In Al Jazeera’s article, “‘We don’t want to disappear’: Tuvalu fights for climate action and survival,” reporter Lyndal Rowlands claims that the Pacific island nation of Tuvalu is on the brink of disappearing beneath rising seas. This is false. Peer reviewed data show that most of Tuvalu’s islands are growing, keeping up with sea level rise (SLR) with the nation gaining land mass on net, and that SLR is not accelerating.
The story quotes Tuvalu’s Climate Change Minister, Maina Talia, calling for urgent “climate finance” and help to build seawalls to keep the islands above water. The piece also declares that Tuvalu “needs real commitments” from other nations so that Tuvaluans can “stay in Tuvalu” as the “climate crisis worsens.” It frames the country as a helpless victim of rising seas, citing the United Nations, the International Court of Justice, and climate-finance NGOs to reinforce the narrative.
Yet, this story is simply false. Multiple peer-reviewed studies show that Tuvalu is not sinking—it is growing. According to research highlighted by Climate Realism, recent satellite and aerial analyses reveal that Tuvalu’s total land area has increased by 2.9 percent over the past four decades, with 74 percent of its islands expanding in size. Rather than drowning, Tuvalu’s natural processes of sediment deposition and coral accretion are exceeding, the local rate of sea-level rise.
Even The New York Times—no stranger to climate alarmism—recently acknowledged that many Pacific islands are growing, not vanishing. In 2024 The Times reported that “many low-lying coral islands are not shrinking, but instead are stable or increasing in land area.” This is consistent with long-term field measurements showing that atoll systems are dynamic, self-repairing, and resilient.
The claim that Tuvalu is “barely one meter above sea level” and faces imminent destruction is a talking point that has been circulating for more than 30 years. Yet, as documented at WUWT in “Remember When the Island of Tuvalu Was Going to Be Inundated by Sea Level Rise? Never Mind.”, Tuvalu remains very much above water. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Tides and Currents website, since the 1980s, SLR near Tuvalu has averaged roughly 3–4 millimeters per year— which is equivalent to a change of 1.29 feet in 100 years —hardly the apocalyptic surge portrayed by Al Jazeera. See the graph below.

Moreover, WUWT’s “Everything Climate” section explains that global satellite data show no evidence that sea-level rise is accelerating, and the rate of increase has remained largely unchanged since the 1950s. Coastal variability, driven by natural processes like El Niño cycles and sediment transport, explains much of what alarmist observers misinterpret as “climate-driven” loss.
If Tuvalu were truly in existential peril, it would not be investing heavily in new infrastructure and tourism amenities. The government has spent millions on airport improvements, resort facilities, and fiber-optic internet connectivity—all to expand the tourism trade. Those aren’t the actions of a nation preparing to vanish beneath the waves. They are the actions of a government seizing every opportunity to extract climate aid while modernizing its economy.
That brings us to the real story: money. Tuvalu’s leaders are campaigning for ever-greater “climate finance” commitments—what Minister Talia calls “real commitments” and “polluter-pay” reparations. In the article, he laments that the country “needs it now, in order for us to respond to the climate crisis.” But what Tuvalu really seeks is not salvation from the sea—it’s a bigger slice of the climate funding pie. As WUWT has observed, these small island governments have learned that portraying themselves as victims yields lucrative international sympathy and cash. They know a good grift when they see it.
Facts still matter. Tuvalu’s land mass is stable or growing. Its population is not evacuating. Its leaders are not panicking—they’re lobbying for money to be used for ongoing economic development. The “sinking islands” narrative is falsified by peer-reviewed evidence and decades of observations demonstrating that Tuvalu is not disappearing. Al Jazeera reporter Lyndal Rowlands could have discovered this with a simple Google search but instead repeated this decades-old myth without a single reference to the robust scientific literature disproving it.
What’s sinking is honest, fact-based journalism, not Tuvalu.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Climate change is causing Tuvalu’s islands to increase in size forcing Islanders further inland away from their source of income and cultural identity. Something must be done!
You can’t beat rationalization, especially when it might get you more money :<)
Since you need warm shallow seas for corals to grow and mineral carbonates to build up, growing atolls are evidence of a warming world. But then what’s the argument for more funds?
But then what’s the argument for more funds?
Because ….. climate crisis!
Drilling cores show that Funafuti atoll compacted coral (limestone) is over 100 metres deep and this means it has risen over 100 metres since the last ice age started phasing out 20000 years ago,
Charles Darwin first postulated that coral reefs build up coral islands which keep pace with sea level change,
the process is that coral is continuously being broken off by storms and cyclones and this then gets gradually ground into sediment by wave action and currents and waves deposit this on nearby atolls. Some fish species also eat coral, digest the algae and expel coral sediment.
