2013 was a cool year in many ways. Most interestingly, the last year this split between highs and lows happened in the USA, in 1993, we had the eruption from Mt. Pinatubo the prior year which ejected so much aerosol into the atmosphere that it blocked sunlight and cooled the planet.
Source: http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1978
This year, 2013, we have no similar large volcanic influence, and so the cause can’t be pinned on an specific aerosol event. It seems that natural variation played a bigger role this time. It also says much about Hansen’s “loaded climate dice”
This table from NCDC pretty well sums up the headline.
Source: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/records/
Note also the “Last Year to Date” line on the bottom. in 2013, we have less than one-third of the number of record highs as in 2012.
h/t to Doyle Rice at USAToday.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2013/12/31/record-cold-temperatures/4264237/
Here, from the Wayback Machine, is last year’s table from NCDC:
if anyone has any similar weather record comparisons for the rest of the world, don’t hesitate to list them in comments.
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Yes, but they are ‘hotter’ colder records 😉
But last year it was climate; this year, it’s just weather. Besides, it’s well known that global warming makes things colder, ever since it became climate change. And 97% of all scientists who get money from the government to say the climate is changing say that the climate is getting hotter.
/sarc, anyone?
[SNIP oh, please. Stick this comment about cherry picking up the bodily orifice of your choice – Anthony]
“This year we have no similar large volcanic influence”
True, but we have had plenty of smaller eruptions this year, some making stratosphere level and others pretty close. 2011 & 2012 were pretty quiet, 2008-2010 had a lot of honkers. Do believe we’ll get a fair bit of rain east of the Rockies from San Miguel in El Salvador.
I was under this when it came over. A little fine stuff was coming down, could see it running the beagle at night with a headlight. Fine ash on my truck hood the next morning.
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2013/10/sulfur-dioxide-from-kliuchevskoi-over-the-midwest/
Only a few more hours before the Arctic ice cap melts. Better celebrate the coming of 2014 on higher ground. ;-> Be careful to not put any rotten ice in your drinks tonight… 🙂
Probably because this is more what the actual temperature records look like ignoring those adjustments applied to the records, lower in the past, positive in the present, and it is literally getting colder now. Common people understand this when you ask.
The linear adjustments remove are from a rough estimate from these published charts USHCN, GISS, and NOAA.
I see this as another sign that Dr. Habibullo Abdussamatov might be right.
Our present “hiatus” might be a maximum, not a pause.
Don’t sell your coat!
See “Grand Minimum of the Total Solar Irradiance Leads to the Little Ice Age” (.pdf, Science and Public Policy Institute – SPPI, Habibullo Abdussamatov. November 25, 2013)
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/grand_minimum.pdf
I’m sure he half-hopes to be wrong, living in the Ukraine.
Sadly there are a few major volcanoes ready to blow, such as Katla in Iceland, the alarmists may hang on a few years yet, by playing the aerosol card.
Don’t forget that records are uncorrected for station problems. All stations send in high and low records whether somewhat quality controlled (e.g. USHCN) or supposedly adhering to minimal standards (e.g. COOP stations). Although not very common, there can be new low max records due to new irrigation or dams. But by far the biggest source of errors in records is heat islands mostly causing new high min records and local heat sources from poor siting that might eliminate possible record lows while adding artificial record highs.
The USHCN as many stations that can easily paint new high min records like newly urbanized Norfolk Virginia: http://shpud.com/weather/main.php?g2_itemId=48 . More bogus high min records are obtained from stations like the gravel endowed Reagan National Airport in Virginia across the river from DC: http://shpud.com/weather/main.php?g2_itemId=155 and http://shpud.com/weather/main.php?g2_itemId=158 But the biggest problem is the artificial lack of low min records from such stations. Obviously the gravel doesn’t matter on breezy nights when a high min record might get set with humid south wind. But on radiational cooling nights without wind, heat is convected from gravel up to the thermometer.
It’s interesting to note that all the numbers for records in 2012 are higher in the image for the Wayback Machine. Must be that quality control eric1skeptic mentions. But even then, the difference is at most 54, nothing like hundreds. So unless “quality control” jiggers the figures, it’s unlikely to overturn Anthony’s observation.
We shouldn’t forget that there was a global bump in temperatures last January that carried on for a couple more months. Unless something similar comes along, 2014 looks to continue the downward trend. No El Nino on the horizon, solar cycle 24 starting its descent, additional solar radiation reflected off the record Antarctic sea ice, A decreasing AMO, a continued PDO descent … Do I need to continue? Brrrrrr
More record lows than record highs … well, that’s one little factoid that you’ll never hear on the network nightly noise.
[snip – still wrong, and still just another attempt at thread disruption. Take a time out for 24 hours -Anthony]
In all fairness, a single year doesn’t prove anything. However, this could be the start of a trend for more cold records than more warm records. If the theory on the solar minimum and cooling pans out, the next 10 years should prove to be very interesting.
Sort of rubs it in that cycle dominate in nature, the belief in linear trends to catastrophe might be delusion.
Its freezing pretty good here in Northern Canada -50 C, I want some global warming.
http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/international/radio/program/asia-pacific/new-study-outlines-the-impact-of-clouds-on-climate-change/1241624
Sorry, but the warming continues unabated. The money tree says so.
(disgusting rubbish)
regards
It is interesting that 2013 was the first time in 20 years that record US lows exceed record US highs. One might attribute that fact to weather if there were not the curious increase in sea ice both poles (and if there were not a half dozen anomalies and paradoxes that disprove CAGW). Odd that Hansen’s dice do not work in the Antarctic and cannot explain the largest increase in sea ice on record in the Arctic.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/seaice.anomaly.antarctic.png
It appears there will be many interesting ‘climate change’ topics to discuss in the 2014.
Happy new year Anthony. Happy new to your very patient Moderators. Happy new year to the many Contributors to this blog.
Best wishes,
William
Bob Diaz.
It is now fairly obvious that the scheme all along was to take humanity down the wrong path to survival and the right path to population decimation.
Warmth produces food, cold does not. Had we spent the last 30 years inventing ways to produce cold weather crops and store them, then millions had a chance.
My friends in Thailand are sitting around with big jackets and beanies on. First time in their lives.
It really is worse than “we thought”.
regards
Should old acquaintance be forgot,
and never brought to mind ?
Should old acquaintance be forgot,
and old lang syne ?
CHORUS:For auld lang syne, my dear,
for auld lang syne,
we’ll take a cup of kindness yet,
for auld lang syne.
And surely you’ll buy your pint cup !
and surely I’ll buy mine !
And we’ll take a cup o’ kindness yet,
for auld lang syne.
CHORUS
We two have run about the slopes,
and picked the daisies fine ;
But we’ve wandered many a weary foot,
since auld lang syne.
CHORUS
We two have paddled in the stream,
from morning sun till dine ;
But seas between us broad have roared
since auld lang syne.
CHORUS
And there’s a hand my trusty friend !
And give me a hand o’ thine !
And we’ll take a right good-will draught,
for auld lang syne.
CHORUS
Thank God for solar cycle 24 grand solar minimum!
And solar cycles 25 and 26 if historical precedent is to be trusted.
Global warming predicts record cold temperatures. In fact, global warming predicts that the earth will freeze (unless it doesn’t).
michael et al;
Ya, ya, but be careful what you ask for; you might get it. If worst comes to worst, it will make the projections of CAGW look like happy dreams.
Someone forgot to tell the mangroves
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/31/science/without-winter-freezes-mangroves-are-marching-north-scientists-say.html?_r=0
No problem , for the ‘magic’ of CO2 means even record colds are ‘proof ‘ of AGW