Just Another East Coast Blizzard

Guest post by John Goetz

I read Judah Cohen’s opinion piece in the New York Times yesterday and could not decide if he was being serious or not when he concluded “It’s all a snow job by nature. The reality is, we’re freezing not in spite of climate change but because of it.

He had to be joking, right? There is no way a “director of seasonal forecasting at an atmospheric and environmental research firm” could possibly believe the weather we are experiencing out here on the east coast is in any way different from the past. One need only look through past issues of the New York Times itself to debunk that idea.

I went to the archives section of the newspaper and did a simple headline search on the word “blizzard”, then scanned through the oldest articles first looking for references to blizzards in New York City. A blizzard in mid-March 1888 immediately jumped out as a particularly memorable storm. A headline from the newspaper read:

IN A BLIZZARD’S GRASP

THE WORST STORM THE CITY HAS EVER KNOWN

BUSINESS AND TRAVEL COMPLETELY SUSPENDED

New-York helpless in a tornado of wind and snow which paralyzed all industry, isolated the city from the rest of the country, caused many accidents and great discomfort, and exposed it to many dangers.

Two feet of snow fell in New York City during the storm, and the wind approached, but did not quite reach, 50 miles per hour. The blizzard was quite expansive, stretching from Ohio to Boston. A report from Cleveland read “Worst snowstorm in a long period of years” with high winds and heavily falling snow following a winter “unusually mild and free from snow, only an occasional cold wave indicating the season of the year“.

While that winter may have been mild in Cleveland, 1888 proved quite harsh in the prairie states. A massive blizzard that accompanied arctic cold of 20 to 40 degrees below zero stretched from Texas to the Dakotas on January 12. Two headlines from the New York Times that January summed up the massive storm. First from January 13:

THE NORTHWEST BLIZZARD; SEVERAL LIVES LOST AND MANY PERSONS MISSING.

THE RAILROADS BLOCKADED, TRAINS ABANDONED, AND GREAT DAMAGE CAUSED TO LIVE STOCK.

Yesterday’s storm proved to be of much greater severity than was at first supposed. It was general throughout Minnesota, Dakota, Montana, Wisconsin, and Iowa, and railroad men say it has not been surpassed since 1872. The storm effects were most severe from the peculiar action of the winds and drifts.

And another from January 21:

THE BLIZZARD’S VICTIMS

TWO HUNDRED AND THIRTY SEVEN LIVES LOST

The New York City blizzard of March, 1888 certainly left a lasting impression, as it was used to measure several other bruising storms that occurred during the remaining years of that century. This includes the blizzard of March 13, 1891; the February 27, 1894 blizzard where “only about a foot and a half of snow fell in 24 hours” with gale winds up to 44 miles per hour. That storm was closely followed by the monster of April 12, 1894 described by the Times as “almost a repetition of the blizzard of 1888.

Then came the blizzard of January 28, 1897 that slammed the eastern seaboard. An article reported from Baltimore said the city had 7 inches of snow, the “most severe storm of the present season. There have been few heavier snowfalls since the blizzard of 1888. Ice has fastened itself in the waters of the rivers and Chesapeake Bay“. Then just northeast of New York City came the word that “Rockville, Conn., reports a fall of 34 inches of snow, drifts 5 to 8 feet deep, and that the blizzard has been the most severe since 1888.

The final blizzard of the 1800’s did not, apparently, rise to the level where it could be compared with that of 1888. This storm occurred on February 11, 1899,  and was nothing more than heavy snow accompanied by 50+ mile per hour winds, and it followed a week of record cold where, as the storm began, “the mercury mounted to a comparatively dizzy height of 6 degrees above zero“.

That storm of 1888 sure must have been something. I can tell you this – I sure don’t long for those “good old days.”

1888 blizzard references (requires a NYT subscription to open PDFs):

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Robert of Ottawa
December 27, 2010 2:07 pm

But unlike previous blizzards – these are WARM blizzards.

c. j. acworth
December 27, 2010 2:11 pm

Here in New Hampshire I just finished plowing 16″ of Global Warming out of the private road my neighbors and I live on so I can maybe get to work tomorrow.

Frank K.
December 27, 2010 2:16 pm

“Same as it ever was” — Talking Heads

R. de Haan
December 27, 2010 2:17 pm

It’s the same mantra everywhere.
It’s not a conspiracy, only a well coordinated propaganda campaign by the UN World Meteorological Organization to save the frozen ruins of the Global Warming doctrine in order to provide our political elite with a basis to sell us out and turn the West into an IDIOCRACY.
http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2010/12/scorchio.html

ShrNfr
December 27, 2010 2:21 pm

I dunno where that person lived before, but this was a relatively normal nor’easter up in Boston. I know folks in DC and south near the coast freak out at 1″ but this was just your usual ugly up here. Nothing all that big. At least for us it was snow and not ice. My son finally made some money with the plow on his F-150.

December 27, 2010 2:22 pm

“One need only look through past issues of the New York Times itself to debunk that idea.”
This is why it is imperative to set up Ministry of Truth (Minitrue) in Oceania ASAP. There’s no other way to correct past errors.

