UAH v5.6 Global Temperature Update for Nov. 2013: +0.19 deg. C
by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
The Version 5.6 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for November, 2013 is +0.19 deg. C, down from +0.29 deg. C in October (click for full size version):
The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 11 months are:
YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS
2013 01 +0.496 +0.512 +0.481 +0.387
2013 02 +0.203 +0.372 +0.033 +0.195
2013 03 +0.200 +0.333 +0.067 +0.243
2013 04 +0.114 +0.128 +0.101 +0.165
2013 05 +0.082 +0.180 -0.015 +0.112
2013 06 +0.295 +0.335 +0.255 +0.220
2013 07 +0.173 +0.134 +0.211 +0.074
2013 08 +0.158 +0.111 +0.206 +0.009
2013 09 +0.365 +0.339 +0.390 +0.189
2013 10 +0.290 +0.331 +0.250 +0.031
2013 11 +0.193 +0.159 +0.227 +0.018
Popular monthly data files (these might take a few extra days to update):
uahncdc_lt_5.6.txt (Lower Troposphere)
uahncdc_mt_5.6.txt (Mid-Troposphere)
uahncdc_ls_5.6.txt (Lower Stratosphere)
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lsvalgaard says:
December 3, 2013 at 4:41 pm
it seems to me that ‘the pause’ we have now is no different [except for level] from the pause we had 1979-1996….
++++++
Hi Dr Svalgaard: I know your answer, but have to ask. Does that statement imply then that in 2016, we will have a super El Nino? Had to ask. My bet is NO and that the temperature continues to slog along with a slight downward trend. I know – I know -the value of my bet and 50 cents will not even buy you or me a cup of coffee.
Well there’s El Nino And La Nina,
Children should have Pas.
Mas too.
As in “no mas” warming
SteveP says:
December 4, 2013 at 9:16 am
“in California where I live, you are right 98% of the time 🙂 ].”
And in Ireland you are right 0% of the time…. 🙂
In that case, prediction is easy: you just say the opposite
Mario Lento says:
December 4, 2013 at 5:41 pm
Does that statement imply then that in 2016, we will have a super El Nino?
I have no idea. Perhaps ask some of the many soothsayers around here…
lsvalgaard says:
December 4, 2013 at 6:29 pm
Mario Lento says:
December 4, 2013 at 5:41 pm
Does that statement imply then that in 2016, we will have a super El Nino?
I have no idea. Perhaps ask some of the many soothsayers around here…
++++++++++
Agreed (though I don’t want to use the term soothsayers). as I’ve heard many convincing arguments that we’re headed towards a cessation of warming for quite some time. If I had to bet – and I guess I did, I’d bet on slight cooling over the next few decades over warming in that time frame.
Mario Lento!
HOW ARE YOU? After I screamed that I had been “‘praying my head off” for you last week or so, ……….. silence.
You could answer cryptically, you know. Well, keep the rubber side down and always use Chevy engines they are waaaay better than those oil-burning Fords, lol. And, I’ll bet you’d be more aptly named “Mario Rapido,” hm?
Take care,
Janice
Janice – I replied to your posts saying that I was in Jamaica on vacation and I described my passing the stress test – but also found that I have prolapsed mytro valves in my heart. No biggy I have had that since I was born from what I was told.
Can you look back on your posts to me and search from responses? I do not want to post on my personal stuff on this science blog as it dilutes the science content. my email is mariolento@gmail.com
Janice: Search for Mario on this WUWT post… my answer is fully and lovingly posted there 🙂
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/11/22/excerpts-from-salbys-slide-show/#comment-1488950
Mods – I apologize ahead of time for posting based on Mario rapido and reference to Chevy Engines. But I could not resist. Here’s a post of me driving a Chevy Engine at Sonoma Raceway… https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-HmiryaMHMs.
No more nonsense from me after this 🙂
We should get Dr Who to scan the earth with his sonic screwdriver and convert all the temperatures on earth into a single temperature that we can all experience.Dr Who could also convert his machine that goes ding for the IPPC to replace their computer models of future global temperatures,it would go ding everytime humanity burned fossil fuels.The computer models are stable to movement downwards in global temperatures they can only go up ,you could not get a computer model to predict global cooling because the assumptions are that climate sensitivity is constant and that energy flowing through the atmosphere is constant(none of the models predict cooling).
donald penman says:
December 4, 2013 at 7:14 pm
++++++++++
brilliant metaphoric commentary
@ur momisugly Mario Rapido — Wow. My eyes are so green with envy right now….. oooooo, man! That looked like SO MUCH FUN. My heart is racing from “being there.” I drive as fast as I can wherever I go — why? Because it is fun! My joy in life is being the first at a red light on a 60mph road (in a fast car) so I can have the joy of accelerating. Favorite part of a plane ride? Take-off!!!
