Josh writes: By the slimmest of margins, 2014 has been declared the “hottest year ever”. It’s everywhere you look – there’s dodgy numbers, vague impressions and tweets galore – yes, it’s the warmist year evah!
Josh writes: By the slimmest of margins, 2014 has been declared the “hottest year ever”. It’s everywhere you look – there’s dodgy numbers, vague impressions and tweets galore – yes, it’s the warmist year evah!
They can’t tell the truth because they don’t KNOW the truth.
And they think that history started in 1880!
History started in 1910 in australia. Before that we didn’t have weather. Or the weather was wrong. Or something. And even after that they got it wrong and they had to correct it. A bit. And a bit more.
They act as if history starts today. Tomorrow the records will have changed yesterday.
For once we can thank HotWhopper for sorting this whole “thing” out in her 18 January post, “Bob Tisdale is confused, miffed…”. In particular, HotWhopper links to and reproduces in her post a portion of a “press shindig” held by NASA’s Gavin Schmidt and and NOAA’s Thomas Karl.
And guess what? NOAA’s conclusion is that it is “MORE UNLIKELY THAN LIKELY” that 2014 is the hottest year “evah”, among the years under consideration!!!! And guess further what?–NOAA considers it “MORE LIKELY THAN NOT” that SOME YEAR, OTHER THAN 2014!!!, IS THE HOTTEST YEAR!!!. Yep!–that’s right, let me repeat that, NOAA takes the position that it is unlikely that 2014 is the hottest year of them all.
HotWhopper describes the above, “inconvenient factoid-truth” as a “confusion” which she then attempts to clarify, but only succeeds in clarifying that there is no “confusion”–NASA finds it “MORE UNLIKELY THAN LIKELY” that 2014 is the hottest year among those considered. I mean, like, this little hive-embarrassment is on par, amusement-wise, with the “Turney of Antartica” fiasco of a year or so ago. Good stuff, HotWhopper!!!
And to think the “hottest year evah” was the hive’s big-push, agit-prop “uber-meme” going into the Paris Conference later this year! I mean, like, just think about it–all those painfully developed and reviewed and vetted and focus-group tested, scaremongering slogans gone bust; all those signs-on-a-stick–suitable for holding up to the cameras of members of the in-the-tank, hive-flunky press-corps by street-theater mass marchers who are, in the main, brainwashed, snot-nosed, spoiled-brat, personal-hygiene-“denier” dumb-kids chaperoned by their lefty-parasite, youth-master exploiters–already back from the printers and now unusable; and all those “in-the-can” op-eds and one-liner, media-catnip “it’s-gotten-worse” quips, worked up around the “settled science” that “2014 IS THE HOTTEST YEAR EVAH!!!”, now ignominiously consigned to the toxic-landfill of history. And frankly, I don’t think any number of brazen-hypocrite, carbon-piggie, CO2-spew eco-confabs will be able to put this humpty-dumpty back together again, even though it will undoubtedly serve, we can all well imagine, as a pretext for a whole slew of such such party-time, grab-ass, gas-bag gab-fests (all of which could easily be held as carbon-free, Gaia-friendly video-conferences, but without all the blow-out, bunga-bunga, after-hours’ good times, which is the real point of all those taxpayer-rip-off, stupid hive-swarms, after all).
Hey Hive-Bozos!!! Just a friendly, constructive criticism and head’s-up here: You guys are definitely not makin’ mummy proud with this one. And the buzz, that I’m gettin’ from normally reliable sources, is that the hive-politburo has just received a memo from Gaia that reads, in its entirety, “YOU DOOFUS, SCREW-UP, F#CKSTICK RETARDS!!!”
Well the climate history that has a snow ball’s chance in hell of being correct started in about 1979-80, when they first placed those oceanic buoys that report both water surface (-1 m msl) temperature and lower troposphere (+ 3 m msl) simultaneously.
That data since that time shows that all of the water based “global” temperature data prior to 1980 is bogus. And it is not correctable since the air and water temperatures aren’t correlated.
That time frame also coincides with the start of satellite data gathering.
So I don’t believe ANY global Temperature reported data prior to the year 1980.
So 2014 may be the warmest adjusted temperature year ever since 1980.
Wow! Things are really cookin’ now! Jo Nova’s latest blog post (January 19) advises that NASA assigns 2014’s claim to the “hottest year evah” title, a likelihood of only 38% (vice NOAA’s 48%), which, in other words means that there is a 62% (NASA) or 52% (NOAA) likelihood that 2014 is NOT THE HOTTEST YEAR EVAH!!! But please do read Jo’s post since my brief reference to it does not come close to doing it full justice.
