Don't mention the Nuclear Option to Greens

Greens want every possible intervention except one which “solves” their useful crisis

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

‘Drill Bit Dana’ has been at it again, trying to claim that we don’t “accept the science”, because we are ideologically opposed to their solution – massive government intervention.

guardian_convinceThere is just one problem with this argument – its an utter falsehood. The reason its a falsehood, is massive government intervention is not the only, or by any measure the best, route to reducing CO2 emissions. Most skeptics are supporters of power generation solutions which would, as a byproduct, significantly reduce CO2 emissions.

We have no reason to reject alarmist science, other than we think it is wrong. 

Take the example of America. The USA has substantially reduced CO2 emissions over the last decade, because of fracking – the switch from coal to gas, even though energy use has gone up, has reduced the amount of carbon which is burned to produce that energy.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/02/us-co2-emissions-may-drop-to-1990-levels-this-year/

Of course, America’s coal producers are still mining as much coal as they ever did – and exporting it to Europe, whose disastrous policy failures have increased costs and CO2 emissions.

In the case of fracking, the reduction of CO2 emissions might have been incidental, but fracking has produced results. Surely when it comes to CO2, results are what count?

But the real elephant in the room, with regard to emissions reduction, is the nuclear option.

James Hansen likes nuclear power.

http://edition.cnn.com/2013/11/03/world/nuclear-energy-climate-change-scientists-letter/index.html

George Monbiot likes nuclear power. http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2011/mar/21/pro-nuclear-japan-fukushima

Anthony Watts likes nuclear power.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/02/16/quote-of-the-week-the-middle-ground-where-agw-skeptics-and-proponents-should-meet-up/

James Delingpole likes nuclear power.

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100080636/japan-whatever-happened-to-the-nuclear-meltdown/

Jo Nova likes nuclear power.

http://joannenova.com.au/2010/09/australia-can-meet-its-2020-targets-with-just-35-nuclear-power-plants-or-8000-solar-ones/

The Heartland Institute likes nuclear power.

http://blog.heartland.org/2013/11/global-warmings-mt-rushmore-wisely-embraces-nuclear-power/

So why isn’t nuclear power the main focus of everyone’s attention? Why do far too many alarmists persist with antagonising us, by pushing their absurd carbon taxes and government intervention, when they could be working with us? Why do alarmists keep trying to force us to accept solutions which we find utterly unacceptable, when there are obvious solutions which we could all embrace?

Perhaps some alarmists are worried about the risk of nuclear accidents – but, if climate change is as serious as they say, how can the risk of a nuclear meltdown or ten possibly compare to what alarmists claim is an imminent risk to the survival of all humanity?

Why do alarmists persist with pushing falsehoods about the motivation of their opponents, when they could, right now, be taking positive, substantial steps to promote policies which actually would reduce CO2 emissions?

What was the motivation of Phil Jones, Director of the CRU, when he wrote the following Climategate email:-

http://www.ecowho.com/foia.php?file=0837094033.txt

“Britain seems to have found it’s Pat Michaels/Fred Singer/Bob Balling/ Dick Lindzen. Our population is only 25 % of yours so we only get 1 for every 4 you have. His name in case you should come across him is Piers Corbyn. …  He’s not all bad as he doesn’t have much confidence in nuclear-power safety.”

Does Phil Jones really think that nuclear safety is more of an issue than global warming?

The easy answer to this dilemma is that most alarmists are being dishonest – that they don’t really believe CO2 is an important issue, that its simply a convenient excuse to push their political agenda. But surely they can’t all be bent? Monbiot seems sincere about embracing nuclear power. Hansen, and the authors of the open letter, seem sincere about promoting nuclear power. Are they really the only honest participants on the alarmist side of the debate? Surely this can’t be the case.

What am I missing?

0 0 votes
Article Rating

Discover more from Watts Up With That?

Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

284 Comments
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Admad
August 9, 2014 6:38 am
KenB
August 9, 2014 6:39 am

The greens feed on fear, scares and have an agenda to wreck economies, at least that is the Australian outcomes of the fearful scaremongering to prevent anything working. Mention nuclear and they just about faint, the blood rains from their faces, brains go into mortal lockdown and common sense or any semblance of coherent conversation ends and a scattergun rant erupts.
Seems that the mere mention conjures up images of devils and accusations of environmental vandals.
I simply prefer that whatever emissions that we cause are the cleanest for the environment and that whatever energy that were need for daily life be produced at the lowest clean environmental cost.
On that basis I look for the day that we eventually replace those energy sources with the best range of nuclear devices under the safest controls. Even better if we can reduce the size and complexity of those nuclear generators that it becomes viable to give them to poorer economies as a form of peaceful aid so they can develop basic clean cooking, bathing, heating/cooling to lift their people out of poverty.
This may mean continuing to burn/consume cheap fossil fuels while these small safe reliable reactors are developed in a way that the by products cannot be used for military purposes and several of the modern reactor proposals seem to be viable in that respect.
We already remove most of the particulate and chemical mix from the emissions in the developed world and it seems a no brainer to ensure the energy needs of the human race are supplied and new sources of energy harnessed for the true benefit of mankind AND the planet we inhabit.
But try explaining this to a greenie you will draw a blank every time, its not in the Great Green songbook of agenda!

jim2
August 9, 2014 6:40 am

Roger Sowell says:
August 9, 2014 at 6:29 am
*****
You are full of BS too. If Frech nuclear power is as expensive as you say it is, why do other countries buy it?
From the article:
As of 2012, France’s electricity price to household customers is the seventh-cheapest amongst the 27 member European Union, and also the seventh-cheapest to industrial consumers, with a rate of €0.14 per kWh to households and €0.07 per kWh to industrial consumers.[7] France was the biggest energy exporter in the EU in 2012, exporting 45TWh of electricity to its neighbours.[8] During very cold or hot periods demand routinely exceeds supply due to the lack of more flexible generating plants, and France needs to import electricity.[9][10]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_France

Alx
August 9, 2014 6:43 am

fenbeagleblog says:
August 9, 2014 at 6:02 am
Well the main reason in the UK Eric is the current proposal is the most expensive nuclear power station in the world. And with strike prices at £90 kw/h it’s barely cheaper than onshore wind at £95 kw/h.
———————————————-
I think comparing kw/h between energy sources can be mis-leading.
In 2012, the average nuclear power plant in the United States generated about 11.8 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh). A 1.8-MW turbine can produce about 5 million kWh a year using an average wind speed of 12mph. I know where I live we do not manage 12 MPH windspeeds annually, but lets use that number. It would take about 2,400 wind turbines to equal one nucluer plant in annual output, again assuming 12mph average wind. Can’t imagine the logistics of a 2,400 wind turbine farm nor the impact to the environment.
And then there is the issue that the wind don’t always blow, so power output from wind is not 24/7 as nucleur power would be, requiring further mitigation and expense or a change to our lifestyles.

RCM
August 9, 2014 6:44 am

Roger Sowell:
Your post is amusing- you fight nuclear at every point and then ask why there isn’t more of it.
I have the inclination but not the time to dispute you point by point so I will focus on one item only.
You ask why France, despite having so much nuclear power has such high electric power prices.
I refer you to page 16 of this
http://www.eurelectric.org/media/60787/taxes_and_levies_on_electricity_2011_-_final-2012-560-0006-01-e.pdf
which lists all the taxes placed on electric power in France. Read it, and I think you will find out why electricity is so expensive in France.

richardscourtney
August 9, 2014 6:48 am

Roger Sowell:
At August 9, 2014 at 6:29 am you ask

If nuclear power was really as good as the advocates claim (i.e. cheap, safe, reliable, etc), then …

You know the answer. Any nuclear power proposal is inhibited by Luddite activists such as Roger Sowell providing obstacles of cost and trouble.
Richard

John West
August 9, 2014 6:50 am

“What am I missing?”
That these people never admit when they’re wrong. If they admit to themselves that nuclear is the way to go they’d have to face the awful truth that due to their resistance to nuclear in the past is the reason our energy production is as CO2 emission intensive as it is. The Kaya Identity illustrates just how awfully misguided they were not to embrace nuclear a half a century ago. If these “progressives” had not stymied progress back then we’d be in a much different position now. If they admit they were wrong then they might have to acknowledge that they could be wrong now. Their foresight would be called into question and we simply can`t have that.

kencoffman
August 9, 2014 6:51 am

I’m reminded of a great book by Petr Beckmann called The Health Hazards of NOT Going Nuclear. As a counter example, for all of John Daly’s great work with documenting a lack of sea level change and fighting consensus climatology, he was quite rabidly against nuclear power.

