Tips & Notes

Tips & Notes to WUWT

Cleaned 8/24/14

1. Be sure to check the front page of WUWT first, we often get duplicate tips here of stories already posted, sometimes days later.

2. Please remember this is not a discussion thread. Tips, notes, and links only please.

3. To put links in comments. simply copy the entire link URL and paste it into the comment. No need for code.

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582 thoughts on “Tips & Notes

  1. Hi Anthony and others –

    For REQUEST; jump to the last paragraph for the main question & your advice!

    Because I’m a neophyte, I’ve decided to work on a small-scale project with the intent to explore (1) relationships among (Tobs – Traw), (Tadj-Tobs) and the their sum (Tadj – Traw) temperature record adjustments. I’ve selected 5 geographically contiguous USHCN sites in eastern Massachusetts for my initial trial case with the intent to visit these sites in the coming months.

    I intend to look at multiple statistical correlations among temperature adjustments; assess uncertainty of deviations between the “actual” and “adjusted” USHCH temperatures; assess adjustments for these stations; attempt to deduce and obliquely critique the “homogenization” results among these stations using statistical methods; and finally use an emerging data analysis method (GPM) to establish temperature trends and uncertainty in the selected localized MA region. I have some ideas about the analyses described above. . . but as we all know, the proof is in the pudding!


    (1) For several months, I’ve been trying to access your database describing individual USHCN sites with Photos (the gallery). . . the site has been down because it’s under maintenance. Ive got ten some associated rating data from the USHCN sites. . . but I’d like more (who wouldn’t). Is there an alternate web site where you “” web site results can be accessed.

    (2) Please let me know if the plan for my inquiry is stupid or ill-advised; I know I can learn from it; but, if the plan is totally hopeless, I’d appreciate your help in avoiding a major waste of time any help you might provide to make it more worthwhile. Any suggestions you might have would be greatly appreciated!

    Thanks again and Sincerely Yours;

    Dan Backman

  2. Hi Moderator and Anthony –
    Please delete my “Tips and Notes” comment at “August 24, 2014 at 4:45 pm”
    In that last few hours, I have posted a lead-post comment and now a T&N comment that each have “awaited moderation”. . . that included a third comments to “moderators” that was stuck in moderation for some time.

    I’m a climate skeptic that has never gone off topic or been disrespectful to anyone within the WUWT community. . . yet I feel like an outcast! As I said in my first “withheld response” on Anthony’s 8/24 lead thread: This is Anthony’s blog and he’s in charge and I cherish WUWT!

    That’s still certainly true. . . nonetheless, having seemingly been blackballed by WUWT, I refuse to be a “silenced” second class WUWT citizen (non-white-listed) and instead will move on. Best to you all!

    As disappointed as I am; I hope you. . . Anthony particularly. . . keep fighting the noble fight!



    • DanMet’al

      You are conflating an automated process with something I’m personally doing.

      Don’t. Take. It. Personally.

      You haven’t been “blackballed” and I’m not going to delete the comment. The spam filter simply flagged your comment for some reason and I’ve been away this afternoon.

      Also, the surfacestations gallery is set on private use at the moment, it will re-open once our paper has been published. We don’t want any new stations added or any changes made while we finish up.

  3. funded by EPA:

    24 Aug: MIT News: Study: Cutting emissions pays for itself
    Savings from healthier air can make up for some or all of the cost of carbon-reduction policies.
    Audrey Resutek | Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
    But just how large are the health benefits of cleaner air in comparison to the costs of reducing carbon emissions? MIT researchers looked at three policies achieving the same reductions in the United States, and found that the savings on health care spending and other costs related to illness can be big — in some cases, more than 10 times the cost of policy implementation.
    “Carbon-reduction policies significantly improve air quality,” says Noelle Selin, an assistant professor of engineering systems and atmospheric chemistry at MIT, and co-author of a study published today in Nature Climate Change. “In fact, policies aimed at cutting carbon emissions improve air quality by a similar amount as policies specifically targeting air pollution.”…
    This research was supported by funding from the EPA’s Science to Achieve Results program.

  4. More methane fears.

    BBC – 24 August 2014
    ‘Widespread methane leakage’ from ocean floor off US coast
    Researchers say they have found more than 500 bubbling methane vents on the seafloor off the US east coast.
    There are concerns that these new seeps could be making a hitherto unnoticed contribution to global warming……..

    The scientists say that the warming of ocean temperatures might be causing these hydrates to send bubbles of gas drifting through the water column….

    But it is important to say we simply don’t have any evidence in this paper to suggest that any carbon coming from these seeps is entering the atmosphere.”

  5. Comment on the new layout.

    1 / I think you will find most of WUWT denizens and clientele are in the older age brackets from the 40’s or thereabouts on up.
    I’m 76 and unlike WUWT’s previous layout I now have to concentrate and even squint to be able to read the small and closely set printed word in the comments which becomes much worse when there is a long para with a number of close set lines making up the comment.

    2 / And the individual comments are somewhat overwhelmed by the large size of the comment poster’s ID lettering.

    Teething problems only and judging by a somewhat similar side by side post presentation layout on the GWPF site layout it is a layout which certainly will be much more comparative, much easier and more selective scan wise on what article / post to read first, at least in my case.

  6. Also Darken the lettering a little bit please.
    It seems to be some sort of current fashion to have quite light grey and hard to read lettering in some blogs these days. Contrasts this comments shading of the lettering with the darker lettering in the RH “Recent Comments” column alongside of this comment.

  7. Thanks Anthony.
    I probably need a before and after comparison but the comment lettering now seems a bit larger and a little easier to read.

    The written word is what this site runs on so the easier something is to read in a physical eye ball sense,
    [ we are not talking grammatical, ] the more the eyeballs will be relaxed and the deeper into the subject your public will be likely be to read.

    As I can testify after looking at a lot of sites, a hard to read site gets pretty short shift regardless of content as my old eyeballs just say enough is enough.

    Perhaps it might pay to play, tell your public what you are doing and solicit feedback.

    Font looks good, again speaking only for myself

  8. About the pause or hiatus… this is something James Hansen published back in 2000:


    A common view is that the current global warming rate will continue or accelerate. But we argue that rapid warming in recent decades has been driven mainly by non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHGs), such as chlorofluorocarbons, CH4, and N2O, not by the products of fossil fuel burning, CO2 and aerosols, the positive and negative climate forcings of which are partially offsetting. The growth rate of non-CO2 GHGs has declined in the past decade. If sources of CH4 and O3 precursors were reduced in the future, the change in climate forcing by non-CO2 GHGs in the next 50 years could be near zero.

  9. ROM August 25, 2014 at 2:01 am

    Also Darken the lettering a little bit please. It seems to be some sort of current fashion to have quite light grey and hard to read lettering in some blogs these days.

    This “fashion” began IIRC with Apple. Its Mac booklets featured tiny gray text in the middle of an ocean of white space.

    (Surely Anthony will want to distance himself from gray-scale Apple-trendiness!)

  10. Is Your Governor a Denier?

    So I go to check this out, though I already know what I’m gonna see at any site called “ecowatch”. Sure enough, a “give us money” pop-up appears immediately with a smiling Ed Begley Jr “we have to act to save the planet” pitch.

    Oddly though, the comments are being dominated by climate realists. We have truly reached the turning point when ecowatch can’t purge dissent fast enough to keep it off their page.

  11. Anthony,

    WordPress has a problem.
    If a reader taps a link down the list, Jonova as example. Then, returns to WUWT, the reader is returned to WUWT somewhere between pages 3 to 6. So, the reader is back in time anywhere from days to a week past.
    This began this morning.

    I think you need cash. I will fling some tonight.


    Bob Doyle

  12. Here are a few quotes on the word skeptic

    Skeptic: from the Greek “skeptikos” meaning “to consider, examine”

    “Skeptic does not mean him who doubts, but him who investigates or researches as opposed to him who asserts and thinks that he has found.” [Miguel de Unamuno, "Essays and Soliloquies," 1924]

    “Trust, but Verify” – President Ronald Reagan

  13. Is it possible to put a “Link” to your “links” on the header? They are hard to find now , since they are at the bottom and get lost when more of the older posts load?

  14. Anthony,

    Please check your site changes on small screens, such as iPhone. Your previous formatting was brilliant in that realm. Early new stuff has huge amounts of white space and dramatic jumps in font size, etc. also some overlap in clickable image boxes.

    Good luck with the fine tuning.

    • @ Man Tran

      It turns out for some reason that the new Theme turned off the “mobile theme” settings when it installed. I’ve re-enabled it. Refresh and try it now.

  15. Very Nice changes to the site!!!

    Note: Reference page drop down menu needs a blank entry after the end of the list so Solar is easier to select. Using Chrome on a Mac.

    Ocean Methane Seepage study is likely to get some spin.

    Natural Methane Seepage on U.S. Atlantic Ocean Margin Widespread
    USGA Newsroom Release: 8/25/2014 9:10:45 AM

    The study, Widespread methane leakage from the sea floor on the northern US Atlantic Margin, by A, Skarke, C. Ruppel, M, Kodis, D. Brothers and E. Lobecker in Nature Geoscience is available on line.

    MSU geologist discovers natural methane seepage in an unlikely place

    “Globally, the upper ocean has been warming for decades,” Skarke said. “Some of the seeps we found are similar to those on Arctic Ocean margins, where warming has been more rapid. But we also know that some subsets of the seeps have probably been active for over 1,000 years. A key question is how the long-term seepage and short-term warming of the ocean are related to methane escape.”

    Skarke said the research “does not provide sufficient evidence to draw objective conclusions about the relationship between these methane seeps and global climate change.

  16. Hundreds of ‘toxic’ methane vents discovered in the Atlantic’s depths – and they could be caused by global warming
    A large number of methane vents have been found off the US East Coast
    Suggests such leakage is far more widespread in the Atlantic than thought
    Previously only three seepage areas had been known of in this area
    Increased levels of methane can make water more acidic and deadly to life
    The vents could be caused by a warming ocean linked to climate change

    Read more:
    Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook

  17. 25 August 2014 – 1:56 pm

    ~ It’s not easy being solar. ~

    SolarWorld Recalls Solar Systems with Copper Grounding Lugs Due to Electrocution, Electric Shock or Fire Hazard

    U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission — Recall number: 14-260
    (21 August 2014)


  18. Re temperature adjustments.
    I find it a bit disturbing that the adjustments are done at single stations as seen by J Marohasy for Australia and also shown for some Iceland stations. I suspect that GISS and others then use the adjusted temperatures again in a new homogensation and so on.
    What would happen if you repeatedly homogenised allready homogenised temperatures?
    It could happen, because the old records sometimes disappear.
    I would like to see an independent check of what these routines really does and how they are validated.

  19. Robert Doyle August 25, 2014 at 7:46 am

    WordPress has a problem.
    If a reader taps a link down the list, Jonova as example. Then, returns to WUWT, the reader is returned to WUWT somewhere between pages 3 to 6. So, the reader is back in time anywhere from days to a week past.

    There may have been a comment that came out of moderation at that earlier point.

  20. Have the press turned cool on warming?

    Over the summer, it seems to me, the number of articles about AGM in the mainstream mead has declined. In addition, the skeptical position has been given more prominence.

    Anyone keep any objective stats on GW coverage?

  21. I like the changes. This format seems to keep loading more stories as you approach the bottom of the page. I don’t think you need to keep the “recent posts” widget. Especially if you start from the top post, there is a “next article” arrow available. Is there a “back” arrow available as an option?

    I would vote for moving the enso meter, the sea ice page and the solar image page widgets up in the right-hand column. I check those items daily, along with the many articles.

    To ROM – consider getting a tablet or a computer that has a touch screen. I agree that there are many sites that have small type. Touch screens let you enlarge the screen quite easily. Another option is ctrl + or ctrl – to increase or decrease the size in case you don’t have touch screen capabilities. Of course, after using the tablet, I find myself trying to use my laptop screen to make the type larger.

  22. Is it possible to include the date of the posts? I know it’s the first day of the new format, but showing the date of the posts allows me to know I’m at the end of ‘todays’ posts.


    REPLY: yes, we’ve covered this in the discussion thread about changes, maybe you missed it -A

  23. They admit it…

    (or…How and why scientists and researchers are cooking the books.)

    Every day the newspapers carry stories of new scientific findings. There are 15 million scientists worldwide all trying to get their research published. But a disturbing fact appears if you look closely: as time goes by, many scientific findings seem to become less true than we thought. It’s called the “decline effect” – and some findings even dwindle away to zero.

    A highly influential paper by Dr John Ioannidis at Stanford University called “Why most published research findings are false” argues that fewer than half of scientific papers can be believed, and that the hotter a scientific field (with more scientific teams involved), the less likely the research findings are to be true. He even showed that of the 49 most highly cited medical papers, only 34 had been retested and of them 41 per cent had been convincingly shown to be wrong. And yet they were still being cited.

    Again and again, researchers are finding the same things, whether it’s with observational studies, or even the “gold standard” Randomised Controlled Studies, whether it’s medicine or economics. Nobody bothers to try to replicate most studies, and when they do try, the majority of findings don’t stack up. The awkward truth is that, taken as a whole, the scientific literature is full of falsehoods.

    Jolyon Jenkins reports on the factors that lie behind this. How researchers who are obliged for career reasons to produce studies that have “impact”; of small teams who produce headline-grabbing studies that are too statistically underpowered to produce meaningful results; of the way that scientists are under pressure to spin their findings and pretend that things they discovered by chance are what they were looking for in the first place. It’s not exactly fraud, but it’s not completely honest either. And he reports on new initiatives to go through the literature systematically trying to reproduce published findings, and of the bitter and personalised battles that can occur as a result.

  24. I don’t like the new layout. Or more specifically, I don’t like the font style and size used in it. I find it hard to read, harder than the old layout.
    Serif fonts work for me in books but not on monitor. And the fact that they’re bigger so they _resemble_ what’s in books or newspapers means less of them fits in my browser window. I did not purchase high resolution monitor so I can have bigger letters on it but so I can fit more of them on it.
    I would really appreciate if there was an option to change the font type and size without resizing the rest (such as graphs or images – these are already small enough).

    • Serif fonts are hard to read, especially with reduced line spacing used here. If it is hard to achieve a consensus on what font to use, is there a way to ban all serif fonts in the browser? I looked around for a solution that might work with Safari and couldn’t find any.

      The size issue is not as bad, as I can control font scaling with a keystroke, but the problem there is that the page uses different font sizes without a good reason. For exampe, as I write this, the comment font is set to 16.8px (a weird size, don’t you think? — and it looks much worse than a 16px font would look), the reply font is 14px (thankfully, Arial), and the form with my name and email address has a 12px font in it. So when I scale the page down to make the comment more readable, other fonts become less readable. Not good. I did not notice any problems with fonts in the old layout.

  25. Dana Nutticelli has just posted this on the Guardian…so now he’s a fortune teller!

    DanaNuccitelli thelonggrass
    25 August 2014 3:46pm

    It mainly depends on when the Pacific Decadal Oscillation switches phases. Solar activity probably won’t go much lower. Hard to say about volcanic activity (it’s been a large number of moderate volcanic emissions that’s caused the temporary cooling). But once we shift to a phase with more El Niños, global surface warming should begin to accelerate, barring a lot of volcanic eruptions.

  26. “Everything we know is wrong”

    Interesting program on BBC radio 4 about how published scientific results do not necessarily reflect the truth:

    “there is no result that you cannot make seem plausible”
    “pressure to hype your result”
    “if you come up with your hypothesis after you have the data it is possible it is a chance result”
    “not a lot of scientific effort is put into replication”
    “one route to success is to be innovative but not clash with existing theories”
    “there is less reproducibility than you would expect”

    Manages to steer clear of Climate Change…

  27. Hi Anthony,
    my tip would be to keep this new format. It looks great. My compliments.

    As for the comment of Kasuha at August 26, 2014 at 2:17 am, with me the font is sans-serif exept for the headers, titles, names etc. So I guess it also depends on the browser or computer settings of the reader.

    The bigger width of the comments text column needs some getting used to for me, but of course I can adapt this with the screen width, and the font size width ctrl / + or -

  28. I’ve been following the development of TS Cristobal into hurricane Cristobal and it seems to me to be an example of more analysis increasing the reported strength. Up until 5 pm on Monday (advisory 9) there was no suggestion that Cristobal would strengthen into a hurricane before Thursday. However, by the 11 pm advisory (no 10) the intensity had been upgraded to a hurricane based on the wind speed measured by an observation flight. Although the measured data is not in any question, what is is all previous measurements as they would not have classified this as a hurricane without the flight data. Here is the wording from the advisory at 11 pm:

    1100 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

    Based on a blend of SFMR, flight-level, and dropsonde wind data
    collected by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft a little earlier this
    evening, Cristobal was upgraded to a 65-kt hurricane. Similar to
    Hurricane Bertha earlier this year in roughly the same location,
    this system’s cloud pattern does not resemble that of a hurricane,
    with little or no evidence of banding on satellite images. Some
    additional strengthening is expected, however, since the SHIPS
    guidance shows a decrease in vertical shear during the next few
    days, and an increase in upper-level divergence is indicated by the
    global models. The official intensity forecast is a little higher
    than the previous one, and is close to the latest LGEM guidance.

    I don’t know how the historical data on hurricanes – especially the new fad for using ACE as a measure for comparison as opposed to simple numbers of storms – can be compared when newer methods of data collection are revealing that previous methods appear to be under-reporting. Do we need someone to “do a Leif” on hurricane data (that is, develop a comparison between historical and modern numbers based on altered observations)?

  29. Here’s a “whoops” from Aug 25, 2014…

    “A Single Android App Is Crippling the Nat’l Weather Service’s Website”

    “If you’ve been trying to look up your forecast on the National Weather Service’s website this afternoon, you may have noticed that the forecasts are days out of date or not loading at all. Apparently, this is the result of a single “abusive” Android app overloading the agency’s servers.”

  30. Hey WUWT:

    when baseball fans first became interested in sabremetrics it turned out that in a sport awash with statistics the data necessary to make the kind of decisions the mettricians wanted wasn’t available. So a “project scoresheet” was begun, amateur and volunteer, to provide the data. Work out well.

    As has your surface stations project. (bravo)

    So how about a “raw data” project where in original temperature observer records are reviewed, put in a standard format, and published in an accessable copendium.

    The baseball analogy:
    we have the box score —
    we didn’t have the wind, the sun, the defensive positioning, the pitch by pitch sequences, the park (environmental) effects…..

    You have proven, i think, that the govt recording of observers data points is ‘inadequate’ in at tleast some cases.

    If it were possible to reconstruct and verify as much of the original data as possible, without interpretation, would this be useful?

    I am a retired programmer available to participate significantly but unsuitable for leadership.

  31. I really REALLY do NOT like the new format!!!!!!!
    From BLOOMBERG online:

    Damage Seen From Climate Change in UN Leak

    Humans risk causing irreversible and widespread damage to the planet unless there’s faster action to limit the fossil fuel emissions that cause climate change, according to a leaked draft United Nations report.

  32. The Catch-22 of Energy Storage
    Barry Brook

    “Several recent analyses of the inputs to our energy systems indicate that, against expectations, energy storage cannot solve the problem of intermittency of wind or solar power. Not for reasons of technical performance, cost, or storage capacity, but for something more intractable: there is not enough surplus energy left over after construction of the generators and the storage system to power our present civilization.”

  33. Not sure if this is the right thread for this comment (apologies if not) but I’m finding this new format a little bit less tablet-friendly than the old one. Although at first glance it looks great, one can no longer double-tap a paragraph to zoom in. For small-screen devices where text is small this is quite an important facility to lose. Don’t know if it can be fixed, or if it is a limitation of this format?

  34. Looks like Dana Nuccitelli is giving a speech at SMUD HQ in Sacramento tomorrow evening.
    Maybe some of your readers in the area want to attend and make sure that “Scooter” is not unchallenged.



    Fire and Water Presentation – Sacramento Citizens Climate Lobby


    How Global Warming is Changing California’s Weather

    and a Bipartisan Solution

    Wednesday, August 27, 2014

    7:00 – 9:00 P.M.

    SMUD Headquarters Auditorium

    6301 S Street, Sacramento, CA 95852

    California has been hit hard by drought and wildfires in recent years.

    These events have left many Californians wondering, is this extreme

    weather linked to global warming, and what can we expect for the future?

    In this ‘Fire and Water’ event, scientist Dana Nuccitelli will discuss and

    answer questions about the latest scientific research into the possible links

    between climate change and California’s wildfires and drought, and

    projections of their future changes in a warming world. The event will also

    include discussion of a proposed free market, bipartisan solution supported

    by many liberals and conservatives alike.


    Dana Nuccitelli, environmental scientist, risk assessor, and climate blogger for The Guardian


    Harold Ferber, retired attorney, member of the Sacramento Chapter of Citizens’ Climate Lobby.

    Sponsored by the Sacramento Chapter of the Citizens’ Climate Lobby.

    For more information please contact Eileen Heinrich, CCL Volunteer, at or 916-481-3703.

  35. Re Aug 25 at 8:31—- Old eyes:have to enlarge font size to read. Then the whole right hand side is off the screen !!! Used to be able to “slide over”to view the right hand side. Cannot do it now. ???

  36. Mods? Does only the top post deserve a “continue” or “more” cue?
    Not intuitively obvious how to read the other posts…I send a lot of students here, including from grade schools…..never too young to learn…but easier can be better..Thanks.

