Friday Funny – the horror of rising sea levels in context

As many know, Mr. Obama made some wild claims about climate at the recent U.S. Coast Guard Academy commencement.

For example:

The world’s glaciers are melting, pouring new water into the ocean.  Over the past century, the world sea level rose by about eight inches.  That was in the last century; by the end of this century, it’s projected to rise another one to four feet.

Rick McKee shares this epic cartoon on the WUWT Facebook page:

obama-isis-sea-level

Further reading:

Does the ‘leader’ of the free world really know so little about climate?

Some pushback against Obama’s ridiculous climate remarks at the Coast Guard commencement

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May 22, 2015 1:52 am

Better than using the U.S. military to supply arms to ISIS, which is what they have been doing, by (a) “accidentally” dropping them in the wrong place, and (b) supplying them to “moderate” anti-Assad forces.

Reply to  RoHa
May 22, 2015 2:26 am

Why suggest conspiracy when cock up is more likely?
Situation Normal AFU is a military phase.

Gard R. Rise
Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 3:50 am

There is strong likelihood of both elements being in play; a conspiracy to prepare opposition groups in Syria for war against the sovereign government backfired and we got the ISIS situation (a.k.a. the big cock up). I recall the drumbeat for war on Syria and the Assad regime by, especially, Obama and Cameron a couple of years ago, and how it was stopped in the last minute by Putins initiative to cooperate to dismantle Syrias chemical weapons arsenal.
I also remember the Libyan war and the arming of the Khadaffi opposition. That NATO nations (among them perhaps especially Turkey) wanted to facilitate the transport of “used” weapons clandestinely from Libya to Syria to strengthen the Assad opposition is not unlikely to me, considering that almost all Western leaders expressed their wish to strengthen the al-Assad opposition (among them the IS/ISIS/ISIL) at that time. The potential political will to look the other way was certainly there.
As much as it is likely that the Russians have been providing people in Eastern Ukraine with weapons and logistics, I find it very likely that NATO and US supplied the Syrian opposition with weapons and logistics, at least in 2012/2013. I don’t really see the controversy in this statement?

Alx
Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 4:55 am

AFU or conspiracy, stupid or evil whats the difference if the results are the same?
We may want to quibble about how to cast blame, but for ISIS there is no difference. In either case they get the same results.

Gard R. Rise
Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 5:57 am

I agree that the “who’s to blame” part of it isn’t the most important in itself. It is, however, essential to understand how a process has evolved, political or climatological or otherwise, in order for us to correctly approach and deal with any crisis, be it a real (ISIS) or a perceived one (CAGW). Barack Obama is, as it seems, not the right person to deal with either problem.

David A
Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 10:39 am

I thought 2008 was the moment the seas stopped rising. Is Obama admitting to failing?

Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 3:50 pm

… dead ambassadors tell no tales…

Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 9:44 pm

Cock-up seems highly improbable. The USAF has access to very high navigation technology, and very high level surveillance technology. If dropping supplies in the wrong place, several times, is a series of cock-ups, then it is incompetence as culpable as conspiracy.
And everyone and his cat knows that the “moderate” anti-Assad groups are in cahoots as well as Syria; that the al-Nusrah man you train and arm today can easily be a platoon leader in ISIS tomorrow. It is difficult to believe that even Americans cannot understand this.

Reply to  M Courtney
May 26, 2015 7:19 pm

Problem is … Sea Level Rise like Temperature is based on “Models” not actual measurements…
Part of the Models which introduce Bias are bounceback of the continents post Glacier, sublimation estimates, and water behind dams in included in “Sea Level Rise” Models…
The actual Volume of the Ocean is constantly changing… making “Sea Level” a bit tricky to model… Tide Gages in Geologically Stable areas make a good reference point, most of the Google “Worlds Oldest Tide Gages” show little Sea Level Rise.. so I’m not worried.. think I can outrun the deluge and could care less if some normally shifting barrier island continues to shift..

Reply to  RoHa
May 22, 2015 6:09 am

(c) supplying arms to the Iraqi army, who then cut and run and ditch everything they can for ISIS to recover.

BFL
Reply to  Phil R
May 22, 2015 7:31 am

Then there are these ~50,000 Iraqi wimp outs:
“”Ghost soldiers” were men on the army payroll who paid their officers a portion of their salaries and in return did not show up for duty, enriching their commanders and hollowing out the military force.”
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/01/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-soldiers-idUSKCN0JF2RZ20141201

Reply to  Phil R
May 22, 2015 10:08 pm

Yet another brilliant plan.
1. Disband the Iraqi army. Toss all the officers, NCOs, and trained, experienced, men out into the cold with no means of support.
2. Set up a new army from people who have no interest in supporting the puppet regime, and are just in it to get a regular pay packet. (Regular pay is hard to get in a country you have just destroyed.)
3. Be astonished when some of the guys you threw out into the cold join ISIS and apply their skills.
4. Be even more astonished when the time servers in your new army show moderated enthusiasm for the actual fighting business.
As I said befor, it’s either culpable conspiracy, or equally culpable incompetence.

Reply to  Phil R
May 23, 2015 12:07 am

RoHa,
Bush incompetence; Obama conspiracy. IMHO.

Winnipeg Boy
Reply to  RoHa
May 22, 2015 9:25 am

i don’t recall our SoS being involved in the Status of Forces ‘negotiations’ in 2011. Why would our highest diplomat not be involved there?
It would seem to me that the biggest single contributor to the ISIS war machine (equipment) is the US government. Does that qualify as a contribution to a religious organization from the Clinton Foundation?
Meh.
At this point, what difference does it make?

Evan Jones
Editor
Reply to  Winnipeg Boy
May 22, 2015 3:45 pm

There is only one power lacking here. Willpower.

Reply to  Winnipeg Boy
May 23, 2015 12:09 am

evanjones,
That’s usually what it comes down to, isn’t it?

Santa Baby
Reply to  RoHa
May 23, 2015 12:19 am

Obama’s war on weather and techtonic plates movements?

May 22, 2015 1:56 am

Though how the U.S. military is supposed to hold back the sea beats me.

Jeff
Reply to  RoHa
May 22, 2015 2:20 am

They’ll just copy the Chinese military and build a chain of artificial islands along the coastlines. It’s shovel ready and there will be no problem except perhaps offshore of Malibu.

Sleepalot
Reply to  Jeff
May 22, 2015 3:20 am

That’s also a self-fulfilling prophecy: building islands raises sea-level.

Pete Austin
Reply to  Jeff
May 22, 2015 3:57 am

@Sleepalot: building islands LOWERS sea-level, because they are built from sand dredged from the sea bed. The higher the islands grow, the lower the sea-level falls.
The Chinese military are building them along other people’s coastlines.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3043227/Satellite-images-reveal-China-constructed-3km-runway-island-formed-disputed-ocean-territory.html

Sleepalot
Reply to  Jeff
May 22, 2015 8:33 am

Pete Austin Yes, it would _if_ they were built of dredged sand. Sand is not very stable, it’s
better to use rock: you can’t dredge for rock.

John Law
Reply to  RoHa
May 22, 2015 4:04 am

We Brits have some expertise in this field: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cnut_the_Great
Glad to help!