“Islands are SINKING”
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
Wacha got, Lyndal?
Well, even some of the Taliban believe in AGW.
It can’t get more extraordinary than that 🙂
The “atoll nation vanishing” was the McGuffin of Chrichton’s State of Fear, a novel no good Green would ever read.
Crichton was the first to point out the parallels between AGW and religious movements.
Story Tip
Adjusting to warming world has cost Maryland billions, comptroller says
Attribution “Science” and RCP 8.5 rear their ugly heads once again.
What cost billions is the legislation that increased funding for Maryland public schools which was passed during the pandemic when kids were not in school because the teachers union didn’t want to go back to the classroom. Maryland kids have fallen behind, particularly the poorer ones.
When history and science fail, you can always fall back on lying and cheating.
___________________________________________________________
University of Colorado’s Sea Level Research Group C-SLRG says
the satellites show the acceleration as 0.071 ± 0.025 mm/yr² which
is a fiction, but that’s what the climate cult will claim.
Then there’s this:
acceleration as 0.071 ± 0.025 mm/yr²
1.071^100 = 953 mm
So, if water rises on the order of mm per year, then after 100 years water would be rising on the order of an _extra_ meter every year.
Acceleration turns it into a compound interest problem, which makes great models because the equations get easy. Then you have to take into account the surface area and location of unmelted ice from which the water is supposed to come, and ignore the clouds because cloud formation might not be linearly proportional to ice melt, then assume the sun never changes, then… oh crap.
If you stack currency high enough it can act as a seawall.
And if the ink is non-toxic then the water that sops through would be filtered!
Money wall, yes.
Do you think Mexico would buy us one?
They need the money to build more 4 and 5 star tourist resorts.
“on the brink” since I was a kid, and a submarine sandwich cost $5 including the drink.
Weren’t some of the islands supposedly on the brink of being inundated by rising seas in the process of building luxury resort hotels almost at the sea edge because they were hoping to attract more tourists? So maybe they know something all the alarmists haven’t figured out yet, or maybe it’s a case of the same alarmist media simply trying to generate more scare tactics despite fighting a losing battle in the climate narrative.
Indeed. The Maldives are the best example investing heavily in high-cost marine tourism.
Grift is the only thing keeping the lies going. Without funding the pseudo-scientific nonsense would be underwater in a flash.
Yes, I seem to recall ridiculous screeching ululation about 30 years ago that the Maldives and half of Bangladesh would be underwater by 2018.
And what happened then?
Just push out the date when we’ll still be hit by whatever catastrophe they predict – so, completely dismissively, and from an overwhelming position of unquestionable knowledge, there is never any need for their apology that they were talking complete and utter bullsh#t in the first place.
BoM’s Pacific Sea Level and Geodetic Monitoring Project
It would be ironic that if the idea of building seawalls was to come a reality, that the structures whilst being built would interrupt the natural current flows with a possibility that areas where sand is currently being deposited would instead become subject to erosion. The rule seems to be that if a structure is built the ocean will try to knock it down, if a hole is dug the ocean will fill it in.
Trying to fight nature is fraught with danger, better to adapt.
Al Jazeera is on the wrong side of history. Welcome to the dust bin.
And at the forefront, the Misleadia
As I understand it, the average height above sea level of the Maldives is around 1.5 m making it the lowest and flattest country in the world. It has remained virtually constant for the last 50 years. It is still there – unchanged. The theological dogma of rapidly rising sea levels due to increasing CO2 emissions is obviously a delusion.
The 3.9mm/year recorded on the Funafuti tidal gauge is a relative reading that does not account for vertical land movement. All coral atolls that are continuously being built up by coral deposition subside as the coral compacts over time. The following is from AI.(bold italic)
• Studies using continuous GPS stations on Funafuti show minor vertical land motion, typically –1 to –2 mm/year
• This is less than sea level rise (~3.9 mm/year locally), but still contributes to net relative sea level increase
So the tidal gauge is over reading by 1 to 2 mm and the absolute sea level rise is somewhere between 1.9 and 2.9mm/year with no acceleration.
NB
Atoll Structure: Funafuti is a coral atoll comprising a ring of islets surrounding a large lagoon approximately 24 km long and 18 km wide.
• Main Islet: Fongafale is the largest and most populated islet, hosting the administrative center Vaiaku and the international airport.