Climate Craziness of the Week – @kurteichenwald: "I predicted Irma using 'climate equation' 100% correct"

From the ‘I’m not a scientist but I play one in Vanity Fair” department comes this ridiculous tweet from writer Kurt Eichenwald.

Via Wikipedia: no mention of climate or weather skill:

Kurt Alexander Eichenwald (born June 28, 1961) is an American journalist who serves as a senior writer with Newsweek, a contributing editor with Vanity Fair and a New York Times bestselling author of four books, one of which, The Informant (2000), was made into a motion picture in 2009. He was formerly a writer and investigative reporter with The New York Times and later with Condé Nast‘s business magazine, Portfolio. Eichenwald had been employed by The New York Times since 1986 and primarily covered Wall Street and corporate topics such as insider tradingaccounting scandals, and takeovers, but also wrote about a range of issues including terrorism, the Bill Clinton pardon controversy, Federal health care policy, and sexual predators on the Internet.

Of course, that makes him highly qualified (in Alt-climate world) to say things like this:

Rightfully, since he didn’t show any work, he’s being flamed in replies to that tweet.

Dr Ryan Maue was quick to weigh in:

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905097503963533312

UPDATE: Eichenwald’s ego explodes:

Then, oh never mind, blame it on Fox news!

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Bruce Cobb
September 5, 2017 10:05 am

Was it the same “climate change equation” that predicted the 12-year hurricane drought? Oh wait, there wasn’t one. Never mind.

Reply to  Bruce Cobb
September 5, 2017 10:41 am

It just gets worse and worse. The tagline of this column is “fighting pseudoscience.” It’s like they think 1984 was an instruction manual.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevensalzberg/2017/09/05/houston-weve-got-a-problem-its-called-global-warming/#664f73681380

TheDoctor
Reply to  talldave2
September 5, 2017 3:21 pm

They DO think it’s a manual!

Sheri
Reply to  talldave2
September 6, 2017 6:04 am

Yes, even college kids and high schoolers think 1984 is an instruction manual. They do not in any way understand it was a warning. Worse yet, 1984 has no solution presented, so it’s an instruction manual for a society that becomes eternal and cannot be changed, at least to the thinking of the younger generation and poorly educated.

Joel Snider
Reply to  talldave2
September 6, 2017 12:10 pm

Sheri: Hollywood has always amazed me in that regard – half-a-century they’ve been adapting and telling these sorts of cautionary tales, and now they’re enacting them.

Green Sand
September 5, 2017 10:05 am

Jeez! and its only Tuesday!

Sheri
Reply to  Green Sand
September 6, 2017 6:04 am

After a holiday. They need something big to catch your attention on a day like that!

Hugs
September 5, 2017 10:06 am

Step up, shout ‘bullshit’, and be prepared to be attacked by those who call you a denier. Sigh. It was bullshit anyway, of course.

john
Reply to  Hugs
September 5, 2017 11:07 am

LOL! Eichenwald is deleting tweet and going ‘Full On John Podesta’ on twitter with rants!
https://mobile.twitter.com/kurteichenwald

john
Reply to  john
September 5, 2017 1:00 pm

IN THE DEMOCRATIC ECHO CHAMBER, INCONVENIENT TRUTHS ARE RECAST AS PUTIN PLOTS
https://www.google.com/amp/s/static.theintercept.com/amp/in-the-democratic-echo-chamber-inconvenient-truths-are-recast-as-putin-plots.html
MORE INSIDIOUS AND subtle, but even worse, was what Newsweek and its Clinton-adoring writer Kurt Eichenwald did last night. What happened — in reality, in the world of facts — was extremely trivial. One of the emails in the second installment of the WikiLeaks/Podesta archive — posted yesterday — was from Sidney Blumenthal to Podesta. The sole purpose of Blumenthal’s email was to show Podesta one of Eichenwald’s endless series of Clinton-exonerating articles, this one about Benghazi. So in the body of the email to Podesta, Blumenthal simply pasted the link and the full contents of the article. Although the purpose of Eichenwald’s article (like everything he says and does) was to defend Clinton

marque2
Reply to  john
September 5, 2017 6:06 pm

He seems to misunderstand DACA and healthcare as well.

