Revealed: the UK government strategy for personal carbon rations

Guest post by Dr. Tony Brown

Food_ration_book_UK
From Their Past Your Future - click for website

“Personal carbon rations would have to be mandatory, imposed by Government in the same way that food rationing was introduced in the UK in 1939… Each person would receive an electronic card containing their year’s carbon credits …see the Tyndall Centre’s study on “domestic tradable quotas”… and their recent establishment on the political agenda…the card would have to be presented when purchasing energy or travel services, and the correct amount of carbon deducted. The technologies and systems already in place for direct debit systems and credit cards could be used.”

(Environmental Audit Committee minutes-House Of Commons-London)

Preface. This is a factual account of the highly politicised concept of catastrophic man made climate change. The views quoted above are supported in principle by the UK govt but said to be ahead of their time. However, the means to achieve them are now being quietly introduced into main stream thinking through the systematic use of a political agenda that uses the alarming notion of catastrophic man made climate change as the means to force through a measure of social engineering unequalled in the UK in modern times.

In promoting this notion, alternative and well researched views that oppose the science lying behind the unproven hypothesis are stifled, and derision heaped on those pointing out previous well documented warming and cooling periods that occur in, as yet, little understood cycles throughout our history.

This is a long and complex document so it is suggested that a read through of the text that can be seen on your screen should serve as a useful introduction to the highways and byways of our political and scientific establishments. Additional information is provided in many of the links-some deserving of considerable time- so a second much more leisurely examination of the account will enable the reader to acquire a deeper knowledge of the subversion of science in pursuit of political objectives.

******

Crossing the Rubicon: An advert to change hearts and minds.

Finnish Professor Atte Korhola said:

“When later generations learn about climate science, they will classify the beginning of 21st century as an embarrassing chapter in history of science. They will wonder our time, and use it as a warning of how the core values and criteria of science were allowed little by little to be forgotten as the actual research topic — climate change — turned into a political and social playground.”

An advert on “climate change” – aired for the first time in Oct 2009 – is part of a long term £6 million campaign to “change the hearts and minds” of a mainly sceptical British public. This form of communication is known as “ad-doctrination.”

Link 1

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article6867046.ece

It was shown at peak time on one of the mainstream British TV stations, with the message that it is unacceptable, indeed irresponsible, to be a climate sceptic, as there will be catastrophic consequences for your grandchildren if you don’t get on board. This chimes with the Governments declaration that it is also ‘anti social’ to oppose wind farms.

There is a British govt department who were behind the rationale for this advert that is known as The ‘Dept of Energy and Climate Change’ which is a 2008 spin off  from a longer established dept called Defra. At this point it is useful to backtrack a little to see when the UK government got turned on to climate change and exchanged rhetoric and ‘warm words’ for action.

Link 2

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/science/article3176458.ece

Margaret Becket headed Defra .from June 2001 to May 2006 with the brief;

“To lobby for the UK in other international negotiations on sustainable development and climate change.”

Defra have been key in shaping and promoting climate policy and the Hadley Centre (for Climate research) is largely funded to the tune of many millions of pounds through Defra’s Global Atmospheric division. Additional resources come from the Ministry of Defence and European Commission. Tony Blair’s fervent conversion to the climate cause seems to have led directly to Steven Byres organising the ‘Stopping Dangerous Climate Change’ conference at Hadley (Met office) in Jan 2005.

Link 3

http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Document.aspx?Document=GA01012_6499_FRP.doc

Extract;

5.1 Alignment of the Climate Prediction Programme with Defra’s business and science objectives

The Climate Prediction Programme was not an academic research programme; its work plan and deliverables was driven by Defra’s requirements for science to inform UK government policy on climate change mitigation and adaptation. As the policy requirements changed, so did the research programme objectives. In this section we show how the work described in the CPP Annexes contributed to one or more of the science and business objectives and issues, as published in the Global Atmosphere section of the current strategy for the Climate, Energy and Environmental Risk (CEER) Directorate for 2003-2006. The full strategy can be seen at:

Link 4

www.defra.gov.uk/science/s_is/directorates/asp.

Our convoluted story starts with Defra:

Here is Defras “Communication strategy scoping report” which directly led to Futerras “new rules of the game.” Futerra is a very high powered “sustainability  communicator” (or Environmental PR Agency)

Link 5

http://www.defra.gov.uk/evidence/social/behaviour/documents/behaviours-1206-scoping.pdf

Extracts:

“This work has contributed to a shared understanding of the vision for environmental behaviour to underpin ‘one planet living’

“As part of our mapping of Defras work we drew up an initial set of ‘desired’ behaviours”.

This scoping report was the original basis for the advert on British TV through implementing Futerras “New rules of the game”.

Link 6

http://www.futerra.co.uk/downloads/NewRules:NewGame.pdf

These are their Directors and credentials:

Link 7

http://www.futerra.co.uk/about_us/directors

These are some of their clients:

Link 8

http://www.futerra.co.uk/clients/

Which includes the BBC.

Extract from Futerra web site:

“Various BBC teams have enjoyed training sessions on communicating sustainable development. Participants have ranged from producers for EastEnders ( a popular soap) to researchers on the CBeebies channel.” (The latter a Childrens’ channel)

The BBC appears to have shown reporting bias on the subject for several years and perhaps the genesis for this attutude lies with their being indoctrinated with the ‘right’ message at one of these meetings.

Further information on the background of the activities of Futerra and related research by an organisation called the Institute for Public Policy research is given below.

Link 9

http://ccgi.newbery1.plus.com/blog/?p=47

Link 10

http://ccgi.newbery1.plus.com/blog/?p=60

The Institute of Public Policy Research (IPPR) is a leading left of centre think tank, which seems to have a revolving door with Labour. That the climate message should not be seen as “too alarming” was a message carried by the BBC as can be seen here:

Link 11

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/5236482.stm

This is a report by Richard Black environment correspondent for the Corporation, concerning IPPR acting on advice provided by Futerra.

Extract:

“The style of climate change discourse is that we maximise the problem and minimise the solution”

Solitaire Townsend, Futerra

Richard Black is already very knowledgeable on Earth matters, so may not have felt it necessary to have attended one of Futerra’s training sessions on “communicating sustainable development.”

Part of Defra metamorposed in October 2008 into;

Link 12

http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/about/about.aspx

The already mentioned “Department of Energy and Climate Change”

The Four principals involved are Ed Miliband, Lord Hunt, Joan Ruddock, David Kidney.

Joan Ruddock’s work focuses largely on “how we can change behaviour across UK society and reach an ambitious global agreement to reduce our carbon emissions in a fair and effective way”.

Joan needs no introduction to British readers.

Link 13

http://www.joanruddock.org.uk/index.php?id=13

For years she was chair of CND (Campaign for Nuclear disarmament) Eventually moved to Defra and ended up in this new dept.

