Twas The Fright Before Christmas

Poetry, by Davis Swan (h/t to Dr. Judith Curry)

cold_front

T’was the night before Christmas and all through the town

The temperature was dropping, going down, down, down, down

The weatherman said that a front was to blame

A high pressure ridge from Alaska he claimed

It sat like a lump on the hard prairie stubble

Refusing to budge, clearly looking for trouble

On the map it was grinning, toothy and blue

From Montana through Texas to the Long Island zoo

And under that dome of slow falling air

Grew a problem so nasty it hardly seemed fair

For the flags hung like rags across the mid-west

Not a whisper of wind to wake them from rest

Outside of the town the turbines stopped spinning

On the weatherman’s map the cold front kept grinning

At the company office the manager frowned

As the power from the wind farms kept going down

A coal-fired plant was called and called fast

They’d always been there in a pinch in the past

We can’t help you out” was the somber reply

Our boilers have been cold since the 4th of July

It will take us all night with a talented crew

To get things in order and working like new

The manager hung up the phone with a sigh

He had one last option he knew he could try

He called up the plant that was fired by gas

“Can you give us more power?” the foreman was asked

“I would if I could but the answer is ‘No’

We’re going full out – any more and she’ll blow!”

So he hung up again – no more numbers to call

All attention was fixed on the instrument wall

The manager watched as the meter hit zero

He knew the next day he would not be a hero

The grid creaked and groaned then it finally buckled

It seemed like the weather map grin actually chuckled

And now it spread out like a fast moving fire

The blackout was coming the outlook was dire

In no time at all the breakers were flipping

The wires were sparking, transformers were tripping

One after one the streetlights went out

In the blink of an eye there was clearly no doubt

That this was a night that we all would remember

As the coldest darn night in the darkest December

Now some folks stayed warm by a hearth that was crackling

But for most bitter cold finally made them start packing

And in thousands of homes linemen pulled on their boots

As they headed outdoors trying to turn on the juice

And back to the coal-fired plants went the men

That had kept the lights on since I don’t know just when

They worked through the night and by noon Christmas Day

The dinners were cooking in the usual way

A few short days later the cold front receded

The wind farms spun up, coal no longer was needed

The utility manager decided to go

To visit a plant, maybe stop, say hello

They shared some bad coffee as they sat for a while

Then a grizzled old coal-man spoke up with a smile

“Now I’m a recycler and I love to hug trees

But wind without storage is just a big tease

Here is one thing that I know for a fact

You didn’t quite get it when you called for the MACT”

“My dirty old cold-fired plant had to close

But when it comes down to it everyone knows

My coal-fired plant you can count on to run

No matter what happens with the wind and the sun”

“If you really want power through all kinds of weather

Treat coal with respect – we can work well together”

The manager left but what stuck in his head

Were the words that the grizzled old coal-man had said

Energy storage is something we need

Without it “green power” is useless indeed

We can launch a sleek rocket, land a robot on Mars

We can build hybrid engines to power our cars

A storage solution can surely be found

If we dare to think different, turn our thoughts upside-down

Taleb and Khosla have shown us the way

It’s “Black Swan” ideas that are needed today.

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December 24, 2015 3:07 pm

Maybe the energy could be stored in the bonds of some sort of chemical compound, and then released through some chemical conversion process. Oxidation, perhaps?

Bill Partin
Reply to  RoHa
December 24, 2015 3:16 pm

Oh. You mean like with coal & gas.

Duncan
Reply to  Bill Partin
December 24, 2015 3:25 pm

I thnk they means a process like rust which gives off free electrons. A giant pile of old cars, rusting away to power our cities, the next green revolution. /sarc

Dawtgtomis
Reply to  RoHa
December 24, 2015 3:43 pm

Don’t forget all the potential energy in nuclear waste that molten-salt nukes will liberate in the future, while eliminating waste storage issues. that is the densest energy storage medium by multiple orders of magnitude.
The biggest impedance is the public fear and perception of radiation.

Dawtgtomis
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 24, 2015 4:06 pm

Nobody ever wishes our selfless moderators a Happy holiday season, make it so! (#1)

PiperPaul
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 24, 2015 6:36 pm

The biggest impedance is the public fear and perception of radiation.
In other words, our old friend FUD. A PR weapon wielded by scammers, politicians and rent-seeking bureaucrats everywhere.

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 24, 2015 6:44 pm

“The biggest impedance is the public fear and perception of radiation.”
No, that is a mistake — the “silent majority” does not fear reactors — a small vocal minority is against them and the leftist press plays that up. This is what the left always does no matter what it is. The opinion of a small vocal minority is proclaimed the opinion of the majority. Its in their handbook.
Eugene WR Gallun

Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 25, 2015 11:21 pm

I ve always said , give me a couple drums of nuclear waste and I will have free heating for life . Each drum stays at about 90oC for 100 years ! Long as you don;t open the drum there is no radiation or at a very low level .

