The handlers f’d-up and let the Pudding-Brain President (PBP) open his mouth to the cameras while heading out of town for yet another ill-deserved vacation, some of the low-lights:
Joe Biden on Saturday stopped to talk to reporters posted up on the South Lawn as he departed to Camp David, the presidential retreat in Catoctin Mountain Park in Maryland for another weekend vacation.
“Would you call the situation on the southern border a ‘crisis’?” a reporter asked Biden.
“I’ve been pushing them… my Republican colleagues since I took office. I believe we have to make major changes on the border. I’ve been pushing for that. I am ready to make significant changes at the border. And we have been negotiating for the last five weeks, so I hope we can achieve that,” Biden said.
“What a liar.” — Daniel Inoye
Last month House Republicans blocked funding for Ukraine. On Friday Democrats rejected Speaker Johnson’s demand to secure the southern border in exchange for Ukraine funding.
“If my Republican colleagues don’t fund Ukraine, they’re gonna have an awful lot to pay for,” Biden said.
““I’ve been pushing them… my Republican colleagues since I took office. I believe we have to make major changes on the border. I’ve been pushing for that. I am ready to make significant changes at the border. And we have been negotiating for the last five weeks, so I hope we can achieve that,” Biden said.”
Biden is not just a liar, he is a damn liar. All Biden had to do to secure the border is leave Trump’s immigrant policies in place like “Remain in Mexico”. he could reimplement them today and solve the border crisis. But he won’t do that.
Biden is lying when he says new laws are needed to secure the border. He already has all the lawful authorization he needs to stop the flow of illegal immigrants. Biden just refuses to do so because, obviouly, for whatever reason, he wants millions of unknown people to flood into the United States without restrictions. Complete madness. He should be removed from office for dereliction of his duty to defend the United States.
The Southern Border Crisis is a Choice on Biden’s part. He wants things to go this way, he just doesn’t like the bad publicity it brings him, but apparently the bad publicity is not enough to cause him to change course.
The Republican Congress is starting to bring pressure on Biden over this. Some are saying no budget deal unless Biden does something about the border. They think securing the Southern border is serious enough to shut down the Biden government. I think it is, too, especially since they can shut it down without shutting down essential services like the military.
Something drastic has to happen, it seems. It’s time to play hardball with the radical Democrats. After all, the future of our nation is at stake. Right now.
That the Feds are fighting what the Texas state government are doing to stem the flow exposes Creepy Joe’s latest lies about border hoppers. Meanwhile Poopy Pants Sen. Jerry Nadler of NY is posturing that bazillions of border hoppers are needed to “pick vegitables”.
Apologies to anyone but Democrats that I might offend by saying this.
The Democrats really miss slavery, don’t they? Now they have millions of unskilled labourers working for a pittance in fear of being deported whilst Dems get to lord it over them like plantation owners. Sooner they are out of office the better for everyone, quite frankly.
Comparitively speaking. How much would an American or UK/EU citizen charge to do that work, assuming they actually wanted to do that sort of work in the first place?
We had the same problem in the UK, and across the EU as well – kids have been told for well over 20 years to be ‘aspirational’, to go to University and get a well-paid, high flying job with great career paths. Meanwhile, no-one wants to empty the bins, mend the roads, pick the crops, or any of the less ‘aspirational’ jobs that desperately need doing. The EU were advertising seasonal work plus transport in various countries outside the EU and the UK tried to follow suit. Now they don’t have to – the ‘seasonal workers’ are flooding over the borders – problem averted!
Global warming was not any different during the Trump presidency than during the Biden presidency.
Only the excuses/fabrications/misinformation changed under Biden, after he , unconstitutionally declared open US borders, in violation of many US laws, put a US-hating Cuban in charge.
Now, millions EACH YEAR, from all over, God knows where, walk across out welded-open border, unvetted, unskilled, from poor, crime-infested areas in Third World countries, who are urged by US-financed WTOs to come to the US and get help from US financed WTO to start sucking on all the welfare programs, sleep in high schools and hotels, on the street/parks, wherever, with crap, etc., on the street.
Vote the entire Democrat cabal out to finally end all this BS, including wasteful wind, solar, EVs, heat pumps and electric stoves
Do not vote for RINOs
Do not vote for independents, because they vote with Democrats
Exactly, the Dems and Liberals, etc., are projecting their internal thoughts – the leftist Hitler (National Socialist) was fanatically adored by his base, the media fixated on him and he had thugs (sort of like Extinction Rebellion and Intifa) to deal with the rest.
Calling Trump “Hitler” *is* the best Biden can do.
It’s the best any Democrat can do. It’s all they have. If they couldn’t demonize their opponents, they wouldn’t have anything.
Name-calling is stock-in-trade for the Democrats. It’s just about all they do. And it is meant for any opponent, not just Trump. Trump just gets their undivided attetion at the prsent time because they perceive him as the biggest threat to their socialist “paradise”.
If we are doomed to act out a Net Zero fantasy can we at least have some power engineers and industrialists on the Climate Change Committee? In fact, can it be composed of only such people? I’m sick to the teeth of historians, classicists, and poets taking the national steering wheel.
Clarification: I just broke out in a cold sweat! Dale Vince has hypnotised us into thinking he is some kind of industrialist with a background in power engineering.
He is not. He is a rent-seeking champagne crusty. He is a useful counter-example. If you think you’ve found someone for the Climate Change Committee but they fit the Dale Vince mould you haven’t.
l will take this as a good sign.
As it suggests government wants to kick this commiittee into the long grass.
As reality starts to kick in and slowly forces the government away from its former climate change folly.
The warming over the last 45 years has had a helping hand with the use of electonic AWS.
My reseach suggests that they have risen the daily record highs in temps by on avarage 0.7C over glass thermometer recordings.
Well then l agree the cause has been natural.
Increased wind shear within the layers of the atmosphere will aid the flow of warmth from the suface through the atmosphere and into space.
I think Colorado has been in a slight cooling trend since the 1950’s. Weatherwise, it warmed up from yesterday’s -12F. It’s -6F here now. it’s actually warmer in the mountains, as well as snowing.
“All warming over…is natural.”
I don’t see that as a correct assessment on a scientifically calculable basis David. You can run line by line absorption calcs yourself on UChicago Modtran. This will show somewhere around a degree warming per 2 x CO2. This is with fixed RH to allow for water vapor increase with surface temp, and averaging over a few appropriate “localities”. This is much less than the IPCC averages and about half what seems to be occurring based on historic temperature records, but at least it is calculable on a scientific basis.
Admittedly, increased water vapor could increase the planet’s cloudiness enough to reflect enough sunlight back into outer space offsetting the CO2 warming. But one can just as easily find justification that less cloud cover (semi-unverifiable) in the last 50 years “might” be the cause our current one degree warming. You might as well dpeculate that the sun got a little brighter over Victorian time.
One of the problems is that our measurements of things that might counter the calculable CO2 warming are all down in the “measurement noise” region, while IR absorption by CO2 is laboratory verifiable above the “measurement noise” criterion.
The real issue is that, at our present 2 ppm per year CO2 increase, it will take 200 years for CO2 increase to have any noticeable climate effect, by which time the finding cost of petroleum will be so high that alternative fuels will have to be developed by then.
What will those fuels be ? It is becoming clear that current battery tech is not allowing wind and solar to fill that role. Or will humanity be collecting deadfall and dung to heat their Teepees?
There is alot more then just noise that’s going on as far as the AWS are concerned.
ln my local area AWS are running “warm” for at least 70% of the time when compared to my glass thermometer. With that going on its quite easy to create a warming trend.
ModTran calculates an abstract forcing where nothing else happens, like feedbacks. Mine is a direct observation of the satellite readings of the actual atmosphere. In science observation trumps theory. Sometimes very simple observation as in this case.
