Transatlantic air fares to jump under net zero fuel rules

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Philip Bratby

Yet one more cost for Net Zero:

The cost of a return trip to New York is on track to rise by £40 as a result of incoming net zero regulations, according to figures from Virgin Atlantic.

The extra burden on travellers is expected if the cost of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is passed on directly. Calculations by Virgin Atlantic, a pioneer in using the greener jet fuel, show that ticket prices would have to rise 6pc.

For a return flight to New York that would amount to a £40 increase at current prices, based on two one-way fares costing about £350 each.

SAF is a refined blend of waste oils, animal fats and ethanol from corn. The fuel is viewed as the most practical route towards reducing aviation’s net CO2 emission before completely new technologies, such as hydrogen propulsion, become available next decade or beyond.

Airlines operating from the UK will be required to use at least 10pc SAF to power their flights from 2030, but with the fuel currently costing six times as much as traditional jet fuel, passengers face a potential jump in fares.

Figures published by Flint Global suggest that by 2040, when the UK mandate will require a 22pc SAF blend, fares will be a third higher if costs aren’t addressed.

The UK rules are more stringent than the EU’s requirement for a 6pc SAF mix by the end of the decade, with the difference potentially giving continental carriers such as Lufthansa and Air France a competitive advantage over the likes of Virgin Atlantic and British Airways.

British Airways currently sources 90pc of its SAF overseas.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/05/18/net-zero-jet-fuel-rules-to-add-6pc-to-transatlantic-fares

UK aviation CO2 emissions account for 0.1% of world emissions.

And as with everything else, as the world as a whole gets richer, more people will be flying. Any attempt by the UK to save a few tonnes of carbon will be swamped.

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Scarecrow Repair
May 19, 2024 10:36 pm

Reality will sink this net zero global warming claptrap sooner or later, but in the meantime, what a friggin’ waste.

Scissor
Reply to  Scarecrow Repair
May 20, 2024 5:12 am

Jasper did not mention hydro-processing, but that is one of the ways that SAF can match chemical and physical properties of conventional jet fuel.

Of course this all comes down to virtue signaling that raises prices, which the author correctly identified.

Harold Pierce
May 19, 2024 11:26 pm

More Net Zero nonsense. The waste oils, animal fats and ethanol have large carbon footprints.

It takes lots of food to grow animals. The food is produced by using large farm machines with big Diesel engines.

Animal fats and waste cooking oils are reacted with methanol and a catalyst to produce methyl esters of long chain fatty acids, which are purified by distillation which requires lots of energy. Methanol is made from natural gas.

Ethanol is made from corn grown on farms using large machines and nitrogen fertilizers made
from natural gas. After fermentation of the corn, the ethanol is isolated from vats by distillation.

Waste oils are purified by distillation.

All of the processes require lots of energy such as electricity which is produced in power plants
using fossil fuels.

MyUsername
Reply to  Harold Pierce
May 19, 2024 11:39 pm

It takes lots of food to grow animals.

That’s also one of the main arguments for a mainly vegetarian/vegan diet.

strativarius
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 1:13 am

Nobody is stopping you from being malnourished

MyUsername
Reply to  strativarius
May 20, 2024 1:16 am

I’m not a vegetarian, I was just pointing out that the arguments are the same.

strativarius
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 2:28 am

No, they aren’t

MyUsername
Reply to  strativarius
May 20, 2024 2:45 am

From what I’ve seen the calorie in to calorie out is about 1:10. As Harold said “It takes lots of food to grow animals.” So feeding 9 billion people is far more efficient wiht a mostly vegetarian diet. Getting protein from something like lentils also uses far less water. Most people don’t life in the green countryside of england.

strativarius
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 2:55 am

You don’t see carnivores grazing all day long

Or maybe you do?

Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 4:56 am

Do you feel guilty for eating meat and contributing to the climate emergency?

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 6:34 am

No, that’s not what you were doing, that’s only the superficially truthful facade, similar to saying the Nazis were only purifying their breeding stock. What your claim amounts to is ignoring the fact that the world is self-evidently feeding itself right now, and doesn’t need to sacrifice good food to serve your net zero lies.