Ed Miliband is a senior Labour Govt figure. His father was Ralph Miliband, the Marxist political theorist, one of the most influential left-wingers of his generation. Ed’s girl friend is an environmental lawyer.

From here:

Link 14

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/article4449710.ece

Britain likes to think of itself as a long time leader in climate action, but the EU and the G8 only got on board in 2005 with this matter:

Link 15

http://74.125.77.132/search?q=cache:eGPj89Zrb2EJ:ecologic.eu/download/zeitschriftenartikel/meyer-ohlendorf/g8_impact_on_international_climate_change_negotiations.pdf+tony+blair+ad+hoc+working+group+for+annex+first+session&cd=4&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk

or as a pdf

Link 16

http://ecologic.eu/download/zeitschriftenartikel/meyer-ohlendorf/g8_impact_on_international_climate_change_negotiations.pdf

Extract:

“The UK Prime Minister Tony Blair defined climate change as ‘probably, long-term the single most important issue we face as a global community,’ and made climate change one of his priority topics during the UK’s G8 Presidency, along with Africa. Climate change was also made a priority for the UK’s EU Presidency (1 July 2005 – 31 December 2005). In a keynote speech on climate change, Tony Blair set out three ambitious targets for the UK’s G8 Presidency in 2005:

“To secure an agreement as to the basic science on climate change and the threat it poses, to provide the foundation for further action;

“To reach agreement on a process to speed up the science, technology and other measuresnecessary to meet the threat;

“To engage countries outside the G8 who have growing energy needs, like China and India.”

To put this information into context we need to examine the run up to key events in 2005, as this led to the step change increase in the political promotion of climate change. As the British have been leaders, so it is fitting that the next part of our story – which preceded the events in link 12 and 13 – takes place at the Mother of Parliaments with the Environmental Audit Committee of the House of Commons.

The EAC had met regularly for some years and report their findings in detail after examining memorandum and questioning some of those they viewed as ‘expert witnesses.’ The relevance of this particular report of the EAC cited here, is that it was written just before the UK took over EU presidency AND the chair of the G8 in 2005. These are two very influential positions that fell to Tony Blair who was getting ‘on message’ with climate change and saw the opportunity to cement Britain’s pre eminence in this field-the Americans being decidedly “off message” and out of the picture through the refusal of George Bush to ratify the Kyoto agreement.

The report, intended to shape international policy on climate change during that influential year, has a tone that is decidedly apocalyptic That the science is settled is a recurring theme (this was prior to the IPCC assessment in 2007) with no mention of natures contribution to co2 levels, the overwhelming importance of water vapour, nor of cyclic variations in our climate. Indeed, no other information was being considered that would show that the science was not as settled as the protagonists claimed.

At this point we take this next series of links concerning this particular report of the EAC as part of one story and return to the link numbering system just before number 17, when we conclude our examination of this report and continue with the piecing together of the wider political climate change jigsaw.

http://www.gci.org.uk/briefings/EAC_Final_C&C.pdf

This report of the Environmental audit committee is subtitled

“Fourth report of session 2004/5 published March 2005”

The next few extracts come from “Conclusions and Recommendations” at the start of the document. However the whole piece is well worth reading. The footnotes in particular give some interesting snippets of information on who is informing UK policy.

Item 26: “In the context of the G8 the UK could pursue a broader range of complementary policies including the need for greater coordinated effort low carbon research (sic) the scope for developing forms of international traction and in particular the need to embed environmental objectives more firmly within a range of international organisations.”

Item 27: “It is simply not credible to suggest that the scale of the (co2) reductions which are required can possibly be achieved without significant behavioural change.”

(Note: The term used, “significant behavioural change,” is similar to that used in the extract at link 2.)

Item 28: It can be seen that the highly alarmist viewpoint detailed here echoes the recent comments about “thermo dynamic crimes”*.

(Note: *The increasingly frenetic tone of the climate debate in the UK can be seen in this comment from David Mackay that was made public just before the first airing of the advert.)

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6860181.ece

“Setting fire to chemicals like gas should be made a thermodynamic crime,” he said. “If people want heat they should be forced to get it from heat pumps. That would be a sensible piece of legislation.”

Who is David Mackay?

(From the same link above) “Speaking last week on his first day as chief scientist at the Department of Energy and Climate Change, MacKay set out a vision of how Britain could generate the threefold increase in electricity it needs, with nuclear power at its heart. DECC is the govt dept that is the successor to Defra in climate change.”

Mackay has also been an expert witness in front of this EAC committee.

Those individuals and organisations who presented information for the report that we are examining in detail here are listed in this document:

http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200405/cmselect/cmenvaud/105/10502.htm

All the minutes on the fourth report of the EAC are here:

http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm/cmenvaud.htm

The next extracts are taken from this document and for reasons of space are by no means exhaustive, but are reasonably representative.

Question 133 onwards from Friends of the Earth giving witness in a Q and A format.

“Do you think there needs to be a different approach to the setting of the targets? It seems to some of us that the targets have been set as some sort of political horse-trading.”

Miss Worthington: “Yes, absolutely.”

Q137 Chairman: “Do you have any idea how that process might be reformed?”

Miss Worthington: “Anything would be an improvement. Essentially it was exactly horse-trading, where countries simply went into a darkened room and beat each other up. We had no methodology attached to it at all.”

Q137 Chairman: “Do you think that the way in which, for example, most of the allocations were handed out free in the European Union scheme, has hindered or helped matters?”

Miss Worthington: “Practically, it has meant that it can get off the ground. Environmentally, it certainly breaches the polluter-pays principle quite spectacularly. We would advocate a move towards 100% auctioning. Not only would that give government a revenue stream upfront which you could then redirect, but it would stop all the horse trading around projections which are causing everybody complete nightmares, both over in Defra and DTI and other parts of government at the moment.”

(Questions 40-61 on 17 Nov 2004 are particularly interesting.)

Q41 Mr Challen: “I was just thinking of Winston Churchill’s comment that democracy is a bad way of organising society but all the other alternatives are worse. Picking up from your submission, is that your view about emissions trading systems?”

Mr Lanchbery: “Yes, it probably is. A lot of claims are made for emissions trading, for example that it provides certainty. No, it does not provide certainty unless you have got an absolutely rock-crushing compliance regime.”

“Each government, would you agree, should look at how they can get their public on board directly rather than simply saying this is an objective for our policy makers in Whitehall.”

Mr Lanchbery: “It is an appealing concept. It was mooted some time ago. I remember having a meeting with the European Commissioner at which it was mooted. I think it is a matter of practicality really though. Although most well-educated people again would be okay with it and you could see them using their carbon credit, it might be difficult for an elderly person to take any advantage of it. I can see the appeal of it, I just wonder about the practicality of it.