“Also assumes that the only energy transfer in the atmosphere is radiative.
Which of course is utter nonsense.”
Inside the biosphere, yes, there is also conduction and convection, which are much more effective than radiation at moving energy around.
But the energy coming to earth and leaving earth can only use radiation to come and go to outer space. Green cultists imagine a super insulating blanket of CO2, but it’s thin and full of holes, and the energy absorbed at one wavelength can be transferred to other molecules in the atmosphere via normal thermal processes and re-emited to space at other wavelengths, especially those of water which has an ample selection thereof, and a greater presence in the atmosphere than any other greenhouse gas.
“…assumes the only energy transfer is radiative…”
No, Modtran uses many parameterizations to calculate radiation and reflection from cloud tops and bottoms, greenhouse gas and rainfall emissivities and so on….
These parameters have been adjusted quite carefully to both make sense and match satellite data well.
You make an observation of a el Nino spikes on top of a rising average and call it “natural” with zero scientifically calculated numbers. I say it’s about half CO2 and about 1/4 warming from additional insolation and 1/4 bad thermometric data due to insufficient urban heat island correction. CO2 can be calculated, insolation change and UHI correction being wrong are weak on real life data, just like your el Nino spike supposition.
““The Arrhenius type greenhouse effect of the CO2 and other non-condensing GHGs is an incorrect hypothesis and the CO2 greenhouse effect based global warming hypothesis is also an artifact without any theoretical or empirical footing.””
I was wondering if Miskolczi had done a follow up on his previous work. This should be an interesting read (and difficult). Too back WUWT won’t cover it. He has had it figured out for a couple of decades now. Of course, it also refutes luke warmer views..
CO2 absorption of IR is on sound theoretical and empirical footing. You are kidding yourself if you think it behaves differently in the atmosphere than in a laboratory test apparatus. How MUCH it affects the climate is the more difficult question.
You have said it yourself, the warming over the past 50 years is less than IPCC, and this is including any possible feedbacks, like the reduction in albedo!
Possibly the 15-20% increase in vegetation (which environmentalists should be cheering, and thanking the fossil fuel companies for) has partly compensated for the drop in albedo – I don’t think the albedo measurement mentioned in the article can be all-encompassing – and the more recent renaissance of the coal industry (actually starting back in the early 2000s with the awakening of China, India, etc.,) will also keep temperatures in check.
What, exactly, is your real-world observable proof that an increase in CO2 will result in an increase in temperatures, please?
And not a laboratory experiment, if you don’t mind – that only shows that CO2 has an absorption and emission band it doesn’t show what a mixed atmosphere with various gases and water vapour does.
I don’t know why everyone is so ill naturedly critical of this post. It seems very reasonable. It may turn out not to be correct, but its rational scientific reasoning. It’s also roughly consistent with observational studies of climate sensitivity.
The best estimates we seem to have at present are that doubling CO2 ppm will lead to a modest and mainly beneficial average warming, and you are right to argue that at present rate of increase, 2ppm/year, it will take a couple of hundred years for this warming to be noticeable.
The policy issue is that (as you suggest) the attempt to move to wind and solar is not going to work, is not going to make any material difference to this, and is simply impoverishing the West. While not even being tried by 75% of the world – those who are emitting most CO2 and raising their emissions fastest.
The thing we should all focus on is not whether rising CO2 levels have a small effect versus no effect. That really is not important. The important thing is that there is no crisis. If there is an effect it is very small. And the measures being pushed by the Greens in response to the small or non-existent rise are far more damaging to our societies than any which the rise, if there is one, can conceivably cause.
This is with fixed RH to allow for water vapor increase with surface temp,
The problem is Earth’s atmosphere will not maintain a constant RH. Convection increases which dries out the upper troposphere. If Modtran could simulate this change then it would have a chance at getting the correct result.
Sure, and you can prove the Earth is flat too. Just get over it, back radiation from doubling CO2 will produce about a degree of global warming according to Modtran, Happer, Harde….and that will take about 200 years at present rates of CO2 emissions…and its not a friggin’ crisis compared to what the finding costs of petroleum are going to be in 50 years.
Maybe…what do you think is the cause of the .13 C per decade upward trend ?
Ron Long
January 14, 2024 4:35 am
Kip has an interesting posting about King Tides, just before the Open Thread. He points out that “todays media” doesn´t do any fact checking. I asked him to speculate about what percentage of Todays media that would fact check, and discover something that questioned CAGW theology, would speak up or just simply forget about it and go on, peer pressure being what it is.
My experience: as a Geologist who uses Sequence Stratigraphy, as I comment to CAGW true believers that the semi-cyclic rising and lowering of sea level are the only good marker for historic climate cycles (as long as there is a continental mass in a generally polar location), at least 99% either disavow or change the subject, and maybe 1% engage in discussion/argument. Here’s the telling comment, not one of the 99% ever got back to me with a comment like “the CAGW subject appears to be more complicated, or looks like I should research the subject more, or you appear to be right”. The question then becomes, what percentage of the 99% even research the subject, and what percent of the 99% that do research the subject and find the “complications” actually think about it or just simply go on to other less confrontational topics, like “if Trump is re-elected it will be the end of democracy”?
Kip points out the majority of the problem, no introspection, but it is exacerbated by runaway peer pressure/group-think.
Scissor
January 14, 2024 5:38 am
“Caviar, magic mushrooms, gold-leaf desserts, A-list selfies, $2,500-per-night hookers and secret dinners are likely to be on the menu as scores of private jets touch down in Switzerland as soon as Sunday to bring the world’s elite to the small Alpine resort town of Davos for what’s officially known as The World Economic Forum 2024.”
The narrative is that global warming disrupts the polar vortex increasing arctic air excursions to the south. A climate cultists in freezing Iowa made that claim along with others.
The following video is long, but beginning at 16 minutes debate concerns climate change/fossil fuel usage. Ramaswami appears to understand the issues.
Absolutely unwilling and incapable to discuss the subject rationally. No argument, just shouting down the reasonable voice. You can’t reason with this sort of religious fanaticism.
These dilettantes are the creeps trying to run the planet.
antigtiff
January 14, 2024 6:28 am
Joke Biden…criminal prez of the USA…. has millions of illegal aliens pouring across the border because he thinks they will be mail in demrat voters. These illegals are given a free ticket to anywhere in the country and a $5000 credit card…..many are being housed in hotels at taxpayers expense. Joke Biden is the no. 1 CO2 glutton in the country….travels in 3 or more jumbo jets and parades around in 15 to 20 motor car parades…..lives in 4 or 5 mansions….the Joke is a joke on America? Why should American citizens pay taxes and obey laws if Joke and Hunter don’t pay?
U.S. House Republicans are getting a little bit agitated now over the utter failure of Biden to control, or even attempt to control, the borders of the United States.
Me, too, but I’ve been agitated about it for a while now.
At any rate, I have been seeing a lot of frustration on the Republican side and they may be building up to something. A lot of Republicans are balking at signing off on any budget as long as the U.S. borders are out of control.
Let’s see if they do anything concrete about it. Or is it just bluster?
The current new immigration bill being put forward by the U.S. Senate would give Biden a green light to allow 1.5 million illegal immigrants into the U.S. yearly.
That is DOA on arrival at the House, and doesn’t sound like a serious effort to slow down the flow, and U.S. House Republicans are grumbling about it and threatening to shut the government down (not fund Biden’s pet projects) if Biden doesn’t shut down the flow.
I think it is going to take drastic action on the part of Republicans for Biden to even agree to such a thing, but I think Biden is also so corrupt that he will not implement any restrictions he signs up to.
So, odds are, we can figure on Biden letting three million more illegal immigrants into the United States before January 2025. How much more room does New York City and Chicago and Los Angeles have?
Trump says he will implement the biggest deportation operation in history. if elected. I’m voting for him.
