Steve McIntyre has taken the time to create a well annotated and sourced timeline on the #spiritofmawson expedition.
He writes:
Like many others, I’ve been intrigued by the misadventures of the Ship of Fools. Dozens of tourist vessels visit the Antarctic without becoming trapped by ice. So it’s entirely valid to inquire into why the one tourist vessel led by a “climate scientist” became trapped by ice.
The leader of the expedition, Chris Turney (also a secondary Climategate correspondent and co-signer of Lewandowsky’s multisignatory letter in the Conversation), claimed that the incident could not have been predicted. He said that they were trapped by a sudden “breakout” of multi-year ice (“fast ice”) that had previously been part of the ice shelf and that there was no way that they could have anticipated this. Turney’s claim has been uncritically accepted by the climate community e.g. Turner of the British Antarctica Survey here.
However, like other recent claims by Turney, this claim is bogus. In fact, Turney was trapped by sea ice that had been mobile throughout December 2013. This can be easily seen by examining readily available MODIS imagery (see MODIS here) leading up to the incident, as I’ll do in today’s post.
Read it all here:
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Eli Rabett says at January 16, 2014 at 2:33 am
But Mawson was not caught in ice a century ago.
What has changed?
And why do the computer models not explain it?
And why do they predict the ice extent should actually be lessening?
And why would anyone not keep their powder dry over such a terrible blunder as the microwaved charcoal salesman’s dodgy tour guide show – are you that partisan?
Eli Rabett says:
January 16, 2014 at 2:33 am
Let me apply your logic to a comparable situation in Colorado Rockies, Eli.
Responder says: “Guy’s a moron. Went to the back country with his kids and a party of amateurs. Did not have the required equipment, did not have the right maps, did not understand how quickly the weather could turn and cut them off, disregarded people telling him a blizzard was coming and avalanche danger was high. Got stuck and called 911 on his cell phone. All the nearby mountain search & rescue agencies were called. They all dropped what they were doing and got out in a hurry but conditions got so bad they couldn’t get to him. Got stuck themselves for a while. Dispatch was working the incident around the clock for weeks; teams trying to get through the snow. The guy’s giddy the whole time, doesn’t get what a mess he got himself and others into. Says he’s there on a scientific mission. Finally the weather eased up a little but the only way to get them out was extraction by helicopter. Had to fly them to a collection area first before starting on getting them slowly out of the mountains. Pure luck there was no code black on this one. None of the agencies know yet who will cover the massive costs and everybody is pissed. Other work did not get done. As I said, a herd of fools.”
Eli says: “Getting stuck in Colorado’s back country is not unusual. Even one of the best-equipped professional search & rescue teams was stuck there recently. And a larger group with all the right gear got stuck there in 2009.
Of course, such inconvenient facts are not to be mentioned.”
Do you get what you said there? Do you think the guys who had to go in—or the people who will be stuck with the bills—would tell you to shove it where the sun don’t shine?
Revealing the Great Mystery:
Why sent the Russian Captain a distress call?
Why why got the Shokalsky free from the ice after the Climate-Aussies came off board?
SOLVING Nr 1.
We know since biblical times that the crew of heathen ships always asked the Gods who’s fault it was, when a misfortune arrived. Especially when the passengers were Prophets of change and doom, they just pushed them over board. Check the Book Jonah. Possibly the Russian tried to appease Nature by getting rid of them…..
SOLVING Nr 2.
The captain of the Shokalsky has as very tight schedule in his business as a regular shuttle for travellers, adventurers and hobby-scientists to Antarctica and back. Tomorrow on 17th January he will have his next drive to the way station in the Ross Sea (prices between 20000 to 30000 USD pp).
http://heritage-expeditions.com/trip/wake-scott-and-shackleton-17-january-2014/
As the AAExpetition had planned further research on various islands on the way back to NewZealand, he feared further disturbance though delayed departures, and used this opportunity to get rid of that plague, avoiding to loose the money of the dear paying guests on the next drive.
SOLVING Nr. 3.
In a metaphysical way, seekers of the holy grail and prophets of godly messages need some rectification and epiphany to get their words and stance right. Possibly in the same way like Jonah, wo was brought by the big fish on land an had to gain some experience and wisdom there, Turney & Cie will have to learn even more after they arrive there. And I think some of the expeditors will already have gone through some mind-change, or will do when they make a follow-up what’s written in the web and press about them…
BTW: Everytime when I read something about Turney and his Expedition, I expected something funny – and yes, it arrived straight. But even the first time when I heard it (in German Radio) I had to laugh about it, and it was an exiting holiday, because always something new followed (Most of it from WUWT). They are not yet at home, so the question is: What’s next?
J. Herbst says: @ur momisugly January 16, 2014 at 1:15 pm
….hey are not yet at home, so the question is: What’s next?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
The shower of turkey feathers from the welcoming crowds as they boo and hiss…
(Well I can dream can’t I? I did wish on Christmas that the warmists have a cold and snowy New Year and Ma Nature seems to have heard me.)
Another question to be asked or Turney (from Ernie or Dean), substitute ice for sand:
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8yI2A0QUtM]
This whole “Carbonscape” thing worries me. If I make charcoal in my microwave and I have done it a few times, am I breaching his patent? If yes, how did he get a patent in the first place.
Now as I understand it, making charcoal is cheap and very simple, burn a few sticks of wood to heat wood in an oxygen free retort. Very green, they want to burn wood to make power on a massive scale. But he uses electricity, at very high cost and unknown origin, to microwave wood to make charcoal that can and is done by very much cheaper and greener processes. Plus he gets huge funding to do it.
If he wants to lock up carbon, sell his charcoal to the compost makers to add into their mixes. Sell it to farmers as a soil fixer but produce it cheaply and from certified waste product.
Seems a Willis type investigation and expose is called for here that ties all these loose ends together.
Grey Lensman says:
January 17, 2014 at 1:47 am
This whole “Carbonscape” thing worries me. If I make charcoal in my microwave and I have done it a few times, am I breaching his patent? If yes, how did he get a patent in the first place.
———–
I think there is a difference: In a normal charcoal production, you will have left over only charcoal and tar, as some of the volatilas are burned. But by bringing the heat from outside (microwaves), you can collect everthing even the volatiles, which can be used for chemisty or varous products. And you can convert any plant matter or waste into charcoal powder.
If this business is paying for itself, thats another question. Maybe it was the idea to trap CO2 as carbon powder and dig it in the soil, just another kind of CCS. Maybe the Idea is todo this in change of CO2 emission rights… But The problem is:
You have to plant trees, or you have to get lots of waste to reduce CO2 from the atmosphere.
Everywhere plants or trees are grown for constuction and furniture or for energy. There is simply not enough area for additional biomass production. And even the waste is used already to a high degree, So this is just something to replace something which is already well established.
What I (and some others) do: I build houses out of massive wood, which will last for centuries. Its a good investment, and for those who like to store CO2 (which not means that I believe much in the role of CO2), yes it’s inside the walls and roofs of the house, for a long time.
Eli Rabett says:
January 16, 2014 at 2:33 am
“Getting stuck in Anarctic pack ice is not unusual.”
Getting rescued from Antarctic pack ice is however!