Serious Doubts Arise About Kew Temperature ‘Records’ as Recent UK Heatwave is Weaponised to Drive Net Zero

from THE DAILY SCEPTIC

by Chris Morrison

31 May 2026 9:00 AM

Kew Gardens is rapidly becoming the new Heathrow as the favoured Met Office site for producing unnatural heat spikes in place of true, uncorrupted ambient air temperatures. This is, of course, useful for suggesting climate collapse and catastrophe to back the Net Zero fantasy, but it is hardly meteorological science at its finest. Kew played a central role in the curated alarums that greeted the recent first heatwave of the British summer. Notable by its absence in the mainstream was the relevant information that Kew has shocking form in producing sudden spikes into record territory, displaying a recording pattern that would be highly unlikely to occur at a site that measured natural air properly.

The reaction across mainstream and social media was often hysterical. This effort from social commentator Matthew Todd was typical of countless bedwetting posts on X.

Last year, the Met Office claimed an all-time UK high May 1st temperature at Kew of 29.3°C. Analysis by citizen scientist Dr Eric Huxter showed the temperature was almost 2°C above that recorded in the hour before – well above what might be expected from such temperature rises seen during the day, with movements commonly around the plus or minus 0.2°C to 0.4°C mark.

The first record claimed last week was on Tuesday May 25th, when the temperature at the Kew site rose to 34.8°C – some 1.3°C above the previous hour. Dr Huxter has told the Daily Sceptic that some doubt remains over the figures for the next day, when the temperature hit 35.1°C. Since April last year, Huxter observes that Kew has provided no fewer than 13 daily UK extremes with an average heat spike of 1°C. By comparison, in the same period Heathrow supplied 35 temperature spikes averaging 1.2°C.

The main culprit in producing these heat spikes is the switch from liquid-in-bulb thermometers to PRT automatic electronic measuring devices during the last 30 years. These provide a more accurate reading every minute, but it is plain that they are picking up every passing heat spike – often unnatural – that were missed by slower-moving liquid in a glass bulb. Dr Huxter has calculated that in the glass-bulb era up to 1989, the 40 new records (0.3 a year) averaged steps from the previous high of 0.5°C, while from 1990 there have been 147 new records (four per year) with average steps of 1.5°C. This sudden change is used by alarmists – many of them employed by the Met Office – to suggest dramatic climate change. But an obvious and plausible explanation is provided by the switch to more accurate measuring devices.

One-minute heat spikes at the 24-hour maximum are used to calculate daily average temperatures, which eventually find their way into national and international databases. Taking an average of temperatures over five minutes or longer would help reduce the unnatural distortions, but the Met Office seems unwilling to make such an adjustment. By such measurements have flawed decisions on Net Zero been made around the world, costing untold sums of money and contributing to the ongoing destruction of the industrial base of many countries, including the UK.

The heat spikes at urban heat-ravaged Met Office sites are doing much of the heavy lifting in stoking the climate fear that is vital to promoting the political Net Zero cause. Nevertheless, are we sure that such spikes are largely unnatural? Can they occur, for instance, at an open-field site far from artificial influences, where there can be no doubt that the only substance being measured is uncontaminated natural air? Over the last year, Dr Huxter has provided dramatic proof that they cannot – at least not on the regular scale seen at the sites that enter the record books. In that period, he analysed 525,541 minute-by-minute recordings at the Class I site in open farmland at Rothamsted.

The graph above shows clearly that at a pristine site, the vast majority of the half a million readings vary from the previous hour within individual differences in a range between -0.15°C and 0.25°C. Most individual changes were to be found between -0.35°C and 0.45°C. As part of his year-long project, Huxter examined 340 daily maximum temperature highs recorded across 96 Met Office stations and discovered that these sites showed average short heat spikes of around 1.1°C – similar, of course, to the performance of both the Kew and Heathrow stations.

Comparing the Rothamsted control with the 360 heat spikes, a chi-square test showed a highly significant difference of p<0.0,001. This means that if there were truly no difference between the sites, the chances of observing such a large discrepancy in heat spikes would be less than one in 10,000 – in other words, more unlikely than one in 10,000 and quite possibly far smaller: one in 100,000, for example.