I mean, like, this is lookin’ really, really bad for the eco-flakes. Indeed, all this makes you really wonder at the accelerating pace, here lately, of the hive’s degeneration into a full-time, center-ring target for an aroused humanity’s blob-baiting, public mockery and universal laughingstock contempt. I mean, like, It’s not just that our hive-“betters” are becoming ever more nerd-like, or that they’re a bunch of irremediable social incompetents, as ever, and big, fat pests, to boot, or that they all aspire to be our Philosopher-Kings and Queens so that they can boss everyone around and be everybody’s cull-masters/mistresses and other good stuff like that–NO! It’s none of that! Rather its that the hive-bozos are becoming more and more like those cytoplasmic “things” with tentacles and eye-stalks and bad-breath that H. P. Lovecraft used to write about. I mean, like, what a bunch of creep-outs!!!
They don’t, but they THINK they do.
I don’t know who first said this but, “It’s what you learn after you think you know it all that matters.”
#(:))
And this year,
ifWHEN they win#(:))
I promise not to post about it on WUWT
(for that angry UK commenter who said that I ruined his watching the game recording later that day)
without an “AVERT EYES” warning preceding the joyful news.
Well Janice, the NFL business is not one of the companies in my IRA portfolio, so I don’t really care who they have playing for them. It is not a growth industry that I would invest in.
But if it is something that interests you, for your amusement; then by all means enjoy it.
When I was growing up, “Sports” was something that people did themselves for either fun or physical well being, as well as accomplishment.
But now we are back to the Roman era, and it is the Lions versus the Redskins, instead of the Lions versus the Christians.
But it is the same principle. People screaming en masse, when one of their heroes gets knocked to the ground by an armored opponent.
g
Reblogged this on Sierra Foothill Commentary and commented:
No, it was the 9th warmest since 1979 in the far more accurate and non contaminated and non manipulated satellite data sets (RSS and UAH merged) See the charts HERE:
http://icecap.us/index.php/go/political-climate
William Briggs has a very good analysis / take down of the 1 in 27 million claim:
http://wmbriggs.com/blog/?p=15264
They can’t handle the truth.
The truth they handle …is turned into …something else !
(;>))
But they can ladle the cant.
S’OK, I know that “weather is not climate” and all that malarkey. Howsomever, my recollection of the year just past was— a colder, snowier winter than we had been having before, followed by a summer which never did get warmer than normal anywhere I went– and I went all over the Eastern half of the United States last year. Unpleasantly warm in the summer— yeah, that’s normal. Especially in the South. The warmest ever? Nope, I’ve experienced warmer.
But then, I’m not a climate scientist. So my experience of nearly 60 summers and winters doesn’t count.
No, its just like they keep telling me–even here–that the US is only a small protion of the globe and its other places in the globe that account for the warmth. I can’t understand why it’s been record cold and lows and cold summers and colder winters for YEARS now and on Dr. Spencer’s page–every month–every single month we are still warmer on the anomoly for the 30 year benchmark. Makes me crazy–well, I guess I don’t need this to make me crazy!
pocketsponsor
You say
Really?
I thought it was supposed to be global warming and not unAmerican warming.
Richard
It’s the anomaly that shows warmer. If you want to show cooler just change the base period of the anomaly.
Does anyone know where I can find a map showing where the warming is and how much has occurred? I’d love to see it from a global prospect.
The heat has made itself felt in various places and in obvious ways. One of the predictions of CAGW is less sea ice. What has the last few years shown us?
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/iphone/images/iphone.anomaly.global.png
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/global.daily.ice.area.withtrend.jpg
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/S_timeseries.png
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/icecover/icecover_current_new.png
Hi Jimbo.
Arctic sea ice ‘expert’, Peter Wadhams of ‘ice free Arctic’ fame, bleats on about ice albedo feedback being the main warming mechanism before the ‘methane bomb’ goes off.
He clearly is ignoring the fact that ‘global’ warming is linked to ‘global’ sea ice area wrt ice albedo feedback. As you have clearly pointed out, Jimbo, global sea ice levels are not unusually low like Peter would have us believe!
Peter clearly has his head buried beneath a thin, white, reflective blanket!
nuwurld,
Professor Peter Wadhams probably saw the writing on the wall (graphs) and decided to change his prediction without explanation. I dealt with that issue in December here. He is now parroting ‘ice-free’ in 2020. Expect his retirement before September 15th 2020 OR another prediction! Hopeless man.
Looks like Arctic ice extent is on track to recover the 1979-2000 mean within 3-5 years. Wadham will have to find something else to shrill about.
And the USCRN network agrees with you. It was not anywhere near record anything (well maybe cold) … Maybe we could get the author of the CRN graph recently posted here to update it from the CRN database?
Canada is also experiencing the cold and snow so you can add that to the global portion as well.
The west coast of Canada has been milder with a stream coming up from hawaii causing quite a bit of rain.
This is however a small percentage of the Canadian landmass.
Congrats on the Seahawks win! Our CFL team crapped out , our hockey team is about to crap out , and our soccer team (MLS division) is a joke.
Warmest year “evah”, except, perhaps back before we kept records which could be changed.
When I saw one of my neighbors this morning they mentioned that to me. Before I could respond, they told me how much more they had to run their air-conditioner.
