Analysis: energy storage cannot solve the problem of intermittency of wind or solar power

solar-and-wind-energyClimate Skeptics often cite the fact that renewables like wind and solar don’t have constant power flow, and thus need either a nuclear, hyrdo, or coal/gas power plant backup in order to deliver a reliable power supply to the electrical grid.  Proponents often retort with “all we need is better battery technology to store power”.

The Catch-22 of Energy Storage (h/t to WUWT reader Greg in Tips and Notes)

Pick up a research paper on battery technology, fuel cells, energy storage technologies or any of the advanced materials science used in these fields, and you will likely find somewhere in the introductory paragraphs a throwaway line about its application to the storage of renewable energy.  Energy storage makes sense for enabling a transition away from fossil fuels to more intermittent sources like wind and solar, and the storage problem presents a meaningful challenge for chemists and materials scientists… Or does it?

Several recent analyses of the inputs to our energy systems indicate that, against expectations, energy storage cannot solve the problem of intermittency of wind or solar power. Not for reasons of technical performance, cost, or storage capacity, but for something more intractable: there is not enough surplus energy left over after construction of the generators and the storage system to power our present civilization.

In particular, we can’t use batteries or chemical energy storage systems, as they would lead to much worse figures than those presented by Weißbach et al.  Hydroelectricity is the only renewable power source that is unambiguously viable.  However, hydroelectric capacity is not readily scaled up as it is restricted by suitable geography, a constraint that also applies to pumped hydro storage.

More here by Barry Brook – http://theenergycollective.com/barrybrook/471651/catch-22-energy-storage

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pat
August 26, 2014 6:45 pm

***if only those pension funds would cough up the dough!
26 Aug: Reuters: Christoph Steitz: INTERVIEW-E.ON bets on investor help for wind power push
The group’s board member in charge of renewables told Reuters green energy was now growing as a source of profits for the utility, but that it needed help from investors for large wind power projects as its own investments were being cut to tackle its 29.7 billion euros ($39.2 billion) of debt.
“We have a big pipeline of developed onshore (wind) projects. But E.ON can no longer meet the capital needs for these projects on its own,” Mike Winkel said in an interview.
“Therefore, financial investors are very welcome to join and it turns out they see this market as being quite attractive.”…
***Last month, Denmark’s DONG Energy A/S agreed to divest 50 percent of a German offshore wind farm project to a group of Danish pension funds, freeing up capital to expand its offshore wind business…
E.ON’s smaller German peer RWE has also said it needs the help of external investors for big wind power projects, which swallow investments of at least 1 billion euros and carry greater risks when erected offshore…
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/08/26/e-on-renewables-idUKL5N0QW1D420140826

KevinK
August 26, 2014 7:21 pm

CRS wrote…
From the link;
“A small startup based in Emeryville, California, will build a pilot-scale energy storage system that COULD provide a cheaper, more practical way of storing large amounts of electricity”.
Not sure I agree that a “small startup” building a “pilot-scale” energy storage system that “could” (from the link) really counts as “simple” and “proven”. Sure a technology has been identified, but there are lots of steps between that and practical electricity storage. And the molten salt energy storage idea has been around for a long time, nothing new here. Ever try to fix a leak in piping that contains molten salt ? Better get some really good gloves and glue (maybe some super-duper-extra-strong-very-high-temperature glue)…..
Cheers, Kevin.

pat
August 26, 2014 7:27 pm

the reality McKibben & Co can’t accept:
26 Aug: Bloomberg: Zain Shauk: Investors May Find It Hard to Break Up With Oil and Gas
Investors seeking greener energy stocks will find it difficult to reproduce the returns offered by oil and natural gas producers, according to a report from Bloomberg New Energy Finance.
With a market value of $4.9 trillion, oil and gas investments offers a combination of scale, growth and dividends that can’t be readily found in other industries, the London-based research company said today…
Environmentalists have proposed fossil-fuels divestment…
The divestiture movement is backed by Bill McKibben, an environmental writer and co-founder of 350.org, a group that has identified 200 companies with the largest reserves of coal, oil and gas. McKibben warns that fossil fuel companies hold undisclosed financial risks as governments move to limit emissions blamed for global warming.
“If you are investing in fossil fuels, you are essentially betting that we won’t ever take climate change seriously,” Jason Kowalski, U.S. policy director for 350.org, said in an e-mail. Smart investors are moving “their money sooner rather than later.” …
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-08-26/investors-may-find-it-hard-to-break-up-with-oil-and-gas.html

Grey Lensman
August 26, 2014 8:11 pm

I think that the Germans have solved it. Run lignite at 100% but control output. Only supply on peak demand and make huge profit. Burns a lot of fuel but hey makes a profit and no blackouts.