I think the illegals should be given an option. Transport to the north shore of Alaska where they are welcome to stay, or go home at their own expense.
Given lower stratospheric temperature (LS) anomaly and atmospheric transmission (AT) is it possible to remove the temperature effects of the stratospheric SO2 events for El-Chichon and Pinatubo eruptions with an equation based on H2SO4 volumetrics / Transmission loss to yield forcing in WSM?
Or does H2SO4 not matter, and Stratospheric Anomaly can be computed directly from AT without absorptivity / emissivity coefficients of the H2SO4 during the periods when known forcings are in effect?
Rick C
January 14, 2024 7:05 am
From HuffPo article on Washington State natural gas distribution failure:
“The latest episode comes just two years after a winter storm left hundreds of Texans dead as gas pipelines froze and power plants failed, underscoring how the United States’ aging energy distribution networks are heaving under increased demand and extreme weather from climate change.“
The very next paragraph:
“Federal regulators approved an expansion of the Pacific Northwest’s gas network in October. But the investments needed to prop up the fossil fuel system are facing increased scrutiny from those who say the money should be spent on new, zero-carbon energy infrastructure like solar panels and batteries.“
So, according to HuffPo an extreme cold wave caused by global warming caused a failure that puts millions of people in danger because the gas supply system was neglected in order the prevent global warming. We are truly being ruled by two-headed geniuses.
The Huffington Post is just hiding the truth when they don’t even mention windmills in connection with the arctic cold air excursion that took place in February 2021.
They know the windmills were completely ineffective at supplying electricity during that stressful weather situation. But they failed to even mention it.
They can’t tell the truth. Telling the truth destroys their climate alarmist narrative.
The climate anxiety phenomenon didn’t just magically appear one day. It was a product of the US higher education system, currently involved in other serious issues as well. The multiple problems of higher ed show that there’s something truly wrong beneath the ivory tower. There’s an appreciation of science and technology in the US that’s demonstrated by the rapid adoption of new machinery and processes and the belief that “science” can solve any problem. But in an effort to be all things to all people publicly-funded academia wanders away from its original mission and takes on exotic non-problems. Like any institution it has changed over time. Those concerned by this must work to re-direct its efforts, primarily by extending control of funding. Money is the basis of modern society.
A Simplified Calculation to Put Matters in Perspective .
This study shows, based on UAH satellite measurements started in 1979, lower-atmosphere temperatures have been increasing, step-by-step, and are pre-dominantly due to El Niños, and their after effects.
.
The sun and moon and tectonic plate movement are driving forces of El Niños.
We must adhere to the golden rule of causality of real science: observe, measure and repeat.
In reality, CO2 does not play the slightest role here.
The IPCC climate models are based on political pseudo-science and are therefore worthless.
. Heating the Entire Atmosphere by 0.3 C (See Note)
.
Image 7 shows, an increase of the lower-atmosphere temperature of about 0.3 C in late 2023.
This was due to:
.
1) a strong El Niño peaking in late 2023, which increased water vapor, over a period of time,
2) the after-effects of the Hunga Tonga eruption, which increased water vapor, in a very short time, by 10 to 15%, in the lower-atmosphere
.
Q = mass x Cp x delta T = 5.148 x 10^18 kg x 1012 J/kg.C x 0.3 C = 1.737 x 10^21 = 1737 exajoules, almost all of that extra energy came from the sun
. Annual human primary energy production for all uses was estimated at about 557 Exajoules
. Strong El Ninos: The upwelling of the warm water of El Ninos causes increased evaporation of ocean water over a period of time, which increases absorption of solar energy to warm the lower-atmosphere. The starting energy of an El Nino is at most a few exajoules. The rest of the 1737 exajoules that warmed the lower-atmosphere, because of the increased water vapor (a strong greenhouse gas), is provided by the sun over a period of months
. Major Volcanic Eruptions: The very rapid addition of 146 million metric ton of hot water vapor to the atmosphere increases absorption of solar energy to warm the lower-atmosphere. The starting energy of a volcanic eruption, such as Hunga Tonga, is a most a few exajoules. The rest of the 1737 exajoules that warmed the lower-atmosphere, because of the increased water vapor (a strong greenhouse gas), is provided by the sun over a period of months
. NOTE: For comparison with the above 0.3 C, Image 7 shows, the increase of lower-atmosphere temperature was 0.6 C , in 45 years, or 0.133 C/decade, as objectively measured by satellites. That value includes the periodic warming by El Niños and volcanic eruptions, including Hunga Tonga. They were ongoing events during these 45 years, and millions of years prior to that. . Conclusion
.
The impact of human CO2 emissions from annual primary energy on Earth’s temperature is extremely small.
.
It compares to just one of the many active volcanic, submarine hot spots (weak to very strong), estimated at 5,000 in the world, of which the El Niño heat source often is a strong one. See Image 1A
.
It is completely self-destructive for the Western world to impose restrictions on CO2 emissions that have only a small, not even marginal impact, on lower-atmosphere temperatures, as accurately measured by satellites
.
The human primary energy CO2 emissions are completely insignificant compared to the external thermal influences to which the earth is subjected.
.
All politicians and activists have been warned: the earth, moon, sun and celestial bodies will never listen to capricious rules and legislation imposed by them on the earth’s inhabitants.
CD in Wisconsin
January 14, 2024 8:25 am
Story Tip
Here is a seven-minute YouTube video of an EV that caught fire while just sitting in the garage of the home of its owner.l This happened in Colorado, and I cannot envision any home owner looking at this video and then tell me he is still seriously considering the purchase of an EV. Fortunately, the smoke detectors in the home went off in time and the family was able to get out unharmed. I’ve been wondering how long it would take before a video of this happening would show up on YouTube or elsewhere.
Note the tarp that was put over the car by the firefighters after it was pulled from the garage.
Non-STEM parts of universities must be jealous of their technocratic cohort so they find ways to take part in saving the planet from its terminal fever by raising the temperature in people’s brains, as this distinguished university does.
2023’s record heat partly driven by ‘mystery’ process: NASA scientist
by Lucie AUBOURG
“It’s no secret human activity is warming the planet, driving more frequent and intense extreme weather events and transforming ecosystems at an extraordinary rate.
But the record-shattering temperatures of 2023 have nonetheless alarmed scientists, and hint at some “mysterious” new processes that may be under way, NASA’s top climatologist Gavin Schmidt tells AFP.. .
But what happened in 2023 was that, and then plus something. And that ‘plus something’ is much larger than we expect, or as yet can explain. . .
It may be that El Niño is enough. But if I look at all of the other El Ninos that we’ve had, none of them did this. So either this El Niño is really super special, or the atmosphere is responding to this El Niño in a very special way. Or there’s something else going on. And nobody has yet really narrowed these possibilities.”
end excerpts
I notice Gavin didn’t mention the volcanic eruption of Hunga Tunga aa being that “plus something”.
Hunga Tonga is about the only unusual event to happen in this timeframe.
Translation – “We’ve got no clue and we haven’t made something up yet.”
Honestly this kind of attitude really is stupid; it’s always got to be ‘something new’ because our pet theory is perfect. Any decent scientist would have thrown the theory out by now and gone back to basics, working out what the observations are and what is known about them before moving forward.
Discoveries of things like the Paleo-Bell River , make one wonder about the qualifications of the current crop of climatologists who should pay more attention to their geological counterparts.
Last month I said I was tracking temperatures in a standalone kitchen heated with a mini-split. Given the talk about how good heat pumps work, I thought some actual data might be helpful.
I have only tracked a few days – 5 with each setting. I only recorded temperatures when the outside temperature was below 30.
The first set of data is when it was set to “automatic” (heat or cool as needed, fan speed as needed) to 65F.
For the second set it was set to heat on the highest fan setting.
