EPA, Climatology And The Courts: The Issue is Corrupted, Not Poor Science.

Guest essay by Dr. Tim Ball

Watts Up With That? (WUWT) recently reported on the submission of an Amicus Curiae application to the US Supreme Court (SCOTUS). It challenged the scientific legitimacy of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) actions to control CO2. Courts generally, but especially SCOTUS, will not involve themselves in scientific disagreements because they say they don’t understand the science. Most people, including me, don’t think the Court will hear the case. However, I believe there is an approach the Courts would entertain.

My presentation at the Heartland Climate Conference in Washington DC, spoke to the central problem and solution. A tenet common to science and the law that should not be violated is premeditation of an act. For example, in law there’s a clear distinction between murder and premeditated murder. Premeditation has absolutely no place in science; predetermined results are meaningless. It is inherent in the action of the IPCC as they attempted to prove rather than disprove the hypothesis that human CO2 is causing global warming. Scientists who tried to practice proper science and disprove the hypothesis were marginalized as skeptics and latterly deniers.

My comments evolve from experience with lawsuits on scientific issues. I know firsthand that courts at any level do not want to consider scientific disputes. From their perspective it is expressed in the vernacular as ‘your paper against my paper’. What’s needed is something that transposes the issue from a science to a legal argument.

There are three serious problems related to attempts to bring the EPA matter before the Supreme Court.

1. Science and technology are central to society as more and more legal cases develop that require judgment. As a Chair of committees on water management for an entire drainage basin or hazardous waste management for a large city I learned of the challenges to the law and lawyers of scientific conflict. I was aware of the problem because counseling students I realized most lawyers are Arts students. When I sought a lawyer for my legal cases I asked how well they had done in Taxation courses because I knew it is the one most lawyers fail first time round. It is increasingly untenable that the Supreme Court is unable to make judgments on scientific issues. Conflicts involving science will expand as environmentalism impinges across political boundaries for example. The public are increasingly aware of the problem the law faces when ‘experts’ present completely contradictory evidence. In addition, sadly, we learn of corrupted science in all fields everyday – it appears related to the post-modern approach exemplified by Greenpeace co-founder Paul Watson who said, It doesn’t matter what is true, it only matters what people believe is true. In politics, it is part of Saul Alinsky’s dictum in Rules for Radicals that the end justifies the means. These values were applied when climatology was adopted for a political agenda. It paralleled the use of consensus for a science issue when it mainly has application for politics.

2. I understand the EPA case against Massachusetts was determined under administrative law that gives bureaucracies a very powerful advantage. It appears the State of Massachusetts was guided into bringing the lawsuit that claimed the EPA were not performing their function of protecting the public from a “harmful substance” in order to get it to the Supreme Court. The EPA lost, deliberately in my opinion, which forced the appeal to the Supreme Court. This means the arguments EPA used in the Massachusetts case, about why they should not deal with CO2, very telling and important. In my opinion, they should be part of the argument against EPA’s actions. The Supreme Court ruled that the EPA must control CO2 as a harmful substance using administrative law. It was precisely the result the EPA wanted in order to bypass Congress. This ability to bypass elected representatives is increasingly the ploy of those who seek total control and unaccountability. Maurice Strong used it when he created the IPCC using the bureaucrats from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). As Mary McCarthy wrote, Bureaucracy, the rule of no one, has become the modern form of despotism.

3. The issue in the EPA case is not ‘your paper versus my paper’. The EPA accepted IPCC science completely, not because they realize its limitations, but because it suited their political agenda. Therefore, I believe the best chance of getting the case before the Supreme Court is to demonstrate that the IPCC results were premeditated and corrupted. Evidence should include the emails leaked from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU); the manipulation and malfeasance including the data and the models; and the vast difference and discrepancies between the IPCC Science Report and the Summary for Policymakers (SPM). The case then becomes ‘their corrupted paper against our paper’. The final blow in the argument must be that ‘their corrupted paper’ fails because the fundamental, inescapable, judgment of science is accuracy of prediction, (Feynman’s observation). The fact the IPCC changed from predictions to projections as early as 1995 because of failed predictions, confirms they knew the problems. They compounded this by leaving the public and especially the media to believe they were predictions.

The EPA chose the results of the IPCC for a political agenda. If they knew the results were wrong then their action was a deliberate deception. They can’t argue, like the Courts, that they don’t understand the science – it is their job to understand. If they didn’t know they are incompetent. What a wonderful irony to have the EPA political agenda defeated by the corrupt practices used to advance the IPCC political agenda.

