Carbon soot gets blame for Arctic Ice Melt:
Oil industry and household stoves speed Arctic thaw
Gas flaring by the oil industry and smoke from residential burning contributes more black carbon pollution to Arctic than previously thought — potentially speeding the melting of Arctic sea ice and contributing to the fast rate of warming in the region.
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A crisis for the credibility of IPCC:
Governments footing the IPCC bill are demanding 1,500 changes to the upcoming Fifth Assessment Report. Why? Because report is not explaining the apparent pause in warming.
Crisis meeting to be held later this month.
h/t to Jack Simmons
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National Geographic botched statue of liberty cover prompts a letter to the President and CEO about “planetary smut”:
Dear Mr Fahey
As an expiring subscriber let me convey the profound dismay in regards to the inane publication you have the opportunity to direct. With a little thank you though, for some aspects of the September 2013 “rising seas” issue are unlikely what you expected them to be.
After decades of uninterrupted reading I gave up a few months ago, having seen the Magazine slide (fall) from its geography mission to open, fear-based “environmental” advocacy (with a lowercase “e”). It seemed and still seems there is no low you would avoid to reach in order to describe the planet or mostly cute species as either ultimately doomed or irremediably ruined: by evil humans, obviously, including one suspects all of your readers.
http://omnologos.com/national-geographic-sep-2013-what-kind-of-house-would-want-it-in/
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LOL! The Sks kidz think a searchable database of climategate emails represents a “blacklist”.
Mother Of All Blacklists: #climate deniers build database of 25,000 scientists & 'persons of interest' http://t.co/J9tvsrw427 H/T @bencubby
— Skeptical Science (@skepticscience) September 10, 2013
See for yourself here: http://tome22.info/
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Imploding:
World Bank Climate Science funding collapses:
http://www.thegreenmarketoracle.com/2013/09/the-world-bank-declining-climate-change.html
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Hurricane season has been a dud despite dire forecasts
The preseason predictions were all dire, using words like “extremely active” and “above-normal” to describe the forecast for the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted that seven to 11 hurricanes would form, while AccuWeather predicted eight.
However, the season so far has been a welcome if unexpected dud, with not a single hurricane yet through the first week of September. (A typical full June-November hurricane season, based on weather records that go back to 1950, has seven hurricanes.)
In fact, the season is about to enter record territory for its unusual lack of hurricanes.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2013/09/07/quiet-hurricane-season/2776845/
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New consensus: Now that the Arctic isn’t ice-free, it turns out that nobody is willing to stand behind those ice-free predictions of a few years ago
Global cooling? London newspapers scuffle over climate change in the Arctic | Alaska Dispatch
The conservative Mail also mocked a prediction made six years ago by scientist Wieslaw Maslowski, a researcher at the U. S. Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, Calif., who forecast ice-free Arctic seas as early as this year.
That’s more cherry-picking, said Scambos.
That was a single prediction by one scientist and “it got amplified out of proportion to what the majority of scientists were saying,” Scambos said. “Some skeptics would have all of us live with this prediction, but in fact very few people stepped up to back that prediction when it was made.” [Which climate scientists stepped up to disagree with that high-profile prediction?]
COPENHAGEN – Al Gore’s citation of a scientist predicting an ice-free Arctic within a decade appears to have been accurate. It appears the scientist Gore cited, Dr. Wieslav Maslowski, did in fact make this prediction and it was published on December 2, 2009 by the Danish Climate Centre, lending support to Gore’s claim that the “figures are fresh.”…Dr. Maslowski essentially threw Gore under the bus
Yes, Maslowski predicted just two years ago that the Arctic could be ice-free by 2013…
h/t to Tom Nelson
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Zeke grapples with reality:
“What is clear is that there is still much we don’t understand about the many different factors impacting Earth’s climate system, especially over periods as short as a decade”
Examining the Recent Slow-Down in Global Warming | The Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media
Zeke Hausfather, a data scientist with extensive experience with clean technology interests in Silicon Valley, is currently a Senior Researcher with Berkeley Earth
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“Governments footing the IPCC bill are demanding 1,500 changes to the upcoming Fifth Assessment Report. Why? Because report is not explaining the apparent pause in warming.”
The IPCC responds and says, “Pause? What pause?”
