[Updated] UAH, straight from the source, Dr. Roy Spencer who announced it on his blog today.
The was a lot of speculation last year that our global temperature would recover from the huge drops last spring. While there has been some recovery, the overall global temperature trend since 1999 has been the subject of much debate. What is not debatable is that the current global temperature anomaly, as determined by a leading authority on global satellite temperature measurements, says we have no departure from “normal” this month. Given the U.S. Senate is about to vote upon the most complex and costly plan to regulate greenhouse gases, while the EPA suppresses earlier versions of the chart shown below from a senior analyst, this should give some pause to those who are rational thinkers. For those that see only dogma, I expect this will be greeted with jeers. – Anthony
June 2009 Global Temperature Anomaly Update: 0.00 deg. C
Dr. Roy Spencer
July 3rd, 2009
YR MON GLOBE NH SH TROPICS
2009 1 0.304 0.443 0.165 -0.036
2009 2 0.347 0.678 0.016 0.051
2009 3 0.206 0.310 0.103 -0.149
2009 4 0.090 0.124 0.056 -0.014
2009 5 0.045 0.046 0.044 -0.166
2009 6 0.001 0.032 -0.030 -0.003
June 2009 saw another — albeit small — drop in the global average temperature anomaly, from +0.04 deg. C in May to 0.00 deg. C in June, with the coolest anomaly (-0.03 deg. C) in the Tropics. The decadal temperature trend for the period December 1978 through June 2009 remains at +0.13 deg. C per decade.
NOTE: A reminder for those who are monitoring the daily progress of global-average temperatures here:
(1) Only use channel 5 (”ch05″), which is what we use for the lower troposphere and middle troposphere temperature products.
(2) Compare the current month to the same calendar month from the previous year (which is already plotted for you).
(3) The progress of daily temperatures (the current month versus the same calendar month from one year ago) should only be used as a rough guide for how the current month is shaping up because they come from the AMSU instrument on the NOAA-15 satellite, which has a substantial diurnal drift in the local time of the orbit. Our ‘official’ results presented above, in contrast, are from AMSU on NASA’s Aqua satellite, which carries extra fuel to keep it in a stable orbit. Therefore, there is no diurnal drift adjustment needed in our official product.
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MikeN (12:47:30) : That was discussed near the beginning of the thread. The base period is 1979-98 inclusive.
Titanium Dragon (17:33:31) :
Well, here is the rub. 2-11 degrees F over a century is a rather large range. It is akin to betting on black on the roulette wheel. They are saying temperature will go up. That is a rather safe bet, given the current trend. If they are wrong, of course, the wheels fall off the wagon. If not, then we have a theory.
Roger Carr (19:29:45) : a note of mystery
I have a horse named Mystery and she knows about ^s (spelling not the same) but not about ≈.
I use MS-Word to compose comments and the software has an insert command under which I can choose a symbol table and therein find a number of things not on the keyboard. ≈ is one of them.
Mark Bowlin (11:30:28) :
Jimmy Haigh, while shouting “I am a Denier” from the rooftop, you might find it convenient time to paint it white. Has that been mandated yet??
Good point! Maybe white can be our colour! We can all dress in white and take to the rooftops, paint them white and all shout proudly that :”WE ARE DENIERS!!!”
We’ve all been in the closet too long – it’s time to fight back against those that think of us some sort of criminal. (Krugman springs to mind as an example.)
John F. Hultquist (20:39:55) I herewith try your MSWord tip to write ≈ and note Word calls it as ”almost equal to”.
Then I copy to Notepad to rid it of any extraneous formatting, and hope…
(Noting that I no longer have any horses at all and miss them… give Mystery a run for me, huh?)
John F. Hultquist (20:39:55) You and Roger piqued my interest, I used to use, and be more familiar with, ALT+four digits, to get alternative characters. In XP, I just discovered, from START>>All Programs>>Accessories>>System Tools>>Character Map is available outside of a program. This omega ‘Ω’ is a test to check that it indeed works, used Times Roman font to copy the character into the comment section. I was taught, ≤1960, the tilde over a straight bar was “approx. equal to”, don’t recall I ever saw the double tilde used in notation.
@ur momisugly Jimmy Haigh (21:08:05) :
Mark Bowlin (11:30:28) :
” Jimmy Haigh, while shouting “I am a Denier” from the rooftop, you might find it convenient time to paint it white. Has that been mandated yet??
Good point! Maybe white can be our colour! We can all dress in white and take to the rooftops, paint them white and all shout proudly that :”WE ARE DENIERS!!!”
We’ve all been in the closet too long – it’s time to fight back against those that think of us some sort of criminal. (Krugman springs to mind as an example.) ”
Might want to be careful about that. More likely you’d be identified with the KKK ( White sheets ), and targeted by various Govt’ agencies as homegrown terrorists.
Titanium Dragon (17:33:31) :
“The temperature data for the first decade of the 21st century is directly in line with that – you’re looking at an increase of about 0.2 to 0.3 degrees.”
Were do you get that from?
When I count to a hundred I start at one and end at 100. I don’t start at zero and end at 99!
