By P Gosselin on 1. September 2024
By Dr. Peter F. Mayer – https://tkp.at
Hat-tip: Linke Zeitung here.
Over the past 11,000 years of the current interglacial period, phases of prosperity and cultural flourishing are clearly linked to warmer temperatures. A reduction in deaths with rising temperatures can also be observed for the last two decades.
Fact: Cold kills nearly 30 times more people than extreme heat, 4.6 million vs. 0.155 million. Rising temperatures drive up the number of heat deaths, but not in extreme heat, but in moderate heat, as TKP recently reported and broke down. However, rising temperatures also reduce the number of deaths from cold.
Bjorn Lomborg used this data to illustrate the ratios graphically:
Chart: Björn Lomborg
Overall, this has meant saving 166,000 lives per year over the last two decades. This is according to the Lancet study by Qi Zhao (2021), which TKP has already reported on.
“Globally, 5,083,173 deaths per year were associated with sub-optimal temperatures, accounting for 9.43% of all deaths. 8.52% were cold-related and 0.91% were heat-related. There were 74 temperature-related excess deaths per 100,000 population. The mortality burden varied geographically.”
Eastern Europe had the highest heat-related excess mortality rate and sub-Saharan Africa had the highest cold-related excess mortality rate.
So we see that global warming saves lives, exactly the opposite of what politicians like Health Minister Karl Lauterbach or EU-Leyen claim and of course the mainstream media.
Full article here: https://tkp.at/2024/08/11/steigende-temperaturen-retten-leben
(Translated/summarized in the English by P. Gosselin)
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The cold weather deaths are a gross exaggeration by including the seasonal trend of heart related deaths. A slight increase in winter temperatures helps heart patients but it does not “prevent deaths”. These patients are still most likely to die from their heart disease. But perhaps their lives will be extended slightly due to slightly warmer winters.
Coronary heart disease exhibits a winter peak and summer trough in incidence and mortality, in countries both north and south of the equator.
Well then, we obviously owe it to “Heart Patients” everywhere to do all we can to ensure that a gradual temperature increase is maintained to benefit this marginalized group. Just like we do with other marginalized groups like…
Pronouns
Non Binary
Trans (sex)
Trans (race)
Trans (national)
Trans (species)
Fey
Furry
Personally I’m Non Bidenary but you can still call me “Hey You”
So we shouldn’t include heart-related heat or cold deaths because they ARE affected by heat or cold?? Why not?
If an extra 5°C over a century (at most, according to the most extreme IPCC guess) means very few people will die from heart attacks shoveling snow, or slipping and breaking something, or traffic and airline accidents, then that’s a WIN! It doesn’t matter that it’s not directly from hypothermia.
Heat related deaths shouldn’t be included then by your criteria, because people aren’t burned or boiled to death – but die from ignoring hydration.
The deaths ACTUALLY caused by extreme old or heat ALONE are tiny.
Any decline of heart related deaths from small increases in winter temperatures would be impossible to estimate.
“Saving lives” is a deceptive and minor argument in favor of global warming, compared with the greening of our planet and warmer winters for everyone. Heart disease is still the leading cause of death in the US.
According to the 2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of U.S. and Global Data From the American Heart Association, heart disease has been the leading cause of death in the U.S. for 100 years.
“Researchers analyzed data from 2,264 people ages 18 to 55 who were hospitalized for a heart attack and 2,264 people matched by age, sex, and race who served as a control group. The investigators found that seven factors — diabetes, depression, high blood pressure, current smoking, family history of early heart attack, low household income, and high cholesterol — accounted for 85% of the risk of first heart attack in both men and women.”
What’s driving heart attacks in younger adults? – Harvard Health
And as you stated, cold weather increases the risk of heart attacks.
You are arguing against yourself, while taking smooching selfies with yourself in your warped mirror.
Gee, neither cold nor warm weather was mentioned as one or f the seven factors. What was your point?
Now he’s a doctor.
And you are a HotSpud
I will examine your head for free
I expect to find nothing.
Well, obviously obviously your retort indicates far greater knowledge of science than we skeptics have.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Is there any post you can just read and not have to respond to and try sound like an expert. Your endless non sense makes you just sound stupid.
Perhaps the deaths from influenza should be removed as well, after all it too shows a winter peak and summer trough.
The potential problem for summer temperatures is dehydration, particularly in the elderly with reduced mobility, who are afraid of urinary incontinence and thus don’t drink enough.
If you want to compare winter deaths and summer deaths then you would do no worse than look at the death toll of the winter of 1962/63 and the summer of 1976 here in the U.K.
Influenza deaths are relatively rare but mainly in the winter when people are indoors where the disease can spread.
Heart patients are not being “saved” by slightly warmer winters. Heart related aths are not declining. They are correlated with obesity and lack of exercise more common among young people these days.
