UAH Global temperature update, not much change

UAH Global Temperature Update for June, 2014: +0.30 deg. C

By Dr. Roy Spencer

The Version 5.6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2014 is +0.30 deg. C, down slightly from May (click for full size version):

UAH_LT_1979_thru_June_2014_v5

The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 18 months are:

YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS

2013 1 +0.497 +0.517 +0.478 +0.386

2013 2 +0.203 +0.372 +0.033 +0.195

2013 3 +0.200 +0.333 +0.067 +0.243

2013 4 +0.114 +0.128 +0.101 +0.165

2013 5 +0.082 +0.180 -0.015 +0.112

2013 6 +0.295 +0.335 +0.255 +0.220

2013 7 +0.173 +0.134 +0.211 +0.074

2013 8 +0.158 +0.111 +0.206 +0.009

2013 9 +0.365 +0.339 +0.390 +0.190

2013 10 +0.290 +0.331 +0.249 +0.031

2013 11 +0.193 +0.160 +0.226 +0.020

2013 12 +0.266 +0.272 +0.260 +0.057

2014 1 +0.291 +0.387 +0.194 -0.029

2014 2 +0.170 +0.320 +0.020 -0.103

2014 3 +0.170 +0.338 +0.002 -0.001

2014 4 +0.190 +0.358 +0.022 +0.092

2014 5 +0.327 +0.325 +0.328 +0.175

2014 6 +0.303 +0.315 +0.290 +0.509

The global image for June should be available in the next day or so here.

Popular monthly data files (these might take a few days to update):

uahncdc_lt_5.6.txt (Lower Troposphere)

uahncdc_mt_5.6.txt (Mid-Troposphere)

uahncdc_ls_5.6.txt (Lower Stratosphere)

 

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Ed Barbar
July 1, 2014 11:57 am

Curious whether there is US only data?

Adam from Kansas
July 1, 2014 12:03 pm

Looking at the data, it seems like there was only a slight cooling in the northern and southern hemispheres, yet the tropics showed an impressive gain of nearly 0.35 degrees.
In theory, that should’ve been enough to spike the temperatures and show an apparent resumption in warming overall, but the global temperatures are down slightly.
So what exactly could’ve happened to offset enough of the tropical warming so as to actually show a tick down?

Doug
July 1, 2014 12:09 pm

UAH Global temaperture update
Need to fix the spelling before Realclimate makes it a headline.

July 1, 2014 12:11 pm

I should let you know that my global data set shows cooling at a rate of -0.014K/yr since 2000.
UAH results are also out compared to 4 other data sets:
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1987/to:2015/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2015/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1987/to:2015/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/to:2015/trend/plot/rss/from:1987/to:2015/plot/rss/from:2002/to:2015/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1987/to:2015/plot/hadsst2gl/from:2002/to:2015/trend/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/hadsst2gl/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/rss/from:1987/to:2002/trend/plot/uah/from:2002/to:2015/trend
So, out of a total of 6 data sets, UAH is the only one showing a warming trend. The other 5 all show that it is cooling.
Sorry, Roy. There must be something wrong with your sensors, too…..

yam
July 1, 2014 12:19 pm

Doug says:
“UAH Global temaperture update
Need to fix the spelling before Realclimate makes it a headline.”
Yes, let’s put an f-stop to that.

phlogiston
July 1, 2014 12:23 pm

That super el Nino is building to a terrifying crescendo.
(Not.)

July 1, 2014 12:27 pm

People are ingesting a dangerous official pollutant in carbonated soda drinks. There should be a warning label on all carbonated soda drinks indicating the content of CO2 and dangers of it.

alex
July 1, 2014 12:47 pm

aperture?
temaperture?

billg
July 1, 2014 12:47 pm

The data shown show a warming of the stratosphere which I thought was a no-no for AGW theory. But someone else says there are other datasets showing cooling. Where is found the definitive information?

JimG132
July 1, 2014 12:48 pm

I’m just a layman so maybe I am missing the obvious but why does the graph use a 13 month average (as opposed to a 12 month for example)?

mjc
July 1, 2014 12:49 pm

Don’t forget the warning labels for dihydrogen monoxide, too.