Curious George
September 5, 2017 10:08 am

OK, where will Irma make a landfall, and when?

Greg
Reply to  Curious George
September 5, 2017 10:11 am

Sorry , the magic formula only gives intensity and timing to 100% accuracy, I’m still working on track predictions. 😉

RWturner
Reply to  Greg
September 5, 2017 10:38 am

The climate change equation can only formulate things that happened already.

Reply to  Curious George
September 5, 2017 10:53 am

A simple linear extrapolation shows that Irma will not need to make landfall — by the end of the week, wind speeds will reach 300 mph, as the storm wall reaches inland simply by expanding. Within another week, wind speeds over 500 mph will scour Gaia’s enemies from North America, followed the week after by the rest of the Earth, which will eventually be torn apart by Irma’s planet-girdling >1200 mph winds sometime next month.
Just had to drive that SUV, huh?

Jaakko Kateenkorva
Reply to  talldave2
September 5, 2017 11:51 am

It’s just a question of where Irma happens to be. Winds on Venus gust at 250 mph and 740 K, but Neptune’s winds blow nearly supersonic at 1300 mph and 55 K. The cooling sulphuric clouds on Venus slow Irma down. /sarc

Reply to  Curious George
September 5, 2017 11:19 am

Bang on the SW tip of Florida, Sunday morning.
It will be very very bad.
Then it will rip up the east coast before wandering off into the Atlantic.
The public will be told it’s all about climate change, and enough will believe it to make Trumps position almost untenable.
It will set science back a generation.

rocketscientist
Reply to  Leo Smith
September 5, 2017 11:30 am

Science has already been set back a generation, as has education in general. Perhaps more than one lost generation.

michael hart
Reply to  Leo Smith
September 5, 2017 2:19 pm

Like with the British Royal Family, some suggest it might now be a good idea to skip a generation.

USexpat
Reply to  Leo Smith
September 6, 2017 4:10 pm

The stupid, it burns. I’m ok with stupid and even ignorant. What really burns me it the willful and blatant lies. This smuck is not stupid or ignorant. He’s part of the problem that needs to be addressed with lampposts and hemp. Give it time folks. Give it time.

Greg
September 5, 2017 10:09 am

So where is the evidence of his prediction? Did he make it public or just write on the back of an envelop yesterday and bring it out ?
Timing “100%” ? OK let’s see it .
Maybe he would like to share his magic “climate equation” for public inspection. He certainly need to given credit for all this hard work !

rocketscientist
September 5, 2017 10:10 am

On any given day there exists some prophet of doom strutting around with a sign predicting some impending catastrophe, and eventually one will be correct, but this is no rationale for the correctness or prognostication abilities.
How often in the past has this buffoon been incorrect? One correct guess out of many is not a sign of reliable guessing.
“One would expect that a soothsayer would not be able to look another soothsayer in the face without laughing.”

Greg
September 5, 2017 10:13 am

…. and I have invented a way to turn shit into gold. It works 100% of the time when there is a major storm brewing.

john harmsworth
Reply to  Greg
September 5, 2017 11:45 am

Sorry, Greg. He beat you to it!

Liz
September 5, 2017 10:15 am

I read that he used the Clausius-Clapeyron equation to predict the hurricane. Is this possible?

Reply to  Liz
September 5, 2017 10:23 am

Kurt probably thinks Clausius-Clapeyron was a Roman emperor or a venerial disease.

Reply to  Gary Pearse
September 5, 2017 10:47 am

Or a Roman Emperor witha venereal disease?

Tom Judd
Reply to  Gary Pearse
September 5, 2017 10:50 am

Clausius The Clap

MarkW
Reply to  Gary Pearse
September 5, 2017 11:31 am

Dickus Maximus?

Reply to  Gary Pearse
September 5, 2017 11:40 am

did you mean Coles Maximus ?

Curious George
Reply to  Liz
September 5, 2017 10:25 am

That would be David Appell. Kurt is a good writer.

Greg
September 5, 2017 10:21 am

This creep looks like a psychopath. A cold menacing stare like he’s about to pull someone’s fingernails out very slowly and enjoy every minute of it.