I offer these numbers as-is, reach your own conclusions. I think it would be worth a much bigger test.
At full blast, it gets a roughly +40°F delta T above the outside. If the outside is -10°F, this would be +30°F inside the kitchen. Frozen pipes territory.
What it looks like is that there are no resistance heaters installed or functioning which an air source heat pump must have below about 25F and the unit is acting as a heat pump alone. At the outside temperatures you show no air source heat pump will work at much more than COP=1.
BHI 12,000 BTU 230-Volt Ductless mini split Air Conditioner and Heat pump, 19 SEER, 1 Ton, 16.4ft (5m) line set, Wall-mount, included Indoor Unit, Outdoor Unit and installation
Outdoor Unit has “Heating Belt” that works by Temp. Sensor, if lower than 32°F (0°C), will start to heat and if higher than 32°F (0°C), will stop working to ensure Outdoor Unit doesn’t Freeze, it’s a great feature to use at lower temp. areas
Min. temperature spec is 5F.
Assuming Lowes “12,000 BTU” really means “12,000 BTU/hr”, this is about 3500 W and almost 16 A at 230 VAC. Nothing compared to a gas furnace.
I have a question about battery technology. It has arisen because of plans to build a huge battery farm in Leicestershire.
The company that is project managing the Leicestershire build refers to Lithium ION phosphate batteries, but Wikipedia talks about Lithium IRON phosphate batteries.
Exagen building the Normanton Energy Reserve – lithium ion batteries; Wikipedia is, as often the case, wrong. Interesting that they have 5 more, smaller, projects on the go using the same set-up whilst Tesla are partnering with another energy firm in North Yorks for a massive battery site as well. Looks like someone greenlit a whole host of battery backup parks at roughly the same time.
Don’t forget to look out for the new tourist attraction, the Normanton Smoking Crater in years to come.
This essay chronicles the disappearance of the wild ranier, a regionally important beerological species, from its native habitat in the US Northwest.
(Travis Chapman Art, Wild Raniers in their Natural Habitat)
ABSTRACT:
Large herds of wild raniers had been present in the US Northwest until the early 1990’s. But by the end of the 1990’s, the species had all but vanished. It is now thought that climate change may have played a role in the disappearance of the wild ranier.
CHAPTERS:
Film clip #1: A herd of wild raniers crosses a meadow in the Washington Cascades in the early 1970’s. The impacts of climate change on the wild ranier population have not yet become apparent. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Dse53ChTM
Film clip #2: Drivers traveling through forested areas of the Cascade Mountains were careful to avoid migrating wild raniers crossing forest roads. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=daZdK1fRZYk
Film clip #3: In the late 1960s and early 1970s, the wild ranier population began to expand beyond its original Cascade Mountains range into the mountainous areas of Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and southern British Columbia. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLNOa3sO6KU
Film clip #4.1: In the mid 1970’s, hunting of wild raniers in their original range became a popular sport among the rich and famous of the Hollywood elite, Mickey Rooney for example: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtbP2hOX9xA
Film clip #4.2: In the late 1970’s, Mickey Rooney and his hunting party entourage began to refine their stalking techniques, such as using rivers and streams to gain better access to wild ranier habitat. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=64-Ieeu7oIA
Film clip #4.3: Hunting pressure on the beerological species began to intensify in the early 1980’s with the use of dogs and even helicopters in the tracking and capture of wild raniers: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6frqU_8bZlY
Film clip #5: The yearly migration of the wild raniers across the lowland coastal areas of the US Northwest became an annual event in Seattle, the running of the raniers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOyCkdz0s10
Film clip #6: Increasing pressure on wild ranier populations from a variety of factors began to concern regional wildlife managers. Specially trained game wardens were assigned to assist in preserving the wild ranier populations. Unfortunately, the game wardens became distracted from their core duties as a consequence of emerging social trends and were unable to carry out their assigned mission. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2U3ICX6saHc
Film clip #7: In the late 1990’s, the wild ranier population fell precipitously in all the areas where it once roamed freely in vast numbers. This film clip from 1997 contains one of the last sightings of a wild ranier before the species went extinct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZuuaWHgliY
RETROSPECTIVE CONCLUSIONS, JANUARY 2024:
In the early 2000’s, scientists were attributing the extinction of the wild ranier to the combined impacts of over-hunting, ineffective game management, competition from other beerological species, and urban encroachment on its native habitat.
Now, twenty years later, after millions of dollars of scientific research funded by the federal government, the impacts of climate change on the world’s natural ecosystems are thought by scientists to have played a major role in the disappearance of the wild ranier.
Computer modeling of the wild ranier’s regional ecosystem has revealed a series of climate-related positive feedback mechanisms which could have greatly enhanced the base-level impacts of factors such as temperature-induced over-hunting (etc., etc.) on the viability of the wild ranier population.
Will we ever see their like again?
Possibly. The wonders of modern genetic engineering might just be capable a reproducing a beerological species very similar to the wild ranier.
There has been a mass extinction event in beerological species over the last 40 or so years. In the UK the Watney was once seen all over the country but the last of the Watneys died out years ago – however a select group has managed to being the species back from extinction and, in small preserves, the Watney lives on.
Downloaded the entire USCRN-Monthly dataset from NOAA and crunched the entire thing to get the least-squares values for each month for each station across its operational life. I used TMAX temps exclusively.
Since I’m not comparing stations I don’t need anomalies; I’m just looking at each stations results. So far, 300 station-months out of about 1700 have shown cooling trends.
It’s odd how a station can show 25 years of cooling Novembers, while Decembers are slowly warming.
The handlers f’d-up and let the Pudding-Brain President (PBP) open his mouth to the cameras while heading out of town for yet another ill-deserved vacation, some of the low-lights:
“What a liar.” — Daniel Inoye
Care to explain how this works, Joe?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/01/biden-if-my-republican-colleagues-dont-fund-ukraine/
Old farts lingering too long.
Still Stock Show weather here this morning…
““I’ve been pushing them… my Republican colleagues since I took office. I believe we have to make major changes on the border. I’ve been pushing for that. I am ready to make significant changes at the border. And we have been negotiating for the last five weeks, so I hope we can achieve that,” Biden said.”
Biden is not just a liar, he is a damn liar. All Biden had to do to secure the border is leave Trump’s immigrant policies in place like “Remain in Mexico”. he could reimplement them today and solve the border crisis. But he won’t do that.
Biden is lying when he says new laws are needed to secure the border. He already has all the lawful authorization he needs to stop the flow of illegal immigrants. Biden just refuses to do so because, obviouly, for whatever reason, he wants millions of unknown people to flood into the United States without restrictions. Complete madness. He should be removed from office for dereliction of his duty to defend the United States.
The Southern Border Crisis is a Choice on Biden’s part. He wants things to go this way, he just doesn’t like the bad publicity it brings him, but apparently the bad publicity is not enough to cause him to change course.
The Republican Congress is starting to bring pressure on Biden over this. Some are saying no budget deal unless Biden does something about the border. They think securing the Southern border is serious enough to shut down the Biden government. I think it is, too, especially since they can shut it down without shutting down essential services like the military.
Something drastic has to happen, it seems. It’s time to play hardball with the radical Democrats. After all, the future of our nation is at stake. Right now.
That the Feds are fighting what the Texas state government are doing to stem the flow exposes Creepy Joe’s latest lies about border hoppers. Meanwhile Poopy Pants Sen. Jerry Nadler of NY is posturing that bazillions of border hoppers are needed to “pick vegitables”.
Apologies to anyone but Democrats that I might offend by saying this.
The Democrats really miss slavery, don’t they? Now they have millions of unskilled labourers working for a pittance in fear of being deported whilst Dems get to lord it over them like plantation owners. Sooner they are out of office the better for everyone, quite frankly.