Reply to  John Law
May 22, 2015 5:40 am

Actually, I think *Operation Xerxes* might be more to POTUS’ liking. Order the US Army to whip the oceans into submission.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xerxes_I

Gary M
Reply to  RoHa
May 22, 2015 10:05 am

That’s the joke………………….

Harold
Reply to  RoHa
May 23, 2015 8:01 am

Moses did it.

George Tetley
Reply to  RoHa
May 24, 2015 12:59 am

well it going to happen, hes the Boss and just happens to have bought that beach side holiday home of 5/O fame ( I hear Tom Seliik is staying on as handyman )

Ian Macdonald
May 22, 2015 1:58 am

The actual sea level rise is 3mm per year and is not significantly changing. Even if it were to become four feet in 100 years, that would still be less than the UK tidal range. Since most sea defences are built much higher than the tidal range to accommodate waves, I don’t see that being a major problem.

Moose
Reply to  Ian Macdonald
May 22, 2015 11:25 am

Nobody is. Except for the left greenies and loser obummer.

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  Ian Macdonald
May 22, 2015 8:02 pm

It is 1.8mm per year. The rest is ‘adjustments’ for what it ‘would be if land wasn’t rising’.
You may see straight past that argument and ask if both are rising and the net difference is 1.8mm, why pretend it is 3.0?
There is no good answer to that question.

May 22, 2015 1:58 am

Two competing hypothesis for current climate change:
– CO2 back radiation (positive correlation)
– Svensmark’s solar cycles magnetic modulation of the galactic cosmic rays – GCR (negative correlation)
However, the Earth’s magnetic field is by far stronger GCR modulator.
– Required extent of the solar modulation variability is not there while the geomagnetic is.
– Temperature data has been ‘corrected’ (in order to improve the CO2 rise correlation) so much that the 1940s ‘hump’ has been almost written out of the data records.
Even so the CO2 correlation is only tiny fraction higher than the one for the Earth’s magnetic field.
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/MTC.gif

Reply to  vukcevic
May 22, 2015 9:20 am

Vuk, you stated there are two competing theories of climate change, but you should already know there is a third: solar irradiance driven change. The fact that you didn’t mention that is very revealing.
You are missing the main action by conflating the temperature increase to geomagnetism, whereas the real driver of long-term temperature changes is solar irradiance, ie solar flux.
For your theory to work, it needs a mechanism. What is it? How does a nine year lag in geomagnetism cause a temperature change in the present? Where does the heat (or lack of) reside for nine years?
Go outside and feel the heat of the Sun. That warmth you feel also warms the oceans and air, and none of that came from the solar wind – it came from solar irradiance. Even though F10.7 is under 110 sfu right now, in the NH we can still feel it one month before the summer solstice. In contrast, during the last winter, I could not feel any warmth from the Sun at all on my skin unless F10.7 was around 135 sfu or higher in clear skies.
What happens at night when we don’t feel the irradiance? It cools off, even when the solar wind is strong.
Looking at your graphic, it’s clear to me that both the Earth’s magnetic dipole and temperatures changed in response to solar activity, but I’m saying the temps changed from solar flux, not geomagnetism. We could debate the relative contributions of the solar flux and solar wind to that geomagnetic change.
My data-driven observations from the past two winters are that solar wind blasts during the NH winter months caused SSWs, where expanding warm stratospheric air literally pushed colder arctic air southward, ie polar vortex excursions, that delivered record COLD temperatures in the US and elsewhere – the complete opposite effect you are pushing today.
Solar activity changes affect the weather (and hence climate statistically) in the here and now (immediate to within a few weeks max of varying solar output), not nine years from now. The only significant thermal lag comes from the oceans.

1sky1
Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 10:14 am

Bob:
Your explanation would be strengthened by using the term “insolation,” which is the cloud-modulated fraction of total solar irradiance that gets thermalized on our planet.

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 12:06 pm

You’re right, thanks sky!

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 2:02 pm

Hi Bob
Thanks for detailed and constructive comment.
GT data apparently shows nearly equal, and highest correlation of any possible forcing I have come across, to both CO2 and the geomagnetic dipole.
There is no need to explain CO2 hypothesis.
Geomagnetic forcing, if it is directly responsible for any input into climate change, one of the ways is via the GCR modulation. Since most readers are familiar with Svensmark’s hypothesis, it is simplest to expand on it, that does not necessarily make either of two any more or less viable.
For what I know (it is ‘Friday Funny’ thread after all) it could be sun one way or another, it could be the GCR modulation of either kind, it could be even CO2 to some extent, it could be tectonics triggered by telluric currents of geomagnetic storms or tectonics triggered by isostatic rebound….or something else. I look at the data and if I find something of possible interest, I highlight it regardless.
p.s.
“…..the complete opposite effect you are pushing today.”
Not necessarily. Have you looked at N. Hemisphere’s geomagnetic configuration?
Perhaps (when time and commitments allow) take a good look at this:
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/NH.htm
In no way contradicts what you said or the graph I posted above. To the contrary it links it all together: tectonics, SSW, polar vortex and the Earth’s magnetic field.
Oceans are by far the largest reservoirs of the latent heat and most likely are responsible for various delays. It is estimated that one round trip in the N. Atlantic subpolar gyre may take anything between 15 and 20 years, the N. Pacific gyre may take even longer.

Tom in Florida
Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 4:39 pm

Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 at 9:20 am
“Even though F10.7 is under 110 sfu right now, in the NH we can still feel it one month before the summer solstice. In contrast, during the last winter, I could not feel any warmth from the Sun at all on my skin unless F10.7 was around 135 sfu or higher in clear skies.”
Are you being sarcastic? Or are you not smart enough to know that insolation change due to orbital parameters is what you are describing.

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 5:35 pm

Yes Tom, but maybe you’re projecting sarcasm yourself. That’s why I used two examples for illustration. I used two points of reference, winter and now, to illustrate the difference in our orbit at nearly opposite seasons. So maybe you could have been smart enough to realize that 😉
During the winter, insolation is less here on the 45th parallel. Solar flux had to reach over 135 or so in the winter for me to feel it directly under clear skies. Today, when insolation is obviously higher due to regular seasonal orbital factors, as in it’s a month from the summer solstice, it takes a lesser solar flux energy level to just reach the threshold of actual warmth sensation here where I am. My lady and I both remarked after leaving the restaurant tonight how we couldn’t feel the heat off the Sun. Solar F10.7cm flux today at 5pm EST was 99 sfu.
Naturally this means the threshold of warming sensation will vary, as does insolation, with both actual observed solar flux and latitude, under clear skies.
Additionally, solar cell output power is dependent on both factors.

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 5:48 pm

I should mention that “observed solar flux” is the daily measured value, and the “adjusted flux” takes into account the annual 7% orbital variation. But solar cells and our bodies and the Earth respond to the actual flux received, that varies with solar output and orbital variation, to be more precise.

Tom in Florida
Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 6:59 pm

Bob,
You stated in response to Vuk,
“You are missing the main action by conflating the temperature increase to geomagnetism, whereas the real driver of long-term temperature changes is solar irradiance, ie solar flux.”
( Bob Weber May 22, 2015 at 9:20 am)
You then went on to give an example of insolation change due to orbital parameters which is not the same as real changes in solar irradiance. As has been discussed here a zillion times, small changes in TSI are swamped by insolation changes do to a variety of other reasons.