It is easy to understand why Kew is now giving Heathrow airport some competition in the heat spikes and ‘record’ temperatures stakes. Dr Huxter’s illustration below has been doing the rounds on social media. There are no jet aircraft on the move, but there are plenty of nearby sources of heat available to bump up the temperatures. Of interest is the plethora of large glasshouses that automatically vent hot air when temperatures climb above 28°C. Every little helps, the cynical might note, when new records are being chased.

It was always a mystery why Kew was a CIMO Class 2 site with no recording ‘uncertainties’. This designation now appears to have been withdrawn, and it is presumably in the junk classes of 3, 4 and 5 – where possible recording errors up to 1°C, 2°C and 5°C respectively are officially noted – that it now resides.

Paul Homewood has suggested that the early June heatwave of 1947 was every bit as intense as last week’s blast. Temperatures of 94°F were recorded on June 3rd at Waddington and in London at Camden Square and Kensington. Notes Homewood: “In contrast, 95°F at Kew probably includes three degrees of UHI [Urban Heat Island]… the evidence from June 1947 does more than undermine Met Office claims that this week’s heatwave is evidence of climate change. It raises the question why they are not giving the public all of the relevant facts by telling them we have had similar weather in the past.”

The last word must go to Dr Huxter: “The observed changes in temperature over the past 30 years therefore owe more to flaws in measurement… rather than any wider anthropogenic effect. The uncritical adoption of the PRT technology, which conveniently reinforced what the modellers believed, now drives the Net Zero Cult.”

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor. Follow him on X.

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39 Comments
June 1, 2026 10:35 pm

If the models were useful, they would be showing that the UK is only 400 years into a 9,000 year trend of increasing maximum daily average sunlight. A lot more temperature records in UK’s future.

Look at the sea surface temperature around the Iberian Peninsula. It is up by 4C on the 1980-2010 average. Med will hit 30C this year and monsoon will ensue. Over the coming decades, the re-greening of the Sahara will be even more apparent as monsoon conditions in the Med become more regular.
earth :: a global map of wind, weather, and ocean conditions

To balance the NH heating, the SH is close to losing ocean heat. It is decelerating and oceans of the SH will be losing heat within a decade. Hard to keep the scam going when half the globe is cooling.

The problems facing the UNIPCC for AR7 are insurmountable in terms of keeping the Climate Change™ scam going. Death of RCP8.5 was the first step backwards from the scam.

MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 12:33 am

The likes of Kew and Heathrow do appear to top out more than one might expect but they are at the epicentre of the London conurbation.

It doesn’t alter the fact spring 2026 was yet another record in the CET (and England and Wales by the Met Office’s countrywide calculations).

Albeit there may be some rogue figures, you’d have to be living in a cave 10 miles underground to think the last 30 years of warming is purely a result of dodgy data/sites and methods by the MO. And you would be gaslighting me.

Every single spring month CET mean this year was 2.5C warmer than 1961-90 average. And boy could my lack of heating use and garden tell.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/news-and-media/media-centre/weather-and-climate-news/2026/warmest-spring-on-record-for-england-and-wales–third-warmest-for-uk

Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 1:50 am

All measured by the same technology, at sites with an average of 2.45°C additional error across the network of Synoptic and Climatic Stations, measuring very local micro-weather. There are 4 step changes in the Maximum Temperature record in the PRT Era from the LIGT Era:
1) Records per year
2) Change in record
3) Trend
4) Intensity of trend cycles (fractal)

Kew again registered the UK Maximum yesterday:
01/06/2026 Kew Gardens (CIMO 2) 6m Est. 1961(LIGT Era) recorded 25°C at 12:44 GMT 2.4°C above Previous hour with a 0.9% probability at a CIMO 1 site with 30.6% of Minimum Assumed Ventilation for PRT in Stevenson Screen

Heathrow continues to spike:
On 01/06/2026 Heathrow(CIMO 3)at 12:31GMT recorded a 0.55°C spike in 1 minutes (0.55°C/minute) with a <0.026% probability at CIMO 1 site with 55.6%MAV

Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 3:20 am

You only have to be living >10 miles from the nearest towns.
I am regularly 2-3°C colder than thermometers in them…

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 5:44 am

No one is claiming the planet is not warming. It is.
The debate centers on how much is natural (most) versus other (minor) especially caused by measurement instrumentation and siting errors.

Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 7:14 am

Every single spring month CET mean this year was 2.5C warmer than 1961-90 average. And boy could my lack of heating use and garden tell.

Part of the problem is with comparing two entirely different measuring devices. Hysteresis in LIG thermometers has an averaging effect over time. That causes totally different temperatures even if both measuring devices are totally accurate (they are not).

ASOS stations in the U.S. take a reading every 10 seconds and averages those into a minute value. Every minute, the data processing unit averages the last 5 minutes and reports that average. It is a system that was designed to emulate what can occur with an LIG thermometer.

If the CET does not do this, and only reports the “10 second” sample, then the possibility of spikes is greatly enhanced. It also makes comparisons with LIG data totally incorrect.

Reply to  Jim Gorman
June 2, 2026 7:36 am

The Met Office stations record temperature every 15 secs and averages over 1 min which is their reported temperature.

MarkW
Reply to  Phil.
June 2, 2026 8:57 am

They are comparing this to old style mercury thermometers that took several minutes to respond to a change in temperature.

The older stations also only recorded a daily high and daily low, that was recorded to the nearest degree, as judged by a Mark 1 Eye Ball.

It was then assumed that the average for each day was the arithmetic average of the high and low temperatures.

Reply to  MarkW
June 3, 2026 9:09 am

They are comparing this to old style mercury thermometers that took several minutes to respond to a change in temperature.”

The response time of the LIG thermometers is about 60secs compared to the recommended CIMO response time of 20secs (which research shows is something of an underestimate, more like 40sec under Stevenson screen conditions).

Reply to  Phil.
June 2, 2026 10:33 am

The Met Office stations record temperature every 15 secs and averages over 1 min which is their reported temperature.

Comparing that to temperatures from LIG thermometers is a joke.

Reply to  Phil.
June 2, 2026 3:27 pm

Even hourly average give a warmer daily average than a Tmin,Tmax, as shown by Valentia chart below.

1 minute readings are going to give a much higher daily average.

Not only that, but heat spikes are generally short,.

You have actually described one of the methods that the Met use for creating higher temperatures… well done.

valentia-1880-2024
Westfieldmike
Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 8:20 am

Kew records temperatures up to 5C higher than the true temperatures, and you think that’s ok?

MarkW
Reply to  Westfieldmike
June 2, 2026 9:00 am

Whatever it takes to get the recorded numbers to better agree with the models.

Reply to  MarkW
June 2, 2026 1:46 pm

That is basically the Met Office climate activist modus. !!

MarkW
Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 8:56 am

Given that most of the sites used for generating this claim of record highs have been independently rated as junk or worse, how can you be so confident that there is a “record” high.

Reply to  MarkW
June 2, 2026 1:50 pm

Here is a rather blurry chart showing some “non-urban temperatures in UK vs some from the urban heat island that comprises much of the CET region.

UK-3-x-3-new-1749654188.1402
Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 1:42 pm

CET is as urban biased as anywhere else in the Met Office’s temperature mess.

Here is an excerpt from a recent report.

CETpage5_30046_image002
Reply to  MrGrimNasty
June 2, 2026 1:44 pm

Not only that , but compared to Valentia, a nearby pristine site, CET has a definite upward trend

CET-vs-Val
Reply to  bnice2000
June 3, 2026 10:47 am

Valentia is located next to an estuary which means it is not a ‘pristine site’ by CIMO standards.

June 2, 2026 1:39 am

This is all very interesting, and more than likely some over-egged temperature reporting to keep the flame burning….!
However, the background is one of global temperature remaining very high. This is backed up by both satellite (Globally) and by USCRN for the US, not to mention CET for Central England.
With such background heat, the media will continue to push the AGW narrative because they do believe it’s their responsibility to draw public attention to the issue. That’s their job! It won’t be the first and it won’t be the last time, we hear of the media cherry-picking the evidence to support a narrative, it happens over a broad range of issues. Just like it does here on WUWT, where we often read outlandish viewpoints and articles, with the objective of countering the prevailing AGW narrative!