Bob Weber
August 9, 2014 7:03 am

Eric if you’ve missed something, it would be that your statement here panders to the wants of the warmists’, and doesn’t speak for all as you imply: “Most skeptics are supporters of power generation solutions which would, as a byproduct, significantly reduce CO2 emissions.”
Significant CO2 reductions are not necessary at all when CO2 has nothing significant to do with the weather or climate. Trying to appease warmists by agreeing with their basic premise is a losing strategy that will be turned against all skeptics and the public in general, something everyone should keep in mind. Give the warmist’s NO QUARTER – ever!

dp
August 9, 2014 7:08 am

Birkenstock liberals are not about solutions – they are about the unrestricted show of caring for the down-trodden in all walks of life except for white males who are fair game. The only way to care in their world is by way of government programs that ensure the down-trodden will remain so thus satisfying the “unrestricted” requirement. There’s nothing happier than a caring liberal with a good cause to bray about and a good tax lawyer to ensure someone else pays for the programs.

sadbutmadlad
August 9, 2014 7:10 am

#GreeniesAreStupid

Steve Keohane
August 9, 2014 7:10 am

Never letting a crisis go to waste, means not fixing it either.

August 9, 2014 7:13 am

Alx
…I wasn’t trying to make a case for wind :-D…..It’s possible I might know the problems with wind inside out, too…..But in the UK at this moment gas has cross party support, and nobody can put forward an argument for not using it big time….Apart from the Greens who also oppose nuclear, coal and oil.
…There is no debate on this, apart from hold ups by regulations, lack of investment (particularly while the CMA investigation is underway) And local opposition whipped up by irresponsible media and Vivien Westewood, Greenfleece, friends of the Girth etc.

Alan the Brit
August 9, 2014 7:18 am

The waste issue was always there. However, I recall a conversation I had a while ago with someone for the life of me I cannot recall who (senior moment). The issue of containment is pretty much settled. In the UK we’ve tested the steel encased concrete surrounded waste vessels by colliding them with trains moving at 100mph, or there abouts, & they survive. The conversation moved on to storage & or disposal. What was proposed was to fill a tanker with the waste, & the ship be fitted with doors open to the sea, obviously such that the vessel remains seaworthy. The ship is then taken to the nearest subduction zone & the waste guided down to it. In theory once subsumed into the Earth’s crust it would never be seen again! I thought it had merit although it would horrify the Greens despite informing them of the origins of the original material being disposed of!

mpainter
August 9, 2014 7:19 am

Imagine- Eric Eorral comes here to peddle nuclear power on the basis that it will reduce CO2 emissions. Did you forget that this is a skeptics blog? We do not wet our britches over greenhouse gas like they do at SepticalScience. That is where you should go to peddle your “save the planet” pitch for nuclear power.

Editor
August 9, 2014 7:19 am

The Margarita Declaration at the UN backed conference in Venezuela last month makes their position totally clear
The Margarita Declaration was issued at the end of a four-day meeting of around 130 green activist groups, which the Venezuelan government hosted in order to raise the volume of civil society demands in UN discussions on climate change.
“The structural causes of climate change are linked to the current capitalist hegemonic system,” the final declaration said. “To combat climate change it is necessary to change the system.”

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2014/07/24/venezuela-climate-summit-calls-for-end-to-green-economy/

PaulH
August 9, 2014 7:21 am

I know not all areas are conducive to hydro-electric power generation, but the greens blissfully oppose that very renewable option too.

