The Working Group II IPCC report from the big shindig in Japan this week will be making headlines shortly, but take those headlines with a grain of salt.
Richard Tol Pulls Out, Says IPCC Draft Report Alarmist
One of the authors of a U.N. draft report on climate change pulled out of the writing team, saying his colleagues were issuing unfounded “alarmist” claims at the expense of real solutions.
“The drafts became too alarmist,” said Richard Tol, a Dutch professor of economics at Sussex University in England, to Reuters.
Mr. Tol was part of a team of 70 authors working on revisions to a U.N. report on climate change, to be issued in Japan on March 31. The final draft, which is the copy that Mr. Tol found objectionable, included findings that a warming global temperature will lead to disruption in food supplies and stagnating economies — and that coral reefs and lands in the Arctic may already have suffered irreversible damages, Reuters said.
“The report is a product of the scientific community and not of any individual author,” the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, said in a statement. “The report does not comprehensively represent the views of any individual.”
The U.N. agency also said Mr. Tol advised months ago of his reluctance to participate in the summary writing of the report. He had still been invited to Japan to help with its drafting, however, Reuters reported.
Mr. Tol said many of the other authors “strongly disagree with me,” but that he found the IPCC’s emphasis on climate change alarmism — and focus on risk — came at the expense of providing solutions for the world’s governments to adapt and overcome.
He said, for instance, farmers could grow new and different crops to offset any negative impacts from climate change that impacted food supplies.
“They will adapt,” Mr. Tol said, Reuters reported. “Farmers are not stupid.”
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Well, what else can we ( questioning the “agenda” ) expect – the warmists will NEVER back away from their agenda ! And the left of liberal media would never let them, even if they wanted to come clean.
Oh, yes, like the suggestion Australians should dump sheep and cattle, and farm kangaroos.
Richard Tol likely wants to avoid embarrassment if he is to be painted with the IPCC’s brush!!! Don’t atmospheric temperatures have to rise first? And pointing to the HadCRUT-4 numbers (vs HadCRUT-3) won’r work. See: http://www.colderside.com/Colderside/HadCRUT4.html
The pocket-liners are worried that the boondoggle will be all over if they don’t up the scares a tad.
They can’t afford to back down!
The Climategate revelations were the equivalent of a pin-prick in the skin of the great Zeppelin that is Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming. This revelation is a fist sized hole in the fabric. It won’t bring the monster down but the whole thing has lost its buoyancy and is isn’t flying as well as it used to.
We will never have the satisfaction of a spectacular ‘fireball’ moment…so we must just sit back enjoy these little triumphs as they come along.
Mann’s trial will be a sweet moment though.
Yes, just heard the scaremongering on the NZ television news. Increasing temperatures reducing farmers’ ability to produce crops, rising sea levels due to melting ice will inundate several waterside cities. Etc., etc. Even interviewed that charlatan Jim Salinger (of University of East Anglia infamy).
Excuse me while I just go and turn on all the house lights to oppose that anti-electricity Earth Hour!
There is nothing alarming if the nights at the urban areas of the Northerns hemisphere get a little warmer.
The ladders in the long term graphs (1880 – 2013) seem to be related to changes of the measurements like the loss of weather stations on Soviet Union.
Again, is expected to be strong snowstorm in South Dakota. Warning.
“The report is a product of the scientific community and not of any individual author,” the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, said in a statement. “The report does not comprehensively represent the views of any individual.”
That’s true.
It only comprehensively represents the hysterical mob.
‘Farmers are not stupid’ – and neither are the rest of us. The proposition that the earth is warming due to the production of CO2 generated at ground level by the burning of fossil fuels has been proven to be invalid, and the world at large is waking up to the con that has been perpetrated by a mostly political agenda..
“Mr. Tol was part of a team of 70 authors”
If my calculator is working right, that makes a 98% consensus
The report is a product of a selection of the scientific community, and not even necessarily a majority.
looks like they backslapping already
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-26802192
“There are chapters on human health, on food security and conflict, but also four chapters on how we can adapt to the effects.”
all the expertise of climate scientists? Is there nothing their expertise doesn’t cover? I know one climate scientist says to save the planet he doesn’t wash which is why he smells. So looks like the future is stinky?
“We’ve projected climate change impacts at different levels of temperature rise, at levels of 2C and 4C and now beyond,” said Dr Rachel Warren from the University of East Anglia, UK.
Projections from models? oh happy clappy goody goody. We humbly await these insights from the oracles of the beerosphere .
“We’ve also looked at how people and biodiversity can adapt to climate change. This notion of vulnerability is embedded in the concept of the report.”
vulnerability? yes lets talk about that rather than the prove predict standard of science.
“It becomes much more a question of figuring out what are the smart and effective things to do.”
like arresting anyone who disagrees?
Looks like they are building a gun. Hey Joe where you going with that gun in your hand.
Is there a list of the 70 ‘authors’ ?