Well, Richard, they do say “who’s going to pick our crops?”.
Seems like a familiar argument…
“Working for a pittance”? They’re getting fed, housed in hotels, a paycheck just for arriving here?
Comparitively speaking. How much would an American or UK/EU citizen charge to do that work, assuming they actually wanted to do that sort of work in the first place?
We had the same problem in the UK, and across the EU as well – kids have been told for well over 20 years to be ‘aspirational’, to go to University and get a well-paid, high flying job with great career paths. Meanwhile, no-one wants to empty the bins, mend the roads, pick the crops, or any of the less ‘aspirational’ jobs that desperately need doing. The EU were advertising seasonal work plus transport in various countries outside the EU and the UK tried to follow suit. Now they don’t have to – the ‘seasonal workers’ are flooding over the borders – problem averted!
Global warming was not any different during the Trump presidency than during the Biden presidency.
Only the excuses/fabrications/misinformation changed under Biden, after he , unconstitutionally declared open US borders, in violation of many US laws, put a US-hating Cuban in charge.
Now, millions EACH YEAR, from all over, God knows where, walk across out welded-open border, unvetted, unskilled, from poor, crime-infested areas in Third World countries, who are urged by US-financed WTOs to come to the US and get help from US financed WTO to start sucking on all the welfare programs, sleep in high schools and hotels, on the street/parks, wherever, with crap, etc., on the street.
Vote the entire Democrat cabal out to finally end all this BS, including wasteful wind, solar, EVs, heat pumps and electric stoves
Do not vote for RINOs
Do not vote for independents, because they vote with Democrats
I read in German news John Kerry resigns to help Biden and his team to win the elections.
Going to campaign for the glove puppet, they say…
It’s hard to glean what’s going on – the media is awash with Trump derangement syndrome
“”The only question apparently is when to go ‘full Hitler’ “”
https://www.spiked-online.com/2024/01/14/is-trump-is-hitler-the-best-bidens-got/
Exactly, the Dems and Liberals, etc., are projecting their internal thoughts – the leftist Hitler (National Socialist) was fanatically adored by his base, the media fixated on him and he had thugs (sort of like Extinction Rebellion and Intifa) to deal with the rest.
Calling Trump “Hitler” *is* the best Biden can do.
It’s the best any Democrat can do. It’s all they have. If they couldn’t demonize their opponents, they wouldn’t have anything.
Name-calling is stock-in-trade for the Democrats. It’s just about all they do. And it is meant for any opponent, not just Trump. Trump just gets their undivided attetion at the prsent time because they perceive him as the biggest threat to their socialist “paradise”.
And accusing others of what they themselves are guilty.
Earlier, Biden called Putin a Hitler
Now, Biden calls Trump a Hitler
Hitler must be spinning in his grave shouting, Nobody is as bad as I, and other such wordage.
Nothing seems to help Biden, because he is on a downward spiral towards the Nirvana of senility and oblivion.
They will not let him resign, because totally incoherent Harris would be worse.
What in hell are the Democrats going to do?
Sunak ‘dodging scrutiny’ by failing to appoint chair of Climate Change Committee
A Whitehall source who knows several people who applied for the post said: “No one seems to know what is going on. There could be a number of reasons. Either Sunak does not want anyone in the job because he wants to avoid being criticised in the run-up to a general election or there is a blockage, a disagreement at high level over who it should be.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/jan/14/sunak-dodging-scrutiny-by-failing-to-appoint-chair-of-climate-change-committee
One Selwyn Gumboot was more than enough…
If we are doomed to act out a Net Zero fantasy can we at least have some power engineers and industrialists on the Climate Change Committee? In fact, can it be composed of only such people? I’m sick to the teeth of historians, classicists, and poets taking the national steering wheel.
Clarification: I just broke out in a cold sweat! Dale Vince has hypnotised us into thinking he is some kind of industrialist with a background in power engineering.
He is not. He is a rent-seeking champagne crusty. He is a useful counter-example. If you think you’ve found someone for the Climate Change Committee but they fit the Dale Vince mould you haven’t.
Dale Vince is an opportunist of the worst kind – ever so much holier than thou.
l will take this as a good sign.
As it suggests government wants to kick this commiittee into the long grass.
As reality starts to kick in and slowly forces the government away from its former climate change folly.
Let’s put Jacob Rees-Mogg in there. That’ll shake things up!
l supect its the rising support for the Reform party thats helping to focus minds at Tory HQ.
All warming over the last 45 years is natural. See for yourself.
Big temperature spike may lead to small temperature rise
By David Wojick, Ph.D.
https://www.cfact.org/2024/01/08/big-temperature-spike-may-lead-to-small-temperature-rise/
The 1998 El Niño all over again.
The warming over the last 45 years has had a helping hand with the use of electonic AWS.
My reseach suggests that they have risen the daily record highs in temps by on avarage 0.7C over glass thermometer recordings.
I am referring to UAH satellite readings, not thermometers.
Well then l agree the cause has been natural.
Increased wind shear within the layers of the atmosphere will aid the flow of warmth from the suface through the atmosphere and into space.
I think Colorado has been in a slight cooling trend since the 1950’s. Weatherwise, it warmed up from yesterday’s -12F. It’s -6F here now. it’s actually warmer in the mountains, as well as snowing.
Yep, we got 6″ overnight on the west slope, and it’s in the low 20s.
Great skiing conditions.
https://www.winterparkresort.com/the-mountain/mountain-cams
“All warming over…is natural.”
I don’t see that as a correct assessment on a scientifically calculable basis David. You can run line by line absorption calcs yourself on UChicago Modtran. This will show somewhere around a degree warming per 2 x CO2. This is with fixed RH to allow for water vapor increase with surface temp, and averaging over a few appropriate “localities”. This is much less than the IPCC averages and about half what seems to be occurring based on historic temperature records, but at least it is calculable on a scientific basis.
Admittedly, increased water vapor could increase the planet’s cloudiness enough to reflect enough sunlight back into outer space offsetting the CO2 warming. But one can just as easily find justification that less cloud cover (semi-unverifiable) in the last 50 years “might” be the cause our current one degree warming. You might as well dpeculate that the sun got a little brighter over Victorian time.
One of the problems is that our measurements of things that might counter the calculable CO2 warming are all down in the “measurement noise” region, while IR absorption by CO2 is laboratory verifiable above the “measurement noise” criterion.
The real issue is that, at our present 2 ppm per year CO2 increase, it will take 200 years for CO2 increase to have any noticeable climate effect, by which time the finding cost of petroleum will be so high that alternative fuels will have to be developed by then.
What will those fuels be ? It is becoming clear that current battery tech is not allowing wind and solar to fill that role. Or will humanity be collecting deadfall and dung to heat their Teepees?
There is alot more then just noise that’s going on as far as the AWS are concerned.
ln my local area AWS are running “warm” for at least 70% of the time when compared to my glass thermometer. With that going on its quite easy to create a warming trend.
ModTran calculates an abstract forcing where nothing else happens, like feedbacks. Mine is a direct observation of the satellite readings of the actual atmosphere. In science observation trumps theory. Sometimes very simple observation as in this case.
Also assumes that the only energy transfer in the atmosphere is radiative.
Which of course is utter nonsense.
Yes CO2 absorbs in a tiny thin band, but actually measurements show that there is also an increase through the atmospheric window.
“Also assumes that the only energy transfer in the atmosphere is radiative.
Which of course is utter nonsense.”
Inside the biosphere, yes, there is also conduction and convection, which are much more effective than radiation at moving energy around.
But the energy coming to earth and leaving earth can only use radiation to come and go to outer space. Green cultists imagine a super insulating blanket of CO2, but it’s thin and full of holes, and the energy absorbed at one wavelength can be transferred to other molecules in the atmosphere via normal thermal processes and re-emited to space at other wavelengths, especially those of water which has an ample selection thereof, and a greater presence in the atmosphere than any other greenhouse gas.
