Guest essay by Eric Worrall
What do you do when your feeble climate evidence fails to convince?
Climate scientists reveal their fears for the future
Cradling her newborn baby girl, heatwave expert Sarah Perkins Kirkpatrick admits to feeling torn between the joy of motherhood and anxiety over her first-born child’s future.
“I always wanted a big family and I’m thrilled. But my happiness is altered by what I know is coming with climate change,” she said.
“I don’t like to scare people but the future’s not looking very good.
“Having a baby makes it personal. Will this child suffer heatstroke just walking to school?”
…
‘I wouldn’t want to live in Brisbane or further north’
How hot could it get?
All of Australia is vulnerable to climate change but Dr Perkins Kirkpatrick said as the decades progress, some regions will be better off than others in terms of heatwaves.
“We’ve already seen changes in heatwaves, particularly their frequency, and these heatwaves are only going to get worse, particularly in the tropics, where the number of heatwave days will be much greater than now,” she said.
…
Read more: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-06-27/climate-scientists-speak-of-their-worst-fears/8631368
There are plenty of reasons to live North of Brisbane, such as the balmy 73F winter day I’m currently enjoying.
Up here on the edge of the tropics, we have discovered a simple solution to heatwaves, a solution which obviously hasn’t filtered down to our cousins in more temperate regions.
Our solution to heatwaves – stay indoors, crank up the air conditioning. Or wear a hat and drink lots of water, if you have to be outside.
I was born in 1950 in the Netherlands. The cold war was just starting. It must have been deeply worrying. I asked my parents about it. It wasn’t even a consideration.
My advice to the lady: grow some bsckbone, the future’s bright.
Will this child suffer heatstroke just walking to school?
You’d make your child walk to school on a day so hot that heatstroke is likely? What kind of mother are you Sarah?
Did anyone consider that her brain was ALREADY affected by heat? Maybe she was outside without a hat…
Could someone enlighten me if my memory has not served me well on the following points.
?w=720
! I recently saw a map on WUWT which (I believe starts from the late 80’s) which showed that the US Summertime high temperature has mostly declined. This was a color map of the US Mainland, Australia might be different.
2. As I recall from another map map of the globe, most of the warming has happened in the Arctic regions, virtually none near the equator, and moderate in the regions between the North pole and the equator. http://fs5.directupload.net/images/170304/2x7bkgok.jpg
3. From what I remember most of the recorded warming is associated with an increased daily low (less cool down at night) not higher highs
Is Australia not typical?
Please feel free to correct me if above is not correct
Warmth encourages storks.
Vivid phantasies but absolutely pathetic. Is she also afraid of Godzilla’s return?
We need more headlines along the lines of “Falling CO2 levels could affect coffee supplies” that will get the Starbucks generations’ attention.
Kirkpatrick and her ilk are snowflakes and climatophobes who have come to believe their own scare-mongering. Sad!
These scientists will be subject to emotional bias:
http://judithcurry.com/2015/04/24/contradiction-on-emotional-bias-in-the-climate-domain/
This nonsense about it becoming hotter, “north of Brisbane,” isn’t borne out by the record heatwave holding locations of Oceania according to Wikipedia. I used to think that Australia wasn’t included, and was a separate set of data. In my humble opinion, as a New Zealander, Australia is a continent and therefore it’s data should be treated as such. The area known as ‘Oceania’ which includes many of the islands in the South Pacific including New Zealand, needs to be looked at in isolation from the ‘Great Southern Land.’ If so then the highest temperature ever recorded in Oceania happened at Rangiora near Christchurch in the South Island of New Zealand at latitude 43 south (Brisbane is around 27 south BTW) on February 7th 1973. The temperature that day was 42.4 Celsius (108.3f). The hottest temperatures ever recorded in the ‘islands’ is just over 35C!
Meanwhile on the continent of Australia, their hottest day was recorded at Oodnadatta in South Australia on January 2nd 1960 and exceeded 50C! Not sure of the latitude without looking it up but I’m pretty sure it is well south of Brisbane. That young woman needs to do some research rather than blindly accepting the dibble handed to her by the usual liars!
Can someone explain to me this table found in the cited article?
Days hotter than 35C 2014 2090
Brisbane 12 55
Cairns 3 48
Darwin 11 265
Melbourne 11 24
Sydney 3.1 11
How can Sydney have 3.1 days hotter than 35C? Which is the mean of 0,1 day?
Hopefully she’ll just beep off further south and leave the beautiful Australian tropics to those of us who actually like them.
I love in the tropics and only use the a/c when work like house cleaning needs to be done in the heart of summer. The rest of the time, open windows and fans are fine, although a dip in the pool is often welcome! Right now the weather is pretty much perfect.
Snowflakes are likely to melt here, though… 🙂
I can only think that “mummy brain” is the cause of her stupidity.
Ha Ha Ha What a joke!
You might wonder about the bizarre logic that can claim more heatwaves when the temps are not rising
and are now dropping. Generally speaking it wil always be the case that heatwaves can be increasing/decreasing, like all other weather events, in a stable climate.
Selfish, lying, greedy, hypocritical, etc etc etc
Speak plainly OK…
1. That you take a double barrelled name speaks volumes.
2. Grown up and educated girls DO NOT accidentally get pregnant.
3. Maybe you had an irresistible urge – at least be good enough to admit as much.
4. Maybe you summed up the pros and cons and decided you *did* have the resources (financial, emotional etc) to bring a child into the world. Be good enough to admit as much.
5. Finally lady, you are on a Government payroll. The resources you take for granted, which are never enough of course and the entire basis of ‘Romance’ and ‘Un-Romance’ = divorce) came from tax payers.
