Climate Craziness of the Week: Impact of Spanish missionaries triggered the 'Little Ice Age'

From the department of “correlation is not causation” department comes this weapons-grade-stupid study. Next they’ll be telling us the Catholic church started the Medieval Warm Period with the crusades. Get a load of this statement:

The indirect effects of this demographic impact rippled through the surrounding forests and, perhaps, into our atmosphere.

“One argument suggests that indigenous population collapse in the Americas resulted in a reduction of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere because of forest regrowth in the early colonial period. Until now the evidence has been fairly ambiguous. Our results indicate that high-resolution chronologies of human populations, forests and fires are needed to evaluate these claims.”

All this from a few thousands of native people. OMFG. The stupid, it burns like magnesium!

Taos-spanish-mission

Spanish missions triggered Native American population collapse, indirect impact on climate

New evidence shows severe and rapid collapse of Pueblo populations occurred in the 17th century and triggered a cascade of ecological effects that ultimately had consequences for global climates

SOUTHERN METHODIST UNIVERSITY

New interdisciplinary research in the Southwest United States has resolved long-standing debates on the timing and magnitude of American Indian population collapse in the region.

The severe and rapid collapse of Native American populations in what is now the modern state of New Mexico didn’t happen upon first contact with Spanish  in the 1500s, as some scholars thought. Nor was it as gradual as others had contended.

Rather than being triggered by first contact in the 1500s, rapid population loss likely began after Catholic Franciscan missions were built in the midst of native pueblos, resulting in sustained daily interaction with Europeans.

The indirect effects of this demographic impact rippled through the surrounding forests and, perhaps, into our atmosphere.

Those are the conclusions of a new study by a team of scientists looking for the first time at high resolution reconstructions of human population size, tree growth and fire history from the Jemez Mountains of New Mexico.

“Scholars increasingly recognize the magnitude of human impacts on planet Earth, some are even ready to define a new geological epoch called the Anthropocene,” said anthropologist and fire expert Christopher Roos, an associate professor at Southern Methodist University, Dallas, and a co-author on the research.

“But it is an open question as to when that epoch began,” said Roos. “One argument suggests that indigenous population collapse in the Americas resulted in a reduction of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere because of forest regrowth in the early colonial period. Until now the evidence has been fairly ambiguous. Our results indicate that high-resolution chronologies of human populations, forests and fires are needed to evaluate these claims.”

A contentious issue in American Indian history, scientists and historians for decades have debated how many Native Americans died and when it occurred. With awareness of global warming and interdisciplinary interest in the possible antiquity of the Anthropocene, resolution of that debate may now be relevant for contemporary human-caused environmental problems, Roos said.

Findings of the new study were published Jan. 25, 2016 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, “Native American Depopulation, Reforestation, and Fire Regimes in the Southwest U.S., 1492-1900 C.E.”

The researchers offer the first absolute population estimate of the archaeology of the Jemez Province — an area west Santa Fe and Los Alamos National Lab in northern New Mexico. Using airborne remote sensing LiDAR technology to establish the size and shape of rubble mounds from collapsed architecture of ancestral villages, the researchers were able to quantify population sizes in the 16th century that were independent of historical documents.

To identify the timing of of the population collapse and its impact on forest fires, the scientists also collected tree-ring data sets from locations adjacent to the Ancestral Jemez villages and throughout the forested mountain range. This sampling framework allowed them to refine the timing of depopulation and the timing of fire regime changes across the Jemez Province.

Their findings indicate that large-scale depopulation only occurred after missions were established in their midst by Franciscan priests in the 1620s. Daily sustained interaction resulted in epidemic diseases, violence and famine, the researchers said. From a population of roughly 6,500 in the 1620s fewer than 900 remained in the 1690s – a loss of more than 85 percent of the population in a few generations.

“The loss of life is staggering,” said anthropologist Matthew Liebmann, an associate professor at Harvard University and lead author on the PNAS article.

“Imagine that in a room with 10 people, only one person was left at the end of the day,” Liebmann said. “This had devastating effects on the social and economic lives of the survivors. Our research suggests that the effects were felt in the ecology of the forests too.”

Other scientists on the team include Josh Farella and Thomas Swetnam, University of Arizona; and Adam Stack and Sarah Martini, Harvard University.

The researchers studied a 100,000-acre area that includes the ancestral pueblo villages of the Jemez (HEY-mehz) people. Located in the Jemez Mountains of north central New Mexico, it’s a region in the Santa Fe National Forest of deep canyons, towering flat-topped mesas, as well as rivers, streams and creeks.

Today about 2,000 Jemez tribal members live at the Pueblo of Jemez.

The authors note in their article that, “Archaeological evidence from the Jemez Province supports the notion that the European colonization of the Americas unleashed forces that ultimately destroyed a staggering number of human lives,” however, they note, it fails to support the notion that sweeping pandemics uniformly depopulated North America.”

