
I’ve been so impressed with the recovery thus far for Arctic sea ice, I’ve added a live icon for it in the lower right under the global satellite image. Just click on it to get a full sized graph like above.
Watch the red line as it progresses. So far we are back to 2005 levels, and significantly ahead of last year at this time.
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Patrick Henry (22:54:37) :
“The Boston Globe reports that the Little Ice Age (which didn’t exist according to Mann)….”
Mr Mann is very much aware of the cold anomoly over the North Atlantic resulting in ice fairs on the Thames etc. There is no conclusive evidence that this was little more than a regional anomoly, unless of course you know differently…
crosspatch
I think the problem with the Cryosphere global anomaly graph is more of scale than any suspect calculation. Last year’s anomaly at this time was about -3 million square km. This year it’s about -2.5 million. The increase doesn’t show up well in the global anomaly graph. Try squinting one eye and leaning in really close to your monitor. 🙂
Mary Hinge: “There is no conclusive evidence that this was little more than a regional anomoly, unless of course you know differently…”
Mary. The case is the opposite! The historical data tells us unambiguously that there was a global cool period during the Little Ice Age. This is only one thing that makes Mann and IPCC frauds. Manns statistical work is fraud too. You can construct the hockey stick out of any random data, using his methodology and (non-)”mathematics”.
An indication from the French leading climatology professor Marcel Leroux, in his book “Global Warming, Myth or Reality?”:
“The controversy generated by the ‘infameous hockey stick’ […] is still very much with us, and rightly so, as the IPCCrejects out of hand existing, patient research and the foundings of much serious investigation, based on historical records and archaeological, botanical, and glaciological work from many different parts of the world. […] Lamb (1965, 1977, 1984), Mayr (1964), Le Roy Ladurie (1967), Alexandre (1987), Grove (1988), … the list is very long.”
Proof:
Page 121 in a book by Singer/Avery mention an inventory of all temperature proxy studies, “Reconstructing Climatic and Environmental Changes of the Past 1000 Years: A Reappraisal”.
http://books.google.com/books?id=DJxlzuOdK2IC&printsec=frontcover#PPA132,M1
“…124 research studies addressing the existence of the Little Ice Age, anf 98 percent contained evidence confirming that cold period.”
mary hinge
have you ever heard of the year without a summer in the U.S.A. that was near the end of the little ice age.
Mary, I’m not sure what you mean by conclusive evidence, but I assume you have read Moberg et al.? Of course this only covers the northern hemisphere, but it’s far more than just north Atlantic.
paul. That one use to be replied that it was one special occasion. I guess you refer to a year in the early 19th century when there had been a volcano. That is the counter argument…
Also cold summers has been occasions during warm periods the last two thousands of years. Occasions in the “wrong” direction during warm and cold phases seems to occur.
I think the best argument is the study of all proxy data which is made. There you have a period of at least 50 years in time of warm or cold climate as a criteria for a warmer or a colder period. These studies continues on new proxy data, which continues to prove MWP and LIA.
Alex (14:38:43) :
“I wonder if the media will be reporting this?”
Yeah, that’ll make a great headline “Arctic sea ice freezing in October”
Move along…nothing to see here…
Try looking at the graph, Mary. See anything interesting? Anything at all? No?
And yet, when the ice melts in the summer, OMG, it’s a catastrophe, the world is about to end.
paul (08:36:46) :
I know geography isn’t an American strong point but isn’t the North Atlantic the large stretch of water on the east side of the US?
If the warmists can make predictions on little or no data, so can I. Looking at the slope of the current year ice, I predict the entire NH will be covered in ice. At some point.
Of course, that will be entirely due to global warming.
Glaciers are growing in Alaska?
http://www.adn.com/news/alaska/story/555283.html
“In general, the weather this summer was the worst I have seen in at least 20 years.”
Never before in the history of a research project dating back to 1946 had the Juneau Icefield witnessed the kind of snow buildup that came this year. It was similar on a lot of other glaciers too.
wonder when RC will pickup on this?
Mary, [snip] What is there about the previous posters words that you don’t understand. Do you understand that South America is in the Southern Hemisphere? So is Australia. China is on the side of Asia facing the Pacific Ocean?
Once you’ve perused a globe for a while, then read some of the referenced links, please come back and comment. There are hundreds of records distributed around the world that show a cooling period similar to the LIA. There are very few that show otherwise.
Mann’s argument that “you can’t prove me wrong, so I’m right” is not scientifically acceptable. The onus on him has been to find evidence that the LIA was regional, not just state that it “might” have been and therefore was. Mann needs to discuss the existing measurements and why we should not believe them.
Bruce Cobb (09:02:01) :
“Try looking at the graph, Mary. See anything interesting? Anything at all? No?”
I see the freeze at below average levels for the time of year. If you are seriously thinking this is proof of your global warming belief then you are seriously scraping the r’s of the barrel.
Retired Engineer (09:18:21) :
“….. I predict the entire NH will be covered in ice. At some point.”
Going by your record this is one of your more accurate predictions! 😉
It´s all very well talking about the increase of the sea ice, but just about all the ice over eastern Siberia seems to have disappeared. http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Sea_Ice_07vs08.jpg
Mary Hinge (05:07:22) :
The LIA even shows up in the southern hemisphere. For example Lake Malawi waters in the 1680’s were the coldest since the ice age (about 5 degrees colder than now) and many southern hemisphere glaciers have prominent end moraines of LIA age (I’ve seen a number). Evidence from Antarctica is a bit more dodgy, but Emslies studies of abandoned penguin rookeries strongly suggest that the Ross Sea area was more hevily iced during the LIA than before and after.
