A recent reversal in the response of western Greenland’s ice caps to climate change

Research suggests some ice caps grew during past periods of warming

Peer-Reviewed Publication

WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION

Ice capped and snow-covered mountains of coastal west Greenland. (Apr. 2015)
IMAGE: ICE CAPPED AND SNOW-COVERED MOUNTAINS OF COASTAL WEST GREENLAND. (APR. 2015) view more CREDIT: IMAGE CREDIT: MATTHEW OSMAN © WOODS HOLE OCEANOGRAPHIC INSTITUTION

Woods Hole, Mass. (September 9, 2021) – Greenland may be best known for its enormous continental scale ice sheet that soars up to 3,000 meters above sea level, whose rapid melting is a leading contributor to global sea level rise. But surrounding this massive ice sheet, which covers 79% of the world’s largest island, is Greenland’s rugged coastline dotted with ice capped mountainous peaks. These peripheral glaciers and ice caps are now also undergoing severe melting due to anthropogenic (human-caused) warming.  However, climate warming and the loss of these ice caps may not have always gone hand-in-hand. 

New collaborative research from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and five partner institutions (University of Arizona, University of Washington, Pennsylvania State University, Desert Research Institute and University of Bergen), published today in Nature Geoscience, reveals that during past periods glaciers and ice caps in coastal west Greenland experienced climate conditions much different than the interior of Greenland. Over the past 2,000 years, these ice caps endured periods of warming during which they grew larger rather than shrinking. 

This novel study breaks down the climate history displayed in a core taken from an ice cap off Greenland’s western coast. According to the study’s researchers, while ice core drilling has been ongoing in Greenland since the mid-20th century, coastal ice core studies remain extremely limited, and these new findings are providing a new perspective on climate change compared to what scientists previously understood by using ice cores from the interior portions of the Greenland ice sheet alone.

“Glaciers and ice caps are unique high-resolution repositories of Earth’s climate history, and ice core analysis allows scientists to examine how environmental changes – like shifts in precipitation patterns and global warming – affect rates of snowfall, melting, and in turn influence ice cap growth and retreat,” said Sarah Das, Associate Scientist of Geology and Geophysics at WHOI. “Looking at differences in climate change recorded across several ice core records allows us to compare and contrast the climate history and ice response across different regions of the Arctic.” However, during the course of this study, it also became clear that many of these coastal ice caps are now melting so substantially that these incredible archives are in great peril of disappearing forever.

Due to the challenging nature of studying and accessing these ice caps, this team was the first to do such work, centering their study, which began in 2015, around a core collected from the Nuussuaq Peninsula in Greenland. This single core offers insight into how coastal climate conditions and ice cap changes covaried during the last 2,000 years, due to tracked changes in its chemical composition and the amount of snowfall archived year after year in the core. Through their analysis, investigators found that during periods of past warming, ice caps were growing rather than melting, contradicting what we see in the present day.

“Currently, we know Greenland’s ice caps are melting due to warming, further contributing to sea level rise. But, we have yet to explore how these ice caps have changed in the past due to changes in climate,” said Matthew Osman, postdoctoral research associate at the University of Arizona and a 2019 graduate of the MIT-WHOI Joint program. “The findings of this study were a surprise because we see that there is an ongoing shift in the fundamental response of these ice caps to climate: today, they’re disappearing, but in the past, within small degrees of warming, they actually tended to grow.”

According to Das and Osman, this phenomenon happens because of a “tug-of-war” between what causes an ice cap to grow (increased precipitation) or recede (increased melting) during periods of warming. Today, scientists observe melting rates that are outpacing the rate of annual snowfall atop ice caps. However, in past centuries these ice caps would expand due to increased levels of precipitation brought about by warmer temperatures. The difference between the past and present is the severity of modern anthropogenic warming.

