NASA GISS Gavin Schmidt vs UAH’s John Christy debate on CNN’s Situation Room an hour ago:
h/t to WUWT reader Chris
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P Gosselin
December 10, 2009 2:05 am
Okay I watched it.
Not as bad as I thought it would be.
But my advice hasn’t changed.
We really have to unload on these charlatans.
Why is that so damn difficult?
1. Arctic is recovering
2. Antarctica is growing
3. temps are declining
4. Warmist Mojib Latif even says cooling for the next decade.
5. The trick is a fraud.
6. FOIA was violated – criminal!
What the hell else does one need?
It’s there on a silver platter!
Why can’t they drive that home?
It’s so frsutrating.
It’s almost as bad as watching the GOP.
Why are all the sceptics such poor speakers?
Why did he not point out that arctic ice had INCREASED by some 20% over the last couple of years !
.
KW
December 10, 2009 2:08 am
The thing that I feel like I have in common with Dr. Christy is that he fully embraces the notion of that which is greater than himself. Universally, wisdom comes from knowing that you know nothing: how the atmosphere is dynamic and extremely complex, how warming may be partially or largely due to C02 emissions, how abysmally models verify. His demeanor is humble, yet intelligent, which is how a true scientist should be. Unafraid to seeks answers to questions others wish to stop asking.
Paullm: “AGW is a HOAX. AGW is a HOAX. AGW is a HOAX. AGW is a HOAX.”
Dean McAskil: “Climategate is not evidence supporting a conspiracy theory. It is a conspiracy. There is no theory about it.”
Bad moves. With the CRU hack/leak coming on top of Copenhagen, climate sceptics have been given a small window of media opportunity. Don’t blow it by jumping into wingnut territory.
The likes of McIntyre and Christy are not going to support public accusations of fraud and conspiracy, nor are they going to deliver a sucker-punch to AGW. But they are your best hope.
The more enthusiastic sceptics need to step back and gain some clarity. If you want to present a credible case, put the Becks and Moncktons in the back row and the more sensible scientists up front.
Sune
December 10, 2009 2:25 am
John Christy: What a terrible performance on CNN! Talk to the viewers, not to fellow scientists. You justify the alarmism by being vague on the subject!
Use words that can be understood. The main issue is the enormous exaggeration. Your academic speak is useless. In fact, you should NOT go on TV if you do not have the currage to use harsh words. The climategate documents warrants harsh words. Give me a [snip] break with that stupid science talk – it works to promote the hypothesis of a dramatic human influence on climate. Gavin Schmidt totally beat you there – he won that round by a large margin – be a [snip] man John next time or don’t make any more interviews. It was a disgrace to be quite honest – you did a terrible job. Reply: OK EVERYBODY LISTEN UP! PARTIALLY COVERED X’D OUT SUGAR COATED PROFANITY IS STILL PROFANITY AND IT MAKES YOUR POST SUBJECT TO COMPLETE DELETION. WE ARE TOO OVERWORKED HERE TO HAVE TO GO IN AND SNIP OUT YOUR WORDS. POSTS WILL NOW START DISAPPEARING. ~ charles the moderator
Peter B
December 10, 2009 2:28 am
Gavin Schmidt’s debating personality doesn’t work for at least a large part of the public. That was seen in the IQ2 debate where he joined Brenda Erkwurzel and Richard Somerville against Richard Lindzen, Michael Crichton and Philip Stott. Schmidt’s side lost abysmally, and he came across as patronizing, arrogant and as assuming – or as clearly stating – that the audience was too stupid to follow the technical arguments, and that the other side was dishonest. It didn’t help that he was the only one on his side that came across as at least minimally knowledgeable. Anyway, I think it’s a mistake to assume that people in general prefer his kind of debating personality. Schmidt seems to naturally assume that others are less smart and knowledgeable than he is, which also leads him to assume that people mentioning facts that he himself is unaware of are just bluffing. Quite a few people see through that and are put off by it.
P Gosselin
December 10, 2009 2:29 am
I hope the sceptic scientists grasp that science is going to die with waning public opinion. So when you’re out there on camera, then act and speak like your life bloody depends on it!
Christy looked and acted like he had just gotten off the golf course. You’d have never thought he was dealing with the greatest scientific scandal of all time.
Where’s the outrage?
Frustrating frustrating frustrating.
P Gosselin
December 10, 2009 2:30 am
KW
It’s not the time to be humble and reflective.
It’s about the very survival of science.
Guys like Christy and McIntyre will always be at a disadvantage against any alarmist spokesman because they see their role as defending the integrity of science, not as advocates for a point of view. The alarmists have all embraced the notion that their ideas are too important to be limited by archaic notions of truth and solid methodology. They see advocacy as their primary role, and sticking to the scripted talking points as the best means of achieving their goals. That’s why they shy away from guys like Monckton, he’s better at their dodge than they are themselves.
