From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
The BBC have reported on Cyclone Alfred, which has just hit Queensland:
Hundreds of thousands of people remain without power in Australia after a cyclone brought wild weather to the east coast.
Communities in southeast Queensland and northern New South Wales (NSW) were beginning the clean-up on Sunday after the storm caused widespread flooding and knocked down power lines and trees.
A 61-year-old man’s body was recovered from floodwaters on Saturday, while in a separate incident, 12 soldiers were taken to hospital after their convoy crashed en route to rescue operations.
The storm had weakened by the time it made landfall near Brisbane on Saturday night, but Prime Minister Anthony Albanese on Sunday warned locals of the continued wild weather and risks from flooding.
“The situation in Queensland and northern New South Wales remains very serious due to flash flooding and heavy winds,” Albanese said.
“Heavy rainfall, damaging wind gusts and coastal surf impacts are expected to continue over coming days.”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq8y3xgkpw9o
In just about every story about hurricanes, the BBC invariably include a paragraph to the effect that global warming is making them worse.
Strangely this latest report fails to make any comment at all about long term trends. Could it be because cyclones have become a very rare occurrence for Australia?
This is what the Australian Bureau of Meteorology confirm that not only have tropical cyclones becomes less frequent, there has also been a decline in the more severe ones.
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/tropical-cyclone-knowledge-centre/history/climatology/
Where’s the alarm in an improving situation? The North Sea.
An official from the White House has refused to rule out foul play in the collision between a US oil tanker and a cargo shipcarrying toxic chemicals.
Sailors on board the Stena Immaculate, which was carrying a “full load” of jet fuel, were forced to abandon ship after the MV Solong vessel crashed into its port side shortly before 10am on Monday off the Yorkshire coast. – GB News
The tanker was anchored… The toxins include Sodium cyanide.
Update:
Sodium cyanide risk comes from containers that had contained the material but were apparently empty.
Don’t be surprised if there’s a report out soon wondering about the close correlation of the reduction in cyclones and the reduction in Tupperware sales.
Of course, deniers will say this is just conjecture, as they always do.
But happily, we’ll always have Paris.
Maybe not today . . .
I couldn’t find one that related to cyclones (or hurricanes), the closest I could get was Drenching rain in Perth as correlated with the number of orderlies in Hawaii:
https://tylervigen.com/spurious/correlation/5016_drenching-rain-in-perth_correlates-with_the-number-of-orderlies-in-hawaii
Just wait they will soon decrease wind strength to be called a cyclone same as they reduced temperature to be called a heat wave. You have to get the right narrative even if it means redefining a few things.
You mean like, gasp, climate?
It is now been redefined as 30-year weather, so it is always changing.
Given the period of AMO/PDO, the choice of 30 years as the defining time period for “climate” is possibly the worst you could choose. It guarantees periodic panics of Global Boiling/Ice Age Cometh. A cynic might conclude that this choice was not coincidental, given the behavior of people who desire to wield power over others..
It changed with the advent of satellites.
1970-2000 is the first climate interval.
The precession cycle is shifting the peak solar intensity northward. It has been doing that since 1582.
The most significant observable changes from the gradual shift in peak solar intensity is the slow warming of the oceans over the past 200 to 300 years in the northern hemisphere and resulting increase in atmospheric moisture across the globe apart from the eastern Pacific due to cooler air coming up from the Southern Ocean..
The increasing atmospheric moisture over Australia in summer is making it more like the Amazon where convective storms develop over land rather than over adjacent oceans. At the present time, most of the continent has more than the 30mm of atmospheric moisture required to support convective instability. In February 2024, a tropical depression spun up over land in the NT and travelled southwest for almost a week due to the amount of moisture on the ground in the NT.
The intense highs that used to sit over the middle of Australia in summer are now being replaced by the monsoon trough extending well south over the continent.
Alfred ended up parked off Brisbane for four days because it was in a tug-of-war with the dry air coming up from New Zealand and the not so dry air coming up from NSW. The BoM did predict the track reasonably well but over estimated the intensity and under estimated the time it would take by a couple of days. In the past, cyclones would be usually drawn rapidly to the dry air coming off the land.
Most of the power outages has been caused by lodged trees with sodden root mass just breaking out of the ground. Local councils have made it difficult to trim trees to reduce their wind loading.
Two things …
Alfred beginning with an A suggests it was the first named cyclone of the season, or did that change at some point?
And the electricity grid displayed alarming fragility in the face of comparatively weak winds.
FG,
It is said that its assigned name was Anthony, but this became Albert when Prime Minister Anthony Albanese decided to visit the region to give the cyclone a dressing down and a lecture on how climate change would make it worse. Then its intensity dropped away – it was a fizzer. Geoff S.
Energex … the most relevant power provider kept it’s linemen in the depots, until long after any danger had passed.
The highest wind speeds I saw reported was a brief peak of 70 miles per hour winds at one location in Northern NSW.
.
All this (300000 households without power) was caused by the astonishing amount of climate porn reporting – that deliberately whipped up fears and irrational decision making, in the shadow of a Federal Election – where the incumbent Labor party is desperate to regain relevance.
.
The climate is not the problem … the politics of the climate is toxic!
It’s not a good time for climate science
As Trump attacks US science agencies, ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred ushers in a fresh wave of climate denial in Australia | Adam Morton | The Guardian
A couple of thousand NOAA taxeaters to get the chop (that still leaves 80% of them pawing over tens of thousands of pal reviewed climastrology reports you’ll note). Can Gaia possibly survive?
It wasn’t even a cyclone. Just a lot of rain and some wind, once it hit land. Up my way (1000km north) it’s called ‘summer’.
The main problem is the infrastructure. My partner is down there now, and tells me of wires going through trees. Apparently they don’t aggressively trim nearby trees like they do up here where this is normal.
So, no CAGW required. Just plain lack of maintenance. And lack of proper drainage. And BUILDING ON FLOODPLAINS!
Agreed. I’m in Brizzie, had MUCH stronger wind in proceeding years, rain wasn’t much chop either compared to other events. No mention made of the very high tides on top of surge that super-enhanced coastal wave action.
In many respects a situation made far worse by mindless exaggeration by media and political self-interest as well as outright lying by the activist ‘Climate Council’.
Supermarket shelves are still empty this morning because of panic buying by the Karens of this world. Localised flooding has largely dissipated so deliveries are comming in but little milk and no fresh produce.
Gold Coast didn’t fare too well but what’s new, the entire place is built on a flood plain and frontal dune. So far as I’m aware pretty much 100% power restored.
Daughter , lives somewhere just north of Brissie, said, “some wind, some rain, nothing out of the ordinary”.
What there was, mainly hit south of Brisbane and northern NSW…
Like that has never happened before ! 😉
Although Cyclone frequency and severity may not be increasing, the fear mongering about cyclones seems to be increasing exponentially.
They called this one Cyclone Alfred, but might as well have called it Cyclone Afraid. The legacy media were foaming at the mouth about it, meanwhile most normal people were just preparing for a moderate cyclone and some chance of flooding.
When news of the worst cyclone in living memory (unamed at that stage but later called The Great Gold Coast Cyclone) to hit southern Queensland was published on page 2 and was presented in lower font than the weekly drapery special.
A summary of the damage is seen here:
The Cyclone of 1954