The team gathered this data by drilling through an ice cap on top of one of the higher peaks of the Nuussuaq Peninsula. The entire core, about 140 meters in length, took about a week to retrieve. They then brought the meter-long pieces of core to the National Science Foundation Ice Core Facility in Denver, Colorado, and stored at -20 degrees Celsius. The core pieces were then analyzed by their layers for melt features and trace chemistry at the Desert Research Institute in Reno, Nevada. By looking at different properties of the core’s chemical content, such as parts per billion of lead and sulfur, investigators were able to accurately date the core by combining these measurements with a model of past glacier flow.

“These model estimates of ice cap flow, coupled with the actual ages that we have from this high precision chemistry, help us outline changes in ice cap growth over time. This method provides a new way of understanding past ice cap changes and how that is correlated with climate,” said Das. “Because we’re collecting a climate record from the coast, we’re able to document for the first time that there were these large shifts in temperature, snowfall and melt over the last 2,000 years, showing much more variability than is observed in records from the interior of Greenland,” Das added.

“Our findings should urge researchers to return to these remaining ice caps and collect new climate records while they still exist,” added Osman.

Additional collaborators and institutions:

Benjamin Smith, University of Washington

Luke Trusel, Pennsylvania State University

Joseph McConnell, Desert Research Institute

Nathan Chellman, Desert Research Institute

Monica Arienzo, Desert Research Institute

Harald Sodemann, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Norway

This research is funded by the National Science Foundation (NSF), with further support from the U.S. Department of Defense National Defense Science and Engineering Graduate Fellowship; and an Ocean Outlook Fellowship to the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research; the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway; Norwegian Research Council; and Air Greenland.

About Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution

The Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) is a private, non-profit organization on Cape Cod, Massachusetts, dedicated to marine research, engineering, and higher education. Established in 1930, its primary mission is to understand the ocean and its interaction with the Earth as a whole, and to communicate an understanding of the ocean’s role in the changing global environment. WHOI’s pioneering discoveries stem from an ideal combination of science and engineering—one that has made it one of the most trusted and technically advanced leaders in basic and applied ocean research and exploration anywhere. WHOI is known for its multidisciplinary approach, superior ship operations, and unparalleled deep-sea robotics capabilities. We play a leading role in ocean observation and operate the most extensive suite of data-gathering platforms in the world. Top scientists, engineers, and students collaborate on more than 800 concurrent projects worldwide—both above and below the waves—pushing the boundaries of knowledge and possibility. For more information, please visit www.whoi.edu


JOURNAL

Nature Geoscience

METHOD OF RESEARCH

Observational study

SUBJECT OF RESEARCH

Not applicable

ARTICLE TITLE

Abrupt Common Era hydroclimate shifts drive west Greenland ice cap change

ARTICLE PUBLICATION DATE

9-Sep-2021

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101 Comments
September 10, 2021 10:05 am

Bottom line: Send money to keep us going.

September 10, 2021 10:09 am

A conspicuous lack of actual numbers.
Try these.

https://gracefo.jpl.nasa.gov/resources/33/greenland-ice-loss-2002-2016/
“Research based on observations from the NASA/German Aerospace Center’s twin Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites indicates that between 2002 and 2016, Greenland shed approximately 280 gigatons (aka billions) of ice per year, causing global sea level to rise by 0.03 inches (0.8 millimeters) per year”

0.8 mm/y out of the current SLR of 3.0 mm/y or 11.8” PER CENTURY!!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenland_ice_sheet
“Analysis of gravity data from GRACE satellites indicates that the Greenland ice sheet lost approximately 2,900 Gt (0.1% of its total mass) between March 2002 and September 2012. The mean mass loss rate for 2008–2012 was 367 Gt/year.”

In the TEN YEARS between 2002 and 2012 Greenland lost 2,900 Gt which represented –
(0.1% of its total mass, 2.8 MILLION Gt) (Yep, read the fine print.)
YES – AN ASTONISHING, NAY STAGGERING EVEN, ZERO POINT 1 PERCENT OF ITS TOTAL MASS!!!!!!!!

Are you effing kidding me? The uncertainty must be 10 times that much.
Who measures this crap and thinks the numbers have substance???
Probably those barely 20 millennials with their participation/entitlement PhDs.
Every year Greenland “loses” 500 Gt during the summer and gains it all back in the winter.