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 26, 2015 3:32 am

“Donald Micheal Graham
December 25, 2015 at 11:21 pm”
True however, each drum (Assuming it is made from steel) will fail and rupture well within 100 years unless you can prevent rusting.

Brian H
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 26, 2015 6:41 pm

Immerse them in oil, Circulate the oil.

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Dawtgtomis
December 28, 2015 3:59 am

You would still need some form of containment for the oil, and a pump and power.

December 24, 2015 3:21 pm

RoHa – how about storing energy in the nucleus of a very heavy metal?

chris moffatt
Reply to  MJSnyder
December 25, 2015 5:03 am

How about storing the energy as heat in the oceans?

Double on Tundra
December 24, 2015 3:23 pm

Maybe the subsidy should vary not with the amount generated at peak but with the minimum generated. Contract for the base load that the proponents of wind farms always seem to refer to, and make the proponent pay in when output falls below that level.
Hey wait, if you stand far enough back and squint, the simplest form of this would be no subsidy at all!
Nah, that will never catch on.
Merry Christmas to all.

Joe Crawford
Reply to  Double on Tundra
December 25, 2015 9:26 am

Actually that isn’t such a bad idea, to.only subsidize ‘reliable’ power, available on demand, within a specific amount of time and for a known length of time. I don’t care if it takes half a day to bring on line so long as once up it can be counted on to provided a certain amount of power for a certain period of time. At least with the proper mix you could balance the grid. Then, if the renewable power providers needed subsidies they would have to come up with a system of storage.

Joe Crawford
Reply to  Joe Crawford
December 25, 2015 1:29 pm

I forgot to add: …. and not try to sell (with government support) another half baked idea.

December 24, 2015 3:28 pm

A wonderful Christmas story!
It’s already Christmas dinner time here in New Zealand so many, many thanks to Anthony and his great team for providing some sanity and lots of inspiration and ammunition once again this year. Your time, efforts and dedication are really appreciated by us all. Hope you get some time off this Christmas and very best wishes for the New Year.
Alastair Brickell

Mary Catherine
Reply to  Alastair Brickell
December 25, 2015 8:46 pm

I second that. In spades.

Bill Powers
December 24, 2015 3:29 pm

Maybe? That is on the list of the IPCC’s most frequently used words right after might, could, possibly, likely…maybe It is actually a very long list of qualifiers to explain their “Settled Science.”

pat
December 24, 2015 3:31 pm

Happy Christmas to the ex-coal-mining families in the UK and elsewhere; the CAGW fantasists may have won a battle or two but, in time, they will lose the war.
Thank you and may you find alternative employment in the New Year. I hear selling carbon offsets to the elderly is still a going thing.

December 24, 2015 3:39 pm

Great poem. Thanks, and I really mean that.
If we want solutions to our energy needs, then we need to get the state (government and all its regs, incentives, and so on) out of the way and let a truly free market come up with the solutions we need. Heck, coal is solar energy in storage form is it not?
We might someday find something really weird like “cold-fusion” or something else that has not even been thought of in sci-fi yet. Stop all the worry and let the market do its work. We were once really worried about how we were going to clean up after all the horses it would take to run our cities — then cars happened. Who knows what comes next? No one, that’s who.

4TimesAYear
Reply to  markstoval
December 24, 2015 6:19 pm

Amen.

Bruce Cobb
December 24, 2015 3:58 pm

And the moral of the story is; if you want expensive, unreliable, “feel-good” electricity, go green. Otherwise, you’re better off sticking with the tried-and-true. Batteries schmatteries.

gnome
December 24, 2015 4:00 pm

You all know we all want it to happen – we just want it to happen to someone else first!

Crispin in Waterloo but really in Beijing
December 24, 2015 4:03 pm

Twas the night before Christmas
And all round Beijing
The coal fires were burning
And making eyes sting.
The BBC plotted
To shriek through the day
How ‘carbon pollution’
Blocked sunlight each day.
The windmills were spinning
The wind blew from the West
The full moon was beaming,
Putting Greens to the test!
What could the Beeb say
About blue-skied Beijing
If smog and pollution
Was all they could sing?
Solutions are simple
In London, they say
If the facts don’t fit your pre-conceived, biased, anti-science, ‘global warming’, ‘carbon pollution’ agenda,
Have nothing to say.

PaulH
December 24, 2015 4:13 pm

A fun read, thanks! 🙂
A Merry Christmas to one and all! (Warmists, included.)

December 24, 2015 4:15 pm

Bah! Humbug!
The Grinch laughed so hard he wet his loin cloth.
John

Reply to  John Whitman
December 24, 2015 4:21 pm

Tidings of good will to all from Mountain View, CA!
John

Gamecock
December 24, 2015 4:22 pm

Well done, Mr. Swan!