I was going to ask them how much additional time they had to run it for every 1/100 degree rise in temperature. Instead I just told them to enjoy the Interglacial.
Really, P(truth from CAGWA) = 1/2.7E+07???
Seems overly optimistic to me
Stop laughing. Lots of these scammers will collect a paycheck for what they alarm about, but we realists will not
Oh. So Oetzi was actually…… a Deep Earthman…. who…uh………. . Who got too hot down there so, about 5,000 years ago {http://oetzi.com/en/clothing-equipment}, he tunneled his way up to the surface. …….. And he ended up 3210 meters up on an alp in Southern Tyrol {http://oetzi.com/en/node/239} because….. …… because his GPS broke and he couldn’t see very good in the dark. Aaaand he had a little bucket of ….. coals, yeah, THAT’s how he melted the 20 meter thick layer of ice and snow {Id.} enough to stand up. Then a polar bear stabbed him and he died. Yeah. That’s the ticket.
Jon Lovitz (youtube)
And you know it’s waaay warmer now because: there used to be polar bears on the alps and there isn’t, now. Because of global warming caused by coal from the center of the earth, they all moved to Alaska where they could get lots of Cokes and stuff.
************************************
{Source for facts: South Tyrol Museum of Archaeology in Bolzano (South Tyrol, Italy) at: http://oetzi.com/en — embellishment provided by Enviroprofiteers, Inc.}
Janice, cool down.
Just wait and see, when they’re on the brink.
brg Hans
The Liars Club sends up another huge one, all traces of NOAA credibility are gone……..
NOAA didn’t get the memo about this one, though, heh:
http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfsv2fcst/imagesInd3/sieMon.gif
(from WUWT Sea-Ice Page: http://wattsupwiththat.com/reference-pages/sea-ice-page/)
And see: http://wattsupwiththat.com/?s=NOAA+Arctic+Sea+Ice
Better yet (oops — wrong page linked), see: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/05/23/sea-ice-news-volume-5-2-noaa-forecasts-above-normal-arctic-ice-extent-for-summer/
Somebody should plot the un-adjusted data.
http://woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/trend
Does this one count?
This is what Mann needs for his important graphs :
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Etch_A_Sketch
lol — it IS what he uses!
[But isn’t even a broken etch-a-sketch write two times a day? …. .mod]
Thanks Mod, LOL I guess even the “Clock of Rome” right 2x a day ( but then again maybe 6x or 8x?)
This is Bob Barker for “The Splice is Right”. Come on down!
It’s a bugger getting an up-tick though!
Rarely have so many made so much over so little.
That’s right.
+1
When the Warmists can explain the presence of human habitations beneath the melting glacial fronts, then I might understand how this year is the “Hottest Year Evah”.
But, of course, they can’t
So, they lie. Lie. Lie. Lie! Lie!!
Oh, almost forgot (having so much fun):
GREAT CARTOON, JOSH! #(:))
Janice? what’s in the herb tea today LOL’s
Perhaps just a little tooooo much caffeine.
Well, for laughin’ out loud, A Sybot #(:)) (and Tom in Florida).
Just drinking bottled water!
That’s all it takes! That’s just me (I know it’s “I” but “I” these days sounds pedantic, so (shrug). At a church choir Christmas party one time, I was accused of drinking more than my share of the wine AND I HAD BEEN DRINKING ONLY POP!
Recently, I was talking with an engineer friend and I said, “Meh, just see that jerk supervisor for the bellowing hippotamus with both legs stuck in the same hole in his underwear that he is and LAUGH.”
Engineer: Janice, I cannot be silly about this.
So, I’m an anomaly! #(:)) (Don’t worry, I’m such an outlier that I will never affect WUWT’s “Serious” rating).
Always like to read your comments. Keep drinking the “water”. 🙂
Hey! Somebody read what I wrote! THANK YOU, Tom in Florida!
#(:))
Well isn’t Janice an early riser 🙂
Oh Boy. A bartender at Davos. Gore and his friends are tipping in Euros, was 1.39 on the dollar last year to 1.15 last week on the dollar. But when our hapless bartender exchanges them into Swiss Francs in two days, another hit to come.
Living in Davos and begging for Gore, “Poor poor pitiful me.”
Rigged markets verses rigged climates, one recovers, the other bakes.
“And the 2015 Broken Institutions Award goes to ….____________ for, ___________________!”
These criminal acts are beyond a joke now.
Severe case of thumb on the scale. Between the adjustments the station drop outs and myriad “corrections” the graph is a graph of fantasy with likely no connection to reality.
According to Hadcrut4, in 1944, the anomaly was 0.147. Prior to that, the previous times it was positive were in 1940 and 1941 when it was 0.017 and 1878 when it was 0.035.
What were the odds that the warm 1944 was natural? Was it also 1 in 27 million?