Ordinary folks doing dirty horrible jobs that double barrelled people consider way way below them.
Fine lady, you take away your own sewage from now on.
Lady, you are a modern day Marie Antoinette. In a Glass House.
How apt, would that be a Glass GreenHouse by any chance? If it is, explain the GHGE in your own words.
Try to consider those before you open your mouth, or before you ‘accidentally’ get pregnant again (I was nearly really rather crude there, hope you didn’t notice) so as to harvest ever more Government Largesse (‘Maternity Benefit/Leave, Paternity benefits, tax credits, family allowance etc etc – assuming similar schemes to what we have in the UK)
…The 33-year-old lives in Sydney and studies heatwaves as a senior research fellow at the University of New South Wales’ Climate Change Research Centre…
This story has so many Forensic flaws.
UNSW in Australia is pretty much in the heart of Sydney in Randwick (famous racetrack and a few Ks from the very famous Bondi Beach.)
So the Sydney weather records for Summer of 2016/2017 should be suitable.
Where she lives is not mentioned while the heatwave of LAST summer is cited. In the ABC report.
Ok. The Local alarmist organisation…The Bureau of Meteorology… BOM…lists records that has 2 days in December 2016 as being over 35C for consecutive days.
Top measure of 37.8.
January of 2017 had no consecutive days over 35C. Top of of 39.4
February of 2017 had 2 consecutive days over 35C. Top of 37.5.
So LAST summer there were no heatwaves in Sydney. So where does she live and commute from to have 48C in the shade.
The outback and the scorched Inland of Australia!
Sarah states the air con broke down. She is a Senior Research Fellow which is listed as equal to a Senior Lecturer Class C. Current lowest and highest wage at 1/1/17.
$121,500.
$139,400.
75% of the USA dollar
So Sarah and her husband (very old school that) could not afford a repair tradie or to go to Bunnings Hardwareand get the best quality evaporative coolers or even a couple of powerful fans!
As for the urge to have a large family of 4 or 5 kids it is interesting that Sarah had her first child at 32 or 33. When did she plan to have her second or her 5th child?
So that comment is a Big… As If…
Everything that is reported to have been stated by Sarah, and this report by the ABC needs to be treated like Klimate Science itself.
Absolute Garbage.
Steel mills, cast iron companies, sugar harvest in the Caribbean –
___________________________________________
Heat waves, what heat waves?
https://www.google.at/search?client=ms-android-samsung&ei=N2ZTWfaSJoPTwQLXy4TwAg&q=Steel+mills&oq=Steel+mills&gs_l=mobile-gws-serp.
https://www.google.at/search?client=ms-android-samsung&biw=360&bih=288&ei=XGdTWYK9HIbXwQLnu7KIDQ&q=cast+iron+companies+&oq=cast+iron+companies+&gs_l=mobile-gws-serp.
https://www.google.at/search?client=ms-android-samsung&biw=360&bih=288&ei=dGdTWYXPLpKmwQLe0YnICg&q=carribean+sugar+harvest&oq=carribean+sugar+harvest&gs_l=mobile-gws-serp.
Right. So…she’s always wanted a big family (but wait! Aren’t climate alarmists always blaming baby making for the state of the planet?) and has now started one. Now she’s bleating on about how f#@£ed her newborn daughters future is?
Surely if she believed this tripe she 1. Wouldn’t be wanting to start a big family and 2. She wouldn’t be bringing a child into this warming hell hole?
The virtue signalling and blatant hypocrisy has made me vomit.
This is what she says about herself.
“I’m Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, a climate scientist interested in extreme events. I was awarded my PhD in 2010 at the Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW, Australia. My thesis focused on evaluating climate models by how well they provided projections of climate extremes over Australia. The novel evaluation metric I used is now commonly employed in climate model evaluation today. ”
Is there any need for further comment?
Pity any child with parents like that
According to predictions made around the time of the first Earth Day, we should now be living in a hell hole and quickly headed back to the stone age. link Most of these predictions were made by actual experts, Dr. Paul Ehrlich being the prime example.
Anyone who gets a PhD should have to take a course in failed predictions and the dangers of hubris. Experts are in danger of overclaiming. They do not understand the limits of their expertise.
Like a number of earlier commentators I was astonished by this story which appeared as “news” in the ABC online News feed today.
Others have commented on the extraordinary “data” of “hot days above 35 degrees C” in 2090 allegedly based on a 2014 projection from the CSIRO and BOM.
Computer GIGO.
Readers should understand that these scare stories appear on a regular basis as part of the Left ( liberal) agenda of the Australian Broadcasting Corporation .
The Great Barrier Reef has featured strongly in this narrative recently with ” up to half” (or 67% of the Reef north of Cairns) “dead”. Climate change is of course the principal culprit.
I have listed for my own interest some 16 social and political issues where my conservative views are either derided or ignored by the ABC.
Included among these of course is climate change aka global warming.
Not only is the ABC a conservative free zone but conservative views are never advanced and regarded as ” unacceptable” to hold or argue.
” Climate scientists reveal their fears for the future” is a perfect example of the default position of the ABC on climate change alarmism.
RobbertBobbert sums up the farce perfectly.
” always wanted a big family ”
Well that’s nice. If you believe the CAGW mythology then I’m afraid having first world children is just about the most self indulgent thing you can do.They consume at least 5 times as much fossil fuels as third world babies.
I monitor some climate p.o.r.n accounts on Twitter, and they are encouraging this emotive approach because they realize their science isn’t convincing the public. Expect to see more of it.