Despite my having to cut back on posting and moderation to nights and weekends in order to devote more time to my livelihood during these economic down times, WUWT continues to grow. Today I reached another new milestone, nearly 1/4 million page views (248,116) in a single week. This is counted up to 00 GMT which is 4PM PST. Below is my WordPress traffic graph from about 5:30PM PST today:
First I want to thank my moderation team for stepping in to manage the huge flood of comments we get, the regular contributors who offer interesting essays, and of course I thank you, my readers for your continued interest and visits. – Anthony
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I have absolutely no interest in science, I only come here to boost the traffic figures.
Delighted to have been a tiny speck on your magnificent map Mr Watts.
Might not be back in the next couple of days, so I would like to wish you, Mr Watts, and all those who have informed and entertained me so well since I first arrived here a few months ago a very Merry Christmas.
Anthony, it seems that we are in need of a blog post regarding Arctic areas, Arctic weather and temperature, Arctic ocean currents, ice behavior, data noise, etc. There have been many, many questions about this “stall” that can be easily explored and explained. I have posted several comments but the topic still arises. Is there a guest blogger you can turn to for a post on the subject?
Congrats on the site visits.
Looked at the ice data on http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/test/print.sh?fm=12&fd=11&fy=2008&sm=12&sd=21&sy=2008 and chopped out the view for Hudson Bay and west Greenland, North Atlantic and the Bearing straits.
It looks like ice grew in Hudson Bay and West of Greenland, moved around but about the same area (by eye) in the bearing straits and fell back some in the Eastern North Atlantic. See image at http://gallery.me.com/wally#100002/Ice%2012-11_12-21&bgcolor=black
So a flat curve for total ice does not appear out of line. If you note from winter of 08 there was some strong dips in the total ice area.
Major kudos!
I hope in some little way I have helped you get some of these numbers. I link to this site all the time when I’m arguing AGW with ecofascists.
In their honor, I made up an Eco game… http://giovanniworld.wordpress.com/2008/12/21/new-eco-game-hits-the-net/
Gio-
A word from Dr. Tim Ball.
————————————————————-
Completely inadequate IPCC models produce the ultimate deception about man made global warming
By Dr. Tim Ball Monday, December 22, 2008
The only place where CO2 is causing temperature increase is in the IPCC computer models
http://canadafreepress.com/printpage.php
“… the unproven hypothesis that human produced CO2 is causing warming and or climate change. The evidence is based solely on the output of 18 computer climate models selected by the IPCC. There are a multitude of problems including the fact that every time they run them they produce different results. They use an average of all the runs. The IPCC then take the average results of the 18 models and average them for the results in their Reports.”
” Atmosphere and oceans are fluids governed by non-linear rather than linear equations. These equations have unpredictability or randomness – also known as chaos – it explains why the models get different results every time they are run. These problems well known outside of climate science were specifically acknowledged in the IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), “In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.” (TAR, p.774.)”
“It is hard to imagine a better example of Beadle’s axiom paraphrased as follows, “Half the work done by the IPCC is to make things appear what they are not.”
Great site Anthony. I’m personally responsible for some of that uptick in traffic, and I have to apologize to some of your mods for testing the limits of anti-AGW vocabulary.
Here’s my Christmas message to you. Santa is alive and well, and his kidnapping by Greenpeace was a (another) hoax ….
http://gpsinformation.info/main/merryxmas.swf
Congratulations. As AGW continues to fall under inevitable critifcal scrutiny, this site will only earn more traffic.
E.M.Smith (11:51:20) :
“Heard on the Biz news – worst weather (coldest, snowiest) during the shopping season in 20 years in the North East.
This is an important metric, what retail stocks do, like Macy’s M or Penny’s JCP, are directly driven by the weather during the Christmas shopping season. It is watched very closely by retail stock traders. Fewer folks go out to shop in the cold and snow; and Lord help the retailer who stocks to few (or two many) warm coats in cold (or warm) weather… M is down ~10% mid day on this news, for example.”
Move South … its still a mild and (grey climate) but no need to heating … not seen decent snow or ice for 10 years .,… but at least this year spring plants have had the decency to wait until January to appear.
PeteM (06:00:32) :
And congratulations to the website for achieving a high audience.
philincalifornia’s little present above is really nice and appropriate.
Thanks again for the best blog in the world – to date. May it may itself redundant as quickly as possible! BTW, if you want to learn some of the basics of Climate Science and the debate – visit us here and in our forum that has grown in no small measure due to Anthony’s pioneer work. In a year I’ve changed from 200% committed AGW to… well… humbler, wiser, much more scientifically knowledgeable, and still hopeful. Thank you community too.
Frederic S (14:39:56) :
Continue, Anthony, we read you even in France
I can attest to that. I live in France too. This is one of first sites I look at in the morning.
Happy New Year to all
For those of you still worried about the lack of ice advance between Greenland and Northern Europe/Russia, check out the Jet Stream patterns for the Arctic area. As we all know, the Jet Stream has dipped way down South, bringing frigid weather all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Because of that dip, what loops down must loop up. And indeed it does, right up the draw between Greenland and Northern Europe/Russia. This is no small matter. The Jet Stream is as strong as I have seen it through this draw towards the North pole. That kind of Jet Stream behavior is strong enough to push a mountain of ice as far as it can go. Once the up-loop Jet Stream straightens out, and it will eventually, I believe the ice extent will begin to advance again. By the way, the Jet Stream on the other side encourages outflow of Arctic air through the Bering Straight. So it appears that the Jet Stream can explain a lot right now. If I had ocean temps (and it goes without saying, accurate air temps) for the warm and cold currents up there we could wrap this conundrum up for Christmas.
Thanks Pamela, that makes sense to me and is quite obvious on jet stream maps. I thought there had to be somthing like this involved.
Great site Anthony. I too am obsessed and spend way too much time reading/learning from it. Do my best to increase your numbers by spreading the URL and my enthusiasm for it.
Happy Christmas to all.
Thanks Pamela! Merry Christmas to all here and a Happy New Year!
Pamela Gray (07:52:39)
Good job on trying to explain the puzzle. When I saw the plots at NANSEN, with ice extent decreasing while area remained mostly flat, I figured it had to be strong storms/wind/current holding back the expansion of ice extent with ice being compacted.
Looks like everyone’s been puzzled by this little oddity, even the folks at NSIDC. Here’s a posting at Roger Pielke Sr.’s website with feedback by NSIDC’s Mark Serreze. Seems they’ve been checking around to confirm the data they’ve been getting.
http://climatesci.org/2008/12/23/update-by-mark-serreze-on-current-sea-ice-coverage/
The stop in expansion that began Dec 10 seems to have finally ended. Data at IARC-JAXA is finally showing increase in the AMSR-E Sea Ice Extent, beginning Dec 21 and increasing even more Dec 22.
And for everybody out there, have a very Merry Christmas!
savo (14:05:33) :
EM Smith M: “…is down ~10% mid day on this news, for example” er … aren’t you guys in a recession? Wouldn’t that account for the drop.
The recession accounts for the long drop of the year before the news day.
The 10% in one day (mid day, it ended a bit over 11%) is all news / event driven. This is off topic, but day trades are all news and event driven. Long trend trades are driven by major cyclical shifts like recessions.
Stock prices are fractal, you have to pick your time period and the time period specific factors that drive that period. For example, during boom years you would have a long term (secular) up trend to a retailer like Macy’s. Cold Christmas shopping season news would STILL cause a day-trade down, it would just ‘correct’ to the upside in following days.