One of the favorite buzzwords of alarmists is “unprecedented” when talking about present day warming. Yah, the Earth’s never, ever, been hotter, the “hockey stick” proves it, it’s unprecedented, and its all your fault!
Well, we’ve known it’s unsubstantiated spin for quite a long time. NOAA apparently has too, because the data presented in this video is in fact from NOAA and is from the year 2000 on their website. But you don’t see it publicized much. Why? Well, because it totally destroys claims of “unprecedented warming” in our present day.
The source of inspiration is from my post Hockey stick observed in NOAA ice core data. And the source of inspiration for that is from J. Storrs Hall, writing here.
WUWT reader “docattheautopsy” produced a YouTube video for us for distribution for which I’m grateful and you can see below. I’ve also produced an animated GIF which is done somewhat like a video, since not all blogs and websites can support video. Here is the low-res version at 480 pixels wide. As you go back in time, our “unprecendented” temperatures of the present day don’t seem quite so large, when put in perspective of geologic time.
Here are the permalinks to both the low-res and hi-def versions:
Low-res: http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/noaa_gisp2_icecore_anim3.gif
Hi-Definition: http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/12/noaa_gisp2_icecore_anim_hi-def3.gif
And here is a YouTube video showing the same process:
Just a couple of caveats to mention:
1) The ice core data from Greenland doesn’t go past the year 1900
2) The reason for this is that ice is formed by the compaction of snow, that takes time. Young snow, and snow in transition to becoming ice through compaction is not a reliable indicator yet.
3) From the observed temperature change in the last century, one could add about a .5C to 0.7C line to the end of the ice core data. It does not change the conclusion. UPDATE: Upon further thought, In version 3 of the animation, I decided to do this to be a better comparison to the Mann/IPCC chart shown, since that is what they did also. The instrumental record for the last century (~ 0.7C) is shown in red, approximately fit to each scale.
4) My first animated GIF had a labeling error due to using a template. I forgot to label the Vostok Ice Core presentation separately. Fixed now and links updated. If you grabbed links in the first 30 minutes, please note they have changed.
UPDATE: I’ve added the source images for those that may want to include them in a slide show or display independently. Click each image below for full sized version suitable for saving on your local disk.
I cannot wait for all the excuses we will here in the future…
“…but we only did this in the interest of mankind etc. etc. and blah, blah……”
Well, this observation went straight down the rabbit-hole over there:
.
REPLY: Which is why nobody much pays attention to Tamino any more. – Anthony
…and then, in the soon future, like magic, if you ask someone -“what side were you on, did you believe in the agw hysteria?” Noooooooo, not me, nooooo.
And somehow all polls will show a magic shift in numbers pro-agw vs. refuters of agw 0%-100%
and that is how it will turn out.
Crop damage here is only the beginning of what is to come with global cooling and solar minimum.
“EAU CLAIRE, Wis. – The heavy snowfall has put a halt on what was left of the remaining corn harvest in western Wisconsin.”
Heavy snow slows remaining corn harvest in Wis.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/chi-ap-wi-cornharvest,0,2339878.story
Record Snow News
http://news.google.com/news/search?aq=f&um=1&cf=all&ned=us&hl=en&q=Record+Snow+News
Cold, Snow Cause Thousands of Dollars in Crop Damage
http://www.wifr.com/weather/headlines/79109342.html
Wheat prices up as freezing weather threatens Russia, Ukraine crops
http://www.thefinancialexpress-bd.com/more.php?news_id=86711
@ur momisugly @ur momisuglyMD (15:16:16)
‘Why is everyone getting so exciting about climate variation, when it’s natural and going to happen anyway, regardless of Man’s contribution?’
IPCC says we need to keep the climate from changing in a bad way, and changing climate due to higher co2 concentration and higher temperatures has been decided to be truly bad by the high council of climatologists who speaks to the weather Gods, (err where did that come from, hmm.) And not to forget that they want us all to shell out tons of cash to keep the climate from changing… in a truly bad way.
Excited yet?
“Cash corn movement has been ground to a halt Wednesday by a major winter
storm that has dumped 6 to 15 inches of snow, brought fierce winds and crippled transportation across much of the Midwest.”
DJ US Cash Grain Outlook: Winter Storm Halts Cash Movement
http://www.agriculture.com/ag/futuresource/FutureSourceStoryIndex.jhtml?storyId=175900374
Vindicating Climate Change Skeptics
http://www.torontosun.com/comment/columnists/salim_mansur/2009/12/12/12130106-sun.html
Simple, elegant, and puts everything in perspective. Excellent.
The world is being held captive by the Main Stream Media not telling the truth.
You know what? Wherever I’ve posted this and asked for comment, I’ve been ignored. I literally posted it 3 times over the course of a discussion on AGW (Richard Dawkin’s website and not one person has stepped up with a critique. It’s literally been totally blanked!