I caught two different MSM reports on this and oddly, they both followed the same format. First the anchor says something to the effect of “if you’ve been feeling like it is warmer these days, it is.” Then the standard hottest year ever blurb. I’m thinking so…. they think human beings can sense a temperature difference of two one hundredths of a degree? How stupid do they think people are?
Then I saw this…
http://www.cnn.com/videos/entertainment/2015/01/16/pkg-orig-qvc-isaac-mizrahi-argue-moon-planet-star.cnn
Darn there goes another keyboard,
I am continually dumbfounded by the ignorance of otherwise normal people, normal people who seem to function well in society, who drive automobiles, vote in national elections and successfully navigate long escalators.
One of my co-workers questioned me about stars. He did not know that they are other Suns, gigantic balls of incandescent matter. He thought they were just tiny lights, and did not understand why anyone would want to travel into space just to see some little lights.
davidmhoffer
January 17, 2015 at 7:56 pm
How stupid do they think people are?
David,
I believe the answer to that question is:
“as stupid as we will let them think we are”
which, unfortunately, for a lot of “we, the people”, appears to be “quite”.
Perhaps the gentleman was thinking of another kind of “moon” and thought of a planet, uh, Uranus?
Ba dum bump
And, too, Janice –
Your’e on the right track.
reading, knowing. What more. Thumps up!
Hans
Well, thank you, Hans. “What more” ? lol — who knows!
Warmists are addicts. They need their alarmist fix. This one will do for now. But, next year, they’ll need another one. “It’s not as hot as we expected” or “Maybe it won’t be so bad after all” just ain’t gonna cut it. This is not sober science; this is addiction. Hic.
They’re doing handsprings in the parking lot ‘cos it’s warmer (allegedly). I thought warming was supposed to be bad in their world ?
About a year ago, the warmists were falling all over themselves to explain the unusual cold winter we were having. Now it’s the warmest year ever?? Is it just me or does anyone else smell a rat?
To fight this bad science we all need to post wherever we can reach others, not just “preach to the crowd,.” From my TV years I have thousands of followers on Facebook, so I posted this item there:
Did you see it? The headline says that 2014 was the warmest year of all time. Three times they have “homogenized” the long term records to make the past cooler so the present is warmer by comparison. The manipulations are shameful and agenda driven and a horrible distortion of reality. And, after all of this the best they can do is come up with 2014 being the warmest year by a mire .07 of a degree. And, they shout from the roof tops declaring that there is a giant climate crisis. And, in all of this embarrassing distortion of science they provide no new evidence (their old evidence totally failed to verify) that links changes in climate with the activities of mankind, particularly the long claimed but totally failed theory that carbon dioxide is a significant greenhouse gas. This is all very frustrating to those of us who are serious about correcting the bad science so our civilization can happily proceed with the wonderful climatic times we have enjoyed since the ice age ended 12,000 years ago. Relax and rejoyce. Life is good.
[0.07, 0.04, or 0.02 degrees? Are C and F units being cross-converted by different people? .mod]
There are lots of people that have looked at their thermometers or seen the individuals promoting CAGW (for me it was all “background noise” until Al Gore joined the hockey team) that are having “now wait a minute!” moments at hype.
To have the information and/or data available to them to support their gut feeling of “that can’t be right” is very good. There are lots of sites they can be directed to for more information. WUWT is among the best.
Not everyone who comes here or to the other sites are members of the choir, but, yes direct them to “where the music is playing”.
(Reference to Mel Gibson’s line from the movie “Conspiracy Theory”)
Fantastic! Yes, keep putting the truth out there.
Just a suggestion: I would say one thing a little differently. The ice age has not ended. We are still in an ice age right now. It is only the most recent period of glaciation in this ice age that ended.
The present climate is dominated by a cycle of 90,000 years of cold and 10,000 years of warm, alternating every 100,000 years. These are rounded figures; every cycle is a little different. Thus we will soon come to the end of the present interglacial period and the planet will return to a far more frigid environment, which is what most people call an “ice age”.
There is some debate regarding when the actual present ice age began. Some say it began with the Pleistocene, and in fact is called the Pleistocene Ice Age, beginning 2.5 million years ago. Others say that an ice age is defined by a permanent ice cap at either of the poles, in which case it began around 12 million years ago. Others will point to the tremendous decline in temperatures over the past 50 million years, noting that the south pole became glaciated around 34 million years ago, after which it thawed about 25 million years ago, and re-glaciated 12 million years ago.
When looking at the truly big picture, there is an ice age every 150 million years. The present one started around 12 million years ago. Or pick 30 million. Or 2.5 million. But it definitely did not end 10,000 years ago, and humanity will eventually be forced to admit this, even the warmist zealots.
Nice to see someone using their fame responsibly. Thank you!
Obviously if 2014 was the hottest year ever, the knob needs an 11
True indeed. Other scientists have 10 as the hottest. Where can you go from there ?
Its kind of weird the way the alarmists use the satellite data for sea level rise acceleration …. But dont mention satellites regarding global temperatures.
There appears to be a correlation between increasing CO2 and increasing alarmist hype.