The IPCC was established with an objective and that objective has not been reached yet.
The IPCC is gradually withdrawing. Considering the alternative, I say let them. They are never going to admit they have been wrong all along and, if we push them too much, they might yet screw us over even worse.
“will be making headlines shortly”
It’s already started.
There has been a crescendo of alarmist nonsense coming out from under the stones over the past week; presumably this is in anticipation of the ‘findings’ of the next IPCC report.
Amusingly, after being weak all last week European carbon futures went into free fall last Friday, down by 16.2%. Do the punters know something we don’t, perhaps in the upcoming IPCC report?
whatever the 70 wise ones do it will decontextualised from ice age cycles and inter glacial warming. It will be all about ‘the future’. ie eco utopianism
for the umpteenth time on various threads, i shall attempt to post the following:
MyBarackObama: Organizing for Action
Climate Change Action Event
(Climate Change — Action Event)
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will be releasing a 5-year study on climate impacts at the end of March. We will be visiting climate change deniers on April Fools Day to show them how foolish being a denier really is.
Time:
Tuesday, April 1, 2014 12:00 PM – 1:00 PM
Host:
Blair Lawton
Location:
In front of Rep. Paulsen’s Office (Eden Prairie, MN)
250 Prairie Center Dr
Eden Prairie, MN 55344
https://my.barackobama.com/page/event/detail/climatechangeactionevent/gs8fj4
As yet I have not seen any evidence that there is such a beast as climate science. There is weather forecasting which is pretty good out to four or five days; utterly pointless beyond that as is evidenced by the Met Office’s continuing debacles. There is Atmospheric physics to keep an eye on the soot; useful for me as an asthmatic. There is Oceanography + marine civil engineering (See the Netherlands for hints) We know that trends depend on La Nina/El Nino: PDO/AMO Jet Stream, etc. and are all reversible. We know from the evidence that there are no trends in Hurricanes, Storms, Rainfall, Tornados, Floods, on a global basis, Even a Congressman managed to work that out. We have no real idea if the temperatures are going up/ down or sideways on a global scale. We know some places are a bit warmer perhaps, some a bit cooler, more ice here, less ice there. We have no idea what sea temperatures really are or were. ( I was one of the people taking sea temperatures to the nearest degree in a bucket, now I see them repeated to me in three decimal places.) We think the sea level is rising or is the land sinking….choose your place. Add a foot to the levee every 50 years if you are that worried or stick your posh ocean front palace on stilts. So as far as I can see, climate science is a construct, based on no actual physical evidence. I have been around for a good few years and have yet to see anything in terms of weather, heat or storm that I have not seen before. The only consistent temperature records appear to be European Cities for 400 years plus which show no trend, and we are told they have to be adjusted because the observers were unable to read them properly through their animal skin hats. History gives us grapes in Yorkshire, farms in Greenland, a frozen Thames. Yet we are told to believe that that is flawed because some idiot astrologer is reading tree rings.
Quite frankly I am disgusted by so called climate science, with its constant parade of computer gamers, soaking up money that should be put in to cancer cures, food distribution and infrastructure in poor countries, education for girls, ( It is known that this is the best way forward in poor countries), fighting malaria, dysentery, HIV, The salary of one Climate scientist would buy enough Mosquito nets to save thousands of children from a lifetime with malaria. The amount of money that has been thrown at that charlatan Hansen would pay for miles of roadway, diesel and trucks to deliver aid to refugees in Somalia. The money spent on the Met office garbage grinder that cannot even tell us if it is a wet or dry summer should be spent on desalination plants in Gaza. I don’t need to go on, you get the drift.
My answer to global warming/climate change/climate/ disruption/chaos…whatever the hell this weeks buzz phrase might be, is DEAL WITH IT WHEN YOU SEE IT. There are 870,000,000 people in the world who are hungry today, (http://www.wfp.org/hunger/stats) , right now, and they really don’t give a rats ass what happens in 100 years time and nor do I.
Promoting apocalyptic claptrap is very lucrative, whether it is TV evangelists seeking a fundamentalist audience or people dressed up as scientists seeking the educated and self-declared progressive.
And even the ex-Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, is giving us his two-pennorth about the report. In the (UK) Sunday Telegraph he starts well by railing against ‘Climate Deniers’. What a wonderful Christian soul he is. I wonder if he sells indulgences. All I know is, he is getting slaughtered in the comments.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/10732121/Rowan-Williams-warns-of-climate-catastrophe.html
Why is a professor of economics co-authoring a report on the climate?
Well, that 98% alarmists have to follow the word of God’s representatives on Earth such as this one talking a load of drivel
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/10732121/Rowan-Williams-warns-of-climate-catastrophe.html
“Rowan Williams warns of climate catastrophe
The former Archbishop of Canterbury argues that Western lifestyles bear the responsibility for causing climate change in world’s poorest regions”.
It really is amazing how little he knows and yet he is not afraid of parading his ignorance.