Editor
December 27, 2010 2:24 pm

The 1888 blizzard is still well known among weather enthusiasts in the northeast. Google searches find several links and several photos. In Boston it was the impetus to build their subway system.
http://www.islandnet.com/~see/weather/almanac/arc2008/alm08mar.htm
http://www.infoplease.com/cig/weather/greatest-one-all.html
http://www.nycsubway.org/articles/1888-blizzard.html
http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/blizzard/blizz.txt (compares the 1993 “Storm of the Century” with 1888)
http://www.cthistoryonline.org/cdm-cho/cho/journeys/j_infra_disast_1888.html

December 27, 2010 2:28 pm
latitude
December 27, 2010 2:31 pm

but those were all weather…
….this time it’s caused by less ice, warming the air, creating a negative/positive air flow, creating a low/high pressure, creating the snow………….
this time it’s different, because there’s people trying to make money off it

John F. Hultquist
December 27, 2010 2:33 pm

My mother, born in 1907 on a farm in western PA, would later tell her small children how she had to walk two miles to the one room school house with the snow “up to here” and she would hold her hand just above her belt. We would exclaim and she would smile. Years later we realized that as a first grader she was much less tall than as an adult and the snow she described was rather normal in western PA. Nothing has changed in the hundred years.
And no, she did not tell us her walk to school was uphill both ways.

noaaprogrammer
December 27, 2010 2:36 pm

Yes, we’re in the midst of climate change – from warming to cooling – so what’s new? By the time the warmists admit it, the climate will be back to warming again, while they will be figuring out how to tax and scare us into believing in death by ice with their inverted hockey sticks! BTW was Al Gore going to give some big speech on AGW in New York?

Pamela Gray
December 27, 2010 2:38 pm

Well, well, well. Judah certainly has interesting things to say about the AO now and back in 2005. So which is it Judah?
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI3530.1

David L
December 27, 2010 2:40 pm

Carefull there, you’re going to inadvertantly prove that current snow storms are less frequent, less severe, less windy, less cold, and have less snow than the past, which will naturally be conclusive proof of AGW. I think this nor’easter was 0.3C warmer than the one in 1888.

Gary
December 27, 2010 2:43 pm

Only 8 inches of global warming at my house. When I was a kid we used to get twice as much global warming on a regular basis.

Leon Brozyna
December 27, 2010 2:47 pm

And when the glaciers once again start their march south through Canada and into the northern reaches of the U.S., these fools will blame it all on global climate whatever.

Green Acres
December 27, 2010 2:50 pm

The NY Times piece is an incredible pile of nonsense. Let’s see, the diminished ice in the Arctic leads to greater moisture available, which leads to more snow in Siberia, which causes colder and snowier weather. Problem is, the diminished ice in the Arctic is in the summer and it doesn’t snow much in Siberia in the summer. Last I looked, ice extent in the Arctic in the winter is normal (whatever normal is). So what is this guy saying, the increased moisture from the summer just kind of lurks around Siberia until it gets cold enough to snow? Ridiculous. And how about the Southern Hemisphere? No shortage of ice there, summer or winter. So I guess the CO2 only works its magic in the Northern Hemisphere
The other main problem with this Siberia explanation is more difficult to explain away with pseudo-scientific mumbo jumbo. If the effect of global warming is to create colder and snowier winters, what happens to the dire predictions of drought, rising sea levels, heat waves, etc.? Apparently, the new explanation is that we will all freeze to death because of global warming! You know the warmists are scraping the bottom of the barrel when they break out this foolishness.

December 27, 2010 2:52 pm

Here, on another continent, there’s been 10″of global warming on the ground for over a month. Quite unusual. The last global warming disappeared end of March, to reappear only 6 months later. If this trend continues and we get more two months of global warming every year, it’ll be just another three years before it all connects and we’ll have a full year of global warming. Next thing you know it’s glaciers ringing at the front door.

December 27, 2010 2:59 pm

Well … you’ve got to read this:
27 February 1894 New York Times (free)
http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=F30A1FFB345D15738DDDAE0A94DA405B8485F0D3
Pessimistic old gentlemen who have been entertaining grave fears for the “old- fashioned Winters we used to have” should have been very much cheered up …
Reply: Yeah, I read that during my search. Lots of interesting articles piled up in the archive, including some during that same time frame that discussed the horrific winters being suffered in England. Another post …

RockyRoad
December 27, 2010 3:02 pm
Theo Goodwin
December 27, 2010 3:06 pm

I believe that this blast of cold air is nothing out of the ordinary, with one exception, and that is the fact that the cold air extends so far south. These cold air masses usually stop in the vicinity of Florida’s panhandle or maybe Gainesville. But for the last three years they have hit Central Florida and we have suffered considerably. I was outside in the sunshine about 4:00 pm and the temperature was 47 F with a windchill in the neighborhood of 40. That is the lowest temperature in sunshine that I have experienced in Central Florida.

December 27, 2010 3:09 pm

Look at this one as well … a fascinating piece (free) on 7 March 1920
http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive-free/pdf?res=F7061EF93B5F1B728DDDAE0894DB405B808EF1D3
Compares the storm of 1888 with the storm of 1920 … detailed stats

December 27, 2010 3:10 pm

Judah is correct (politically) because the Lame Ducks repealed the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics just before Christmas. You may have missed that news in the bustle of the Season.

rob m.
December 27, 2010 3:28 pm

@Theo: The orange trees in Central Florida were wiped out 20 or so years ago by similar cold fronts you are experiencing now.

BFL
December 27, 2010 3:36 pm

R. de Haan: speaking of Idiocracy:
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0387808/

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