“It is an interesting question. Getting the public on board and using fiscal instruments to do that are not necessarily the same thing and your natural response is to think fiscal instruments doing anything is likely to alienate the public, but I think probably of all the mechanisms available the notion of per capita allowances that can be traded electronically through a credit card system—and I know the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research has done some investigation of this—is quite appealing if it is technically feasible because as well as being economically efficient it is also socially progressive in that a person who does not have many means and does not travel very much at least has an asset that they can sell to an affluent person who does wish to travel more. It has some social progressivity about it, too. It is quite an appealing way. There are obviously other fiscal measures, taxation in particular, and we would all be in favour of a variety of fiscal measures for achieving different purposes, so we argue, for example, for a well-to-wheel carbon tax on vehicle fuels.

“Do you think that without such measures as that—and that is music to my ears on DTQs by the way—we could achieve any more stringent or radical post-Kyoto targets because, after all, the domestic sector in this country contributes about 40% of our emissions.”

Dr Jefferiss: “I think that there are other policy mechanisms for driving reductions in the non-industrial sector. It is really a question of whether the Government will have the political will to implement them. Certainly, as you indicated, energy efficiency measures in the domestic sector in particular could achieve significant cuts but the fear, naturally, is a political one and the fuel poor in particular will be adversely affected. Our response to that would be that it would be much more politically expedient and effective to tackle fuel poverty head on and remove that as an obstacle to introducing a rational taxation system for energy or for carbon use. I think it is really a question of not whether there are other policy influences but whether there is the political will to deploy them. The same with fuel duty on transport.”

(Note: This link gives an explanation of DTQ’s [Domestic Tradable Quotas].)

http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/research/energy/downloads/pct/dtq-and-pca.pdf

To continue: Appendix 7 “Memorandum from the Green party” makes fascinating reading.

“However, much of the carbon dioxide that is presently produced is wasted in transporting goods from one market to another. Trade should be reduced so that it returns to being a means of obtaining goods that are not available locally, according to the principle of trade subsidiarity.

“Proposal:  The Committee should investigate the possibility of creating a new global currency for carbon trading. Such a currency would need to be backed by and administered by the UN.”

(The suggested carbon quota per capita are mentioned in table 1, 2, and 3)

“The IPCC, the RCEP and more recently the UK government have accepted the need for global CO2 reductions of 60% by 2050. However, if these global reductions are to be made in an equitable fashion, the higher-polluting countries like the UK must make bigger reductions. This would translate into a UK target more like 90% by 2050 at the very latest, with clear and definite targets at stages along the way.

“We would also propose, as a short-term measure en route to a full system of eco-taxation, the reintroduction of the fuel tax escalator, which was removed for reasons of political expediency that ignored the requirements for CO2 reductions.

“The national road building programme must be scrapped, and the resulting £30 billion saving invested in a package of emissions-reducing policies including 20% traffic reduction within 10 years.”

Appendix 12 “Memorandum from Institute of Policy Studies” (This highly influential body is also mentioned in the main body of this story)

“Attention therefore needs to be given beyond these solutions towards measures of sufficiency, of social and institutional reform, and of modifications to lifestyles with much lower energy inputs and lower carbon emissions.

“The only logical way (to cut CO2) is by the introduction of personal carbon rationing, which would cover the 50% of total UK emissions which come from household energy use and personal transport, including international air travel. (The Tyndall Centre study on domestic tradable quotas discusses methods of ‘rationing’ the remainder of emissions in the economy). Personal carbon rations would have to be mandatory, imposed by Government in the same way that food rationing was introduced in the UK in 1939. A voluntary alternative to carbon rationing would be highly unlikely to make significant savings as recent history suggests that individuals would be unwilling to start taking action for the common good unless they saw others doing likewise—and the ‘free-rider’ would have far too much to gain. Appeals to reason and conscience have not been effective in achieving major changes in our irresponsible consumption patterns. In circumstances such as this, when the wider public interest is at considerable risk and the fact that the changes are made is of critical importance to the welfare of the community and, in this case, future generations, Government intervention is in our view imperative.

“The administration of carbon rationing should be simple. Each person would receive an electronic card containing their year’s carbon credits (see the Tyndall Centre’s study on ‘domestic tradable quotas’ and their recent establishment on the political agenda in Colin Challen’s Private Member’s Bill). The card would have to be presented when purchasing energy or travel services, and the correct amount of carbon deducted. The technologies and systems already in place for direct debit systems and credit cards could be used.

(My highlighting and emphasis)

CONCLUSIONS

21.  Personal carbon rations offer a positive, fair and effective way of making the carbon savings necessary to prevent “potentially disastrous climate change”.

Of course attendance at this committee can be an entirely different thing to exerting actual influence, but the obvious bias to those from the environmental groups-who appear to be pushing at an open door- and against the representatives of industry such as Shell and BAA can be seen when following the full transcripts.

We now revert to our main narrative. The following year was the first meeting of the ‘ad hoc group’ to set up integrated action betwen the EU, G8 and the IPCC working groups. Both these parties and the UN (who sponsor the IPCC) are following ‘Agenda 21’ In the case of climate change that relates to the work of the IPCC whose findings are endorsed by those countries following the agenda, and who therefore subsequently have a legal obligation to implement that agenda. This includes teaching climate propaganda to our school children through Sage 21.

Agenda 21 is linked to the AD Hoc working group of the IPCC negotiations that are leading to the Copenhagen summit in December 2009. The group has five chairs, of whom several have been termed green activists. Several of them have openly written of the need for a new world governance. The SAGE21 education agenda from the UN clearly sets out to influence schools.

The Agenda 21 aims has been endorsed at UK Govt level, and councils and govt bodies have been instructed to follow this agenda.

Below is the first session of the AD Hoc group in 2006,  which is the prelude to the meeting of world leaders in Copenhangen in December 2009 to sign a treaty to combat “dangerous climate change.”

Link 17

http://unfccc.int/files/meetings/cop_11/application/pdf/cmp1_00_consideration_of_commitments_under_3.9.pdf

Good resumé of events below:

Link 18

http://www.iisd.ca/vol12/enb12357e.html

These are the minutes and action plan of latest meeting in April 2009

link 19

http://unfccc.int/meetings/items/4381.php

This is the ad hoc working group composition and its aims, that have fed into the UN report above. There are many individual sections worth exploring as they concern negotiating points and amendments for the Copenhagen summit.