Here is the 21st century data to date showing a clear cooling trend.
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/uah/from:2001/to:2010/trend/plot/uah/from:2001/to:2010
Alan
received from SEPP
DUE DILIGENCE ON GLOBAL WARMING SCIENCE IN AUSTRALIA
By Prof. Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks, Bill Kininmonth
You will have heard on the news over the last 3 weeks of the activities of Senator Steve Fielding in Australia. He is an independent cross-bench senator who holds a casting vote over the passage of the
Australian ETS (Emission Trading Scheme, termed the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme).
After attending the Heartland-3 climate conference in Washington in early June this year, he returned to Australia and asked Climate Minister Penny Wong three simple questions about climate change. The Minister replied, first in a meeting at which her Chief Scientist (Penny Sackett) and departmental science adviser (Will Steffen) presented a briefing paper, and secondly in writing.
Senator Fielding then asked his advisory scientists Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks and Bill Kininmonth to perform an audit of the Minister’s replies to his questions. Copies of Senator Fielding’s original questions, Minister Wong’s written reply, and other papers relevant to the matter are available for download from:
And Senator Fielding’s summary of the results of his discussions with Minister Wong can be found here:
http://www.stevefielding.com.au/climate_change/.
The Due Diligence Paper has been released publicly by Senator Fielding’s office today (July 3). It shows, first, that the Minister and her Department have largely been unable to answer the questions that they were asked. And, second, that the Australian Department of Climate Change has little capacity to assess the science of global warming in an expert, knowledgeable and independent way.
We believe that this is the first time recently that a member of a western parliament has released a public document that makes an independent science assessment of the danger of human-caused global warming (as promulgated by the IPCC), thereby demonstrating (i) the lack of empirical evidence that carbon dioxide emissions are damaging to the environment, and (ii) that ETS are unnecessary.
However, though raising the issue in parliamentary context may be new, our general conclusions are most certainly not. For many other qualified scientists have reached them too; for example, the two independent assessments that have been provided recently by Craig Idso and Fred Singer (NIPCC)
http://www.nipccreport.org/,
and Alan Carlin (EPA):
Given the large costs and the industrial and social disruption that established ETS are already causing – for example in Europe — and which will be added to greatly should similar bills pass parliament in Canada,
Australia, N.Z., USA and elsewhere — we ask for your help in giving our Due Diligence document wide promulgation.
The major conclusions of the science audit team were:
·Global temperatures have remained steady since 1998, despite a 5% increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide
·No strong evidence exists that human carbon dioxide emissions are causing, or are likely to cause, dangerous warming on top of natural trends
·No scientific consensus exists
“The ‘Independent Due Diligence Report’ highlights a number questions which needed to be answered before Australia should think about voting on an emission trading scheme,” Senator Fielding said.
The full ‘Independent Due Diligence Report’ can be seen at http://www.stevefielding.com.au/climate_change/
====================================
Due Diligence on Minister Wong’s Climate Answers
Prof. Bob Carter, David Evans, Stewart Franks & Bill Kininmonth
Open Letter, sent today to
Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, and my MP Lee Richardson
Gentlemen:
Australian Senator Steve Fielding is a Parliamentarian who is doing his job on Climate Change.
Those who parrot imbeciles like Obama and Gore will find that history is not kind to them.
Regards,
Allan M.R. MacRae
Calgary
Curiousgeorge (00:53:12) :
Might want to be careful about that. More likely you’d be identified with the KKK ( White sheets ), and targeted by various Govt’ agencies as homegrown terrorists.
You could be right – maybe white isn’t the colour.
Seriously though, why should there be a stigma attached to what most of us contributing to this blog passionately believe to be the truth, i.e., that AGW is just plain 100% wrong?
And as for calling us flat earthers and deniers (with its holocaust connotations), there are very important differences here: The earth is not flat and the holocaust happened.
Jimmy Haigh (21:08:05) : Another problem with white roofs-in places where it snows, they tend to have dark roofs for the simple reason that they are trying to get the snow to melt off and not build up and put to much strain of the roof making it collapse.
Here’s an idea for a color: Blue. As in Vaclav Klaus’ Blue, not a Green, Planet.
timetochooseagain (08:15:35) :
Here’s an idea for a color: Blue. As in Vaclav Klaus’ Blue, not a Green, Planet.
OK – blue sounds OK. Who would have thought that choosing a colour would be so difficult?!
I was never good with colours… Ask the wife!
This is a good short course:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Color_psychology
The entry for blue is:
“The best color to wear to an interview is blue. Blue is non-threatening, yet confident and stable. Many police uniforms are blue because the color says confidence and security, while being non-threatening. Weightlifters have proven to lift heavier weights in blue rooms[citation needed]. With the good, there’s the bad. Blue can also signify depression. You’ve got the blues is a nod to this attribute.