  37. I miss the author’s name on each story of the new format.

    REPLY: all that info is there when you open up a story from the front page summary. The idea for this format is to minimize clutter on the front page so stories can be easily browsed and selected. – Anthon

  38. Re New Format;
    Mine is a very ancient 7 years old Mac OS 4.4.11 running Safari 4.1.3.
    Quite adequate for my browsing.

    For the first time I am now getting slow loading and the regular temporary lock up of Safari as it tries to load WUWT.
    This is not only applicable to WUWT but to other sites also and has become a recent and very annoying experience.
    The reasons appear to be the increasing use of “animated” Ads by Word Press which are now showing up on the WUWT site which run slow scripts which then lock the site until the entire Advertisement animation is loaded or the whole damn lot just freezes up..

  39. Feedback on the layout change.

    The citation with a shadow look very nice, but the greenish blue background sucks, and you still don’t have threaded comments like JoNova. There a response is put together with the comment it responds to. Also the layout is very nice ! This now look more like BishopHills and it’s not good. Thanks for changing the mobile, now it works much better.

    The front side with the last articles is nice and I like the images to each article too. But please skip or change the color on the comment background !


  40. Re slow loading and freeze ups at my post at 5.56 pm.

    That WAS quick!
    No animated ads. No problems loading.
    Still a slight delay of five seconds or so while some centre of page, non animated ads  load, the WUWT content loads fast, but all OK by me if it helps in site costs.

    A very hearty Thank you, Anthony.

  41. Hanover, August 2014: 3.3 degrees

    The Monday night, August 26 [2014], was in the north in many places the coldest since records began. At 3.3 degrees about in Hannover and 6 degrees in Hamburg temperatures dropped to its lowest value registered so far for this date, reported the German Weather Service.

    Hamburg. The average minimum of the past 30 years for the August 26 stood at 11 degrees in Hamburg and 10.7 degrees in Hannover significantly higher. From the Institute for weather and climate communication even freezing temperatures in the north were measured. In Quickborn the soil temperature had fallen in the night of Tuesday to -1 degrees, said the Hamburg Institute.
    [Translation by Google, bold mine]

  42. Andrew,

    Regarding the four new topic options at the top of the page, when they come up when clicked, and present the related posts, could the story you wanted appear first, and then the related posts down after the comments? Clicking twice to get the actual story you want is a bit … “things that make you go … hmmm”.

    Otherwise I love the site upgrade, the header looks awesome, and once I had thickened up the font setting on my PC the font is now properly legible again without any zooming.

  43. Another thing that’s disturbing is when you put images with a link and that link contain the word wordpress, it’s censored in China and I can not see it without using a VPN. Could you please put that with directory under wattsupwiththat something it’s would works nice.

  44. This article: Analysis: energy storage cannot solve the problem of intermittency of wind or solar power is unreadable in Chrome, FYI. The lines are all overlapping very tightly.

  45. Anthony, I’m not a fan of the new look. I don’t like change for change’s sake, but I understand sometimes websites have to incorporate new functionality. Can you please make the text darker, so it contrasts better with the white background? Font size is OK, but the lack of contrast makes it hard for older eyes to read. Also the gray band containing the commenters’ names and post times is very faint. Both it and the text within it need to be made darker. Also the blue text needs to be made darker. Frankly, the whole page looks “washed-out”. And I’m not on a mobile device; 23″ LCD display on a desktop PC. Thank you.

  46. Is there a place I can find real time daily global temperatures ? Spencer’s UAH site used to have this but it’s not operational anymore in a way that keeps you up to the day on temps.

    Any help appreciated Thx

  47. Please note the the Warmistas are having a “Fun in the Sun” conference at the Miami Beach Convention Center on October 1-2 and you can attend too … for $250.
    (The discounted registration price is $125; after August 31, the registration fee will be $250.)
    Who wants to set up a protest demonstration outside the Center? ;)

    The 6th Annual Southeast Florida Regional Climate Leadership Summit
    October 1-2, 2014!!

    Discount Pricing ends (August 31st!!!)

    This year, prominent speakers at the Summit include:
    Dr. John Holdren, Assistant to the President for Science and Technology and Director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
    Mike Boots, Acting Chair, White House Council on Environmental Quality
    William Golden, Executive Director of the National Institute for Coastal and Harbor Infrastructure.
    The agenda is continually being updated as notable speakers confirm, so stay tuned!

    Now more than ever…YOU as a business leader and owner, a taxpayer, elected official, homeowner, or simply a Florida resident, need to keep up with the current science, policy, impacts, and economics of our changing climate!

    So, sign up now ( for the 6th Annual Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Summit. Seating is limited and last year’s event was SOLD OUT! Special discounted rates are only available until August 31st. Registration questions may be directed to Karen Chang at / (954-985-4416).

    American Institute of Certified Planners (AICP) Certification Maintenance (CM) credits are pending for this event and we are still looking for companies and organizations that would like to take advantage of our great sponsorship packages!

    Miami Dade County and the City of Miami Beach are co-hosting this year’s event on behalf of the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact and hope to see YOU there!

    THANK YOU to our Sponsors
    Hazen and Sawyer, Environmental Engineers
    Jacobs Engineering Consultants
    World Resources Institute
    Arcadis Engineering
    E Sciences
    The Nature Conservancy
    The Kresge Foundation
    The Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce
    US Green Building Council – South Florida chapter

  48. What?!!?

    EPA Chief: CO2 Regulations Are About ‘Justice’ For ‘Communities Of Color’

    The Environmental Protection Agency’s proposed global warming regulations aren’t just about stemming global temperature rises — according to agency’s chief, they are also about “justice” for “communities of color.”

    “Carbon pollution standards are an issue of justice,” said EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy in a teleconference call with environmental activists. “If we want to protect communities of color, we need to protect them from climate change.”

  49. Eruption in Bárðarbunga glacier may have started to-day. Large depressions and crackes on the surface. 4 to 6 km long.

    Icelandic Met Office:

    “Scientists from IES and IMO on a flight to Vatnajökull tonigth discovered a row of 10-15 m deep cauldrons south of the Bárðarbunga caldera. They form a 6-4 km long line. The cauldrons have been formed as a result of melting, possibly an eruption, uncertain when. Heightened tremor level/volcanic tremor has not been observed on IMO’s seismometers at the moment. The new data are being examined.
    Written by a specialist at 27 Aug 22:41 GMT”

    • PLOS One paper online. Peer reviewed science. The thin water surface freezes at night due to rapid radiative cooling. In the morning it breaks up amdn then acts as a wind sail to push the rocks in the wet slippery mud.

      Sliding Rocks on Racetrack Playa, Death Valley National Park: First Observation of Rocks in Motion
      Published: August 27, 2014 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0105948
      PLOS One

  50. Dave Worley
    August 27, 2014 at 8:12 pm

    Playa rock movement slowed by climate change..Whoa!


    The ultimate headline to come:

    Climate Change Triggered by Climate Change!

    We’re all doooomed…

  51. Naomi Klein’s new book on climate change, This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs the Climate, is coming out on 16 September.

    The trailer for the book was released a few weeks ago. It starts with the question ‘Is Earth fucked?':

    According to the synopsis, the book reveals shocking details on both climate deniers and green groups. No one is a saint, and the real culprit is capitalism:,,9780141971803,00.html

    The first breaking news story from the book, revealing that the world’s largest environmental group is actually making millions from an oil well on its land in Texas, was published this month by the New York Times:

    Naomi Klein was also recently interviewed about the book in Vogue:

    Klein says This Changes Everything is ”a book about climate change for people who don’t read books about climate change.”

  52. Using the old version of WUWT I could search for an item using the “Search” box. Now I did the same thing and find that there is no place to click. What happened?

    Ian M

  53. What a “major” climate “disruption” looks like:
    Yellowstone super-eruption would send ash across North America

    A giant underground reservoir of hot and partly molten rock feeds the volcano at Yellowstone National Park. It has produced three huge eruptions about 2.1 million, 1.3 million and 640,000 years ago. . . .
    Cities close to the modeled Yellowstone supereruption could be covered by more than a meter (a few feet) of ash. There would be centimeters (a few inches) of ash in the Midwest, while cities on both coasts would see millimeters (a fraction of an inch) of accumulation

  54. New Format: Please, oh please, can we move the “previous link – next link” panel to the TOP of the page so you don’t have to scroll down to the bottom of each article?

  55. 28 Aug: Montreal Gazette: Len Maier: Opinion: Global warming ‘pause’ is more than temporary, scientific evidence shows
    (Len Maier is an engineer and president of the Friends of Science Society in Calgary)
    The Gazette published two items recently on global warming related to research by Shaun Lovejoy, a McGill University physics professor, and his claim that the current 16-plus-year slowdown in global warming is merely a pause.
    We dispute Lovejoy’s scientific findings and his energy policy recommendations…
    The June 10 article by Lovejoy refers to the work of one of the fathers of the “hothouse” theory, Svante Arrhenius’s 1896 prediction of warming. In 1906 Arrhenius amended his previous calculations and revised his theory downward, deciding that doubling of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would lead to very little warming, which would be beneficial and pleasant.
    Lovejoy’s op-ed excluded this valuable, relevant information…
    In the same Gazette article, Lovejoy called the name of our group “Friends of Science” Orwellian. In fact it is anything but. When we began Friends of Science Society almost 12 years ago, our purpose, as a group of retired atmospheric and earth scientists, was to evaluate climate science literature based on evidence, not theory or climate model predictions. What could be less Orwellian than requiring scientific statements to be based on scientific evidence?…

  56. Jennifer Marohasy, who started the ball rolling, is quoted:

    29 Aug: Australian: Graham Lloyd: Bureau of Meteorology told to be more transparent
    THE Bureau of Meteorology was told to be more transparent and make public all details of the computer models used to adjust historic temperature records by the peer review panel that cleared its work as world best practice.
    The 2011 independent panel told BOM to clearly explain any changes that were made between raw and “homogenised” data…
    BOM’s 2011 independent panel said it was “satisfied overall” with the bureau’s methodology but it “encouraged” the bureau to improve the public transparency of the process used.
    The panel recommended a list of adjustments be made publicly available along with the adjusted temperature series including the rationale for each adjustment. It said the computer codes underpinning the national ACORNSAT data-set, including the algorithms and protocols used by BOM for data quality control, should be made publicly available.

  57. First, a quick Thank You for the improvements in the site’s readability and overall appearance. I have a minor problem, probably my fault, but I wanted to ask anyway. When I move through the list of “Recent Posts”, previously the article titles I reviewed would change font and color of type, now that does not happen. Is there some setting I need to adjust on my browser? I use IE ver 9, with Vista as an operating system.
    By the way, if this is posted in the wrong space, my apologies to all concerned.

    • The problem has been corrected. Sure makes scanning through the “Recent Posts” list much easier to navigate through. Thanks for the change.

      Dan M.

  58. Ohio lawmakers want to limit the teaching of the scientific process (otherwise known as the ‘scientific method’. … … Of course, the long established Scientific Method shows that empirical evidence and observation is very important. Climate Science has difficulty following the Scientific Method because it cannot easily conduct experiments (since we only have one full size oblate spheroidal planet .. and the associated Sun and Moon). Making “projections” based on the output of contrived computer climate models is not using the scientific method!

    • Also …. It looks like the Ohio lawmakers are feeling uncomfortable because they have discovered that their beliefs don’t match up with reality. They obviously want to ignore or deny any information that conflicts with their existing beliefs, and make sure that their children are unlikely to discover scientific methods that will prove that the original AGW hypothesis is incorrect.

  59. Here’s a hyper-alarmist stew on acidification, 30% rise in acidity, warming oceans, oceanic viruses and slime, dying coral, the 6th great extinction, rising sea levels to flood Florida, weird weather, famine, etc. The author was on Coast to Coast AM spreading this last night. A rebuttal thread should be written by someone. (There are lots of links at the end that can be attacked to undermine the foundations of this article.)

  60. I receive regular emails from “Earth Gauge”, which is a project of the National Environmental Education Foundation. There also is or has been some collaboration with the Yale Climate Connections (formerly The Yale Forum on Climate Change & the Media). From today’s email:

    Climate Trivia: Trends in U.S. Tornado Activity

    Climate change has led to more frequent and intense severe weather events across the globe and in the United States. Heavy and extreme precipitation events are more frequent and intense in the central and eastern regions of the United States. Extreme snowstorms, heat waves and North Atlantic hurricanes have also shown increases in frequency and intensity. Although the U.S. is the country that experiences the highest number of tornadoes in the world, scientists had not been able to identify potential climate-related trends in tornado activity until now.

    Trivia Question: What trend in U.S. tornado activity have scientists identified?

    a. The average annual number of tornadoes has increased.
    b. The average annual number of tornadoes has decreased.
    c. The number of days per year with only one tornado occurring is increasing.
    d. The number of days per year with multiple tornadoes is increasing.

  61. Does Antarctic sea ice growth negate climate change? Scientists say no

    While this raises the wind affecting ice claim earlier explored on WUWT, of note to me was the claim made by this reasearcher had a comment on a thirty year record – “It’s even possible that the current growth spurt is just a short upward wiggle in a larger downward trend. “Thirty years isn’t really that long,” Stammerjohn said”

    “The dynamics of the Southern Ocean have also remained elusive. Scientists think changes in the winds have altered ocean circulation, allowing warmer waters below the surface layer to sneak in closer to the shore. These, in turn, may cause glaciers to melt, producing fresh water that freezes at a higher temperature than salt water and thus creates more sea ice. But without long-term observations, it’s hard to measure this effect.

    Changes in snowfall may play a role too. In the Antarctic, sea ice grows thicker when new snow falls on top of it, depressing it and flooding it with sea water, which eventually freezes. However, it’s still unclear whether snowfall has increased in Antarctica, said Ron Kwok, a sea ice expert at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

    It’s even possible that the current growth spurt is just a short upward wiggle in a larger downward trend. “Thirty years isn’t really that long,” Stammerjohn said.

    In January, scientists at New York University offered the most complete explanation yet for the surprising trends in Antarctic sea ice extent. Writing in the journal Nature, they suggested the sea ice distribution in the south could be controlled by ocean temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean through large-scale changes in atmospheric pressure linked to global warming and natural variability. Other researchers like the idea but say verifying it will take more time.”

  62. Vis NoTricksZone

    World’s Poor Reject Half Modern, Half Primitive (Green) Life…Demand “Real Electricity”, Not “Fake” Greenpeace Solar!
    ……..The India Today article goes on to describe how Bihar citizens “want asli bijli (real electricity) from the government” and that village youngsters were carrying placards demanding “real source of energy“, and “not the fake solar powered” one.

    It’s obvious: Who needs the lights in the daytime? Lights are needed at night. The problem with the Greenpeace solar micro-grid is that you can’t power the lights at night.

    The post links to this paper too.

    Abstract – 26 August 2014
    Commitment accounting of CO2 emissions
    The world not only continues to build new coal-fired power plants, but built more new coal plants in the past decade than in any previous decade. Worldwide, an average of 89 gigawatts per year (GW yr–1) of new coal generating capacity was added between 2010 and 2012, 23 GW yr–1 more than in the 2000–2009 time period and 56 GW yr–1 more than in the 1990–1999 time period. Natural gas plants show a similar pattern. Assuming these plants operate for 40 years, the fossil-fuel burning plants built in 2012 will emit approximately 19 billion tons of CO2 (Gt CO2) over their lifetimes, versus 14 Gt CO2 actually emitted by all operating fossil fuel power plants in 2012. We find that total committed emissions related to the power sector are growing at a rate of about 4% per year, and reached 307 (with an estimated uncertainty of 192–439) Gt CO2 in 2012. These facts are not well known in the energy policy community, where annual emissions receive far more attention than future emissions related to new capital investments. This paper demonstrates the potential for ‘commitment accounting’ to inform public policy by quantifying future emissions implied by current investments.

  63. An article in Tech Republic (part of ZDNET I think) about the smart grid and storing power from renewable sources.

    It includes a long segment promoting Imergy Power, an energy storage company.

    I will have to go back to your postings on your solar power installation. I don’t remember if you were doing battery storage or not.


  64. “Global trends and patterns of drought from space”

    Theoretical and Applied Climatology
    August 2014, Volume 117, Issue 3-4, pp 441-448

    “The results reveal no significant trend in the areas under drought over land in the past three decades. ”

    “The results of this satellite-based study disagree with several model-based studies which indicate that droughts have been increasing over land.”

  65. I stopped getting T&N postings. I suppose it was because of the welcome revamp so I am posting this to get going again.

    Oh, and I have noticed that the EU does not understand the difference between power and energy. They want to make hair dryers half as powerful as they think they will use less energy to dry hair that way.

  66. Topic: energy capture and storage. The following link says of Airbus’s ultralight stratospheric glider: “Its solar cells, which are mounted on its wings, produce 1kW for every 1kg of panel. That power is fed into lithium-sulphur rechargeable batteries which can store 350 watt-hours per kilogram. (For comparison, the lithium-polymer batteries in iPhones store around 200 watt-hours per kilogram.) The result is a plane that can, potentially, stay aloft for months—though its longest test-run so far is a fortnight.”

    It’s a substitute for satellites. Apparently not good in late fall/ early winter at latitudes outside of -40 to +40: the days are too short.

  67. Pest Rise at current rate may cause potato and bread shortages in UK

    Scientists warning of crop crisis
    The end of the potato?

    The hype above, the paper below

    The global spread of crop pests and pathogens
    Main conclusions
    Despite ongoing dispersal of crop pests and pathogens, the degree of biotic homogenization of the globe remains moderate and regionally constrained, but is growing. Fungal pathogens lead the global invasion of agriculture, despite their more restricted host range. Climate change is likely to influence future distributions. Improved surveillance would reveal greater levels of invasion, particularly in developing countries.

    Is this just climate change, or Climate Change? The text suggests one, the hype the other.

  68. I have friends who continually post about climate change. Is there a set of perhaps 20 – 40 or more updated slides that can be used to expose the top 10 or 20 arguments used by climate change people (i.e. polar bears are dying because of climate change Vs actual data on polar bear populations, extreme weather events increasing Vs actual data). Thanks

  69. How is it possible that a Google search for “climate change contagion” or “climate change catastrophe contagion” doesn’t find those exact phrases?

  70. Paris (AFP) – Sea levels around Antarctica have been rising a third faster than the global average, a clear sign of high meltwater runoff from the continent’s icesheet, scientists said on Sunday.

    Satellite data from 1992 to 2011 found the sea surface around Antarctica’s coast rose by around eight centimetres (3.2 inches) in total compared to a rise of six cm for the average of the world’s oceans, they said.

    The local increase is accompanied by a fall in salinity at the sea surface, as detected by research ships.

    These dramatic changes can only be explained by an influx of freshwater from melting ice, warned the study.

    “Freshwater is less dense than salt water, and so in regions where an excess of freshwater has accumulated, we expect a localised rise in sea level,” said Craig Rye from Britain’s National Oceanography Centre, who led the probe.

  71. This update is a bit old but here it is.
    From WUWT

    “There’s more ugliness like what went on recently with Oregon State University. This professor exposed corruption within the California University system that had ties to the California Air Resources Board’s botched PM2.5 rules. As we’ve seen recently, this PM2.5 regulatory action is so vile that the EPA does unannounced human experimentation.
    From WND:
    What’s academia’s response to a whistleblower who exposes fraudulent research and faked credentials on a panel of experts?
    Fire the whistleblower, of course.”
    “His finding contradicted the opinions of “several senior … faculty members. [Environmental Health Sciences] chair Jackson, EHS professors John Froines and Aurthur Winer, epidemiology and EHS professor Bente Ritz, and Dean Rosenstock have all publicly supported the widely popular – though scientifically unfounded – argument that diesel particulate matter and/or PM2.5 results in increased mortality risks for California citizens.”
    Enstrom then contradicted the other researchers in testimony to the state legislature and further exposed the fraudulent credentials of Hien T. Tran, “a key CARB scientist and lead author of the October 24, 2008 CARB report on PM2.5 and premature death.
    “Mr. Tran’s research report served as the primary public health justification for a new diesel vehicle regulatory scheme approved by CARB … Dr. Enstrom’s statements brought to light that Mr. Tran’s Ph.D. was not awarded by the University of California at Davis as Tran claimed. Mr. Tran subsequently admitted that he purchased his Ph.D. at a cost of $1,000 from ‘Thornhill University,’ a fake institution and Internet diploma mill based at a UPS store in New York.”


    “UCLA professor who was ousted after dustup over CARB science gets trial
    By Charlie Morasch, Land Line contributing writer
    An academic who publicly criticized science at the heart of several major diesel truck rules will get his day in court.

    James Enstrom, an epidemiologist who clashed with the California Air Resources Board over findings about the effects of diesel pollution is suing former officials over his firing from the faculty at the University of California-Los Angeles. Enstrom says his opposition to scientific findings accepted by CARB put a target on his back among department faculty.

    The suit is scheduled to go to trial Nov. 18 in U.S. District Court in Riverside, Calif.

  72. I wanted to link to Crysat2 ice data so I went to the site and found it impossible to find any mention of last years arctic sea ice volume increase. I had to Google WUWT to find it !

    Thankfully your site is here as a reference point but if ESA are hiding the good news maybe questions need to be asked what they are playing at.