Gregg
September 10, 2021 10:09 am

Interesting timing of an article suggesting that Greenland’s ice can grow during a warming period.
Per Electroverse.net:
“SNOWICANE” LARRY FORECAST TO DUMP FIVE+ FEET OF SUMMER SNOW ON GREENLAND
This will happen within the coming week.

September 10, 2021 10:10 am

It will be interesting to watch how much snow falls this week as hurricane/tropical storm Larry swings by.

Where is best place to monitor Greenland snowfall?

September 10, 2021 10:12 am

They always seem to forget that there are more factors involved in glacier mass loss than just temperature. Precipitation matters. If it snows more during the winter than it melts during the summer, the glacier grows.

Scott
September 10, 2021 10:17 am

This is news? In the last interglacial there were no coastal glaciers at all on Greenland. You can not get more variable than that.

September 10, 2021 10:19 am

“The findings of this study were a surprise”

Warmer climate = more evaporation from the ocean = more snow. Who would ever have guessed such a thing? /s

September 10, 2021 10:30 am

“World’s largest island”

Greenland is made of continental crust. “World’s smallest continent” would be technically much more correct.

Another contribution from the department of pedantic irrelevance.

Bruce Cobb
September 10, 2021 10:33 am

The difference between the past and present is the severity of modern anthropogenic warming.

Bull puckey. Standard fare for pseudoscientists though.

SxyxS
September 10, 2021 10:34 am

Sounds like a great excuse (probably the best since global warming was renamed climate change to get the opportunity to blame any anomaly,even the cold ones that were used against AGw,on co2).
“oh look.Sea levels ain’ t rising.Maledives don ‘t disappear,Ice mass increasing.Fort Denison Sea level 2 inches below 1910 average ”
Now itit no longer a problem to explain it away as we have now a peer reviewed deus ex machina that can blame increasing ice volumes on warming = checkmate for the sceptics
and Obamas, Al Gore,Markle of the beast can keep on buying beach properties.
China and Dubai can keep on building artificial sea islands.
We now have an excuse.
(Lets ignore the reason why Greenland was called Greenland in the first place and why the vikings died when it was no longer green)
Whatever happens – It’s because of AGW.

This paper follows the main principal of bureaucrtic job darwinsim (survival of the shittest):
Do whatever it takes to avoid a real job.

September 10, 2021 10:57 am

Ice melts at 0 deg C. It does not melt at any modeled global mean temperature anomaly.

September 10, 2021 10:57 am

Meanwhile:
“Sea ice in the Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica was well above the 1981 to 2010 average extent in August, rising above the ninetieth percentile of the satellite record period near the end of the month (Figure 7). As of this post, Antarctic sea ice extent is fifth highest for the day in the satellite record,…”
https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

September 10, 2021 11:02 am

This gobbledygook seems to be saying “ice and snow on earth are always melting even big they’re increasing in amount. Earth is always warming even if it’s cooling.”

With so many scientists involved I guess no one can argue with that. Odd that I expected to see George Orwell listed as a major contributor but did see his name.

September 10, 2021 11:03 am

The revelation of a new phenomenon: last sentence of the abstract of that paper:

“Taken together with modern observations, the ice core evidence could indicate a recent reversal in the response of west Greenland ice caps to climate change.”

We had already got “pauses” and other kinds of “anomalies”, now we got a plain “reversal of response to climate change”.

“The Science” and “The Experts” say that chunks of the Earth surface not only behave (they “respond”) but indeed behave in a kind of chaotic way: climate changes, but that “behaviour” may be anything or its reverse; a pattern possibly of the realm of psychopathology.

Earth, or, at least, climate (eventually, “climate change”) need urgently some medical advice, please invite some shrinks to participate in the IPCC.

ResourceGuy
September 10, 2021 11:23 am

But hey, it’s a great way to beat the summer heat in the desert.

Anthony
September 10, 2021 11:28 am

Tell all this bull to the Vikings as they didn’t call the place Whiteland…..