Link 20

http://unfccc.int/resource/docs/2008/awg6/eng/08.pdf

These are the key chairs:

Harald Dovland Norway –chair minister for environment http://www.highbeam.com/doc/1G1-180526631.html

Mam Konate of Mali Vice chair http://www.iisd.ca/climate/cop11/enbots/enbots1704e.html

Chan Woo-Kim   Republic of Korea http://74.125.77.132/search?q=cache:py3_vPi45-wJ:www.unescap.org/esd/environment/mced/singg/documents/Programme_SINGG_Final.pdf+chan-woo+kim+republic+of+korea&cd=18&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk

Ms Christiana Figueres Costa Rica http://figueresonline.com/

Nuno Lacasta Portugal http://www.wcl.american.edu/environment/lacasta.cfm

Brian Smith New Zealand

Marcelo Rocha Brazil http://www.berr.gov.uk/files/file50347.pdf

This is the ‘information note’ (Background) for the meeting

Link 21

http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/032709_informationnote.pdf

It appears to be a UN document to substantially re-shape the world through the medium of the threat of catastrophic climate change.

Whilst readers should scrutinise each line for themselves in order to see what many had always believed was an agenda behind the IPCC, some highlights are;

Page 6 item 17

Page 8 item 25 and 27

Page 9 item 34

Page 10 item 37

Page 14 item 60

Conclusions on p15

Here is the effective draft of the Copenhagen treaty produced by the Ad Hoc working group.

Link 22

http://wattsupwiththat.com/?s=copenhagen+draft+treaty

(Click on PDF once linked in)

Page 67 and 122 are of particular interest. This from p. 122:

16. [Adverse economic and social consequences of response measures [shall][should] be addressed by proper economic, social and environmental actions, including promoting and supporting economic diversification and the development and dissemination of win-win technologies in the affected countries, paying particular attention to the needs and concerns of the poorest and most vulnerable developing country Parties.]

Alternative to paragraph 16:

[Adverse economic and social consequences of response measures shall be addressed by various means, including but not limited to promoting, supporting and enabling economic diversification, funding, insurance and the development, transfer and dissemination of win-win technologies in the affected countries, such as cleaner fossil fuel technologies, gas flaring reduction, and carbon capture and storage technologies.]

17. [[Developed [and developing] countries] [Developed and developing country Parties] [All Parties] [shall] [should]:]

(a) Compensate for damage to the LDCs’ economy and also compensate for lost opportunities, resources, lives, land and dignity, as many will become environmental refugees

(b) Africa, in the context of environmental justice, should be equitably compensated for environmental, social and economic losses arising from the implementation of response measures.

In comparing the draft to the overall aims of Agenda 21 (in Link  23), it can be seen the logical progression that has been taken in order to implement Agenda 21 through the means of the dangerous climate change hypothesis .

Link 23

http://www.un.org/esa/dsd/agenda21/

Extract:

Internationally Agreed Development Goals & Climate Change:

“Internationally agreed frameworks and goals have set an agenda for integrating climate change and sustainable development. Agenda 21, which addresses climate change under its Chapter 9 (Protection of the atmosphere), recognizes that activities that may be undertaken in pursuit of the objectives defined therein should be coordinated with social and economic development in an integrated manner, with a view to avoiding adverse impacts on the latter, taking into full account the legitimate priority needs of developing countries for the achievement of sustained economic growth and the eradication of poverty.”

Both Agenda 21 and the Johannesburg Plan of Implementation (JPOI) assert that the United Nations Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is the key instrument for addressing climate change. The Kyoto Protocol, which entered into force on 16 February 2005, sets binding emission reductions targets for industrialized countries for the first commitment period 2008-2012.

Britain has always liked to see itself at the forefront of the fight against ‘dangerous climate change’ and the subject has been highly politically charged since Margaret Thatcher decided to promote it as a reason to favour Nuclear over coal and made a speech on the world stage about the subject in 1988. She then opened the Hadley Centre in 1990 who ever since have-through Defra – offered considerable practical and financial support to the IPCC.

It helps that the Chief Scientific Advisor to Defra and Director of Strategy at the Tyndall Centre for “Climate Change Research”, is an old friend and advisor of ex-VP Gore, namely Professor Robert Watson.

He was IPCC chairman before Pachauri and when asked in 1997 at Kyoto about the growing number of climate scientists who challenged the conclusions of the UN, that man-induced global warming was real and promised cataclysmic consequences, Watson responded by dismissing all dissenting scientists as pawns of the fossil fuel industry. “The science is settled” he said, “and we’re not going to reopen it here.”

These links show Watson as representing Defra and Tyndall. The second is newer.

Link 24

http://209.85.229.132/search?q=cache:82ff4Gvql-gJ:www.guardian.co.uk/education/2007/sep/20/highereducation.uk+professor+robert+watson+defra&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk

Link25

http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/content/%C2%A345m-boost-tyndall-centre

Link 26

Provides some interesting background.

http://sovereignty.net/p/clim/kyotorpt.htm

The nature of Defra support is described here in this DEFRA staff document  relating to the Nobel Prize award for IPCC and Al Gore: http://www.civilservice.gov.uk/news/2007/December/Defra-IPCC.aspx

“Defra provides financial support to the co-chairs and their supporting secretariats. As such the UK has provided underpinning funding for almost one-third of the major scientific reports produced by the IPCC, which the Nobel committee believes have ‘created an ever-broader informed consensus about the connection between human activities and global warming.’ ”

Link 27. The full strategy can be seen at:

www.defra.gov.uk/science/s_is/directorates/asp.

Extract:

5.1 Alignment of the Climate Prediction Programme with Defra’s business and science objectives

“The Climate Prediction Programme was not an academic research programme; its work plan and deliverables was driven by Defra’s requirements for science to inform UK government policy on climate change mitigation and adaptation. As the policy requirements changed, so did the research programme objectives. In this section we show how the work described in the CPP Annexes contributed to one or more of the science and business objectives and issues, as published in the Global Atmosphere section of the current strategy for the Climate, Energy and Environmental Risk (CEER) Directorate for 2003-2006. Defra and now the dept for energy and climate change, see AGW as being the vehicle to promote ‘one planet living’ “

From the Met office web site

Link 28

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/science/hadleycentre/

Three events occurred in 1988 that assisted greatly in bringing the issue of man-made climate change to the notice of politicians:* A World Ministerial Conference on Climate Change in June hosted by the government of Canada *A speech in September by Margaret Thatcher where she mentioned the  Anthropogenic climate change and the importance of action to combat it. * The first meeting of the IPCC in Geneva in November 1988. Delegates from various countries agreed to set up an international assessment of the science of change, together with its likely impacts and the policy options.

In December 1988 the UK Government announced it was committed to extending its influence internationally to provide information about climate change and to supporting appropriate research. Discussions were held with the Department of the Environment to strengthen climate research at the Met Office. This led, in November 1989, to an announcement of a new centre for climate change research in the Met Office — then called the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research. Margaret Thatcher opened this in 1990; it has since moved-as part of the Met office- to Exeter.”

