Lewandowsky and Cook – back from the dead with another smear paper

Having had their first paper “Recursive Fury” retracted by the journal that originally published it, these clowns are back with a reboot that has the same sad message: “people who question the veracity of global warming/climate change are nutters”.

What’s funny is that Lew et al don’t seem to realize they are talking about a large percentage of the population who have these questions:

PI_2015-07-01_science-and-politics_2-01[1]But, that doesn’t stop them from essentially labeling everyone who does not agree with “climate change” as having “conspiracy ideation” mental issues. Cook_lew-ethicsThe paper was published in a B list journal called the “Journal of Social and Political Psychology” which advertises open access. What is interesting is that the recycled Lew paper was not published in the original journal that retracted it, even though the journal made this statement:

In the light of a small number of complaints received following publication of the original research article cited above, Frontiers carried out a detailed investigation of the academic, ethical, and legal aspects of the work. This investigation did not identify any issues with the academic and ethical aspects of the study. It did, however, determine that the legal context is insufficiently clear and therefore Frontiers wishes to retract the published article. The authors understand this decision, while they stand by their article and regret the limitations on academic freedom which can be caused by legal factors.

Yes, they stand by it, but given where the reboot was published “just don’t publish in our journal again” is the real message.

If Lew et al. were looking for nutters, it seems just a look at the Table of Contents from the Journal they published in would be a prime source. Just look at some of the paper titles:

lew-journal-tocHere’s the Lew Paper:


Recurrent Fury: Conspiratorial Discourse in the Blogosphere Triggered by Research on the Role of Conspiracist Ideation in Climate Denial

Stephan Lewandowsky, John Cook, Klaus Oberauer, Scott Brophy, Elisabeth A. Lloyd, Michael Marriott

Abstract

A growing body of evidence has implicated conspiracist ideation in the rejection of scientific propositions. Internet blogs in particular have become the staging ground for conspiracy theories that challenge the link between HIV and AIDS, the benefits of vaccinations, or the reality of climate change. A recent study involving visitors to climate blogs found that conspiracist ideation was associated with the rejection of climate science and other scientific propositions such as the link between lung cancer and smoking, and between HIV and AIDS. That article stimulated considerable discursive activity in the climate blogosphere—i.e., the numerous blogs dedicated to climate “skepticism”—that was critical of the study. The blogosphere discourse was ideally suited for analysis because its focus was clearly circumscribed, it had a well-defined onset, and it largely discontinued after several months. We identify and classify the hypotheses that questioned the validity of the paper’s conclusions using well-established criteria for conspiracist ideation. In two behavioral studies involving naive participants we show that those criteria and classifications were reconstructed in a blind test. Our findings extend a growing body of literature that has examined the important, but not always constructive, role of the blogosphere in public and scientific discourse.

Keywords

rejection of science; conspiracist discourse; climate denial; Internet blogs


If anyone wants to bother to read it, here are links to the paper.
Full Text: PDF HTML

UPDATE: Barry Woods, who was instrumental in the original retraction of the first Lew paper, adds this in comments:

The complainant were vindicated on a key ethics concern.

Fury, named and labelled real identifiable people. with pathologivcal psychological traits.

Recursive Fury Mark 2, does not.. (nobody is identifiable, so the complaints were right)

I added this comment to Prof Lewandowsky’s blog

Hmmm – table three now has anonymous ID’s… (instead of names)

(thus at least one ethics concern HAS been accepted and addressed)

but as Recursive Fury was the most downloaded paper (Stephan’s own words), which had table 3, with the people actually named…

It isn’t really that anonymous now even now…

Perhaps, now this is published, you should take down the original from here:

http://www.cogsciwa.com/

http://websites.psychology.uwa.edu.au/labs/cogscience/Publications/LskyetalRecursiveFury4UWA.pdf

I was amused by this though (from the new paper):

