Climate Craziness of the Week – @kurteichenwald: "I predicted Irma using 'climate equation' 100% correct"

From the ‘I’m not a scientist but I play one in Vanity Fair” department comes this ridiculous tweet from writer Kurt Eichenwald.

Via Wikipedia: no mention of climate or weather skill:

Kurt Alexander Eichenwald (born June 28, 1961) is an American journalist who serves as a senior writer with Newsweek, a contributing editor with Vanity Fair and a New York Times bestselling author of four books, one of which, The Informant (2000), was made into a motion picture in 2009. He was formerly a writer and investigative reporter with The New York Times and later with Condé Nast‘s business magazine, Portfolio. Eichenwald had been employed by The New York Times since 1986 and primarily covered Wall Street and corporate topics such as insider tradingaccounting scandals, and takeovers, but also wrote about a range of issues including terrorism, the Bill Clinton pardon controversy, Federal health care policy, and sexual predators on the Internet.

Of course, that makes him highly qualified (in Alt-climate world) to say things like this:

Rightfully, since he didn’t show any work, he’s being flamed in replies to that tweet.

Dr Ryan Maue was quick to weigh in:

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905097503963533312

UPDATE: Eichenwald’s ego explodes:

Then, oh never mind, blame it on Fox news!

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September 5, 2017 11:04 am

I just love the sizzling retorts and comments about Eichenwald’s absurdity. If I were the least bit intelligent, I would write at least one as well, but I ain’t got it.

Vince W.
September 5, 2017 11:04 am

Looks like he dumped the tweet. Not surprising.

September 5, 2017 11:04 am

100% accurate? Eichenwald should remember that 97% is the green blob tag for BS stats.

Vince W.
September 5, 2017 11:07 am

Yup! “Im deleting my hurricane tweet because idiots arent getting point. Climatologists use math to calculate. Math works. Idiots use fox news.
73 replies 124 retweets 631 likes”

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  Vince W.
September 5, 2017 11:24 am

Suspicion confirmed. He was being sarcastic/ironic. Much more ironic than he realized. Who’s the idiot, Kurt? I think we all know the answer. Math works, but you have to know all the underlying physics, otherwise you just have mathematical wanker models that soon go off the rails…as has happened with virtually all of your twee “climate models.” Ignorance is no excuse, Kurt. Get out of your bubble or shut up.

Ray in SC
Reply to  Vince W.
September 5, 2017 12:48 pm

If he would have claimed it was a satire of Michael Mann’s claim about preictictimg Harvey it would have been spot on funny.

Ray in SC
Reply to  Ray in SC
September 5, 2017 12:49 pm

“predicting Harvey”, sorry but I had a ‘convfefe’ moment.

hunter
September 5, 2017 11:14 am

A journalist who doesn’t know mean from median but can do maths with “formulas” that don’t exist and get resukts that are transparently fabricated.
Sounds like Kurt fits right in with the consensus.

Tom Judd
September 5, 2017 11:18 am

You folks are being way to cruel to our dear Kurt Eichenwald and very disrespectful of his true abilities. So, I’m going to set you straight and describe what I think I’ve seen with my own eyes:
The other night I was at a seance, and alone amongst the five of us only Eichenwald was able to connect with the dead. In fact, he actually connected with General Ulysses S. Grant who informed him that history was mistaken and that it was actually Grant himself who surrendered to Robert E. Lee.
But, that’s not all. Later, Eichenwald showed us that a Ouija board genuinely does work (as opposed to ungenuinely). He asked the board questions, for which everybody in attendance knew the answers (and we absolutely knew the answers since the events had already occurred), and gosh dang it, the Ouija board got every question right.
Ok, there was one question, but only one, that despite Kurt’s psychic presence, the Oujia board simply could not answer. One of the attendees asked if any of Kurt Eichenwald’s girlfriends had ever faked their orgasms.

Ill Tempered Klavier
Reply to  Tom Judd
September 5, 2017 3:18 pm

Jeez, Tom. That question’s even worse than asking a lady her age 😉 😉
Kat ( female person of color / red

phaedo
September 5, 2017 11:25 am

I seem to recall another harebrained journalist who made very wild claims on this august blog not so long ago. He was simply looking for PR too.