  73. Would be nice to see WUWT’s take on this from the Guardian Environment Network today:

    New satellite maps show polar ice caps melting at ‘unprecedented rate’
    Scientists reveal Greenland and Antarctica losing 500 cubic kms of ice annually, reports Climate News Network

    German researchers have established the height of the Greenland and Antarctic ice caps with greater precision than ever before. The new maps they have produced show that the ice is melting at an unprecedented rate.

  74. —–Original Message—–
    To: global-warming-realists
    Sent: Tue, Sep 2, 2014 11:30 am
    Subject: OMG LOL– Portland celebrates fossil fuel terminal?

    Is Portland schizophrenic?
    A carbon tax and shift can grow Oregon economy

    Port of Portland says Pembina propane terminal brings historic investment

    On the terminal
    Sure this is good news. And funny stuff.
    Propane and LNG are essentially the same thing.
    Propane is a Liquefied Petroleum Gas.
    Propane normally a gas, but compressible to a transportable liquid. A by-product of natural gas processing and petroleum refining.
    Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is natural gas that has been converted to liquid form for ease of storage or transport.
    Propane has been the quiet little Achilles heal in the irrational anti LNG terminal extremists movement.
    Propane (and natural gas) have been stored, piped, shipped, trained, trucked and used throughout cities for decades without any foolish movement decrying the horrors of their safety risks.
    Now we have anti-carbon super hero green Portland celebrating a huge fossil fuel, LNG er Propane export terminal facility by a foreign company and I have to LOL.
    What next? A $500 million coal train export terminal next door to the Propane terminal?
    Sounds good to me.

    Port of Portland says Pembina propane terminal brings historic investment
    Pembina’s crude oil storage terminal near Grande Prairie, Alberta. (Pembina Pipeline Corp.)
    PrintMike Francis | mfrancis@oregonian.comBy Mike Francis |
    Follow on Twitter
    on September 02, 2014 at 7:27 AM, updated September 02, 2014 at 10:18 AM

    Pembina Pipeline Corp. of Calgary will spend more than $500 million to build a rail-served propane export terminal in the Rivergrate Industrial District near Terminal 6, the Port of Portland said Tuesday morning. The terminal could be in operation by early 2018.
    In a statement issued early Tuesday, the Port described the deal as ” one of the largest single private capital investments in the city’s history.”
    “This is great news,” Portland Mayor Charlie Hales said in the statement. “The city is committed to growing our economy on the land we already have, and holding industry to very high environmental and public safety standards. This proposal meets these goals.”
    The project could create up to 800 construction jobs and up to 40 permanent jobs, Pembina and the Port said.
    Pembina said it welcomed the partnership with Portland.
    “Building trust with the communities where we operate is a top priority for Pembina,” Mick Dilger, Pembina’s President and CEO said in the statement.
    The facility would ship propane to Asian markets. Port of Portland Executive Director Bill Wyatt, who described the project as “transformative,” called propane “a clean and safe alternative fuel.”
    This story will be updated.
    -Mike Francis

  75. For Willis on his thermostat thesis:
    Diurnal Variations of Albedo Retrieved from Earth Radiation Budget Experiment Measurements
    David A. Rutan, G. Louis Smith, and Takmeng Wong
    Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 2014 ; e-View

    A principal component (PC) analysis of the diurnal variation of top-of-atmosphere (TOA) albedo using these data is presented. The analysis is done separately for ocean ad land because of the marked differences of cloud behavior over ocean and over land. For ocean, 90% to 92% of the variance in the diurnal cycle is described by a single component and for land, the first PC accounts for 83% to 89% of the variance. Some of the variation is due to the increase of albedo with increasing solar zenith angle, which is taken into account in the ERBE data processing by a directional mode and some is due to the diurnal cycle of cloudiness. The second PC describes 2% to 4% of the variance for ocean, 5% for land, and is primarily due to variations of cloudiness throughout the day which is asymmetric about noon. These terms show the response of the atmosphere to the cycle of solar heating. PC-3 for ocean is a two-peaked curve and the associated map shows high values in cloudy regions.

    * Corresponding author address: G. Louis Smith, Mail Stop 420, Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA 23681 E-mail:

  76. This is a couple months old but was just sent to me by a friend. It clearly shows the “say something alarming to support the cause” mentality, even if it directly contradicts what you have said in the past.

    In this article , the enviro spokesperson states that the Sierra mountains may become wetter with climate change to support a petition to ban logging in a burn area. The wetter climate would mean less fires & less burn habitat. This is despite years of claiming “climate change” would cause mega-droughts & abundant forest fires. Diametrically opposed positions.

    This is the desperate “say anything” attitude which is discrediting the entire environmental movement & exposing it as only a far left wing anti-industrial cover movement, which really doesn’t care about the environment. The issue of environment is only a tool to manipulate the population into their political views :

  77. ‘Merchants of Doubt’ by Naomi Oreskes is being made into a movie.

    Inspired by the acclaimed book by Naomi Oreskes and Erik Conway, MERCHANTS OF DOUBT takes audiences on a satirically comedic, yet illuminating ride into the heart of conjuring American spin. Filmmaker Robert Kenner lifts the curtain on a secretive group of highly charismatic, silver-tongued pundits-for-hire who present themselves in the media as scientific authorities – yet have the contrary aim of spreading maximum confusion about well-studied public threats ranging from toxic chemicals to pharmaceuticals to climate change.

    It is billed as a comedy about science denial but beware using comedy for this issue…. it could backfire.

    It is backed by Omidyar Network a philanthropic investment firm dedicated to harnessing the power of markets to create opportunity for people to improve their lives I see social change mentioned but not climate change.

    Beware do-gooders with money and a social agenda.

    • I was pleasantly surprised by this one – the CBC is reliably lefty on climate change, so for them to even give air to contrarian views on this topic is significant. Watch some of the scientists squirm as they confront another inconvenient truth.


    In spite of Britain’s electricity consumption reducing by 25% in the last 5 years, the National Grid only has about 5% reserve capacity and could be facing national blackouts in periods of high demand. Now there are plans to spring those power stations closed in order to “fight climate change” back to life so as to plug the gaps in supply. There are three things to point out here: 1. Winter is coming. 2. The Russians are becoming anti-Western. 3. There is a British general election next year.

    If other countries allow the likes of Greenfleece to take over their power generating regulations, they may soon be facing the same unfolding disaster.


    An interesting article appeared today in (of all places) the The Independent

    “One of the country’s leading environmentalists, Sir Jonathan Porritt, has accused fellow conservationists of being blind to other problems in the world and for fighting causes that ultimately stop poor countries from developing.

    “Sir Jonathan, the former Green Party chairman, said he is increasingly concerned by environmentalists who have unrealistic ideas about sustainable living – both in terms of protecting the environment, as well as many of the people who live in it.

    “If anybody thinks we’re going to have a sustainable world that is only sustainable in terms of keeping very, very large numbers of people in chronic poverty, they’re insane. I’m sorry but they’re just mad,” he told The Independent.

    …The penny might have dropped for Porritt, but I notice two things about this article; the unenthusiastic reception of its readers and that Porritt is still droning on about carbon dioxide.

  80. Remember how we are constantly being asked this standard question by Warmists: Q) Would you listen to the advice of 99 doctors who told you that you had such a disease, or ONE who said you didn’t? It seems as if George Clooney (Warmist) has decided to take his private jet to Germany treatment. George has the money for US treatment, why Germany? Why private jet?

  81. For the last ten years or so I have been following the blogs that are dedicated to the subject of global warming/climate change. I am impressed by the quality of the language used by the writers of the threads and equally by that of the commenters. Yet these eloquent writers are apparently undisturbed or unaware of one common linguistic error they are all making, almost without exception. It is ironic that I, a non native English speaker, have to point this out. They all write “warmer temperatures” or “the temperatures are warming or cooling” etc. What they of course should say is “higher temperatures” or “the temperatures are rising or getting lower”. Temperature is not a physical entity like an object, liquid or gas and thus cannot be warmed. I hope they are not implying that one is capable of heating up a temperature? I have mentioned this a few times as a comment when I saw this abuse of language in a thread but none of the other commenters did react, either approvingly or critically.

  82. “Once stashed in warehouses in Maryland and North Carolina, images and video captured from orbit by some of NASA’s first environmental satellites in the mid-1960s are now yielding a trove of scientific data. The Nimbus satellites, originally intended to monitor Earth’s clouds in visible and infrared wavelengths, also would have captured images of sea ice, researchers at the University of Colorado’s National Snow and Ice Data Center realized when they heard about the long-lost film canisters in 2009. After acquiring the film—and then tracking down the proper equipment to read and digitize its 16-shades-of-gray images, which had been taken once every 90 seconds or so—the team set about scanning and then stitching the images together using sophisticated software. So far, more than 250,000 images have been made public, including the first image taken by Nimbus-1 ( on 31 August 1964, of an area near the tip of the Antarctic Peninsula. Besides yielding a wealth of sea ice data, the data recovery project, which will end early next year, could also be used to extend satellite records of deforestation and sea surface temperatures.”

  83. Woods Hole News Release — September 3, 2014
    WHOI Scientists Receive $1 Million Grant from MacArthur Foundation
    Project will develop science-based climate change adaptation solutions for coastal communities

    Rapid climate change and an increasing range of climate impacts are already being felt along our coasts, and new research suggests that U.S. Northeast coastal waters may be more vulnerable to climate change and ocean acidification than previously thought.

    How will communities prepare for and mitigate the impacts of these changes?

    The multi-pronged research project pairs scientists from WHOI with regional organizations actively involved in three key and interrelated coastal ocean climate impacts areas that are affecting many coastal communities in Southern New England: sea-level rise and coastal flooding; coastal water quality and ocean acidification; and ocean climate warming and fisheries.

  84. I was very unhappy when one of my favorite youtube science channels did a horribly video on Climate change. See here:

    Plenty of the channels I watch will play the climate change game. But most tend to not focus on it too much and don’t delve into the politics behind. A passing comment I can ignore.

    But besides using cooling towers, which is annoying, to blanket statement that doubters (at least he doesn’t use the term deniers, at least as much as I was able to watch) are funded by oil companies etc, the 97% claim, and that the scientist make careful predictions.

    Well I guess the predictions are careful. Wrong, but careful.

  85. Hi Anthony – now you have help in the Antarctic although qualifying the data will be fun:

    sorry, but I can’t copy the lovely photo of the elephant with a satellite helmet!

    Antarctic seals going where no scientist can
    RICK MORTON The Australian September 04, 2014

    A SMALL army of elephant seals fitted with satellite transmitters are helping the world’s climate scientists
    get a better understanding of the oceans in one of the discipline’s most important regions, the Antarctic.

    Researchers from Australia, France, Sweden and Britain published their Southern Indian Ocean hydrographic
    profiles— temperature and salinity data — collected by 207 “instrumented elephant seals” in the journal
    Scientific Data, affiliated with Nature, this week.

    Scientists have tagged the seals with transmitters since 2004 to learn more about how the environment
    affected their foraging and reproductive behaviours but realised quickly the animals were, by sheer virtue of
    their ability to roam where man-made objects cannot, collecting extraordinarily valuable data.

    “Considerable efforts have been directed towards an improved understanding of the Southern Ocean
    circulation and its response to global climate change during the last decades,” the paper says.

    “However, these efforts remain greatly limited by the lack of in-situ measurements.

    “Instrumented seals are filling very important gaps in what is traditionally a very data-poor region of the world

    Enter the elephant seal. The animals habitually dive to depths of 1500m or more and travel thousands of
    kilometres in any given year, into nooks and crannies, around ice shelves and, crucially, during winter when
    the “gold standard” of data collection — from ships— is unavailable or highly irregular.

    “The greatest ‘gap-filling’ by the elephant seal data, relative to Argo and ship-based data coverage, is in and
    around the continental slope and shelf region of Antarctica,” the paper says.

    Study co-author and Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Co-operative Research Centre oceanographer Guy
    Williams told The Australian the seal-produced data was “invaluable”.

    “This is a big step forward; they are taking observations where none exist and where none may ever have
    existed,” he said. “This is an open data project, so it feeds the world’s climate models; scientists rely on this
    data and the seals (fill) a gap.”



    • Dave, I”ve seen snow in Calgary every month of the year – not the SAME year,, mind you – what do you expect at a higher elevation? You’ll be cutting the grass again, if you have a lawn…

  86. What 95 deg temps will do in Japan, ESPECIALLY when dressed as shown in accompanying photo!

    TOKYO, September 2 (RIA Novosti) -More than 40,000 people were brought to hospitals to be treated for heatstroke and 54 have died since the beginning of the hot season in Japan, Japan’s Fire and Disaster Agency reported Tuesday.
    According to the statement, from May 19 to August 31, 3,290 people in Tokyo Region have been hospitalized due to heat-related issues. Saitama, Osaka, Aichi and Chiba prefectures have seen more than 2,000 heat hospitalization cases each.

    During the last week of August, 687 people were hospitalized nationwide, most of them senior citizens.

    The peak of this summer’s heat wave in Japan came on July 26, when the thermometer read more than 95 degrees Fahrenheit at 230 of Japan’s 920 meteorological stations and more than 86 degrees F at 702 stations. Seven people died that day.

  87. The hit counter is about to click over to 199,000,000. In case I miss the magic 200, let me thank and congratulate you, Anthony, and all your contributors and posters for keeping free speech and free thought alive in the face of concerted and vicious opposition from some very hard hitters.

  88. 3 Sept: Bloomberg: Matthew Carr: Carbon Credits Give $664 Benefits Per Ton, Imperial Says
    Carbon-reduction projects generate benefits beyond climate protection of about $664 per metric ton of emissions, according to an Imperial College London University survey.
    The study into 59 projects showed they bring ecosystem gains including soil protection, water regulation and biodiversity conservation, the university said. The survey’s estimate compares with an average price of $4.90 a metric ton in the voluntary carbon market, where companies and individuals buy credits, Ecosystem Marketplace data show. The research was commissioned by the International Carbon Reduction and OffsetAlliance, an emissions industry group…
    The study, the first to measure non-climate benefits for a wide grouping of projects, seeks to help attract demand in the voluntary market, which shrank 28% last year to $379 million, according to researcher Ecosystem Marketplace…
    ***The Imperial College analysis calculated $609 a ton of ecosystem benefits. There was $52 a ton in fuel savings, about $3 a ton in economic benefits and 56 cents a ton of skills and jobs improvements…
    ***They are still above prices in the UN’s Clean Development Mechanism, where benchmark credits settled yesterday at 16 euro cents ($0.21) a ton on ICE Futures Europe in London. Those contracts, which can be used for a portion of compliance needs in the European carbon market, were as high as 23.38 euros a ton in July 2008.

    the “56 cents a ton of skills and jobs improvements” out of a total of $664 is, surely, the funniest bit in this piece.

  89. (2 pages) 3 Sept: Environmental hypocrisy? Greenpeace embarrassed by leaders’ jet-setting carbon footprint
    Pascal Husting’s commute, dubbed ‘Flygate,’ angers environmental activists, repels donors
    by Gordon Darroch – Special to The Washington Times
    In the Netherlands alone, nearly 700 donors have canceled contributions to Greenpeace in response to the news of Mr. Husting’s flights…
    As the public relations disaster became clear, more than 40 Greenpeace staff members signed a letter in July demanding Mr. Husting’s resignation and asking Greenpeace Executive Director Kumi Naidoo to “reflect” on his own job…
    Mr. Husting was unable to relocate his family to Amsterdam, so Mr. Naidoo exempted him from an in-house rule to take overland routes for trips of less than 320 miles…
    “Externally, this flying scandal seriously undermines our credibility as an organization,” the employees wrote in the July letter, which was printed in Dutch media. “Every time we criticize politicians or companies, this story will come back [to haunt us]. If Greenpeace does not walk the talk, why should others do so? You do not seem to understand how public opinion works.”
    Some say Flygate is only the beginning…
    Greenpeace spokesman Andrew Kerr said the organization’s international board ultimately would decide whether Mr. Naidoo handled the situation properly.
    “It was an error of judgment which everybody regrets and Pascal has apologized for,” the spokesman said. “Kumi has not asked for Husting’s resignation. Ultimately, that’s the decision he has to make as executive director.”
    But, Mr. Timmermans said, “I don’t think there is a way back.”

  90. Stay classy, Sir Paul Nurse…

    “Climate sceptics should be ‘crushed and buried': Sir Paul Nurse attacks politicians who ‘distort’ facts on global warming”

    “Politicians who do not believe in climate change should be ‘crushed and buried’, according to the new president of the British Science Association.
    Sir Paul Nurse, who starts his presidency next week, pledged to ‘take on’ the ‘serial offenders’ who he accused of cherry picking scientific facts to suit their arguments.”

  91. From Rocky Mountain Institute comes a new salews pitch:
    Solar for All: Making Solar PV Accessible to Low-Income Families in the U.S.
    Typical talking points: Save money, green jobs, and social justice.

    “Clean energy access for low-income Americans,” writes clean energy development and policy professional Bryan Lewis for ThinkProgress, “is not just an issue of economics, but an issue of justice, as well.” Lower-income people in the United States are more susceptible to the negative impacts of climate change, may be more affected by urban pollution, and face health issues from living closer to coal plants. “Often times low-income families are the ones most affected by pollution,” Chuck Watkins told RMI. “So it’s nice for them to be able to be part of the climate change solution.”

  92. Saw this graphic of # of severe weather watches issued by the NWS over the last 10 years. Very clear down-trend in place. Goes completely against the narrative that global warming/climate change is causing severe weather activity to increase.

    This was posted by none other than Tom Skilling, who never wastes a chance to tell readers they are doomed from climate change.

  93. Ebola will take six to nine months to control, says WHO leader
    World Health Organisation director general Margaret Chan calls for global response and says stopping epidemic will cost $600m

    Sound familiar? WHO=IPCC

  94. Dang, I kind of like Brian Cox and his realistic presentation of physics but unfortunately…

    Not that the Guardian is a bastion of truth for this subject but I did not know that “95% certainty in science is effectively total” and that ‘You’re allowed to say, well I think we should do nothing. That’s a policy choice. But what you’re not allowed to do is to claim there’s a better estimate of the way that the climate will change, other than the one that comes out of the computer models. It’s nonsensical to say ‘we know better’, you can’t know better.’ In my book, “computer models” are not proof–we experience failures of models in the IC design industry all the time and we have that stuff pretty nailed down! The complexity of the climate requires a rigorous proof that we ARE causing change not proof that we are not.

  95. Typical alarmist nonsense (albeit well written), which totally ignores the facts that the US eastern seaboard is: i) mostly one of soft sediments and sea levels are often affected by groundwater depletion, ii) the same soft sediments indicate that it is a naturally sinking coastline, and iii) man’s attempts to save one area of coastline inevitably have adverse effects on nearby coastlines.

    But this is from Reuters, which I had always thought to be above spouting such alarmist nonsense.

  96. Suggestion, if I may:

    You are about to hit 200,000,000. May I suggest that it might be a good time for another comparison, your site rankings against, say, SkS, ‘real’climate, and deSmugBlargh ? Maybe toss in greg laden and willie connolley too. ;)

  97. Another snout abandons an empty trough…

    Former News Corp Australia chief executive Ken Cowley is to be questioned in court over his role in the collapse of farming company RM Williams Agricultural Holdings, which received nearly $10 million in taxpayer funding to establish the world’s largest carbon farm.

    Receivers for the collapsed company confirmed on Thursday that they were intending to conduct examinations of the directors involved in the “trading and operations” of the company that was chaired by Mr Cowley and failed owing nearly $100 million.

    The receivers are understood to be pursuing issues relating to secret share structures and standards around asset procurement that were exposed in a Fairfax Media investigation this year.

    A series of high-profile investors including News Corp, which invested $30 million, a Papua New Guinean retirement fund, New Hampshire-based millionaires and even the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission head Rod Sims lost money in the company, which was put into receivership in June last year by Westpac.

    Leveraging the name of RM Williams, the company bought vast cattle stations in the Northern Territory including the government-backed purchase of Henbury Station south of Alice Springs, which it was planning to turn into a carbon farm to offset Qantas and News Corp’s global carbon footprint…

  98. “Best of the Web Today
    The Virtue of Shellfishness
    Global warming, delicious if true.”

    ” From the Associated Press comes the latest climate horror story: “It’s already starting to happen. The culprit is the warming seas–and in particular the Gulf of Maine, whose waters are heating up faster than 99 percent of the world’s oceans, scientists say.” Of course, another way of looking at that is that 99% of the world’s oceans aren’t heating up at such an alarming rate.

    Never mind that. The story includes the obligatory definitive quotes from scientists and advocates: “These changes are very real, and we’re seeing them happen quickly,” says Rutgers biologist Malin Pinsky (though the AP notes he “was not involved in the research that resulted in the 99 percent statistic”). “The warming is already here,” says Jeff Young, who took some biology classes in 1990-91 after earning a bachelor’s degree in journalism in political science. “And we have to deal with it.”…”

    • Can’t find a published study that the Gulf of Maine article is based upon but this is getting a lot of distribution. The oft repeated story also states:

      “Until 2004, Gulf temperatures were increasing by about 0.05 degrees per year since 1982, about in line with worldwide trends, said Andy Pershing, chief scientific officer at the Gulf of Maine Research Institute and the man behind the 99 per cent figure. But then the pace accelerated to about a half-degree per year — nearly 10 times faster.”