Logoswrench
December 24, 2015 5:00 pm

Then I sat back after reading this and thought with a grin the green dumbasses will build a giant air tank to store them some wind.

Catcracking
Reply to  Logoswrench
December 24, 2015 6:56 pm

Good point, this is like having a bad idea then doubling down on stupid things to fix something that cannot be fixed.
Takes a stubborn or greedy person to not realize when a bad idea cannot be fixed, it is not sustainable.
Some may realize it cannot work and want to level playing field between the haves and have nots

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  Logoswrench
December 24, 2015 7:00 pm

In ancient times it was thought that wind originated in the bowels of the earth endlessly gushing forth out of wind caves. Tell this to the Greens and they will go look for those wind caves to set up always turning turbines. They believe in other things just as crazy.
Eugene WR Gallun

Dr. Deanster
Reply to  Logoswrench
December 25, 2015 6:58 am

LOL …. yeah, we could have a coal fired power plant run a giant fan that will blow on a windmill so the windmill can produce the power. .. and the greentards can claim it is “clean energy”.
There … problem solved!!

Barbara
December 24, 2015 5:02 pm

IWTs are for thee and not for me !

Bubba Cow
December 24, 2015 5:38 pm

Merry Christmas to WUWT – the gift that really does keep on giving

gnomish
December 24, 2015 5:40 pm

have yourself a catastrophic christmas
as the world declines.
common sense is useless in post modern times.
till the next apocalyptic vision,
may your fears all thrive.
tell yourself submission keeps your hope alive
take the word of authority
the majority are fools
we allow you to reproduce
because you’re useful tools.
may the seeds of guilt and shame forever
bloom inside your mind
sacrifice the very best that you can find
and have yourself a catastrophic christmas time
– with great affection, The Team
(and they won’t stop swillin’ till you stop fillin’)

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  gnomish
December 24, 2015 7:09 pm

Nice. Perfect play off of Have Yourself A Merry Merry Christmas — Eugene WR Gallun

TRM
Reply to  gnomish
December 24, 2015 7:55 pm

I thought it was a take on “Father Christmas” by the Kinks. Showing my age again.

Douglas
December 24, 2015 6:57 pm

Don’t know if this is too far off topic but anyway best wishes to Anthony and all the team as well as readers
https://youtu.be/0Lr4VYCQ2-w

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  Douglas
December 24, 2015 7:13 pm

NO! NO! Don’t you know that on college campuses they are signing petitions to ban the song White Christmas because a white Christmas is racist! No joke!
Eugene WR Gallun

Reply to  Eugene WR Gallun
December 24, 2015 7:26 pm

Oh Dear Eugene – and such a lovely song too – maybe we should change to words to ‘honkey tonk Christmas’ and jazz up the tune up a bit.!
Cheers
Douglas

Douglas
December 24, 2015 7:32 pm

On the other hand Eugene we could go for a ‘carbon free Christmas’ thus implying getting rid of the black soot colour. Or would that also be considered racist? Arrrrh Is there no end to political correctness? No answer required!

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  Douglas
December 24, 2015 7:56 pm

I like “Honkey Tonk Christmas” To the best of my knowledge The Rolling Stones have never done a Christmas Song. It would be perfect for them.
Eugene WR Gallun

richard verney
December 24, 2015 7:35 pm

It will be interesting to see Dr Spencer’s update for December, and Bob’s further assessment of the current El Nino.
As many know, the current strong El Nino has not yet shown up to any large extent in the satellite data. many consider that it will do so in early 2016 and will peak in the first quarter of 2016 before dropping back.
However, there is some evidence to suggest that during the last week there has been a dramatic drop in temperature anomaly, globally by about 0.5degC (black line) and NH by nearly 1degC (blue line). See;comment image
So the questions will be: is the current El Nino beginning to lose traction and if so when will there be a La Nina, and what impact will both of these have on long term temperature anomaly figures?
Will there be a step change in temperature coincident with the 2015/16 El Nino as there was with the 1997/98 Super El Nino, or will the 2015/16 El Nino merely produce a short term spike like the 2010 El Nino?.
There could be interesting times ahead and in the run up to AR6.

David A
Reply to  richard verney
December 26, 2015 4:41 am

…or, will the follow in La Nina produce a step change down; what with the AMO turning negative, the RRR maybe vacating, taking the blob with it, and a quiet Sun.
We do not know the cause of the step up, but is in such current conditions we get a step down, then we may surmise that the opposite may have caused the up step.