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 7:18 pm

You missed the point Tom. The true solar variation in solar flux measurements is the “adjusted flux”, based on the true “observed flux” as measured in Penticton every day. Since F10.7cm solar flux varied from about 65 to over 300 sfu over the course of solar cycles 18-24, there is significant real energetic solar variation as measured on earth at whatever time of the year, on top of the orbital component in received flux. For more info on F10.7 flux see http://www.spaceweather.gc.ca/solarflux/sx-4-eng.php.

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 8:09 pm

You guys both have the insolation backwards. The insulation is higher during NH winter when the Earth is closer to the sun. It is farther away in NH summer.
Are you both perhaps thinking of axial tilt? But putting you cheek square to the sun overcomes the tilt anyway.

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 9:00 pm

Thanks Crispin. That’s what I get for watching American Sniper for the first time and commenting at the same time. Yes I meant axial tilt. I normally don’t use ‘insolation’ per se in what I’m doing, as the ‘observed flux’ is what I’m always interested in on the terrestrial side of the Sun-Earth connection.
From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insolation,
“Insolation figures are used as an input to worksheets to size solar power systems for the location where they will be installed.[11] This can be misleading since insolation figures assume the panels are parallel with the ground, when in fact, except in the case of asphalt solar collectors,[12] they are almost always mounted at an angle[13] to face towards the sun. This gives inaccurately low estimates for winter.[14] The figures can be obtained from an insolation map or by city or region from insolation tables that were generated with historical data over the last 30–50 years. Photovoltaic panels are rated under standard conditions to determine the Wp rating (watts peak),[15] which can then be used with the insolation of a region to determine the expected output, along with other factors such as tilt, tracking and shading (which can be included to create the installed Wp rating).[16] Insolation values range from 800 to 950 kWh/(kWp•y) in Norway to up to 2,900 in Australia.”
The F10.7cm ‘adjusted’ solar flux takes into account the 7% difference between Earth’s aphelion and perihelion, which for Earth does occur in January http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perihelion_and_aphelion.
If you want spend some time getting bedazzled by definitions, see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irradiance.

May 22, 2015 2:00 am

Copied from an earlier comment here… We can only hope it is true:
You can always count on Americans to do the right thing – after they’ve tried everything else.
Winston Churchill

Reply to  DocWat
May 22, 2015 8:52 am

When ever I hear that quote, I think of the “speech” that Kevin Kline makes to John Cleese in ” A Fish Called Wanda.”

May 22, 2015 2:26 am

“…..We are new world politicians,
Self-appointed science masters,
Conjuring up our false predictions,
Inventing fresh disasters…..
…..Real world observations
Are not your concern,
We invent the truth for you,
There’s nothing else to learn…..”
http://wp.me/p3KQlH-EH

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  rhymeafterrhyme
May 23, 2015 6:43 am

Nice — your poetry rocks.
Eugene WR Gallun

TonyN
May 22, 2015 2:30 am

Hold back the tide?
Reminds me of another well known Cnut

Reply to  TonyN
May 22, 2015 2:47 am

And his point was to show he couldn’t do it.

LarryFine
Reply to  TonyN
May 22, 2015 3:16 am

The mad Roman Emperor Caligula also declared war on Poseidon. He ordered his army to throw spears into the sea, followed by slave chains. And when he imagined that he’d won, he marched back to Rome with chests filled with spoils (sea shell).
It’s scary how closely the two events are. Crazy, narcissistic leaders both order their militaries to defeat the seas, and neither understands how mad they appear to sane people.
Mark Twain was right when he said that history sometimes rhymes.

Reply to  LarryFine
May 22, 2015 1:30 pm

I was going to bring up Caligula. You beat me to it.
But I did hear somewhere that, perhaps, there was some method in this particular display of his madness.
I forget the details but it had to do with him gaining blind obedience from his legions.
“Crazy like a fox” is the phrase that comes to mind.

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  LarryFine
May 23, 2015 7:10 am

LarryFine
Great comparison! Obummer and Caligula think alike — narcissistic obsession on self that creates a personal world untouched by outside reality.
Several months ago Obummer declared victory in Yemen In fact come to think of it he removed the troops from Iraq bringing peace to the region and praised his Syrian diplomacy even after the attack that killed our ambassador. Where in the Middle East has he not said he has scored a victory?
Eugene WR Gallun.

May 22, 2015 2:32 am

They must have made a typo. Sea level rising about 12 mm per decade. That’s closer to four INCHES per century. Recent Glacier melt has been since the early 1700’s when Maunder Minimum little ice age ended. Man has nothing to do with it.
Similar exaggeration saying 97% of scientists say man makes warming when it is about 55% if you ask more than the 77 in the sample used to get 97%. It is less and less as the time without warming approaches 20 years while CO2 rises.

Sleepalot
Reply to  paullitely
May 22, 2015 3:33 am

We are not newly arrived on this planet. Let’s suppose 6 inches of rise for each of the last 500 years – that’s 2.5 ft. Where has land been lost to the sea from that rise? Not in the UK (Sommerset, Lincs, Anglia), and not the Netherlands. No good looking at Scandinavia, they’re rising faster than the sea. Venice? That’s been sinking since building started, and yet it’s still there. New York islands have grown. Where is the “devastation” of sea-level rise?

David Chappell
Reply to  Sleepalot
May 22, 2015 4:10 am

Strictly speaking Suffolk has lost land to the sea- check out the fate of Dunwich – though it was to coastal erosion rather than sea level rise.

Neil.
Reply to  Sleepalot
May 22, 2015 5:34 am

“We are not newly arrived on this planet.”
Which planet were we on before we arrived here?

philincalifornia
Reply to  Sleepalot
May 22, 2015 8:15 am

Also, for technical accuracy, the Scilly Isles, a very interesting case, has lost land area too. Here’s a more colloquial report:
http://www.pollyanna-jones.co.uk/?p=82

Sleepalot
Reply to  Sleepalot
May 22, 2015 8:27 am

David Chappel The Sea has not covered the surface of the land, it has eroded the edge – that is wave action, and it’s hardly surprising since the land is a thick layer of mud – it offers no resistance to waves.

Reply to  Sleepalot
May 22, 2015 10:16 pm

“Check out he fate of Dunwich”
You can read about it here.
http://www.dagonbytes.com/thelibrary/lovecraft/thedunwichhorror.htm

Sir Harry Flashman
Reply to  paullitely
May 22, 2015 9:08 am

You don’t actually know how that 97% was arrived at, do you? It was through multiple peer reviewed studies of thousands of academic papers, not some email link sent out at random. Here are some of the confirming studies you can look at if you’re a genuine skeptic with an open mind:
J. Cook, et al, “Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature,” Environmental Research Letters Vol. 8 No. 2, (June 2013); DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024
Quotation from page 3: “Among abstracts that expressed a position on AGW [Anthropogenic, or human-cause, Global Warming], 97.1% endorsed the scientific consensus. Among scientists who expressed a position on AGW in their abstract, 98.4% endorsed the consensus.”
W. R. L. Anderegg, “Expert Credibility in Climate Change,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Vol. 107 No. 27, 12107-12109 (21 June 2010); DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1003187107.
P. T. Doran & M. K. Zimmerman, “Examining the Scientific Consensus on Climate Change,” Eos Transactions American Geophysical Union Vol. 90 Issue 3 (2009), 22; DOI: 10.1029/2009EO030002.
N. Oreskes, “Beyond the Ivory Tower: The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change,” Science Vol. 306 no. 5702, p. 1686 (3 December 2004); DOI: 10.1126/science.1103618.