Can somebody explain why NASA is paid $billions by taxpayers for space research and yet throws away satellite data that have also cost taxpayers $billions and relies instead on old-fashioned and unreliable land-based thermometers? Why aren’t US taxpayers up in arms?
Suggest you “Bing/Google” the following:
“Senator Cruz science panel” and you will see that Cruz wants NASA to pay more attention to space research and less on “other research”.
The Alarmists are, uh, alarmed over this possibility since it will mean NASA may not be able to champion CAGW.
Take away the NASA CAGW bias and there will be one less false cry in the night.
NASA is not very accurate lately (meaning recent decades), especially about climate.
NASA has recently claimed that Antarctica is losing a mass of ice equivalent to the mass of Mount Everest every 2 years:
http://climate.nasa.gov/news/2197/
But to reach that conclusion they considered that Mount Everest has a mass of 161 gigatons. Which is about 40 times smaller than its actual mass. “A little mistake”, which has been circling the news for almost 2 months now uncorrected.
They say that a lie has already run a couple of kilometres before the truth is able to put on its boots.
NASA’s BIG MISTAKE (that Antarctica is losing ice) is still circling, too, in spite of: Antarctic ice is increasing steadily. So (now) says NASA.
Source: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/07/28/remember-that-claim-from-nsidcs-walt-meier-that-the-antarctic-ice-expansion-was-due-to-a-processing-error-never-mind/
And so say all of us!
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/09/10/icesat-data-shows-mass-gains-of-the-antarctic-ice-sheet-exceed-losses/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/09/23/fun-diversion-how-long-until-antarctic-ice-touches-south-america/
I think now would be a good time for someone to post Spencer’s spaghetti graph. I haven’t taken the time to master that type of addition to a comment.
you just have to paste in the url to the graph, eyesonu, see below, mouse or hover over and the url will show up somewhere in browser, copy paste . . .
1. Place cursor over photo.
2. Double left-click.
3. Place cursor over “http…” url in navigation bar at top left of screen.
4. Left click once to highlight the url.
5. Type Ctrl-c (for copy).
6. In WUWT comment box type Ctrl-v (for paste).
Voila! As Bubba said, Word Press software usually turns that into a picture.
I’m new to this (just did youtube videos — same thing except start at step 3. above), so I still test it on the WUWT Test page first.
Have fun!
************************************************
And here’s Dr. Spencer’s graph:
http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/CMIP5-90-models-global-Tsfc-vs-obs-thru-2013.png
from this thread:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/02/10/95-of-climate-models-agree-the-observations-must-be-wrong/
#(:))
Memories past.
[IMG]http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v620/mikesnow/nasa_email_sato_0814071_zps69f3a527.jpeg[/IMG]
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v620/mikesnow/nasa_email_sato_0814071_zps69f3a527.jpeg
Wham! Nice one, Gary Mount!
(and good for you, too — if it works out — to so GENEROUSLY offer to code and share that code of Monckton’s recent paper’s “irreducibly simple model.”)
I mean, NICE ONE, MICHAEL SNOW! (just pasted your url into browser and saw the photo). Thanks for sharing.
P.S. If you’d like to know how to post images on this site, see my little list of instructions here: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/01/17/saturday-silliness-its-the-warmist-year-evah/#comment-1838751
Nice cartoon Josh!
Our wonderful BBC sounded almost triumphant when this was announced on Friday, but of course they did not mention that it was by hundreths of a degree (an amount I would say is statistically insignificant anyway). They also did not mention that the satellite data (which is more accurate anyway) still continues to add more months on to the almost 19 years of static global temperatures.
What really hacks me off though is that all these doom-mongers seem to be wishing Armageddon on us all, just so they can be proved right!
The situation for warmists is dire. Since they fundamentally believe rising CO2 causes rising temperatures, and CO2 continues to rise, temperatures cannot be seen to decrease. They can talk around a plateau, calling it a “pause”, but they absolutely must prevent a decline. First they got rid of the high temperatures in the 1930s, then 1998 went, now 2014 is the new record. Yet future years must surpass this last one, in order to hide a decline. Future cooling is not an option.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/UAH_LT_1979_thru_December_2014_v5.png
Joking aside, did they adjust 2010 and 2005 downwards after claiming records then ?
Do you want to see the adjustments done to Reykjavik Iceland in just the last 11 months. They have taken what is already a fully quality controlled station with +0.3C of warming from 1900 to 2014 to +1.1C of warming as of last February 21, 2014 to +2.0C of warming now as of January 17, 2015.
The newest adjustments make no sense. They have taken what they think is breakpoint around 1925 and actually made it even far worse. The 1990-1925 temperatures look like they should have been adjusted UP to make up for the breakpoint (if there really is one), but instead they adjusted the 1900-1925 temperatures DOWN and adjusted the 1925 to 1940 temperatures UP, making it an even double breakpoint (if there really is one).
Open these two images in a new tab and then click back and forth to animate it and see what they have done in just the last year.