Goodness me.
I thought that the ‘apparent pause in warming’ had been long ago explained by Trenberth as a “travesty”: surely that is sufficient explanation for governments and their taxpayers’ wallets?
Suggested definition:
travesty : a term used in climate ‘science’ to define where a weak hypothesis together with its inadequate computer ‘modelling’ has diverged from observed reality.
Rob Dawg says:
September 10, 2013 at 1:37 pm
Rob,
What a wonderful idea!
This sounds like another Christo project.
http://www.overtheriverinfo.com/
This could all be privately funded. Christo is always careful to clean up after himself. He’s an ‘artsy craftsy’ sort of person with an apparently large following. People would just flock after a project withe this scale, noble purpose, and artsy approach. Think of all the thousands of people who would volunteer to help on this project, unemployed college graduates, retired folks looking for something to do, members of the various Occupy groups, etc. During the project people could facebook about their impressions of how awful the mess mankind has gotten itself into and we’re here ‘to make a difference.’ Encounters with polar bears would be instructive.
Great idea Rob!
And what happens when all the Polar Bears and whales and Turtles and Dolphins etc , Ingest the reflective particles??? THEY DIE from the toxic coating , But it’s all Global Warming’s fault.
Gunga Din says:
September 10, 2013 at 2:14 pm
I’ve generally heard the original record as the one referenced. It would be interesting to see if people report the most recent instance for heat records and the earliest for cold records.
Perhaps for ties they should write something like 96°F(3X) as the actual years aren’t so informative as they are for single instance records.
Ric Werme says:
September 10, 2013 at 6:17 pm
_______________
We’ve seen so much mendacity from the ‘heaters’ that they no longer get any benefit of the doubt… of course they will misrepresent references to temp records. For them, it’s a simple matter of course.
Mr. Morabito,
I wrote a similar letter a few weeks ago, but to the National Geographic Forum instead. I think your approach will likely be more effective, but whatever way it is done I would suggest to any other long-term subscribers to National Geographic who are also fed up with their activist alarmism to let your voices be heard. My follow-up post for a more likely outcome by the year 25,550.
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That thought occurred to me also but I don’t want to assume it actually does happen that way now in an effort to give the illusion of a hockey stick without knowing what the common practice is compared to what it was before the AC was shut off in that hearing room.
I don’t know the answer.
Sooooo, what exactly happens to Carbon soot once it melts it’s way all the way through the ice?
Do we have a study for that yet?
I believe the Telegraph may have grabbed the wrong end of the “crisis” stick here!
The meeting at the end of this month was scheduled long ago. And, to the best of my knowledge, on May 22, governments were sent copies of the “Final Draft” of the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) along with the “invitation” and agenda for the Sept. 23-26 WGI Session (which IPCC members are invited to attend and which is to be followed immediately by a scheduled plenary Session of the IPCC to rubber-stamp whatever gets decided in the WGI Session).
At this stage, notwithstanding the “leaks”, we can only speculate on the actual content of the SPM – not to mention the underlying “technical summary” and the 14 Chapter actual report!
Not sure where the demand for “1,500 changes” came from, though. Perhaps it was inferred by someone who has seen the actual comments noted in the IPCC’s publicly posted “Fact Sheet for Working Group I” which noted that “1855 comments [had been received] from 32 Governments”.
Consequently, IMHO, the result of the meeting may well turn out to present a “crisis” for the movers and shakers at the IPCC (Pachauri, Stocker and others dedicated to “the cause”!)
But, AFAIK, the meeting itself is not a “crisis” meeting – assuming that by “crisis meeting” the writer at the Telegraph meant previously unscheduled.
Greenland temperature record 2013 approved:
http://www.dmi.dk/nyheder/arkiv/nyheder-2013/9/259-grader-paa-groenland-var-rekord/
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/08/10/how-not-to-measure-temperature-part-94-maniitsoq-greenland-all-time-high-temperature-rescinded/
Idiot:
“”UPDATE Dr. Richard Keen adds in comments:
All this discussion of a degree or two is a moot point, since even the “nearly 80 degrees”, i.e. 79F, is still 7 degrees short of the record high for Greenland.