      So let’s look at that math. From 1982 to 2004 the gulf temperature increased about 0.05 degrees per year since 1982. That’s about a one degree increase over the 22 years. But then the “pace accelerated to about a half-degree per year”. So from 2004 to 2014 the temperature went up FIVE degrees (0.5 degrees per year for ten years)???? Call Kevin Trenberth, his missing heat is hiding in the Gulf of Maine.

  99. New study clears up Greenland climate puzzle, or “Greenland began heating up around 19,000 years ago at the end of the last ice age, just like the rest of the northern hemisphere, researchers said in a report that resolves a paradox over when that warming happened” :

    I can’t find the actual study, but the news article has the following to say about it

    Washington (AFP) – Greenland began heating up around 19,000 years ago at the end of the last ice age, just like the rest of the northern hemisphere, researchers said in a report that resolves a paradox over when that warming happened.

    Previous studies had suggested this warming went back only 12,000 years, according to the study published in the US journal Science.

    Huge sheets of ice covered North America and northern Europe some 20,000 years ago during the coldest part of the ice age. At the time, global average temperatures were about four degrees Celsius (seven degrees Fahrenheit) colder than during pre-industrial times.

    Then, changes in the Earth’s orbit around the sun increased solar energy reaching Greenland beginning some 19,000 years ago, causing the release of carbon from the deep ocean. This led to a gradual rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2).

    In the past, studies of ice cores from Greenland did not show any warming response as would be expected from an increase in CO2 and solar energy flux, said lead author Christo Buizert of Oregon State University.

    In the new study, released Thursday, scientists reconstructed air temperatures by examining ratios of nitrogen isotopes in air trapped within the ice, rather than in the ice itself, which had been used in past studies.

    The new method did in fact detect significant warming in response to increasing atmospheric CO2.

    According to this analysis of the period going from 19,000 years ago to 12,000 years ago, Greenland heated up by about five degrees. This is very close to what climate models predict, the researchers said.

    This rise heralded the start of the so-called Holocene period, which was warm and stable and allowed human civilization to develop.

    “The last deglaciation is a natural example of global warming and climate change,” Buizert said. “It is very important to study this period because it can help us better understand the climate system and how sensitive the surface temperature is to atmospheric CO2.”

  100. Mysterious Silhouette on Skeptical Science!

    As seen on Trend Calculator page:

    Has Timer!
    1:09:21:29, 1:09:21:28…

    Links to:

    Populates the screen with a group of a hundred people silhouettes (there were number placeholders during screen fill).

    Oh, I get it! It’s like 10:10, when the timer hits zero the three deniers that aren’t in the 97% Consensus get blown up!

  101. I love your site but at times feel overwhelmed by the amount of data.

    Please consider a beginners section of sorts, which could fulfill two purposes:
    1. Help a newbie skeptic learn the basics
    2. Identify key material to ‘enlighten’ AGW believers, to open their eyes.

    Number 2 is my need. I can get my family to read some of my suggestions, which I hope will cause them to read more. What is the key content that is likely to sow seeds of doubt in AWG fanboys/girls?

    • Some Climate Math — and why the man-made “global warming” hysterics are insane

      0.04% of the atmosphere is CO2, and humans are estimated to add 0.002% each year (worst case scenario — IPCC number).

      The annual global consumption of hydrocarbons by mankind is equivalent to about 10.2 cubic kilometers of oil equivalent.

      The “effective volume” of the Earth’s atmosphere is about 4.2 billion cubic kilometers.

      [The volume of water on Earth is 1.4 billion cubic kilometers.]

      The mass of the atmosphere is about 5 quadrillion (5,000,000,000,000,000) metric tons.

      What proportion of CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere is from human activities?

      Humans put 13 billion tons of CO2 into the atmosphere each year.

      5 000 000 000 000 000 / 13 000 000 000 = 384 615.385

      Or 1/384,615 of Earth’s atmosphere.

      Carbon dioxide (CO2) was discovered around 1770 by Joseph Priestley, who also discovered oxygen (O2) in 1774, for which he is better known.

      A scientist called Le Chatelier proposed the so-called “equilibrium law,” which has been used to argue if CO2 increases in the atmosphere, plants will metabolise it faster.

      Before the Industrial Revolution there used to be about 27 molecules of CO2 for every 100,000 molecules of air – now there are roughly 39 molecules per 100,000.

      How long will it take for human activities to increase the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere by 1%?

      1% of 5 000 000 000 000 000 is 5 000 000 000 000

      5 000 000 000 000 / 13 000 000 000 = 384.615385

      Answer : It would take at least 384 years for humans to increase the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere by 1%. (Assuming no CO2 was ever absorbed back into the sea or Earth’s biomass.)


      How much CO2 is needed to raise its atmospheric concentration by 120ppm?

      The current CO2 concentration is 400ppm…or 0.04% of the atmosphere.
      0.04% of 5 quadrillion metric tons is 2 trillion (2,000,000,000,000) metric tons.

      2 trillion metric tons per 400ppm CO2 = 5 billion metric tons per 1ppm CO2.

      120ppm x 5 billion metric tons = 600 billion metric tons.

      Therefore burning fossil fuels and making cement, beer, wine, soda pop, and the baking of breads, etc. hardly puts a ripple in the natural emissions of CO2 into the atmosphere.

      The carbon cycle can never be stable. A warming ocean as a whole emits CO2 and a bi-yearly warming of the ocean surface emits CO2 whereas a bi-yearly cooling of the ocean surface absorbs CO2. Green growing biomass and raindrops remove CO2 from the atmosphere and the rotting and decaying of biomass emits CO2 into the atmosphere. Damp and increasing surface temperatures greatly enhances the rotting and decaying of biomass whereas dry and/or cooling to freezing surface temperatures greatly retards and/or inhibits the rotting and decaying of biomass.

      The bi-yearly cycling of the Keeling Curve Graph’s CO2 ppm measurement is ample proof of the above.

      The man-made part of CO2 is about 3%, and the fossil fuel part is about 50% of that.

      Let’s calculate the proportion of fossil fuel CO2 in the atmosphere:

      0.0004 x .03 x .5 = 0.000006

      Therefore, what the climate hysterics are saying is that the 0.000006 parts of CO2 coming from fossil fuels are going to cause all the polar ice caps to melt; the polar bears to die; the sea level to rise 10 feet or more. etc, etc… (This is in spite of nearly all the man-made CO2 being absorbed into the biosphere and the sea within five years.)

      I hear the “delicate balance” argument but these numbers are beyond tiny and make no intuitive sense. Anybody who thinks that mankind can have a global impact on this planet by producing CO2 is seriously deluded.

      And anybody who makes a living out of shoving this fraud down our throats at immeasurable cost in financial and human suffering terms is beneath contempt.

      Greenhouse gas emissions are only one factor in altering the balance of incoming and outgoing radiation on which the earth’s temperature depends. Amongst other relevant factors there are some for which the science is incomplete or in its infancy – such as the fluctuations in solar energy, which probably had much to do with those brief but devastating ice ages in the recorded history of Europe.

      In these circumstances, for a politician to insist on “collective responsibility” for a particular view of our planet’s future, and to describe that orthodoxy as “science,” and that “the science is settled” is an affront to human intelligence. It is also a reminder of those previous attempts to mask ideological censorship as scientific proof, inspired by the “scientific socialism” of Marx.

  102. Billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer short of $100 million campaign goal

    Two months before Election Day, his climate change advocacy group, which has targeted Maine, has a relatively minor presence on the air.

    When he vowed to spend as much as $50 million of his own money, and raise the same from like-minded donors, billionaire Tom Steyer electrified the political world with his promise to make climate change an issue in this year’s midterm elections.

    Those elections are now two months away, and the former hedge fund manager is running out of time…

    …To be sure, Steyer hasn’t backed away from the midterms. He’s given more money than anyone else this year to the myriad of political groups spending freely to buy television ads, call voters and pack mailboxes with fliers. Since the 2012 election, he’s personally donated almost $26 million to his super PAC, NextGen Climate Action, with $5 million of that earmarked for a donation to a group run by former top aides to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid that’s focused on keeping the Senate in Democratic hands.

    But NextGen has gotten little other support, collecting only about $1.7 million from other donors through the end of July. Steyer’s nonprofit, NextGen Climate, does not have to disclose its finances, but it also cannot be explicitly political in its actions.

  103. I came across this and thought it would be of interest here, in the interest of science before someone claims AGW did it.

    Like weeds of the sea, ‘brown tide’ algae exploit nutrient-rich coastlines

    The sea-grass beds of Long Island’s Great South Bay once teemed with shellfish. Clams, scallops and oysters filtered nutrients from the water and flushed money through the local economy. But three decades after the algae that cause brown tides first appeared here, much of the sea grass and the bounty it used to provide is gone…

    …While other photosynthetic algae crave sunlight, Aureococcus can live for days in the dark. When other algae run out of their preferred inorganic nutrients and die, Aureococcus is able to feast on the all-you-can-eat buffet of organic nutrients, sometimes derived from lawn fertilizers and sewage. “They are opportunists,” said study lead author Kyle Frischkorn, a graduate student at Lamont-Doherty. “They can exploit the low inorganic nutrient situations that other algae can’t, and they continue to grow even when high cell densities shade out light.”
    Their secret lies in their DNA. In sequencing Aureococcus’ genome, researchers discovered it has up to three times as many light-harvesting genes as competing algae. Aureococcus also has the capacity to make enzymes that can break down organic nitrogen and phosphorus when inorganic nutrients run low. Further, its tiny stature—about the size of most bacteria—means it needs fewer resources like nitrogen and phosphorus to compete.

    This is a must read article.

    On that note, nice job with the site upgrade, Anthony!

  104. People send Anthony stuff…..

    Well, here is another bit of stuff I though the WUWT readers would enjoy.

    It is a video describing the Lagrange points ( other geosynchronous points ) where satellites may maintain a relatively constant position relative to the earth without being stuck in the geosynchronous orbit we all love so much.

    It is relevant to solar observations.

    This 8 minute video and it’s animations are particular good.


  105. Stumbled upon this:

    “Dr. B. Lynn Ingram is a professor in the Department of Earth and Planetary Science at UC Berkeley, California. The primary goal of her research is to assess how climates and environments have changed over the past several thousand years based on the geochemical and sedimentologic analysis of aquatic sediments and archaeological deposits, with a particular focus on the US West.

    She is the co-author of “The West without Water: What Past Floods, Droughts, and Other Climatic Clues Tell Us about Tomorrow” together with Dr. Frances Malamud-Roam, which received great reviews
    L. Ingram: “My co-author and I decided to write this book because our findings, and those of our colleagues, were all showing that over the past several thousand years, California and the West have experienced extremes in climate that we have not seen in modern history – the past 150 years or so . Floods and droughts far more catastrophic than we can even imagine. We felt it was important to bring these findings to the attention of the broader public, as these events tend to repeat themselves. So we need to prepare, just as we prepare for large earthquakes in California.”

  106. Apparently we are killing of species at a 10 or is that 100 times greater rate than previously thought.

    Extinctions during human era worse than thought

    “The researchers honed their models by testing them with simulated data for which they knew an actual extinction rate. The final models yielded accurate results. They tested the models to see how they performed when certain key assumptions were wrong and on average the models remained correct (in the aggregate, if not always for every species group).”

    Yep, simulated data.


  107. OH! The Irony!

    Britain’s most senior scientist has launched a fierce attack on influential figures who distort scientific evidence to support their own political, religious or ideological agendas.

    The president of the Royal Society, Sir Paul Nurse, said scientists must challenge serial offenders from all spheres of life who continually misused science to support their preconceived beliefs.

    Speaking ahead of an inaugural speech he will give next week as the incoming president of the British Science Association (BSA), Nurse said it was not enough for scientists to sit on the sidelines and sneer when public figures expounded unscientific nonsense. He urged researchers to forge relationships with politicians, lobbyists, religious figures and leaders of organisations in the hope that they might feel ashamed to misuse scientific evidence.

    But if that approach failed, Nurse urged researchers to call offenders out in the media and challenge them in the strongest way possible. “When they are serial offenders they should be crushed and buried”, Nurse said.

    …Here, here! I say. For once I am in agreement. (Though I must say it is impossible to “call out” climate hysterics like Nurse when they refuse all offers of debate.)

  108. We are close to the climatological max for N Hemis hurricane season. This link has real time ACE index data.

    The season started with a bang when Hurricane Arthur was the earliest ever to hit NC. But now, North Atlantic is quiet and only 44% of normal for season. The global ACE is 91% of normal in 2014

  109. Cities Prep for Extreme Weather but They’re Not Calling It Global Warming

    In many city planning departments, Global Warming (or Climate Change) has become like Voldemort, it’s the issue that cannot be named.

    The pattern illustrates a growing disconnect between the debate still raging in politics and the reality on the ground.

  110. This is worth an article:

    Farmers’ Almanac More Reliable Than Warming Climate Models

    Bad Science: It turns out that a 200-year-old publication for farmers beats climate-change scientists in predicting this year’s harsh winter as the lowly caterpillar beats supercomputers that can’t even predict the past.

    Last fall, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) predicted above-normal temperatures from November through January across much of the continental U.S. The Farmers’ Almanac, first published in 1818, predicted a bitterly cold, snowy winter.

    The Maine-based Farmers’ Almanac’s still-secret methodology includes variables such as planetary positions, sunspots, lunar cycles and tidal action. It claims an 80% accuracy rate, surely better than those who obsess over fossil fuels and CO2.

    The winter has stayed cold in 2014, and snowfall and snow cover are way above average. USA Today reported on Feb. 14 that there was snow on the ground in part of every state except Florida. That includes Hawaii.

    “Sometimes trying to figure out why something happened is as hard as making the forecast of what will happen,” CPC Acting Director Mike Halpert said in a Feb. 14 interview. Such uncertainty is what we are supposed to be basing our industrial and economic policy on.

    As Bloomberg notes, the CPC underestimated the “mammoth December cold wave, which brought snow to Dallas and chilled partiers in Times Square on New Year’s Eve.” The Almanac didn’t, though Caleb Weatherbee, its prognosticator, apologized for being a few days off on two of the season’s biggest storms.

    The CPC seems to have completely missed the “polar vortex” that swept down and caused every state except Florida to experience snowfall and brought about 4,406 record low temperatures across the U.S. in January, along with 1,073 record snowfalls.

    As John Christy, professor of atmospheric science and director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, has noted, global temperatures collected in five official databases confirm that there’s been no statistically significant global warming for the past 17 years — contradicting the predictions made by 73 computer models cited in the United Nations’ latest (wrong) global warming report.

    In recent years we’ve seen predictions of snowless winters, an ice-free Arctic, and island nations disappearing under the rising seas. We’ve also seen climate expeditions stick in ice that wasn’t supposed to be there and polar bear populations rising.

    Maybe Al Gore should check the Farmers’ Almanac.

  111. Claim: Half of North American bird species threatened by climate change

    However: The study also used climate projections from a 2007 report by the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which said scientists’ “best estimate” was that temperatures would rise 3.2 to 7.8 degrees by 2100. In contrast, the increase from 1901 to 2005 was 1.2 degrees.

    Conclusion: GIGO study.

  112. lunacy?

    9 Sept: Guardian: Melissa Davey: Research shows surprise global warming ‘hiatus’ could have been forecast
    Australian and US climate experts say with new ocean-based modelling tools, the early 2000s warming slowdown was foreseeable
    Gerald Meehl, a senior scientist at the National Centre for Atmospheric Research in the US, along with the Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research in Melbourne, decided to challenge the assumption that no climate model could have foreseen the hiatus…
    While Meehl said all the factors that might be driving the hiatus were still being studied, his research, published in the journal Nature Climate Change, suggested natural decade-to-decade climate variability was largely responsible…
    Professor Matthew England, the deputy director of the climate change research centre at the University of New South Wales, said the study was important because it revealed initialised climate models could have predicted the recent slowdown in surface atmospheric warming.
    “This gives us confidence in the skill of these models for longer-term climate projections, as they appear to be able to capture the interplay between decadal variability and long-term warming,” he said
    “Like a weather prediction system, the models just need appropriate initial conditions, and then their skill on the decadal time-scale comes through.”

    • “Research shows surprise global warming ‘hiatus’ could have been forecast
      Australian and US climate experts say with new ocean-based modelling tools, the early 2000s warming slowdown was foreseeable”

      Yes, and the 2008 global recession and stock market crash was foreseeable, too. In hindsight.

      In my forecasting career, I’ve found that forecasting the past is much easier than forecasting the future.

      I’m sure that the new inputs into the models will simply be used to justify COOLING THE PAST AND WARMING THE FUTURE.

  113. “Greenhouse gas levels rising at fastest levels since 1984″ according to Matt McGrath at the BBC.

    It’s actually an early alarm-raiser for Chicken Licken gabfests in NY later this month and in Paris next year.

  114. The BBC’s melodrama dept. are sensationalising CO2 again in this morning’s news (9.20 am BST Tuesday 9th September).

    “According to the bulletin, the globally averaged amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere reached 396 parts per million (ppm) in 2013, an increase of almost 3ppm over the previous year.”

    Firstly, they don’t mention last year’s reported 400ppm, and secondly, an increase of 3ppm is a microscopic 1/333,333th’s of all atmospheric gas – meaning that 99 x 333,333th’s of the atmosphere remains the same.

  115. New story on BBC re CO2 levels

    What is interesting however, is reading some of the comments – no more blind acceptance of “the facts”. perhaps people in the UK are finally waking up to reality.


  116. WUWT is about to hit 200,000,000 views. Time to celebrate it’s huge success and influence. Congratulations Anthony and the team that makes it go.

  117. 09 September 2014 – 10:59 am

    [ Obviously, Al Gore is not doing enough for the Climate. ]

    ~* This guy, instead, is
    “Experiencing the world upside down to
    raise awareness of Planned Obsolescence.” *~

    (09 September 2014)

    TNH –

    TNH / Planned Obsolescence –



    EPA Takes on the Oyster/Acidification Scaremongers
    It’s been a convenient story for some.

    The “evil twin of global warming”, ocean acidification caused by increasing carbon dioxide, is killing billions of oysters in Northwest waters.

    Major media gave it lots of play, with the Seattle Times producing a glossy series centered around the oyster carnage.
    Recently, in a formal legal statement provided to the U.S. District Court of Western Washington, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) made it clear that the oyster/acidification scare was baseless in both fact and law. Furthermore, the Washington State Department of Ecology came to the same conclusion.

  119. Snowfall record for Calgary yesterday and snowfall warning for tomorrow…tweet below from CTV forecaster

  120. Speaking of birds being extinct because of climate disruption…what about the birds and bats killed by windmills..there are a lot of them..and birds fried by solar panels

  121. Let the comedy ensue:

    Phil Aroneanu – ( 6:09 PM Newsletters

    Here are just a few of the more impressive numbers coming together for the People’s Climate March on September 21st. If you’re ready to be a part of this historic event, click here to get plugged in.

    50: US states that will be represented at the march.

    374: Buses and trains currently listed online for travel to New York City for the march.

    26: City blocks the NYPD has reserved for us to assemble in before the march. That’s a lot of room for us to fill.

    1100+: the number of community, labor, environmental justice, faith and progressive groups who have endorsed the march. More join every day.

    28: Different religious faiths and denominations represented in that list of endorsing organizations.

    20: The minimum number of marching bands we’re expecting, to make sure we are a movement that dances as well as marches.

    300+: The number of college campuses where students are mobilizing to come to New York.

    1500: Actions planned worldwide for the weekend of Sept. 20th and 21st, in 130 countries.

    40,000: The number of people at the biggest US climate march to date. (Last year’s Forward on Climate march in DC). I’m confident we can do much bigger on the 21st.

    401 parts per million: The peak concentration of carbon in the atmosphere measured by the world’s leading scientists this spring — higher than any time in human history.

    0: The amount of progress we’ll make if we stay home. There’s no guarantee this will work. The only thing that’s for sure is if we stay home, nothing will change — except the climate.

    Let’s roll.

  122. Finding one of the ships from the Franklin Expedition from 1845 is particularly important because it indicates that the all the historic sea ice reconstructions are faulty.

    The Nimbus satellite pics from September 1964 showed the sea ice extent at only 6.9M km2 and finding the Franklin ship in an area which would be completely/nearly impossible for a wooden sailing ship to reach at today’s 5.02M minimum let alone the estimated 8.0M km2 (or 9.0M or 10.0M) in the historic sea ice reconstructions, means that all of the reconstructions were just faulty, alarmist.

    Location of the ship.

    Today’s (September 9, 2014) sea ice in the same area).

    There is no way the Franklin ship could have reached this location today let alone 160 years ago when the historic sea ice reconstructions indicate this area could only be multi-year thick sea ice.

    The Canadian ship which found the Franklin ship was supported by 2 ice-breakers at different times.


    Thirty Conservatives agreed “there is a widespread theory that climate change is largely man-made but this has not yet been conclusively proved”, and another 10 agreed that “man-made climate change is environmentalist propaganda for which there is little or no real evidence.” For Labour, 12 MPs agreed with the former statement, and just one with the latter.

    That these questions are getting asked in these terms in a survey is great progress.

    Thanks WUWT.

  124. An interesting passage from the CBC article on the Franklin discovery

    And the icebreaker had to work hard this year, as ice proved a particular challenge for searchers, especially in the northern Victoria Strait that had been a priority area in the 2014 quest.

    But that same ice also may have, in ways, helped searchers hone in on the spot where the ship was ultimately found.