Axelatoz
August 26, 2014 8:19 pm

Can anyone answer this for me please. From what I have read the salt generally used for molten salt storage in solar thermal power generation is Sodium Nitrate (an oxidizing agent) and the heat transfer fluid is high temp oil (hydrocarbon). If a heat exchanger ruptured what would prevent the following?
Oxidizing Agent + Carbon (or hydrocarbon) + Heat = EXPLOSION

nc
August 26, 2014 8:19 pm

Agnostic says; On a post recently at WUWT rgbatduke explained why you it is not efficient to transmit electricity more than 300 miles,
BC hydro has a 500 kv transmission system that has been in operation for almost 50 years now.

nc
August 26, 2014 8:20 pm

Oops cut my post, the 500 KV transmission system is over 500 miles long.

A C Osborn
Reply to  nc
August 27, 2014 4:41 am

And how much energy is lost in transmission?

rgbatduke
Reply to  nc
August 27, 2014 9:18 am

The existing nets usually locate plants within the 300 mile radius, although there are exceptions and the delivery networks are interconnected so that they can keep whole regions “up” even if there is a local disaster, at substantial cost. One “can” transmit energy any distance you like — it just gets more and more expensive to do so. And I don’t think anybody thinks that we can transmit it (say) 10,000 miles without completely re-engineering Tesla’s delivery system. In the meantime, there are scaling laws that suggest that one would have to go to much higher voltage and much larger transmission towers to accomplish it (or else build a lot more lines to run at the lower voltages and pay the cost of lower efficiency).
Which could happen — people are hard at work on suitable high-ish temperature superconductors that might enable low-voltage transmission, DC high voltage transmission (which can use the entire cross-section of a power line instead of the outer cm or so), and other stuff, maybe transmission in high-efficiency waveguides. The point is that our existing grid cannot transmit energy from Mexico or South Texas desert where it is easy to make solar energy most of the time on otherwise worthless land to Maine or Alaska, where they need energy in the long dark winter.

RACookPE1978
Editor
August 26, 2014 9:08 pm

Hmmmn.
Pumped storage. Equivalent to one large nuclear power plant: of say 2 units each of 1,000 Megawatts capcity. Each capable of running 24 hours per day, 365 days per year at a 90 – 92% on-line service every year. Cost too much? Take too long to build?
Or 3 combined cycle power plants at 63% thermal efficiency, each combined cycle rated at 670 MegaWatts. Similar CT’s are built in two years, cost right at 250 million each, and would require about 50 acres of unimproved dirt.
But you want pumped storage.
OK. Build another Hoover dam on some convenient river, complete with 17 unit water turbines and electric grid transformers. Add a 50 mile lake upstream in come convenient place that won’t get in anybody’s way. And won’t disturb wetlands, fish, ecologies or ducks or beavers or moose or deer or butterflies. Now build a SECOND Hoover Dam nearby, AND a second lake, AND a second power plant and pumping station. Each night, pump the lower lake into the upper lake – Kind of like pumping a full day’s release of water from Lake Meade (behind the Hoover Dam) back upstream to refill the Lake behind the Glenn Canyon Dam by using the power from the lower dam’s turbines…
The next morning, drain the upper lake into the lower lake running its water through the pump-turbines.
Simple, right? Remeber, Niagara’s pumped storage units ONLY WORK because of the natural drop from Lake Erie through the tunnels that bypass Niagara Falls themselves. No Lake Erie, no Niagara Falls in your backyard = no pumped storage economies.
All of this – and ten years of construction to replace a simple CT power …
Oh, by the way…. Lake Meade is running out of water right now. So is Glenn Canyon. The power output has already been de-rated from 2074 MegaWatts down to 1592 MegaWatts, and may need to go down again to only 1050 MegaWatts if the drought continues.