“To better understand the role of the indigenous population collapse on ecological and climate changes, we need this kind of high-resolution paired archaeological and paleoecological data,” said Roos. “Until then, a human-caused start to Little Ice Age cooling will remain uncertain. Our results suggest this scenario is plausible, but the nature of European and American Indian relationships, population collapse, and ecological consequences are probably much more complicated and variable than many people had previously understood them to be.”

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January 26, 2016 12:41 pm

Someone will correct me if I am wrong, but didn’t the Little Ice Age start in the 1300’s? or a bit earlier? It seems remarkable that the plagues in the New World could cause something in their past.

FJ Shepherd
Reply to  Tom Halla
January 26, 2016 1:21 pm

You are correct Tom. The lack of knowledge of climate history by today’s alleged scientists is astounding.

Phaedrus
Reply to  FJ Shepherd
January 26, 2016 3:06 pm

“lack of knowledge by today’s alleged scientists is astounding”
No it’s not! It’s to be expected. Those that believe don’t check facts they go with the flow.

Reply to  FJ Shepherd
January 26, 2016 4:28 pm

Lack of historical knowledge is a prerequisite of modern “climate science”.
Bunch of buffoons.
Am I the only one that is getting so incredibly fed up with these idjits, and their incredible unending jackassery, that it induces physical illness?

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  Tom Halla
January 26, 2016 1:35 pm

Yes, that’s the amazing power of CO2, it can even alter history

Hivemind
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
January 26, 2016 10:25 pm

Maintaining the narrative is more important than any moldy old facts.

Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
January 27, 2016 2:56 am

CO2 even reached back in time 45 years and caused my first girl-friend to dump me. Damn that CO2!

Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
January 29, 2016 3:19 am

Yes. This is fact. It is not going faster than warp 10 and slingshotting around the sun or wormholes or anything like that. Increasing CO2 causes time travel. Now we know that increasing CO2 has caused the dust bowls and 100 degree streaks of weeks in duration in many parts of the country in the 30s and 40s no longer happened. The cooling that happened in the 1945-1975 period is gone replaced by a smooth climb. It was in our imagination that we thought it was getting colder. Thanks to the new reconstructions we can see that none of these things ever happened. It’s just a matter of time before these things are removed from the history books and the memories of the people who lived. It will be erased and replaced with climate science.

trafamadore
Reply to  Tom Halla
January 26, 2016 2:37 pm

First off, the collapse of the Mayan civilization was pre-European. That would cover a lot of Central America.
Next, the medieval climate opt started to go down in the late 1300’s, but by 1500 temperatures were just normal again. True “ice age” was more like 1600 to 1750. I think the true test is in a CO2 signature, which may not have the precision necessary.
I have always wondered if the ice age was just a coincident with native american population crunch or if the regrowth of central america had something to do with it. It’s sort of an interesting hypothesis.
My two cents.

Reply to  trafamadore
January 26, 2016 4:05 pm

trafamadore,
You believe every talking point, no matter how preposterous??

Mike the Morlock
Reply to  trafamadore
January 26, 2016 5:34 pm

trafamadore January 26, 2016 at 2:37 pm
re- read , they are talking about N.M. Look at a map!
michael

Mike the Morlock
Reply to  trafamadore
January 26, 2016 5:42 pm

dbstealey January 26, 2016 at 4:05 pm
You believe every talking point, no matter how preposterous??
IF YOU DON’T KNOW, look up sun set crater Flagstaff AZ for the time period.
Volcano go boom
I think you will swear a blue streak.
mike

Reply to  trafamadore
January 26, 2016 6:46 pm

Mayans were a long way away from New Mexico.
While the Mayans lost their civilization, there are not records for mass loss of life, other than the ruling society. Mayans apparently walked away from their cities.
The same goes for the Anasazi who left their cliff side dwellings and apparently moved south.

DesertYote
Reply to  trafamadore
January 26, 2016 9:38 pm

The population of Arizona and New Mexico plummeted during the 1300’s. Cold results in Dry.