    “Because of very, very difficult ice conditions in the north, we all redeployed south this summer and that’s why we found this vessel,” said Balsillie, who had returned to Ontario from the North just before the ship was discovered.

    “Something tells me everybody’s pretty interested to get back up there next summer and see if they can find a second vessel some place in the North, which was Plan A until the ice got so bad this summer.”

  125. Hello Anthony,

    Willis Eschenbach mentioned the ports of Lewiston & Clarkston on the Snake River in a recent post. I took a look around using Streetview & moved on, so to speak. Today, I received an email from Charlotte Harris who has written a number of books about the likely presence of Chinese mariners on the west coast of North America, well before the arrival of Christopher Columbus in the Caribbean.

    She wrote that in August, she visited her sister in Kaminah, Idaho & noticed a very old Mulberry tree behind the Hearthstone Bakery & Teahouse at 502, Main Street. Lewis & Clark recorded that they saw silkworms when they camped near what would become Kaminah. Granted, there could be another explanation for a Mulberry tree in Kaminah, other than it being transplanted there by the Chinese, but if it survived all the changes in climate In Ifaho since from before 1433 AD, that’s just remarkable.

    Silk Worms and a Sea Port in Idaho

    © Charlotte Harris Rees September 2014

    Sometimes we all find things in places that we would least expect them.

    This August I spoke at a symposium in British Columbia. To get there my husband and I flew into Seattle, rented a car and took a ferry to beautiful Victoria. After the conference and returning to the States, we drove seven hours from Seattle to Kamiah, Idaho to visit my sister Marjorie, her husband Harty Schmaehl, and my cousin David Harris.

    Marjorie and Harty have a lodge and restaurant-bakery there. The Hearthstone Lodge, beautifully decorated with world class amenities, overlooks the Clearwater River and the Lewis and Clark Trail which follows the river for over 70 miles. People whitewater raft on the river. Dave and I were blown away with the beauty of both the lodge and the scenery in that area.

    Marjorie and Harty gave us a great day of sightseeing on the Nez Perce Indian reservation and other area locations. The storefronts of their town look like a set from a western movie. Lewis and Clark first viewed Appaloosa horses with the Nez Perce and we saw some.

    At one point we stopped behind their restaurant for them to check on something. While I was waiting for them to return I observed a very old and strange mulberry tree and ate a few of the mulberries. Marjorie said that there had been a news article about that very old tree. I wondered if it was Morus alba, a plant native to China, a species I had written about in Did Ancient Chinese Explore America? My Journey Through the Rocky Mountains to Find Answers.

    Professors John Sorenson and Carl Johannessen contend in World Trade and Biological Exchanges Before 1492 C.E. that based on journals from around the time of Columbus that Morus alba were already in the New World when the first Europeans arrived. i

    Later on returning home I ran across an e-mail sent to me in April of this year by graduate student, Nancie McCormish, with a link to Lewis and Clark’s expedition

    journal. She pointed out to me that their May 30, 1806 entry stated that Lewis and Clark had seen silk worms.ii

    In Did Ancient Chinese Explore America? I discussed the relationship of silk worms to mulberry trees and that silk worms must be fed constantly. Silk worms are also native to China and not North America.

    Biology professor T. Ombrello wrote: “There is an intimate connection between the Mulberry and the silkworm. This insect, the foundation of an industry that dates back over 4000 years to China, eats only one thing – the Mulberry and especially the White mulberry [mulberry native to China.]”iii Ombrello further stated that the silk worms “will not seek food and rarely wander away.” This implies that someone at some time intentionally brought silk worms to the New World.

    Digging deeper I found a map of where Lewis and Clark were at that time they reported seeing silk worms. A university had overlaid Lewis and Clark’s map onto a current map.iv I was shocked to discover that Lewis and Clark were camped at Kamiah, Idaho at that time. They had spent extra time at that location because it was so pleasant. On the internet at USDA Plants I learned that mulberry trees along with several other plants native to China grow wild there today.

    Silk worms and eggs cannot survive below 35 degrees.v Therefore, they could not have come from China via the route across the Bering Strait during an ice age. The silk worms had to have arrived to America by sea. Because of the life cycle and the voracious eating habits of silk worms, the timing of that trip would have had to have been carefully planned. Morus alba, which were used by Chinese for a variety of purposes, had to already have been planted and waiting in the New World.

    In 1433 China shut down their sea trade to the outside world. Reportedly for several hundred years after that it was a capital offense to go to sea. The Indians in Kamiah reported no recent contact with the Chinese to Lewis and Clark. Therefore, one would assume that the silk worms arrived to the new world prior to 1433.

    I was again surprised to learn that there is a seaport in Idaho. Ships come up the Columbia River and then the Snake River to Clarkston, Washington and Lewiston, Idaho a few miles from Kamiah – right where the Clearwater River joins the Snake

    River. During the gold rush, later in the 19th century, many prospectors arrived to that area by coming up those rivers from the West Could the silk worms in Kamiah have arrived up that same water way?

    Is the very old tree behind my sister’s restaurant the variety of mulberry native to China? Someone else will have to answer that. However, if you want a tranquil vacation in scenic wilderness at a reasonably priced and stunningly beautiful lodge, check out Hearthstone Lodge, Kamiah, ID. Phone 208-935-1492. See I promise that you will not be disappointed.

    Attached are photos from front and back of the old mulberry tree in Kamiah. i John L. Sorrenson & Carl L. Johannessen, World Trade and Biological Exchanges Before 1492 C.E. (Revised and Expanded Edition), 2013, p. 40 ii iii http://faculty/ iv v vi Sister M. Alfreda Eisensohn, Idaho Chinese Lore, Caxton Printers, Caldwell, Idaho, 1970, p. 15

  126. Calgary is getting a nasty snowstorm. Stewart Pid commented on my blog:

    Caleb I don’t know if Calgary’s snow is making your news but u wouldn’t believe it here … snowing like crazy and this is day 3 of the winter mess. Heavy wet snow that is taking down branches and whole trees, splitting others in two etc etc …. it sounded like a war zone starting about 4 AM as branches cracked and crashed to the ground. I had a beautiful green space out back and fear that I will lose the majority of the trees when the city cleans up the mess. Power is off all over town, traffic lights out etc etc although so far our power hasn’t failed. Truly unbelievable …. this would be a big storm by January standards and it is September!
    Truly back breaker stuff to shovel too.
    This must be how an ice age starts

    • I literately became ill to my stomach watching Sam Champion and Jim Cantore make this stuff up.

      Sam Champion says “The WMO has challenged a small group of media outlets” to put out these weathercasts. WUWT is a media outlet. WUWT should do their own. I have a background in TV and know others. We could show what the weather would be like if the solar guys are right about another LIA hitting by 2045. Everybody could walk around eating saturated fat, freezing their butts off with all the orange juice coming from capitalist Cuba.

  127. Solar Storm Warning: Sun Shoots X-Flare Outburst at Earth

    A cantankerous sunspot region erupted with a powerful X1.6-class solar flare at just the wrong time Wednesday. The blast was pointing right at us. That means any resulting outburst of electrically charged particles, known as a coronal mass ejection or CME, could have a disruptive effect.

    • NOAA SWPC says,

      Top News of the Day:

      2014-09-10 19:43 UTC Recent R3 Solar Flare

      Active Region 2158, now near center disk, produced a X1 (NOAA Scale R3 – Strong) solar flare today at 10/1745 UTC (Sept 10th 01:45pm EDT ). Impacts to HF radio communications on the daylight side of Earth are expected to last for more than an hour. Initial information suggests that CME is likely associated with this event, but further analysis is underway at this time.

      Standby for more details.

  128. Meterologists predict a harsh winter:

    …there is a 99% chance that the we will start to see a massive cold-front sooner in the year than has ever happened, which will produce not just record-breaking snowfall, but according to Dr. Boris Scvediok, a doctor of global weather sciences, record shattering snow storms across the board, affecting the entire United States.

    “Pretty much everyone will see snow like they never have in their lives. Most younger people don’t even know what an actual blizzard looks like, but by the end of March, they will be seasoned survivalists,” Blankenbaker said.


    Note that Robert O Wood, who according to this story disproved the existence of “N-Rays” also disproved the existence of the “greenhouse effect”. What a small small world……

    Presented “as is/where is”, no further representations of the accuracy of the history of the “N-Ray” are asserted by myself. But it seems credible (and not sarcasm) based on 5 minutes of on-line research.

    This is a new historical “tidbit” for me, never ever heard of “N-rays” in my educational history over the last 40 years, that would be expected if they never existed.

    Cheers, Kevin.

  130. Whoops, that should be; “Robert W Wood”, i do have such a hard time discerning “O” and “W”, they look so similar, ha ha ha.

  131. Is this worth an article?
    National Audubon Society study: climate change threatens the loon and other Minnesota birds
    Article in Associated Press.

  132. 10 Sept: Bloomberg: Brian K. Sullivan: No Named Storms First Time Since 1992 at Hurricane Peak
    The statistical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season has arrived and for the first time since 1992 there isn’t a named storm in the basin…
    In records going back to 1851, Sept. 10 is the day when the odds are greatest there will be at least one tropical storm or hurricane somewhere in the Atlantic…
    Bell said the Atlantic is a little cooler than it has been in past years and if a shift began, it might look something like the current year…
    “But we are still ahead of the ridiculously quiet season of 2013,” he said. “I would say that we need at least one more quiet year to really be convinced that we are heading into an inactive era.” …

  133. Anthony, I work with high-level statistics, and this was a very pertinent article to research including “climate science.”

    In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance.

  134. all this and much more, including how Sutter was one of the few who actually watched “Years of Living Dangerously” at the link:

    VIDEO: 10 Sept: Democracy Now: Exclusive: DA Joins the Climate Activists He Declined to Prosecute, Citing Danger of Global Warming
    SAM SUTTER: Well, I can tell you that I started wrestling with exactly how I was going to accomplish the various goals that I had on this case as we got closer to trial, and actually reached the decision over the weekend through several discussions with some top people in my office, all of whom, I believe, share my views on climate change…
    SAM SUTTER: Well, first about the decision, and then about my point of view and whether it was unusual or not. So, we thought about reporting part of the case to the appeals court, because we were not sure that the criminal court had jurisdiction of the motorboat charges. But that was not met with a positive reception, really, by either the judge or the defense attorneys. So then we had to try to come up with a resolution of the case that met several concerns—obviously, number one, my duty to uphold the law. So I can be in great sympathy with the protesters, but I do have a duty to uphold the law. Secondly, the interests of those in Somerset who had to foot the bill. That’s the taxpayers of Somerset. But then, finally, my moral position on this issue. So, through a very open discussion, which I like very much, there was a synthesis, and we came up with what I thought was really the ideal resolution. This was an act of civil disobedience, so this should be treated as a civil infraction. And I was extremely pleased when we broached the idea with the defense attorneys and they embraced it…
    SAM SUTTER: Well, it’s been a humbling response and an inspiring one. I don’t think I’ve ever received—maybe the night that I won district attorney, I might have received cheers that loud and that energetic, but it was just a wonderful, wonderful feeling. And the response since, all the requests for interviews, it really has kind of taken me aback, because I think that my position is a reasonable one in view of the data that I’ve looked at, the conversations that I’ve had with individuals more expert than I am. We’re at a crisis point. And I do believe—with all respect for the political leadership, I do believe that there are not enough political leaders speaking out boldly on this issue….
    I mean, as I read in Professor McKibben’s article in Rolling Stone, on a sunny day, Germany is getting half of its energy from solar. On a normal day, Texas is getting a third of its energy from wind. Those are the kinds of situations that need to take place globally…

  135. Another cost of wind power – Unmarked wind measurement towers just below the FAA limit for marking have killed three ag pilots so far. Lawsuit finally brings the wind industry into the safety camp.

    Reposted here, put in your email initially because I did not follow directions. Tsk tsk.

      • The stupidity of some people is truly staggering

        “…These Defendants were mindful that the FAA had a requirement of marking and lighting such a tower if it exceeded 200 feet. By attempting to erect a tower literally inches under 200 feet, they believed that the tower was not required to be evaluated or registered with the FAA, nor compliant with the requirements that it be marked and made visible if over 200 feet. All of the above Defendants, through their insurance carriers, have contributed to settle this matter for the sum of $6.7 million.

        “On the day of the subject incident, Mr. Allen was never made aware of the existence of the tower by Bouldin Farming Company, and from eyewitness accounts, it was clear that he never saw it before he struck it and fell to his death…”

        In other words they tried to game the system and lost. It never occurred to anyone that by losing someone would die and it would cost them a fortune in legal fees and damages. And all to save a pittance in lighting.

  136. [ScienceDaily] The researchers identified five episodes over the past 6,000 years when dramatic changes occurred in Egypt’s mammalian community, three of which coincided with extreme environmental changes as the climate shifted to more arid conditions. These drying periods also coincided with upheaval in human societies, such as the collapse of the Old Kingdom around 4,000 years ago and the fall of the New Kingdom about 3,000 years ago.

    “There were three large pulses of aridification as Egypt went from a wetter to a drier climate, starting with the end of the African Humid Period 5,500 years ago when the monsoons shifted to the south,” Yeakel said. “At the same time, human population densities were increasing, and competition for space along the Nile Valley would have had a large impact on animal populations

  137. Seth Borenstein, AP’s climate shaman, has a new article on the shrunken ozone layer (thanks to all the countries pitching in and solving the problem…. just like we could bring down global temperature if we would simply listen to the UN).

    “WASHINGTON — Earth’s protective but fragile ozone layer is beginning to recover, largely because of the phase-out since the 1980s of certain chemicals used in refrigerants and aerosol cans, a U.N. scientific panel reported Wednesday in a rare piece of good news about the health of the planet.

    Scientists said the development demonstrates that when the world comes together, it can counteract a brewing ecological crisis.

    For the first time in 35 years, scientists were able to confirm a statistically significant and sustained increase in stratospheric ozone, which shields us from solar radiation that causes skin cancer, crop damage and other problems.

    From 2000 to 2013, ozone levels went up 4 percent in the key mid-northern latitudes at about 30 miles high, said NASA scientist Paul A. Newman. He co-chaired the every-four-years ozone assessment by 300 scientists, released at the United Nations.

    “It’s a victory for diplomacy and for science and for the fact that we were able to work together,” said chemist Mario Molina.

    Are we singing “We Are the World” yet?

  138. 8 Sept: Bloomberg: Ehren Goossens: Sharp Seeks Sale of U.S Solar Developer Recurrent Energy
    Sharp Corp., the Japanese electronics maker, is seeking to sell its U.S. solar-energy development unit Recurrent Energy.
    Sharp has retained Bank of Nova Scotia to help shop San Francisco-based Recurrent, according to documents obtained by Bloomberg. Profit in Osaka-based Sharp’s energy unit plunged 97 percent in its first fiscal quarter as residential solar sales slumped in Japan.
    The sale would be Sharp’s latest step back from the solar industry. The company stopped making panels in the U.S. and U.K. this year and pulled out of an Italian panel-manufacturing joint venture…

  139. Jeff Master’s never misses a chance to hype the cause. Today he is linking his site (WxUnderground) to the Weather Channels 2050 weather forecast.

    The futuristic weather casts from 2050 are the same distance away as 1978… 36 years. I checked the satellite records and looks like amount the same amount of global sea ice as 1978. Sea level rose about the same as it did from 1942-1978 or 1906-1942. Temps 1978-2014 were up a bit in winter, in the far north, in urban zones and at night but otherwise not much changed. Looks to me that in the year 2050, things won’t be much different, except that these “weathercasts” will look incredibly dated and ridiculous. I’ll keep a copy and show it to Jim Cantore on VHS in the nursing home.

    I’ve noticed that in fiction, the future is always dark and awful. But a historian would conclude otherwise as the human condition generally makes steady progress.

  140. Apologies if this has alrady been picked up by other posters. I’ve noticed the DMS arctic sea ice extent graph is often one to a few days out of date. However their mobile site is often more up to date. So today for example the main site, including the graph picked up on the Watts Up With That Sea Ice page, is showing the out of date graph (9 Sept) with a small decline whereas the mobile site is showing today’s data with a strong uptick.

  141. Anthony,
    Looks like a ‘near miss’ R3 CME… or just grazed the planet. Smaller events to continue through Friday. We might even get to see the Northern Lights, here in the Seattle area, as we have a relatively ‘clear’ forecast.
    Keep in mind that the forecast periods listed are in Universal Time so aurora watchers in the northern U.S. should be looking for possible activity both Thursday and Friday nights.

  142. The birds will die!!!!!

    It’s Time To Act – Nearly half of our birds are at risk of extinction this century. That doesn’t have to happen. (9 Sep 2014)

    Since its founding in 1905, Audubon has always stood for birds, and science-based bird conservation has been our core mission. Following in that tradition, our science team recently completed a seven-year study of the likely effects of climate change on North American bird populations. The findings are heartbreaking: Nearly half of the bird species in the United States will be seriously threatened by 2080, and any of those could disappear forever.

    The text with their pledge link – “Climate change threatens the birds we see every day. I pledge to help build a brighter future for the 314 birds at risk.”


    Journal of Climate 2014 ; e-View

    Clarifying the Roles of Greenhouse Gases and ENSO in Recent Global Warming through Their Prediction Performance


    It is well known that natural external forcings and decadal to millennial variability drove changes in the climate system throughout the Holocene. Regarding recent times, attribution studies have shown that greenhouse gases (GHGs) determined the trend of temperature (T) in the last half century, while circulation patterns contributed to modify its inter-annual, decadal or multi-decadal behavior over this period. Here temperature predictions based on vector autoregressive models (VARs) have been used to study the influence of GHGs and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on recent temperature behavior. We find that in the last decades of steep temperature increase, ENSO shows just a very short-range influence on T, while GHGs are dominant for each forecast horizon. Conversely and quite surprisingly, in the previous quasi-stationary period the influences of GHGs and ENSO are comparable, even at longer range. Therefore, if the recent hiatus in global temperatures should persist into the near future, we can expect an enhancement of the role of ENSO. Finally, the predictive ability of GHGs is more evident in the Southern hemisphere, where the temperature series is smoother.

  144. White House science adviser John Holdren will testify before a House panel next week on President Obama’s climate agenda.

    Holdren will appear before the House Science, Space and Technology Committee on Sept. 17.

    Acting assistant administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency’s air and radiation office, Janet McCabe, will also testify before the committee.


  145. 11 Sept:Argus Leader: Rapid City sees earliest snowfall since 1888
    An early September winter storm in the Black Hills has dumped up to 8 inches of snow in the area, while Rapid City received its earliest snowfall in more than 120 years…
    Meanwhile, a freeze warning has been issued western South Dakota, including the Black Hills, through Friday morning. The NWS says many areas might experience a hard freeze as temperatures are expected to dip into the 20s and even teens in the Black Hills…

  146. Hi Anthony – I suggest this is newsworthy – from Benny Peiser of the GWPF this morning:

    Europe jumped precipitously into the global warming swamp and ruined their energy policies with foolish green energy schemes (scams) that were not green and provided little useful energy.

    Now Europe is uncompetitive due to high energy costs and they are trying to reverse field.

    Quelle surprise!

    We warned of this outcome in a paper written 12 years ago this November:

    “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”

    Best to all, Allan

    CCNet 12/09/14
    Brussels Anti-Green Purge
    New EU Leaders Neuter Green Lobby

    [Conservative MEP] Miguel Arias Canete, Spain’s former agriculture and environment minister, was nominated as the European Union’s next commissioner for climate and energy, becoming the first single supervisor of those two policy areas. The new commission will take office as energy policy is moving up the EU agenda amid a crisis in Ukraine, the transit country for around half of Russian natural gas to Europe, and the unrest in Middle East. –Ewa Krukowska, Bloomberg 10 September 2014

    Jean-Claude Juncker’s decision to group EU commissioners into teams serving under a vice-president has been welcomed by some interest groups, and derided by others. Rumours of the intention to combine the climate and energy portfolios have been sparking alarm among environmentalists for weeks. But the elimination of a dedicated environment portfolio came as a genuine shock to green groups. The ‘Green 10’ – an alliance of European environmental NGOs – sent a letter to Juncker saying that his restructuring decisions suggest a “de-facto shutdown of EU environmental policymaking”. –Dave Keating, European Voice, 11 September 2014

    The Green10, the alliance of leading environmental NGOs at EU level, supported by over 20 million EU citizens and active in all 28 Member States, wrote today an open letter to President Jean-Claude Juncker to express grave concerns over the direction the EU seems to be taking with the announcement of his new team. The coalition highlights that the structure of the new Commission, the mission letters, and the choice of Commissioners all reveal a serious downgrading of environment and a roll back of EU commitments to sustainable development, resource efficiency, air quality, biodiversity protection and climate action. –WWF Europe, 11 September 2014

    “The biggest change is the structural blocks put on any new legislative activity,” said Tony Long, director of campaign group WWF. “Every avenue is blocked because it all has to go through a vice-president and then a first vice-president.” Mark Fodor, executive director of campaign group Central and Eastern Europe Bankwatch, said the letter suggests that Juncker is back-tracking from previous commitments. “By missing out the crucial role of EU funding for addressing the climate challenge, the president-elect is showing complete disregard for the future of our planet,” he said. –Dave Keating, European Voice, 11 September 2014

    Just two days after being appointed by Jean-Claude Junker, the EU’s new climate and energy commissioner is under pressure to drop his shares in two oil companies which members of European parliament say represent a conflict of interest. The MEPs say EU’s proposed new climate and energy commissioner, Miguel Arias Cañete, must dispose of any oil company shareholdings before they consider giving his nomination a green light at European parliament hearings later this month. One environment committee member, the German social-democrat Jo Leinen, told the Guardian there was “no guarantee” that Miguel Arias Cañete would be confirmed at European Parliament hearings, which have powers to send back proposed commissioner lists to Juncker. –Arthur Neslen, The Guardian, 12 September 2014

    Skepticism of global warming may be more widespread than it is portrayed in the media, with nearly half of British lawmakers being labelled as climate “skeptics” and India’s prime minister casting doubt on claims of man-made global warming. A special report by PR Week shows that a vast majority of conservative members of UK Parliament are [doubtful] that mankind is the main driver behind global temperature rises. While a slight majority (51 percent) of members of parliament (MPs) say that global warming “is largely man made” and an established fact, nearly three quarters of conservative MPs disagree. –Michael Bastasch, The Daily Caller, 10 September 2014

    1) Brussels Anti-Green Purge: New EU Leaders Neuter Green Lobby – European Voice, 11 September 2014

    2) New EU Leaders Abolishes Climate Commission, Submerged Under Rising Energy Agenda – Bloomberg 10 September 2014

    3) Green 10 Furious: New EU Commission Sidelining The Environment – WWF Europe, 11 September 2014

    4) New EU Energy And Climate Commissioner Under Pressure From Green Campaigners – The Guardian, 12 September 2014

    5) Global Warming ‘Skeptics’ Hold Political Sway From The UK To India – The Daily Caller, 10 September 2014

  147. Anthony,

    Your readers may be interested.