The wheel has turned full cycle as the science becomes irrelevant to the politics. Observations that things aren’t as the models predicted are ignored, the planet has failed to read the script by inconveniently cooling for nearly a decade, whilst sea levels stubbornly refuse to rise beyond natural variability. The effects of the Jet stream is little understood and historic precedents for cyclic variability in our climate dismissed. Far from the ‘science being settled’, it is very poorly understood as yet. Even the Met office admit they have no idea –despite being world leaders- as to how much sea level will rise and its relationship to melting ice sheets, as this recent advert shows:

Polar ice-sheet modelling scientist

Salary: £25,500 + competitive benefits, including Civil Service Pension

Generic Role: Senior Scientist

Profession: Science

Permanent post at the Met Office, Exeter

Closing date for applications: 11 June 2009

Background information

A significant uncertainty in future projections of sea level is associated with dynamical changes in the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets and a key aspect of this uncertainty is the role of ice shelves, how they might respond to climate change, and the effect this could have on the ice sheets. The goal of the post is to contribute to improved scenarios of sea-level rise, which is an important aspect of climate change, with large coastal impacts.

Specific job purpose

Incorporate a model of ice shelves into the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model to develop a capability to make projections of rapid changes in ice sheets, thereby leading to improved scenarios of future sea-level rise.”

So the poitics that started this all off have come back to the fore with the TV advert. This time through a Labour govt who have a penchant for control, taxes and an idealistic view of the world. Clearly they share this idea.

Link 29

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Club_of_Rome

“The common enemy of humanity is man. In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill. All these

dangers are caused by human intervention, and it is only through changed attitudes and behavior that they can be overcome. The real enemy then, is humanity itself.”

– Club of Rome,

(premier environmental think-tank, with numerous high profile and influential members)

This is not to say that anyone in this complex saga has done anything illegal in following and promoting their own particular world view through the message of collective social responsibility, woven into the apocalyptic notion of catastrophic man made climate change.

However, the nature of the highly convoluted linking of dedicated and sincere organisations and individuals with their own interpretation of the science, means the process is not at all transparent, dissenting voices have been ignored, and there is an element of “group think” in order to conform secure desired outcomes. In effect public money has been used to promote a politically inspired ideology subject to substantial mission creep, in order to meet political aims.

Politicians and the media who share the “one world living” viewpoint have probably not been as assiduous as they should in questioning the science (because many want to believe it)  Many others who may not share this world viewpoint have been equally as guilty in nodding through what has been put in front of them. The taxation, social, and cost elements of “environmental”policies has also not been clearly spelt out to the population, and are of fundamental importance to everyone as they will have a dramatic impact on their way of life, basic freedoms and finances.

“H.L.Mencken wrote:The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”

The science behind the IPCC has always been debatale at best – but never openly debated. It has now become the means to persuade the populace to follow broader social objectives in a “one world” scenario.

” ‘Jacta alea esto,’ Let the die be cast! Let the game be ventured!”

That was the famous declaration of Cæsar when, at the Rubicon, after long

hesitation, he finally decided to march to Rome,

With the airing of this advert a political line has been crossed. The die is cast.

Tonyb

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kim
October 20, 2009 7:33 pm

Leif 12:10:58
Why it’s the very model of a modern solar maximum!
===============================

Gillian Lord
October 20, 2009 8:14 pm

The post is not too complicated. It is good to get all the information at once.

E.M.Smith
Editor
October 20, 2009 9:08 pm

What would you expect from folks who require a license for a TV set?
This is just The Crown remembering past glories and past tax scams:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal_tax_post
A caption under one of the pictures: No byway was too small to evade the liability for coal tax. This post is on a footpath in Wormley Wood, Hertfordshire
Remember it is still a monarchy and still has the mindset that people are the chattel of the Crown. All power derives from the Crown, bow down and pay homage and pay…
In my more paranoid moments I ponder if this whole AGW thing isn’t just a put up job via The Crown trying to recreate old power and tax structures…
FWIW, Mum was from England and I have strong cultural connections and family there in quantity. Luckily I also get an “up yours crown!” from the Irish on my Dad’s side 😉 It is part of the “Celtic Thread” that runs down the heartland of America. “Just Power” derives only from the will of the people. Kings can call for a war, but folks may choose to not show up if the king is being a turkey… And in that mind set, “ration” is what you feed to the sheep and hogs. Got a problem? Go fix it! Forget this non-sense of sharing the misery, go out and eliminate the misery. Now.
So I can see this idea working in England. But Scotland and Ireland (all of it…) not so much… America? We’ll, it would give the drug dealers a new line of merchandise and I’d finally get my “yard waste gasifier” project going. Oh, and my car would finally get it’s Big Cigar 😎
(I have a rough design for a large cigar shaped gasifier to be mounted on a roof rack. CO from yard waste powers the Diesel for about 3/4 of its power. The Diesel injection acts as a spark plug. Was done a lot in the WWI and WWII events. I just think it would be “cool” to do it as a Cigar… All I’d need to make it a priority is for someone to try to tell me my “carbon ration card” was used up.)
http://www.gekgasifier.com/

E.M.Smith
Editor
October 20, 2009 9:37 pm

“However, much of the carbon dioxide that is presently produced is wasted in transporting goods from one market to another. Trade should be reduced
Gee, I thought increased trade was supposed to be a Good Thing…
“Proposal: The Committee should investigate the possibility of creating a new global currency for carbon trading. Such a currency would need to be backed by and administered by the UN.”
Yeah, right. Any currency run by the UN will end up worthless so fast it will make Bolivars look good.
There does seem to be a consistent push to get the UN hooks into a money bucket (not just in this posting, but in many places). It’s looking more and more like UN is in need of flushing…

E.M.Smith
Editor
October 20, 2009 10:21 pm

rks (10:36:50) : If you have some energy and you want some heat then you can either blow your energy away and use the waste heat (e.g. run electricity through a resistor to get a radiator) or you can use your energy to run a heat pump. The latter works MUCH better. That’s all Prof MacKay was saying about “thermodynamic crimes”.
Markets are pretty much always better allocators of resources than governments. While I love heat pumps, they are a multi-thousand dollar device. So one person needs to heat the space under their desk. A $20 resistance heater is a fine economical solution AND uses less energy than the “heat pump for the whole house” would take. This kind of subtile distinction is lost in the “MUST USE HEAT PUMP” mandates.
Similarly, a small attic work space, used for a cold week end once a month, might do far better with a little gas heater than a multi-thousand dollar heat pump. Oh, and just how does one put a heat pump in a chick hatching box? A nice incandescent bulb under the box does a fine job and at the most economical of costs. Again, you can not begin to write laws or regulations that will cover all the cases. That is why markets are better.
A prime example? The green mantra to Mandate the CFL. Now I’m all for compact florescent bulbs and use them in most places in my home. But not all. Not in the fridge. Not in the infinitely dimmer adjusted bath and bedroom lights (nice on those late night trips…) And particularly pointless in places like the UK.
Why? Because when you live someplace that is substantially cold all the time, using a CFL will move your energy consumption all the way from your lighting bill to your heating bill. For every BTU taken out of the light, you get to buy a replacement on the heater. I think “the folks” are better positioned to evaluate their particular costs for light and heat and make the choice that works best for them with their wallet.
BTW, I’ve had 2 CFL bulbs shattered on way or another in the last couple of years. No idea how much mercury and other exotic metals (from the phosphors) I soaked up or are still in the dining room floor and furnishings.
Besides that, they won’t run a Lava Lamp 😉
So explain to me again why it ought to up to someone else to define as thermodynamic crimes: Raising baby chicks in an incubator, having a non-toxic-metal contaminated dining room, liking a dim bulb at 2am so as not to wake the spouse nor hurt the eyes, using LESS energy by heating only the space at the desk, saving a few thousand dollars on a heater upgrade so you can spend it on a more fuel efficient car that will save even more fuel, or yes, even having a Lava Lamp…
BTW, there is no shortage of energy and there never will be. There is no need to “conserve” that which is in functionally unlimited supply:
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/03/20/there-is-no-energy-shortage/
It ought to be used in the most cost effective way possible, but “scarcity” fantasies are not very good resource allocators. And governments are worse. If you want to see a very good resource allocator, watch a country peasant with their pay in their purse…