Current January 17, 2015 adjustments. The top graph is the quality controlled temperatures from Iceland Meteorological, the second one is the NCDC’s adjusted temperatures that they report to the public and the bottom is the individual annual adjustments themselves.
http://s12.postimg.org/3zv0kfn0d/Reykjovik_2015_62004030000.gif
The same chart from last year February 21, 2014.
http://s17.postimg.org/v8rjasxfj/Reykjavik_62004030000.gif
Last year in February, I mocked up the bottom table adjustments just to see how much difference it makes to the overall warming trend if you make this pattern of small adjustments – Down in the early part, Up in the most recent. It can make a HUGE difference just because of the way linear trend math works. You take +0.3C of warming and make it +2.0C of warming like it is now with just a few small changes in the right pattern.
Well done. Thank you for that illuminating comment.
Some truth in the advertising from GISS
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2915061/Nasa-climate-scientists-said-2014-warmest-year-record-38-sure-right.html#readerCommentsCommand-message-field
Thanks for sharing this Ron.
Isn’t there ANY scientific institute in the world that distances itself from this fr@ud?
Even pro-AGW? +0,02C? Within the error margin?
We’re doomed.
Time to start reporting the real stories…
Climate Alarmists Deceive Again: 2014 Was Not Hottest on Record (The New American, January 7, 2015)
http://www.thenewamerican.com/tech/environment/item/19864-climate-alarmists-deceive-again-2014-was-not-hottest-on-record
Was 2014 really ‘the hottest year ever’? (The Daily Telegraph, January 10, 2015)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/11337317/Was-2014-really-the-hottest-year-ever.html
Satellite Data Says 2014 Actually Wasn’t The Warmest On Record (The Daily Caller, January 12, 2015)
http://dailycaller.com/2015/01/12/satellite-data-says-2014-actually-wasnt-the-warmest-on-record/
Satellite Data: 2014 ‘Not Even Close’ to Warmest Year (Newsmax, January 12, 2015)
http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/hottest-year-satellite-data/2015/01/12/id/618147/
Scientists eviscerate feds’ ‘hottest year’ claim (WND, January 15, 2015)
http://www.wnd.com/2015/01/scientists-undermine-hottest-year-claim-by-feds/
NOAA says 2014 was warmest year worldwide on record; state climatologist John Christy disagrees (AL.com, January 16, 2015)
http://www.al.com/news/huntsville/index.ssf/2015/01/noaa_says_2014_was_warmest_yea.html
Is 2014 The Hottest Year Ever? Satellites Say No (Investors Business Daily, January 16, 2015)
http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/011615-735156-2014-not-the-hottest-year-on-record.htm
2014 Was NOT the Warmest Year on Record (The Heartland Institute, January 17, 2015)
http://news.heartland.org/newspaper-article/2015/01/17/2014-was-not-warmest-year-record
Gavin Schmidt Climate Scientist or Clown?
http://www.realscience.us/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/GavinSchmidt.jpg
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_XujfBUyPla8/S1pBw07rHaI/AAAAAAAAAHY/LaXEMyYZ-HQ/s1600-h/Gavin_balance_300.jpg
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/blogs/secretlife/environmental-science/gavin-schmidt/
Secret: Gavin is a juggler. He got into juggling to meet girls in high school.
Uh, “climate scientist”? = “no”.
He is, by the strictest of terms, a scientist who discusses climate, but when he does, he leaves true science out of the discussion by side-stepping the scientific method.
“Clown”? = also “no”. There is nothing funny about what he says and does, unless you find being pathetic a laughing matter.
However, in all fairness, it would be easy to qualify him to be a clown. Simply add a red clown nose. To make him a proper climate scientist would require him to conduct himself as a real scientist, and that, it appears, would be a difficult undertaking.
IMHO
“Secret: Gavin is a juggler. He got into juggling to meet girls in high school.”
I juggle too. I got into it while studying for exams. It is a great counterpoint for serious mental exertion – you get to rest your brain and train your reflexes. Never noticed it doing much for my social life though.
I hope it was not your intention to poke fun of Gavin just because he juggles. Apart from being insulting to recreational jugglers in general, it would be notyhing but a pointless and irrelevant ad hominem.
“Recreational jugglers”, sorry for offending graduates of clown college.
How can a temperature be ‘hottest’ when it’s not even warm ?
If your first initial is “T”, then, relatively speaking, until you tell us whether you are cold blooded or warm blooded, we can’t answer that question,
From AP article by the perpetually-deluded Seth Borenstein:
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20150116/us-sci–hottest_year-b64ea00652.html
So are the Vikings back to farming in Greenland yet?
/Mr Lynn
lol — Nice one.
… said climate scientist Jennifer Francis of Rutgers University, who wasn’t part of either research team. “Any wisps of doubt that human activities are at fault are now gone with the wind.”
The human activities to which Jennifer Francis was referring were fiddling the temperature record.
+1
😎
…and wasn’t “Gone With The Wind” also fiction?