    Jim G

    X class solar flare.From:
    Sky & Telescope Magazine
    E-mail update

    “On Wednesday afternoon, a powerful X-class flare ripped through the Sun’s lower atmosphere and sent a blast wave directly toward Earth that should arrive Friday and produce moderate-to-strong auroras over the weekend.”

  148. Good Morning,

    With all of this snow and cold weather hitting the US, I went to check the Great Lakes Ice Page. Many of the images are not showing. But, they may just be offline for now or they have changed the links.

    While exploring the GLERL site, I noticed that they do have some images for each lake. This one for Superior shows estimated water temps

    It’s interesting that a section of the lake is still about 44 degrees.

  149. “Unexpected climate impacts on the Tibetan Plateau: delayed summer”

    Global Environmental Change

    Volume 28, September 2014, Pages 141–152

    Seems they found out that summers are coming later now on the Tibetan plateau. So, there must be some problem with “Western Science”

    What are these people talking about ???

    ” Local meteorological data, indigenous observations of higher snowlines and long-term animal number data suggest that a regional warming trend, rather than land use change, may underlie the delayed phenology trends. We demonstrate that local ecological knowledge can reveal counter-intuitive outcomes and help resolve apparent contradictions through its strengths in situations of high variability, ability to integrate over a range of variables and time scales, and operation outside of Western scientific logic. This suggests local knowledge does not exist to be confirmed or disproved by Western science, but rather can also advance Western science and help contribute to its debates. It is precisely points of apparent contradiction within and between knowledge systems that are most productive for more extensive inquiry. Future research on climate change, and climate adaptation policy-making, will benefit from careful, contextual dialog with local observations, focusing on observable biophysical phenomena that are affected by temperature and precipitation and that are important to livelihoods.”

  150. Anthony,

    Paul Krugman has written an article entitled — THE INFLATION CULT. it is about economics but I promise that you will laugh yourself silly when you read it. It should be reprinted in full on Watt’s Up With That. Believe me, you got to read it.

    I am going to try to slip in some excepts from it somewhere on your blog but they might get deleted for being off topic. But though it never mentions global warming and warmist “scientists”, Krugman’s article is actually superbly on topic for you blog.

  151. When I was reading the front page of WATTSUPWITHTHAT, I noticed that when I scroll down, more and more past posts would appear. I wondered just how far down could I scroll. After two hours of the down arrow on the slider bar it stopped.

    I was on page 1693 and the first post was

    Welcome to: Watts Up With That?

  152. those commenting are not impressed!

    VIDEO: 12 Sept: UK Daily Mail: Sarah Griffiths: Piccadilly Pond and paddy fields outside Parliament: Artists imagine London in 2100 after climate change has taken its toll
    Artists have imagined how London’s landmarks may change in 15 years from now and much further in the future
    In different scenarios, global warming has caused flooding in the city and turned it into a desert
    Views from The Shard skyscraper have been created showing how planned buildings will transform the skyline in 2030
    These images are as realistic as possible and take into account planning permission for imminent skyscrapers
    Survey commissioned by The View From The Shard found 30% of Britons think capital will be unrecognisable by 2030
    Some also think that we won’t use paper money and that there will no no monarchy in just 15 years time
    PHOTO CAPTION: Here, Piccadilly Circus is under water, but is being put to good use with wind turbines generating power.
    PHOTO CAPTION: This is one of the most whimsical images created showing a paddy field just outside what is the Houses of Parliament.

  153. Mods, anyone.? Since the WUWT upgrade, the search function is not working for me. I use Google Chrome browser…can type in the term, but it disappears when I click on the ‘X’ sign that appears after input.

    Thanks for any advice…

  154. The new ‘Carbon Neutral’ Sustainable Eco-Laboratory at Nottingham University Burns Down!

    A warmist’s nightmare ironically unfolded in the UK on Friday at 8.30 pm when Nottingham University’s eco-building went up in flames. The new flagship research facility known as ‘The Centre for Sustainable Chemistry’ was supposed to be completely ‘carbon neutral’, but not anymore.

    According to the university’s website, the building, which was part funded by a very generous £12 million grant from GlaxoSmithKline, boasted “the highest clean and green standards to minimise environmental impact”. They obviously overlooked what would happen if it caught fire. At the scene, 12 crews with 60 fire-fighters failed to prevent the eco-building from burning to the ground. Steve Beech from Radio Nottingham reported: “I can see embers’ falling from what was the new chemistry laboratory and there’s a huge plume of smoke”. Constructed entirely of “natural materials”, the laboratory talked big about how all its energy was met by renewable sources including solar power and sustainable biomass. Alas, it now appears to be totally non-renewable and unsustainable by all accounts. The best bit is that the building promised (quote) “to provide enough carbon credits over 25 years to pay back the carbon used in its construction” – which is a little ironic seeing as it took just under 5 hours for the new building to be completely destroyed. Ooops.

  155. I suggest that the temperature measurements and the compilation of local or worldwide temperatures are
    placed in a completely independent organisation, who’s sole purpose should be to do that to the best standard.
    It is discomforting that those who do that now, also seems to have an agenda regarding CAGW.
    You do not set the fox to guard the hens.

  156. This might be a stupid comment, I hope that it isn’t.

    We often hear about sea level increases but are there any land level increases. There is, I believe the post-glacial rebound” and then when we come to archaeology we find that we have to dig down to get at the various artefacts.

    So is the land level increasing? Are there any records of how rapidly it is increasing (if it is) and is this faster or slower than the sea level? Is the land mass increasing or decreasing?

    I know that these are probably dumb questions but is there any chance of a short primer for someone like me?

    • Land level is increasing in some places and decreasing in others. For a good overview, look up “Recent Crustal Movements”, 1977, C.A. Whitten, ed.

      In archaeology, we have to dig down because of the movement of soil, dust, and alluvium. There are places in temperate latitudes where new soil forms at the rate of several mm per year, making fixed objects appear to sink. Because worms and insects reprocess the soil, it behaves like a fluid, allowing heavy objects to actually sink. There is also downward creep on hillsides. Where there is no soil, things can get buried (as well as exposed) as dust and sand are blown or washed from one place to another.

  157. I’m sure others have mentioned this, but my internet connection is far too slow to let me read everything.
    The new format seems to have lost the Next/Previous links when looking at a thread, forcing me back to the home page each time. Was this deliberate or an accident?

    • Andy, see my above post on same topic @ 2:44am. A well-deserved kick in the teeth for the ‘tree-huggers’. I hope Ant#o^y picks this one up.

  158. Who would of thought it – windmills falling over of their own accord

    The scandal of UK’s death-trap wind turbines: A turbine built for 115mph winds felled in 50mph gusts. Dozens more affected by cost-cutting. Why residents living in their shadow demand to know – are they safe?

  159. British “Greens” start fighting each other

    As the Global Warming religion suffers its agonizing drawn-out death in the teeth of the Earth’s climate refusing to play ball, and because it was all based on one massive scientific lie, the climate hysterics themselves have begun fighting amongst themselves.

    Enjoy their latest brawl about nuclear power: the BBC’s chief environmental propagandist vs. Friends of the Earth


    Record expansion sees Antarctic sea ice confound climate scientists

    “I suspect the record reached on Friday will not even be the record for 2014, it has some growing to do in the next couple of weeks.”

    Dr Lieser said the “growth and decay” of the Antarctic was one of the biggest, potentially the biggest, naturally occurring events in the world. It has long been considered a climate paradox because, as it grows, sea ice in the Arctic has been shrinking.

  161. LOL:

    15 Sept: BusinessSpectator: Harper joins Abbott in bailing on climate summit
    Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper won’t be among the 125 heads of state attending the UN Climate Summit in New York this month…
    Harper joins President Xi Jinping of China, Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and Prime Minister Tony Abbott of Australia in choosing to skip the summit…
    Christiana Figueres: “I would not recommend we read too much into the person who is going to be speaking for the Chinese and India governments,” … “The fact is that they had fully intended to be represented at the top level and for reasons that have nothing to do with the climate summit at the at the last minute they are not able to be there.”…
    (Originally published by Climate Progress)

  162. Anthony,

    I went to New Zealand recently and visited a lovely place called Lake Tekapo. It is a glacial lack surrounded by mountains. On the top of Mount John there is an observatory, one of 3 in the world that have a gold standard for darkness at night (seriously that is not easy to achieve in the modern world). There was a weather station there that probably has one of the best views in the world.

    The weather station is just in front of the trees. The scenery is better than the photography.

  163. Elizabeth Renzetti in today’s Toronto Globe and Mail glowingly reviews George Marshall’s book, Don’t Even Think About It: Why our Brains are Wired to Ignore Climate Change. AAGH ! Hope someone has the stomach to read and refute it.

    • The article certainly kicks the climate hysterics where it hurts – in their dying credibility. It also illustrates how much this is costing us…

      “…Federal anti-climate-change spending is now running at $11 billion a year, plus tax breaks of $20 billion a year. That adds up to more than double the $14.4 billion worth of wheat produced in the United States in 2013.

      “Dr. Bjørn Lomborg, director of the Copenhagen Consensus Center, calculates that the European Union’s goal of a 20% reduction in CO2 emissions below 1990 levels by 2020, currently the most severe target in the world, will cost almost $100 billion a year by 2020, or more than $7 trillion over the course of this century.

      “Lomborg, a supporter of the UN’s climate science, notes that this would buy imperceptible improvement: “After spending all that money, we would not even be able to tell the difference…”

      That money could be better spent elsewhere and also make developing countries better. But I guess Leo didn’t want to make a movie about that.

  164. Australia’s overseas radio service, Radio Australia still thinks that Kiribati is going to go under the waves and the Prime Minister of Australia is neglecting this by not going to the Climate Summit in New York.
    This is pure disinformation.
    Our very capable Foreign Minister is attending the Summit, while our Prime Minister prepares for a UN Security Council meeting on IS.
    They have the Australian national priorities right
    Not that he would have gone anyway, our major trading partners are also no shows.
    Think China, India.
    Kiribati’s propaganda machine has gulled our own Radio Australia.
    Its time to rethink the role of Radio Australia.

  165. Antarctic Sea Ice Area Should Break the All-Time Sea Ice AREA record today that was set in 2007.
    On sept 14 Sea ice area was 1750,000 sq km away from the all time record set in 2007 on sept 15 it was 29,650 away.

  166. In addition on Augyst 12, British Antarctic Survey station Halley hit -69 degrees. Coldest ever recorded there and knocked their power out.

  167. Dear Anthony,

    I am having real problems with these threaded comments, because I cannot see the difference between double and triple indenting – so I cannot follow which is thread comment and which is new comment.

    If it is possible to change, may I suggest something similar to the new Youtube threading. They now have a maximum of one indent. So you get a comment, and a following thread to that comment, well indented.

    With the Youtube threading, it is impossible to get lost in multiple indentations, and yet you can still follow replies to an interesting comment.

    Ralph Ellis

  168. @Anthony,
    Please put the stuff that was in the right-hand column back where it was. I often scroll to the bottom of a page expecting to quickly locate the most recent comments quickly. No more. Now locating recent comments requires iterative guessing. Or, is it possible to generate a link to the most recent comment automatically and put it below the banner for the article? That would work for me.

  169. WUWT Ice Page:
    Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice Area

    link seems broken. There is no link cursor on the image, but there is on the those above and below.
    It shows 16.394
    The image has properties
    When I post that link, the cryosphere shows 15.827 and does not show an excursion above 16.000.

  170. GAO: More coal power plants to close than expected
    Still, the threat of blackouts caused by a shortage of coal-fired generating capacity has loomed large in some parts of the country following last winter’s “polar vortex.” American Electric Power, the nation’s most coal-dependent utility, for example, during the period used 89 percent of the capacity scheduled to go offline when EPA mercury and air toxics standards go into effect in 2016.

  171. I found this at Eureka Alert. The Keystone XL pipeline will cause carbon pollution, CO2 emissions.

    Keystone XL would likely raise oil sands production and greenhouse gas emissions
    Proposed pipeline would likely increase oil sands extraction, according to survey of experts and researchers

    So I went to the actual study website, to see who the “Near Zero ” people are. Take a look at their “experts” and how they came up with this study. This passes for “science”?

    Keystone XL: The Climate Impact; An Expert Elicitation

  172. Well, we all knew this was coming. Cooling is the new warming. Obviously designed to convince people freezing their tails off that (like all possibilities) it is really caused by global warming. “The Day After Tomorrow” is here?

    Global warming likely to cause colder and snowier winters, scientists say


    Scientists now believe that global warming is to blame for extreme cold snaps in North America during the winter months – and that it will only keep happening.

    The “polar vortex” that plunged Canada and the U.S. into historical cold last winter is said by researchers to have occurred because melting polar ice changes weather patterns, according to a study published earlier this month.

    A team of Korean and American scientists asserted in a new study that the melting ice causes the northern jet stream (upper level air flow) to shift south and bring polar air with it.

    The polar ice is melting because warmer water is riding the Gulf Stream (ocean currents) from tropical regions of the Atlantic Ocean to an area north of Scandinavia.

  173. An important new paper on fracking that should bring some sanity to public policy issues surrounding this issue:

    Noble gases identify the mechanisms of fugitive gas contamination in drinking-water wells overlying the Marcellus and Barnett Shales
    Darrah, et al. 2014, PNAS

    Key point of the abstract:

    Noble gas isotope and hydrocarbon data link four contamination clusters to gas leakage from intermediate-depth strata through failures of annulus cement, three to target production gases that seem to implicate faulty production casings, and one to an underground gas well failure. Noble gas data appear to rule out gas contamination by upward migration from depth through overlying geological strata triggered by horizontal drilling or hydraulic fracturing.

  174. 17 Sept: ABC News Radio: Lateline: Hamish Fitzsimmons: Sea level rises due to climate change could cost Australia $200b, Climate Council report finds
    Professor Steffen said so-called once-in-a-lifetime natural events could become regular occurrences.
    “If you look at some of our most vulnerable areas, and the Sydney region is one of those, you would say toward the end of this century that a one-in-100-year flood is going to be happening every few days,” he said.
    “That’s an impossible situation to cope with.”…

    16 Sept: NYT: Justin Gillis: Fixing Climate Change May Add No Costs, Report Says
    A global commission will announce its finding on Tuesday that an ambitious series of measures to limit emissions would cost $4 trillion or so over the next 15 years, an increase of roughly 5 percent over the amount that would likely be spent anyway on new power plants, transit systems and other infrastructure.
    When the secondary benefits of greener policies — like lower fuel costs, fewer premature deaths from air pollution and reduced medical bills — are taken into account, the changes might wind up saving money, according to the findings of the group, the Global Commission on the Economy and Climate…
    The findings come one week before world leaders, including President Obama, gather in New York to discuss climate change. Most experts do not expect any big breakthroughs, but tens of thousands of people are expected to march in the streets of New York and other cities on Sunday to demand stronger action…
    Countries that try to eliminate such subsidies too quickly can run into political problems. This summer, a sudden doubling of fuel prices in Yemen set off riots. But gradual price increases can work, and some experts have called for a much greater focus by institutions like the World Bank on helping countries eliminate subsidies

    did anyone mention there’s a CLIMATE SUMMIT about to happen? LOL.

  175. University alumni newsletter carries two articles. First, ocean acidification is back again with a slight twist. Now acidification is supposed to affect the threads that hold mussels to substrates.

    Second, development restrictions are supposed to sequester carbon.
    “Land policy changes would sequester more carbon and conserve habitat
    September 15, 2014
    CORVALLIS, Ore. – Rewarding landowners for converting farmland into forest will be key to sequestering carbon and providing wildlife habitat, according to a new study by Oregon State University and collaborators.”

    However, one side effect of the program is lower food production:
    “Yet this subsidy program would also shrink food production by 10 percent and comes with an annual $7.5 billion price tag, said Lewis.”

  176. I propose that we more accurately name the future climate change the warmists are talking about, in the interests of accuracy, Catastophic Anthropogenic Climate Change, Anticipated. Or CACCA for short.


    Sec or State Kerry on the greenhouse effect:
    “Try and picture a very thin layer of gases – a quarter-inch, half an inch, somewhere in that vicinity – that’s how thick it is. It’s in our atmosphere. It’s way up there at the edge of the atmosphere. And for millions of years – literally millions of years – we know that layer has acted like a thermal blanket for the planet – trapping the sun’s heat and warming the surface of the Earth to the ideal, life-sustaining temperature. Average temperature of the Earth has been about 57 degrees Fahrenheit, which keeps life going. Life itself on Earth exists because of the so-called greenhouse effect. But in modern times, as human beings have emitted gases into the air that come from all the things we do, that blanket has grown thicker and it traps more and more heat beneath it, raising the temperature of the planet. It’s called the greenhouse effect because it works exactly like a greenhouse in which you grow a lot of the fruit that you eat here.”

  178. It looks like Hurricane Odile will move north and bring floods to Arizona. This might be a time to beat Bill McKibben to the punch. Make sure to mention Hurricane Kathleen, September 7-12, 1976, which gave floods to southern California and Arizona. That will make McKibben look foolish when, as always, he calls this current event “unprecedented.”

    Odile may be followed by “Polo,” and was preceded by “Norbert”. If McKibben tries to make it sound like the number of storms this year is “Unprecedented”, point out that in 1976 four storms went up the west coast of Mexico.

    In 1976 there was even less rain in the high Sierra than this year.

    What worries me is that in 1976, after these events on the west coast, there was a severe winter on the east coast. By late January there was sea-ice on the coast of Virginia. And I’m no longer as hot-blooded as I was back then.

  179. there is NO disagreement about CAGW whatsoever. Suzanne hits all the right (or left) CAGW buttons – Koch, Heartland, Texas, Tea Party – and the readership is outraged, see the comments:

    16 Sept: Guardian: Suzanne Goldenberg: Texas proposes rewriting school text books to deny manmade climate change
    Analysis of proposed 6th grade texts show they falsely claim scientific disagreement about global warming
    The proposed text books – which come up for public hearing at the Texas state board of education on Tuesday – were already attracting criticism when it emerged that the science section had been altered to reflect the doctrine of the Heartland Institute, which has been funded by the Koch oil billionaires.
    A report from the Texas Freedom Network and the National Centre for Science Education on Monday found a number of instances where the proposed texts rejected recognised science.
    In the proposed 6th grade texts, students were introduced to global warming amid false claims that there was scientific disagreement about its causes…
    The NCSE reviewers also found disinformation on climate change in the proposed 5th grade text books. The passage reads: “Some scientists say it is natural for Earth’s temperature to be higher for a few years. They predict we’ll have some cooler years and things will even out.”
    But the centre said that was incorrect. “We are not aware of any currently publishing climatologists who are predicting a cooling trend where ‘things will even out.’”

  180. Got the following email invite from New Scientist:

    Uninhabitable Australia?

    “Extreme” is the word for the weather Australia has experienced recently: droughts fires and even floods so big the world’s oceans lowered. Climate models tell us all this will get worse, especially if we fail to take strong action now. Come and hear what is getting leading scientists hot and bothered about climate change.



  181. I must say how much I love it when the Earth refuses to play ball with the global warming climate hysterics.
    This article is a great example:

    It is not the article that is so funny but the comments underneath it. All those global warming zealots running around tearing their hair out trying to explain away the inexplicable – such as how global cooling = global warming, and why all their climate models are wrong and why every prediction they made so far has turned out to be rubbish. It is highly pleasurable to notice how the climate doomsters are being steadily engulfed, not by rising seas but by readers who don’t believe them anymore and the growing indifference of the public.

  182. Why are US taxpayers and the National Science Foundation funding a climate change musical?

    Curtain, reviews come down on taxpayer-funded climate change musical

    “The curtain has come down on Climate Change: The Musical and reviews of the taxpayer-funded play about global warming are downright icy.”

