Behaviour Order) preventing him from ever going near any data.
*This is the country that dug up Oliver Cromwell and hanged his corpse.

Mattweezer
January 29, 2010 4:29 am

Just a note, it appears Hurricane Andrew was in 1992:
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/satellite/satelliteseye/hurricanes/andrew92/andrew.html
I lived in the Fort Walton Beach area at the time and my family got caught in a downpour when it came over the gulf. I agree with one of the other comments, the graph needs to include 2005 to 2009 so we don’t get caught misleading as well.

kzb
January 29, 2010 4:50 am

I don’t know about these prosecutions. What exactly are they to be charged with under criminal law? Scientific fraud is not a criminal offence in England and Wales. Even if it was, it would be unenforceable. The only thing is this FOI offence, which as we’ve seen, is not an offence, because it is more than 6 months ago. So don’t hold your breath for any prosecutions. It’s clear though the CRU now has zero credibility and something has to give.
For example, last night on TV we had Channel 4 evening news showing an amusing song sung by M Mann puppets “Hide the decline” ! Then, even on the BBC’s “Question Time”, they invited on the old Tory chancellor Nigel Lawson specifically to advertise his climate skeptic organisation.
So something is changing. Perhaps they are trying to distance themselves because they know the game will shortly be up. Or perhaps there’s been a realisation the economy black hole cannot be filled whilst maintaining their lifestyles, unless there is a back-track on green legislation.

January 29, 2010 5:06 am

In the past, lot of snow, deep cold and freezing wind were sign of virgin, unspoiled climate. Today, lot of snow is because of global warming causing excessive evaporation, deep cold is because of global warming disrupting natural patterns (which is funny, it means warm patterns are natural, or not?) and freezing wind is, well, sign of climate change.
I would establish “tar and feather” price for climate pseudoscientists and journalists.

January 29, 2010 5:13 am

guys you better watch out:
“Osama bin Laden has warned of the dangers of climate change.
The Al Qaeda leader spoke in a new audiotape aired in part on Al Jazeera television today.
In the tape, bin Laden warns of the threat presented by global warming – but he also offered a solution.
The way to prevent temperatures from rising is to ‘bring the wheels of the American economy’ to a halt, he apparently said.”
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worldnews/article-1247033/Now-Osama-bin-Laden-gets-worried-global-warming.html
This from a man that nobody knows if he’s warm enough to push up daisies (or poppies). The theater of the absurd goes on as usual.

hunter
January 29, 2010 5:16 am

AGW- the the theory that CO2 is going to cause a climate catastrophe- is a social movement that combines the nastiness of eugenics and the loopiness of UFOlogy, with a veneer of science.
When the history of this movement is written, it will be interesting to know how many bogus reports like the one deconstructed here were basically written by Greenpeace or the WWF, or other enviro extremist organizations.

Steve Goddard
January 29, 2010 5:59 am

Again, the hurricane table is from NOAA and the paragraph above reads “(2001-2010 has had seven so far.) “

January 29, 2010 6:05 am

Haven’t you heard?
War is Peace. Love is Hate. Warm is Cold.
😐

ShrNfr
January 29, 2010 6:15 am

And the AGW said: “Let there be normal”, and there was normal. The AGW saw the normal and it was good.
I hate to clue these clowns, but you are dealing with a mathematically chaotic system. The Hurst number in chaos theory was developed by a guy who was measuring the degree of flooding of the Nile river. He found he could replicate it using a deck of cards with a periodic shuffle. The dimension of weather is less than 2. That means no second moments such as correlations, variances, etc. It also implies a finite memory. Every time the “shuffle” happens, the events prior to the shuffle have no bearing on the future. I will also point out that the “owl eyes” or strange attractors were discovered by Lorenz at MIT trying to do weather prediction.
It will be hopeless to educate the public on the fact that the probabilities of events associated with weather follow a Pareto-Levy distribution. The public at large is innumerate (see the book “Innumeracy” by Paulos) and thus not capable of rational decision making on anything more than perhaps some of their bodily functions.

oakgeo
January 29, 2010 6:29 am

I wonder if their journalism degrees were written in crayon. The writing of Eilperin & Fahrenthold exhibits the gullibility, professional laziness and faux intellect we have come to expect in the MSM.