“Conversely, a peer-reviewed critique of LOG12 and LGO13 has recently appeared in print (Dixon & Jones, 2015) (accompanied by a rejoinder; Lewandowsky, Gignac, & Oberauer, 2015),which exhibited none of the features of conspiratorial ideation that we report in this article and which involved authors that were not part of the blogosphere examined here. Crucially, such academic discourse, however critical,does not involve the attempt to silence inconvenient voices, which has become an increasingly clearly stated goal of elements of the climate “skeptic” blogosphere.”

ref: “and which involved authors that were not part of the blogosphere examined here”

Jones and Dixon were very much involved in the blogosphere with respect to this paper and are well know climate sceptics (Jones FOI’d the Climate Research Unit,( and eventually won) when they refused to supply data, he did this on basic scientific principle, when Climate Audit was refused CRU’s data. And from the climateate emails, showed how the scientist were discussing how to deal with J Jones and Don Keiller, (having words with their university’s)

Prof J Jones even gets quoted in Mark Steyn’s book, criticizing Michael Mann, Ruth Dixon has a well respected blog, and Jonathan Jones has comments in the blogosphere about LOG12 quite often during the period (Climate Audit and Bishop Hill)

an example recently being this (at Climate Audit)

Prof J Jones:

“From one point of view there are only four things wrong with the original LOG13-blogs paper. Unfortunately those four things are the design of the experiment, the implementation of the data collection, the analysis of the data, and the reporting of the results. As a consequence of this interlinked network of ineptitude it is very difficult to disentangle all the errors from each other.

The LGO13-panel paper, by comparison, is much better. The design is relatively standard: no worse than many papers in the field. The implementation is still very poor (see for example the discussion at our post on satisficing), but it’s not so bad as to render the data completely useless. The analysis is still incorrect, but this time it is possible to tease out how and why it is incorrect, rather than just noting that it’s all a horrible mess. The reporting is still poor, but that doesn’t matter for a reanalysis.

So the original point of our comment was to see what we could say about the analysis of the data from LGO13-panel. Somewhat to our surprise we found that, once we knew what to look for, the same analysis also worked for LOG13-blogs, albeit not so clearly because of the appalling skew in that dataset. We don’t say much about other issues, not because we don’t believe they are important, but simply because it’s best in a comment to pick one important issue, where the argument can be made very clearly, and then run with it.” – Prof Jonathan Jones

http://climateaudit.org/2015/03/27/jones-and-dixon-refute-conspiracy-theorist-lewandowsky/#comment-755932

Prof Henry Markram (co founder of Frontiers) explains why he retracted recursive Fury)

“The studied subjects were explicitly identified in the paper without their consent. It is well acknowledged and accepted that in order to protect a subject’s rights and avoid a potentially defamatory outcome, one must obtain the subject’s consent if they can be identified in a scientific paper. The mistake was detected after publication, and the authors and Frontiers worked hard together for several months to try to find a solution. In the end, those efforts were not successful. The identity of the subjects could not be protected and the paper had to be retracted. Frontiers then worked closely with the authors on a mutually agreed and measured retraction statement to avoid the retraction itself being misused. From the storm this has created, it would seem we did not succeed.

For Frontiers, publishing the identities of human subjects without consent cannot be justified in a scientific paper. Some have argued that the subjects and their statements were in the public domain and hence it was acceptable to identify them in a scientific paper, but accepting this will set a dangerous precedent. With so much information of each of us in the public domain, think of a situation where scientists use, for example, machine learning to cluster your public statements and attribute to you personality characteristics, and then name you on the cluster and publish it as a scientific fact in a reputable journal. While the subjects and their statements were public, they did not give their consent to a public psychological diagnosis in a scientific study. Science cannot be abused to specifically label and point out individuals in the public domain.” – Markram

http://www.frontiersin.org/blog/Rights_of_Human_Subjects_in_Scientific_Papers/830

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July 8, 2015 9:31 am

I would really like to see someone do a better version of this survey. I have a hunch that a real survey like this would turn out quite different results

Tater
July 8, 2015 9:34 am

The interesting thing that seems to escape their expert knowledge of all things conspiratorial is that they don’t seem to realize that their papers are based upon there being a conspiracy of half the population against them.
Real theories are hopefully founded in science. Yet half of the population is not on the climate change train (most-likely more if the questions of how much and how bad are added) even after all this time.
These are supposedly studies of “conspiracy ideation” but they are performed by conspiracy theorists themselves who have a bone to pick.
From their point of view, “conspiracy ideation” is just anything that doesn’t agree with their views.