“…assumes the only energy transfer is radiative…”
No, Modtran uses many parameterizations to calculate radiation and reflection from cloud tops and bottoms, greenhouse gas and rainfall emissivities and so on….
These parameters have been adjusted quite carefully to both make sense and match satellite data well.
Oh, I see… all the different parameters have to be “adjusted” to get the answer you want.
Ok ! Thanks for that !!.
Data shows there is no energy trapped.. slight extra absorption is countered by increased emission through the atmospheric window.
Sorry the concept is a problem for you.
You make an observation of a el Nino spikes on top of a rising average and call it “natural” with zero scientifically calculated numbers. I say it’s about half CO2 and about 1/4 warming from additional insolation and 1/4 bad thermometric data due to insufficient urban heat island correction. CO2 can be calculated, insolation change and UHI correction being wrong are weak on real life data, just like your el Nino spike supposition.
“You’d say..”
oh dearie me !! is that your science??
New Study Finds No Evidence Of A CO2-Driven Warming Signal In 60 Years Of IR Flux Data (notrickszone.com)
I was wondering if Miskolczi had done a follow up on his previous work. This should be an interesting read (and difficult). Too back WUWT won’t cover it. He has had it figured out for a couple of decades now. Of course, it also refutes luke warmer views..
CO2 absorption of IR is on sound theoretical and empirical footing. You are kidding yourself if you think it behaves differently in the atmosphere than in a laboratory test apparatus. How MUCH it affects the climate is the more difficult question.
Can’t see the data for the modtran simulations.
You have said it yourself, the warming over the past 50 years is less than IPCC, and this is including any possible feedbacks, like the reduction in albedo!
Possibly the 15-20% increase in vegetation (which environmentalists should be cheering, and thanking the fossil fuel companies for) has partly compensated for the drop in albedo – I don’t think the albedo measurement mentioned in the article can be all-encompassing – and the more recent renaissance of the coal industry (actually starting back in the early 2000s with the awakening of China, India, etc.,) will also keep temperatures in check.
What, exactly, is your real-world observable proof that an increase in CO2 will result in an increase in temperatures, please?
And not a laboratory experiment, if you don’t mind – that only shows that CO2 has an absorption and emission band it doesn’t show what a mixed atmosphere with various gases and water vapour does.
Lukewarmers can never produce the evidence for CO2 warming.
They seem to be still partially brain-washed.
Of course you can mix the gases and show the change in absorption bands. You can even see the effect on a $400 IR camera.
I don’t know why everyone is so ill naturedly critical of this post. It seems very reasonable. It may turn out not to be correct, but its rational scientific reasoning. It’s also roughly consistent with observational studies of climate sensitivity.
The best estimates we seem to have at present are that doubling CO2 ppm will lead to a modest and mainly beneficial average warming, and you are right to argue that at present rate of increase, 2ppm/year, it will take a couple of hundred years for this warming to be noticeable.
The policy issue is that (as you suggest) the attempt to move to wind and solar is not going to work, is not going to make any material difference to this, and is simply impoverishing the West. While not even being tried by 75% of the world – those who are emitting most CO2 and raising their emissions fastest.
The thing we should all focus on is not whether rising CO2 levels have a small effect versus no effect. That really is not important. The important thing is that there is no crisis. If there is an effect it is very small. And the measures being pushed by the Greens in response to the small or non-existent rise are far more damaging to our societies than any which the rise, if there is one, can conceivably cause.
Appreciate the upvote, michel.
The problem is Earth’s atmosphere will not maintain a constant RH. Convection increases which dries out the upper troposphere. If Modtran could simulate this change then it would have a chance at getting the correct result.
https://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Publications/gray2010_ams.pdf
I can easily prove everything you said what you think you know about CO2 false.
Sure, and you can prove the Earth is flat too. Just get over it, back radiation from doubling CO2 will produce about a degree of global warming according to Modtran, Happer, Harde….and that will take about 200 years at present rates of CO2 emissions…and its not a friggin’ crisis compared to what the finding costs of petroleum are going to be in 50 years.
Great to see others are now saying what I have been saying for a long time.
There is no evidence of human caused warming in the satellite temperature data.
Thanks David et al @ur momisugly CFACT 🙂
Maybe…what do you think is the cause of the .13 C per decade upward trend ?
Kip has an interesting posting about King Tides, just before the Open Thread. He points out that “todays media” doesn´t do any fact checking. I asked him to speculate about what percentage of Todays media that would fact check, and discover something that questioned CAGW theology, would speak up or just simply forget about it and go on, peer pressure being what it is.
My experience: as a Geologist who uses Sequence Stratigraphy, as I comment to CAGW true believers that the semi-cyclic rising and lowering of sea level are the only good marker for historic climate cycles (as long as there is a continental mass in a generally polar location), at least 99% either disavow or change the subject, and maybe 1% engage in discussion/argument. Here’s the telling comment, not one of the 99% ever got back to me with a comment like “the CAGW subject appears to be more complicated, or looks like I should research the subject more, or you appear to be right”. The question then becomes, what percentage of the 99% even research the subject, and what percent of the 99% that do research the subject and find the “complications” actually think about it or just simply go on to other less confrontational topics, like “if Trump is re-elected it will be the end of democracy”?
Kip points out the majority of the problem, no introspection, but it is exacerbated by runaway peer pressure/group-think.
“Caviar, magic mushrooms, gold-leaf desserts, A-list selfies, $2,500-per-night hookers and secret dinners are likely to be on the menu as scores of private jets touch down in Switzerland as soon as Sunday to bring the world’s elite to the small Alpine resort town of Davos for what’s officially known as The World Economic Forum 2024.”
https://nypost.com/2024/01/13/news/davos-party-secrets-caviar-magic-mushrooms-champagne/
Weather forecast Davos
The narrative is that global warming disrupts the polar vortex increasing arctic air excursions to the south. A climate cultists in freezing Iowa made that claim along with others.
The following video is long, but beginning at 16 minutes debate concerns climate change/fossil fuel usage. Ramaswami appears to understand the issues.
Absolutely unwilling and incapable to discuss the subject rationally. No argument, just shouting down the reasonable voice. You can’t reason with this sort of religious fanaticism.
Same sign format, different name, same anti fossil fuel idiocy, was at Di Santo’s meeting.
This is planned and funded political action, almost certainly funded by the DemonRats.
These dilettantes are the creeps trying to run the planet.
Joke Biden…criminal prez of the USA…. has millions of illegal aliens pouring across the border because he thinks they will be mail in demrat voters. These illegals are given a free ticket to anywhere in the country and a $5000 credit card…..many are being housed in hotels at taxpayers expense. Joke Biden is the no. 1 CO2 glutton in the country….travels in 3 or more jumbo jets and parades around in 15 to 20 motor car parades…..lives in 4 or 5 mansions….the Joke is a joke on America? Why should American citizens pay taxes and obey laws if Joke and Hunter don’t pay?
U.S. House Republicans are getting a little bit agitated now over the utter failure of Biden to control, or even attempt to control, the borders of the United States.
Me, too, but I’ve been agitated about it for a while now.
At any rate, I have been seeing a lot of frustration on the Republican side and they may be building up to something. A lot of Republicans are balking at signing off on any budget as long as the U.S. borders are out of control.
Let’s see if they do anything concrete about it. Or is it just bluster?
The current new immigration bill being put forward by the U.S. Senate would give Biden a green light to allow 1.5 million illegal immigrants into the U.S. yearly.
That is DOA on arrival at the House, and doesn’t sound like a serious effort to slow down the flow, and U.S. House Republicans are grumbling about it and threatening to shut the government down (not fund Biden’s pet projects) if Biden doesn’t shut down the flow.