E.M.Smith
Editor
October 20, 2009 10:50 pm

David Hoyle (11:49:29) : the whole world is turning to crap and its coming to a town near you soon…
The good news is that it isn’t the whole world. That bad news is that it does seem to be the English, Germanic, and French speaking world.
The Russians are not on board with it.
China and India will sign on to a treaty only if it pays them a fortune to do it and does not impact their growth trajectories and economies.
Saw a blurb on CNBC today about BTU Peabody Energy (very very large coal miner) who have projections for ever growing coal mining. For export to China and India who are signed up to buy more. Barron’s has an article projecting a doubling of coal mining by 2050 to support increased demand from China and India (especially for metallurgical coal to make iron, but also thermal coal for electricity). IIRC they said China was now selling 1,000,000 cars a month. They have no intention of any kind of cutting back on carbon use. They will be using more of it than anyone else for the next 50 years (they already signed a 20 year contract with Petrobras for $200,000,000,000 of oil. No, that is not hyperbole. I just wanted you to really see how big the numbers are.
So while the UK, Canada, New Zealand, France, Germany, and I hope not but maybe the USA (for a brief time only… “Look out! I have a vote and I know how to use it!”) may be “turning to crap” you can turn on any decent business news show and see thriving industry in new modern comfortable towns springing up all over China and even in India. Don’t get me started about the beaches in Brazil…
So take heart. It isn’t the whole world, only the gullible.
My suggesting is to pick a nice commonwealth country and move. It is all you need to do to change from “carbon rationing” to “carbon subsidy from that old fool over there”. And IIRC it is easy to relocate inside the commonwealth.

Robin Guenier
October 20, 2009 11:19 pm

Well done, Tony – a seriously worrying story, particularly re our Government’s ability to get this far without, it seems, any overt dissent. But is there any real prospect of a carbon rationing scheme being introduced?
I don’t think so. The process you describe has been in train for years – to the point where to express a doubt about dangerous AGW in almost any public forum is to be treated with lip-curling disdain. Yet amazingly – despite the incessant propaganda and MSM unanimity – the public don’t buy it. Hence the opinion poll that worried the Government so much recently. For an instant check, go to the BBC’s website, go to News then to “Have your say” (LH column), then click on “Have your say archive” (bottom RH corner) and select “UK climate change”. Select the “Readers Recommended” tab. You find that, of the first 10 pages (I gave up there) amounting to about 160 recommended comments, only 3 or 4 support the dangerous man-made climate change agenda. Nearly all the rest reject it – many very strongly.
We have a general election within a few months and I don’t see how this could be introduced before then. There are no votes in pushing for it. In any case, I think we can be sure that the Labour Party will fail to get a working majority – so they will be unable to implement it anyway. More likely is a Conservative win. OK, they support the dangerous AGW agenda. But ration cards? I doubt it.

Richard111
October 20, 2009 11:37 pm

This has nothing to do with democracy apart from using democracy to gain government control.
This is extreme jackbootism. Control of energy recruits every member of society into the policing of the policy. I predict rapid growth of Mafia like organisations which will garner their own local energy sources. Energy wars will follow.

E.M.Smith
Editor
October 20, 2009 11:44 pm

Vincent (12:50:44) : So there is no warming then? I don’t know what all these alarmists are on about.
There is warming, just not enough to get your panties in a bunch and probably a good thing and also probably natural. I’d call it a feature:
Well, I took the GHCN ‘raw’ data that goes into GIStemp, but didn’t feed it to GIStemp. I filtered for those stations that were UK. These data are 12 monthly averages of (the min-max average per day) for each “station”. And while the set has been pruned down to only 10 stations now by the Thermometer Langoliers, you can still get a decent idea what is going on with it. So you take these station averages and just add them together for the whole UK and plot it. UHI and all. That is what is actually happening in the UK prior to Hadley or GIStemp turning it into computer fantasies. So what does it look like?
Well, I’m slowly learning all this graphics stuff, so I had a bit of help with the chart. The discussion happened toward the bottom of:
http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/10/09/how-long-is-a-long-temperature-history/
Where I posted the decade averages of temperature averages. One of the participants was nice enough to turn it into a graph for me (me being graphics challenged 😉
and this chart was the result:
http://sites.google.com/site/elliesgraphs/uk-temperature-graph
It shows the UK is, in fact warming.
From the 1760 start year of the data to 2008, the UK is warming at the astounding rate of 0.3C per CENTURY.
Call it 0.003 C per year.
So in 333 years, you will be 1 C warmer than now.
Unless of course the changing thermometer count and locations created this warming as an artifact, then you will not be warming at all. But that is for a future investigation.
For the AGW Believers:
Yes, it is not a global temperature trend. I don’t care, don’t bother bringing it up. You will just get me making more of these for more places and showing that no “place” warms up but the “Data food product” does, and you don’t want that. This is what the UK is experiencing / has experienced. So all the heartache in the UK will stop exactly what again?
Oh, and the warming all happens from a moderation of cold winter temperatures. the “peak heat” seems to always top out at about 10C. It isn’t that the hot time get hotter, it’s just that the brutal winters become OK winters. Somehow I think folks can live with that, so don’t bring up the issue of heat hurting folks or I’ll have to bring up that it isn’t “hotter”, it’s “less cold”… That those winters were worse in the LIA and not so bad now might be an Inconvenient Fact too…
And I’d need to point out to folks that the files are all FTP available from ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v2 as ASCII and anyone can do this with Excel and a bit of time using the v2.mean file (or v2.min or v2.max if they wanted to explore them). First thing you know, everybody and their cousin would be doing their country and crying foul! So just leave it be and maybe nobody will notice…