Reg Nelson
Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 10:42 am

And those 97% of scientists have been wrong more than 97% of the time. So what they believe is irrelevant.

DirkH
Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 12:24 pm

Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 at 9:08 am
“You don’t actually know how that 97% was arrived at, do you? It was through multiple peer reviewed studies of thousands of academic papers, not some email link sent out at random.”
Hey, it’s pointless to lie about it. Cook and his buddies scanned abstracts of thousands of papers and gave them some rating. We know that. Cook described the process. Then the SkS Treehouse “leak” happened because Cook was too stupid to secure their “secret” forum. So we know they colluded about what result to achieve.
Why are you trying to spread your deluded fantasies here? Try it on ThinkProgress, those people will believe you.

Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 1:20 pm

“Among abstracts that expressed a position on AGW [Anthropogenic, or human-cause, Global Warming], 97.1% endorsed the scientific consensus. Among scientists who expressed a position on AGW in their abstract, 98.4% endorsed the consensus.” But most did not express an opinion.

Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 1:37 pm

Then there is the careful survey of Meteorologists that only produces 52%… Here are References:
[1] Meteorologists’ views about global warming: A survey of American Meteorological Society professional members doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00091.1 http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00091.1
[2] Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024
http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024024/article).

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 8:41 pm

Paullitely
And a heck of a lot less geologists than 52%. You think geologists and meteorologists know anything about the climate?
97% OMG. That is an ex-duck, shuffled off the mortal coil, gone to meet its maker. The ‘consensus’ is not all it’s quacked up to be.

Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 23, 2015 12:24 am

When there are as many respondents with no opinion as there are who support Globsl warming theory, COUNT THEM TOO!

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 23, 2015 8:17 am

Sir Harry Flashman —
No, you are the one who does not know how that 97% figure was arrived at.
The first time this 97% figure appeared it was from a survey sent to 12,000 people of whom over 6000 responded. The surveyors didn’t get the answers they wanted so they began tossing people out of the survey. Finally the one qualification to participate in the survey that the surveyors used was that a participant had to have published two papers in recognized climate journals in the last year. Of the 6000 people who originally responded to the survey that requirement eliminated all but 87 people. Of that remaining 87 people 97% of them said we were in great danger from global warming. So 97% of 87 people believed in CAGW (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming) from a survey that originally had over 6000 respondents. That result is probably the most breathtaking act of cherry picking in all of recorded science. The lead author of the study recently admitted that such was exactly what he did.in a public talk.
As far as the Cook study goes — the study evaluated papers based on their expressed endorsement of the existence of CAGW (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming) and AGW (Anthropogenic Global Warming).
Those are two entirely different things.
Belief in AGW merely requires that you believe that mankind in some way adds heat to the environment — say the Urban Heat Island Effect. AGW’s effects on the earth are hardly noticeable.
Belief in CAGW requires that you believe the earth is facing a soon to come world wide disaster due to mankind’s addition of CO2 to the atmosphere.
About 2 1/2% of those papers nominally endorsed the existence of CAGW. (A restudy of those papers sparked by complaints from some of the authors lowered that figure.)
About 94 1/2% of those papers endorsed AGW.
Another 3% endorsed neither.
So the reality of the study was that over 97% of papers believed that there was nothing to be alarmed about — that mankind’s production of CO2 was basically harmless. Only by claiming that endorsing AGW was the same as endorsing CAGW and combining the numbers of both was your 97% figure of doom arrived at.
You don’t run a legitimate survey by combining the answers from two unrelated questions — but John Cook-The-Books had no problem in doing that.
I could go on about the other surveys but why bother. Someone gave you a computer list of talking points complete with citations — and you think everything you have on that list is true — never bothering to check any of it. Then you mostly just cut and paste from that list Truly your computer thinks for you.
Eugene WR Gallun

emsnews
Reply to  paullitely
May 23, 2015 4:54 am

Man had nothing to do with previous seas rising due to melting?
But the chariots! These were invented before the pyramids! And all those chariots ran around Eurasia and Africa causing global warming thousands of years ago!

May 22, 2015 2:35 am

One to four feet?! How can such a range be taken seriously? 4 ft is 300% higher than 1 Ft. That is useless information.

H.R.
Reply to  paullitely
May 22, 2015 3:09 am

paulitely asks:
“One to four feet?! How can such a range be taken seriously?”comment image
(from WUWT files)
Answer: Like global average temperatures, throw enough scenarios against the wall and see what sticks, eh?

Reply to  H.R.
May 22, 2015 4:42 am

But all of the models agree that in 100 years it will be much warmer, which proves that the models are correct and it is worse than they thought. Since it has failed to get hotter for the past 18 years, and the sea is rising more slowly than projected, it will be far far worse when the temps and the ocean catch up to projections.
Please pay no attention to the dissonance found between Obama’s inaugural speech and his speech at the Coast Guard Academy the other day. And stop believing your lying eyes regarding the weather: It has never been so hot and so cold, so wet and so dry, so stormy and so unstormy…and it is not a nice day out and the sky is not blue and CO2 is Baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaad Mojo!

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  paullitely
May 22, 2015 8:47 pm

Paullitely, it is not ‘information’ at all? It is a quasi-scientific wild-assed guess. QSWAG. It might also be called a pseudo-scientific wild assed guess PSWAG which is pronounced ‘swag’ because the p is silent.
Like Cris3pin which has a silent ‘3’. ‘Waterloo has a silent ‘&’ so we normally leave it out. That’s a Mennonite thing: simplicity is best.

Martin A
May 22, 2015 2:56 am

Will President Obama’s enthusiasm for the Great Climate Delusion be what finally puts an end to it?

James Loux
Reply to  Martin A
May 22, 2015 5:10 am

Perhaps. We can hope. Certainly if the cartoonist had drawn Obama in slightly deeper water and with a fin between his legs, his speech would have been seen as “Jumping the shark.”

Neil.
May 22, 2015 3:02 am

My one and only question has to be, why has this man not been arrested, charged with treason and executed yet?

Reply to  Neil.
May 22, 2015 3:09 am

Most countries would consider your statement about your Head of State to be closer to treason.
You are lucky to have such freedom of speech.
So use it to make more constructive criticisms instead of cheerleading for death.

Neil.
Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 3:44 am

Fortunately I do not live in the US. Besides isis who according to him is the jv team, has put out pictures of him being beheaded, while stating, they are going to murder him by beheading, and then raise the flag of jihad over the white house.
Yet you think that somehow me saying he needs to be charged and tried then have sentence carried out is somehow a bit harsh?