July 8, 2015 9:43 am

Conspiracy ideation mental issues:
Big Oil
Koch Bros

urederra
July 8, 2015 10:01 am

So, the people who think that climate changes because of human activity. Do they think that climate did not change before, say, 1750? Or they think climate changed because of natural forces before 1750 but now those do not count any more?

Zeke
Reply to  urederra
July 8, 2015 11:33 am

They are just having a little scientific paradigm shift so the past will no longer be a duck but a rabbit. It’s all good!comment image
That is why Popper rightly criticized and analyzed Kuhn’s paradigm shifts in his book, “The Myth of the Framework.” It’s a carte blanche for “practitioners of science” to suddenly reframe the questions, tools, and interpretations without further notice.

Zeke
Reply to  Zeke
July 8, 2015 4:35 pm

Here are two concrete, specific examples of a paradigm shift in science, as set forth by Kuhn:
1. NASA is now operating a suite of new satellites to track the effects of man’s activity on the planet in real time.
–>Notice the loaded question by tight group practitioners of science, who share the same language and interpretation of data. This is as fine a poster child for Kuhn’s very very structured scientific revolutions as any one could wish.
Second example:
Paradigm Shift Urgently Needed In Agriculture – UN Agencies Call for an End to Industrial Agriculture & Food System
A rising chorus from UN agencies on how food security, poverty, gender inequality and climate change can all be addressed by a radical transformation of our agriculture and food system.

by Dr Mae-Wan Ho
“Agriculture the problem and the solution to climate change”
–>Notice the “paradigm shift” comes from top down by the “practitioners of science.” The evidence gets filled in, the history books re-written, and the duck turns into a rabbit.
http://faculty.vassar.edu/brvannor/Asia350/duckrabbit.gif
It’s only a problem for those who remember the Holodomir and the Great Leap, in which governments and scientists destroyed agriculture and millions died. To this day, Mae Wan Ho’s country claims the deaths during Mao’s agricultural policy changes were because of “natural disasters.”

urederra
Reply to  Zeke
July 9, 2015 9:48 am

Thanks for your reply.

Louis Hunt
July 8, 2015 10:12 am

It appears that Lewandowsky et al are desperately trying to lay the ground work to justify marginalizing, bullying, and persecuting global warming skeptics. If we “nutters” don’t hang together, they will attempt to hang us separately.

Joel O'Bryan
Reply to  Louis Hunt
July 8, 2015 12:33 pm

A WUWT frequent poster (who has now seemingly disappeared) Jimbo, posted this picture. I post it again to remind everyone what a skeptical mind who rejects consensus
.comment image
This famous historical photo is described at:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/August_Landmesser

RD
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
July 8, 2015 6:05 pm

First they came for the Socialists, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Socialist.
Then they came for the Trade Unionists, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Trade Unionist.
Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Jew.
Then they came for me—and there was no one left to speak for me.
RIP

David Ball
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
July 11, 2015 1:00 pm

Has anyone got any notion as to why we no longer see Jimbo? I hope all is well with him.

July 8, 2015 10:22 am

Someday, the media will look back and provide an explanation of “what went wrong” and “how were so many scientists wrong about global warming.” The media will simply report that there was a comedy of errors that occurred while looking at data that seemed to be saying something different than what was eventually known. The media will report that it was all innocent misunderstandings, and that there was nothing unethical or untoward about the conduct of the scientists that really were trying to save the world from a disaster that they really believed was imminent. The media will get quotes from people saying that it was better to be safe than sorry and quotes from climate scientists that say they will never be hesitant about erring on the side of caution.

MarkW
Reply to  wobble
July 8, 2015 6:59 pm

More likely they will just start declaring that the error levels on their data always allowed for this outcome and they have no idea why so many people got the erroneous idea that there was a major problem that had to be solved right now.