martin brumby
October 21, 2009 12:03 am

Thank you Dr.Brown for an invaluable resource, that I will save and refer to regularly. And thanks Anthony for posting it!
I always incline to the cock up model of history rather than conspiracy theories. But it is difficult NOT to see a conspiracy in the way that the eco-fascists progressively took over, first ‘environmental’ groups like Greenpeace, then the political parties (all vying with each other to be greener than Green) then the BBC, the MET office, academia, the Royal Society and the levers of Government itself. Even Oxfam, once a very reputable famine relief charity, is now paying for a big AGW poster campaign – a policy which will inevitably increase the risks of major famine!
At least there are significant political figures in the US who are quite prepared to stand up and rubbish the “settled science”.
In the UK parliament (so far as I have been able to find) there are two politicians (Peter Lilley in the Commons, Lord Lawson in the Lords) who have been prepared to stand up and (in unreported speeches) rubbish Government eco-fascist AGW propaganda. I should point out that both are Conservatives (a party that I have never supported). Both are entirely isolated and marginalised within the Conservative heierarchy although, naturally they do have skeptic supporters n the rank & file membership.
There seems to be some hope that things will improve if Cameron & the Conservatives get into power in May. That would, in my view, be a triumph of Hope over Experience. “Dave Boy” (Cameron) will support absolutely any policy if he reckons that he will win more votes from AGW worriers than he will loose from sceptics. Although there are many ordinary mildly sceptical voters, his calculation is a no brainer – especially after all the AGW propaganda from the BBC and media. But the fact that Zac Goldsmith and Friends of the Earth are official “advisors” makes it pretty clear that the only clear advantage of a Tory government would be that it wouldn’t have Brown as Prime Ministers.
Not for the first time we in the UK look like hoping that our ex-colonial chums in the New World will end up by riding to the rescue and sorting out the mess. But you are going to have to sort out your own mess first!

Ben
October 21, 2009 12:32 am

Anthony
Another rare moment of journalism at the BBC – Andrew Neil actually asking some questions of UK Environment Minister, Hilary Benn.
Notice that (amongst a lot of other bluster) Mr Benn thinks that the vapour coming from cooling towers is CO2.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/the_daily_politics/8314566.stm

John Levett
October 21, 2009 1:57 am

Thanks to Dr Brown for a comprehensive and illuminating account of what passes for democracy in once great Britain. And thanks to Anthony for providing him with a forum. Shame on the once free press for withholding the truth from us.

Vincent
October 21, 2009 2:35 am

Since “ad-doctrination” was mentioned at the start of this article, I don’t think it OT to note the following.
I just learned from the Indie, that old John “two jags” Prescott “will today launch a ferocious attack on the “landowners and nimbys” who he says are holding up the installation of wind farms across Britain and thus hindering the fight against climate change.”
“In a shamless class-warrior style” he will tell the British Wind Energy Association (BWEA) at its annual conference in Liverpool: “We cannot let the squires and the gentry stop us meeting our moral obligation to pass this world on in a better state to our children and our children’s children.”
The fact that “two jags” is throwing class prejudice dirt seems to be something the Indie is applauding. The fact that a government figure is even seen to be interferring in the democratic process of planning doesn’t raise an eyebrow. Is this a prelude to an outright ban of local planning decisions?
Some people are hoping that the Tories will make a difference. But how will they do this when Broon will have already signed away sovereignity to a world government at Copenhagen?

Chris Wright
October 21, 2009 3:16 am

@Tony Brown
Many thanks for this. But I must start with a confession. After briefly looking over it I was unable to actually read it. The reason? It’s just too depressing. It shows that things are far, far worse than we thought. But I have saved it so that I can give it the attention it deserves, hopefully at a time when I don’t feel so depressed.
.
But there are some reasons to be hopeful. Just a few years ago compulsory ID cards seemed inevitable. All of my family were passionately against ID cards on grounds of freedom and privacy. A friend who lives just across the road, and who is a leading member of the local Conservative Party, told me in no uncertain terms that he would refuse to have an ID card, even if it meant going to prison. I had a letter about ID cards printed in the Daily Telegraph (as a long-time Telegraph reader I’m very sad to see their biased and one-sided climate change reporting).
.
But how things have changed in just a few short years. Now ID cards are pretty well dead, and they will be buried by an incoming Conservative government. I manage to cling on to a hope that the current madness has reached the high water mark, and that the tide will turn, just as with ID cards. Nobody in their right minds would want a colder world, but it may be the thing that finally destroys this idiocy.
.
Will the next Conservative government reverse this tide of madness? Things don’t look too promising, as they appear to be equally deluded. But my feeling is that a Cameron government will be a tiny, tiny bit better, despite him sticking a ridiculous windmill on his roof. It does seem that Cameron and his people are serious about rolling back the weight of government and giving people more choice. Climate fascism just doesn’t seem to be his style. But time will tell.
.
It may also be that Conservatives tend to be more sceptical, the EU being an obvious example. And there are several prominent Conservatives (e.g. Nigel Lawson) who are climate sceptics.
.
It just happens that my MP is the Conservative shadow spokesman on climate change. Sadly, his writings show him to be a true Gore believer, though I suppose that was a prerequisite for the job. For some time I’ve been thinking of emailing him.
.
Finally, I’d like to mention one of the few Labour ministers who I don’t actually loathe: John Denham. I believe he was the previous energy minister before it was taken over by one of the idiot Milibands. About a year ago I almost fell off my chair when he said that the UK economy was more important than climate change. Obviously, he had to go. And recently I read that he is a humanist who believes in reason. I think that just about sums it up.
.
Once again, many thanks for an outstanding contribution.
Chris

Alan the Brit
October 21, 2009 3:16 am

Well done TonyB for uncovering this. It was a good piece. It wasn’t too long for me, although I knew some of this it has opened my eyes further still, if that was possible under New Labour!
I would like to put one or two of you straight though. The Brits DO NOT WANT THIS! The British Marxist Socialist Government wants this, because they have whored & bedded themselves with the green movement, (eg “Sir” Jonathan Porrit, who worked his way up from humble beginnings, NOT). Most of us are actually typically cynical & suspicious Anglo-Saxon Brits, when we hear something odd we challenge it for evidence, (eg, Svent Arhenius completely changed his mind after a decade, but you won’t hear that from the Greens), not propaganda. HM Gov wants to control like all totalitarian statist regimes want, I have voiced an opinion on this before elsewhere as many know. After all, they know best!
As to those with “special needs”? Well they may well be provided for with special credit limits to accommodate their needs. No problem with those in genuine need. What we will have in the end however, is the Marxist Socialist Intellectual Elite (MSIE) with their special allowances, because they after all are saving the planet, which means they will have to travel the world visiting far off exotic places, eventually returing to tell us how bad it all is & that the “guilty” must pay more still, with their inflated salaries as they will be the only ones who can afford to travel anyway, or better still, taxpayers will fund it, & we plebs will be dished out what they see fit to give us. Prince Charles will have his New Feudal System he so eagerly yearns for, (no wonder his much respected mother won’t step down, she knows him too well!) we will all pay homage to him & his ilk (the MSIE). Those dark futuramas from Hollywood aren’t too far off reality me thinks! It’s not quite the Matrix, but we’re getting there.
I echo Mr Brumby’s thoughts. Please America, saddle up & ride to our rescue at full gallup, once you have quelled the internal rebellion at the Senate & rescued yourselves first. You have no truer friend than Great Britain. We need you!
AtB