Reply to  trafamadore
January 29, 2016 3:41 am

I would like to point out that the population of the indians was 9,000 and todays population of the US is 400,000,000 and the world closer to 7,000,000,000 or 1 MILLION TIMES GREATER. If the effect of 9000 could be so great then the world would have turned to -200C or +200C by the effect of 1,000,000 times as many people. I am not sure where the mental failure here is but there is clearly a disconnect between effect and causation.
For instance, one similar problem I’ve had is trying to explain how the pause of the last 20 years has killed climate science. It did 3 things which clearly destroyed the theory of climate science as they described it 30 years ago and describe today. That theory says that CO2 dominates natural variability because CO2 creates enough heat to override any natural ups and downs. I was told this even 5 years ago by climate modeleres who even then were still in collective denial about the pause. This existing theory of climate science consists of a bunch of postulated reactions to CO2 and ways the environment acted. These have all been proven wrong on every level. However, it is hard to explain that to scientifically illiterate liberals.
The simplest way to show how it has failed in my opinion is the simplest mathematics. 1) Its impossible to get to 2C change by 2100. Since we’ve had 0.8C (by the adjusted super modified temperature record of GISS) since 1945 when significant CO2 was produced we need 1.2C in the next 80 years. However, that would require a massive increase in the rate of global warming and sustained for 80 years when we’ve seen evidence of 2 pauses in the past 80 years. There is NO scientific basis to believe either of these things would happen. To believe that is to believe in miracles not science.
2) The heat from the pause went into the ocean they now claim. That was not ever part of their theory. They never had in any model in any paper or discussion ever any idea that [the heat from] 20 years of CO2 could magically disappear into the depths of the ocean 1000 ft below the surface from 1000 feet above the surface where the [heat from] CO2 is generated. They never had any idea of this and they still can’t explain how it happened, why it happened, when it will stop happening and how fast it will stop. So, by saying the heat went into the ocean they have destroyed their theory. They had to because no explanation for the pause could explain where the heat went. Now they are in a conundrum. They’ve fabricated a temperature record which shows a smooth climb and no pause by fabricating ocean data using their successful bogus homogenization adjustment algorithm extended to the ocean. Using this they’ve been able to show more heat but then they’ve already admitted the heat went into the ocean. It can’t go both places so they’ve got to back off one of the claims. In any case they have clearly gone outside the theory they postulated 30 years ago and this new theory has no legs. They have no explanation for how these things happen or what is going on. So, therefore all their models are dead. None of them predict heat going into the ocean or the rate of temperature gain we’ve had. It’s a disaster but listening to Hansen and Mann its business as usual. Give us our billions in modeling money to keep playing games with numbers and history. It’s time to stop this stupidity.
[Population of Indians was 9,000? Altitude of CO2 heat generation = 1000 ft? Or 1000 meters? .mod]

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Tom Halla
January 27, 2016 7:40 am

My guess is that whatever we call the Little Ice Age started at different times and places, and I’m sure there were places that didn’t cool all that much if at all. I don’t think you can put one date on it, just like you can’t put one temperature to represent the entire planet.

Marcus
January 26, 2016 12:45 pm

..Oh Boy …More magical tree rings !! LOL

CaligulaJones
January 26, 2016 12:47 pm

Anyone wanting a saner view of things should read “1491: New Revelations of the Americas Before Columbus” by Charles C. Mann or even Jared Diamond’s “Guns, Germs and Steel” (written before his crap on Greenland).
From the blurb for 1491:
“Contrary to what so many Americans learn in school, the pre-Columbian Indians were not sparsely settled in a pristine wilderness; rather, there were huge numbers of Indians who actively molded and influenced the land around them. The astonishing Aztec capital of Tenochtitlan had running water and immaculately clean streets, and was larger than any contemporary European city. Mexican cultures created corn in a specialized breeding process that it has been called man’s first feat of genetic engineering. Indeed, Indians were not living lightly on the land but were landscaping and manipulating their world in ways that we are only now beginning to understand. Challenging and surprising, this a transformative new look at a rich and fascinating world we only thought we knew.”
Mann does suggest that the flocks of passenger pigeons that flooded the skies by the millions were probably due to the fact that the natives who had terraformed the forests weren’t around to cut down all the trees, so there may be something to the forest regrowth idea.
But thinking that 90% of the population died out because it got colder is a stretch of Mannly proportions.

Reply to  CaligulaJones
January 26, 2016 4:10 pm

“1491,” Charles Mann’s book, suggests that about 90% of indigenous peoples in the Americas died out after the Spanish conquered the Aztecs and the Incas, and later after the English came to North America, taking more than a century do to so in each case.
On the high central plateau of Mexico, where Mexico City is located now, Mann reports, based upon Spanish censuses of the time, that 97% of indigenous peoples died in the century after conquest, from 8 separate disease epidemics. The population dropped from 25.2 million to 700,000 people — see page 130 of the hardback edition.
To the extent that indigenous populations burned down forests, it is reasonable to think that there would have been forest regrowth after population collapses.
But CO2 levels barely fell during this period, by a maximum of 10 ppm, probably less. See:
http://acidifyingoceans.weebly.com/uploads/1/1/4/5/11458572/7404888_orig.jpg
If you can almost immediately cause a Little Ice Age with this tiny reduction in CO2, then we should have warmed far, far more than we currently have, with CO2 having gone from 280 to 400 ppm in 200 years or so.
So I do buy the drastic drop in population, but I don’t but the notion that it caused the Little Ice Age.