Chris
Reply to  M Courtney
May 22, 2015 9:13 am

I see, so you are now putting yourself on the same level as ISIS. Comments don’t get any lower than that.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Neil.
May 22, 2015 3:19 am

NYT report on the new twit page by that person seems to also have a large number asking the same Q

Just an engineer
Reply to  Neil.
May 22, 2015 6:19 am

Poison pill named Biden?

Jason Calley
Reply to  Neil.
May 22, 2015 6:45 am

Neil says: “My one and only question has to be, why has this man not been arrested, charged with treason and executed yet?”
By whom?
One flaw in the US system of governance is that only the other politicians can remove the President. Once the corruption of Congressmen or of Senators reaches a certain level, there is no legal way to oust a President. We learned that during the impeachment trial of Clinton by the Republican majority Senate.
Why is the President not removed? We might as well ask why a Mafia don is not removed by his partners.

Neil.
Reply to  Jason Calley
May 22, 2015 6:54 am

Thanks mate, I was well aware of the situation you mentioned. I was simply venting my frustration at the situation.

BFL
Reply to  Neil.
May 22, 2015 7:45 am

Neil, it’s just that in the U.S. the government is VERY sensitive to remarks made about government officials in that final tone and it may also be illegal inviting a 5AM visit at the door.
Speech here is not quite as free as some think.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Threatening_the_government_officials_of_the_United_States

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  Neil.
May 23, 2015 8:27 am

Neil —
Being a malicious self-aggrandizing socialist idiot is not the same thing as treason. (Hmmmmm — probably worse since you can’t get rid of him.)
Eugene WR Gallun

ren
May 22, 2015 3:18 am

It might feel more like late October rather than late May in the Northeast on Friday night as temperatures dip well below normal.
http://vortex.accuweather.com/adc2004/pub/includes/columns/newsstory/2015/650x366_05210614_average-date-of-last-freeze.jpg

Reply to  ren
May 22, 2015 9:54 am

ren, the Weather Channel this morning called for below average temperatures for most of the US June-August, except for the west coast, naturally. Our tomato plants froze two nights in a row this week, and that’s not funny, even if it is Friday!

ren
Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 10:07 am

Sorry.

Reply to  Bob Weber
May 22, 2015 5:38 pm

it’s not your fault!

emsnews
Reply to  Bob Weber
May 23, 2015 4:57 am

You didn’t drive your SUV enough!
Yes, it froze here on my mountain again, too. This is most unusual. We do have freezes this late but this spring it has been, except for one week, extremely colder than normal.

TimC
May 22, 2015 3:18 am

Although I accept that this is a “Friday Funny” thread, am I the only reader here to find the McKee cartoon above frankly disgusting, and to question our host’s decision to copy it here?
This is an obvious “take” on the appalling ISIL beheadings where religious bigotry and hatred led individuals such as “Jehadi John” publicly to behead persons including citizens both of the USA and UK – then to post obscene online images and videos of the killings.
Whatever one’s political opinion of the Obama presidency, and his latest pronunciations on climate, can it really be conceived that the (duly elected) president of the United States would ever authorise or encourage US armed forces (whether inside or outside the US) to behead unarmed civilians – even combatants – as depicted? Not least, this cartoon is a complete travesty of the integrity and professionalism of the US armed forces who, some 70 years ago now, bravely led us (under Ike’s leadership) in freeing the European mainland from German occupation…

Reply to  TimC
May 22, 2015 3:39 am

Please look at the cartoon again.
I am a career USN vet and understand that the cartoon adresses Obama’s lack of interest in recognizing the real enemy compared to his obsession with GW/CC/whatever.
You can encourage bad actions by averting your attention to other things.

Neil.
Reply to  Bill Truesdell
May 22, 2015 5:37 am

To a fellow vet, thankyou for explaining to genius here what the cartoon was actually about.

MarkY
Reply to  TimC
May 22, 2015 3:40 am

You’ve missed the depiction. The depiction is of a President more concerned about hypothetical climate events than he is actual beheadings by radical extremists.
The former is something about which the Coast Guard can do nothing, the latter would have been a more appropriate topic to discuss among graduates of an American military arm.
How you turned that about is beyond me.

TimC
Reply to  MarkY
May 22, 2015 4:02 am

OK – even it’s just depicting Obama standing on one side watching US (or other) civilians about to killed by some Jihadi, isn’t this also a complete parody of the US armed forces? If the scene depicted were in the US he would have the entire US military immediately on call; if outside the US he would never be travelling without sufficient protection…

ferdberple
Reply to  MarkY
May 22, 2015 6:41 am

The people depicted are Christians (wearing crosses) and are middle eastern (Arabic) in appearance. 10% of the Syrian population is Christian. Likely to receive “special treatment” from ISIS.

mothcatcher
Reply to  TimC
May 22, 2015 4:21 am

Tim C-
Mark’s right. You’ve missed the point.
Agree it’s not in the least bit funny, but the satire is spot on. Checkout the thread by Lord Monckton following Obama’s speech itself.
I find it, frankly, appalling that the man in the big white house distances himself from any real action in the mideast while these horrors continue and, indeed, grow. Somebody, someday will HAVE to deal with it, but not our Barack. The Climate speech to the Coastguard is looking less like a delusion and more like a diversion.

TimC
Reply to  mothcatcher
May 22, 2015 4:55 am

OK – accept I originally misread it: but what location is the cartoon scene supposedly depicting? If it’s the US coastline the parody is non-sensical – I can’t believe any US citizen would stand by allowing any such occurrence. If it’s the Eastern Med in Syria, Obama would need congressional approval to intervene – would he actually get this?

ferdberple
Reply to  mothcatcher
May 22, 2015 6:52 am

I can’t believe any US citizen would stand by allowing any such occurrence.
======================
For every action there is an opposite and equal reaction. The withdrawal of US troops left a power vacuum which ISIS rushed in to fill. ISIS is an unintended consequence of US policy.

Reply to  mothcatcher
May 22, 2015 10:29 am

It’s not the animals talking that makes Dr. Doolittle seem incredible to TimC

mebbe
Reply to  mothcatcher
May 22, 2015 7:44 pm

fossilsage May 22, 2015 at 10:29 am
It’s not the animals talking that makes Dr. Doolittle seem incredible to TimC
Sad but true

kim
Reply to  mothcatcher
May 23, 2015 5:46 am

Selective understanding of political cartoons is part of their mystique.
============

kim
Reply to  mothcatcher
May 23, 2015 6:36 am

Citizen? This is less a matter of citizenship than of allegiance.
=======

Reply to  TimC
May 22, 2015 5:24 am

Tim,
The cartoon is depicting actual events that happened in Libya just last February and mashing those events together with Obama’s silly speech. Coptic Christians from Egypt were captured and beheaded on the beach, simply because they were Christians. We even have their names. Their murders, and the reason they were murdered just don’t seem to make it on the presidential radar, but phony climatology does. Hmmm. We have forgotten 9-11 and…Hey! Squirrel! Or, why not remember these.
1. Milad Makeen Zaky
2. Abanub Ayad Atiya
3. Maged Solaiman Shehata
4. Yusuf Shukry Yunan
5. Kirollos Shokry Fawzy
6. Bishoy Astafanus Kamel
7. Somaily Astafanus Kamel
8. Malak Ibrahim Sinweet
9.Tawadros Yusuf Tawadros
10. Girgis Milad Sinweet
11. Mina Fayez Aziz
12. Hany Abdelmesih Salib
13. Bishoy Adel Khalaf
14. Samuel Alham Wilson
15. Worker from Awr village
16. Ezat Bishri Naseef
17. Loqa Nagaty
18. Gaber Munir Adly
19. Esam Badir Samir
20. Malak Farag Abram
21. Sameh Salah Faruq