I think it is going to take drastic action on the part of Republicans for Biden to even agree to such a thing, but I think Biden is also so corrupt that he will not implement any restrictions he signs up to.
So, odds are, we can figure on Biden letting three million more illegal immigrants into the United States before January 2025. How much more room does New York City and Chicago and Los Angeles have?
Trump says he will implement the biggest deportation operation in history. if elected. I’m voting for him.
I think the illegals should be given an option. Transport to the north shore of Alaska where they are welcome to stay, or go home at their own expense.
Given lower stratospheric temperature (LS) anomaly and atmospheric transmission (AT) is it possible to remove the temperature effects of the stratospheric SO2 events for El-Chichon and Pinatubo eruptions with an equation based on H2SO4 volumetrics / Transmission loss to yield forcing in WSM?
Or does H2SO4 not matter, and Stratospheric Anomaly can be computed directly from AT without absorptivity / emissivity coefficients of the H2SO4 during the periods when known forcings are in effect?
From HuffPo article on Washington State natural gas distribution failure:
“The latest episode comes just two years after a winter storm left hundreds of Texans dead as gas pipelines froze and power plants failed, underscoring how the United States’ aging energy distribution networks are heaving under increased demand and extreme weather from climate change.“
The very next paragraph:
“Federal regulators approved an expansion of the Pacific Northwest’s gas network in October. But the investments needed to prop up the fossil fuel system are facing increased scrutiny from those who say the money should be spent on new, zero-carbon energy infrastructure like solar panels and batteries.“
So, according to HuffPo an extreme cold wave caused by global warming caused a failure that puts millions of people in danger because the gas supply system was neglected in order the prevent global warming. We are truly being ruled by two-headed geniuses.
The Huffington Post is just hiding the truth when they don’t even mention windmills in connection with the arctic cold air excursion that took place in February 2021.
They know the windmills were completely ineffective at supplying electricity during that stressful weather situation. But they failed to even mention it.
They can’t tell the truth. Telling the truth destroys their climate alarmist narrative.
The climate anxiety phenomenon didn’t just magically appear one day. It was a product of the US higher education system, currently involved in other serious issues as well. The multiple problems of higher ed show that there’s something truly wrong beneath the ivory tower. There’s an appreciation of science and technology in the US that’s demonstrated by the rapid adoption of new machinery and processes and the belief that “science” can solve any problem. But in an effort to be all things to all people publicly-funded academia wanders away from its original mission and takes on exotic non-problems. Like any institution it has changed over time. Those concerned by this must work to re-direct its efforts, primarily by extending control of funding. Money is the basis of modern society.
DEEP OCEAN VOLCANOS CAUSE INCREASED GLOBAL WARMING BY PERIODIC EL NINOs
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/natural-forces-cause-periodic-global-warming
EXCERPT
A Simplified Calculation to Put Matters in Perspective
.
This study shows, based on UAH satellite measurements started in 1979, lower-atmosphere temperatures have been increasing, step-by-step, and are pre-dominantly due to El Niños, and their after effects.
.
The sun and moon and tectonic plate movement are driving forces of El Niños.
We must adhere to the golden rule of causality of real science: observe, measure and repeat.
In reality, CO2 does not play the slightest role here.
The IPCC climate models are based on political pseudo-science and are therefore worthless.
.
Heating the Entire Atmosphere by 0.3 C (See Note)
.
Image 7 shows, an increase of the lower-atmosphere temperature of about 0.3 C in late 2023.
This was due to:
.
1) a strong El Niño peaking in late 2023, which increased water vapor, over a period of time,
2) the after-effects of the Hunga Tonga eruption, which increased water vapor, in a very short time, by 10 to 15%, in the lower-atmosphere
.
Q = mass x Cp x delta T = 5.148 x 10^18 kg x 1012 J/kg.C x 0.3 C = 1.737 x 10^21 = 1737 exajoules, almost all of that extra energy came from the sun
.
Annual human primary energy production for all uses was estimated at about 557 Exajoules
.
Strong El Ninos: The upwelling of the warm water of El Ninos causes increased evaporation of ocean water over a period of time, which increases absorption of solar energy to warm the lower-atmosphere. The starting energy of an El Nino is at most a few exajoules. The rest of the 1737 exajoules that warmed the lower-atmosphere, because of the increased water vapor (a strong greenhouse gas), is provided by the sun over a period of months
.
Major Volcanic Eruptions: The very rapid addition of 146 million metric ton of hot water vapor to the atmosphere increases absorption of solar energy to warm the lower-atmosphere. The starting energy of a volcanic eruption, such as Hunga Tonga, is a most a few exajoules. The rest of the 1737 exajoules that warmed the lower-atmosphere, because of the increased water vapor (a strong greenhouse gas), is provided by the sun over a period of months
.
NOTE: For comparison with the above 0.3 C, Image 7 shows, the increase of lower-atmosphere temperature was 0.6 C , in 45 years, or 0.133 C/decade, as objectively measured by satellites. That value includes the periodic warming by El Niños and volcanic eruptions, including Hunga Tonga. They were ongoing events during these 45 years, and millions of years prior to that.
.
Conclusion
.
The impact of human CO2 emissions from annual primary energy on Earth’s temperature is extremely small.
.
It compares to just one of the many active volcanic, submarine hot spots (weak to very strong), estimated at 5,000 in the world, of which the El Niño heat source often is a strong one. See Image 1A
.
It is completely self-destructive for the Western world to impose restrictions on CO2 emissions that have only a small, not even marginal impact, on lower-atmosphere temperatures, as accurately measured by satellites
.
The human primary energy CO2 emissions are completely insignificant compared to the external thermal influences to which the earth is subjected.
.
All politicians and activists have been warned: the earth, moon, sun and celestial bodies will never listen to capricious rules and legislation imposed by them on the earth’s inhabitants.
Story Tip
Here is a seven-minute YouTube video of an EV that caught fire while just sitting in the garage of the home of its owner.l This happened in Colorado, and I cannot envision any home owner looking at this video and then tell me he is still seriously considering the purchase of an EV. Fortunately, the smoke detectors in the home went off in time and the family was able to get out unharmed. I’ve been wondering how long it would take before a video of this happening would show up on YouTube or elsewhere.
Note the tarp that was put over the car by the firefighters after it was pulled from the garage.
So SMFR used both of their battery car blankets, what happens if they get another incident while these are unavailable?
Note the reaction continues even with the car wrapped up.
It appears this car wasn’t to the violent reaction stage yet, otherwise the house would likely be gone.
I wonder if fire fighters are buying EVs.
Just the stupid ones, I imagine.
Some fire departments are. LAFD for one. (As Scissor said…)
Non-STEM parts of universities must be jealous of their technocratic cohort so they find ways to take part in saving the planet from its terminal fever by raising the temperature in people’s brains, as this distinguished university does.
You forgot the sarc tag after ‘distinguished university’.
I read a bit on geo-engineering the other day based on ” Weather as a Force Multiplier: Owning the Weather in 2025 “ PDF link ====>
https://ia801605.us.archive.org/35/items/WeatherAsAForceMultiplier/WeatherAsAForceMultiplier.pdf
A double polar vortex in the lower stratosphere.
OK, enough—the polar bears can have their vortex back now.
https://phys.org/news/2024-01-driven-mystery-nasa-scientist.html
January 12, 2024
2023’s record heat partly driven by ‘mystery’ process: NASA scientist
by Lucie AUBOURG
“It’s no secret human activity is warming the planet, driving more frequent and intense extreme weather events and transforming ecosystems at an extraordinary rate.
But the record-shattering temperatures of 2023 have nonetheless alarmed scientists, and hint at some “mysterious” new processes that may be under way, NASA’s top climatologist Gavin Schmidt tells AFP.. .
But what happened in 2023 was that, and then plus something. And that ‘plus something’ is much larger than we expect, or as yet can explain. . .