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  john
January 26, 2016 9:54 pm

Buzzkill.
/s

Bob borer
Reply to  john
January 27, 2016 4:33 am

What little ice age

expat
Reply to  CaligulaJones
January 26, 2016 4:13 pm

……..and immaculately clean streets,
I remember a passage in a book on the Lost Dutchman mine. A local Indian agent said his greatest challenge was trying, without success, to get the people to quit pooping in their doorways.

Reply to  expat
January 26, 2016 6:57 pm

If that is the entrance the Indian Agent paid attention to, I suspect that it was a political statement.
The passenger pigeon was a seed eater. Deforestation or reforestation would have small impact.

Petr
Reply to  CaligulaJones
January 27, 2016 10:46 am

No one says ‘ 90% of the population died out BECAUSE it got colder ‘. They died out because of diseases from Europe they had no protection against. Especially in the agriculture US South these diseases travelled faster than the Spanish as these were carried by rats. And THAT might have contributed to the peak of Little Ice Age that happened in the 17th century. A similar factor is Black Death in Europe in 1300s, which menat another population drop and reforestation of some parts. Its actually an old theory, check Ruddiman.
Its true that according to current studies CO2 levels didnt drop much actually, so I guess both these factors contributed just a bit to the drop in solar activity (Maunder minimum). But they had also animal husbandry which produces another greenhouse gas – methane.

January 26, 2016 12:49 pm

Let’s see … The Medieval warm period is generally described as being between 950 and 1250 AD, and the Little Ice Age from 1300 to 1870 (the “Year Without a Summer” was 1816). So where do these geniuses place the 17th century?

Petr
Reply to  therealnormanrogers
January 27, 2016 10:48 am

“Year Without a Summer” was caused by 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora. It has nothing to do with Little Ice Age.

Bruce
Reply to  Petr
January 27, 2016 9:21 pm

Good for you to reveal the cause of the “Year without a summer.” While the “Little Ice Age” may have helped the volcano tip the scales Timboro was a dramatic event.
The strength of our contradiction to “alarmaists” is honesty. Let facts fall where the may and strenghten the scientific principle.

eyesonu.
January 26, 2016 1:01 pm

What a horsesh*t pitch for additional funding. There should be a law against funding this crap,

Leonard Lane
Reply to  eyesonu.
January 26, 2016 2:22 pm

Agree with you eyesonu. The “social sciences seem to be wash with federal funding. Too bad this money couldn’t be used for real research.

Paul Courtney
January 26, 2016 1:02 pm

At first this looks kinda regional (to the extent it can be taken seriously), but my Catholic brethren were probably exhaling across the globe, spreading disease and violence and burning incense. And the geo record there indicates periods of drought, rain, snow, ice, more drought, and some fog; thus AGW confirmed!

emsnews
Reply to  Paul Courtney
January 26, 2016 4:32 pm

Asia did double this…such as the Black Death that came from Asia via the Mongols…

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  Paul Courtney
January 26, 2016 9:57 pm

I agree that disease is relevant to this study, but it sure doesn’t smell anything like incense.

January 26, 2016 1:04 pm

We seem to have some sensitivity issues: http://www-das.uwyo.edu/~geerts/cwx/notes/chap01/Image18.gif
–AGF

Reply to  agfosterjr
January 26, 2016 1:51 pm

I ought to add this: comment image

ChrisB
January 26, 2016 1:06 pm

I am impressed that the natives were quite adapt in destroying the environment than the modern man.
Apparently it took only 5,600 souls needed to cleanse the atmosphere which required a total of 7 Billion of us to screw it up again.
There is correlation and there is extrapolation, so called climate scientists are wonderful in making both work.

Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 1:14 pm

That ridiculous claim of controlled burns is simply silly. Its yet another crackpot theory that a little common sense debunks with ease. Native Americans would have avoided brush and grass fires at all costs, for the simple reason they could not outrun the fire. The horse did not get to the Americas until sometime after 1492, and without it they would have been completely at the mercy of a fire that was out of control. There is no way that a stone age peoples tried controlled burns with no way to outrun them when they became uncontrolled.

CaligulaJones
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 1:30 pm

And yet we have controlled burns here in Canada without having to hop on our horses AT ALL.
Seriously, do some research instead of relying on “common sense”…

Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 1:46 pm

I have never been able to figure out the US fascination with the ‘advanced’ culture of the Native American. Guys, it was a stone age culture with all that implies. No metal, no metal axes, no wheels, no efficient transportation, average lifespan 30 years or less, I suppose maybe 40 years where the environment was at its most favorable. Today a farmer may do a controlled burn on his land, but he does it with his pickup right next to him in case it gets out of control. They did not do any such thing when walking was the only way to get from point a to point b..

Fly over Bob
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 2:00 pm

CaligulaJones, just how many “Controlled Burns” have you participated in? In every controlled burns I’ve been involved with the local fire department was on site to keep said burn under control. I assume Canadians would take the same precautions to prevent loss of life and property.