Despite this, I wish the Amicus application well. I agree with the comments that at least they are trying to do something. Hopefully, if it fails it won’t reduce the opportunity for future applications to SCOTUS. The issue of misuse of science and the need for courts to understand science grows. The problem this creates are understood when you consider a SCOTUS that includes scientists. Which science discipline would you include? The evolution of climate science practiced by a collection of specialists in the generalist discipline of climatology illustrates the problem. It is a major reason why I decided to withdraw from participation in the Application.

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DavidCobb
December 19, 2013 6:07 am

Dodgy Geezer
The difference between science and pseudo-science is that science has an IDEA and looks at data for the truth. Pseudo-science has the TRUTH and looks for data.

Coach Springer
December 19, 2013 6:26 am

I completely understand the “your paper vs. my paper” concern about avoiding the litigation of scientists. The courts haven’t worked out an understanding – or even demonstrated an awareness of how that policy is exploited by the government just picking any paper it likes then getting the court’s blessing on that basis.

Doug Huffman
December 19, 2013 6:33 am

A compact narrative examination of the intersection of science and jurisprudence is in The Teaching Company’s Science Wars: What Scientists Know and How They Know it, a later section-lecture.
http://www.thegreatcourses.com/tgc/courses/Course_Detail.aspx?cid=1235

Dodgy Geezer
December 19, 2013 6:42 am

@DavidCobb
The difference between science and pseudo-science is that science has an IDEA and looks at data for the truth. Pseudo-science has the TRUTH and looks for data.
Hmm… that definition seems to say that scientists who believe fervently in their hypothesis are practicing pseudo-science. Yet the history of science, from Roger Bacon onwards, is full of researchers who fought passionately for their cause while the data were still poor – Wegener, for example.

Andrew30
December 19, 2013 6:46 am

” they say they don’t understand the science.”
I guess things like DNA, terminal ballistics and failure analysis are never mentioned in US Supreme Court.
They lie about the reason and run for cover.

jeff 5778
December 19, 2013 6:51 am

The court rules on the law. It is a legal matter for how the science is acted upon (discussion periods followed, authority to implement, etc.), not on whether the science is correct. Chevron deference has answered that question. Whether EPA can regulate fixed locations in the manner that they have chosen (changing the emission levels that qualify for regulation beyond the statute’s text) will be argued on February 24, 2014. I like the states chances.

Katherine
December 19, 2013 6:53 am

Did Anthony write that article? It doesn’t sound like him, but there’s no guest blogger listed.

Mervyn
December 19, 2013 7:06 am

About science and the Courts. The Courts seem to deal with the science at it pleases them.
British HIgh Court judge, Mr Justice Burton (Sir Michael Burton), had no problems considering the ‘science’ in Al Gore’s film, ‘An Inconvenient Truth’. Burton achieved what even The Royal Society, the UK Met Office, the BBC and even The Guardian could not achieve … finding nine major errors in the film.
On the other hand, New Zealand HIgh Court Judge, Geoffrey Venning, seemed uninterested in ruling on a relatively simple case brought by The New Zealand Climate Education Trust, that legally challenged the temperature data of New Zealand’’s National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), which had been inexplicably adjusted to create a warming trend. Venning claimed the HIgh Court was not competent to rule on questions of science. His bizarre decision was probably more to do with him not wanting to jeopardise his business interest with his forest company (Tahacopa) registered under the NZ Emissions Trading Scheme to sell carbon credits for profit (a blatant conflict of interest that should have excluded him from hearing the case in the first place). Ruling against NIWA would have represented a declaration that NZ’s global warming was non-existent and NIWA’s data was fraudulent.
It will be interesting, therefore, to see what approach the US Supreme Court adopts in relation to this EPA case.

DavidCobb
December 19, 2013 7:44 am

Dodgy Geezer
It’s a pity that science is done by humans and we don’t know how much we don’t know.
Science works the same way as the law. “Preponderance of evidence” doesn’t care how much you believe. Ask the fervent believers in phlogiston.

john robertson
December 19, 2013 8:01 am

Human nature has not changed, the greeks coined the label Kleptocracy, in the same period they gave us democracy.
This is the nature of the bureaus, the blatant dishonesty of the EPA, the backdoor law fare, is evidence they have existed well past their best before date.
There is nothing more destructive in a free society, that a bureaucracy without a purpose.
The rest button needs pushed, system failure is well underway.Reboot or crash.
Congress must act, as taxed enough already is morphing to enough already.