    “The play, which is actually entitled “The Great Immensity,” and was produced by Brooklyn-based theater company The Civilians, Inc. with a $700,000 grant from the National Science Foundation, ended its run early amid a storm of criticism from reviewers and lawmakers alike. It opened a year late, reached just five percent of its anticipated audience and likely fell short of its ambitious goal of informing a new generation about the perceived dangers of man-caused climate change.”

    “Plus, it apparently wasn’t very good.”

  183. Charles Hosler, prof emeritus from Penn State was a forecaster on DDay. In 1998, he had these comments on global warming. They are interesting, especially since that was a very hot year and 16 years have gone by since then.

    Dr. Hosler turned 90 this summer, still very amusing, and still appalled at the whole global warming hype.

  184. Researchers Find Major West Antarctic Glacier Melting from Geothermal Sources

    June 10, 2014 – AUSTIN, Texas — Thwaites Glacier, the large, rapidly changing outlet of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, is not only being eroded by the ocean, it’s being melted from below by geothermal heat, researchers at the Institute for Geophysics at The University of Texas at Austin (UTIG) report in the current edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

    The findings significantly change the understanding of conditions beneath the West Antarctic Ice Sheet where accurate information has previously been unobtainable.

  185. Anthony, for a laff:

    RT @thehiredmind: So glad I saw #AskDrMann. Nothing has given me more hope for this country than people defending their free speech.
    [List of funny #AskDrMann tweets]

    RT @pl_davee: #AskDrMann if an athletically gifted student of Penn State displays climate denier behaviour, do they still get to be the quarterback?

    RT @scispen: If you block people does it mean their arguments no longer exist? #AskDrMann

    RT @variouspenguins: #AskDrMann What’s a hashtag without a graph?
    [Shows percentage of people laughing at Dr. Mann]

  186. For some days, there have been two annoying problems with the mobile theme on iOS: First, there’s no image to click on at the top of the page (but there seems to be an invisible picture there, because clicking in the middle of the white will bring me to the home page). Second, headings of articles become invisible when they have been red – the HTML visited link color seems to be white…

    (In addition to on my own iPhone 5 with iOS 7 and 8, I tested this on a pristine simulated iPhone 6+ with iOS 8 just to be sure that the problem wasn’t local to my phone)

  187. From Ohio State University…Earth Sciences Professor Finds Leaky Wells, Not Fracking, Taint Water
    Thomas DarrahThomas Darrah, assistant professor, earth sciences, is lead author of a new study finding that contamination of water supplies near U.S. shale gas fields appears to be the result of leaky cement wells and casings and not the controversial production technique of hydraulic fracturing. Darrah’s study, published in The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, suggests that improved well integrity is the key to preventing leaks from hydraulic fracturing.

  188. Somebody has probably already drawn this to your attention, but we taxpayers are funding a bunch of idiot cartoons on YouTube produced by NASA. That hurts.


    EPA Takes on the Oyster/Acidification Scaremongers

    It’s been a convenient story for some.

    The “evil twin of global warming”, ocean acidification caused by increasing carbon dioxide, is killing billions of oysters in Northwest waters.

    Major media gave it lots of play, with the Seattle Times producing a glossy series centered around the oyster carnage. Just a short excerpt from the scary ST story.

    Even the New York Time recently gave it front page coverage.

    But there was a problem.

    It really wasn’t true. There is no evidence that ocean acidification is damaging oysters in Puget Sound or other local waters.

    Who says so? The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and the State of Washington.

  190. From today’s Chronicle Herald in Nova Scotia:

    A couple of gems from the article:

    “Without a genuine effort to cut greenhouse gas emissions, Cape Breton could see an overall rise in temperature — two to four degrees per year on average, she said.”


    “Cunsolo Willox, who hasn’t conducted any official research on the island, said other factors to be considered are climate change impacts on transportation routes, such as the Canso Causeway. If the causeway goes down, how much food, medicine and essential supplies do we have on the island? So those are things to think about.”

  191. Another pronouncement from BIll McKibben:
    “Sunday will see the biggest march against climate change in the planet’s history…
    Look, for 25 years scientists have been explaining with careful precision the depth of our crisis. For 25 years economists and policy wonks have been explaining the various ways out of this crisis. And for 25 years they’ve been drowned out by the sound of money, a sound that has blocked the ears of our presidents and prime ministers and politburos….
    It’s time for us to make our own clamor. Not in the quiet tones used in the UN Security Council, but with everything we’ve got….
    Having sounded the alarm, we’re going to put out the fire; we’re going to catch the burglar and lock him up. ”

    Funny twist of words here, sounding a fire alarm, they are going to lock up a burglar.


    CME from Sept 12th blasts away cosmic rays from the earths stratosphere.

    This is known as the “Forbush Decrease”.

    Will Svensmark’s theory of cosmic rays affecting cloudcover be put to the test being that earth now has a significantly lower cosmic ray level? Will we see fewer clouds? Will we see a trend in warming since this event? Or is it simply too insignificant of a single event in the slew of factors to tell any difference at all?

  193. The usual stuff from Dr. Jeff “alarmist” Masters of Weather Underground.

    “Earth Has its Warmest Summer and August on Record”

    “If 2014 maintains this temperature departure from average for the remainder of the year, it will be the warmest year on record.”

    Last I checked, temps were flat for the last 13-18 years and the models are busting big time but Dr. Jeff must have better eyesight than me.

    Of course they also link to the anecdotal “extreme weather” hype….

    As for the good old USA, it’s been a shockingly cool summer everywhere except the west coast…

  194. If Scotland wins independence from the UK, then the UK mean annual temperatures should show a jump from the loss of the Scottish stations.

    Ha ha ;-)

  195. Anthony, I would love to see a video of you interviewing a plant grower as you both saunter thru their CO2 generator boosted greenhouse. The explanation by the grower of his CO2 boosting generator, to maybe 1300 PPM, nearly doubling his plant output while you both safely tour the greenhouse would speak volumes about how wonderful and safe CO2 at over 1000 PPM really is. Powerful imagery.

  196. Last night BBC radio programme “Inside Science” had an interview with Oxford researcher on the plight of penguins due to climate change. Apparently they are suffering due to the “shrinking of SEA ice”

  197. “New map of 15 years of CO2 emissions” (Press Release on EarthSky)
    Researchers have developed a new system – which they call the Fossil Fuel Data Assimilation System (FFDAS) – to estimate CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels. This new system has now been used to quantify 15 years of CO2 emissions, every hour, for the entire planet – down to the city scale. …

  198. Tweet around 9:20 CDT by immediate past president of the AMS

    Marshall Shepherd ‏@DrShepherd2013 7m

    Following my #FF in wx, Good #climate follows: @ClimateCentral @climate_ice @TLMote @MichaelEMann @KHayhoe @RogerAPielkeSr @ClimateOfGavin

    Who is and is not included speaks volumes.

    Following my #FF in wx, Good #climate follows: @ClimateCentral @climate_ice @TLMote @MichaelEMann @KHayhoe @RogerAPielkeSr @ClimateOfGavin— Marshall Shepherd (@DrShepherd2013) September 19, 2014

    • This is funny and informative.
      Here is a selection of questions to Mann that got folks banned:

      “Was “hide the decline” referring to a temperature proxy or your reputation?”

      “What is greater, temp increase in the last 15 years or the number of amicus briefs filed on your behalf in Mann v Steyn?”

      “Were you happy with the fake book reviews you had Skeptical Science Cook up for you?”

      “If Global Warming means both warmer and colder weather simultaneously, how do you know when it’s fixed?”

      “How many hrs a day on average wud u spend fastidiously blocking people on Twitter”

      “Although you’re a young scientist, what *so far* do you regard as your greatest contribution to our ignorance about nature?”

      “Don’t think of them as questions from trolls, think of them as questions you may have to answer under oath”

      “Why is only the 3% of CO2 that’s human-emitted catastrophically dangerous, while the 97% that’s emitted naturally isn’t?”

  199. Uh-oh tree rings again. From “This week in Science”

    Rings of ocean upwelling
    H. Jesse Smith
    Coastal upwelling along the coast of California has become more variable than during nearly any period in the past 600 years. Black et al. used a 576-year tree ring record to construct a record of wintertime climate along the California coast. Because wintertime climate depends heavily on coastal upwelling, they were able to determine that upwelling variability has increased more over the past 60 years than for all but two intervals during that time. The apparent causes of the recent trend appear to be unique, resulting in reduced marine productivity and negative impacts on fish, seabirds, and mammals.
    Science, this issue p. 1498

  200. Today’s eenews provides an interview previewing the climate march and climate week.

    [begin excerpts}
    ClimateWire’s Friedman previews N.Y. climate summit meeting
    The Cutting Edge
    Aired: Friday, September 19, 2014
    Watch&nbsp Watch
    Email&nbsp Email
    As the world’s leaders head to New York City next week for the United Nations’ climate summit, how will the meeting advance the discussion toward the next binding treaty, which is slated to be signed in Paris next year? On today’s The Cutting Edge, ClimateWire deputy editor Lisa Friedman gives details on who is expected to attend the meeting and the role the United States could play in the discussions.

    Monica Trauzzi: Welcome to The Cutting Edge. The world’s leaders are heading to New York City next week for U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon’s climate summit. ClimateWire’s Lisa Friedman joins me with a preview of what we can expect. Lisa, it’s being dubbed “Climate Week” beginning with a climate march on Sunday. The secretary general is expected to attend. What’s on tap for this important week in climate discussions?

    Lisa Friedman: Thanks, Monica. Next week is a doozy for climate change, beginning, as you mentioned, on Sunday with the climate march. Ban Ki-moon will be, as he said, linking arms with activists. Christiana Figueres, UNFCCC chief, will be marching. World Bank officials will be marching, which could surprise some, and I’ve seen tweets from a number of celebrities, Mark Ruffalo, Chris Rock, so there could be some celebrities out in force, too.

    It’ll bleed into Monday, which will be the official opening of Climate Week, which is the sort of umbrella name given to the ream of events, everything from gatherings of business leaders to call for carbon pricing, which we can touch on in a bit, and to meetings of island leaders who’re pushing for more renewable energy development. The big event will be on the 23rd. That will be the Ban Ki-moon formal leader summit, where 125 heads of state at least will gather on climate change.


    Monica Trauzzi: So then what is the U.S. going to deliver at this meeting?

    Lisa Friedman: That’s a great question. A lot of people have big hope for Obama, who will be there at this summit. The U.S., I’m told, believes it has a good story to tell, perhaps for the first time in a major international climate agreement. We all remember in Copenhagen, the White House thought Copenhagen went very well. The rest of the world didn’t. At this summit, the White House is expected, the president is expected to talk about the EPA regulations, what the U.S. is doing to make sure that it meets its Copenhagen targets of 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020, and what it plans to do going forward. A lot of people will be looking to see if Obama tells the world that, yes, the United States will put its targets on the table early next year.

    Monica Trauzzi: So, dozens of noteworthy attendees, but it’s also noteworthy who won’t be there. So who’s not expected to attend?

    Lisa Friedman: The president of China, the prime minister of India, most notably, won’t be there. Again, this is a place where goals have shifted a bit. The U.N. now says that the measure of success for the leader summit is not necessarily which leaders will be at the summit but rather what they deliver. If that’s now the case, then the question will be: What will China bring to the table? The vice premier will be here. U.N. officials say that he is, indeed, the right man for this job on the 23rd, very senior official who can speak to what China’s doing and what it plans to do. India’s sending an environment minister, lower-level. We’ll see what India chooses to say.

  201. Hi Anthony, you may be as astonished as I am to find that the luxury suites at the newly refurbished Beaver Stadium at Penn State have been deemed sustainable. Don’t take my word for it, Google Beaver Stadium suites sustainable. Only my Alma Mater could come up with an Onion parody such as this


    Contradicts anti-frackers:

    The bubble theorists make much of the fact that production tends to drop more rapidly in fracked wells than in conventional ones, forcing the frackers to drill more holes just to keep up. They overlook the fact that drillers are working ever faster and cheaper and that newer wells tend to be more productive than earlier wells. How do we know this? Because the number of drill rigs has not increased in most shale fields, yet production continues to go up.

    So what about Heinberg’s claim that “production rates are already either in plateau or decline”? He’s just wrong.

  203. Looks like we have been at zero to positive trend now for over 14 days with sea ice increase…

    I duno, but it looks like we hit the bottom and are already making ice in the arctic..

  204. Anthony,

    Just came across this article written by Eric Hothouse from ‘Slate’ ( that cites commentary by Jason Box, Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, re. soot on Greenland ice. Some great and spectacular images of soot on snow/ice there, but the text has a particular (expected) slant. To paraphrase: global warming is causing Arctic forests to turn “to flame at rates unprecedented in the last 10,000 years”. Can’t help but feel embarrassed to be a practicing geologist.


    This dream, this fantasy that Western politicians have; that with one mighty bound we can be in some sort of carbon-free paradise is only the latest example of what has become one of the most prominent features of politics in our time: the extent to which politicians can get carried away by fantasies that seem to promise some glorious future, only to find that, once they have taken the great gamble, reality comes crashing in on them, in the shape of everything their blinkered make-believe had overlooked.

    We saw it in the EU’s launch of the euro. We saw it in Messrs Bush and Blair’s belief that, by toppling Saddam Hussein, Iraq could move into a happy, democratic future. We are seeing it in the crisis created with Russia by the EU’s vainglorious urge to suck Ukraine into its own empire. We see it all in a thousand ways, and we see it in all the disastrous consequences of that collective make-believe over man-made global warming.

    The climate regulates itself

    Non-anthropogenic effects such as solar activity are the main driver of the climate, not CO2. This can be proved by geologists, and is unarguable on any scientific grounds whatsoever. Unfortunately for us in the West, those same politicians who find endless inventive ways in which to ram increasing “carbon” taxes down our throats display the same bloody-minded determination never to confront the scientific facts that prove them to be the charlatans, snake-oil salesmen and liars they really are.

    When we had a couple of mild winters a few years ago, we were told that it was a clear sign of AGW. Then we had a run of very cold winters and the explanation was that AGW causes more extreme seasonal variations. After a couple of very dry years, we were told that, because of AGW we would have to get used to living in an arid Mediterranean climate and start planting olive groves. When the floods came we were told that higher rainfall is a characteristic of AGW.

    A few years ago, we were told that AGW was reaching a “tipping point” beyond which it would become uncontrollable and accelerate catastrophically. Now we’re being told that there has been no rise in temperature for nearly twenty years.

    We were told that the science was “conclusive” and that the argument was over. But when the Met Office’s co-conspirators at the University of East Anglia were caught lying and distorting the evidence, we were told that this was just the usual discussion between scientists about the inevitable scientific uncertainty.

    They can’t have it both ways!

    Sceptics are denounced for not being climate scientists (though many are) but we are expected to believe the crook Pachauri (a railway engineer), Al Gore (a witless politician for God’s sake), the utterly discredited Stern (who claims to be an economist but is actually a would-be billionaire banker), and his sidekick Maurice Strong who was bankrolled by the U.N.-sanctioned regime of Saddam Hussein and who is a master of the U.N.’s tangled nest of personal relationships, public-private partnerships, murky trust funds, unaudited funding conduits, and inter-woven enterprises.

    The examples of inconsistency and dishonesty of politicians and their bought scientific-sounding mouthpieces are endless, but the climate hysterics are like economists – they rely on the public’s poor memory. Very few people remember their predictions long enough to notice how completely useless they are. For example: how many islands and coastal cities were going to be inundated by the turn of the century? Assuming you can remember, how many times was this number changed?

    The following quote may help to put things into perspective:

    “As they review the bizarre and unpredictable weather pattern of the past several years, a growing number of scientists are beginning to suspect that many seemingly contradictory meteorological fluctuations are actually part of a global climatic upheaval…the trend shows no indication of reversing.”

    This is an extract from an article in Time magazine in 1974. The “irreversible climatic upheaval” the scientists were talking about was the coming of a new ice age as a result of global cooling.

    Isn’t it time that someone put a stop to this nonsense?

    Hark the shrill cries of doom from the AGW brigade, who fly everywhere, lecturing people on their lifestyles; who always choose nice places to fly to, and to have conferences in; who endlessly tell us that “our way of life must change” and who encourage laws to be passed to enforce those changes, yet whose own lifestyles remain blissfully unaffected. Though they cannot use their models to predict anything in the short term, they assure us with ever-so-serious earnestness, that they know, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that though their 1-year and 5-year predictions have proven to be totally wrong, their 50 and 100-year ones remain absolutely cast iron guaranteed. These people have left reality behind a long time ago. I suppose I don’t blame them for bringing out their garbage reports, after all they are getting really desperate as nature refuses to play their game. They must be running scared as all the billion$ of funding that keeps them going is at stake – not to mention their personal reputations. You have to admire their determination not to go down without a fight, but in the end they are fighting a losing battle.

    Man-made global warming is the biggest fraud in history. It is a fiction which is being used to justify overriding human will and sovereign national authorities, both of which are not agreeable to a super-élite of self-appointed rulers who get to have everything they want, whilst the rest of us are told we’re “a burden on the Earth,” and so we must face guilt-ridden austerity forever.

    Meanwhile, a plethora of real scientists, who just happen to to be able to disprove anthropogenic global warming, are denied publicity and funding so as to enable the corrupt liars in the environmental movement to cite their lack of publishing as “further proof that we’re right.”

    There is no shortage of useful idiots around to believe in and propagate the man-made global warming lie – another reason why science isn’t taught properly any more – same with politics and certain periods of history not being taught any more – because knowledge in these areas would immediately show the utter stupidity and dishonesty of the current system.

    This obsession with AGW has to stop – it is causing economic mayhem in the EU and the USA. The fast tracking to hopelessly uneconomic so-called “renewables” can only result in one outcome – an economic slump of incalculable misery.

    The Earth is heading into the next “Grand Minimum” – and from what I gather we will be lucky to see another “Multi-decadel Warming Cycle” until the late 2000’s; another 80 years or more.

    The climate hysterics will be vilified well before then, hopefully the sooner the better.

  206. From Counterpunch, WEEKEND EDITION SEPTEMBER 19-21, 2014, How the People’s Climate March Became a Corporate PR Campaign—Business as Usual in Manhattan

    It starts out this way, Anthony, with the author saying that they invoked the spirit of the Occupy Wall Street protests to get people to attend, but ultimately describes how it’s a multi-million-dollar fundraiser and PR campaign for the two sponsors Avaaz and

    I’ve never been to a protest march that advertised in the New York City subway. That spent $220,000 on posters inviting Wall Street bankers to join a march to save the planet, according to one source. That claims you can change world history in an afternoon after walking the dog and eating brunch.

    Welcome to the “People’s Climate March” set for Sunday, Sept. 21 in New York City. It’s timed to take place before world leaders hold a Climate Summit at the United Nations two days later. Organizers are billing it as the “biggest climate change demonstration ever” with similar marches around the world. The Nation describes the pre-organizing as following “a participatory, open-source model that recalls the Occupy Wall Street protests.” A leader of, one of the main organizing groups, explained, “Anyone can contribute, and many of our online organizing ‘hubs’ are led by volunteers who are often coordinating hundreds of other volunteers.”

    I will join the march, as well as the Climate Convergence starting Friday, and most important the “Flood Wall Street” direct action on Monday, Sept. 22. I’ve had conversations with more than a dozen organizers including senior staff at the organizing groups. Many people are genuinely excited about the Sunday demonstration. The movement is radicalizing thousands of youth. Endorsers include some labor unions and many people-of-color community organizations that normally sit out environmental activism because the mainstream green movement has often done a poor job of talking about the impact on or solutions for workers and the Global South.

    Nonetheless, to quote Han Solo, “I’ve got a bad feeling about this.”

    The author, obviously a concerned climate person, notes,

    That is what I find most troubling. Having worked on Madison Avenue for nearly a decade, I can smell a P.R. and marketing campaign a mile away.
    But in an email about climate change that Avaaz sent out last December, which apparently raked in millions of dollars, it wrote, “It’s time for powerful, direct, non-violent action, to capture imagination, convey moral urgency, and inspire people to act. Think Occupy.”

    Here’s what seems to be going on. Avaaz found a lucrative revenue stream by warning about climate catastrophe that can be solved with the click of a donate button. To convince people to donate it says we need Occupy-style actions. [But] when the moment comes for such a protest, Avaaz and blocked it and then when it did get organized, they pushed it out of sight.

    Author Arun Gupta explains what they are doing:

    Branding. That’s how the climate crisis is going to be solved. We are in an era or postmodern social movements.

    The image (not ideology) comes first and shapes the reality. The P.R. and marketing determines the tactics, the messaging, the organizing, and the strategy.

    He asked an insider:

    When I asked what the metrics for success for, the insider told me media coverage and long-term polling about public opinion. I was dumbfounded . . . . Avaaz has pioneered clickbait activism. It gets people to sign petitions about dramatic but ultimately minor issues like, “Prevent the flogging of 15 year old rape victim in Maldives.” . . . . Avaaz has turned social justice into a product to enhance the liberal do-gooding lifestyle, and it’s set its sights on the climate justice movement.

    Gupta says that Avaaz sent out an email last December headlined “24 Months to Save the World.” He writes, “Telling people there is 24 months to save the world is odious, as is implying an online donation to Avaaz can save the planet. The same overblown rhetoric is being used for the People’s Climate March.”

  207. No, climate science is not settled…. no less than the mannly says so…

    “Depending on what ‘side’ one is on…”

    To me, this certainly implies that the science isn’t settled and there is another side.