Chris Schoneveld
December 10, 2009 2:58 am
George E. Smith (18:27:15) :
“This was my first visage of the famous Gavin schmidt, and I have to say he didn’t endear himself to me.”
In that case, George , you should see the Intelligence Squared debate. It’s in 10 parts:
Gavin is so irritating which is exacerbated by his accent.
MikeE
December 10, 2009 3:05 am
Christy came over to me as likeable and trustworthy; Schmidt didn’t. As someone else has opined, why does it seem that our fellow Englishmen seem to be the bad guys here? Well, at least we have Monckton! 🙂
Good point made earlier about FOIA – did anyone else think that Schmidt’s mentioning that was a Freudian slip?
Christy is an accomplished public speaker and interviewee, at least in edited interviews I have seen – maybe live interviews are not his style. I am not sure he needs any lessons in PR though. Time is always limited in live interviews and it is impossible to say everything that’s really needed to cover a situation adequately. As someone else has suggested, he was probably correct to just let Schmidt keep digging himself into a hole.
Bruce
December 10, 2009 3:07 am
Christy looked more comfortable than McIntyre, but his answers were probably too short. I saw Ross McKitrick in another clip, and I think his answers were probably too short, also. It seems to me that if you stop talking because you think you’ve made your point, you’re giving the other guy extra room to hog the airwaves, and you’re also missing some good opportunities. I would recommend that someone taking part in this type of interview should not hand over the baton even half a second before they have to. Instead, they should keep talking – elaborate, repeat, add related points. That puts the other guy at a disadvantage, or at least prevents the other guy from seizing an unfair advantage. Also, before the interview, they should discuss with someone else what points are likely to be raised, and what the answers will be, and what strategy you will use to make sure your most important points are highlighted. The AGW guys have lots of experience of this stuff. They’ve probably even taken media training. The skeptics are comparatively inexperienced.
Aron
December 10, 2009 3:19 am
You’ll enjoy Christy being more thorough here
Bruce
December 10, 2009 3:29 am
This guy is good, Professor Philip Stott, biogeographer. He has a lot of experience debating with AGW alarmists; a regular on BBC radio:
Invariant
December 10, 2009 4:12 am
Journalists: How well do you know Freeman Dyson? He is probably one of the most brilliant scientists in our time. Please take your time and enlighten yourself.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k69HUuyI5Mk&NR=1
Links between CO2 and vegetation is poorly understood.
Links between solar cycles and climate is poorly understood.
Links between ocean cycles and climate is poorly understood.
What do we know? To cite Dyson climate models is a very dubious business.
Basil
Editor
December 10, 2009 4:22 am
R John (20:59:58) :
Gavin citing “this is how science works” is funny as he is a mathematician! No offense met to other mathematicians out there.
This is but a kind of reverse appeal to authority. It doesn’t matter much what anyone’s degree is in. Mine is in economics (actually, “resource economics,” aka “environmental economics”), and I got a very heavy dose of research methodology and philosophy of science in graduate school. While math itself is not science, it is certainly applied to various sciences routinely, so there is nothing odd or illogical about someone with a degree in applied mathematics working in a scientific field.
We just perpetuate the appeal to authority argument when we make issues of the fields the degrees are in of the people doing work in climate science. It is not the field the degree is in that matters. Science is science, regardless of who does it, or what field their education was in.
Vincent
December 10, 2009 4:27 am
Is Gavin Schmidt really Michael Mann under an assumed name? I can’t actually tell them apart.
Anyway, I think Gavin wasted a lot of his own time whinning about stolen emails, privacy etc. This does not win much sympathy from viewers. Neither of them made any worthwhile points but I suppose that was because the interviewer was setting the agenda. Overall, I would say the score was 0-0.
Roger Knights
December 10, 2009 4:28 am
My take: Schmidt was less annoying than he is on RC. I don’t think he made a bad impression. Cristy missed opportunities to score points and seemed too laid back. Much more time is needed to explore the issues raised.
Maybe people are not reading my comments but you need to understand that scientists like Christy and analysts like McIntyre are not involved in the day to day war of words, Gavin is. Christy and McIntyre spend their days looking at real science not trying to rabidly defend the dogma like Gavin. If you want shock and awe and someone to hit back at Gavin, you need Monckton or Morano. Please stop with the nonsense that Christy should use [insert your position] on an issue when he will always use his own. Christy understands the science better than just about everyone commenting here and is not going to take a politicized position. His positions are scientifically sound and scientifically defensible. They may not be what some people want to hear but this is the reality of the scientific debate and is not necessarily good for sound bites. Monckton and Morano have much more leeway with what they can say and better at sound bites.