Eugene WR Gallun
December 24, 2015 7:39 pm

Great poem! All the hidden talent is revealing itself!
I am afraid that as far as energy storage goes for the near future, I really don’t think that a Black Swan is very likely to fly out of anyone ass..
By the way in Merry Old England roasted swan was an elite dish served on holidays. The Keeper of the King’s Swans was an ancient position in the royal household. Swan ownership was forbidden to the common folk. In fact the King owned all unmarked (those not marked to belong to the other nobility) mute swans in the realm and poaching them had the usual penalty as given for most crimes in Merry Old England.
Eugene WR Gallun

David Chappell
Reply to  Eugene WR Gallun
December 24, 2015 10:09 pm

The Queen still does own them all though I think the penalties are slightly less severe nowadays

JustAnOldGuy
Reply to  David Chappell
December 25, 2015 2:25 am

Yes, and there is a Keeper of the Queen’s Swans and he has to do an annual count. There was a MSM story about the Keeper and the count several years ago.

Nigel S
Reply to  David Chappell
December 25, 2015 2:59 am

Swan Upping from Merry England (where it’s unseasonably warm) including a charming film where The Queen’s Swan Marker explains it all. Hope it’s not too shocking to link to royal.gov.uk!
http://www.royal.gov.uk/royaleventsandceremonies/swanupping/swanupping.aspx

TRM
December 24, 2015 7:42 pm

Best of the season to everyone and especially the mods who work to keep this site going and relevant. We can burn coal cleaner and China is discovering what happens when you don’t.

Crispin in Waterloo but really in Beijing
Reply to  TRM
December 25, 2015 4:57 am

I am working hard to do exactly that: burn coal a heck of a lot cleaner. Hence my long workday on the 25th setting up the capacity to assess just how much daylight we can bring into the lives of those enduring Beijing and Hebei.
Tonight we see the full bright moon beaming the promise of a brighter future into the city centre. May the same happen to you all.

David L. Hagen
December 24, 2015 7:48 pm

Vitally important Peaking Power with Energy storage
As an engineer, I strongly endorse Davis Swan’s message of the vital importance of having sufficient Peaking Power with Energy Storage for the worst case scenario. Wind is often lowest in the coldest days. Cold kills far faster than heat. Finland lost 1/3rd of its population in the cold winters of 1695-97.
The lives of millions of people frozen to death will be on the hands of those who shut down coal power without/before providing equivalent energy storage and peaking power.
Greens will also have to answer for the growing misery of the cold elderly.
The price of natural gas has jumped to 700% that of coal. While currently abundant, remember that natural gas prices have increased 300% in a few years from $6/million BtU to >$20/million BtU. That will put great strain on millions of retirees on fixed incomes who will be faces with deciding between food or heat – as already faced in the UK:
Heating versus Eating: 750,000 pensioners must choose this winter.

While the better off are making Christmas gift decisions, 752,000 elderly people in Britain have to choose between eating or staying warm in the 2015 winter season, the Independent Age charity found.
The report also found that 43 percent of elderly people had gone to bed early to keep warm at least once, with an estimated 890,000 of them doing this often or even every day.
There are 11.4 million people aged 65 and over in the UK, according to the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS). Independent Age said that 36 percent of them do not heat their homes adequately in winter because of worries about paying fuel bills, while 13 percent have resorted to going to a library, a shopping center or using public transport just to stay warm in winter.

Can we Avoid Cooling to the next glaciation?
Earth has been COOLING since the Holocene Optimum. Based on geological records, it will likely (geologically) “soon” begin to rapidly descend into the next glaciation. Will we be able to generate enough global warming to prevent that catastrophic descent? The IPCC modeled warming is far greater than satellite temperature reality for the last 37 years. John Christy showed that IPCC model means predict 900% too hot for the tropical tropospheric temperatures over 37 year. How can we rely on them to know whether we can prevent global cooling with glaciers again coming down through Chicago?
J. Neumann and S. Lindgrén, 1979: Great Historical Events That Were Significantly Affected by the Weather: 4, The Great Famines in Finland and Estonia, 1695–97. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60, 775–787.
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1979)0602.0.CO;2

Richard G
Reply to  David L. Hagen
December 25, 2015 10:28 pm

Last week natural gas was selling for $1.68 M/BTU in the U.S.

David L. Hagen
Reply to  Richard G
December 26, 2015 7:21 am

All the more reason to be aware of how volatile gas can be for the sake of your children and grandchildren.

Richard G
Reply to  Richard G
December 28, 2015 10:38 pm

On Monday this week it was selling for $2.288 M/BTU. Good thing I don’t follow NG prices closely or I’d likely get whiplash.

zemlik
December 24, 2015 8:45 pm

I have always found this an optimistic song ..so cheer up.

Mike McMillan
December 24, 2015 10:40 pm

Can’t compete with the poetry, so let me just wish us all a Merry (and warm) Christmas.
God bless us, every one. Even the greenies.