Numbers released today by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center show that not only has July been abnormally cool in the USA, but so has 2014 in general. For the last 30 days, there have been 574 record highest temperatures in the USA, and 1,726 record lowest. A ratio of 3 to 1, indicating that July was very cool. But, the year so far has also been cool.
So far for the USA year to date, the numbers of record lows outpace the highs two to one.
This year, here have been been 12,644 daily record lowest temperatures versus 6,615 record highest temperatures in the USA, a ratio of 1.91 to 1.0.
For all types of high and low daily records for the year to date, there were 29,372 cold records versus 16,761 warm records, a ratio of 1.75 to 1.0
If all high and low daily record types are considered for the last 365 days, cold still outpaces warm. There are 46,712 cold records versus 36,650 warm records.
The ratios for monthly all time records also see cold records outpacing warm ones.
From the National Climatic Data Center:
The summaries below list the number of records broken for several recent periods is summarized in this table and updated daily. Due to late-arriving data, the number of recent records is likely underrepresented in all categories, but the ratio of records (warm to cold, for example) should be a fairly strong estimate of a final outcome. There are many more precipitation stations than temperature stations, so the raw number of precipitation records will likely exceed the number of temperature records in most climatic situations.
For all time records, cold and warm records are about evenly balanced for 2014, with 28 warm records year-to-date versus 32 cold records.
As mentioned earlier by NCDC recent records (30 days or less) are probably underrepresented.
Source: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records
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North of 43 and south of 44 says:
August 1, 2014 at 6:02 am
If at a little over +0.5 it was foretelling a nasty huge El Nino then when it has dropped 0.5 and is now slightly over 0.0 it is indeed headed for a La Nina that it hasn’t reached that point yet is immaterial. What is good for the goose and all that ..
We can play loose just like the flat earthers (those who believe in consensus always being correct).
_________________
Those are good points, but how is it playing loose to point out that instead of “heading for”, the ENSO meter hasn’t moved for several days? Maybe was heading for La Nina…
The great Bob Tisdale just pointed out a few days ago, that there was an unexpected build- up of warm water in the mid- equatorial Pacific and that there is still a chance of El Nino, I don’t have any idea what’s going to happen, but I listen to what Bob says, because he does. (It looks like the meter may have crept closer to zero, this morning.)
The safe money’s probably on Lee…
lee says:
July 31, 2014 at 8:01 pm
North of 43 and south of 44 says:
July 31, 2014 at 7:41 pm
Hey every one look —————————————>
ENSO Meter is headed to La Nina conditions.
————-
More like La Nada
William McClenney says:
July 31, 2014 at 9:31 pm
GHGs either can or cannot mitigate glacial inception. It is no more complicated or simple than that. Period.
a) If GHGs can get us over the next ~4,000 years of glacial inception risk, then why are we having this discussion at all?
b) If GHGs can’t vault us across the next ~4,000 years of glacial inception risk, then why are we having this discussion at all?
____________________
Fantastic write- up and great info, thanks!
With odds like that, I’m going with Sea Biscuit, in the 3rd.
Hey Ren, do you comment on winter forecasts this early?
http://firsthandweather.com/270/preliminary-2014-15-winter-forecast/
I cannot help but notice that these polar vortex follow the same contours of the ice age ice sheet.
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~dennis/Hartm.ice.new.gif
That’s my polar vortex stress disorder active…
We can’t let facts stand in the way of the NWO. Global governance is what is at stake here. How better excuse for global government than global warming? Can the little people stand up to the big power brokers? That is the question. It is only our freedom and way of life that is at stake.
Bob Barker says:
August 1, 2014 at 2:24 am
So let me get this straight… Record cold in the US means NOTHING but record hot in Siberia is a “new sign of changing weather patterns?”
To quote from the article you referenced …
“The average temperature in July is 13.6 but the mercury was touching 32C, a long way from the coldest-ever recorded temperature of minus 61C.
The previous hottest was 31.9C, more than three decades ago.”
WOW a 0.1C difference. “OH MY GOD”
Ed Martin
“Sunspot activity is also a factor that I often look into when I’m putting together a winter forecast. This is something that I will likely look into more when I’m putting together my final winter forecast in October, but generally, sunspot activity has been decreasing in recent months. In fact, we just had our first spotless day since 2011 just a few days ago. Winters tend to be colder when there is a lack of sunspot activity, so if this trend continues, that could be another variable that drives temperatures down across the United States this winter.”
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp30anim.gif
All of my 52 years in the same central Texas city. This is the coolest summer I can remember. No one in their right mind would expect a high of only 90 here on the first day of August.
Ed Martin
http://www.geomag.nrcan.gc.ca/images/field/fnor.gif
Bob Barker says:
August 1, 2014 at 2:24 am
====================================
Bob says that the world revolves around Norilsk, Siberia.
Ed Martin says:
I cannot help but notice that these polar vortex follow the same contours of the ice age ice sheet.