My father moved from cold upstate NY to warm Fremont CA at age 81 because his heart disease caused problems with cold weather. He lived to age 98 … but could the warmer CA weather be the reason? I’d say two operations to unclog his arteries were better reasons.
So why do you think people spend more time indoors in winter?
bingo!
“because his heart disease caused problems with cold weather. “
Ah.. so you are saying cold weather exacerbates heart problems.. the very thing you were arguing against further up.
Poor RG.. just can’t keep his story straight.. ever. !
He’s actually saying that his father’s heart disease made cold weather worse, or better, or something……..
Hell, it seems to work for the CO2 drives temperature narrative. /sarc
Global Warming – It’s all Richard father fault. 🤣
Thankfully your father was able to get those bypass or stint surgeries at his advanced age. This is likely something the dems wouldn’t allow as his (lack of) contribution to society wouldn’t have allowed it at his age. They want to reduce the surface population and he would have become statistically unnecessary for society.
Influenza deaths in U.K. in 65+ age range in 2011 were 45 per 100000, USA was 31.1 per 100000 in 2011
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/annual-flu-reports/surveillance-of-influenza-and-other-seasonal-respiratory-viruses-in-the-uk-winter-2022-to-2023#mortality
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(23)00296-5/fulltext
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-45024103
https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/news/2022/both-heat-and-cold-increase-risk-death-england-and-wales-rates-vary-across
My Mom died of a heart attack after having two bypass surgeries almost two decades apart. (In her early 60’s.)
We lived in a large house built before AC was common.
After the second bypass (a quadruple, the first was a double), my Dad had AC installed. It took 3 units, each controlled by and cooling 3 different areas of the house.
My Dad was an MD. He knew that “heat” in the summer would be harder on her.
Ever heard of “freezing to death”, otherwise known as “hypothermia”, or “exposure”. Or “frostbite”?
Ever heard of crop failure due to cold weather and a shortened growing season? Or livestock mortality due to hard freezes?
Ever wonder why the great civilizations of prehistory and history developed mostly in the subtropics and southern temperate latitudes?
The authors are correct in pointing out that humans always function better when the climate is warmer not colder. We are able to produce more food with less effort, allowing specialization in human endeavors like science, literature, philosophy, engineering and the arts because people do not have to spend most of their waking hours hunting and gathering food.
It is certainly no coincidence that civilization amongst humans arose with the development of agriculture during Holocene after the end of the last glaciation.
Warmer is better.
In cold weather (very cold) people don’t just die from heart problems. If they have any other major illness or simply poor nutrition in poor nations, the cold can kill them- so it’s NOT a gross exaggeration.
I guess we can toss out all of the heat-related, Covid-related, and general climate-related deaths since they were going to die anyway. That is why epidemiology, and climate “science” is so fun. You can make it say just about anything you want it to.
Cold kills you bet-ya, why I moved from North Dakota to Arizona, I traded 4 months of on average daily high is below freezing and a lot of below zero weather at night(almost every night in December and January in 1997 Fargo went 72 hours with nothing warmer than -22F) for nearly four months of daily 100 F weather. My old bones appreciate the heat. Of course if you did not have fire( heated homes) Fargo to the most part would uninhabitable. With AC people lived fine in Arizona although the often migrated to cooler elevations during the summer. Native Americans did that on foot back in the day. In any case fossil fuels make life as we know it possible, Without them we would still be doing everything on foot or back of animals and would have to manufacture everything mostly by our own hands.
The 1976 heatwave is understood to have been the cause of 20% “excess deaths” and there was a significant increase in hospital emergency admissions from 24 June to 8 July 1976 compared with the same period in 1975 or 1974.[11] This compares to 59% excess deaths for the 2003 heatwave
The image is for winter deaths in U.K.
Wikipedia.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
You do understand that Wikipedia can be edited by anyone, even you?
Besides this analysis there is the fact that people do not die because the air is “too hot”. Humans die when their body temperature control mechanisms fail. If heat stroke occurs it is because the victim either fails to hydrate properly so as to allow sweating which naturally cools and regulates body temperature … or even if properly hydrated fails to maintain electrolytes properly (easily accomplished by consumption of salt tablets) … or fails to stay out of direct sunlight, which is unrelated to air temperature.
Humans as a species originated in sub-Sahara equitorial Africa over millions of years of evolution. Obviously humans are well adapted to a hot climate. It was only when humans eventually migrated northward to far colder Europe and Asia approximately 50 thousand years ago that the species began to evolve into the several races today that in at least some cases (like Innuit) have developed cold adaptations such as lighter skin (less melanin) and thicker body trunks … and even then are still not capable of survival in cold weather without the use of heavy clothing and tools and fire.
