Storing Green Energy to Last Germany 10 Days Would Require A 60-Million Tonne Battery

From the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin

An article at the European Institute for Climate & Energy (EIKE) website here takes a critical look at whether battery parks would be feasible to fully secure Germany’s weather-dependent power generation from wind and solar. 

Storing electric power to last Germany 10 days would require a 60 million-tonne battery. Image generated by Grok AI

Germany currently has a battery capacity of approximately 26 gigawatt-hours (GWh), the majority of which (approx. 20 GWh) consists of private home storage systems.

Only large-scale storage systems (approx. 4.3 GWh) are considered truly “grid-serving.” Currently, these could cover only about 5% of summer electricity demand for 1.5 hours.

The “Germany battery”: What would be required?

Energy expert Staffan Reveman presented a plausibility calculation for making Germany self-sufficient (without fossil fuel plants or imports). The results are sobering.

10 hour buffer

To achieve just 10 hours of buffer, a capacity of 600 GWh would be required – 24 times the current inventory and representing a material weight of approx. 3 million tonnes.

10 days of buffer

To bridge a ten-day “Dunkelflaute” (dark doldrums) in winter with a 50 GW load, 12,000 GWh would be needed. This is 470 times the current total capacity and 2,800 times the current large-scale storage. Such a battery would weigh 60 million tons. A modern factory (like CATL in Thuringia) would theoretically need 857 years to produce this amount.

Constant replacement

A central drawback is the limited durability of batteries (approx. 10–15 years). To operate a system of 12,000 GWh permanently, batteries would need to be replaced conbtinuusly. Reveman calculates that approximately 57 mega-factories would need to produce continuously just to maintain this inventory.

Astronomical cost

A simulation for the Traunstein district showed that self-sufficient supply via wind, solar, and batteries would increase wholesale electricity costs from 6 cents to 217 cents per kwh.

Moreover, a 240-hour battery (12,000 GWh) would require an area of approx. 600 square kilometers (roughly two-thirds the size of Berlin).

Conclusion

The EIKE author concludes that batteries alone cannot guarantee a secure power supply. Even under massive expansion scenarios for 2030, gaps remain (especially in winter) that would strictly require a flexible power plant reserve (e.g., gas-fired plants) or imports.

Furthermore, lack of grid stability (missing rotating mass) is cited as a significant technical hurdle.

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Bryan A
March 15, 2026 10:19 pm

To bridge a ten-day “Dunkelflaute” (dark doldrums) in winter with a 50GW load, 12,000GWh would be needed.

Since another Dunkelflaute can conceivably occur within days of the end of the last Dunkelflaute, not only would 12,000GWh of battery be needed but also 12,000GWh of dedicated capacity to recharge the battery within hours. In the case of Solar 4 hours of dedicated charging from 4,000GW of dedicated capacity

Bob in Castlemaine
Reply to  Bryan A
March 15, 2026 10:31 pm

Precisely. There is no guarantee that 12 TWh would be adequate to cover the initial wind no-show, Dunkelflaute, plus the critical battery recharging during the period of fickle return of the breezes

March 15, 2026 10:29 pm

In his book “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and The Madness of Crowds”, Charles Mackay describes a number of mass delusions that would seem incredible if not well documented. The common thread is that people are not exorcized of their insanity until they hit bottom and have no choice but accepting they were wrong.

Reply to  Shoki
March 15, 2026 11:16 pm

The only delusion that battery storage proponents have is that by building and instituting large electrical storage systems, is somehow the only way to cause the earth to cool.

That’s it. There are no other valid reason to even consider such nonsense. Of course, carbon free electrical generation is available now with nuclear, no batteries required. But they refuse to use it.

mikeq
March 15, 2026 11:03 pm

Winter Dunkelflaute gets the headlines, but it is misleading and NOT the biggest challenge, though it is easier to explain..

Surprisingly, the real challenge for a battery energy storage system would be the Summer months.

Wind turbine capacity factor is much lower than the annual average from April to early October, falling below 10% for much of July and August. There would be almost continuous demand on the storage system throughout this period with only relatively short periods of excess capacity to recharge the storage system. Therefore, there just isn’t enough wind to recharge the system and it would be progressively drained through the Summer, approaching minimum safety margin in late September.

For Ireland, I have created a model that calculates the renewable generation capacity and ESS requirement for 100% replacement of fossil fuels to be about 15% of annual demand, i.e., 54 days or 1,300 hours. (31 TWh annual demand in 2022 at 15% = 4.5 TWh)

BESS to date requires about 40 m2/MWh.

4.5TWh storage for Ireland would therefore require about 180 sq km of land. This is approximately 150% of the area of Dublin City and equal to the total urban area of the cities of Cork, Limerick, Galway and Waterford.

Scale that up to Germany and other larger European countries with higher energy demands!