Sweet Old Bob
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 2:06 pm

Ah, Cmon….the native population was at least as smart as modern politicians……they knew which way the wind was blowing !

ferd berple
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 2:39 pm

no way to outrun them
================
nope. if you are at the ignition point of the fire there is nothing to outrun. The fire travels downwind away from you. You simply walk behind in the burned out region, collecting your cooked diner along the way.
Any people that had the skill to domesticate fire certainly learned how to keep out of the way. The domestication of fire was the huge leap forward in human development, that continues to this day. Huge tracts of land are still burned worldwide every year prior to planting crops.

Ernest Bush
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 3:50 pm

Andrew – So you think the “Native Americans” didn’t have common sense enough to stay on the right side of the wind when starting forest fires? Also, controlled burns in eastern forests, which are way greener than those out west, would have been at a much slower pace, even in the Fall, and would tend not to turn into the infernos of the West. Missing is the highly flammable resins and gases that built up in pine trees during drought periods.
I would suppose there were some who earned Darwin awards for standing in the wrong place, however.

BFL
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 4:15 pm

Well next to BLM land it had better be a VERY controlled burn or lack of oversight will get you a minimum of 5 years for a terrorist act.

expat
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 4:18 pm

Andrew,
You’re entirely wrong. A controlled burn is a fairly simple process to get right. Australian Aborigines did this and continue to do it. Heck, I do it on my property.

T Urlwin
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 4:32 pm

There is quite a well argued case that the Australian Aborigines did just this for many thousands of years. The key author to read os Bill Gammage.

Carl Brannen
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 5:28 pm

People who live in the woods are very observant and they hand down information from year to year. You do not do controlled burns on days which are extremely hot. You do them when the brush will burn but not spread to the tops of trees. It’s not hard to figure this out.
Controlled burning by Indians was why the forests of the southeast US was once mostly “Longleaf Pine”; it’s amazingly resistant to burning due to thick bark and long needles. They were excellent wood for a lot of purposes and they were logged off ending around the 1920s. Since then new forests have grown up but because the land is not so regularly burned (the Indians did it about once every 3 years), the longleaf pine is now fairly rare. Here’s a reference: https://www.firescience.gov/projects/briefs/01B-3-1-01_FSBrief30.pdf
If you take a silviculture class at your local university you’ll learn that other parts of the US are the same. They were once dominated by trees that were resistant to the regular brush burning by the Indians. You can use google to find out more.

Paul of Alexandria
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 5:54 pm

Actually, no. Regular, controlled burns reduce the likelihood of wildfires because they keep the “trash” on the ground down, fertilize the land by recycling minerals, and thin things out for easier growth. The Australian Aborigines did the same thing, for the same reasons. In fact, the Australian government just discovered that regular, controlled burns were essential.

Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 6:27 pm

Just to join the chorus: ‘slash and burn’ agriculture is common among many tribal peoples in the world, on all continents, including the Americas. /Mr Lynn

Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 26, 2016 7:54 pm

Debunked? Something you do from your couch? And you consider that ‘common sense’? Heh!
Horses can run fast, for short periods of time. Native Americans could run quite fast, and run for hours.
The stone age people you are referring to developed a number of sophisticated technology and biological advances.
Next time you eat a tomato, or a potato; consider that both are products of the nightshade family. Where Europeans only considered nightshade poisonous or a drug for expanded pupils in the eyes (belladonna); Native Americans used the plant as a source for nutritious food.
Where Europeans suffered from scurvy and rickets (vitamin C & D deficiency) virtually every winter, Native Americans rarely suffered from either. Native Americans dried fruits and berries, preserving their vitamins, for use during the winter; plus they didn’t boil all of their food to perdition thus destroying most perishable vitamins.
Native Americans went about is some state of undress, all year. Ask your Doctor! For a normal person, all they require is ten to twenty minutes exposure to the sun, per week.
Native Americans grew significant crops without massive overturning of the soil. No plow, nor did they need one. Instead they were masters of planting crops that were symbiotic beneficial.
e.g. corn was frequently planted with beans and squash:
Corn is a heavy feeder, but grows tall.
Bean is a nitrogen fixer, placing nutrients for the corn, and climbing the corn stalk.
Squash grow large leaves letting both the corn and beans to have cooler roots which they benefit from.
Native Americans created and maintained meadows in the forest, moved or planted berry patches, planted fruiting trees and herbs that benefited from the meadow.
The plains dwellers recognized the land changes lightening strikes caused and took advantage of fire to further adjust the plains to their benefit.
All of the Native Americans transplanted fish and animals to new territories and took advantage of anadromous fish runs.
Controlled burns are easy. Stupid burns are easier.
The Natives used the annual burns to harvest food for the winter. Equine critters brought back to the Americas enabled Natives to harvest buffalo, easily.
Before the horse, it would be quite stupid to sneak into a buffalo herd and stuff a sharp thing into a buffalo. Ask any number of visitors to Yellowstone each year how ‘tame’ buffalo are. Make it a herd of a few thousand does not make it easier.
Plus the Natives had developed a laminated recurve bow that modern fiberglass and graphite bows copy.
The Native populations extant to when Europeans arrived are not the paleo natives. When you refer to living 30 years, you are referring to paleo Indians not pre Columbian.
A farmer who parks his pickup anywhere near a burn is a farmer about to lose his vehicle. Burning brush, grass burns very hot quite fast. Once burned, the resulting blackened ash quickly snuffs out.
Burning mesquite, sagebrush and junipers are extremely hot fires that quickly travel upwind and uphill. A burning mesquite or juniper burns for quite some time and can have coals last even longer. Sagebrush and creosote burn like the chemical ends of matches and ignite all kinds of things nearby.
Riding a train to DC one day, I noticed a guy walking along the tracks with what looked like a very long spout oil can, only the tip of the spout was burning.
As he walked along the tracks, this guy squirted burning fluid on grass and brush growing near the tracks.
Over the next week could observe the man’s progress along the entire length of train tracks in Virginia. All of the days he burned cover were mild to almost windless days. Every section of track he burned, he burned from the upwind side, different directions in the morning and afternoon.
I asked the conductor and he said the rail company did a burn every ten years or so to keep the train corridor clear.
No truck or car parked nearby. The guy walked seventy miles of track that week, covering both sides, and left nothing burning after he passed.
Controlled burns are easy. Stupid burns are just easier.

