Via The GWPF Global Warming Pause Comes Of Age
The Earth’s temperature has “plateaued” and there has been no global warming for at least the last 18 years, says Dr. John Christy, professor of atmospheric science and director of the Earth System Science Center (ESSC) at the University of Alabama/Huntsville. “That’s basically a fact. There’s not much to comment on,” Christy said when CNSNews.com asked him to remark on the lack of global warming for nearly two decades as of October 1st. –Barbara Hollingsworth, CBS News, 30 September 2014
Figure 1. RSS monthly global mean lower-troposphere temperature anomalies (dark blue) and trend (thick bright blue line), October 1996 to August 2014, showing no trend for 17 years 11 months.
More on the “The pause” here: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/09/04/global-temperature-update-no-global-warming-for-17-years-11-months
What will the Warming Pause do next? Get a job? Go on a gap year? Maybe go to college and rack up some proper student debt. Who knows, but it’s worth celebrating the good news that the planet’s temperatures are not accelerating to thermageddon. –Josh, Bishop Hill 1 October 2014
The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only 7 years of data and it isn’t statistically significant. –Phil Jones, University of East Anglia 5 July 2005
Bottom line: the ‘no upward trend’ has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried. -Phil Jones, University of East Anglia 7 May 2009
2014 will probably be in the top five warmest, but at the moment it will probably not turn out to be warmer than 2010. It is impossible for it to beat 2010 by a statistically significant margin, even if we define that as only one standard deviation above the decadal mean. Even if 2014 does beat 2010 it will only be by a statistically insignificant margin and well within the inter-annual error bars. In all probability 2014 will continue the global surface temperature standstill in a statistically perfect manner. When will the global surface annual temperature start to rise out of the error bars of the past 18 years? –David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Forum, 28 September 2014
It’s fair to say that this pause is something of an embarrassment to many in the climate research community, since their computer models failed to indicate that any such thing could happen. Just how long the temperature pause must last before it would falsify the more catastrophic versions of man-made climate change obviously remains an open question for many researchers. For the time being, most are betting that it will get real hot real fast when the hiatus ends. –Ronald Bailey, Reason Online, 9 September 2014
Former United Kingdom environment secretary Owen Paterson launched an attack against the “wicked green blob,” saying policies to stop global warming might do more harm than good. “There has not been a temperature increase now for probably 18 years, some people say 26 years,” Paterson told an audience at the Conservative party conference over weekend. “So the pause is old enough to vote, the pause is old enough to join the army, the pause is old enough to pay its taxes.” –Michael Bastasch, Daily Caller, 29 September 2014
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I posted once before in this thread but may not have made myself adequately clear for my post elicited no response. To rephrase it for clarity my message was that selling global warming short, as suggested by one blogger, would be inadvisable in view of the fact that the variable called the “global warming” takes on a multiplicity of numerical values at a specified point in time negating non-contradiction. Non-contradiction is among the classical laws of thought.
Non-contradiction is an example of a proposition. The negation of this proposition, formed by application to it of the operator NOT, is a proposition that can be called “contradiction.” When incorporated into the argument that is made by a model contradiction has nasty properties. One is to create the appearance that this model conveys information to a decision maker when it conveys no such information. In selling global warming short one would be operating without information that this move would be a money maker while thinking one had this information.
The pause can also hold a driver’s license in most countries.
It was only a matter of time but for a discussion against an AGW believer, a poor one. They know the upper atmosphere is cooling. It’s the proof land and sea are not warming that matters most.
CO2 and O3 cool the outer atmosphere where they radiate.
http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/global_warming/images/stratospheric_cooling.jpg
This is not borne out over the other CO2 planets. Water vapour *has* to be in this. If not, then it really is O3 that causes all of GW.
Also CO2 radiates in the Antarctic at sea level.
http://www.mathstat.dal.ca/~folkins/Cloud-LWspectrum.jpg
Amazing how when people predict disaster and it doesn’t come to pass they are disheartened and sad – even lashing out in anger!
That’s like warning your daughter that if she walks home late at night she might get raped by a maniac, and then being depressed when she makes it home safe and without incident.