Now just for the sake of an argument…I am not sure how coorect it could be, as only an assumption actually.
Considering that the 2014 was expected to be an El Nino year, especially from the AGWers, and considering their optimism of the warmest year evah for 2014, there is a possibility that the adjustments of temps through whole year were calculated in a sceme as to be enough to keep the 2014 the warmest evah after the compensation for the warming due to the Nino warming impulse.
So the extra warming seen and claimed for 2014 is simply the ammount of warming needed to compensate for El Nino impulse compensation and keeping the 2014 as a warmest year.
Plroblem is that EL Nino did not happen.
And that is a very big problem for the temp adjusters as it means that if the 2015 is not an El Nino year and it keeps to a similar path as 2014, meaning a cooling instead of warming, actually a further cooling, …..then the ammount uf adjustment requiried to keep the 2015 as not a cooling year will be a factor of 3 stronger than for 2014.
So they are required to fudge the data far much more than during 2014, to a point that will be ridiculous to even contemplate. Or somehow they have to show that the oceans are actually boiling
If that somehow the truth, hopefully not,…. then these guys that have being “cleverly” adjusting the 2014 data should start praying (very hard and seriously when at it) for a 2015 El Nino, just as to keep the 2015 FROM BEEN SHOWN AS A COOLING YEAR..
God forbid that there be a 2015 La Nina, as that will be compleatly crazy to deal with……. 🙂
After all 2014 was declared the evah warmest year even before it really started..:-)
cheers
Under one of the “hottest year evah” articles, for fun, I posted the following:
Pop quiz for Warmatardos and Warmatardettes:
1. Which is longer, 1 year or 18 years?
a) 1 year
b) 18 years
c) deni*r
d) 97% consensus
2. The warming which climate models predicted but which hasn’t materialized is:
a) In the deep oceans, where it can’t be measured.
b) In the pipeline.
c) Being masked by aerosols from places like China, and volcanoes.
d) Never existed, because the climate models were completely wrong, and were based on wrong assumptions.
3. Historically, which has been better for mankind, warm periods like the MWP or cold periods, like the LIA?
a) Cold is better, because I don’t like to sweat, and like snow.
b) Warm periods have always been better, with expanded agricultural output, less disease and starvation, and lower infant mortality.
c) If warmer is better, go sit in an oven. See how you like it.
Answers: b,d,b.
If you [answered] all 3 correctly, congratulations! You might become a Climate Realist yet.
[For consistency, shouldn’t question 3 have a “d” option available for the answer? .mod]
GREAT quiz (with an even better point), Bruce Cobb.
#(:))
Re: .mod’s suggestion, how about this for 3. d. “All of the above.” — and you know what? That is the one, while heaving a big sigh of mental relief, they will all pick, too, lol.
Yeah, I noticed that, but couldn’t think of one at the time.
I suppose I could have just re-used the “deni*r” answer, since it’s such a favorite of theirs.
Well, Bruce Cobb you had already thought of a lot! Nice work.
Oh, yes, it’s their Default mode, lol.
How about….
d) History!? That’s bor-ring!
The only thing that makes this year a contender for the “hottest” spot are the ocean temperatures in the northwest pacific. It has been a pretty normal year everywhere else. Notice that if we didn’t have measurements of the SST in that part of the world we probably wouldn’t have noticed anything unusually warm about this year. We have only been regularly measuring the SST in the NW pacific for the last century or so. That means if the NW pacific had warmed like this in the past (in 1890 perhaps) we would have missed it and it wouldn’t have shown up in the global temperature reconstruction for that year.
ImranCan says –
“Its kind of weird the way the alarmists use the satellite data for sea level rise acceleration …. But dont mention satellites regarding global temperatures”
BBC cleverly inserts the following line – to give a false impression that satellite data was included?
16 Jan: BBC: 2014 warmest year on record, say US researchers
Today, as well as in-situ instruments recording information on the Earth’s surface, satellites closely monitor temperatures across the planet…
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-30852588
CarbonBrief has a line i liked…
the article does have a lot to say, mostly negative, about the satellite data for those interested to read it:
16 Jan: CarbonBrief: Roz Pidcock: Explainer: How do scientists measure global temperature?
The basics
To get a complete picture of Earth’s temperature, scientists combine measurements from the air above land and the ocean surface collected by ships, buoys and sometimes satellites, too…
http://www.carbonbrief.org/blog/2015/01/explainer-how-do-scientists-measure-global-temperature/
Maurice Newman who is Tony Abbot’s chief adviser on climate change has been absolutely rubbished in some Australian media. However, he queried the BOM report that said that global warming caused the last three years highest temperatures in Australia. The thing is that some years are hotter than others, but it the causation factor that is wrong if they want to blame human activity. Yes we cause pollution and cities create not only air pollution but UHI’s. Of course we can stop that by removing all humans and cars. Not that I want to wish this on humanity but we need another huge volcanic eruption, see if they blame the cooling on us after it happens. LOL
The margin of error is larger than the increase.