It may be that El Niño is enough. But if I look at all of the other El Ninos that we’ve had, none of them did this. So either this El Niño is really super special, or the atmosphere is responding to this El Niño in a very special way. Or there’s something else going on. And nobody has yet really narrowed these possibilities.”
end excerpts
I notice Gavin didn’t mention the volcanic eruption of Hunga Tunga aa being that “plus something”.
Hunga Tonga is about the only unusual event to happen in this timeframe.
But, I’m not surprised Gavin didn’t bring it up.
Translation – “We’ve got no clue and we haven’t made something up yet.”
Honestly this kind of attitude really is stupid; it’s always got to be ‘something new’ because our pet theory is perfect. Any decent scientist would have thrown the theory out by now and gone back to basics, working out what the observations are and what is known about them before moving forward.
Discoveries of things like the Paleo-Bell River , make one wonder about the qualifications of the current crop of climatologists who should pay more attention to their geological counterparts.
Story tip: Iceland scientists plan to drill into a volcano to tap the magma chamber for geothermal energy
https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-unveil-radical-plan-to-drill-into-a-volcano-for-near-unlimited-energy
Sounds great, what could possibly go wrong with that?
Last month I said I was tracking temperatures in a standalone kitchen heated with a mini-split. Given the talk about how good heat pumps work, I thought some actual data might be helpful.
It has a “heating belt” that kicks in at 32. This is the model: https://www.lowes.com/pd/BHI-BHI-12-000-BTU-230-Volt-Ductless-Mini-Split-Air-Conditioner-with-Heat-Pump-19-SEER-1-Ton-16-4ft-5M-Lineset-Wall-Mount-Cover-up-to-600-Sq-Ft/5006010095
I have only tracked a few days – 5 with each setting. I only recorded temperatures when the outside temperature was below 30.
The first set of data is when it was set to “automatic” (heat or cool as needed, fan speed as needed) to 65F.
For the second set it was set to heat on the highest fan setting.
I offer these numbers as-is, reach your own conclusions. I think it would be worth a much bigger test.
Automatic @ur momisugly 65F
Date Outside Inside
12/16/23 23 52
12/20/23 21 54
12/22/23 26 57
12/29/23 27 60
01/02/24 23 56
65F heat high fan
Date Outside Inside
1/04/24 19 60
1/05/24 26 62
1/08/24 27 60
1/11/24 25 60
1/14/24 25 62
At full blast, it gets a roughly +40°F delta T above the outside. If the outside is -10°F, this would be +30°F inside the kitchen. Frozen pipes territory.
What it looks like is that there are no resistance heaters installed or functioning which an air source heat pump must have below about 25F and the unit is acting as a heat pump alone. At the outside temperatures you show no air source heat pump will work at much more than COP=1.
List price is less than $800.
Min. temperature spec is 5F.
Assuming Lowes “12,000 BTU” really means “12,000 BTU/hr”, this is about 3500 W and almost 16 A at 230 VAC. Nothing compared to a gas furnace.
Neil Oliver goes ballistic – repeating what I’ve said for ages..
Everything is wrong, the world has gone truly mad
Tropical storm in northern Australia.
I have a question about battery technology. It has arisen because of plans to build a huge battery farm in Leicestershire.
The company that is project managing the Leicestershire build refers to Lithium ION phosphate batteries, but Wikipedia talks about Lithium IRON phosphate batteries.
Exagen building the Normanton Energy Reserve – lithium ion batteries; Wikipedia is, as often the case, wrong. Interesting that they have 5 more, smaller, projects on the go using the same set-up whilst Tesla are partnering with another energy firm in North Yorks for a massive battery site as well. Looks like someone greenlit a whole host of battery backup parks at roughly the same time.
Don’t forget to look out for the new tourist attraction, the Normanton Smoking Crater in years to come.
Here is my recent favorite impractical celebration, recharge your electric cargo ship at sea:
https://www.yahoo.com/tech/dutch-shipbuilder-launches-groundbreaking-electric-150000809.html
This essay chronicles the disappearance of the wild ranier, a regionally important beerological species, from its native habitat in the US Northwest.
(Travis Chapman Art, Wild Raniers in their Natural Habitat)
ABSTRACT:
Large herds of wild raniers had been present in the US Northwest until the early 1990’s. But by the end of the 1990’s, the species had all but vanished. It is now thought that climate change may have played a role in the disappearance of the wild ranier.
CHAPTERS:
Film clip #1: A herd of wild raniers crosses a meadow in the Washington Cascades in the early 1970’s. The impacts of climate change on the wild ranier population have not yet become apparent. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0Dse53ChTM
Film clip #2: Drivers traveling through forested areas of the Cascade Mountains were careful to avoid migrating wild raniers crossing forest roads. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=daZdK1fRZYk
Film clip #3: In the late 1960s and early 1970s, the wild ranier population began to expand beyond its original Cascade Mountains range into the mountainous areas of Oregon, Idaho, Montana, and southern British Columbia. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLNOa3sO6KU
Film clip #4.1: In the mid 1970’s, hunting of wild raniers in their original range became a popular sport among the rich and famous of the Hollywood elite, Mickey Rooney for example: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VtbP2hOX9xA
Film clip #4.2: In the late 1970’s, Mickey Rooney and his hunting party entourage began to refine their stalking techniques, such as using rivers and streams to gain better access to wild ranier habitat. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=64-Ieeu7oIA
Film clip #4.3: Hunting pressure on the beerological species began to intensify in the early 1980’s with the use of dogs and even helicopters in the tracking and capture of wild raniers: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6frqU_8bZlY
Film clip #5: The yearly migration of the wild raniers across the lowland coastal areas of the US Northwest became an annual event in Seattle, the running of the raniers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OOyCkdz0s10
Film clip #6: Increasing pressure on wild ranier populations from a variety of factors began to concern regional wildlife managers. Specially trained game wardens were assigned to assist in preserving the wild ranier populations. Unfortunately, the game wardens became distracted from their core duties as a consequence of emerging social trends and were unable to carry out their assigned mission. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2U3ICX6saHc
Film clip #7: In the late 1990’s, the wild ranier population fell precipitously in all the areas where it once roamed freely in vast numbers. This film clip from 1997 contains one of the last sightings of a wild ranier before the species went extinct: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZuuaWHgliY
RETROSPECTIVE CONCLUSIONS, JANUARY 2024:
In the early 2000’s, scientists were attributing the extinction of the wild ranier to the combined impacts of over-hunting, ineffective game management, competition from other beerological species, and urban encroachment on its native habitat.
Now, twenty years later, after millions of dollars of scientific research funded by the federal government, the impacts of climate change on the world’s natural ecosystems are thought by scientists to have played a major role in the disappearance of the wild ranier.
Computer modeling of the wild ranier’s regional ecosystem has revealed a series of climate-related positive feedback mechanisms which could have greatly enhanced the base-level impacts of factors such as temperature-induced over-hunting (etc., etc.) on the viability of the wild ranier population.
Will we ever see their like again?
Possibly. The wonders of modern genetic engineering might just be capable a reproducing a beerological species very similar to the wild ranier.
We can only hope.
There has been a mass extinction event in beerological species over the last 40 or so years. In the UK the Watney was once seen all over the country but the last of the Watneys died out years ago – however a select group has managed to being the species back from extinction and, in small preserves, the Watney lives on.
Downloaded the entire USCRN-Monthly dataset from NOAA and crunched the entire thing to get the least-squares values for each month for each station across its operational life. I used TMAX temps exclusively.
Since I’m not comparing stations I don’t need anomalies; I’m just looking at each stations results. So far, 300 station-months out of about 1700 have shown cooling trends.
It’s odd how a station can show 25 years of cooling Novembers, while Decembers are slowly warming.