clique2
January 29, 2010 6:29 am

In the news paper article:
“Richard Somerville, who was a lead writer of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 2007 report, said the public needs to grasp that it is important to reduce carbon dioxide quickly because it stays in the atmosphere for centuries.”
What!?! Help! Even I can find evidence of C02 turn over-see C14 variant of CO2 decline over 25 years-note is a log scale.
http://cdiac.ornl.gov/epubs/ndp/ndp057/ndp057.htm#appa

clique2
January 29, 2010 6:32 am

Sorry-not log scale-v small writing!-just to stop some zealot picking fault!

rbateman
January 29, 2010 6:35 am

Juraj V. (05:06:16) :
Two years ago they were jumping up and down about the wind & cold and rain dispappearing because of too much C02. Now they are all in a bother over the wind & cold and rain appearing because of too much C02. Lay off the bubbly.
And that silly drought index map: Picking the cherries before they have ripened. Winter is only 1/2 over, but what that map says is they have decided to cancel winter as of Jan. 26th. Funny thing, but our water resource conservation district did much the same thing. Doom & gloomed the recent plentiful rain & snow into another rate hike.

Richard M
January 29, 2010 6:45 am

JohnH (23:34:09), that was an interesting read. The comments were almost 100% anti-AGW. These types of articles used to have a balanced set of replies but not any more. I’d say the tide has turned in your neck of the woods.

Myron Mesecke
January 29, 2010 6:53 am

NWF. National Wild Falsehoods

April E. Coggins
January 29, 2010 7:20 am

OT, but I can’t help myself. Obama has just ordered the federal government to reduce its carbon emissions by 28%. I can’t decide if I like this idea. There is something very gratifying about the idea of the federal government coming to a grinding halt. On the other hand, I can imagine this government using Obama’s new directive as an excuse to burn dollar bills outright.
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2010/01/obama-orders-federal-government-to-clean-up-its-pollution/1
I hope there is a some sort of tracking and reporting system. I would like to see their progress toward this goal. LOL

Tamara
January 29, 2010 7:28 am

“Global warming will bring more extreme heat waves. By the 2080s and 2090s, many parts of the country will have more than two months each year with 100-degree weather if global warming emissions are not curbed.”
Would those “many parts of the country” be Pheonix, Las Vegas, El Paso, Las Cruces, etc.?
This sort of reminds me of one of Joe Romm’s claims that in a certain number of years 50% of the Southwest would be desert! Apparently, I was confused, growing up (at various times) in the Chihuahuan desert, Sonoran desert, and Owyhee desert. Silly me.

Tenuc
January 29, 2010 7:34 am

This would have had more credibility id the models had predicted this when the first IPCC report came out. Now these scientist are making it up as they go along – in other words they haven’t a clue.
Perhaps CO2 is only a part-time GHG?

fred wisse
January 29, 2010 7:41 am

dear friends ,
for all co2 pathogists there is appearing hope on the horizon . According the latest scientific news nuclear fusion is becoming more and more within our reach and may be in 10 to 20 years time we are able to tap all our energy from this source ……. Then CO2 will start to be in short supply and this will require control by the politicians . I strongly believe that the scientists are not the real problem . Our real problem are the mighty and powerful politicians especially from the left wing eager to control the lives of others and trying to enslave the average citizen . The CRU – guys are merely puppets exploited by politicians against nice fees . Shall they now declare januari the hottest month on record ? From their point of view this is true , for them this januari was absolutely the hottest month ever . Why is Obama so quiet about Climategate ?

Editor
January 29, 2010 7:51 am

The NWF “climate scentist” has an impressive CV. She has a PhD in atmospheric chemistry – She certainly could have been a climate scientist… But she did not pursue an academic or professional career as a climate scientist. She’s a professional environmental activist. None of her “publications” are on climate science… They are all on policy.
Her CV lists this as one of her National Academies publications…

Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years , Washington, D.C.: The National Academies Press, 2006.

The publication doesn’t list her as an author or contributor. She was a member of the National Research Council staff at the time. Her position was “Senior Program Officer”… A glorified file clerk.
Her only peer-reviewed publications are…

Staudt, A., Recent Evolution of the Climate Change Dialogue in the United States, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, July 2008.
Chameides, W., D. Greenbaum, R. Wassel, K. J. Holmes, K. Gustavson, and A. Staudt, Air Quality Management in the United States, EM. July, 2005.

Neither of which has anything to do with CLIMATE SCIENCE. Papers about air quality are not CLIMATE SCIENCE. Papers about how we talk about climate change are idiotic and are not CLIMATE SCIENCE.

Douglas DC
January 29, 2010 8:04 am

Just reading that report I get a “tingle up my leg” no, it’s down, and it’s sue to setting at
teh computer too long and too much Coffee…

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