ferdberple
Reply to  McComberBoy
May 22, 2015 7:00 am

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_kidnapping_and_beheading_of_Copts_in_Libya
=================
As in other ISIL videos, the captives wore orange jumpsuits, intended as a reference to the attire of prisoners in the Guantanamo Bay detention camp.[5] The group of killers identified itself in the video as the “Tripoli Province” of ISIL.[5] The leader of the squad performing the killings was identified as a Libyan expatriate who goes by the nom de guerre Al Qaqa’a Ben Omro.[8]
The Coptic Church of Egypt, Egyptian government, as well as the Libyan parliament,[9] confirmed the deaths.

BFL
Reply to  McComberBoy
May 22, 2015 8:06 am

But religious persecution also takes place in other middle east (primarily Sunni as the Shia and Kurds appear to more tolerant) countries like Saudi Arabia . But since we need their oil and other support for the region, not much is said. Beheading is the preferred method of execution under Islam but the West doesn’t pay much attention so the practice seems barbaric to us.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-15/record-beheadings-and-mass-arrest-christians-%E2%80%93-isis-or-saudi-arabia

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  McComberBoy
May 22, 2015 9:59 am

I recognize one of those names; it is very likely a relative of someone I know and greatly respect.
No man is an island, entire of itself.
Each is a piece of the continent, a part of the main.
If a clod be washed away by the sea,
Europe is the less, as well as if a promontory were.
As well as if a manor of thine own or of thine friend’s were.
Each man’s death diminishes me, for I am involved in mankind.
Therefore, send not to know for whom the bell tolls;
it tolls for thee.
—- John Donne

Jimmy Finley
Reply to  McComberBoy
May 22, 2015 8:58 pm

Thank you, McComber. This brilliantly horrible cartoon shows the depraved nature of this vile and stupid man who happens to be the President of the United States. How did it come down to this?

Glenn999
Reply to  TimC
May 23, 2015 6:37 am

“TimC
what country/world are you from?
do you ever follow the news on tv, radio, internet ??
talk about low info kinda guy…

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  TimC
May 23, 2015 8:35 am

TimC
I wonder how a mind works that can get such a simple picture so wrong.
Eugene WR Gallun

Mike McMillan
May 22, 2015 3:25 am

Not funny in the least. But true.

paqyfelyc
Reply to  Mike McMillan
May 22, 2015 8:35 am

+1
alas

Charlie
May 22, 2015 4:35 am

Any day mow the sea will start rising so fast and you will be all sorry. Any day now guys. I realize the temperatures haven’t rose in 18 years but that is besides the point. This is the “any day now” most important issue of our times. To deny that “any day now” catastrophe will start hitting us would be blasphemy. Humans are usually right on doomsday predictions.

notfubar
Reply to  Charlie
May 22, 2015 7:38 am

A crippled snail, not named Turbo could outrun the rate of rise in sea level. Hopefully, the president’s speech will scare people into selling their oceanfront property cheaply to me.

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  notfubar
May 23, 2015 8:37 am

notfubar —
Crippled snail — love it!
Eugene WR Gallun

May 22, 2015 4:56 am

Actually, I’m in complete agreement here with Obama considering the future danger that a rise of 8 inches could represent.
After all, something experienced a rise of 8 inches when he was conceived and look what the result of that has been.

Reply to  Tom J
May 22, 2015 10:22 pm

tom J, yuck but +1

Eugene WR Gallun
Reply to  asybot
May 23, 2015 8:38 am

asybot
concur
Eugene WR Gallun

Jon Lonergan
May 22, 2015 5:05 am

Someone/s said on the difference between Science and Religion – In Science if the observations disagree with the theory then the theory is regarded as disproven and dropped. In Religion if this occurs, the Religion is kept and the observers punished.
Hmmmm …

Zeke
Reply to  Jon Lonergan
May 22, 2015 3:59 pm

It is well-acknowledged by philosophers of science that the love of theory is what motivates individual scientists. It also motivates historians, and adherents of political and economic movements.
This is easily verified by observing that those who are in the love of theory refuses to acknowledge the failures of the theory, and persecute those who do not favor the theory, often cherishing deep hatreds towards opponents.
Still, many enjoy the angelic white lab coat and declare them saints, and children today are kissing icons of science. I would take one electrician, one drainage expert and one metal blast furnace operator over 10 Einsteins.
In Christian belief, the doctrine in the text is required to live out the new life. It has primary data (the text), experimentation (practice & prayer), and results (an abundant and regenerated life). You can never say you have blindly believed. You can only say you had enough faith to believe it and to put it into practice; and you get results.

Alx
May 22, 2015 5:29 am

1 to 4 feet, what a precise prediction. It could be the same. Or a little more. Or a lot more.
Thank goodness we do not settle for that level of accuracy in other areas, for example highway signs usually do not say, “Next exit 1 to 4 miles away”. Or landing on the moon would certainly be problematic, if the eta was within 1 to 4 days.
Is that not a fair comparison since measuring miles, orbits, speed, etc is not as difficult as projecting sea level rise? I didn’t realize hitting a moving target 240,000 miles away from a base moving at 1,000 miles per hour while passing thru various and competing gravitational forces in a vacuum was so easy. Of course we did not try landing on the moon until we had certainty in the science and math involved, unlike climate science that feels 95% confidence in the certainty of their uncertainty is enough to go off half-cocked.

indefatigablefrog
May 22, 2015 6:39 am

I tried to put the sea level rise in context, in a recent Grauniad thread.
Here’s my comment:
“The average rate of global sea level rise is 3.2 millimeters per year, give or take 0.4 mm.”
Source NOAA.
Erm…has it occurred to anyone that you can just roll your trousers up?
At the current rate it would be up to your knees by 2100.
Oh, the humanity!!
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/state-climate-2011-global-sea-level”
And here are the replies:
Reply 1: “Sounds insignificant in isolation, but factor in an increasing rate of rise with a supercharged troposphere. The later brings cyclones with lower atmospheric pressures, which allows the local surface of the sea to rise up higher, and stronger winds which pile the water higher against the coast. The higher temperatures also allow the air to hold (temporarily) more water vapor, giving storms more water to drop onto the land. The result is much higher storm surges coming on shore to meet up with flood waters trying to reach the sea…”
Reply 2:”This extra ocean heat and volume played a role in Katrina and the Boulder Flood (of all things). As volume and temperature increase you don’t need to have Spielberg’s imagination to see what’s in the offing.”
This has been my common experience – when alarmists are presented with actual measurements taken from the real world, they just bury it under a generous serving of unsupported and confused bullcrap.
You can’t argue with such idiots. It seems that they actually delight in their own confusion.
Predictably though, the replies received far more “likes” than my original comment.
Such is life.

