Spot the science error

When God created the swallow, a migrating bird that winters in Africa, He started to show him how to build his nest. He showed how to make small mud ballswith his tongue and how to gradually build up the nest; but He was interrupted just before reaching the point where He started to show the swallow how the nest should get covered and have a roof. The swallow, flexing its wings and ready to fly off swiftly after juicy flies and mosquitoes said “OK, OK, I know, I know” and flew away.
That is why swallows’ nests are only half built and they have to be under a roof or an outcropping. The swallow never had the patience to listen to the end of the demonstration.
Ever since a child I have often found myself in the swallow’s position, which is why my father would repeat the tale to me equally often.
Glimpsing the TRUTH is so exciting that a scientist has the tendency to say ” I know, I know” and jump to conclusions in order to rush to the next exciting manifestation of nature/fellow-scientists.
Ah well, it would all be the lovely game it should be, some you win, some you lose, if politicians had not high jacked the subject for their own insidious ends.
And I am saying that science should be a game,because, contrary to what the public thinks of science, it is extremely creative in the same way that writing a poem or a play is creative, and creativity needs room to dance in.

If THC is causing the lag:
THC transit = 1600years (possible)
Assume transit distance is 40075km (circumference of earth) (Over estimate)
then in 34 years THC will have moved 851km
So TSI will have caused peak temp to trough temp in a distance of 141km
Assuming no mixing (impossible)
Then climate over the catchment are of Miss river is being affected by 141km of strangely heated ocean! HHHMMM!
Why do we not see these paths of hot/cold travelling in the ocean from satellites?
In my electronics oriented brain you can maintain a signal in a delay line (you pump in signal at one end and it eventually plops out the other only slightly distorted)
The ocean is not a delay line. It reacts more like a low pass filter. (you pump signal in at one end and the average drops out of the end).
TSI will warm the ocean above average on the peaks and allow it to cool on the troughs.
This simple simulation shows the effect
http://img509.imageshack.us/img509/8022/simplelpf.jpg
When TSI (green) is high Temperature (VOUT) (blue) rises the instant tsi falls temperature begins to fall. There is no delay!

Leif
See Perry’s web page:

This mechanism is outlined in two papers (Perry, 2006) and (Perry, 2007), and is shown schematically below.

The 34 years comes from the correlation peak shown in Perry 2007 Fig. 6.
Perry 2007 Fig. 11 shows Perry’s physical interpretations of the lags in ocean circulation.
For a popular article on Perry’s work see:
Scientist Uncovers Long-term Weather Patterns Linked to Droughts and Floods

Seems that the path that the WOWs and COWs take is much longer than originally thought. This path may begin in the shallow ocean around Indonesia, travel west through the Indian Ocean to the southern tip of Africa where it bends back east to pass south of Austrailia. Once in the South Pacific Ocean it is thought to move slowly northward to the area of the North Pacific that affects Midwestern weather.)
He turned to the worldwide web to see if any other scientist had found a similar lag time. Indeed, there was one. A German oceanographer, studying the correlation between sea surface temperature in the Pacific and the salt water anomalies in the Atlantic Ocean came up with the same 34-year lag.

This correlation is not to “3”: cycles, but to the impact on clouds which affects climate which is delayed by the ocean circulation lag which influences weather and precipitation over the Mississippi river basin.

As I understand it, the Mississippi basin receives it’s moisture from two distinctly different sources. The upper Miss and the western tributaries get most of their water from the Pacific, while the southern and eastern basin get much of their water from the GOM. Each of those sources are subject to different climatic conditions.
If this ‘solar/water flow’ correlation is inferring an influence in global rainfall, then all river flows should follow a similar pattern. Otherwise you would really need to filter out the Pacific rainfall patterns from the Gulf rainfall to figure out what might be driving such a correlation.

Nigel Calder: On WUWT in September, Svalgaard likened Henrik Svensmark to Al Gore. It amazes me that on a skeptical website this man is treated as some kind of guru, when he keeps dismissing the main scientific challenge to the CO2 story.
Thanks Nigel. I appreciate this color to the oddly aggresive attack by Lief – it explains the motive. I find it very encouraging that Svensmark theories are so aggressively rejected by the existing scientific church – this is often a sure sign that he is on to something BIG ( I have seen this in many areas of Geophysics).
Since albedo is for sure a HUGE factor in Global Climate I suspect that Svensmark, even if proved wrong eventually, is at least looking in EXACTLY the right place for a new mechanism to explain things on a Global Scale. In layman’s terms he is hunting elephants while those who look at other factors (winds, ocean currents, CO2 and other trace gases etc. etc.) are clearly barking up a tree and most likely have been bitten by ants (all second order or third order effects).
A great scientist/engineer will always frame the question in the right way …”What could be BIG enough to have a significant effect on Global Climate?” Firstly one would suspect the source of the energy: the Sun. One might even suspect warmth from the planet interior as primary sources of heat. Secondly one would immediately suspect cloud cover, since, in the absence of large variations in teh Sun’s TSI, it is mind numbingly chlidlike obvious that cloud cover will have a primary first order effect (same level as TSI).
I find it highly amusing that there is so little research in Svensmark’s chosen place to hunt. (Why do scientists chose to examine their navels or their own backyards instead of looking at the BIG picture…no doubt it is a 9 to 5 job and more research funding that drives most people.)
Svensmark may be immortalized for slaying more than just an elephant – he may be remembered for slaying the CO2 man-made Global Warming Dragon, once and for all. It helps to have a theory that actually works when trying to shoot down a “consensus” and so far the skeptics have no alternative theory to displace the faulty “CO2 runs the show” hypothesis (other then to point out that obvioulsy CO2 has a minor effect).

I may be wrong here but I think the Mississippi is the most engineered river in the world. I’m not sure the flow rate is a good proxie for anything with all the dredging going on upstream, downstream, and on the tributaries. And the all the dams on the Mississippi for navagational purposes. No, No, the stream flow data is to human manipulated to mean much to me but I may be wrong.