Aligner
October 21, 2009 3:51 am

Ben (00:32:31) :
Another rare moment of journalism at the BBC …
“The truth is this is about taking a decision now as a world, which will affect every country, that is in our long term interest”. Hilary Benn.
Whose long term interest and based on what? It is rare to see Benn quite so shifty and blustering like this. Judging by Michael Mansfield’s contribution regarding temperatures in the 40’s and 50’s, a huge amount of disinformation is circulating even at his level. Where is the root source of all this and who is now handling the stage management? Answers on a postcard to the Hadley Centre.
Vintage Andrew Neal. What a shame he didn’t mention he who should not be named.

Alexander Harvey
October 21, 2009 4:04 am

There is a great deal of difference between rationing as it was (1939-1953), and what is being looked at by the Tyndall Centre. They seem to rejected strict per capita rationing in favour of “Domestic Tradable Quotas”. I think they expect that if everybody with a need to commute from the Seychelles buys up credits from the poor, the old, the feeble-minded and the indebted, (who will presumably freeze to death) this will be more acceptable, I think it might prove highly devisive.
It is generally accepted that rationing is a reasonably equitable way to control the distribution of a scarce resource. I am not sure anyone has ever tried to ration an abundant resource without dire consequences.
Alex

Vincent
October 21, 2009 4:19 am

I have started plodding through some of the material. The first link which I found fascinating is the Defra scoping study on something called “behaviour marketing.” It’s a pdf document, but most of the interesing bits can be found in the opening chapter. Here is the link again:
http://www.defra.gov.uk/evidence/social/behaviour/documents/behaviours-1206-scoping.pdf
As the title suggest, a study was undertaken to examine the ways that members of society can have their behaviours manipulated into what they consider “desirable.” As they say in the introduction “The scope of our work includes:

the main consumption clusters of food and drink, personal travel, homes and household products, and travel tourism;

environmental behaviours across all the environmental sectors, including climate, air quality, water quality, waste, biodiversity and protection of natural resources, taking account of our global footprint;

consideration of a wide range of possible interventions.”
As you can see, it covers quite a lot – in fact just about every aspect of your lives. The biggest problem they have is convincing people of the need for these behaviours, and one of the solutions is to convince people of the need to change their behaviour.
As they say “The strategy needs to demonstrate urgency and magnitude, creating the sense that there is a seismic shift under way that matches up to the scale of the challenge.”
In other, use alarmist language to “talk up” the imagined problem. I can testify that we are just beginning to witness the opening salvo with the governments ad-doctrination.

Justin
October 21, 2009 5:09 am

357 complaints received by the UK advertising standards authority regarding the governments TV advert about climate change.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/8317998.stm
Extract:
But the ASA has still received complaints from parents saying it is too frightening, although most complainants questioned the scientific basis of the claim that climate change is man-made.
An ASA spokeswoman said: “It is not just about the issue of climate change in this particular case. We have had a huge number of complaints about the science but also whether the ad itself is scary for children.”

DaveF
October 21, 2009 5:17 am

Patrick Davis 19:04:20:
When food and other things were rationed in Britain during the second world war there certainly was a black market, but I wouldn’t say that it boomed. There were harsh penalties, for one thing, but mostly I believe that the majority of people wanted nothing to do with it because they believed in the cause the country was fighting for.
This time, though, most of the country is less than convinced that AGW is a real problem, so I suggest that black market trading would really take off and render the whole sorry scheme unworkable.

Alexander Harvey
October 21, 2009 6:27 am

Re DaveF (05:17:39) :
According to the Tyndall Centre’s musings it will be a white market. Those with money would simply buy credits, which they could do from those that would rather freeze than go hungry, or renege on their debts.
Alex

Vincent
October 21, 2009 6:29 am

DaveF:
“so I suggest that black market trading would really take off and render the whole sorry scheme unworkable.”
Black market, lol!
“Psst. If you come to the back of the shop tonight, I’ve got some carbon. Fell off the back of a lorry, it did.”

Alexander Harvey
October 21, 2009 6:40 am

Re DaveF (05:17:39):
Most of the period of rationing in the UK was after WWII (1945-1953). This does not detract from your general observation. People tollerated it because it was, and was widely seen as, necessary.
[I nearly wrote that for most of the period the UK was not at war, but that is not the case, there was the forgotten war (1950-1953).}
Alex

DaveF
October 21, 2009 7:16 am

Alexander Harvey 06:40:31:
The black market flourished much more in the post-war years than during the war itself, for the reasons I suggest. That’s why I think it would be rampant if they tried anything like it now.
Vincent 06:29:10:
You got carbon credits? I’ve got some hoarded incandescent lightbulbs. Deal?

Patrick Davis
October 21, 2009 7:32 am

“DaveF (05:17:39) :
Patrick Davis 19:04:20:
When food and other things were rationed in Britain during the second world war there certainly was a black market, but I wouldn’t say that it boomed.”
Depends which side of the market you were on. If you were a supplier, it was boomtime.
“There were harsh penalties, for one thing, but mostly I believe that the majority of people wanted nothing to do with it because they believed in the cause the country was fighting for.”
Only if you were caught, and yes, people did think it a good thing, afterall, there was a war to fight. And let’s not forget that the “so called” hero of WW2 Britain, Winston Churchill along with almost all of the “rulling elite”, was also a supporter of the “Feeble Minded Peoples Control Act” of 1912 (Not passed down fortunately).
“This time, though, most of the country is less than convinced that AGW is a real problem, so I suggest that black market trading would really take off and render the whole sorry scheme unworkable.”
They have no choice, nor do most have a clue. Deadenders (Eastenders – Popular soap, but not as funny as “Soap”, US) on BBC1 remember, pro-AGW subliminal “programming”. Gordon Brown has spoken, it is real, and ye shall be taxed (In GB speak, he means you will be taxed to fix it). Unfortunately, the black (Carbon) market will thrive. Zimbabwe is an example of where the IPCC is taking us, and, I know it sounds pesimistic, but I think the AGW snowball has just started to roll down the now, snowy, mountain. It will gather more moss, I mean snow.

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