Okay I watched it.
Not as bad as I thought it would be.
But my advice hasn’t changed.
We really have to unload on these charlatans.
Why is that so damn difficult?
1. Arctic is recovering
2. Antarctica is growing
3. temps are declining
4. Warmist Mojib Latif even says cooling for the next decade.
5. The trick is a fraud.
6. FOIA was violated – criminal!
What the hell else does one need?
It’s there on a silver platter!
Why can’t they drive that home?
It’s so frsutrating.
It’s almost as bad as watching the GOP.
Get that Canadian commentator back on the air.
Why are all the sceptics such poor speakers?
Why did he not point out that arctic ice had INCREASED by some 20% over the last couple of years !
.
The thing that I feel like I have in common with Dr. Christy is that he fully embraces the notion of that which is greater than himself. Universally, wisdom comes from knowing that you know nothing: how the atmosphere is dynamic and extremely complex, how warming may be partially or largely due to C02 emissions, how abysmally models verify. His demeanor is humble, yet intelligent, which is how a true scientist should be. Unafraid to seeks answers to questions others wish to stop asking.
I watched that!!!!
Paullm: “AGW is a HOAX. AGW is a HOAX. AGW is a HOAX. AGW is a HOAX.”
Dean McAskil: “Climategate is not evidence supporting a conspiracy theory. It is a conspiracy. There is no theory about it.”
Bad moves. With the CRU hack/leak coming on top of Copenhagen, climate sceptics have been given a small window of media opportunity. Don’t blow it by jumping into wingnut territory.
The likes of McIntyre and Christy are not going to support public accusations of fraud and conspiracy, nor are they going to deliver a sucker-punch to AGW. But they are your best hope.
The more enthusiastic sceptics need to step back and gain some clarity. If you want to present a credible case, put the Becks and Moncktons in the back row and the more sensible scientists up front.
John Christy: What a terrible performance on CNN! Talk to the viewers, not to fellow scientists. You justify the alarmism by being vague on the subject!
Use words that can be understood. The main issue is the enormous exaggeration. Your academic speak is useless. In fact, you should NOT go on TV if you do not have the currage to use harsh words. The climategate documents warrants harsh words. Give me a [snip] break with that stupid science talk – it works to promote the hypothesis of a dramatic human influence on climate. Gavin Schmidt totally beat you there – he won that round by a large margin – be a [snip] man John next time or don’t make any more interviews. It was a disgrace to be quite honest – you did a terrible job.
Reply: OK EVERYBODY LISTEN UP! PARTIALLY COVERED X’D OUT SUGAR COATED PROFANITY IS STILL PROFANITY AND IT MAKES YOUR POST SUBJECT TO COMPLETE DELETION. WE ARE TOO OVERWORKED HERE TO HAVE TO GO IN AND SNIP OUT YOUR WORDS. POSTS WILL NOW START DISAPPEARING. ~ charles the moderator
Gavin Schmidt’s debating personality doesn’t work for at least a large part of the public. That was seen in the IQ2 debate where he joined Brenda Erkwurzel and Richard Somerville against Richard Lindzen, Michael Crichton and Philip Stott. Schmidt’s side lost abysmally, and he came across as patronizing, arrogant and as assuming – or as clearly stating – that the audience was too stupid to follow the technical arguments, and that the other side was dishonest. It didn’t help that he was the only one on his side that came across as at least minimally knowledgeable. Anyway, I think it’s a mistake to assume that people in general prefer his kind of debating personality. Schmidt seems to naturally assume that others are less smart and knowledgeable than he is, which also leads him to assume that people mentioning facts that he himself is unaware of are just bluffing. Quite a few people see through that and are put off by it.
I hope the sceptic scientists grasp that science is going to die with waning public opinion. So when you’re out there on camera, then act and speak like your life bloody depends on it!
Christy looked and acted like he had just gotten off the golf course. You’d have never thought he was dealing with the greatest scientific scandal of all time.
Where’s the outrage?
Frustrating frustrating frustrating.
KW
It’s not the time to be humble and reflective.
It’s about the very survival of science.
This is what you have to feature and get out there.
http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2009/12/09/pressure-defend-climate-gate-scientists/
Please don’t post any more lame interviews.
Otherwise I’m not going to bother reading this blog anymore.
Guys like Christy and McIntyre will always be at a disadvantage against any alarmist spokesman because they see their role as defending the integrity of science, not as advocates for a point of view. The alarmists have all embraced the notion that their ideas are too important to be limited by archaic notions of truth and solid methodology. They see advocacy as their primary role, and sticking to the scripted talking points as the best means of achieving their goals. That’s why they shy away from guys like Monckton, he’s better at their dodge than they are themselves.