Paul
December 19, 2013 8:03 am

Hmmm. The EPA doesn’t understand the science either, but it is allowed to do whatever it wants in its name. But the courts must remain silent.

December 19, 2013 8:12 am

People looking to the federal courts for a solution to out of control bureaucracy need to recognize that the courts are a very large part of the problem, being pretty much out of control themselves.

jeff 5778
December 19, 2013 8:15 am

“Hmmm. The EPA doesn’t understand the science either, but it is allowed to do whatever it wants in its name. But the courts must remain silent.”
Well no. That is the point of the case to be argued in February. By definition, the court cannot remain silent.

Dodgy Geezer
December 19, 2013 8:29 am

@DavidCobb
…It’s a pity that science is done by humans and we don’t know how much we don’t know.
Science works the same way as the law. “Preponderance of evidence” doesn’t care how much you believe. Ask the fervent believers in phlogiston…

Hmm… now you’re confusing me even more.
…It’s a pity that science is done by humans ..
Science HAS to be done by humans. It’s how we get to understand nature. If we were gods, for instance, we wouldn’t need to do science to understand things.
… Science works the same way as the law. “Preponderance of evidence” doesn’t care how much you believe…
Er… ‘evidence’ is VERY much about belief. One human might accept one thing as evidence, another may not. Evidence is NOT a definitive absolute – it depends crucially on individual humans, and general society’s, acceptance of it.
The key point about science, and the differentiator between it and other human decision-making processes, like law, is its predictive ability. I guess, or believe, that the earth is flat – that’s reasonable science, as far as it goes. I gather some evidence for it – that’s good science. I make a prediction based on that belief, supported by evidence. And that is where I would have a problem.
Similarly, that’s where the IPCC and its adherents are having problems.

gcapologist
December 19, 2013 8:36 am

Who wrote this posting?
REPLY: Tim Ball, for some reason that didn’t make it into the posting. Fixed now. Anthony

Box of Rocks
December 19, 2013 8:54 am

Folks:
I see a snow balls chance of the EPA being reigned in.
What will see is a 5 – 4 with the progressives winning – but not on the merits.
What we need to look at the dissenting opinion(s). They should provide us with a road map forward on how to proceed and what arguments to us.
At some point in time the courts will have to rule on the science the question is how long with dodge the issue?

BernardP
December 19, 2013 8:55 am

The faith in Global Warming and its other appellations will continue to drive US policy as long as the President is a Believer and appoints people to do his bidding.
The ultimate question is: Will there be a US presidential candidate who will openly say that he doesn’t believe the purpoted science behing AGW theory is sound?

December 19, 2013 9:11 am

Well said, Dr. Ball. The judgment of science is accuracy of prediction but climate models don’t make them. Through applications of the equivocation fallacy, climatologists have dressed up the projections of the climate models to look like the predictions that they don’t make. This deception leaves these climatologists liable for damages in civil suits.

Gail Combs
December 19, 2013 9:36 am

One of the problems people keep missing is the USA ALREADY signed the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change treaty in June 1992 and ratified it in October of 1992 under Bill Clinton. This gives the EPA the upper hand in anything they do in regards to CO2, greenhouse gases and climate change.
Direct from the EPA

EPA supports the United States’ international partnerships to address the global challenge of climate change.
As a party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the United States is committed to working with the international community to promote the convention’s key objective: stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that prevents dangerous human-induced interference with the climate system. The United States is actively engaging with the international community to find solutions and promote global cooperation on climate change.
EPA participates in bilateral (two-country) and multilateral (more than two-country) partnerships, providing leadership, technical expertise, and capacity building support. Below is a list of the main international climate initiatives that EPA supports….
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/EPAactivities/internationalpartnerships.html

So in other words the EPA ALREADY has the blessings of the US Congress in their attempts to completely destroy regulate the coal industry and any other industry that produces greenhouse gases.
This includes :

Global Methane Initiative
The Global Methane Initiative (GMI) advances cost-effective, near-term CH4 recovery and use as a clean energy source in five sectors: agriculture, coal mines, landfills, oil and gas systems, and municipal wastewater facilities. These projects reduce CH4, a potent greenhouse gas, and provide additional environmental and economic benefits such as: stimulating local economic growth, creating new sources of affordable alternative energy, improving local air and water quality, and increasing industrial worker safety….