Danish scientists no longer want to support the theory that global warming should be the reason behind shrinking glaciers on Greenland.
Instead they have found that the glaciers shrinks because of changes to the Gulf Stream.
http://www.dr.dk/Nyheder/Indland/2008/10/14/163310.htm
You can’t read the article as it is in Danish, but there is a nice picture of Angela Merkel, who was shown the glacier ‘Jakobshavn’ by our prime minister and our climate minister last year. John McCain also got a tour in 2006.
I wonder whether they have received an update mail from the guides. ….Probably not.
Northern Canada´s too
Simon Abingdon (11:21:47)
There is no ice in Eastern Siberia, and there wasn’t even during the Ice Ages (the climate is too dry for glaciation). What you are seeing is that there is unusually little snow there for the time of year. The late summer and autumn has been quite warm there, delaying the snow. This may be linked to the PDO shift, which while it cools the waters off North America also causes the northwestern Pacific to be warmer than usual.
I see the freeze at below average levels for the time of year. If you are seriously thinking this is proof of your global warming belief then you are seriously scraping the r’s of the barrel.
Look again Mary, and try taking off your AGW blinders for a change. Notice the slope of this years’ refreeze. No one is talking about it being “proof” of anything except you, but that is to be expected with those of your ilk, since you are the one with the global warming Belief.
So, Mary, have you read Moberg et al. yet?
For Mary, “The Year Without a Summer” was actually the year 1816 which is smack in the middle of The Dalton Minimum; and if you want to include that in the LIA; Dr Willie Soon would tend to agree with that, since he suggests the LIA covered perhaps 500 years. Thge Dalton Minimum was however preceeded by a fairly acitve sun era that ende the Maunder Minimum.
There is one other thing you should know about Dr Mann Mary, since you put so much faith in his assertions.
If you check back to the first publications of Mann’s famous Hockey Stick Graph, and you will find a copy of same in last Year’s Los angeles times somewhere (I did); guess what you will find in the unexpurgated version of Mann’s Hockey stick?
Two little words at the top of the Graph; “NORTHERN HEMISPHERE.”
In his own words (as an expert) Dr Mann asserted that the Hockey stick itself is just a local anomaly, and NOT a global phenomena at all.
More recent “editions” of the Hockey stick have had all offensive language like northern hemisphere removed.
And now to Neil Crafter and Katherine; since we seem too be getting pedantic.
I could have said: The Southern Hemisphere is mostly water, and the Northern hemisphere is mostly land; would you both agree to that of do you still have a problem with that ?
But, since the discussion was related to ice concerns, I used the terms Antarctic, and Arctic; as a loose reference to the colder regions of the Southern Hemisphere and the Northern Hemisphere.
Please take note, that I did NOT say “Antarctica” which we all agree is that continemtal largest land mass in “The Antarctic”.
Also note, I did not say the “Antarctic Circle” and the “Arctic Circle”, as delineating the “Arctic” and t”The Antarctic” which define the regions beyond +/- 67.5 deg N/S.
The “Arctic” and the “Antarctic” are commonly used to reference the globe beyong +/- 60 degrees N/S, not 67.5
So now go check you globe again, and you will find, that virtually all of Alaska and Greenland, and a large part of Eurasia including most of scandinavia and Siberia are “in the arctic”
There is indeed more land “In the arctic” than “in the antarctic”.
But coming from New Zealand; anything south of Stewart Island is the antarctic to me.
But not to be nit picky, it really was the northern/southern hemispheric land /water distribution I was referring to that has a big influence on the global assymmetry.
I would also argue that it is somewhat irrelevent whether the northernmost permanent ice pack sits on land or water, and same for the southernmost ice pack. Ok the altitudes are a bit different, so the antarctic gets a lot colder.
But do check the globe to see that I really am right anyway in what I said.
Looks like Arctic ice will be back in the normal range in a few days.
http://eva.nersc.no/vhost/arctic-roos.org/doc/observations/images/ssmi1_ice_ext.png
Mary
You seem rather pleased with yourself to come on Anthony’s website and make some of the condescending statements you have. Do you work for Michael Mann? I would suggest that those who dispute, ignore or deny the historical record for the Little Ice Age, as we have seen that comes from a number of countries, are doing so to further their climate agendas ie. that historical climate was flat (ie handle) and only in the 20th/21st centuries has evil man (one ‘n’) upset nature’s delicate balance by emitting all that plant fertiliser (making the blade). Well I’m sorry, I’m not buying today thankyou.
Pops (14:46:04) :
Don’t you just feel so sorry for all those polar bears? I bet they’re longing for some more “gorebal” warming because all that ice must be freezing their little endangered paws off.
Okay, okay. So it’s not a very scientific comment.
Slam: “Gorebal” warming? How about Gorebull warming.
Don’t worry, Simon, ice melts and water refreezes. It happens over and over. When the ice reappears, it won’t be magic, just the recurring cycle.
Simon Abingdon (11:21:47) :
It´s all very well talking about the increase of the sea ice, but just about all the ice over eastern Siberia seems to have disappeared. http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Sea_Ice_07vs08.jpg
Hi Simon. The “ice” you refer to in Eastern Siberia is snow that had fallen there by this time last year. It is far colder in the Arctic this year than last. Cold air is dry air. There may end up being less snowfall in Siberia and most of the world’s northern reaches this year than last, if the cold continues. The cold is not a sign of warming, however 🙂