Your dishonesty runs through all your comments because you are afraid to come out and say directly that you think you are better than everybody else and have the right to tell everyone else how to live.

MyUsername
Reply to  Scarecrow Repair
May 20, 2024 6:42 am

You are projecting

Scarecrow Repair
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 7:32 am

But you aren’t, because you are a better person. Thank you for your indirect honesty, but direct would be more honest.

AWG
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 5:04 am

Clue to the Clueless: Not that much land is suitable for growing vegetables. Livestock routinely use land that is even barely suitable for hardy plants such as grasses. Livestock are made by God to convert stuff people can’t eat into nutritionally dense high protein comestibles. It doesn’t get any simpler, efficient and more hands-free than that.

I don’t see any good reason to eschew meat so that a traveller can feel that their next trans-Atlantic flight will be hypothetically cheaper. Experience proves that politicians will concoct an even more insane policy – just because they are sadistic criminals.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  AWG
May 21, 2024 11:40 am

It will not be cheaper. Most of the energy density studies I have seen equate these “renewable” fuels to less energy density and therefore more fuel is needed and anyone who thinks the fuels will be cheaper, well pass me that pipe you are smoking.

Tom Halla
Reply to  MyUsername
May 20, 2024 10:48 am

Veganism is mostly masochism.

May 19, 2024 11:52 pm

If that comment from Harry R Jumpjet is true – that currently 25% of waste cooking oil is shipped in from China – then this is beyond madess. Surely the diesel used by the cargo ship more than offsets the “carbon savings” from using it in the jets? And that doesn’t include the energy needed to refine it!

Coeur de Lion
May 20, 2024 12:18 am

Have these idiots done the demand sums as the thousandth American airliner howls off from Heathrow? Our CO 2 or theirs? How many civil servants needed to count it? And forever as we need to ensure we stay at. Net Zero, don’t we?

strativarius
May 20, 2024 1:12 am

Net Zero….

That is what we have – a great deal of nothingness.

Denis
May 20, 2024 2:43 am

Why does the author think that “hydrogen propulsion” of aircraft will be economical or even possible?

Reply to  Denis
May 20, 2024 3:19 am

Been drinking koolade.

Reply to  Denis
May 20, 2024 3:20 am

It is always fun and informative to check the LinkedIn profile of journalists who write about climate topics. Christopher Jasper is no exception. He has a degree in Modern History and Politics.

Knowing that, and using my knowledge of the UK education system I am willing to bet he has studied no sciences at all since the age of 15 and is almost certainly innumerate.

AWG
Reply to  quelgeek
May 20, 2024 5:09 am

“…He has a degree in Modern History and Politics…””

Which means he is too lazy to actually learn history that matters, and if by Modern, we are only talking since the early twentieth century then that says something about Jasper when the real lessons of the 1900s is that Communism always has extremely high body counts, poverty and misery.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  AWG
May 21, 2024 11:41 am

Modern means anything since last year.

Reply to  Denis
May 20, 2024 4:58 am

And it he thinks it’ll be soon!

AWG
May 20, 2024 4:55 am

…before completely new technologies, such as hydrogen propulsion, become available next decade or beyond

If by “beyond” they mean never.

We are already reading articles where US airlines are giving way to Asian airlines; the Biden junta is even expanding Pacific routes specifically to China because Asian airlines can fly over Russia – bringing down the costs to travel.

So when the West declares that the only propulsion units acceptable don’t exist outside of space-born heavy lift rocketry, the infrastructure sure doesn’t exist, and apparently we learned absolutely nothing about mixing Hydrogen with air travel (cheap dig, I know) is Rolls Royce and P&W going to stop making engines for the only expanding airline services?

Is Musk, Bezos, Gates and hundreds of thousands of private jet owner/operators going to junk their aircraft? Hah! Clearly this is a move to undemocratize airtravel and keep it only to governments, oligarchs, Party Members in good standing – and the rest of this planet that isn’t Western.

May 20, 2024 5:50 am

I guess this won’t be a problem for folks with private jets.

Michael S. Kelly
May 20, 2024 6:51 am

Huh. Isn’t the Left also trying to ban fried foods? Isn’t that contraindicated if you want green, sustainable biofuels?

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