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
Reply to  indefatigablefrog
May 22, 2015 8:22 am

From indefatigablefrog:

This has been my common experience – when alarmists are presented with actual measurements taken from the real world, they just bury it under a generous serving of unsupported and confused bullcrap.

Those are the easier ones to handle, depending on the site. You stay calm and provide basic facts with links, let them descend into obvious unsupported bafflegab. The ones you could reach will respond to your tone.
It depends on what you’re doing there, is it a popularity contest or missionary work? Some sites, you can’t win either way. And don’t kid yourself about looking for lost souls there, it ain’t the real world. If someone is the least bit questioning they’re clicks away from other info, or checking out one of those “paid denial” sites to see how bad they are (and finding out they’re not).

indefatigablefrog
Reply to  kadaka (KD Knoebel)
May 23, 2015 12:36 am

Not really “popularity contest or missionary work”. I was originally highly concerned about the threat of global warming. Also interested in climate science and renewable energy as a topic.
I was therefore once quite alarmed. I had a head full of alarmist theories about runaway arctic methane emissions and supercharged hurricanes etc.
It all fell flat when I started looking more deeply into the topic in recent years.
Now, my interests have changed.
I’m now more interested in the psychology of mass hysteria.
It’s very interesting to see how alarmists respond to the U.S. coastline hurricane lull, the non warming of the lower troposphere or the antartic sea ice record maxima etc.
It’s also interesting to watch how they prefer fearful muddle and self-imposed poverty and hazard to straight thinking and positive constructive policies that create wealth and security!!
At least, at the Grauniad, anyway!!

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  indefatigablefrog
May 22, 2015 10:10 am

It’s very likely that warmists experience a flood of endorphins every time they read climataster stories. These people are addicted and don’t know it. Assuring them there’s no catastrophe coming is to threaten the supply of their drug of choice.
Conversely…

Reply to  jorgekafkazar
May 22, 2015 10:28 pm

testosterone??

indefatigablefrog
Reply to  jorgekafkazar
May 23, 2015 12:40 am

Absolutely, they do. And looking back into history, we see that it has always been thus.
I read a book called “The Pursuit of the Millennium”, many years ago.
It is about apocalyptic millennial cults around the year 1000 AD.
People have always craved the notion of approaching apocalyptic disaster.
Recommended reading: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Pursuit_of_the_Millennium

indefatigablefrog
Reply to  jorgekafkazar
May 23, 2015 12:44 am

Apologies, the wiki description is crap.
A better description of the contents can be found in the Amazon reviews – here:
http://www.amazon.com/The-Pursuit-Millennium-Revolutionary-Millenarians/dp/0195004566

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  indefatigablefrog
May 22, 2015 9:32 pm

Ifrog…
What gets me every time is the anti-scientific claim that a warmer world will have an atmosphere that ‘holds more water temporarily’ as if the low temperature that leads to condensation will not rise, only the high temperature.
They overlook the fact that if it is ‘warmer’ everything is warmer, not just the daily high. If the delta T is the same, rainfall is about the same. CAGW thrives and survives only on ignorance of how physical systems work.
Even Trenberth realises the importance of what is claimed to be missing heat. Maybe it is just not there. Maybe it is not missing. Maybe it is just not getting warmer as it was for 20 years. Maintaining a belief that there is heat missing is more important than facing terrifying facts.

indefatigablefrog
Reply to  Crispin in Waterloo
May 23, 2015 12:21 am

Absolutely, Crispin. And whether your mental “model” is strictly accurate – it does seem to be born out by real-world measurement of rainfall trends.
In my very earliest forays into skepticism, I started looking up charts of rain data and looking for notable trends. I had become skeptical of the precision of surface temps, for clear and justifiable reasons.
But the mainstream theory that still stands tells us that warmer weather will lead to higher rainfall.
Looking up a selection of rainfall average graphs for the last century is highly illuminating therefore.
Unlike the temp record, the method of measurement is very reliable and has changed little over the last century.
An evening looking at google image results of rainfall average graphs presents a very clear picture of what is, in general, happening to rainfall trends.
What is happening is, basically, bugger all, in the scheme of things.
In line with the theoretical analysis that you have presented!!!
Which is encouraging.
Although your theory could be wrong, even though it successfully predicts reality.
We must always remember that. 🙂

May 22, 2015 6:43 am

IPCC AR5 Figure 4.16
Between 1991 and 2012 the alleged ice mass loss from Antarctica added 5.5 mm sea level equivalents.
Does anybody understand how small a mm is? It’s about 1/32nd of an inch! How did they measure that? It’s a statistical fabrication? Look in your tool box at a 6mm socket or box end. Is this supposed to be a BFD?

Patrick
Reply to  nickreality65
May 22, 2015 9:17 am

I have a nice little stainless steel 6″ engineers rule with 1/32nd” and 1/64th” markings, metric too, the sort you’d see in the top pocket of engineers of old, it’s a lovely little rule. I use it for setting up the action on my bass guitar. I can bearly read 1/32nd markings in good light let alone the 1/64th and I used to work to within +/- 2 microns once at IBM!!

Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 9:11 am

A new study from Geophysical Research Letters confirms that the ongoing rate of loss of Antarctic ice has increased by a third since the 2005-2010 period.
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060111/abstract

Patrick
Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 9:34 am

Averages and models? I can do that simply by sucking my finger and sticking it up in the air!

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 1:34 pm

From “Sir Harry Flashman”:

…the ongoing rate of loss of Antarctic ice has increased by a third since the 2005-2010 period.

From abstract (emphasis added):

We use 3 years of Cryosat-2 radar altimeter data…

Between 2010 and 2013, West Antarctica, East Antarctica, and the Antarctic Peninsula changed in mass by −134 ± 27, −3 ± 36, and −23 ± 18 Gt yr−1, respectively.

However, the average rate of ice thinning in West Antarctica has also continued to rise, and mass losses from this sector are now 31% greater than over the period 2005–2010.

They mashed together just three years from one satellite with previous data, got an error range 24 times the one measurement, and the loss increase is in the troubled West Antarctica area and not across Antarctica as implied.
Overall the 2010-2013 range is -241 to -79 Gt/yr.
“The Antarctic Ice Sheet contains 30 million cubic kilometers (7.2 million cubic miles) of ice.” (ref)
1 cubic meter of solid ice = 0.919 tonne (ref)
30E6 km^3 * (1000m/km)^3 * 0.919 t/m^3
= 2.757E16 t = 27,570,000 Gt (1 Giga = 10^9)
So the rate of loss is -0.000008741 to -0.000002865 of the Antarctic Ice Sheet per year.
I don’t think that’s particularly worth worrying about. Besides, it’s an interglacial, ice is expected to melt.

Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 22, 2015 10:38 pm

@Harry, think of a mm this way, You buy a very high quality pair of shoes, premium leather etc and you wear them only on Sundays. Over about 30 years you just might, just might wear them down a millimeter.