MarkW
September 5, 2017 11:29 am

Make 100 predictions, but don’t tell anyone about them.
When one of them is correct, run to the front of the line and proclaim your brilliance.

Resourceguy
Reply to  MarkW
September 5, 2017 11:49 am

…and to the front of the marathon race from a side road.

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  Resourceguy
September 5, 2017 12:04 pm

please, at least Ms. Ruiz made no pretensions about actually knowing anything, recall the “what’s an interval?” comment during the interview with Kathy Switzer

Mary Brown
Reply to  Resourceguy
September 5, 2017 6:30 pm

Nice Ruiz reference. That lady lives on forever.

John Bell
September 5, 2017 11:30 am

The LEFT crying wolf again…

September 5, 2017 11:37 am

I, in fact, was 100% correct on the coming hurricanes, predicting the end of the ‘cane drought in 2013:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/06/01/hurricane-season-begins-with-a-new-record-hurricane-drought-for-the-usa/#comment-1323734
I posted this on the Ryan Maye thread.

OneUp1234
September 5, 2017 11:38 am

Before pounding on Kurt too much, please understand he does have some medical issues. Google Kurt Eichenwald Tucker Carlson and you will see. Its probably not morally right to attack him. Of course Newsweek is open game.

Old Grump
Reply to  OneUp1234
September 5, 2017 3:32 pm

Grandma always said “If you can’t say something nice about someone, then it’s best to just say nothing at all.”
So, for Grandma’s sake, all I’ll say about Mr. E is well just bless his pea-picking little heart.

Andrew Cooke
September 5, 2017 11:50 am

LOL! Heh, I just can’t stop laughing. This guy is hilarious.
Oh, wait, it gets better! He’s actually serious! Oh my stomach is hurting from laughing so hard!
Stop! I can barely breathe……..heh. What a numbskull.

Bill Illis
September 5, 2017 11:53 am

He says he used this equation.comment image
Which I doubt predicts hurricanes and probably doesn’t have real-time data for either.

lifeisthermal
Reply to  Bill Illis
September 5, 2017 12:11 pm

But I like the simplicity of that equation. There´s no co2 in there, so it is probably more correct than most of climate science.
But I like that bullshit-measuring device even more, it seems sturdy. Look at how the needle bends, it can handle a lot of bullshit, unlike me. Where can I buy one?

Michael S. Kelly
Reply to  Bill Illis
September 5, 2017 1:19 pm

What on earth does “L” stand for?

Michael S. Kelly
Reply to  Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 1:20 pm

…and don’t say “Spanish for ‘The'”.

Rhee
Reply to  Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 1:27 pm

loser?

Reply to  Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 1:39 pm

L is ‘latent heat ‘ or “energy released or absorbed, by a body or a thermodynamic system, during a constant-temperature process.” – says somewhere or another

mikewaite
Reply to  Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 1:52 pm

L is the latent heat of evaporation of water, (in this instance) .
I guess by now everyone has twigged that this character has taken his terminology for a standard thermodynamic equation for equilibrium between phases. from a book of that eminent climate scientist , Maurice Salby , p112 of Fundamentals of Atmospheric Physics.
Of course a hurricane is hardly equilibrium , so need to refer to Houghton ‘s use of the equation in calculating the vertical distribution of saturated air , and then Coriolis comes into play .
So it would be interesting if this journalist could tell us how he manged to proceed from the equilibrium equation to a violently rotating body of water saturated air. I am sure that he could teach us a lot.

Sunderlandsteve
Reply to  Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 2:02 pm

Specific latent heat, apparently.

Phil
Reply to  Bill Illis
September 5, 2017 2:25 pm

Straight out of Wikipedia.. All this means is that warmer air will hold more moisture. To give another example of the stupidity of his tweet, it would be like saying that you calculated a nuclear bomb with a formula that was 100% accurate and then saying the formula you used was E=mc^2.

Reply to  Phil
September 5, 2017 6:04 pm

Excellent. Wish Maue would have said something to that effect in his tweet.

Mary Brown
Reply to  Phil
September 5, 2017 6:28 pm

Nice… except my old pompous prof would say “Air doesn’t actually hold water, it coexists with it”. We would roll eyes. Technically he was right I suppose

Sheri
Reply to  Phil
September 6, 2017 6:06 am

Should have guessed! The authoritative Wikipedia!