JP
Reply to  Andrew Kerber
January 27, 2016 5:21 am

There are many instances of “controlled burns” getting out of control. Imagine what 25-30 mile winds can do. Southern California as well as Montana have had major forest fires that resulted from controlled burns getting out of hand.
But, the societies in New Mexico in the 16th Century were in all likelihood unaware of the concept.

M Seward
January 26, 2016 1:28 pm

This tosh has “LPU” in size 144 characters across the top of the front page. “Least Publishable Unit” – the smallest quantum of intellectual output worth publication in even the most obscure journal Its main value lies in its role as a booster for the attendant press release. For the author(s) it is just CV padding like tissues stuffed into a bra or down the front of ones pants.

jorgekafkazar
Reply to  M Seward
January 26, 2016 10:09 pm

This is more like foolscap stuffed down the back.

FJ Shepherd
January 26, 2016 1:30 pm

From the study: “Our results suggest this scenario is plausible, …”.
Nope, it is not plausible at all, but thanks for the humour … this paper was some sort of attempt at comedy, was it not? The peers who did the peer review must have been circus clowns, surely.

Bruce Hall
January 26, 2016 1:33 pm

“The most perfidious way of harming a cause consists of defending it deliberately with faulty arguments.”
— Friedrich Nietzsche

Reply to  Bruce Hall
January 26, 2016 4:53 pm

Careful now. What you suggest could be construed as conspiracist ideation.

Gary
January 26, 2016 1:34 pm

You tell me there’s an angel in your tree
Did he say he’d come to call on me
For things are getting desperate in our home
Living in the parish of the restless folks I know
Everybody now bring your family down to the riverside
Look to the east to see where the fat stock hide
Behind four walls of stone the rich man sleeps
It’s time we put the flame torch to their keep
chorus:
Burn down the mission
If we’re gonna stay alive
Watch the black smoke fly to heaven
See the red flame light the sky
Burn down the mission
Burn it down to stay alive
It’s our only chance of living
Take all you need to live inside
Deep in the woods the squirrels are out today
My wife cried when they came to take me away
But what more could I do just to keep her warm
Than burn, burn, burn, burn down the mission walls
Now everybody now bring your family down to the riverside
Look to the east to see where the fat stock hide
Behind four walls of stone the rich man sleeps
It’s time we put the flame torch to their keep
-Bernie Taupin, 1970

Reply to  Gary
January 26, 2016 1:46 pm

Gary, that made me think of Donald Trump’s unofficial campaign tune:
I turn on the tube and what do I see
A whole lotta people cryin’ “Don’t blame me”
They point their crooked little fingers ar everybody else
Spend all their time feelin’ sorry for themselves
Victim of this, victim of that
Your momma’s too thin; your daddy’s too fat
Get over it
Get over it…

GTL
January 26, 2016 1:36 pm

But for 100,000 years prior to 1870 CO2 never varied from 280 PPMV. The Ice Cores prove it (never mind nothing else supports it). So, no change in CO2, no MWP, no LIA.

Reply to  GTL
January 26, 2016 4:04 pm

Wrong. Temperatures definitely changed, but your position shows that CO2 has no bearing on temperatures.