David A
Reply to  MarkW
July 9, 2015 2:42 am

Yes, just as these alarmist now claim the ice Age scare never happened… https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/1970s-ice-age-scare/

kim
Reply to  MarkW
July 9, 2015 6:00 am

It is already being claimed that CAGW is a strawman invented by skeptics.
Heh, a convenient untruth.
==============

Sly
July 8, 2015 10:23 am

hmmm if they did the same kind of study on warmest blogs I bet they would see even stronger conspiracy ideation… i.e. all skeptics are funded by big oil……

July 8, 2015 10:26 am

Conspiratorial Discourse in the Scientific Journals Triggered by Research on the Role of Conspiracist Ideation in Climate Alarmism.
Fixed!

John
July 8, 2015 10:38 am

The confirmation bias is strong in these two.

PiperPaul
July 8, 2015 10:40 am

Actual conspiracists gain advantage by preemptively accusing opponents of conspiracy!

Grant
July 8, 2015 10:51 am

Ah, what the hell. Since everyone’s doing it.
Grant Et. All finds that Austrailian climate scientists who espouse catastrophic global warming also deny the United States moon landing and are morons.

Say What?
July 8, 2015 11:13 am

I think Orwell covered it: Doublethink!

Steve C
July 8, 2015 11:27 am

My response is “Recurrent Laughter: Another Study in Obsessive Invention of Malign Claims about People in the Blogosphere with Better Supported Views than Those of the Authors”.

Joel Winter
July 8, 2015 11:32 am

I would like to object to the use of the term “peer review” in speaking of scientific journals, etc.. In law selecting a jury of peers is a two step process. Over the years it has become 1. corralling a randomly selected, larger than needed number of people consisting of a representative cross-section of the citizens of that jurisdiction–“venire;” and 2. culling from that panel a balanced set of biases by using two opposing sides to question and weed out extreme positions and incompetents–“voir dire”. Thus, a hopefully balanced jury of peers. Even this rigorous process can go wrong. So called “peer reviewed” science has a tendency and does sometimes become crony reviewed science. How do we guard against this? Step 2. You must allow opposing views to cull out the obviously biased on both sides, leaving the middle ground. For these reasons I remain a science and scientist skeptic, i.e., questioner. Science outside the lab does not self-govern well.
And reviewing my thoughts about the use of the phrase “conspiracy ideation” I now think that the use of “ideation’ is intentional and well-thought out in this instance as a kind of euphemism for rubes who ideate conspiracy where absolutely no credible (judgment call I know) evidence of conspiracy exists, translate that to wild imaginings of the paranoid, easily manipulated, and religious fanatics who cling to irrational superstitions. You can just see them chuckling over their coffee. I am sure there are people who ideate conspiracy. I won’t point to any likely subjects. By equating us with those who ideate conspiracy, they are saying that we are mere children on their adult stage, imagining everything. The article is designed to provide fodder for self-styled intellectuals to compliment one another on their superior intellects and sneer at everyone else below their station. It has no redeeming value and contributes nothing to the debate about CAGW. This is the pinnacle of hubris.

Jim G1
July 8, 2015 11:59 am

“What’s funny is that Lew et al don’t seem to realize they are talking about a large percentage of the population who have these questions:” Large percentages of the population also vote for the worst possible candidates for office, at all levels, frequently and half of the population has an IQ of 100 or less. Not only is this not a problem for one selling garbage but probably is a benefit to them and their theories.

Joel O'Bryan
Reply to  Jim G1
July 8, 2015 2:11 pm

Which is why in the American colonies after the King’s army was sent back to England, those men realized a direct democracy would be a disaster. Instead, they framed a representative Republic with two branches of Legislature. The intent of the US Senate, that is to represent the States, though was altered by the first wave of Progressivism and the 17th Amendment was ratified in 1913 making US Senators a popular vote in each state..

MarkW
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
July 8, 2015 7:02 pm

They also limited voting to those who owned land. Since most taxes at the time were based on land, this had the affect that only those paid taxes were allowed to vote.