Duane,
“Humans as a species originated in sub-Sahara equitorial Africa over millions of years of evolution. Obviously humans are well adapted to a hot climate. It was only when humans eventually migrated northward to far colder Europe and Asia approximately 50 thousand years ago that the species began to evolve into the several races today that in at least some cases (like Innuit) have developed cold adaptations such as lighter skin (less melanin) and thicker body trunks”
Go to minute 40, try to not get distracted (sarc), and listen to what Robert Sepehr says about the archaic dna (~1.2 mya) that sub saharan africans have, that is not found in Asians or Europeans. I get the impression that this bit of information is tucked away with Epstein’s client list. Out of africa? Yes, but 1 and some odd million years ago.
r, JBP
Go to minute 40 of what? Did I miss something?
Sorry, didn’t load until the page refreshed.
There were at least two great migrations of east central African humans northward …. one about 50 thousand years ago, and another roughly 30 thousand years ago … spreading into Europe and Asia. The latter one coincided with the demise of the neanderthals, who did not die out but rather interbred with humans and humans became the more successful species.
There were other humanoids that preceded humans in Europe, though coming from common humanoid ancestors in east central Africa, notably the neanderthals and the denisovan.
And no matter what your video says, virtually all physical anthropologists agree that all humans and their earlier ancestors evolved in east central Africa before migrating to Europe and Asia, and eventually spreading into the Americas and Australia.
Duane, I did say ‘out of africa; yes’…. however:
the major point that I differ with your statement on is that for roughly 1.2 million years (from ~1.2mya up to some 50k or so years ago) asians and europeans (already in eurasia) did not intermix at all with sub saharan africans.
Asians and caucasians existed over 1 million years in eurasia before the 50kya ‘migration out of africa’ is purported to happen. All physical anthropologists who have seen the dna evidence referred to multiple times in Sepehr’s video agree that sub saharan africans evolved separately from eurasians for that period. There are in the whole Sepehr video, videos of several of those anthropologists saying ‘out of africa’ is wrong. But whatever, I’ve reached the ‘just sayin’ point. Take care.
Humans have the most sophisticated cooling system in the animal kingdom, why?
we can’t even survive in temperate zones during winter with out modifying our environment, why?
??? Is that somehow a counterpoint to the dna evidence? trust the science i says. I am the science.
The Lancet paper supports what most studies I’ve seen say, i.e. cold kills 3-9X more people than heat does. Not 30X. Makes sense as we evolved tropically.
Whatever the number is and the cause, any news stories that talk about heat related deaths attributed to global warming are just propaganda if they don’t also mention the likelihood of cold related deaths prevented.
“NetZero” is a danger either way if energy scarcity forces the less affluent to cut back on winter heating and summer air-conditioning.
Those benefiting from alarm have figured out that attacking air-conditioning will help stoke panic by increasing heat related discomfort and death. There are a lot of such stories these days.
In the early days of Montana pioneer homesteaders freezing to death was known to happen.
The Gallatin County Historical Society in Bozeman MT has a number of photos of the homesteaders. There are some photos of grain wagons with large 6 horse hitches. The driver is always wearing
an army surplus buffalo hide coat even in obvious mild weather. Those coats were issued
to stage coach drivers in Yellowstone Park back when the army ran the park up till 1916.
It saved lives on a number occasions when traveling around the area. There are stories of farm/ranch people getting caught in a blizzards while traveling to or from town in an open wagon and freezing to death, sometimes an entire family. I’ve worn one of those coats just to try it on and they are very heavy.
https://ids.si.edu/ids/deliveryService?id=NMAH-2004-57345&max=600
https://americanhistory.si.edu/collections/nmah_439780
“However, rising temperatures also reduce the number of deaths from cold.
…
Overall, this has meant saving 166,000 lives per year over the last two decades.”
Correlation does not imply causation. You can’t assume that all of the reduction in cold related deaths was the direct result of global warming over the last 20 years.
“Fact: Cold kills nearly 30 times more people than extreme heat, 4.6 million vs. 0.155 million.”
Er, the graph shows slightly less than 1% of global deaths are heat related, and slightly less than 9% are cold related. That would mean around 10 times more, not 30 times more.
It’s still more, no matter how thin you slice the bacon.
I don’t know the answer to this but, what is the temperature range a healthy, naked human can survive without either just the heat or the just the cold killing them?
(Assuming they have food and water.)
Isn’t that the main issue?
You can survive in Death Valley in the shade. You won’t survive winter in most temperate zones.
I wonder what the death toll for the Titanic disaster would have been if it had hit a submerged reef in the South Pacific rather than an ice berg in the North Atlantic?
What difference would the temperature of water have made?
Very nice.
Cold or cool air causes our bodies to constrict blood vessels to conserve heat.
This causes our blood pressure to rise causing more strokes and heart attacks in the cooler months.
Interesting:
AI Overview
According to NPR, heat-related illnesses kill more people than cold-related illnesses; they report that heat is the leading cause of weather-related deaths in the United States, surpassing cold-related fatalities.
AI Overview
According to most data, cold-related illnesses generally kill more people than heat-related illnesses globally, with cold-related deaths often significantly outnumbering heat deaths; this is largely due to more people being exposed to moderately cold conditions compared to extreme heat.