Norsky
September 10, 2021 11:58 am

The snow season on Grenland runs from September 1. to same date next year, with melting from May to September and build up the rest of the year. Every year there is more build up than melt. The reason the central ice sheet does not grow sky high is that the weight pushes the mass outwards to the coast via glaciers that are like slow flowing rivers. Here ice is melted as it meets the ocean. So this rate can increase with hotter sea water, but the variation can never be substansial and regarded as removal of the ice sheet. Over the years there must be a balance.

September 10, 2021 12:56 pm

“… novel study …”. “ … the first …” ad infinitum, ad nauseam. Ooh, we must all be impressed. So they sent a drill rig to recover a single measly ice core, studied it to the extreme, then attempted to extrapolate the findings to all of Greenland for all time.

Send more money? Since everyone knows that “The Science”TM is settled, “defund the fleece.”

September 10, 2021 3:57 pm

These peripheral glaciers and ice caps are now also undergoing severe melting due to anthropogenic (human-caused) warming.

So severe that at the average rate of 268 cu km per annum, as determined by the GRACE satellite, the ice cap will all melt away in only 10,634 years. By which time the next ice age will have been underway for several millennia.

September 10, 2021 3:57 pm

“Glaciers and ice caps are unique high-resolution repositories of Earth’s climate history, and ice core analysis allows scientists to examine how environmental changes – like shifts in precipitation patterns and global warming – affect …”

Except when they don’t toe the consensus line!

comment image

From R.B. Alley (2004), GISP2 Ice Core Temperature and Accumulation. NOAA/EGDC, Paleoclimatolgy Program, Boulder CO.

September 10, 2021 4:12 pm

The article is implying that, because of anthropogenic warming in the region, Greenland is losing ice mass because this warming is somehow “unprecedented”, maybe because it’s warming so fast that new snowfall, even from a warmer ocean, can’t keep up. Okay, I’ll bite: even if that’s true, haven’t we always been told that water, and therefore the oceans, warm up more slowly than the atmosphere (in fact, it does)? That the ocean is “hiding heat”? Well, once the ocean warms up to increase evaporation (thus, more snowfall), the historical balance should reappear. But, they don’t seem to have a good grasp on the ice sheet mass balance in the first place, so who cares…

Prjindigo
September 10, 2021 4:21 pm

Someone needs to fly out a fleet of Zamboni to clean the dirt off the ice and stop the melting.

September 10, 2021 4:33 pm

I know the graph up there has been “discredited” by the climate wroughters. It is what they do when they don’t get the pre-ordained ‘correct” data.

It’s what they did with global and local instrumental weather station temperatures. It’s what they did to correct Global Mean Temp forecasts that proved to be 300% too high (including moving the 1950 datum, first back to 1850, and in recent months, back to 1750!! to repurpose ~2°F of natural recovery from the LIA to shore up a weak CAGW account). It’s what they did to try to accelerate a stubborn linear SLR. It’s what they did to erase an embarrassing 2-decade “Pause” in global temperatures….Indeed most ‘professional’ climatological work had been expended making adjustments to nature’s uncooperative resistance to “crisis climate”.

Dennis G Sandberg
September 10, 2021 4:52 pm

The author’s explain, “…in past centuries these ice caps would expand due to increased levels of precipitation brought about by warmer temperatures. The difference between the past and present is the severity of modern anthropogenic warming”.

It must be nice being a University liberal knowing that more precipitation from warmer temperatures only happened in the past but not anymore simply because of anthropogenic warming. No other possible factors, black and white, stop burning “fossil fuels” and it will all be good. Ridiculous.

Duane
September 10, 2021 6:00 pm

A single core means literally nothing,

Come back with the data after they’ve done at least a couple hundred, or preferably a couple of thousand of these ice cores.

The results of this study are useless bullshit as a tool to predict the performance of the entire Greenland ice cap. It’s like getting a tree ring record at a single point location in North America and extrapolating that to characterize the climate of the entire continent, from Hudson’s Bay to the Bay of Campeche.

SMH – any freshman student in climatology deserves to get drummed out of the program for delivering a set of conclusions like these!!!