I conclude therefore, that it is THE SMOKING GUN!
Jim (14:05:50) : these graphics are very similar to those presented by Professor Bob Carter in a four part video here:
http://climateobserver.blogspot.com/2009/12/professor-bob-carter-on-co2-and-climate.html
JK:Here is a version with better graphics and NOT split into parts (choose mp4 for best quality):
http://www.blip.tv/file/791876
You can also download a DVD quality video from:
http://www.climatedvd.com/DownloadVideos.htm
(This video and all others at this site is legal to show in public and broadcast)
BTW, Bob Carter has a list of the papers used in this video at:
http://members.iinet.net.au/~glrmc/new_page_1.htm
Thanks
JK
How can one compare something that is unprecedented? Things that make you go Hummmm!
MD (13:55:03) :
“Hi Anthony, I really appreciate the work you do. I have a question regarding a recent posting by Tamino,
http://tamino.wordpress.com/2009/12/07/riddle-me-this/
I am neither mathematician nor scientist, I would really appreciate you or one of the audience answering his main claims here. Several posters get pounded & denigrated-perhaps he is correct, however I cannot help but notice that the graph he uses begins in 1975- to claim proof of AGW it seems.(unprecedented!!!)
“We’re only 10 years into the 21st century, but so far, global temperature has done exactly what was expected by mainstream climate scientists. Exactly…”
It seems that tamino and Kevin Trenberth, though both ardent warmists, are not reading from the same script.
In one of the notorious climategate emails, Trenberth says;
“The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t,”
So just as all weather events are evidence of global warming, future global temperatures will always perform exactly as warmist scientists expect. “Exactly…”
These are two of the fundamental laws of AGW.
REPLY: “Tamino” is also named in the CRU emails, his name is Grant Foster, and he’s part of the “team” so we don’t pay much attention to him here. He’s hopeless, not worth the effort, because “he’s never wrong” 😉 To see just how hopeless he is, read a couple of Steve McIntyre’s posts on him.
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2897
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=2869
He’s rather dismissive of others too, especially when he’s wrong:
http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2008/10/12/blocked-from-real-climate-and-tamino/
– A
The report goes on:
I do a double-take every time I see one of these futures markets headlines. They are so counter-intuitive.
“Looming hurricane buoys orange growers”
“Devastating storm sends soy prices soaring”
“Wheat crop blight sends traders into ecstasy” … then…
“Hurricane veers off; orange juice prices tank”
“Sunny weather’s return dims jojoba bean futures”
“Miracle cure for blight forces traders to descale”
It’s an alternate universe where good news is bad and bad news is good. Trading on and benefitting from other peoples’ misfortunes is one thing. It’s life, and I suppose you could ask if the traders have really done any harm. But what can you say of those who “manufacture” truths to temporarily exploit them?
The succession of charts should have captions reading (from the first), “Past 600 Years,” “Past 1200 Years,” etc. That key information should be explicit, not implicit. The viewer shouldn’t be forced to puzzle that out, because some of them won’t.
Great post, devastating argument against the scam.
“Unprecedented” effective because the video visualizes the argument and debunks the warming claim in a single minute.
Regarding the ice core graphs:
What’s the temperature scale on the final (Vostok ice core) frame?
Why is the Vostok ice core record so much older, (nearly a half-million-years?)
Perhaps M4GW could provide an audio track to make this a killer video …. “The hockey stick, the hockey stick, let’s all look at the hockey stick trick …”
The blogger Iain Dale is asking about these graphs at
http://iaindale.blogspot.com/
perhaps someone knowledgeable can answer his query.
https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=6214838&postID=2489139752544717020
Sorry MD, looks like http://tamino.wordpress.com/2009/12/07/riddle-me-this/ moderated the link I posted to this page. Evidently someone didn’t want to have a discussion about it.
REPLY: Grant Foster, aka Tamino, has no interest in discussion, only lecturing. Best to just ignore him. – Anthony
Here is the video of Lord Monckton speaking on Climategate at the 2nd International Climate Conference in Berlin.
http://www.cfact.tv/2009/12/07/lord-monckton-on-climategate-at-the-2nd-international-climate-conference/
Lord Christopher Monckton speaks at the second International Climate Conference, addressing the so called Climategate scandal and key players involved in what appears to be one of the biggest science scams of our time.
H/T Krishna Gans (13:16:47) :
bill,
Oh I get it now. You found a station with a huge spike in the 1990’s and posit that as evidence that were are warmer than the MWP. Don’t GISS and CRU get rid of or adjust stations that are outliers? Anyway, here’s one where the 1990’s high is no more than the 1920’s.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/work/gistemp/STATIONS//tmp.634010010003.1.1/station.gif
Enjoy.