August 26, 2014 9:47 pm

pat August 26, 2014 at 7:27 pm
the reality McKibben & Co can’t accept:

The divestiture movement is backed by Bill McKibben, an environmental writer and co-founder of 350.org, a group that has identified 200 companies
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Is that a public list? Just reviewing my portfolio so a list of these “evil doers” and the dividends they pay would be quite useful. (Although I suspect I already own a number of them) I see we have another Hollywood Actor (DeCraprio?) up visiting Fort MacMurray so he can slag the Canadian oil sands in an upcoming movie. Wonder if he walked up there? Oh silly me. Took a helicopter powered by magical beans I reckon. The methane producing kind, funnelled from the occupants with tubes up there butts to the highly efficient engines. Now there is a story line for you Leonardo. Naaaahhhh, probably too believable.

Rud Istvan
August 26, 2014 9:48 pm

Anthon y, I will separately provide you a comprehensive essay on this from my forthcoming book. Focused only on California. Should hit home. Facts are worse than anything yet posted here.

Claude Harvey
August 26, 2014 11:33 pm

I don’t think some readers are getting the point here. According to the European experience, photovoltaic solar costs 8 to 10 times the current U.S. average price of wholesale electric power, at the fence, without taking into account the conventional power sources required to cover the “intermittent” problem. If you fold in the actual cost of either energy storage or backup power sources necessary to make solar work as a practical matter, the cost is simply ruinous.

Gamecock
Reply to  Claude Harvey
August 29, 2014 5:49 pm

And you need MORE of the expensive PV solar to charge the batteries.

Non Nomen
August 27, 2014 12:23 am

upcountrywater
August 26, 2014 at 2:29 pm
A pumped storage system may work where there is a large elevation differential…Dig 20 small (?) reservoirs cascading one into another, with 20 motor-generator set-ups ….
A pilot set up could be done on Maui as there is a 10,000 foot elevation gain over a few miles…Getting permits to dig mother Maui is another matter…
___________________________________________________
Why don’t they go underground completely? Caverns that formerly held potash are the downend of the pipe and a nice litte lake on the surface(or even another cavern) is the other. It should work as long as the downward slope is ok and gravity doesn’t cease.

August 27, 2014 12:26 am

Mericans are lucky since you have not yet travelled far along the road to renewables utopia. In Scotland we are planning to have 100% equivalent renewables by 2020. In Scotch on The ROCs I analysed the consequences of a full year generation at 5 minute resolution. We generate a massive and expensive surplus that has nowhere to go:
http://euanmearns.com/scotch-on-the-rocs/
http://www.euanmearns.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/scotland_electricity_2020_1.jpg
Anthony, you are welcome to re-blog this if you like.

lgl
Reply to  Euan Mearns
August 29, 2014 1:06 am

And then put a 24 hour low pass filter on that wind ‘signal’

Stephen Richards
August 27, 2014 1:13 am

However, hydroelectric capacity is not readily scaled up as it is restricted by suitable geography
and climate change !!

AndyW
August 27, 2014 1:45 am

I know I should not encourage the windy/solar lot but vanadium batteries look pretty good…
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vanadium_redox_battery

DirkH
August 27, 2014 3:06 am

Grey Lensman
August 26, 2014 at 8:11 pm
“I think that the Germans have solved it. Run lignite at 100% but control output. Only supply on peak demand and make huge profit. Burns a lot of fuel but hey makes a profit and no blackouts.”
We do have a lot of small 300 MW class gas power plants here in Germany which should be very good in compensating for wind power fluctuations. Often they sit right in the center of a wind turbine “park” – which has grown around them to exploit the feed in structure of the existing grid.
Also, many municipalities have combined cycle plants, mixed operation gas and coal, for district heating and municipal power generation. These are also small plants that should be able to ramp quickly.
It would be extremely un-German to burn fuel and discard part of the power. If you have links that show that this is actually happening to any significant degree, show them please.
There were some explicit gas peaker plants that EON threatened to mothball because they only could operate profitably an ever decreasing number of hours per year – most of the time solar+wind swamps the grid. So there are talks underway to compensate owners of these plants for keeping them as reserve. Doubtlessly an expensive market distortion, but all of this has nothing to do with burning lignite and discarding the output.

