Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
I found an interesting article on weather-related deaths.
Deaths Attributed to Heat, Cold, and Other Weather Events in the United States, 2006–2010
Abstract
Objectives—This report examines heat-related mortality, cold-related mortality, and other weather-related mortality during 2006–2010 among subgroups of U.S. residents.
Methods—Weather-related death rates for demographic and area-based subgroups were computed using death certificate information. Adjusted odds ratios for weather-related deaths among subgroups were estimated using logistic regression.
Here’s their money graph. It shows the number of deaths by the age of the person dying.
A couple of notes. First, at all ages the deaths from cold are more common than deaths from heat. Second, almost no infants die from excess heat, but some die from excess cold.
SO … if the globe gets slightly warmer, that appears to be a net benefit, as there will be fewer lives lost. This is particularly true since the feared warming is projected to be mostly in the winter, in the night-time, in the extra-tropics.
I would think warmer winter nights would be very popular in say Vladivostok or Anchorage. I wonder if that benefit is included in the calculation of the so-called “social cost of carbon”?
w.
PS—When you comment, please QUOTE THE EXACT WORDS YOU ARE DISCUSSING, so we can all be clear on your subject.
Willis, you may be extrapolating too far, or perhaps not far enough. Warmer temperatures -> fewer clothes -> more bare skin -> more sex -> more babies -> and ultimately more deaths (usually in old age).
For anyone who’s ever slept outside, this is a no-brainer. If it’s too cold out, it’ll kill you.
History tells us that warmer is better. So does common sense. But neither of those can withstand a Warmists’ Belief system. So we are lucky to be living in warmer times, which may not last. In the end, though, poverty is the biggest killer. And cheap, readily-available energy is crucial for raising living standards, which is why Warmunists hate it so much. Because essentially, they hate humanity.
Willis, you need to get with the program. Yes more people die from cold rather than heat, but per John Kerry a warming globe produces more extreme cold. In other words cooling is the surest sign of warming. Lol.
The worlds biggest scare con job and it’s taken this long
to prove warming is positive and cooling isn’t .
Any global warming we get can only help plants and animals .
Rich folks in Malibu get off your ass and move your beach furniture
an inch every 10 or 20 years . Poor little cream puffs .
Since the last ice age, the Earth has not yet warmed to optimal temperatures. According to a recent global study published in The Lancet, 17 times as many people die of cold in winter that of heat in the summer ( Gasparrini, et al. “Mortality Risk Attributable to High and Low Ambient Temperature: A Multicountry Observational Study.” The Lancet, May 2015. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(14)62114-0 ). Excess winter mortality kills 95,000 a year on average in the USA alone, and that is in a wealthy nation with a modern electric grid and climate-controlled homes. Another 2 degrees of warming, especially if it lifts the lows rather than the highs, would be a boon to humans and nature.
In northern Canada one day the news was minus 60 deg C including chill factor. (It was then I realised the crossoverver where -40 C = – 40 F). Two weeks later at Mount Isa in Queensland, I felt +40 C, so in a fortnight the change was 100 C. What might be called scoring a century. Not many people have done this.
Definitely, warm is better than cold. People worked outdoors at Mt Isa, while outdoors up north of Uranium City were lethal.
It is one thing to speculate about temperature, another to feel it.
Geoff