    Of course, Gavin from RealClimate writes….

    “Climate contrarians are either like flat-earthers/birthers/moon-landing hoaxers/vaccine-autism linkers or Galileo/stomach ulcer-Helicobacter proponents/Wegener/Copernicus. ”

    Quick…all of your skeptics who are moon landing hoaxers and the like on this site please raise your hand. Believe it or not, all my kids are vaccinated and I’m pretty sure the planet is an oblate spheroid. I’m pretty sure Buzz Lightyear was the second guy on the moon ’cause I saw it on “da Ali G Show”. I must be posting to the wrong site.

    So glad that RealClimate is upholding the highest standards of science.

  208. Anthony, in the drop down menu, the text color for the sea ice page is the same as the background color. I know it is there but others may not from mobile device.
    Thanks excelent site, lurker since your 3rd or 4th posting

  209. See the lead article “Climate Science Is Not Settled” by Dr. Kooning in today’s (9/20) Wall Street Journal Review section. A good (not perfect) balanced perspective that makes sense and may help!


  210. Is this true or is it all in the analysis? Something tells me this is a “new” way of calculating the average so that it follows the doctrine. Would be interesting to plot number of global sensors over time with the recorded average. What I have been seeing is cooling records outpacing warming ones. Interested in others professional opinion.

    The globe smashed more heat records last month, including earth’s hottest August and summer, federal meteorologists said on Thursday. May, June and August all set global heat records this year. Meteorologists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said the average world temperature in August was 61.36 degrees Fahrenheit, breaking a record set in 1998. Scientists at NASA, who calculate global temperature in a slightly different way, also found that August was the hottest on record. The month was especially hot in the Pacific and Indian Oceans and Africa, but cooler in parts of the United States, Europe and Australia. For the United States, it was the coolest August and summer since 2009. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration records go back to 1880. But it is more than just one month. It was the warmest meteorological summer — June, July and August — on record for the globe, again beating out 1998. This year so far is the globe’s third warmest on record. “It’s not a done deal, but we are increasingly moving” toward breaking the hottest year record set in 2010, said Derek Arndt, NOAA’s climate monitoring chief. “This is the outcome of warming over the long term.” (AP)

  211. It’s raining bonuses: Taxpayers fork out £1m extra… for getting the weather right (and also for getting it wrong).

    The Met Office paid staff more than £730,000 in bonuses last year… for correctly forecasting the weather. In only two of the past seven years has the Met Office not awarded bonuses, which cost the taxpayer close to £1 million a year when paid out in full. Bonuses were even awarded after the summer of 2009, a washout infamously predicted to be a “barbecue summer.”

    When it comes to taxpayers’ money; it’s heads they win and tails you lose!


    The first court phase of a legal fight aimed at scuttling what would be one of Ontario’s largest wind-energy developments kicks off Monday with a farm family trying to force an immediate stop to its construction.

    Documents filed in support of their request show Shawn and Tricia Drennan are concerned about the potential harm the 140-turbine K2 Wind project near Goderich, Ont., could cause them.

    The Drennans are asking Divisional Court for an injunction against the ongoing construction of the facility pending resolution of an appeal against the project. They note Health Canada is currently doing a study to understand the impact industrial wind projects have on nearby residents.

    “In effect, our government has relegated the appellants to guinea pigs in the name of green energy,” their factum states.

    • Interesting that the sign the pictured guy is holding says “Fracking = climate change. Ban Fracking Now”

      The reality is that fracking has led to an explosion in natural gas which is much easier on CO2 than other fossil fuels. The fracking revolution has been credited with the substantial drop in CO2 emissions in this country. You can try to blame fracking for a lot of things, but climate change ain’t one of them.

      It would be very interesting to give a basic climate quiz to a sample of protesters.

  213. Moyer &Company episode S3/E35 about climate change. A perfect example of the most blatant hype out there. She is young and well spoken but knows little to nothing herself.

  214. Anthony, a question I would like answered.
    If increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will “acidify” the oceans, why hasn’t the ocean absorbed all of the atmospheric CO2, particularity where the ocean is coolest?

  215. Put this one in your diary for yet another failed prediction

    Arctic ice cap is in a ‘death spiral,’ claims leading academic

    The Arctic ice cap is in a “death spiral” a leading academic claimed after returning from a research voyage.

    Peter Wadhams, professor of ocean physics at Cambridge University, said that the ice cap has now melted so much that open water is now just 350 miles form the North Pole. This is the shortest distance ever recorded.

    He added: “The Arctic ice cap is in a death spiral…One or two warm summers could melt it away.
    The evidence suggests that September will be ice-free very soon, and that within five years or so we could be seeing an ice-free Arctic for up to four months in the summer and much thinner ice for the rest of the year too.”

    Professor Wadhams will report back his findings to a special meeting of the Royal society (the club for British climate hysterics), convened to discuss the issue…Professor Mark Serreze, director of NSIDC – who will also speak at the Royal Society – agreed with Professor Wadhams that the ice cap was disappearing and added that it would eventually shrink below one million square kilometres (386,000 square miles), therefore reaching the definition of an “ice-free Arctic.”

    Tell the good professor what YOU think

    PROFESSOR PETER WADHAMS, Professor of Ocean Physics, and Head of the Polar Ocean Physics Group in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge.

    Pavilion F – Room F0.04
    Polar Ocean Physics Group
    Centre for Mathematical Sciences
    Wilberforce Road
    CB3 0WB
    Tel: +44 (0)1223 760372 (direct line)
    Secretary at CMS: +44 (0)1223 760370 (Olivia Low)


    This is the time of year the sea ice is the lowest and it has become a tradition – when the climate hysterics start preaching that the Arctic will soon be “ice-free.”
    Here is a map from Environment Canada showing the sea ice extant.
    We are now moving into fall. Imagine what the sea ice is going to look like in January and February when those same climate hysterics become strangely quiet. Also, the Arctic is a big place. What part exactly is this scientist talking about? The European side? Because the ice on the Canadian side is recovering nicely to previous levels.

  216. Uni of Cambridge festival of ideas

    My comment on their site:
    This is a pointless discussion since the Climate skeptics argue mainly about feedback systems and that the World has a negative feedback for carbon dioxide whereas the computer modelling assumes a positive feedback. This is where the argument lies. The evidence from the last 20 years supports the negative feedback rather than the computer models. This “argument” that you discuss is a travesty of the real arguments and indicates that you have not understood the key points. It is a childish way to discuss such issues in caricature where important long-term decisions will be made for the future. The scientific response should be to dwell on the facts, such as no rise in global temperatures since 1998 according to all the satellite data.

  217. Follow the money (as you have been)

    The People’s Climate March was organised by’s primary sponsor is the Rockefellers Brothers Fund
    And now RockeFellers Brothers Fund has announced it has divested itself of fossil fuels and invested in clean energy.

    Heirs to the Rockefeller family, which made its vast fortune from oil, are to sell investments in fossil fuels and reinvest in clean energy, reports say.

    All it needs now is the necessary PR campaigns with events like the People’s Climate March to convince people they need to give up fossil fuels and buy their clean energy products instead…

  218. #RSArctic14
    Wadhams getting a drubbing on twitter (Royal society event) from Gavin and ed Hawkins Annan etal

    4h ago
    annan”Hasn’t Wadhams already predicted 4 of the last 0 ice-free summers? ”

    Hawkins “Indeed. It does seem as though the year of predicted ice-free summer moves forward at the same rate as real time.”

    Gavin 3:48 AM – 22 Sep 2014 “Wadhams clearly states that there is no physics behind his extrapolations. ”

    espen “So what is behind them then? Divinations?”

  219. Two nice stories on Bloomberg (of all places!)
    China tops EU for carbon emissions per person (they are already the largest in absolute terms-up 4% last year)

    And, Germany spent 130 billion to achieve 25% with solar and wind, BUT they are burning more coal than ever, up the past five years in a row. And now the US wants to repeat this blunder !

    ““Despite the massive expansion of renewable energies, achieving key targets for the energy transition and climate protection by 2020 is no longer realistic,” said Thomas Vahlenkamp, a director at McKinsey & Co. in Dusseldorf, Germany, and an adviser to the industry for 21 years. “The government needs to improve the Energiewende so that the current disappointment doesn’t lead to permanent failure.”

    • I watched this hogwash. It is like all pseudoscience populism. Derek Muller uses a mishmash inconsistent data to make an Eco-religion point, just like Bill Nye. Nowhere does Muller acknowledge the fact that there has NEVER been as much antarctic sea ice. EVER! Instead he says it is meting away. He is critical of the notion of no warming since 1995 yet he will not include data that includes the medieval warming period OR the prehistoric warming and cooling and CO2 changes in the absence of man. etc etc..It is not science. Don’t waste your time watching this.
      Muller is not a scientist, he is an activist using science lingo. In a word, charlatan.

    • Based on a PNAS paper from Jim Johnstone, UW Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, and co-author Nathan Mantua, a research scientist with the NOAA Fisheries Service in Santa Cruz, California.

      “It just seems to us it’s a pretty simple story,” Mantua said. “Yet it’s going to take people by surprise, because it is ingrained in our minds that if the climate warms up in the course of the century, it’s probably because of global warming, the increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases and other things humans have done that have pushed it in a warming direction.”

      During the entire period from 1900 to 2012, there has been an increase of about 1 degree Fahrenheit in ocean surface temperatures in the area from Hawaii to Alaska, and down the coast to British Columbia, Washington, Oregon and California, according to the study.

      Here is the PNAS paper URL and abstract:

      Over the last century, northeast Pacific coastal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and land-based surface air temperatures (SATs) display multidecadal variations associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, in addition to a warming trend of ∼0.5–1 °C. Using independent records of sea-level pressure (SLP), SST, and SAT, this study investigates northeast (NE) Pacific coupled atmosphere–ocean variability from 1900 to 2012, with emphasis on the coastal areas around North America. We use a linear stochastic time series model to show that the SST evolution around the NE Pacific coast can be explained by a combination of regional atmospheric forcing and ocean persistence, accounting for 63% of nonseasonal monthly SST variance (r = 0.79) and 73% of variance in annual means (r = 0.86). We show that SLP reductions and related atmospheric forcing led to century-long warming around the NE Pacific margins, with the strongest trends observed from 1910–1920 to 1940. NE Pacific circulation changes are estimated to account for more than 80% of the 1900–2012 linear warming in coastal NE Pacific SST and US Pacific northwest (Washington, Oregon, and northern California) SAT. An ensemble of climate model simulations run under the same historical radiative forcings fails to reproduce the observed regional circulation trends. These results suggest that natural internally generated changes in atmospheric circulation were the primary cause of coastal NE Pacific warming from 1900 to 2012 and demonstrate more generally that regional mechanisms of interannual and multidecadal temperature variability can also extend to century time scales.


      Northeast Pacific coastal warming since 1900 is often ascribed to anthropogenic greenhouse forcing, whereas multidecadal temperature changes are widely interpreted in the framework of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), which responds to regional atmospheric dynamics. This study uses several independent data sources to demonstrate that century-long warming around the northeast Pacific margins, like multidecadal variability, can be primarily attributed to changes in atmospheric circulation. It presents a significant reinterpretation of the region’s recent climate change origins, showing that atmospheric conditions have changed substantially over the last century, that these changes are not likely related to historical anthropogenic and natural radiative forcing, and that dynamical mechanisms of interannual and multidecadal temperature variability can also apply to observed century-long trends.

      Supplemental information online at:

    • The article title and doi reference:
      Atmospheric controls on northeast Pacific temperature variability and change, 1900–2012.
      James A. Johnstone, and Nathan J. Mantua.
      PNAS 2014 ; published ahead of print September 22, 2014, doi:10.1073/pnas.1318371111

      Their table 1 data shows a very un-scary temp < 0.7°C/century trends for the North-East Pacific.

      Table 1. NE Pacific temperature trends
      Temperature index Original SLP1 SLP1 residuals
      SSTARC 0.47* 0.53* −0.06
      SATARC 0.81* 0.66* 0.14
      Western US SAT 0.75* 0.62* 0.13
      Washington SAT 0.69* 0.66* 0.03
      Oregon SAT 0.67* 0.64* 0.02
      Northern California SAT 0.53* 0.51* 0.02
      Southern California SAT 1.13* 0.69* 0.44*

      Legend: Linear temperature trends (°C/century) for NE Pacific and western US
      regions (July–June annual means,1901–2012). Original trends, trends predicted
      by SLP1 based on linear regression, and trends of SLP1 regression
      residuals (Fig. S4).
      *Statistically significant (P < 0.05) values.

    • Authors also state in the Discussion and Conclusions:
      “The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment (AR5) Report (42) estimates that anthropogenic impacts have produced a 2-W/m2 increase in the global average net radiative forcing between 1750 and 2011. A substantially greater +10-W/m2 dynamical forcing of the net downward turbulent heat flux is inferred over the NE Pacific Arc from 1900 to 2012,…” (page 5 of 6 in the .pdf)

      Thus they find the ratio of the natural forcing in the internal dynamics of the PDO to the IPCC’s putative CO2 forcing was ~5:1. If that could be applied globally, then it means anthropogenic CO2 can only be ascribed 1/6th (< 17%) of the observed Global temperature rise after 1950 when man's CO2 supposedly started having an effect.

  220. Fascinating read tonight…perhaps the best article I’ve ever read on CO2 and climate….

    Callendar, G. S. (1938), The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 64: 223–240. doi: 10.1002/qj.49706427503.

    Yep. That’s right. 1938. I think he had the whole situation summed up pretty well and I don’t think we know much more now that what he knew.

    He are some excerpts and my comments…

    “…the increase in mean temperature, due to the artificial production of carbon dioxide, is estimated to be at the rate of 0.003°C. per year at the present time.”

    Callendar noted that fuel efficiency was increasing so he didn’t expect an increase in CO2 tonnage. He forecast total warming in 20th century at 0.16 deg C and another 0.23 deg in the 21st century.

    CO2 is now ~400 ppm but he estimated it would be 342 ppm by 2014.

    All in all, I’d say he was probably pretty close to having the right numbers on sensitivity. He was way off on emissions….but forecasting is tough!

    He has a whole section on the Urban Heat Island which caught me by surprise.

    “By fuel combustion man has added about 150,000 million tons of carbon dioxide to the air during the past half century. The author estimates from the best available data that approximately three quarters of this has remained in the atmosphere.”

    “The temperature observations at 200 meteorological stations are used to show that world temperatures have actually increased at an average rate of 0.005°C. per year during the past half century.”

    “At first sight one would expect that carbon dioxide would have far more effect upon the temperature of arctic regions where the amount of water vapour is very small; this is true as regards its effect on sky radiation, but not on temperatures, because the ratio dT/dS increases rapidly as the sky radiation approaches that from the surface. The result of these opposing changes is to make the quantitative influence of carbon dioxide on temperature remarkably uniform for the different climate zones of the earth.”

    This next part was fun…. temperature adjustments and data quality …LOL.

    “In all I have examined about two hundred records, but a small proportion of these are found to be defective when their period temperature departures are compared with those of neighbouring stations ; also in certain
    cases the records are unreliable, owing to changes of conditions which are detailed in the above publication. Out of 18 records going back more than a century I found only two which could be classed as continuous
    throughout; these are at the Radcliffe Observatory (1330)~ Oxford, and at Copenhagen. There are two or three others which comparisons show must be very reliable, and amongst these perhaps the best are those
    from Edinburgh (Mossman, ~goz), and from New York City. ”

    But, he saved the best for last…

    “In conclusion it may be said that the combustion of fossil fuel, whether it be peat from the surface or oil from 10,000 feet below, is likely to prove beneficial to mankind in several ways, besides the provision of heat and
    power.For instance the above mentioned small increases of mean temperature would be important at the northern margin of cultivation, and the growth of favourably situated plants is directly proportional to the carbon dioxide pressure (Brown and Escombe, 1905): In any case the return of the deadly glaciers should be delayed indefinitely. As regards the reserves of fuel these would be sufficient to give at least ten times as
    much carbon dioxide as there is in the air at present. “

  221. From part of the conclusion… “But as was stated before, in order to simplify the equation we take only into account
    the value of equation (6) and this will now show
    A 95 % confidence interval of these four defined errors alone equals roughly 2 x ±
    0.542 = ± 1,084 °C.”

  222. This guy generally has a pretty entertaining science youtube channel, however lately he’s been on a holy (Al Gore-funded) crusade to attack skeptics. He even referenced one of your graphs. Just thought it would nice to see you folks take him down a peg or two:

    Here are his most recent videos on the subject:


  223. 23 Sept: Bloomberg: Google Quits ALEC, Says Link With Climate Skeptics Wrong
    By Jim Snyder and Brian Womack
    Google Inc. Chairman Eric Schmidt said the world’s biggest Internet search company made a mistake in funding a political group that opposes U.S. action on climate change.
    Schmidt said Google paid the American Legislative Exchange Council as part of a lobbying campaign on an unrelated issue. Without elaborating on Google’s relationship with the group, Schmidt said facts about global warming aren’t in dispute.
    “The people who oppose it are really hurting our children and grandchildren and making the world a much worse place,” Schmidt said on NPR’s “Diane Rehm Show” today. “We should not be aligned with such people. They are just literally lying.” …
    Microsoft Corp. has withdrawn from ALEC, saying affiliating with group “which is actively fighting policies that promote renewable energy was incongruous,” according to report in Bloomberg BNA last month…
    The group (ALEC) has written model legislation calling for an interstate research council to study possible beneficial effects of climate change and to examine how regulations capping carbon may hurt the economy…
    Meierling disputed Schmidt’s suggestion that the group denies human activity is a cause of climate change. But he said ALEC has “significant concerns” rules proposed by the Environmental Protection Agency to limit carbon dioxide emissions from power plants would hurt the economy.

  224. 23 Sept: Bloomberg: Mark Drajem: U.S. Urges Action on Climate… Then Skips Pledge
    To hear Secretary of State John Kerry tell it, climate change is the primary threat facing the Earth for the decades to come…
    Just don’t ask the U.S. to sign a pledge to take action. Earlier today 73 countries, including China, Russia and the United Kingdom, signed a pledge pulled together by the World Bank to support a price on carbon as a way to cut greenhouse-gas emissions. Noticeably absent from the list was the world’s second-largest emitter: the U.S…
    Requests for comment on why the U.S. didn’t sign up weren’t immediately returned from the State Department, White House andU.S. Environmental Protection Agency…

  225. More hand wringing about South Pacific islands and climate change. Fijian ex-pats in the Seattle are getting requests from home for cold weather clothing. And, it’s getting hotter. And, the sea is rising. And, the IPCC is the scientific source for the article. Too bad the author didn’t put a call in to Prof. Easterbrook at WWU 90 miles up the road when doing their research.

  226. Latest Science News has an article about the digitizing of satellite film 1964-1976 of the arctic ice. Claim extremely high levels 1964, lowest 1966.

  227. About 20 years ago during the early arguments about CO2 it was noted that astronomers had noted heating on Venus, Mars, Saturn and the moons of Jupiter. (with no anthro contribution)

    since we are now in a long term lack of temperature increase I wonder if any reports have come in showing that the temperature increase on the other solar bodies has also stopped. This would be a solid indicator that the Sun is actually the cause of the issue (not that any media spokes hair would acknowledge it)

    One of the nice inconsistencies of the CO2 argument is the fact that there is more CO2 in the atmosphere of Mars than above our heads on Earth, the sunlight on Mars equator is about that here in Houston but the temperatures are no way comparable. How is the Earths CO2 so much more powerful than on Mars (silly question to ask — I only have to look at the humidity reading here in Houston to get an answer)

    • Yes indeed, the partial pressure of CO2 on Mars is larger than that on Earth. And yet Mars is “cold” … brrrr … winter is a-coming.

  228. it’s all been reduced to money. govt should give them taxpayers’ money. pension funds should hand over people’s money. IPCC wants zero emissions by end of century, negative emissions after 2070 and other such nonsense:

    18 mins: 23 Sept: BBC Business Daily: UN Climate Summit Courts Business
    Scientists say that global temperatures are rising faster than ever as a result of increased carbon emissions, and yet top leaders from some of the most polluting countries are not even bothering to come to the meeting…
    Is it too late for meaningful change? And what does big business really want in all this – cuts to carbon, or simply more business as usual? We hear from Peter Damsgaard Jensen, chief executive of the Danish Pension Fund, PKA, and one of the leading members of a worldwide lobbying body, The Institutional Investors Group on Climate Change. And we hear from one of the UN’s top climate scientists, Jean-Pascal van Ypersele, vice-chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, on how close are we to meeting current targets to limit global warming.

  229. 23 Sept: BBC: Rockefellers to switch investments to ‘clean energy’
    Some 650 individuals and 180 institutions have joined the coalition.
    It is part of a growing global initiative called Global Divest-Invest, which began on university campuses several years ago, the New York Times reports.
    Pledges from pension funds, religious groups and big universities have reportedly doubled since the start of 2014…
    At the scene: Matt McGrath, Environment Correspondent, BBC News
    The event held to launch the Rockefellers’ news was more revivalist meeting than press conference. There was whooping, cheering, hollering and stamping of feet…
    Actor Mark Ruffalo, who also signed the pledge, told the conference: “These are not silly people, these are people who know how to deal with money.”
    They recognised that clean energy was “the future”, he said – prompting more whooping, cheering and stamping of feet…

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