Gonzo
July 8, 2015 12:01 pm

What is it with the lefties/green and conspiracies? From the clinton’s “vast right wing conspiracy” to this nonsense. The leftist/greens see the bogey man behind every corner. Now that deserves a peer reviewed study.

Reply to  Gonzo
July 8, 2015 1:10 pm

“delusion of persecution- a delusion that one is being attacked, harassed, cheated, persecuted, or conspired against. It is one of the subtypes of delusional disorder.”

Reply to  Gonzo
July 9, 2015 12:56 am

Read your Marx.
Marx defines society as a class struggle between evil capitalists and salt of the earth Labour.
It is a framework of interpretation that the Left share. The world, to them, consists of victims and oppressors, and you are only a good guy if you are on the side of the victims.
The possibility that Marxist thought instead of being a huge breakthrough is actually a counter productive source of unnecessary friction between members of society who in fact share more of a symbiotic relationship, never occurs to them.
And the further possibility that with the advance of mechanisation the whole concept of Labour has simply vanished without trace, is equally hidden by massive cognitive dissonance.
As with Climate Change, Marxism is another massively Convenient Lie that has promulgated itself simply because it flatters peoples egos, gives them something to believe in, excuses their failures as someone else’s fault, and gives them the moral right to trample on other people.

Reply to  Leo Smith
July 10, 2015 9:37 am

If one chooses to eat the rich he will find they taste foul.
When all the rich have been eaten , it’s time to eat the semi-rich, then the rich-poor, then the poor.
Turns out they all taste the same.
And all the jobs are gone.
Ayn Rand knew this.

July 8, 2015 12:10 pm

Papers, such as the one by Lewandowsky et al, are nothing more than a reworking of the old Soviet method of declaring dissidents to be mentally ill and are incontrovertible evidence, to use the APS wording, that AGW is just an -ism backed by junk science.

July 8, 2015 12:18 pm

It is completely normal behavior for the powerful to conspire to maintain and increase their power.
The media has used wacko/nutjob along with the word conspiracy so often that even people who are normally critical thinkers avoid any subject that suggests a conspiracy could have occurred. Shame is a powerful tool to control behavior. The fact that conspiracy ideation can be thrown out unquestioned as a psychological disorder, is evidence of the complete brainwashing by propaganda the media has accomplished.
The idea that conspiracies don’t exists is more of a delusion than the belief in them.

kentclizbe
July 8, 2015 12:19 pm

Lewandowsky and his agenda-defined “research” are particularly ripe targets for those who question the integrity and usefulness of the academic publishing process in general, and psychological “research” in particular.
Lewandowsky’s wild-eyed accusations of conspiracies against his “research” cries out for “research” in response to his response!
“To date, we have become aware of 7 instances in which editors were subject to what can reasonably be classified as harassment or intimidation in order to achieve the retraction of inconvenient papers. The potentially chilling effects of those activities on academic freedom must be analyzed further.”
“Conspiracy ideation” indeed!
In his fevered academic imagination, there’s a vast network of “deniers” who are out to destroy the poor “researcher” and his important findings on “conspiracy ideated deniers.”

knr
Reply to  kentclizbe
July 8, 2015 12:33 pm

“To date, we have become aware of 7 instances in which editors were subject to what can reasonably be classified as harassment or intimidation in order to achieve the retraction of inconvenient papers. ”
any chance they can name these papers , or it the lack of evdainced proof of the ‘conspricy in action?

katherine009
July 8, 2015 12:29 pm

I would really like to know what it was that led Dr. Ivar Giaever to finally “research climate research.”

Joel O'Bryan
Reply to  katherine009
July 8, 2015 12:38 pm

It appears he was aghast at the APS’s use of “incontrovertible” in their 2011 statement on Climate Change. The use of that word in physics, as he notes, is unscientific, which led him to resign from the APS in his very public letter at that time.