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~dennis/Hartm.ice.new.gif
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/GRTOFS/currents/GRtofs_Curr_Atl_03_Day_flash.shtml
Bob Barker says:
August 1, 2014 at 2:24 am
====================================
The sunbathers picture as taken at Lake Baikal (see caption) over 1000 miles away from Norilsk. Apparently it’s not only the American media that misrepresents the facts.
I was shocked yesterday, High of 74 at 4.p.m. in Plano, TX, Got to Denton at 5 p.m. and the car temp said 70, Bank temp said 69. Unheard of on the last day of July in Texas!!
Carbon dioxide, a gaseous plant metabolite, comprises 0.0038 of the atmosphere. Most of the man-made portion of this gas is made in China and Asia, thanks to free trade treaties. But the liberal elite and their progressive, patrician plutocrats want to foster a redistribution of wealth scheme, where they get a slice of every pie. The Wall Street plutocrats and DNC donors will obtain mandated Chartered monopolies to sell carbon ration cards at lucrative commissions. the non-elected Bolshevik bureaucrats will obtain capricious power and more tax revenue extorted from the waning productive elements of society. This pretext of saving the planet is jut a ruse and guise to implement Karl Marx’s dream of controlling the means of production by controlling the means of combustion. And the controllers will be those enlightened Platonic Philosopher kings and infallible high priests in an Anti-Christ religion in which Government is God.
[snip – policy violation. calls for violence .mod]
“Bob Barker says:
August 1, 2014 at 2:24 am
Ah Americans once again thinking that the world revolves around your country. Let’s put this in perspective shall we? Norilsk (a city in northern Siberia) just broke a record for the hottest summer temperature ever recorded. You can read about it here (bonus ladies in bikinis).
http://siberiantimes.com/ecology/casestudy/news/norilsk-breaks-records-for-arctic-heat-in-a-new-sign-of-changing-weather-patterns/
But don’t let reality get in the way of your Fox news fantasy world.”
The article is from July 24, 2013 Bob. Are you that deluded, or just a garden-variety troll?
Hm. I sit here typing this from St. Pete Beach, Florida…..Where I’m sitting outside wearing jeans and a long-sleeved (albeit lightweight) button-down shirt.
And I’m perfectly comfortable.
That’s assuredly not typical weather for northwestern Florida in August.
But, of course, global warming produces regional cooling. Or something. /sarc.
Bob Barker says:
August 1, 2014 at 2:24 am
Forecast for next Friday is high of 6 degrees C & low of one degree in Norilsk. Currently 36 degrees F.
Get current, Bob.
milodonharlani
The surface temperature.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=104.47,73.63,963
Got it, Ren, thank you! You live in Australia? We don’t hardly know anything about you. You are obviously heavy into weather, your links and analysis is super.
One of the most miserable places on earth where I live, seems like. Can’t make up its mind if it wants to hold glaciers or become a desert. Right now the glacial relics are healthy and thriving and the desert relics look a might peckish.
Plants Profile for Yucca arkansana (Arkansas yucca)
http://plants.usda.gov/core/profile?symbol=yuar2
Ozark Highlands of Missouri: Glacial relicts
http://allisonjvaughn.blogspot.com/2008/02/glacial-relicts.html?m=1
http://theozarkmountains.com/ozark_mountains.htm
Lunch is over, got to get back to work. Finally got all the new siding, doors, insulation, windows, etc… done on my house. But there’s nothing affordable that repels glaciers that I know of.
Dear mister Watts,
I assume that all these records are based on raw, non-“adjusted” data. Many of the warm records however should be adjusted for the UHI effect. That means the data should be adjusted downwards, and not upwards as the so-called climate-scientists are doing to keep the CAGW scare (and their own funding) alive. The problem is that we do not exactly know how much the data should be corrected downwards. What we do know is this: the UHI effect is the greatest during the night in big cities. In order to be able to understand at least some of the way the UHI effect influences these record numbers I suggest that we should make a distinction between temperature records that regard the day-time and those that regard the night-time temperature records. In my view it should appear then that the most of the high temperature records are established in big cities in the night time. Also there would be more low temperatures records that regard the day time maximum temperature and less that regard the night time minimum temperature. The UHI effect influences both high and low temperature records, but since night-time temperatures are effected more than day-time temperatures, the high temperature records should appear mostly during the nights and the low temperature records should appear mostly during the daytime. I think it is worth to investigate this further.
Ed Martin
Beautiful mountains and people close to nature. I am only an “urban shaman” and I live in Poland. I love Crazy Horse, as my countryman.
Ed Martin, this Polish glacial lakes. Masuria.
http://mazurycudnatury.org/index.php?id=3&L=0
After reading some of the posts, I immediately looked up the definition of Barking mad and found:
Barking mad
http://www.phrases.org.uk/meanings/barking-mad.html
Insane; intensely mad.
Origin
Barking: There are a couple of stories which link ‘barking mad’ with the east London suburb of Barking. One is that the phrase owes its origin to a medieval asylum for the insane which was part of Barking Abbey.
Can i make a suggestion..
All alarmists sprouting AGW nonsense should be known as Global Cooling Deniers.
ren says:
August 1, 2014 at 12:31 pm
Thanks. Yamal T is currently below average for this time of year.