Robert B
Reply to  Bill Illis
September 5, 2017 8:46 pm

I’m pretty sure that its used somewhere in hurricane modelling but surely even a writer could pick that you need a lot more – or at least one more equation with time in it! If you’re even that innumerate, at least a good journalist would know that NOAA just spent $44.5M on a computer upgrade for its modelling. There would be some serious questions to be answered if the calculation could be done on paper with a basic Cassio.

mikewaite
September 5, 2017 2:04 pm

This site is frequently informed of the antics of journalistic or political activists who manage to convince politicians and the media that they could and should take the place of professional scientists in the corridors of power especially on the subject of climate change.
Each time I read about them a little ditty comes to mind: form WS Gibert :
“Stick close to your desks and never go to sea
And you all may be Rulers of the Queen’s Navy”
Of course eventually the day came when the King’s navy faced its most dangerous encounter for 100 years at Jutland in 1916 . A battle that was almost lost , causing Admiral Beatty to complain :” something wrong with our ships today” . Yes all those years of desk sailors displacing professional navy men as satirised by Gilbert .
We get rid of professional scientists and replace them with Oreskes and Klein and this fellow at our peril.

Ill Tempered Klavier
Reply to  mikewaite
September 5, 2017 3:40 pm

And William Henry Smith was known as “Pinafore Smith” to his dying day.

Pinroot
September 5, 2017 2:09 pm

In addition to his interest in tentacle porn, there is this:
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/kurt-eichenwald-case-texas-grand-jury-says-gif-deadly-weapon-n736316
Thanks to him, an animated gif was considered to be a deadly weapon.
And, finally, this:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/press_box/2007/03/eichenwalds_weird_checkbook_journalism.html
Pretty bad when Slate isn’t on your side

CCB
September 5, 2017 3:00 pm

All this reminds one of the quote of the year:
‘When you are dead, you do not know that you are dead.
All of the pain is felt by others.
The same thing happens when you are stupid.’

Andrew Cooke
September 5, 2017 3:01 pm

Hey Eichenwald, you know your mouth and ego is writing checks that this equation can’t cash, right? Hurricanes are hardly in equilibrium. My Differential Equations teacher would have given me an F if I had popped this one out on a test.

Moderately Cross of East Anglia
September 5, 2017 3:16 pm

Perhaps he can give us answers to questions Science hasn’t thought of yet?

Gary
September 5, 2017 4:24 pm

Why do we need climate scientists when under-educated journalists will do?

Sheri
Reply to  Gary
September 6, 2017 6:17 am

An excellent question.

troe
September 5, 2017 4:52 pm

A writer for the usual suspects… which is how they became the usual suspects

Neo
September 5, 2017 6:13 pm

Isn’t this the guy who’s wife claimed somebody online tried to kill him with a pulsating gif file ?

marque2
September 5, 2017 6:15 pm

test

marque2
September 5, 2017 6:16 pm

Tentacle pr0n is mainstream. I saw it with my kids on Galaxy Quest.

Mary Brown
Reply to  marque2
September 5, 2017 6:23 pm

One of the funniest movies ever.

texasjimbrock
Reply to  marque2
September 5, 2017 6:59 pm

I watch it every time it shows up on the TV. Great visuals until the end…the space ship looks like a toy. But the rock monster…uh…rocks!

the Exorcist
Reply to  marque2
September 5, 2017 9:43 pm

Lol some of the acting was too campy but it was still a funny movie

MarkW
Reply to  the Exorcist
September 6, 2017 7:07 am

It was supposed to be campy.
If you have ever read any of the backstage gossip from the original Star Trek show, it’s even funnier.

Mary Brown
September 5, 2017 6:23 pm

“I’m deleting the hurricane tweet because you idiots aren’t getting the point”
Well he got that part right.
Pretty funny he calls Maue the idiot.

Sheri
Reply to  Mary Brown
September 6, 2017 6:19 am

I think the problem was the “idiots” did get the point. It was the author who didn’t understand what point he made.

texasjimbrock
September 5, 2017 6:58 pm

Way back when I was doing thermodynamics problems we always defined the variables in our equations. I am guessing that P is pressure, T is temperature ..but is L the latent heat? Is delta S the change in entropy? What units is he using? Looks like just another journalist in way over his head.

Reply to  texasjimbrock
September 6, 2017 6:23 am

P is vapor pressure.