August 27, 2014 3:38 am

Did they look at hydrogen?
http://hydrogenhouseproject.org/

DirkH
Reply to  James Cross
August 27, 2014 4:33 am

I looked at the site. The guy claims he wants to educate the public about hydrogen. So I looked for the education about Hydrogen seeping through metal and making steel brittle. It’s funny, but on his entire website he doesn’t mention any problems. If I were educating the public about Hydrogen, I would be less irresponsible. Or in other words: that’s a hype page with as much substance as an issue of “Wired”.

chadb
August 27, 2014 5:59 am

Grrrr….
So frustrating. You are assuming a 100% solar and wind grid backed by batteries – yes that is a stupid solution. However, there are nuclear plant upgrades whereby Nat Gas is injected into the hot air stream and burned at (I believe) 63% efficiency and can boost output by 300MW (I need to find the link). There is no spinning reserve, just a quick on/off on a plant that is already contributing to baseload. If we instead of assuming 100% wind and solar we ask “what is the best use of resources for the next 50 years” we might want to look at a way to drop combustion from 80% to 40% of our grid and we might ask is that a possibility? Perhaps we would be better off if we switched electricity (as much as possible) away from Nat Gas (ramping up coal and renewables) and used $1.50/gal equivalent Gas to replace gasoline at $4/gallon. The question then becomes not whether it is cheaper to make electricity from Nat Gas or solar, but whether it is better overall to use Nat Gas for transportation.
We would need a ~5 minute battery to level out wind turbines starting/stopping and compensating for cloud cover. We would need a ~20 minute energy storage system like compressed air/liquefied air/thermal storage/pumped hydro, 3 hour solutions like peaking plants, then reserve units that can fire up when there are several days in a row when it is hot, cloudy, and windless (odd combination). All of these are existing technologies. What we should be doing is not to use pumped hydro to store 2 days of electricity demand, but to give peaking plants (which already exist) time to ramp up/down.

Billy
Reply to  chadb
August 28, 2014 12:00 am

Or you could just decomission the wind and solar and eliminate the complicated, unreliable and expensive buffering measures.

chadb
Reply to  Billy
August 28, 2014 4:38 am

First – those buffers are already on the grid, it is merely a discussion of scale. Second, you missed the point entirely. Let’s say you have the option of $0.10/kWh electricity and $4/gal gasoline. An alternative is $0.15/kWh electricity and $1.50/gal gasoline. Has the price of electricity gone up? Absolutely. However, your total energy bill very well might go down since you are effectively replacing diesel with solar/wind by moving Nat Gas up the value chain. The cost of Nat. Gas. is much higher than it would be if everyone in the NE were still using heating fuel instead of Gas for home heating. However, the total heating bill has gone down by replacing an expensive fuel (petroleum) with a much cheaper one.

oeman50
August 27, 2014 9:41 am

A pumped storage station was built in the Virginia mountains in the 1980’s that is now capable of 3000 MW of generation, storing over 20,000 MW hours of energy. Its full storage/generation capacity is used every day, largely fueled from coal and nuclear sources, the input from renewables is almost negligible.
I doubt it could get built today due to permitting restrictions.

Clarity2016
August 27, 2014 10:59 am

Wind/Solar should be reserved only for the situations where it really makes sense, just like hydro. It will never supply 100% of energy needs, but if we could get it to 25% that would be massive. We still need common sense energy solutions that don’t pollute. Thorium fission or small-scale magnetized target fusion come to mind.

Gamecock
Reply to  Clarity2016
August 29, 2014 5:52 pm

“Thorium fission” . . . you really said that.

Jake J
August 27, 2014 11:34 am

The key is this:
Weißbach et al. calculated the EROEIs assuming pumped hydroelectric energy storage. This is the least energy intensive storage technology. The energy input is mostly earthmoving and construction. It’s a conservative basis for the calculation; chemical storage systems requiring large quantities of refined specialty materials would be much more energy intensive. Carbajales-Dale et al.2 cite data asserting batteries are about ten times more energy intensive than pumped hydro storage.
I chased down the citation, and it did not appear to support the claim that battery materials and manufacturing are too energy intensive for use as grid-scale storage.

Grey Lensman
August 27, 2014 7:27 pm

Dirk, it is in one of the earlier posts. Seems they run at 100% but vent the heat rather than spin to generating power. Then when the demand comes, at very high prices, they just close the bypass. No more blacks outs but no reduction in fuel use