Reply to  Sir Harry Flashman
May 23, 2015 8:53 am

Time to celebrate. WOO HOO, we’re all doomed. Pay no attention to the good news from the DEEE-nyers.

May 22, 2015 10:07 am

Does anybody understand how small a mm is? It’s about 1/32nd of an inch! How did they measure that?
A really good question! How DID they measure that? And did they take into account all weather, land mass changes, gravitiational impacts, changes in evaporation due to higher temps, etc?

Patrick
Reply to  Cube
May 22, 2015 10:24 am

Metric measurements are very acurately measured and regulated. It’s how we got from “an inch” (thumb), to “a foot” (a foot), chains and ferlongs etc and so on. Having worked with imperial machines and metric drawings, I would go with metric machines and metric drawings every time. Consider, how small a micron is? If I recall correctly a micron is about 1/3rd of 1/1000 of an inch. Now I used imperial micrometers in the past but when DIGITAL devices appeared…you could switch from metric to imperial…by the touch of a button!

kim
Reply to  Patrick
May 22, 2015 1:31 pm

Three barleycorns in a row
Told the truth before you know.
===============

kim
Reply to  Patrick
May 23, 2015 12:35 pm

I’m trying to find the reference where I read that barleycorns were an original manner of the measure of mass, too, but can’t find it. Three barleycorns laid on end was an inch. Much more regular than thumbs.
==============

mebbe
Reply to  Cube
May 22, 2015 8:08 pm

They didn’t measure it, they calculated it.
An awful lot of measurements were made of the distance between a satellite and the closest bit of sea-water at that moment. Then the fun began.

Silver ralph
May 22, 2015 10:11 am

My letter to the UK foriegn minister.
.
Mr Philip Hammond
Foreign Minister
Westminster
Re: ISIS and a ‘Syria-Israel’ alliance?
Dear Mr Hammond,
According to the International Business Times, ISIS is closing in on the borders of Israel. So perhaps your rather uninformed Foreign Office needs some ‘blue-sky thinking’ on what the ramifications of this expansion may be. Since Willy Hague got the policy on Syria completely wrong the last time, I think you will need all the help you can get.
Correct predictions.
And you might want to listen to my diatribe, because way back in 2011 I predicted everything that Assad in Syria has subsequently done (emails available). And I also predicted the expansive campaigns of ISIS in my analysis in my last letter, early last year. This was not so much an analysis and more a prediction that ISIS will try to follow the history of Muhummad’s 7th century military campaigns. ISIS is driven by a literal interpretation of the Koran, so it is logical that they will also be driven by a literal interpretation of the history of Muhummad – which includes an attack on Syria, Israel, Anatolia and then North Africa.
But this will be interesting, because ISIS will find Israel better defended than in the 7th century. But ISIS is populated and led by brain-washed Muslim barbarians, who may not appreciate that. They believe their own propaganda; they believe their own invincibility; and they believe they are guided and protected by god. So will ISIS attack the ‘Little Satan’? You bet they will, and the results will be very interesting. This will be the excuse that Israel needs to expand out from Israel “to protect its borders”, causing another major Near Eastern war.
A Syria-Israel alliance?
However, if Israel is wise enough it will seek a covert and then an overt alliance with Assad in Syria. Assad’s Alawites are not Muslims. They are actually Christio-Nazarene and thus Christo-Jewish, and may well accept an alliance with Israel if the terms look favourable. The only reason that Assad’s Alawites could not do this before, is because they were pretending to be Muslim to avoid the usual persecution and paying the Jizya tax (a standard Muslim and ISIS policy throughout the centuries). The Alawites have made this pretense for more than 1,000 years, although they were still consigned to the gutters of Syrian society for most of that time. They only gained power via the French in the early 20th century, who were also looking for allies in the region.
However the true allegiancies of Assad’s Alawites are now well and truly out of the bag. The only real support that Assad has in Syria is from the Syriac Christians, who know that they are in the same ‘persecution boat’ as the Alawites. If Assad falls and his Alawites slaughtered, then the Syriac Christians will fall and be slaughtered alongside him. So Assad already has a secret alliance with the Syriac Christians, and it is only one small step further for him to really come out of the closet and have an alliance with Israel too.
For who will protect Assad now? The Sunnis and ISIS certainly will not. Perhaps a few Shia in Hezbollah might assist him, but who are Hezbollah versus the might of Israel and the West? The only stumbling block to this alliance between Assad and Israel is Obama and McCain in the US, who would not entertain it. McCain will not entertain it because he is too dumb to understand the politics, while Obama is a Sunni Muslim who wants to destroy both Assad and Israel (and America). But with a new president in the US in a year or so, then why not?
An Israel-Syria alliance would certainly change the dynamics of the Middle East forever. Can you imagine an Alawite-Christian Syria opened up for tourism, just like Greece or Cyprus? With Turkey plunging ever deeper into an Islamic abyss, Syria would become the new tourist destination in the eastern Med.
And this could happen very quickly. Resort cities like Latakia are very nice, and because they are majority Alawite they are untouched by the recent conflict. Latakia was built on Saudi sex, drink, gambling, and bacon sandwiches – one of the many playground destinations for the typical hypocritical Saudi prince (and not as obviously Western as Cannes or Majorca). All Assad needs to do is upgrade the airport at Batrah, and he could have the tourists flocking in next year (as soon as they feel safe). Many of the ‘Saudi’ hotels are already of Western standard, so there would be little infrastructure to build.
More importantly, the West would have a greater presence and much greater leverage in the all-important Middle East. The U.S.E. (ie: the E.U.) has placed much effort in expanding eastwards into Ukraine, while ignoring the much more economically and strategically important Near and Middle East. Another Western outpost in the eastern Mediterranean would be strategically much more important than a few more acres of Lebensraum in the Ukraine. America could move its airbase in Adana to Syria, and let the Turkish regime spiral into decay and destitution without any loss of strategic coverage.
A question to Assad.
So perhaps it is time to ask Assad a question or two ….. Come on Assad, what do you think is best – utter isolation with no friends in the West or East, and thus withering on a stagnant economic vine? Or an alliance with the Israel and the West, and a huge influx of Western currency and reconstruction? You cannot pretend you are Muslim any more, because everyone knows the truth now. So why not join the civilised world? Your much-prsecuted people have been wanting to throw off the pretense and the harsh yoke of Islam for more than 1,000 years. Your people have been subjugated for an eternity but this is your opportunity – you either grasp it now, or suffer another 1,000 years under the harsh yoke of Islam. Your choice mate…..
Sincerely,
Ralph
P.S. And if anyone says that we cannot do deals with a murdering tyrant – just remember that America and Britain killed more people in the two Gulf Wars than Assad has done while protecting his nation and people. It is about time you threw the fluffy liberals out of the F.O. and brought in some new rational talent. I am open to offers…
Hussain Obama bows before his spiritual master…
http://www.usnews.com/dbimages/master/10457/fe_da_090409publicopinion.jpg

1sky1
May 22, 2015 10:19 am

Obama doesn’t need to understand the climate system, future sea-level changes, etc., etc. He has the divine insight of those who lead from behind. 😉

May 22, 2015 10:31 am

Great cartoon Josh and to judge by all the huffing and puffing in the comments a bullseye!

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