Reply to  Greg
September 5, 2017 11:12 am

Oddly enough, if you can track down the thread on Twitter where he brings up tentacle p0rn (while talking to his ‘adult son’, lol) you will be amused for hours reading the massive amount of flames sent his way.

john harmsworth
Reply to  Greg
September 5, 2017 11:46 am

He just needs a little more self inflation to look exactly like Michael Mann!

Cliff Hilton
September 5, 2017 10:23 am

@Kurt Eichenwald ✔ @kurteichenwald
Can you please give us the names of the remaining storms, their intensity and timing, for 2017?
Cliff

Caligula Jones
Reply to  Cliff Hilton
September 5, 2017 10:27 am

Yes, just using the old National Enquirer model: print 1,000 predictions, trumpet the one you got kinda right.
In this case, at least the National Enquirer actually printed their predictions.
This drip apparently is trying to take credit for predicting something without actually showing that he did.
BTW, DON’T search for his name and “tentacle”…I warned you.

AZ1971
Reply to  Caligula Jones
September 5, 2017 10:57 am

National Enquirer? Pfft ….. the best rag on the newsstands was the Weekly World News, by far. Whilst the National Enquirer wasted valuable money on unnecessary things like coloured ink, the WWN instead devoted its ink budget towards getting the scoop on the really important news of the day, like Bat Boy and killer snails in Texas. Quality reporting if ever there was such a thing!

SMC
Reply to  Caligula Jones
September 5, 2017 11:00 am

Tentacle Porn!?! WTF!?!?!
I should have heeded your warning.

SMC
Reply to  Caligula Jones
September 5, 2017 11:16 am

I made the mistake of looking up his name and tentacle. Looks like my first comment got lost in moderation… I should have heeded your warning. I think I’m scarred for life.

MarkW
Reply to  Caligula Jones
September 5, 2017 11:32 am

Whenever someone yells, “don’t look”, half the people will automatically look.

Reply to  Caligula Jones
September 5, 2017 10:43 pm

Resourceguy
September 5, 2017 10:25 am

He is a NYT “journalistic scientist” who may claim Nobel Laureate status at any time. Stay tuned.

TheDoctor
Reply to  Resourceguy
September 5, 2017 3:27 pm

Maybe he can borrow Micky M. prize for a while?

Raven
September 5, 2017 10:28 am

I was pretty impressed with Ryan Maue, too.
He’s a hurricane scientist . . if there is such a thing.

Raven
Reply to  Raven
September 5, 2017 10:33 am

Ooops, I should retract that because it reads a little snarky.
Apparently Ryan Maue is one.

Stephen Richards
Reply to  Raven
September 5, 2017 11:24 am

RYAN IS ONE OF THE BEST

Mark
September 5, 2017 10:28 am

Wow, think of all the lives he could save. He has a moral obligation to share his amazing gift. If he doesn’t, I’m sure alarmists will be outraged. (Extreme sarc)

September 5, 2017 10:30 am

So this guy is…

…a journalist, senior writer, contributing editor, bestselling author, investigative reporter, covering Wall Street, insider trading, accounting scandals, takeovers, plus terrorism, the Clinton pardons, health care policy, and sexual predators…

And he writes this?

I used a climate change equation &, using sea surface temps, predicted Irma intensity growth & timing. 100% correct.

Maybe someone stole his identity.

Hugs
Reply to  Steve Case
September 5, 2017 11:41 am

Well, sounds like it.

ren
September 5, 2017 10:32 am
Rhoda R
Reply to  ren
September 5, 2017 10:48 am

Is there any chance that jet stream will push Irma northward and out over the Atlantic?
[Yes, there is a chance that will occur. But disaster sells newspapers, TV time, and web-counted clicks on web sites. Also, “gloom and disaster-doomed” scenarios do encourage some people to prepare for potential disasters. Several models – but not all! – predict paths that stay east of FL. .mod]

john harmsworth
Reply to  Rhoda R
September 5, 2017 11:51 am

I really have no idea what Irma is going to do but I’ll wing it and say that looking at nullschool it appears most likely that it will pound Jamaica and Cuba and then run aground in Central america. At least I have the cojones to post my prediction before it happens! You folks are my witnesses!

ren
Reply to  ren
September 5, 2017 11:41 am

It seems to me that rather south.

ren
Reply to  ren
September 5, 2017 11:57 am

Hurricane IRMA
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 05, 2017:
Location: 16.9°N 59.2°W
Maximum Winds: 160 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 926 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb

HomeChef
September 5, 2017 10:37 am

He is 100% correct that when you apply the climate equation of H=Harvey I= Irma, then Irma would be the next tropical storm/hurricane.