That honor belongs to Ivigtut, down on the southern tip of Greenland (probably not far from Maniitsoq), where it was 86F (30.1C) sometime before 1940. This record is published in:
Climates of the World, in Climate and Man – Yearbook of Agriculture, US Dept of Agriculture, 1941
reprinted in:
Climates of the World, US Dept. Commerce, 1969
and even in Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivittuut
So you know it’s valid.
I don’t know the exact date of the record, but suffice it to say it’s before 1940, which explains why the DMI chose to use records starting in 1958. After all, Greenland weather records go back to 1784 (Vinther et al., Extending Greenland temperature records into the late eighteenth century, JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 111, D11105, doi:10.1029/2005JD006810, 2006). It’s a common ploy for the Warmers to act as though climate started in 1958, when Keeling starting recording CO2 on Mauna Loa, or 1947, when the PDO went cool, or 1970, when Arctic temperatures bottomed out, to get their upward trends.””
Yeah – let’s spend trillions of our children’s’ cash on 0.4C
“Zeke grapples with reality:
“What is clear is that there is still much we don’t understand about the many different factors impacting Earth’s climate system, especially over periods as short as a decade”
Examining the Recent Slow-Down in Global Warming | The Yale Forum on Climate Change & The Media”
A standstill is a slowdown?
Why are all the wamists Orwellian liars?
Have they all been abused as children like Richard Dawkins?
What’s Wrong with these people?
From Zeke: “Total ocean heat content has increased by around 170 Zettajoules since 1970, and about 255 Zettajoules since 1955….if the same amount of energy had gone into the lower atmosphere it would of caused about 36 C (nearly 65 degrees F) warming!
Since no-one has ever suggested that – without an ocean heat sink – AGW would produce a 36 degree increase in surface temperatures, the extra heat cannot be down to us. Where did it all come from?
Didn’t know where to post this but hope this is appropriate enough.
“Esa’s Cryosat mission observes continuing Arctic winter ice decline”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23964372
So now I’m really confused. I’ve seen the graph of Arctic ice increasing vastly over last year, but the BBC and ESA claim a decline. It’s volume vs extent but…… hey. What’s going on here?
RCM, They’re using a March/April time frame. As I understand it, this summer is not only seeing a big increase in the amount of first year ice surviving the summer, but a big increase in the second year ice as well. Therefore the ice thickness next March/April should be up considerably over this past March/April. To get their “decreasing trend”, they’re just using a three year comparison with an endpoint influenced by the extreme 2012 melt. This is not statistically a very strong comparison, but supports their narrative.
Look at it this way. If that’s the best they’ve got, they’re really suffering. 🙂
Why is nobody connecting the trend with the fact that the sun is at its lowest for more than 100 years?
Henry Galt says: September 10, 2013 at 1:23 pm
Shirly “… periods as short as a decade” are ‘just’ weather?
Unless it is a heat wave, tornado, deluge or flood in which case it is global warming. Snowm ice, record cold, yes they are just weather. /sarc
@RCM: It’s called “moving the goal posts”. Since the claim of proof of CAGW was sea ice decline (that has traditionally been interpreted as sea ice extent) has not panned out, they’re now claiming “Yeah, there’s more extent – BUT IT’S MUCH THINNER! Oh Noes!!!”
So they’re still right. Soon, the goal posts won’t even be in the stadium anymore.
“New consensus: Now that the Arctic isn’t ice-free, it turns out that nobody is willing to stand behind those ice-free predictions of a few years ago”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23964372
“Esa’s Cryosat mission observes continuing Arctic winter ice decline”
Where there’s ice there’s a story
“ALMOST-BLANK SUN: 2013 is supposed to be a year of solar maximum. Indeed, the sun’s magnetic field is poised to flip, a long-held sign that Solar Max has arrived. But if this is Solar Max, it looks a lot like Solar Min. The face of the sun is almost completely blank:”
http://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=11&month=09&year=2013
Henry Galt – September 11, 2013 at 1:21 am
Yep, us Villagers must stick with the bogus reading, or we’ll all end up with egg on our moustaches (or whatever the saying is) 😉
Right. It’s responsible for 0.01% of the warming. Can we get back to civilizing the planet, now?
Predictions! Warmist (of all temperatures) just hate being held to ’em. Just scare-mongering with ’em, which pays so much better.
Typo: Warmists ….