August 28, 2014 1:41 pm

[Full reply prompted by one of RGB’s posts]
Unfortunately, we’ve been using and trying to develop new batteries for decades. While technology has evolved somewhat, I’m not convinced we’ve come anywhere near the breakthroughs we need to truly make solar and wind both cost-effective and realistic. Others also make this point.
The telecommunications industry — among others — still uses vast amounts of batteries to power and provide back-up electrical capacity for “switching stations” or “central offices”, including the electricity pushed out through traditional twisted pair copper lines to ring the wall phone and power the basic capabilities of the traditional phone. Yes, even in this day of fiber optics it is so…
The best batteries on the market — economically — are what they were 20+ years ago: wet cells (sulfuric acid and lead plate, or similar). Same holds true for data centers. If you have never been in a significantly sized datacenter battery room, you should try to find a way to get there (legally). Huge room with ginormous battery racks, holding hundreds of 1,000-pound or larger batteries containing literally tons of battery acid (even if calculated to a “pure acid” equivalent).
Smaller switching stations often have smaller batteries, which may only last for 5-7 years, while the big sites may have big, boxy batteries that may have a service life of 20 years.
If new tech is not showing up in the telecoms and datacenter industries, some of the most “large scale” applications for bulk electrical storage that face real competitive pressures, it’s clearly not ready for prime time, much like solar and wind were pronounced during the Carter Administration.
I’m simply not convinced about the overall viability of storage systems, other than pumped storage, which I dare say will not expand under current and future environmental laws and regulations. While RGB raises some good points, his discussions are heavily sprinkled and sometimes loaded with “IFF” statements
(IFF = if and only if). Read them again to see how we need large enough batteries, and cheap enough solar cells, if anyone ever figures out how to resolve the deal-killers in the engineering, etc.
Ripshin also hits the nail on the head with his comment that while solar energy is free, collection is not. (Ditto for wind.) Along with collection comes a need to transport, which is also not free, and none of these systems are maintenance free, or indestructible (think fire, wind storms, hail, etc.). Nor are they continuous.
I’m an engineer by training, working in risk management. Personally I hope these breakthroughs happen and happen SOON. But, show me facts, show me definitive progress with demonstrable cost-competitiveness without subsidy (FWIW, I believe everything should be compared without subsidy, BTW).
Keep in mind that in my experience, in the U.S. especially, we tend to latch onto the promise of technology and technological advancement early, often before the technology has been adequately tested and proven. Look, for example, at “weathering steel” more commonly referenced in structural engineering and architectural circles as COR-TEN (a U.S. Steel Corp trademark term): http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weathering_steel. There are serious downsides, but it was tried in many situations (not documented by wikipedia, naturally) where it fared quite poorly. Wikipedia does note a few important installations that failed miserably, however.
There have also been environmental (sewage treatment) technologies that were rushed into service with great promise, but that turned out to be spectacular duds. For example, EPA’s push for something called “Breakpoint Chlorination” back in the early 1970’s was a failed though heroic attempt to have it applied nearly everywhere for nitrogen removal based on pilot plant testing at but one or two locations. I know of one site at which is was installed to treat about 36 million gallons of sewage per day — many orders of magnitude larger than for which it had been demonstrated — only to have the state declare it a “brute force approach” that was approved for temporary use only. EPA’s guidance evolved thereafter to [eventually] drop the idea completely (in the never-published 4th edition draft document, naturally). There are other examples.
Most of the above discussion in this thread did not address the need for “spinning reserve” to back up solar and wind if the batteries don’t exist. Likewise such sources will probably also need to spin if the batteries/storage systems do exist, though perhaps they can be powered down somewhat further: if drain/demand on the batteries/storage becomes excessive or prolonged, we otherwise should expect to have one of them thar things called a brownout — or a blackout.
____
There is an argument that we should not be looking to store “excess power” but to use it instead. If you use it, it’ll be hard to heat the water for your morning bath/shower overnight, or to energize your ultra-efficient CFL and LED light bulbs at night. In my home, I believe we use far more electricity for activities that begin as the sun’s greatest intensity is past, and before it begins anew the next day, than we do during the day. One minor issue with “making something” with excess power is that in the U.S. we have these pesky things called air emissions permits (water, too) that limit manufacturing emissions in various ways, sometimes by shift, hour of day, and so on, with totals that may not be exceeded without financial penalty. Another pesky problem is how you adjust the labor force for such activities on a day-by-day basis; we know the meteorologists — good though some of them are — are not perfect, so what do we do when storms that were not in the GFS, Canadian or European met models actually show up and screw the solar intensity so that there is no “excess”, or conversely when the storms that were forecast DON’T materialize and there is “excess”?

September 3, 2014 12:14 pm

The main issue is that wind energy will never contribute to the overall energy mix in any reliable manner that’s even worth storing, while solar energy CAN be easily (!) stored – as warmth/heat. The nonsense starts, when you use photoelectric effects with a third of the efficiency direct heat capture has. And then in the next step ask for batteries. This is like Groucho Marx planning the energy landscape.