Richard Howes
August 9, 2014 7:22 am

kadaka (KD Knoebel) says:
August 9, 2014 at 6:11 am
First post from Roger Sowell directing us to the ~24 part series of posts on his blog where he explains how nuclear energy is too expensive without government help and is too dangerous and always has been and always will be despite the technology advances as the extreme risk and cost is inherent, will be showing up in:
3..
2..
1..
——————————————————————————————–
KD,
It took him 18 minutes. Do you have any picks for the Lotto next week?
Richard

ossqss
August 9, 2014 7:33 am

“What am I missing?”
——————————-
When one reviews the punitive nature of green initiatives, the term “misanthrope” in green clothing comes to mind.

kadaka (KD Knoebel)
August 9, 2014 7:34 am

From Roger Sowell on August 9, 2014 at 6:29 am:

In addition, Professor Derek Abbott asserts that nuclear power is simply not possible as a long-term solution for electrical energy. (…)

From the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the world-class geniuses behind the famous “Five Seconds to Midnight” Doomsday Clock:

THE ENERGY ISSUE
05/30/2013 – 16:18
Limits to growth: Can nuclear power supply the world’s needs?
Derek Abbott
(…) One particular resource limitation that has not been clearly articulated in the nuclear debate thus far is the availability of the relatively scarce metals used in the construction of the reactor vessel and core. While this scarcity is not of immediate concern, it would present a hard limit to the ultimate expansion of nuclear power. This limit appears to be a harder one than the supply of uranium fuel. An increased demand for rare metals—such as hafnium, beryllium, zirconium, and niobium, for example—would also increase their price volatility and limit their rate of uptake in nuclear power stations. Metals used in the nuclear vessel eventually become radioactive and, on decommissioning, those with long half-lives cannot be recycled on timescales useful to human civilization. Thus, a large-scale expansion of nuclear power would reduce “elemental diversity” by depleting the world’s supply of some elements and making them unavailable to future generations.

Limits to Growth, the famous “Club of Rome” publication useful for justifying the incidental extermination of 13 out of every 14 people on Earth? Good reference to start with.
Welcome once again to the “reserves misunderstood as resources” discussion, with the addition of metals that are byproducts of looking for other metals. From Forbes, by Tim Worstall on 1/24/2013 11:16AM:

It’s 2013: Let’s Check Those New Scientist Claims About Running Out Of Terbium And Hafnium

With hafnium this problem is even worse. Their misunderstanding of metals and metals extraction that is. On this chart they seem to have global reserves of hafnium at 1,124 tonnes. Which is a number that had me howling with laughter when I saw it. This is simply nonsense.
Here are the USGS numbers for hafnium. You will note that there are no statistics for world production of hafnium. And most certainly none for either reserves or resources. That is, there are no reserves. But you will see this:

Typically, zirconium and hafnium are contained in zircon at a ratio of about 50 to 1.

Ah, OK: 2% of zircon is hafnium. So, what are the reserves of zircon then? 52 million tonnes: meaning that there’s about 1 million tonnes of hafnium out there. That’s reserves recall: not resources. This is the stuff that has been measured, weighed and drilled.
So how can we have these people insisting that reserves are only 1,124 tonnes? Quite simply, because they are ignorant of how the market for this metal works.
Hafnium and zirconium are chemically very similar indeed. So much so that we usually don’t bother to refine the 2% of Hf out of the Zr. The only time we do care is for the nuclear industry: Hf is opaque to neutrons, Zr transparent. Thus when we make the zirconium to make reactors out of we have to extract the Hf. And this is where the world’s supply comes from. It’s waste from the nuclear industry. This is where we get the few hundred tonnes a year of Hf that we actually use from. The other 25,000 tonnes a year that’s in the zircon we don’t bother to extract and we just let it get used with the zirconium/zirconia for non-nuclear uses.

This Derek Abbott fellow that Roger Sowell trusts sounds like a really smart guy, for someone aligned with anti-nuclear Malthusians.
To mention it, even though (from first link) “Derek Abbott is a professor in the School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering at the University of Adelaide in Australia”, I haven’t found any direct relation to Tony Abbott, current Australian PM.

Robert_G
August 9, 2014 7:34 am

A very real problem with nuclear power that I have not yet seen mentioned is terrorism. Unfortunately, no matter how efficient, or how safe the reactors can be made, nothing can reliably protect against acts of terrorism or war. Think “black swan.” Given the world today, this concern is not merely theoretical: We are in the midst of an unbelievable medieval religious war in the 21st century with terrorist thugs having no respect for human life and routinely inflicting obscenely cruel and barbaric punishments on their victims; not to mention their own women and children. Who would have thought this possible twenty years ago? Coupled with a destructively incompetent (if not worse), sociopathic Obama presidency and political leadership, ignoring the growing peril that surrounds and menaces us every day.