George E. Smith (18:27:15) :
“This was my first visage of the famous Gavin schmidt, and I have to say he didn’t endear himself to me.”
In that case, George , you should see the Intelligence Squared debate. It’s in 10 parts:
Gavin is so irritating which is exacerbated by his accent.
Christy came over to me as likeable and trustworthy; Schmidt didn’t. As someone else has opined, why does it seem that our fellow Englishmen seem to be the bad guys here? Well, at least we have Monckton! 🙂
Good point made earlier about FOIA – did anyone else think that Schmidt’s mentioning that was a Freudian slip?
Christy is an accomplished public speaker and interviewee, at least in edited interviews I have seen – maybe live interviews are not his style. I am not sure he needs any lessons in PR though. Time is always limited in live interviews and it is impossible to say everything that’s really needed to cover a situation adequately. As someone else has suggested, he was probably correct to just let Schmidt keep digging himself into a hole.
Christy looked more comfortable than McIntyre, but his answers were probably too short. I saw Ross McKitrick in another clip, and I think his answers were probably too short, also. It seems to me that if you stop talking because you think you’ve made your point, you’re giving the other guy extra room to hog the airwaves, and you’re also missing some good opportunities. I would recommend that someone taking part in this type of interview should not hand over the baton even half a second before they have to. Instead, they should keep talking – elaborate, repeat, add related points. That puts the other guy at a disadvantage, or at least prevents the other guy from seizing an unfair advantage. Also, before the interview, they should discuss with someone else what points are likely to be raised, and what the answers will be, and what strategy you will use to make sure your most important points are highlighted. The AGW guys have lots of experience of this stuff. They’ve probably even taken media training. The skeptics are comparatively inexperienced.
You’ll enjoy Christy being more thorough here
This guy is good, Professor Philip Stott, biogeographer. He has a lot of experience debating with AGW alarmists; a regular on BBC radio:
Journalists: How well do you know Freeman Dyson? He is probably one of the most brilliant scientists in our time. Please take your time and enlighten yourself.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k69HUuyI5Mk&NR=1
Links between CO2 and vegetation is poorly understood.
Links between solar cycles and climate is poorly understood.
Links between ocean cycles and climate is poorly understood.
What do we know? To cite Dyson climate models is a very dubious business.
R John (20:59:58) :
Gavin citing “this is how science works” is funny as he is a mathematician! No offense met to other mathematicians out there.
This is but a kind of reverse appeal to authority. It doesn’t matter much what anyone’s degree is in. Mine is in economics (actually, “resource economics,” aka “environmental economics”), and I got a very heavy dose of research methodology and philosophy of science in graduate school. While math itself is not science, it is certainly applied to various sciences routinely, so there is nothing odd or illogical about someone with a degree in applied mathematics working in a scientific field.
We just perpetuate the appeal to authority argument when we make issues of the fields the degrees are in of the people doing work in climate science. It is not the field the degree is in that matters. Science is science, regardless of who does it, or what field their education was in.
Is Gavin Schmidt really Michael Mann under an assumed name? I can’t actually tell them apart.
Anyway, I think Gavin wasted a lot of his own time whinning about stolen emails, privacy etc. This does not win much sympathy from viewers. Neither of them made any worthwhile points but I suppose that was because the interviewer was setting the agenda. Overall, I would say the score was 0-0.
My take: Schmidt was less annoying than he is on RC. I don’t think he made a bad impression. Cristy missed opportunities to score points and seemed too laid back. Much more time is needed to explore the issues raised.
Maybe people are not reading my comments but you need to understand that scientists like Christy and analysts like McIntyre are not involved in the day to day war of words, Gavin is. Christy and McIntyre spend their days looking at real science not trying to rabidly defend the dogma like Gavin.
If you want shock and awe and someone to hit back at Gavin, you need Monckton or Morano.
Please stop with the nonsense that Christy should use [insert your position] on an issue when he will always use his own. Christy understands the science better than just about everyone commenting here and is not going to take a politicized position. His positions are scientifically sound and scientifically defensible. They may not be what some people want to hear but this is the reality of the scientific debate and is not necessarily good for sound bites. Monckton and Morano have much more leeway with what they can say and better at sound bites.
To show you how good Lord Monckton is, you cannot even ambush him!
Interview with Lord Monckton re: Hitler Youth comment (Video) (4min)
Aron,
“You’ll enjoy Christy being more thorough here.”
Christy doesn’t seem to be in this video.
Are we sure that Gavin and Michael Mann aren’t twins? 🙂