NOAA monthly weather summaries normally describe the month in terms of their warmness ranking. April is looking like an interesting month, with remarkably consistent cold across the entire US. Much of the center of the country has been 2 to 6 degrees below normal. In parts of the Dakotas, 10 or more degrees below normal.
Perhaps the rest of the month will be much warmer? Not likely, NCEP forecasts continued cold through at least the 20th.
Will this month of severe global warming be described as the “100th warmest?”
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Tom P
We are talking about the GISS “anomaly” here. Spencer is NOT responsible for that. His is the UAH set.
The map says NYC is “normal”.
It ain’t, see?
(FMAO in NY.)
“Normal” to GISS is the 1950 – 1980 average. Has that been reconciled to the UAH/RSS anomaly?
Just Want Truth… (14:40:56) :
E.M.Smith (04:04:35) :
P Folkens (22:58:21) :
I’m in the San Francisco East Bay—COLD wind today, supposed to go down in to the 30’s tonight
________________________
Me too. My Pinot Noir vines (planted in 2006) have been really taking off with my warmish microclimate, natural irrigation (this year) and lots of sun. If it goes below freezing and kills all the new buds …. I shall be in a bad mood tomorrow evening.
Wondering Aloud,
“At this point any “anomaly” number that shows continued “warming” is simply prooving that the method for calculating the anomaly is junk.”
and
“We are talking about the GISS “anomaly” here. Spencer is NOT responsible for that. His is the UAH set.”
The UAH set shows continued warming. Hence by you own assertion it is “junk.” In fact all of the global temperature datasets (RSS, HadCRUT as well as GISS) are therefore “junk” as well.
It is a curiously unscientific position to reject datasets on the basis of what trend they show.
A little anecdotal evidence:
Yesterday, April 14th, Lake Minnetonka, the most closely watched large boating lake in Minnesota (records back into the 1870s) declared “ice-out”. The records go back into the 1870s, tho a consistent method for determining ice-out has not been used for all of that period. The same method has been used since 1968. The average ice-out date over that entire period is. . . April 13th.
I think Tom there are two things here one is the word “continued” You are drawing a line from 1979 to today and saying continued I am looking at 1998 to today and especially the last 2 years and saying it isn’t there. How much of the 1979-1998 warming is real? How much of the 20th century warming is a figment of the data due to “corrections” station drop out, UHI effects.
The other may be religion. You seem to have aquired one here. I’ve been watching this for over 20 years now and all of the warming predictions so far have been wrong, to believe todays are better has a Seventh Day Adventist feel.
Well the Denver Metro area and areas to the west are expecting 10-20 inches of global warming over the next few days. Here is the NWS storm warning:
=========================
WWUS45 KBOU 161718
WSWBOU
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1118 AM MDT THU APR 16 2009
…A HEAVY PRECIPITATION PRODUCING STORM IS EXPECTED FOR
NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO STARTING TODAY CONTINUING
THROUGH SATURDAY…
.A STRONG STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD FROM UTAH
ACROSS THE COLORADO AND NEW MEXICO BORDER AREA THROUGH SATURDAY.
IT WILL BRING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO NORTHEAST AND NORTH
CENTRAL COLORADO. HEAVY WET SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS…
FOOTHILLS AND ADJACENT PLAINS. THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF OF THE
COLORADO PLAINS WILL SEE A RAIN AND SNOW MIX.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR LOCAL
NEWS MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES CONCERNING THIS STRONG SPRING
STORM.
COZ038>040-043-162330-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.A.0006.090417T0600Z-090418T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBOU.WS.W.0009.090417T0600Z-090418T1800Z/
LARIMER COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/NORTHWEST WELD COUNTY-
BOULDER AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES BELOW 6000 FEET/WEST BROOMFIELD
COUNTY-
NORTH DOUGLAS COUNTY BELOW 6000 FEET/DENVER/WEST ADAMS AND
ARAPAHOE COUNTIES/EAST BROOMFIELD COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND SOUTH WELD COUNTY-
INCLUDING…FORT COLLINS…LOVELAND…ARVADA…BOULDER…
LAKEWOOD…LONGMONT…AURORA…GREELEY
1118 AM MDT THU APR 16 2009
…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
MDT SATURDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON MDT SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
THERE WILL BE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW THIS EVENING…BEFORE
CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW
WILL OCCUR AT TIMES OVER THE URBAN CORRIDOR AND WESTERN WELD
COUNTY FRIDAY AFTERNOON…CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY. ACCUMULATIONS
FROM 10 TO 24 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON…WITH
THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF BOULDER AND
DENVER AS WELL AS LOCATIONS SOUTH OF DENVER. NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15
TO 30 MPH ARE ALSO EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…
REMEMBER…A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
=====================
Not unheard of this time of year but unusual enough to be noteworthy as these heavy wet snows tend to break down trees, and power lines, and collapse a building or two, not to mention cause local flooding when they start to thaw.
I’m betting April will come in cooler than the AWG crowd wants to see.
Larry
Yes, the global warming started falling on my car on the way home from the office (CO Springs). It hailed for a while, but mostly rain, and the temperature is dropping rapidly so the rain will soon be snow and ice. Yay. Nope, not unusual at all as my son’s birthday (Saturday) has seen snow every year for the last 6, which includes the day he was born.
Mark
I had to wear my winter coat the other night here in Phoenix as we hit a low temp of 46 and the high temp was 69, 16 degrees below normal. It was also windy, making it fell extra cold. Al Gore must be turning over in his grave.
SteveSadlov (08:44:13) :
“Bull’s eye on the wheat belt. Of course, recovery is possible. However, if this persists through May, there will be trouble.”
Tarnsman (11:56:41) :
“Ummmm, isn’t that big blue blot (cold temps) right over the grain belt of the US?? Anyone care to venture a guess what that means for the fall harvest? Can’t be good.”
We have not had food shortages in the USA for sixty years that is about to change.
In the spring of 2008 the USDA stated there was no grain reserves left. The grain traders lobbied to make sure there would be no grain reserves rebuilt by the USDA.
“Recently there have been increased calls for the development of a U.S. or international grain reserve to provide priority access to food supplies for Humanitarian needs. The National Grain and Feed Association (NGFA) and the North American Export Grain Association (NAEGA) strongly advise against this concept…Again, we encourage you to reject calls for the establishment of an international or
national grain reserve that would emulate the failed grain reserve policies of the past..” July 22, 2008 letter to President Bush
Here is why they do not want any food reserves, It will mess up the ability to make a profit from human misery.
“In summary, we have record low grain inventories globally as we move into a new crop year. We have demand growing strongly. Which means that going forward even small crop failures are going to drive grain prices to record levels. As an investor, we continue to find these long term trends..very attractive.” Food shortfalls predicted: 2008
About half of the world’s maize is grown in the United States and the USA produces 80% of the cereals that are exported. Meanwhile Congress is working on bills to slap tons of red tape and fines on food growing in the USA “harmonizing” with the EU regs that drove 60% of the farmers in Portugal off their land.
“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?”
That last quote was from Maurice Strong Al Gore’s mentor.
“Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?” Maurice Strong
Obama and Congress seem to be working overtime to make maurice Strong happy.