Reply to  Neutral1966
June 2, 2026 1:52 am

Or  the mirage is purely the result of the heat haze produced by spikey PRTs and the CIMO Premium.

Sparta Nova 4
Reply to  Neutral1966
June 2, 2026 5:46 am

There is no global temperature. Sahara is not the same as Antarctica.
There are scores, hundreds of micro climates and regions with unique weather patterns.

Reply to  Sparta Nova 4
June 2, 2026 7:20 am

The fact that “hotspots” can move speaks against using a “global temperature” for anything. Southeast U.S. can be hot one month, and Indonesia the next. One only has to look at the UAH anomaly table for different areas to see how heat moves from one spot to another. If CO2 is well mixed, and is the primary driver, this would not occur.

As you say microclimates are unique and are not averageable into a meaningful total.

cwright
June 2, 2026 3:22 am

I live in the south of England. For quite a few years, on hot days I place my electronic thermometer in the garden in the shade. During this late-May heatwave the peak temperature I measured was 29.9 degrees C. It felt warm but not unpleasant.

At the start of the Long Hot Summer, about fifty years ago, there was an extreme heatwave in May. I remember standing in the garden and thinking how unpleasently hot it was. I recall several unpleasent heatwaves during the early 2000’s. One was so bad that I remember getting the bus into Worthing to try to buy a fan.
It’s just my impression, but I think the heatwaves over the last few years, despite all these claimed records, were far less extreme than the earlier ones. Yes, I’m pretty sure that the Met Office’s measurements are badly flawed. It is a scientific scandal, nothing less.

Reply to  cwright
June 2, 2026 7:23 am

Part of what you are describing is enthalpy. That is a measurement that includes the latent heat in water vapor. It is a contributor to “feels like” calculations where 90 can feel like 95.

Enthalpy is an extensive value that climate science should be using to compare different locations and not just temperature.

Reply to  Jim Gorman
June 2, 2026 8:28 am

Absolutely, and the fact that I know that and I’m not even in the climate field of science, shows that climate scientists are happily engaging in scientific fraud.

Sparta Nova 4
June 2, 2026 5:42 am

We need to move from Urban Heat Island to Urban Heat Influence.

June 2, 2026 8:02 am
Westfieldmike
Reply to  Phil.
June 2, 2026 8:23 am

The site is blocked.

Reply to  Westfieldmike
June 2, 2026 12:01 pm

Yes, I tried to erase it because of that but was unsuccessful, sorry.

Reply to  Phil.
June 2, 2026 1:52 pm

Yes, Kew is right in the middle of the massive London urban heat dome.. That is the point. !

The site is shown on the map on the post, just not labelled. It is the little white square just below the label for “The Royal Kitchen”.

Reply to  bnice2000
June 3, 2026 9:19 am

Yes it’s situated in the middle of a lawn, more than 30m from buildings and water and not shaded by trees, meeting CIMO Class 2. Bordered by woodlands and near a golf course.

Westfieldmike
June 2, 2026 8:18 am

Temperatures from known heat islands must be banned from being used in the weather forecasts. The London temperature, touted by the Met office as the temperature for the South East on the BBC weather, should be taken 5 miles outside the M25 away from airport runways.

June 2, 2026 11:44 am

Our village Horticultural Society is visiting Kew next week and it will be interesting to inspect the weather station’s location and the effect of the surroundings.
Can anyone point out where it is sited on the aerial photo in the article?

Reply to  StephenP
June 2, 2026 11:55 am

I’m tempted to take a thermometer with me to see how the temperature varies around the garden, (maybe at the risk of being thrown out.)

Reply to  StephenP
June 2, 2026 12:05 pm

It’s in the middle of the lawn between the Childrens’ garden and the Hive. I hope that helps.

Reply to  Phil.
June 2, 2026 1:56 pm

Right in the middle of the sprawling London urban metropolis.

Reply to  bnice2000
June 2, 2026 7:45 pm

Yeah right next to a golf course!

Reply to  Phil.
June 3, 2026 2:03 am

Thank you Phil