July 1, 2014 1:05 pm

The drop was not much. However with every month that is below the 1998 average of 0.419, it is that much harder to break a record. In the case of UAH version 5.6, the average after six months is 0.242. So to break a record in 2014, the average for each of the next six months needs to be 0.596. In other words, every monthly record from July to December needs to be smashed to set a record. The same applies to RSS.
However GISS is different. After five months, its average is an extremely small and statistically insignificant 0.001 C above its all time high average so it is in first place after five months.

July 1, 2014 1:06 pm

Coke and Pepsi should be regulated under the Clean Air Act just like coal fired power plants.

billg
July 1, 2014 1:09 pm

Sorry, getting late misunderstood heading for stratospheric temperature Must go to specsavers.

Editor
July 1, 2014 1:15 pm

Ed Barbar says: “Curious whether there is US only data?”
You’ll find the US data here in a few days:
http://www.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/t2lt/uahncdc_lt_5.6.txt
See the two columns that are 2nd and 3rd from the right.

Editor
July 1, 2014 1:23 pm

And for those who missed the preliminary June 2014 sea surface temperature update:
http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com/2014/06/30/preliminary-june-2014-sea-surface-temperature-sst-update/
Regards

Pete Olson
July 1, 2014 1:47 pm

Temaperture – that’s a pretty good one. That ‘a’ had to wander backwards three letters…

Ed Barbar
July 1, 2014 1:49 pm

Thanks Bob.

Adam from Kansas
July 1, 2014 2:18 pm

Bob; not exactly a sign of imminent cooling, but on the flip side this likely means another big burp of plant fertilizing Co2.
Is it more than coincidental then that we’re seeing another big Co2 burp and our cottonwoods and mulberries producing out of season, I’m by no means saying they started unusually early (the start being at the normal seasonal times), but more in the way in that they’re refusing to stop.
We’ve had cotton flying for at least 5 weeks now and the mulberries dropping for about the same period, this being the first time in my memory I can recall their production extending into July. I also don’t know if it’s due to the lack of a major heatwave, but our clematis plant has also decided it’s not going dormant this year and is instead continuing to produce a small trickle of flowers.
Over the last years, I can’t help but wonder if the Co2 levels are high enough now to produce an upwards step in productivity for the majority of plant life in most areas, it sure seems that way when we see an increasing trend of sections of trees becoming a brighter shade of green with larger leaves than the usual dark green (though we’ve also seen a negative impact from the recent drought in the form of tree death for some folks).

DirkH
July 1, 2014 2:26 pm

billg says:
July 1, 2014 at 12:47 pm
“The data shown show a warming of the stratosphere which I thought was a no-no for AGW theory. But someone else says there are other datasets showing cooling. Where is found the definitive information?”
That sounds like you don’t know
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/
Apologies if you do.

July 1, 2014 3:10 pm

Just an observation… European Space Agency has recently stated the surface temperature data is both “the worst indicator of global climate that can be used” and “the most accurate means of discerning the extent of global warming”. So is it the best or the worst? Looks like a difficult case of pausal communication problem syndrome.

jjs
July 1, 2014 3:13 pm

Coke and Pepsi should be regulated under the Clean Air Act just like coal fired power plants.
H2o should be regulated also since that is even a greater pollutant than co2. Let’s reduce the h2o by 30% in the atmosphere, that should save us all…god bless our government for all they do for us……

Jay Dunnell
July 1, 2014 3:50 pm

You can have my Coke when you pry it from my cold dead hands…

john robertson
July 1, 2014 4:20 pm

And the estimated average temperature is? In degrees C.
These anomalies are value free without the important value.
+0.3C from what?
With what error range on these “estimates”.
Yes consider me both surly and aggravating, but this value free comparison of a deviation from a moving average composed from data with an almost incurable number of problems, being used as a tool to facilitate the looting of me and mine, stinks.
Anomalies of 0.01 detail from data with error bars of??
1981-2010.

richard verney
July 1, 2014 4:30 pm

I tend towards the view that no data should be published without the error bandwidth ascribed to it, and an explanation as to why and how the error bandwidth is assessed.