David L. Hagen
Reply to  katherine009
July 8, 2015 1:11 pm

katherine009
See Giaever’s recent Nobel speech “Climate Change Revisited”

“The facts are that in the last 100 years we have measured the temperatures it has gone up .8 degrees and everything in the world has gotten better. So how can they say it’s going to get worse when we have the evidence? We live longer, better health, and better everything. But if it goes up another .8 degrees we are going to die I guess,”

hunter
July 8, 2015 12:37 pm

Lewandowsky is to science what Lance Armstrong is to sports.

July 8, 2015 12:53 pm

How do you “peer review” articles in a journal that:

…aims to give creative impetuses for academic scholarship and for applications in education, policymaking, professional practice, and advocacy and social action. It intends to transcend the methodological and meta-theoretical divisions and paradigm clashes that characterize the field of social and political psychology, and to counterbalance the current overreliance on the hypothetico-deductive model of science, quantitative methodology, and individualistic explanations by also publishing work following alternative traditions (e.g., qualitative and mixed-methods research, participatory action research, critical psychology, social representations, narrative, and discursive approaches).

Egads.

Zeke
Reply to  opluso
July 8, 2015 1:39 pm

+++opluso
Nice catch.

Eric H.
Reply to  opluso
July 8, 2015 1:44 pm

So if you throw out the scientific method then this paper makes a ton of sense…Brilliant!

Zeke
Reply to  Eric H.
July 8, 2015 2:23 pm

“So if you throw out the scientific method then this paper makes a ton of sense…Brilliant!”
Or alternatively, this is the result of pretending to apply the scientific method to the soft sciences such as psychology.
This is what Karl Popper rightly identified as “the aping of the natural sciences by the social sciences.”
micetype: not a personal remark or contradiction to the person above.

Reply to  opluso
July 9, 2015 3:26 pm

Thats hilarious opluso. And more than a little disturbing. Loosely translated, it amounts to
Post your rant here at this “journal”
Its a fitting home for Lew’s work though.

July 8, 2015 12:54 pm

97 % agree: People have always tried to make money from scams.

PiperPaul
Reply to  Dave
July 8, 2015 2:23 pm

I found this quote at Jo Nova’a:
The problem with scams is that those perpetrating it need everyone duped quickly by an emotion driven story heavily promoted by all sorts of plausible proofs that initially appeal to specific personality types convinced of their superiority, hence the conviction that they are right despite logic, common sense and evidence.

Gary Pearse
July 8, 2015 12:58 pm

I should think that Lew as a psychologist would know that conspiracy is conducted in secret and not broadcast on multiblogs. Indeed, it ceases to be a conspiracy once everyone knows about it. Like when the insider released the Climategate emails, the jig was up for the climateers, Cop19 failed miserably, everyone was writing columns and blogs about it. With the conspiracy no longer a secret, there is no effort required to make the science look kosher. Hey, the real agenda has already been outed: we have to destroy the US economy, democracy, capitalism, ownership of property and put unelected elitists in charge to make sure we can succeed in wiping out half the population.
So why do the climateers keep needing to adjust the data to fit? Well they are scientists and have to do something.

July 8, 2015 1:01 pm

Maybe Lewandowsky (and fans like Bill 2) need to read up on the “mainstream” behavioral research being done.
“Where do conspiracy beliefs come from? Recent behavioral research suggests that they do not reflect pathology or lazy thinking but may instead come from normal, rational minds. ”
http://www.csicop.org/si/show/crazy_beliefs_sane_believers_toward_a_cognitive_psychology_of_conspiracy_id/
This part about conspiracy believers was particularly revealing:
“Rothschild et al. (2012) found that when participants read about environmental destruction caused by unknown forces, they attributed the blame to a scapegoat—an entity with the means and desire to subvert others’ well-being for its own gain. Blaming the scapegoat restored participants’ feelings of control. Importantly, participants given a chance to affirm their feelings of personal control were less likely to blame the scapegoat.”
Let’s’ see….people who learn about environmental destruction caused by unknown forces…create a scapegoat with the means and desire to subvert others’ well-being for it’s own gain. Such as…the fossil fuel industry? Or the Koch brothers? Or the human race?