“The claim made headlines around the world, but yesterday it emerged that GISS’s analysis – based on readings from more than 3,000 measuring stations worldwide – is subject to a margin of error. Nasa admits this means it is far from certain that 2014 set a record at all.
Yet the Nasa press release failed to mention this, as well as the fact that the alleged ‘record’ amounted to an increase over 2010, the previous ‘warmest year’, of just two-hundredths of a degree – or 0.02C. The margin of error is said by scientists to be approximately 0.1C – several times as much.
As a result, GISS’s director Gavin Schmidt has now admitted Nasa thinks the likelihood that 2014 was the warmest year since 1880 is just 38 per cent. However, when asked by this newspaper whether he regretted that the news release did not mention this, he did not respond. Another analysis, from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project, drawn from ten times as many measuring stations as GISS, concluded that if 2014 was a record year, it was by an even tinier amount.”
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2915061/Nasa-climate-scientists-said-2014-warmest-year-record-38-sure-right.html#ixzz3PECLhyGZ
As a result, GISS’s director Gavin Schmidt has now admitted Nasa thinks the likelihood that 2014 was the warmest year since 1880 is just 38 per cent.
There is a 62% ‘likelihood’ that 2014 was not the warmest year since 1880. There is a 100% certainty that Gavin Schmidt and NASA did not tell 62% of the whole truth when they splashed the headline that 2014 was the ‘hottest year evah”!
Amazing!! It is not just Gavin Smith, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration came to the same conclusion, so did Japan Meteorological Agency. Most likely Hadley Center will say the same soon. European summer was the hottest, Australia had a heat wave, etc. I am surprised that such a news was transformed into a cartoon for silliness, and defended by quoting three known skeptics: Christy, Curry, and Pielke who probably will never admit there is any warming even if God himself/herself appear before them to tell that.
I should have mentioned that the World Meteorological Organization is not far away from NOAA or NASA.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/2014-to-be-hottest-year-ever-measured/
Some made a point that there is a margin of error and with that 2014 may not be the hottest year. That is like looking for a straw – such a margin of error is associated with every year. If the errors properly act in the opposite sense, then from NASA data, 2014 may not be the hottest year. But the fact remains that even if 2014 is not the hottest year, the 10 hottest years occurred after 1998 tells us something. And clearly the ocean temperature was highest with or without the margin of error. There is no reason to deflect that. http://static.berkeleyearth.org/memos/Global-Warming-2014-Berkeley-Earth-Newsletter.pdf
Yes, it tells us you Warm-mongers are good at grasping at straws, and at the art of deflection. Good job!
Ha Ha … Bruce. I find it so amazing how skeptics can come up with a distraction. There was a margin of error in 2010 also. For the skeptics it is so convenient to take the error negative in 2014 and positive in 2010 to ignore the warming trend. But that is fine. Unlike Curry’s prediction that temp won’t change much well into 2030, future data will show the same warming trend beyond the margin of errors. Then the argument from skeptics will be, well… warming is good for earth. Just like the CO2 case…. initially they refused to acknowledge that CO2 is going up. Now since they cannot refuse it, they will say it is good for earth …. trees are growing taller close to highways.
Most winter warm records in Vancouver happened in the 40’s and 50s with consecutively higher temps than we have had for the last 60 years or so.
It was warming back then too.
Or …..that is just weather .
My 90 year old grandmother says that it was so hot in the summer that they occasionally slept outside. Don’t forget UHI was surely less significant in those days.
Then again she doesn’t have a PhD so….just weather
In the virtual world of a desastrous climate modeller that world goes kaboom by turning a radio knob.
In his next live the gamer will tune some more: ACTION!
Leave ’em, same as it ever was; addicts!
Hans
In a parallel universe, Penn State, infamous for too many reasons, is teaching the value of re-writing history (again) and toeing the line for questionable staffers (again). http://www.cnn.com/2015/01/16/us/ncaa-proposed-penn-state-settlement/index.html
How the hell can we learn from history if we keep changing it to suit the present? I’m left thinking academia isn’t what it used to be and never was.
In Western Europe last year the spring started in March and ended in November. Pretty static +18°C including the period we normally call summer. Under these circumstances 2014 had ‘anthropogenic global warming’ written all over it.
About 3-4°C warmer, preferably for two more months would be perfect. Fully recognizing the public attention craving alarmists’ substantial efforts to get there e.g. by increasing the atmospheric density, I’m convinced we should start rewarding them for it. Some sort of climate champion reward would be great.
Looks like big changes coming next week here in the eastern U.S. Another cold snap. Maybe a little winter precip here in the deep south. (Bama)
Well anyway it is warm here in California and we have very little snow pack. You guys can sneer at NASA, but here it is a real problem.
What do these ridiculous statements mean, “sneer at NASA”? A very small percentage of NASA employees have anything to do with climate change research so making blanket statements about the organization is incredibly misleading.