GTL
Reply to  Benny
January 28, 2016 9:48 am

I did not think that needed a /sarc tag.

Resourceguy
January 26, 2016 1:38 pm

Everyone is welcome under the climate change craziness big top. Once the way is clear for volume-based bad science for pub mill rewards, there is not limitation to the onlookers. So bring on the history majors, geographers, and sociologists. Don’t forget the others.

1saveenergy
January 26, 2016 1:45 pm

Proper Peer-review alternatives ….
http://tinyurl.com/pbdykgj & more importantly http://tinyurl.com/6souaom

chilemike
January 26, 2016 1:51 pm

So the US alone has an area of about 2.4 billion acres. It’s amazing that the Pueblos were able to strip enough of that bare to cause the little ice age. Next comes how white people’s Crusades caused the MWP.

Reply to  chilemike
January 26, 2016 3:38 pm

Even more amazing considering they lived in a desert and not in the forests.

January 26, 2016 1:53 pm

It is true that the Spanish missionaries didn’t do any favors for the Native American Indians.
But the climate connection is absolute nonsense.

David L. Hagen
January 26, 2016 1:54 pm
CaligulaJones
January 26, 2016 1:54 pm

dbakerber January 26, 2016 at 1:46 pm, do some readin’, your assumin’ is making an ass of you:
http://www.fs.usda.gov/Internet/FSE_DOCUMENTS/fsbdev3_000385.pdf
“One of the first things the English discovered about American Indians in Virginia was that they burned their wildlands.”
http://www2.nau.edu/~alcoze/for398/class/pristinemyth.html
“By 1492 Indian activity throughout the Americas had modified forest extent and composition, created and expanded grasslands, and rearranged microrelief via countless artificial earthworks. Agricultural fields were common, as were houses and towns and roads and trails. All of these had local impacts on soil, microclimate, hydrology, and wildlife. This is a large topic, for which this essay offers but an introduction to the issues, misconceptions, and residual problems. The evidence, pieced together from vague ethnohistorical accounts, field surveys, and archaeology, supports the hypothesis that the Indian landscape of 1492 had largely vanished by the mid-eighteenth century, not through a European superimposition, but because of the demise of the native population. The landscape of 1750 was more “pristine” (less humanized) than that of 1492.”
Like I said, read the book. If you disagree, show me where you pick up this “common sense”. I think its past the “best before” date.

Reply to  CaligulaJones
January 26, 2016 2:27 pm

Its a crackpot theory, and only comes from one nut case archeologist. The basic demographics and geography make the theory of controlled burning as a forest management method complete impossible for a people without rapid transportation. There were regular fires. Every spring summer and fall, from lightning and other accidents. Not from people.
The population numbers in that reference are ridiculous. This was a stone age culture, that lacked even metal plows. They could not cut down trees to clear the land, and did not need to as the population was insufficient to require it.

Marcus
Reply to  dbakerber
January 26, 2016 2:33 pm

Canadian liberals really hate reality, so they make up fairy tales to share with each other !! LOL

Reply to  dbakerber
January 26, 2016 3:49 pm

Certain cultures did use slash-and-burn agriculture but that was mainly in the Eastern Woodlands. Their agriculture wasn’t anywhere as land-intensive as the European methods, though.
Most natives were timber-using cultures. You can easily cut down trees with applied fire and flint axes.

Paul of Alexandria
Reply to  dbakerber
January 26, 2016 5:57 pm

Um, no. Controlled burning was practiced by many hunter/gatherer people’s, including the Australian Aborigines.

Reply to  dbakerber
January 26, 2016 8:14 pm

“Most natives were timber-using cultures. You can easily cut down trees with applied fire and flint axes.”

Uh, no!
The native Americans did use fire, (mostly), and stone axes to bring down large trees for making dugouts, that was basically it. And that effort was a clan effort. Large tree removal would also serve several purposes; close to water, meadow enlargement, crop area, living area.
A tree is chosen, the tree is fully girdled (ring barked); a fire is built around the tree to the girdled area and kept going. Natives would circle the tree while using long branches with water holding (furs) items on the end, they would continually snuff and damp out any fire above the girdled bark.
All of their other wood needs, poles, bows, arrows, pipes, were supplied from relatively small trees and branches.
e.g. Osage Orange was (still is) a preferred wood for making bows in the Midwest plains. A Native American would scrape off the sap wood carefully following the wood growth rings until they had a functional bow of mostly heartwood. Cutting, with fire and a flint axe, a full size osage orange tree is a mighty endeavor and one would leave one with a heavy large quite hard wood tree that is slow to burn and slow to rot.

expat
Reply to  CaligulaJones
January 26, 2016 4:32 pm

One wonders how Indians cut down even one mature tree without anything bigger than a stone hatchet or for that matter why would they want to? No agriculture was practiced to any great extent. Eastern US hardwood forests are largely fire proof. All historical records indicate that the Eastern US was an uninterrupted expanse of forest. It’s been said that a squirrel could run from branch to branch on just Chestnut trees all the way from New England to Florida and not have to touch the ground. btw there is only one living American Chestnut tree now living (in an isolated part of WI due to a disease imported by the NY botanical gardens.