Ursa Felidae
August 9, 2014 7:38 am

Roger Sowell,
I have a question regarding your post: What is your position? Do you favor coal, oil, and natural gas while we have it cheaper than nuclear? Or do you prefer wind and solar at its high cost? Just seeking clarification, thanks.

August 9, 2014 7:43 am

Modern modular reactors can’t melt down. Believe it or not, we’ve made progress over 60 years. How to you explain a 60 inch HD flat screen TV with 7.1 surround sound to someone from 1968? The problem is we don’t have much to show people yet. but modular reactors are planned to be built soon in GA, and TN. —-
Absolutely true for the Westinghouse AP1000. Completely passive shutdown and standby, (if needed). The design is completely documented on their website.
Had the Fukashima reactors been AP1000’s, they’d be back up generating now.
BUT I digress, and I tire of the battle.
Max

SAMURAI
August 9, 2014 8:00 am

Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactors (LFTRs) will be what powers our future because it’s the cheapest, cleanest, safest, most efficient, scalable, unlimited and energy dense form of energy ever developed.
The Thorium Age officially starts next year when China’s first test LFTR goes online. This event will force Western nations to either quickly develop LFTRs or commit economic suicide. If China is allowed to pursue LFTR development exclusively, at some point, a huge second wave of production will flood China’s shores to take advantage of cheap unlimited power.
The great thing is that LFTR technology could easily be completely financed and developed by the private sector. Unfortunately, governments will, of course, force themselves into the LFTR market and establish a huge and cumbersome bureaucracy to administer the myriad and expensive licensing, rules, regulations, building standards, nuclear waste disposal protocols, etc., which the private sector would have naturally established at 1/20th the cost of what it’ll cost the government to run, but, hey, “we’re from the government and we’re here to help.”……
Anyway, from a geo-political perspective, the inherent and worsening political instability of the Middle East and Russia will hasten the need for LFTR development, especially as petroleum increasingly becomes an economic and political weapon and oil profits continue to finance international terrorism.
Thorium is abundant (as abundant at lead) and is found in vast quantities all around the globe; we’ll never run out of the stuff. One average-sized rare-earth mine accidentally produces enough “waste” thorium to supply the entire world’s energy needs for 1 year…
All that’s required is for feckless politicians to establish the LFTR bureaucratic monstrosity to authorize and allow LFTRs development and then the private sector could easily finance The necessary infrastructure. There will obviously be considerable opposition from enviro-wackos, leftists and the fossil fuel industry, but economic and political realities will eventually make their opposition moot.
LFTRs will be the impetus for a second renaissance with incredible economic, political and social implications. All that is lacking is the political will to make it happen…. Again, it’s astoundingly dumb governments that are holding back mankind’s advancement…

Mark Bofill
August 9, 2014 8:03 am

Perhaps some alarmists are worried about the risk of nuclear accidents – but, if climate change is as serious as they say, how can the risk of a nuclear meltdown or ten possibly compare to what alarmists claim is an imminent risk to the survival of all humanity?

Amen.
This is where alarmists lose me. I’m a lukewarmer. I’ll grant that given our uncertainties, we have no reason to expect anything but some warming from increasing atmospheric CO2. I’m not persuaded that it’ll be much, and I’m not persuaded it won’t be benign.
But I’m a reasonable man. I’d meet the alarmists halfway if we could agree to push for nuclear power, a proven technology and the only CO2 free alternative that has demonstrated the capability of supplying power on the scale industrialized nations require.
Yet the alarmists won’t meet me halfway. Abruptly, the goalposts change. With a straight face they ask me how to guarantee environmental safety from radioactive contamination for thousands of years to come. What? I thought the AGW was immediate and dire and that we have to act yesterday! I read WWF’s position on the subject and see the list of additional requirements they tack onto any solution, from promoting small scale power supply and energy services (why should I care about this) to employment criteria requirements.
It won’t do.
TO Any AGW activists reading, get serious. Explain why anyone who is not already in your camp should take you seriously when you oppose the only realistic solution available to the problem you claim to care so much about. Either this or meet the rest of us halfway and lets talk about nuclear power.