We are two decades too late. All the ducks are in a row for the other side and about the only thing that will stop the complete destruction of the US economy is an abrupt descent into a little or big ice age within the next few years although that will get blamed on us too since CAGW has already been morphed into Climate Change.
The only thing preventing the signing of a new Kyoto type Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change is China’s ‘You First’ Stance in Climate Treaty Talks
http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/11/22/a-closer-look-at-chinas-you-first-stance-in-climate-treaty-talks/?_r=0
Time to start taking those lessons in Mandarin…..

Reply to  Gail Combs
December 19, 2013 10:32 am

@Gail Combs – good to see a post from you. Sorry if I missed some of your posts recently.

Sun Spot
December 19, 2013 10:07 am

@Dodgy Geezer and @DavidCobb
Science is only a methodology, nothing more. This methodology gives us DATA about an idea (hypothesis), this data positive or negative imparts little if any knowledge about the idea until it is integrated into the human condition. After this integration we have knowledge and sometimes wisdom.
The saying “You can have your own opinion but not your own facts” is a misnomer that deliberately obfuscates, it should read “You can have your opinion about the data but not your own data”.
My opinion integrated from a number of scientists data and writings/opinions about climate/CO2 is that there is nothing catastrophic in our future climate due to CO2 and nothing unprecedented in our current climate.

Zap
December 19, 2013 10:17 am

I suggest that if anyone wants to know what our government is really all about, that they read…Tragedy and Hope by Carroll Quigley.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tragedy_and_Hope
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carroll_Quigley

Dodgy Geezer
December 19, 2013 11:02 am

@Sun Spot
Indeed, Science is, as you say, ‘only a methodology’. The saying about ‘not your own facts’ is a bit of a cliché – it simply implies that someone is making up the data. (Which the IPCC researchers are doing as well, but we’re not accusing them of that at this point!)
The interesting point about the ‘IPCC researchers’ is where they are misusing that methodology – in a word, ‘corrupting the science’. I hold that it is correct to make a ‘premeditation’ that CO2 causes global warming – that there was evidence which could be adduced to support this, but that there is also more recent evidence which contradicts this, and that the ‘IPCC researchers’ are not applying the methodology properly by failing to look for contradictory evidence.

Toto
December 19, 2013 11:27 am

I know firsthand that courts at any level do not want to consider scientific disputes. From their perspective it is expressed in the vernacular as ‘your paper against my paper’.

And they are right. If the experts in the scientific fields involved can’t agree, how could they be expected to solve the science for them? Corruption of process on the other hand is something they can relate to. Thanks to whoever exposed Climategate. Follow the corruption.

Gail Combs
December 19, 2013 11:28 am

Zap says:
December 19, 2013 at 10:17 am
I suggest that if anyone wants to know what our government is really all about, that they read…Tragedy and Hope by Carroll Quigley.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I will add to that that Carroll Quigley was Bill Clinton’s mentor. Clinton was responsible for the signing of not only the climate treaty but WTO and NFTA, the five banking laws that set up the foreclosure mess, and the transfer of US technology and military secrets to the Chinese. link
Clinton also signed the Biodiversity Treaty but was not able to get it ratified after it was made clear to Congress that the treaty would confine Americans to small areas (shown in green) within the USA. MAP Listing of other bills and laws with similar goals link
Synopsis of Clinton’s agenda link. I have not had the time to vet the info and trace the quotes back to the original but she goes to the essence of the Climate treaty in just a couple of sentences.
“Third Way” and “Interdependence” are key phrases to also look at. An excellent essay on the “Interdependence” controversy is Dale C. Copeland, “Economic Interdependence and War: A Theory of Trade Expectations,” International Security, Vol. 20, no.4 (Spring 1996)
Excerpts of Carroll Quigley’s books:
http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/Banks/Tragedy_Hope_excerpt.html
http://www.thirdworldtraveler.com/New_World_Order/Anglo_American_Estab.html
It occurs to me that one of the reasons for linking those who see CAGW as a hoax with an agenda to ‘Conspiracy Nuts” is those pushing the UN’s Cause need to keep the true agenda, Global Governance, under wraps for a while more.

Neo
December 19, 2013 11:33 am

Gail Combs says:
December 19, 2013 at 9:36 am
One of the problems people keep missing is the USA ALREADY signed the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change treaty in June 1992 and ratified it in October of 1992 under Bill Clinton.

Bill Clinton hadn’t been elected yet in October of 1992.