Blue can symbolize seas, men, productive, interior, skies, peace, unity, harmony, tranquility, calmness, trust, coolness, confidence, conservatism, water, ice, loyalty, dependability, cleanliness, technology, winter, depression, coldness, idealism, air, wisdom, royalty, nobility, Earth (planet), Virgo (light blue), Pisces (pale blue) and Aquarius (dark blue, star sign), strength, steadfastness, light, friendliness, peace, mourning (Iran),[citation needed] truthfulness, love, liberalism (US politics), and conservatism (UK, Canadian & European politics). In many diverse cultures, blue is significant in religious beliefs. It is held to keep the bad spirits, stupidity and misfortune away.”
I’ve emphasized the parts I think are most relevant. (As a note, all colors have political implications. However, by curious accident, the implications are generally opposite in the US than elsewhere. Ordinarily Red is the color of Left-wing politics (especially communism) and Blue more the color of the Right but The Republicans-general center-right-got labeled with red, and Democrats-center-left-got blue-this is an interesting story as to how this happened, but when I picked blue I was hardly thinking of politics (apart from the connection to Klaus) because in my own country blue would signify the opposite of my political orientation).
timetochooseagain (09:47:01) :
Cerise?
Hm, well, I guess that would fall under red.
“Red strikes a chord with more cultures than many other colors because of its intensity, passion and invocation of an inherent physiological response. Red is the color of celebration and good luck (China), purity and integrity (India), mourning (South Africa) and communism. When used with a wide brush, red typically makes whatever it’s painted on look larger, whether it’s a torso or wingback chair. The color is bold and audacious, so it usually dilutes the colors around it. For this reason it’s used to accent and highlight objects of importance.
Studies show that red can have a physical effect, including increasing the rate of respiration, raising blood pressure and thus making the heart beat faster. Red is also said to make people hungry (McDonald’s, Burgerville, corner cafés). The red ruby is the traditional 40th wedding anniversary gift. Red is also the color of the devil in modern Western culture.
Red typically symbolizes passion, strength, energy, fire, sex, love, romance, excitement, speed, heat, arrogance, ambition, leadership, masculinity, power, danger, gaudiness, blood, war, anger, revolution, radicalism, Communism, aggression, respect, martyrs, the Holy Spirit, conservatism (US politics), Liberalism (Canadian politics), wealth (China) and marriage (India).”
If you ask me, there are a lot of negative associations and it just seems less fitting than blue.
Some interesting reading in the Sydney Morning Herald, Australia.
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/energy-smart/bright-idea-puts-paid-to-power-bills-20090704-d8e9.html
AU$30,000 (Minus AU$8000 from a Govn’t grant, which of course costs taxpayers much more than that) doesn’t sound like a good investment to me. Also, many more people in Australia live in “Strata” apartment blocks. The roof is “common property” and, therefore, out of bounds for residents. I see “Strata” companies imposing this sort of thing on all residents, for a fee of course.
And then this…
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/global-warming/see-you-later-winter–brisbane-climes-ahead-for-sydney-20090705-d98u.html
I wish. We’ve had a cool summer and winter has been cold too with early snow in the hills.
There’s no warming Mr Gore, please stay in the US.
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/global-warming/al-gore-mines-a-new-source-of-climatechange-messengers-20090705-d98t.html
timetochooseagain (13:03:31) :
Hm, well, I guess that would fall under red.
I mentioned cerise – I never knew what colour cerise was ubtil now. I got the idea from an old Abbot and Costello movie which introduced the late great – the greatest, IMHO – singer of all time, Ella Fitzgerald. She was singing about loosing her little yellow basket.
“Has anybody seen that itty little basket of mine,
that little yellow basket was a joy of mine”.
Bud Abbot put his head up outside the back window and asked if it was cerise.
But we stray off topic…
Blue is fine by me!
Patrick Davis (18:27:32) :
I bet these guys that Gore is using are the same guys that go round telling us all how to be positive. A company I worked for once put us on a day’s course with one of these affirmative action guys. What a crock that was. I cringe now as I write of the very memory of it.
O/T Interesting uptick on the DMI Arctic temperatures graph;
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
Is this indicative of the “Watts Effect”? Doesn’t seem to show up here;
http://psc.apl.washington.edu/northpole/
Well, no less a person than SIR David King, who it was revealed, this morning in the London Times, to have grown up and attended university in that citadel of fair-minded democracy, apartheid South Africa, has strong views on what needs to be achieved at Copenhagen.
Thoughtfully, the article revealed that he played a major role in the Govt’s ‘handling’ of the MMR ‘crisis’, which might point to him simply saying: ‘What does GSK want and give it to them!’ on the basis of the contempt for human engagement with worriers and doubters, which is the reason for dropping levels of vaccination, I’m sorry to say…….
So I’m sure you’ll find him engaging analytically, respectfully and in a fair-minded way at that very important summit…..
Won’t you?
Has anyone coorelated undersea volcanic erruptions to temp levels and ice melting?
We are fixing up some used mobile homes for resale and covered the roofs with “Snowcoat”, which is very WHITE.
Speaking of a arctic temp up tick and volcanoes, the arctic ice graph just took a hit. It was nicely mid-range, but is definately sliding lower. Could still follow the 2006 curve, but be ready to hear about the ice taking a “faster than originally forecasted” dive in the MSM.