That rise in the track just before it takes a left turn shows you sure need to know that track if you want to go all out. That engine sounded super-fantastic. OH, MAN I WISH I COULD DO THAT. Thanks for sharing.
So glad to hear that you checked out A-OK. LOL, “Yes, dear patient, your prescription is to stay inebriated.” “Thanks, doc!” Oh, I’m just sure your wife LOVED that, lol.
Okay. No more fun stuff (what do you MEAN “science is fun,” okay, okay, it is sometimes).
Take care (and thank you for your empathy),
Janice
[The mods pick Janice’s hair bow up off of side of road. (Speculate it was sucked off by the vacuum of air going over top of red convertible.) …. Mod]
Why do we not measure air temperature above the open water and compare it with the Sea Surface Trend? Water can get warm and emit heat or retain it. Wouldn’t it be helpful to know if the heat was going in, coming out or staying neutral? Granted, not the most practical exercise, but maybe Bill Gates can use his hurricane stopping boats for something useful now?
Janice: I am an instructor, coach and have a competition race license… if you are ever in Northern CA, let me know, and I will find a way to get you on the race track for a thrill ride in one of the advanced groups. I can drive pretty much any track without paying since I do so much “pay it forward” work with teens, and new drivers for many race clubs. My wife can’t take the speed and g forces… I get adrenaline vicariously from my passengers. I never speed on the road anymore… it’s not safe 🙁
Thanks, Mario Lento. I’ll keep it in mind. But, really…. I don’t want a ride, I want to drive!
#(:))
lol, Mod, how did you know it was red? It is also ….. a 1969 Camaro with a 427 and a Tremec 5-speed AND Flowmasters! “In your dreams,” retorts Mod. Yup! You guessed that right, too (smile).
@Janice (and mods) Very good guess! It’s actually a red tube framed chassis, with Jerico tranny, Detroit locker rear end, 2800# and 630hp. The fiberglass body is a 2012 Camaro:
That’s me getting out of the #96car – and a blurb written about my experience with the team. Since I could not get my competition license medical renewed by that time, I only got to drive it in Super Unlimited Time Trials. I took 2nd place both days.
Link here: http://lifesgoodracing.com/active.php
Thanks for sharing, Mario Lento. Sigh. Someday…….. SOME — DAY!
Oh, and, congrats on your two 2nds!
Try the woodfortrees.org interactive tool, and make the data UAH, and process it with from: (choice of date by year with decimal) and linear trend (OLS). Let’s see how many years ago can become the start time of a non-rising linear trend to now.
I tried this a week or 2 ago, and got results very different from RSS – which was used to support duration of the current hiatus being 17.1 years. I have yet to find a complete hiatus, ending at latest or 2nd-latest monthly datum, even half that long in UAH. If anyone finds such a thing, please post it, including a woodfortrees.org link that includes reference to the processings. And please e-mail that to me at don@donklipstein.com.
pause? what pause?
the graph shows a perfect intact channel.
and it is rising.
steveta_uk said:
“Jim, I have a DVD player. The remote control has a “pause” button. When I press it, the DVD stops playing. There is nothing that forces me to press “play” ever again. I can turn off the machine, remove the disk, whatever, The “pause” buttion implies nothing whatsoever about what happens next.”
You have foolishly proved my point for me! The fact is that if you want to pause the play, rather than stop it, you press pause. The button is purely there for you to pause, implying that you know the future state and wish to continue. Otherwise you’d press stop. But we don’t know the future state of the climate, so it isn’t a pause. Do you understand that now? Or would you like me to get a five year-old to explain it to you? Jeez!
It’s arguable that it is “perfectly” intact. Depending on the aspect ratio, etc. of the chart, the lower trend line has either been violated or is about to be.
We need some sustained negative anomalies like 2008.
Wrong. They’re exactly the same. “In a 2009 report, the UN projected it would cost the world economy about $76 TRILLION over the next 40 years to keep CS below 2C… “