Paul of Alexandria
Reply to  expat
January 26, 2016 5:59 pm

Stone axes and girdling (cutting a strip of bark around thr base of a tree to kill it). Check out the construction of pueblos, Navaho hogans, and east American lodges. Lots of logs.

Mike the Morlock
Reply to  expat
January 26, 2016 7:22 pm

expat January 26, 2016 at 4:32 pm
One wonders
Okay One tree three feet Dia, bring it down as if your life depends on it,
Oh and you have only non- tech hammers, and stones (wedges) to do the job.
See you in a few hours. Ho-Hum.
next try something difficult.
michael
Lordly, what would you ever do without Gasoline & electricity,,,,

Reply to  expat
January 26, 2016 8:42 pm

There are a lot more Castanea dentata American chestnut trees still alive. There are a number of active stumps that sprout new growth that often live long enough to have a few crops of nuts; until the barks starts to change from smooth barked to rough ridged bark. This is where the disease takes root, or in bark wounds and kills the tree.
There are still a number of full sized Chestnut trees still around; Wisconsin, Michigan, West Virginia, Virginia, North Carolina, Tennessee, Kentucky and likely in Pennsylvania and Maine.
New Hope for the American Chestnut
American Chestnut Cooperators’ Foundation
Reclaiming the American Chestnut’s
Old Dominion


Revitalization of the Majestic Chestnut: Chestnut Blight Disease

The American Chestnut Foundation

rogerknights
Reply to  expat
January 27, 2016 10:06 am

Say, maybe Monsanto should develop a GMO’d American Chestnut that resists the disease it is prey to. It would be great PR for the company, and would gravel the greenies no end.

Resourceguy
January 26, 2016 1:56 pm

The butterfly effect chained to the climate change bus means that if a human lifts a finger thousands may die and ice sheets will shudder.

zemlik
January 26, 2016 1:59 pm

I was just in this sports bar watching LFC and I was talking to this guy and I make the mistake of asking ” what do you do ?”
“I am environmental expert for companies”
” Oh so what you advise on environmental risks and that ? ”
” Do you know that the satellite data shows no warming for almost 19 years ”
?
” which satellites ? there are loads of satellites ?”

January 26, 2016 2:01 pm

turn a sociologist loose on cultures without a written history and by golly you’ll get a “plausible explanation”. Whether it has any correspondence with reality is another issue.

MarkW
January 26, 2016 2:04 pm

Did the collapse of indian populations cause the Little Ice Age, or did the Little Ice Age cause the collapse of the indian populations?

PeterK
Reply to  MarkW
January 26, 2016 3:25 pm

If I remember correctly, didn’t North American Bison number some 50 million individuals around 1880? And after the slaughter, around 2,000 head remained. Other than a collapse in the availability of Indian food (meat), does anyone know what other collapse occurred as a result of this slaughter?
Is this what ended the mini ice age? What other climactic cataclism did this bring on or not bring on? Or did something else collapse and or maybe even caused the beginning of something that as yet we are not aware of?
Just wondering. Maybe a certified “Climate Scientist” could get a grant to study this and come up with a new and improved reason of why AGW global warming is a fact based on the slaughter of Bison.

Reply to  PeterK
January 26, 2016 3:43 pm

But wouldn’t removing 50 million bison cool the planet? The militant vegans are all telling us that cow farts are contributing to global warming.
Glad the bison are coming back though. Bison makes great burgers.

Keith Willshaw
Reply to  MarkW
January 27, 2016 1:30 am

None of the above.
The collapse of the Indian Population happened as result of the diseases brought by Europeans when widespread travel became common. There were also plagues in Europe at the same period as diseases against which Europeans hand no resistance were devastating. There were major outbreaks in the 16th and 17th century some of which we still don’t understand like the Sweating Sickness which devastated the aristocracy of England including the heir apparent of Henry VII
The little Ice Age coincided with the Maunder Minimum and some major volcanic activity. A temporary reduction in forest fires would hardly do the job. especially as land clearance and burning of wood to feed the newly invented blast furnaces in Europe was accelerating at the same time In the 17th century these depredations were so severe that the English Government had to take control of the New Forest to guarantee a source of timber for the ships of the Royal Navy. Note further that by the 1640’s the coal mining industry in England was well established with over 400 colliers carrying coal from Newcastle to ports all around the North Sea, such was the demand for an alternative to wood for fuel.

fretslider
January 26, 2016 2:04 pm

Mycghast has never been so flabbered

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