The 39th Theory About The Global Warming ‘Pause’ (And Counting) See the full list here
In popular science journalism the latest is always the best. With all the explanations for the “pause” in global surface temperatures since 1997 – there are now over 30 of them – it is always the most recently published one that is the “answer.” This time it’s the Atlantic Ocean that’s to blame. A paper published in Science says that a 30-year periodicity warms and cools the world by sequestering heat below the ocean’s surface and then releasing it. You don’t have to look very deeply at the science to realise that, despite the headlines, no one has come up with an answer to the “pause.” –David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 26 August 2014
The “pause” in global warming may last another decade before surface temperatures start rising again, according to scientists who say heat is being stored in the depths of the Atlantic and Southern Oceans. A new study, published in the journal Science, suggests that a natural cycle of ocean currents has caused the phenomenon by drawing heat from shallow waters down almost a mile into the depths of the Atlantic and Southern Oceans. The cycle naturally produces periods of roughly 30 years in which heat is stored near the surface of the Atlantic Ocean, leading to warmer temperatures, followed by roughly 30 years in which it is stored in the depths, causing cooler surface temperatures, it suggests. –Emily Gosden, The Daily Telegraph, 21 August 2014
Following rapid warming in the late 20th century, this century has so far seen surprisingly little increase in the average temperature at the Earth’s surface. At first this was a blip, then a trend, then a puzzle for the climate science community. More than a dozen theories have now been proposed for the so-called global warming hiatus, ranging from air pollution to volcanoes to sunspots. “Every week there’s a new explanation of the hiatus,” said corresponding author Ka-Kit Tung, a UW professor of applied mathematics and adjunct faculty member in atmospheric sciences. –Hannah Hickey, The University of Washington, 21 August 2014
The 17-year pause in global warming is likely to last into the 2030s and the Arctic sea ice has already started to recover, according to new research. A paper in the peer-reviewed journal Climate Dynamics – by Professor Judith Curry of the Georgia Institute of Technology and Dr Marcia Wyatt – amounts to a stunning challenge to climate science orthodoxy. Not only does it explain the unexpected pause, it suggests that the scientific majority – whose views are represented by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – have underestimated the role of natural cycles and exaggerated that of greenhouse gases. –David Rose, Mail on Sunday, 3 November 2013
The American Meteorological Society has released updated polling results of their membership which shows only 52% agree with the so-called “consensus” that global warming is mostly man-made. The poll finds “members of this professional community are not unanimous in their views of climate change, and there has been tension among members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) who hold different views on the topic.” —The Hockey Schtick, 24 August 2014
h/t to Dr. Benny Peiser of The GWPF
Has the Atlantic sea level risen with the warming? These two things should go hand in hand correct?
What if the “Pause” turns into Global Cooling?? How will the “record adjusters” fix the data?
In a sense, the climate of the last 17 years has cooperated with the CO2 skeptical viewpoint. It’s time to start the full court press. Temperature differentials based on cooling then driving increased storms/intensities (which I believe) could easily be on the horizon and co-opted as evidence of warming. 17 years has shown the CAGW zombie is awfully hard to kill and will become harder if warming predictions appear correct. The apparent data tampering is particularly egregious and somebody needs to call “BS”. From a systems test point of view the raw data is sacrosanct, nobody gets to change it for any reason. The data analysis decides how to use/manuipulate the data and then justifies it’s methods.
Have any of you guys actually tried to heat water through the surface. Try it.
Thank you. Reminded me of a question I’ve had. In FL and presume elsewhere, Lakes fed by Cypress swamps become the color of dark tea almost coffee. In the middle of this 4000 acre lake there was an almost uncomfortable warm layer on top to about 2 ft down below the surface with a thermocline to more temperate water underneath. I’m guessing near 94F on top to 85F ish underneath. Understanding the water wants to evaporate/cool being warmed from the top, I was wondering if there were any ideas on this effect. Maybe it’s hard but not impossible to heat through the surface?
RMB
I often heat water through its surface. I use my microwave oven to do it because it is a very effective way to reheat coffee.
If you don’t believe me and don’t want to try it yourself, then I remind that a similar effect heats the oceans.
Richard
to richardscoutney your comment is worse than any that even i have done and that is really saying something.
Martin Hodgkins
Really? In what way?
Richard
RMB,
I understand what you’re saying. Still, as Dr. Spencer I think it was pointed out to me, the water heats somehow. The surface temperature of the ocean is demonstrably warmer than the temperature at the bottom. This is darn odd when you get right down to it, if it’s completely impossible to heat water through the surface. What’s happening, is the heat somehow coming from the bottom? That’s silly. It has to be heating through the surface. Waves and wind I guess, I don’t know.