Reply to  HomeChef
September 6, 2017 9:18 am

I predict the next after Irma is Kurt.

September 5, 2017 10:38 am

This is what happens when climate scientists make brazenly unsupported statements of climate doom. It pushes science further into the post normal where heartfelt opinions are valid and where the butcher, the baker, the candlestickmaker… are welcome to participate. They do stick, come what may, to the CO2 heating formula that was handed down on a clay tablet by acolytes of Maurice Strong. Notice that no mainstream CliSci or fawning fake news outlets are calling bull to this. Heck, even the florist or the seamstress is qualified to call BS on such stupidity.

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  Gary Pearse
September 5, 2017 11:14 am

Maybe that’s Eichenwald’s point. He just left the sarc tag off his tweet.

Resourceguy
September 5, 2017 10:40 am

So what is his prediction for Hurricane Betsy?

September 5, 2017 10:41 am

The U.S. has got to get control of the use of marijuana. It has reached epidemic proportions.

MarkW
Reply to  Tom Bjorklund
September 5, 2017 11:34 am

Pot makes sperm swim around in circles, not hurricanes.

Fred White
Reply to  MarkW
September 5, 2017 11:51 am

clockwise or anti clockwise or does it depend on the hemisphere?

Rhee
Reply to  MarkW
September 5, 2017 1:23 pm

maybe it depends on the hemisphere on which the variety is cultivated

September 5, 2017 10:42 am

I also made prediction, according to the prevailing ‘scientific consensus’ it was only 97% accurate.
/sarc

R.S. Brown
September 5, 2017 10:43 am
Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 10:46 am

Wow! I hadn’t seen this before, Anthony, but you have scored with the appellation “Alt-Climate world”! What a great counter to the term “denier”!

Nigel s
Reply to  Michael S. Kelly
September 5, 2017 11:07 am

‘Ctrl-Climate’ world? (otherwise known as Ctrl-C)

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  Nigel s
September 5, 2017 11:15 am

Shift happens.

Hugs
Reply to  Nigel s
September 5, 2017 11:43 am

A meta-joke.

Reply to  Nigel s
September 5, 2017 1:37 pm

Hmmm…this could be an idea for Josh.
The Climate Seancetist Keyboard.
It would not have a “Pause” key.
The “Num Lock” key would be replaced by the “Num Adjust” key.
The ‘Delete” key would be extra large for dealing with FOAI request.
Of course, every key would be a “Hot Key”
IE “Shift+G” would move the goalpost.
(The “Esc” key would be a “No Esc” key and a slider which would self-adjust to be nearer or farther depending where the “Shift-G” sit the goalpost for dthe next “tipping point”.)
And “C+O+2” would melt the computer’s Gaia-board.

J Mac
September 5, 2017 10:51 am

Thank You, Dr. Maue!
That was not a ‘shot across the bow’.
It was straight through the boiler room!

September 5, 2017 10:52 am

Eichenwald is a dweeb with a litany of a-hole journalistic accomplishments…a real jerk.

Mark from the Midwest
September 5, 2017 10:54 am

12 years ago I predicted that some know-nothing boob that writes for one or more rags that are popular on the Upper West Side would make an assertion so offensive to the nature of human knowledge that it was beyond ridicule …
I’m 100% right

Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
September 5, 2017 10:59 am

I’m impressed ! Truly a prophet 🙂

Reply to  Gareth Phillips
September 5, 2017 3:23 pm

I assume that by “Midwest” he means the US Midwest.
That means he must have rubbed his crystal balls counter-clockwise rather than clockwise as Mann “et al” seem to be doing.
(SORRY! Sorry! Sorry. sorry. 😎

john harmsworth
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
September 5, 2017 11:58 am

Predicting that sort of thing could keep you really busy!

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